Intro to Conditional Probability

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Dr. Trefor Bazett

Dr. Trefor Bazett

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 725
@DrTrefor
@DrTrefor 4 жыл бұрын
More Conditional Probability Examples: Vid 1: kzbin.info/www/bejne/hYq3YXSZqrGLq5o&ab_channel=Dr.TreforBazett Vid 2: kzbin.info/www/bejne/pKuQcnd-j9eMrs0&ab_channel=Dr.TreforBazett
@superslimey7780
@superslimey7780 4 жыл бұрын
nice
@ParadymShiftVegan
@ParadymShiftVegan 4 жыл бұрын
3:58 LGBTQ+ just got triggered 😅
@metro.mayor_
@metro.mayor_ 3 жыл бұрын
Both qualify for where's my Subway sandwich to in ⁰0⁰⁰000⁰00p ppppp0pppppp0ppppppppppp 0⁰⁰0⁰0⁰pp⁰ppppppp ppppp0pppppp0ppppppppppp p⁰00p⁰00⁰⁰⁰⁰0⁰⁰⁰⁰⁰pppppppp ppppp0pppppp0ppppppppppp ⁰⁰00000⁰⁰0⁰⁰⁰000⁰⁰⁰000⁰⁰009990 00
@phellisbonah8012
@phellisbonah8012 2 жыл бұрын
Ok
@ramyhuber8392
@ramyhuber8392 2 жыл бұрын
Wow what a fun video! Reminds me of "if then" statements applied to likelihood of real life situations occurring.
@arcadian3090
@arcadian3090 3 жыл бұрын
I entered wanting to learn math, and I exited with knowing I have a good probable chance of being an alcoholic.
@carinao4040
@carinao4040 3 жыл бұрын
PLEASE JVKWNCNDO
@rextide2098
@rextide2098 3 жыл бұрын
Fucking mood lmao
@AnoushkaRoy
@AnoushkaRoy 3 жыл бұрын
PLEASE BCKCFSJXSADKBFHK
@biancabrown7279
@biancabrown7279 3 жыл бұрын
XDDDD
@classiccatastrophe1518
@classiccatastrophe1518 3 жыл бұрын
Arcadian what is your profession?
@jesusaranda3726
@jesusaranda3726 6 жыл бұрын
Took me nine minutes to understand what I couldn't get in a fifty-minute lecture. Thank you.
@alejandratrujillo1312
@alejandratrujillo1312 5 жыл бұрын
Same here! You saved my life!
@Tintin-dm4ym
@Tintin-dm4ym 5 жыл бұрын
Jesus Aranda it’s a 6 min video XD
@adityashinde1079
@adityashinde1079 5 жыл бұрын
@@Tintin-dm4ym his maths is weak 😂
@alisheikh3585
@alisheikh3585 5 жыл бұрын
@@adityashinde1079 lol, he probably spent a little more time on a particular concept!
@gytisdramblewolfskis8521
@gytisdramblewolfskis8521 5 жыл бұрын
This concept is so simple as well as complicated if explained badly. The visual representation means so much
@ramtinshahali9944
@ramtinshahali9944 2 жыл бұрын
Took my professor 2hr to explain this topic and NO ONE could not understand a word of what he said while it took you like 5min to teach this and now I can solve all the problems he gave us. You're a lifesaver so thank you. Universities should understand having a PHD in math does not make you a good professor, being able to teach is completely different from having the knowledge. But you Dr.Trefor, have both the knowledge and you know how to teach math.
@alang.2054
@alang.2054 11 ай бұрын
Maybe you was just familiar with the topic thanks to your professor and video just served as a resource to ground your understanding?
@acfry
@acfry 8 ай бұрын
@@alang.2054 nah, most profs arent teachers w/experience. a bunch of it is just funding for researchers. Theyre just given a syllabus.
@TheRedCubeYT
@TheRedCubeYT 8 ай бұрын
Ur learning secondary school level maths at uni??
@spicyboi1825
@spicyboi1825 3 жыл бұрын
As someone who is hard of hearing, I really appreciate the effort put into the subtitles, thank you.
@jonsentio3150
@jonsentio3150 2 жыл бұрын
love you
@simplematters4893
@simplematters4893 4 жыл бұрын
Who’s here during covid19 online learning
@Abdussalam-ml3so
@Abdussalam-ml3so 4 жыл бұрын
@@DrTrefor lol
@143woww
@143woww 4 жыл бұрын
I am doing statistic online and it is driving me nuts 😂
@________4423
@________4423 4 жыл бұрын
@@DrTrefor The probability of that occurring is beyond certain.
@adeliadrawstuff
@adeliadrawstuff 4 жыл бұрын
ayan aden this topic is the most stressful one for me and it’s my second time taking the class 😣
@DrTrefor
@DrTrefor 4 жыл бұрын
Good luck everyone with your online courses:)
@redwillowofdreams8931
@redwillowofdreams8931 6 жыл бұрын
Stop reading the comments and get on with your homework.
@nitamac1312
@nitamac1312 6 жыл бұрын
stop writing comments and get on with your homework
@bakonator4845
@bakonator4845 6 жыл бұрын
Redwillow of Wattpad, it’s too late my pet goldfish already ate my homework. I’m just studying for a test
@steveworldwar2
@steveworldwar2 6 жыл бұрын
Fuck you
@jackbrookes21
@jackbrookes21 6 жыл бұрын
i feel attacked
@aishaelmubarak8689
@aishaelmubarak8689 6 жыл бұрын
@@bakonator4845 fuck u
@thegrinch2613
@thegrinch2613 5 жыл бұрын
I have a test tomorrow and I could never do conditional probability, but now you've made it seem so easy, so thank you!
@paulolelewe2330
@paulolelewe2330 2 жыл бұрын
Teachers at Cerritos College teach similar topics but some of them possibly have their bachelor's degree. Most of them are probably from Long beach or any city using the beaches/towns and cheaper places to live.
@Nigerian_KO
@Nigerian_KO Жыл бұрын
Same here 😢
@rileyregan2900
@rileyregan2900 3 жыл бұрын
You explained this WAAYYYYY better than my professor and khan academy COMBINED. Not sure why they made it sound so damn complicated
@louiselin3928
@louiselin3928 3 жыл бұрын
Yeah, it is the only video (I saw) that gives the meaning behind the formula. And this is exactly what I want.
@suyashpal803
@suyashpal803 3 жыл бұрын
People understand words better than formula but at the end of the day a formula is what you need to solve maths and no. Please note : I came here looking for formula..I guess I should check khan academy..lol
@emperor8716
@emperor8716 Жыл бұрын
@@suyashpal803 the formula is literally right there at 1:15. he even shows an example of it.
@jiovek
@jiovek 4 жыл бұрын
this man really summed up what an hour's math lesson couldn't in less than 10 mins legend
@felixhall6429
@felixhall6429 5 жыл бұрын
Thank you!! I now feel ready for my exam tomorrow 😅 (anyone else in the same boat?)
@naieltuccu2855
@naieltuccu2855 5 жыл бұрын
yes
@waseerahman3734
@waseerahman3734 5 жыл бұрын
yeah have my exam in a week
@Chewinternet
@Chewinternet 5 жыл бұрын
Yes
@Chewinternet
@Chewinternet 5 жыл бұрын
Tomorrow is my exam
@samirgyawali5207
@samirgyawali5207 5 жыл бұрын
I have just came washroom from exam hall. Exam is going on.😁😁😁😁😁😎😎😎😎😎😎😎
@MrLiamcfc
@MrLiamcfc 6 жыл бұрын
Jack Whitehall you are a lifesaver bro
@interfaze9930
@interfaze9930 2 жыл бұрын
I'm studying general engineering and I did not have a lot of statistics in my curriculum. The bit that I had I have already forgotten again. Now I need a LOT of statistics for my master thesis. You are saving me so much time! Much appreciated!
@eventhorizon492
@eventhorizon492 Жыл бұрын
wow, hours of suffering undone in a six minute video. Lifesaver dude, thank you
@ALele14Baller
@ALele14Baller 5 жыл бұрын
BLESS YOU!!! I can't ever understand my professor who's lectures are an hour and 40 minutes long, and I just learned it all in 6 minutes!!!
@genetiktrollz883
@genetiktrollz883 3 жыл бұрын
pog
@sarathkumarkm5638
@sarathkumarkm5638 3 жыл бұрын
Sir i searched that how conditional probability formula came. No one explained. U explained it in so simple and in beautiful way. Thank you sir
@ExpertBustice
@ExpertBustice 3 жыл бұрын
This video was released on my birthday 4 years ago, and it has inadvertently been quite the present only now. Thanks for the aha moment, Dr. Bazett.
@L2.Lagrange
@L2.Lagrange 2 жыл бұрын
Really awesome video. Currently taking stats for electrical engineering and I really liked this conditional probability description
@thijshamersma
@thijshamersma 5 күн бұрын
Amazing explanation, the only one on youtube I could properly follow along with
@justinlu9399
@justinlu9399 6 жыл бұрын
THANK YOU SOMEONE FINALLY EXPLAINED THE FORMULA WELL ENOUGH FOR AN IDIOT LIKE ME
@Margauxhoney
@Margauxhoney 6 жыл бұрын
and another idiot like me too, haha
@Bondhio
@Bondhio Жыл бұрын
One shot, two shot, three shot, floor. Fuck this math homework.
@jaspermartin7444
@jaspermartin7444 5 жыл бұрын
whoa, you explain this better AND in a shorter amount of time, then the MIT guy. more videos please!
@SciHeartJourney
@SciHeartJourney 4 жыл бұрын
The MIT guy is too busy trying to impress you with his brilliance. He treats us like he doesn't have time to school you. 🙄
@reasetilo
@reasetilo 2 жыл бұрын
time to save the semester ...
@nickputkaradze1181
@nickputkaradze1181 3 жыл бұрын
This really helped me to finally understand why does that formula work. Thanks!
@supersql8406
@supersql8406 4 жыл бұрын
I like how Tefor is really a smart guy, but he does his best to explain it in layman's term... sometimes the vocab in itself can be confusing for those who just starting...
@MrArtbyart
@MrArtbyart 2 жыл бұрын
The best description that I have found. The venn diagrams are most helpful. Thanks
@HabibiGa1z
@HabibiGa1z 4 жыл бұрын
If the probabilty of being an alcoholic as male is 2.25%, then that answers the question? If a doctor walks in and sees a male patient, she knows the chance of him being an alcoholic is 2.25%. What am i missing here? Or is the question: "What is the probability of a doctor seeing a patient who IS a male AND an alcoholic"?
@abdulstarkousa782
@abdulstarkousa782 5 жыл бұрын
I don't know how could people dislike your video it is harder to get than a whole discrete Math given by such a very good teacher like you, Good luck and keep awsome!
@noobhubzero1760
@noobhubzero1760 2 ай бұрын
I never understood conditional probability, and this video relieved my anxiety and dread of being in a civil engineering risk analysis class. Thank you so much!
@ericarocha7659
@ericarocha7659 3 ай бұрын
Thank you for explaining this. I have a quiz at 9 am tomorrow, and my professor spent 2 lectures that are 2 hours long to explain what you explained in 5 minutes thank you so much; I need to pass stats so bad.
@good-gpt2-chatbot
@good-gpt2-chatbot 5 жыл бұрын
Sir.... My concepts are crystal clear now thanks to you. My prof was rambling on and on for 55 min and I couldn't understand anything, but you literally made a 6 min short video and voila!
@Mel-nx6dp
@Mel-nx6dp 3 жыл бұрын
going into my final exam in a couple hours and I finally understood this concept omfg
@DrTrefor
@DrTrefor 3 жыл бұрын
Good luck!
@kenho4470
@kenho4470 Жыл бұрын
Amazing video. 10/10 love the enthusiasm AND ACTUALLY HELPED ME UNDERSTAND THIS FORMULA BRUH. I owe u a great debt of gratitufe
@OmarAlMatar
@OmarAlMatar 4 жыл бұрын
I have watched crash course and my prof's lectures 5 times by now and only now do I get this formula, THANK YOU
@aldotovar9231
@aldotovar9231 4 жыл бұрын
beautiful! It's been 3 years since I first saw conditional probability and now this is the first time I actually get it
@wilurbean
@wilurbean Жыл бұрын
thank god you have videos on probability. Why can't all prof be like you?
@william_8844
@william_8844 3 жыл бұрын
6:12 my interpretation in laymen English is, the percentage of men who are alcoholic. I always struggled with statistics language so I try to simplify to the language I understand.
@yiphayden
@yiphayden 8 ай бұрын
Didn’t really understand this when studying in high school Thank you for helping me clearing concepts with one short video ❤️
@rahulkumar-fv5pq
@rahulkumar-fv5pq 4 жыл бұрын
Sir your way of teaching is much better than other. Love from India.
@hecz250
@hecz250 6 жыл бұрын
I think what makes these problems tricky is mistaking the statements "probability of A and B both occurring" and "probability that A will happen given B". It's important to understand that these are not the same, in this case that they are not both 2.25% probability. Thanks for the helpful video!
@circulartriangles1150
@circulartriangles1150 4 жыл бұрын
Thats what Im thinking right now
@richardfeynman7332
@richardfeynman7332 4 жыл бұрын
Man!!!! you just need a lot of subscribers....
@DrTrefor
@DrTrefor 4 жыл бұрын
haha, I agree!
@Marbles40
@Marbles40 8 ай бұрын
tysm istg my teacher tried to teach this and like 10 other things in one day to try to get us ready for the state test but you helped me more than she did
@cait7140
@cait7140 5 жыл бұрын
I got to 5:30 and a massive freaking lightbulb went off in my head. THANK YOU
@rajkumar-ub7wc
@rajkumar-ub7wc 2 жыл бұрын
wonderful explanation
@NathanQueija
@NathanQueija 2 жыл бұрын
Oh gosh, I finally understood the intuition behind this formula. Thanks a lot!
@udonwarrior9983
@udonwarrior9983 7 жыл бұрын
Best explanation!
@TH-cq8jy
@TH-cq8jy 4 жыл бұрын
Who do you support in La Liga?
@limjenny7815
@limjenny7815 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you very much, your proof have solved my question that haunted me for a year! Keep up the good work! Thanks a lot.
@Cherrica1102
@Cherrica1102 Жыл бұрын
thank you soo much...i literally love u😍🥰
@nimeshibandara6090
@nimeshibandara6090 6 жыл бұрын
Been doing an assignment for maths the topic being chance, it asked to explain conditional probability, this is so clear and so easy to understand! I'm actually pleased with myself for understanding something so quickly!
@BoxOfCurryos
@BoxOfCurryos Жыл бұрын
Stats makes me want to become an alcoholic.
@valentinlishkov9540
@valentinlishkov9540 Жыл бұрын
Let us have a set A consisting of N random variables. Let us have a subset B of A consisting of M random variables where 0
@xiaoyuwang8157
@xiaoyuwang8157 6 жыл бұрын
1:40 is the most important explanation that most guys are looking for
@tpennyhealth5861
@tpennyhealth5861 Жыл бұрын
Finally makes perfect sense to me. Took three videos to nail the concept. This topic has really frustrated me and made me run away from probability. Now I understand what my problem was: I couldn't conceptualize the difference between probability of A and B and probability of A given B. So in my head it sounded as though A given B meant A and B.
@farooq36901
@farooq36901 Жыл бұрын
Excellent video Professor, I read 10 pages of a statistics book and couldn't understand anything until I saw your video.
@hhkkv2
@hhkkv2 6 жыл бұрын
The concept has been explained comprehensively. Thanks a lot !
@mrbagginz5963
@mrbagginz5963 8 ай бұрын
My god thank you so much im a 6th grader who enjoys math and learning about the why and you gave so many reasons this made sense! I’ll definitely watch you more and thank you 😂
@vonderasche2963
@vonderasche2963 Жыл бұрын
Really simple explanation, the venn diagram helped a lot
@tj-8422
@tj-8422 Жыл бұрын
Thank you so much for this Dr. Bazett!
@jimbeattie3641
@jimbeattie3641 2 жыл бұрын
the probability that i have understood this given im an idiot is remarkably high. many thanks.
@jaybee4976
@jaybee4976 3 жыл бұрын
thanks man for this crystal clear explanation. you are really a king
@spiderking4059
@spiderking4059 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much, you helped me understand probability in about 7 minutes what my tutor spent months trying to get me to understand.
@heyarnold3733
@heyarnold3733 2 жыл бұрын
wow, you explained tyhis so well! better than my professor. thank you so much!!
@SciHeartJourney
@SciHeartJourney 4 жыл бұрын
I just realized something that makes this a bit easier to understand. Dividing by a probability always increases the value. In other words, it's more likely when event B occurs.
@DrTrefor
@DrTrefor 4 жыл бұрын
Yup unless they are independent in which case P(A|B)=P(A)
@SciHeartJourney
@SciHeartJourney 4 жыл бұрын
@@DrTrefor thanks for that reminder! Yes, you're right.
@OmnipotentZORG
@OmnipotentZORG 3 жыл бұрын
Oh my gosh thank you, I was overthinking it so much. I have an applied statistics midterm tomorrow!
@stacigrimes9920
@stacigrimes9920 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for breaking it down to a level that could actually be understood.
@sumukhsonkar3136
@sumukhsonkar3136 4 жыл бұрын
Thankyou so much , Very well explained..., This topic is one of the topics in the syllabus of of competitive exams m going to appear this month (in India), I checked some your videos and those are really helpful... Thanks again 🙏🏻
@lttrhd
@lttrhd 2 жыл бұрын
So young and so brilliant. Thanks God for people like this👍. Respect
@revanthk61
@revanthk61 2 жыл бұрын
Impressive video Dr.Bazett
@yugosaito9704
@yugosaito9704 Жыл бұрын
Thank you, you are an excellent teacher!
@chrisxue-ti7dg
@chrisxue-ti7dg 10 ай бұрын
A good video with clear and appropriate emphasizing on the key point
@lafilleindigo
@lafilleindigo 4 жыл бұрын
I'm taking a statistics course and this just helped me understand the concept so much better. Thank you so much!
@rubiprieto6205
@rubiprieto6205 6 жыл бұрын
You're a lifesaver💓Finals are coming up and this topic was giving me a hard time. Thank you! I'm definitely subscribing to your channel!
@MarzanaTamanna_
@MarzanaTamanna_ 3 жыл бұрын
I had come here to learn probability but I can not move my eyes from you where i should focous on your lecture 🙆‍♀️❤️ Btw your lecture is very helpful though 🤷‍♀️
@gokulbalaji1736
@gokulbalaji1736 2 жыл бұрын
I'm an average student. I have been searching for the perfect explanation for conditional probability for a long time. My search ends now. Thank you!
@bruceskellator
@bruceskellator 6 жыл бұрын
Really succinct and clear explanation of Conditional Probability! Came here after not being able to understand my lecture slides.
@shobhitsrivastava4496
@shobhitsrivastava4496 4 жыл бұрын
Just now I saw some of your videos, sir its quite impressive, you have got some unique style of teaching. Keep Up your good work!
@nathanlu9959
@nathanlu9959 2 жыл бұрын
Its the little things like explaining notation that really helps... like our professors just expects us to know what theyre talking about. if i did know, I wouldn't be in your class!
@rsadsultanov3071
@rsadsultanov3071 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you,you made all my sceptical thoughts deploy.Awesome video,
@cb27743
@cb27743 2 жыл бұрын
Paid tuition instruction: "bla bla bla i hate my job, math it yourself"....Guy on KZbin who is passionate "oh buckle up, i have some awesome examples for you" Thanks again Dr. Bazett!
@orangeoranges6727
@orangeoranges6727 2 жыл бұрын
you're a wonderful teacher, can't thank you enough
@TheMiniatureRobot
@TheMiniatureRobot 11 ай бұрын
This was very informative and I understand the concept much better. I think I’ll reward myself with a shot or three
@mariagotherstrom9533
@mariagotherstrom9533 3 жыл бұрын
I am so grateful for this. I finally understood.
@alinatv123
@alinatv123 2 жыл бұрын
very helpful and straight to the point, tysm
@harrywetherall6724
@harrywetherall6724 4 жыл бұрын
Thanks Doc Tref !! Got my exam in 2 hours and this defiantly will get me some extra marks :)
@DrTrefor
@DrTrefor 4 жыл бұрын
Hope it went great!
@harrywetherall6724
@harrywetherall6724 4 жыл бұрын
Dr. Trefor Bazett I got 93% !!!
@27Gebordi
@27Gebordi 10 ай бұрын
Please how did you get the 0.5???.... As the probability of the man???....
@zidrasworld
@zidrasworld 3 жыл бұрын
omg ur so smart thank u so muchhh i needed this for my stats midterm
@DrTrefor
@DrTrefor 3 жыл бұрын
Good luck!!
@frozenfenix0
@frozenfenix0 5 жыл бұрын
I don't understand this formula, if P(A n B) = P(A) * P(B), shouldnt the conditional probability formula P(A n B) / P(B) just equal P(A) (cancel out the P(B)'s) ? Is this just for when you don't know P(A)?
@lowrenz4277
@lowrenz4277 4 жыл бұрын
Can someone help me with this example? If you start with the assumption that the probability of being an alcoholic is: p(A(male)) + p(A(notMale)) / p(male) + p(notMale) and then you assume that you are a male, so the whole not male goes away: p(A(male)) / p(male) we have the formula in the video.... but when we then consider what p(A(male)) means: 2.25% of all male... so we divide again by the number of males.. isn't that kind of self referential in this example?
@iremiposiajayi122
@iremiposiajayi122 Жыл бұрын
Hi! In the numerator, why do we look at the probability of A and B rather than just the probability of A? I think about it this way: the probability of A given B should be the total probability of A occurring relative to the total possibility of B occurring. This is wrong, though. Why do we think about it in terms of the formula as: the probability of A and B occurring relative to that?
@anishkhadgi6822
@anishkhadgi6822 3 жыл бұрын
amazing, the example helped in understanding the concept of conditional probability
@DrTrefor
@DrTrefor 3 жыл бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@muhammadwaseem_
@muhammadwaseem_ Жыл бұрын
People like you should teach math is schools, so that kids would love maths
@Sana-y8m5p
@Sana-y8m5p Ай бұрын
thank you you were really helpful to understand the difference between a given b and b given a conditions :).
@mrbobm00
@mrbobm00 4 жыл бұрын
Given that we always divide by a number
@DrTrefor
@DrTrefor 4 жыл бұрын
Absolutely. We now know more than we used to, which makes our confidence more likely.
@shakthivel6313
@shakthivel6313 5 жыл бұрын
Really helped me a lot... so proud of a student of urs... keep going... thank you brother...
@walterruilova2583
@walterruilova2583 3 жыл бұрын
You nailed it sir.
@tinadong7791
@tinadong7791 4 жыл бұрын
BEST MATH CHANNEL!!! Thank you for making conditional probability so easy to understand.
@sachinwalunjakar8854
@sachinwalunjakar8854 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for making this video. Very Helpful.
@Jobic-10
@Jobic-10 6 жыл бұрын
The way you explained seemed like you were directly facing me. Very bold and resounding drive.
@mvenkataramana2275
@mvenkataramana2275 2 жыл бұрын
loved the explanation Dr
@isnze
@isnze 6 жыл бұрын
ty so much! saved my life! this is the best explanation i have seen so far
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