January 2025 ENSO / La Nina Update!

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[@k26kv31]

You would be a great teacher! You would keep the kids excited about weather/science. Thanks for teaching us adults.

[@cfagan6562]

Nicely done - very helpful. I'll look forward to learning more about the "Madden-Julian ocillation".

[@greg.jacobs]

Near 60 in Bend the last couple of days, its been a strange winter so far, lots of snow in the cascades but very little here in town. Now its been feeling more like spring.

[@santacruz59]

@@greg.jacobs not good…..

[@fantanaranja]

I definitely agree with the sentiment on vegetation! people dont understand how important it is to slope stability and reducing wind damage

[@gigartina]

Great presentation for a complex system - thanks!

[@bryceburgart8544]

I love your explanations for us layman weather geeks! If I had a Time Machine Maybe I’d be a meteorologist. Alas. But we have professor PNWWW! Thanks for the real time education!

[@marklillrose5068]

4/5 years have been La Nina and all of the years have been lower moisture in PNW/ID/MT for the most part

[@aquachonk]

Sneaky bonus round, much appreciated.

[@PracticingLovingKindness]

Wow you really know this stuff you didn’t stop for 1 second!

[@paulsorensen7110]

Thanks Michael! 35.2 for the high here in Boring, OR. Current temp too. Fog all day, and now drizzly beach weather, no wind. Hate theses inversions. "What are they good for, absolutely NUTHIN" 😄

[@fullcirclethinker]

Seriously, our winter weather is most promising between February and April anymore. Been that way for quite a number of years now.

[@4runner_rooney359]

@@fullcirclethinker im praying it come

[@olyman63]

Thanks

[@JohnB-nr4qk]

Unlike El Nino episodes,La Ninas have a much greater chance of being a "bust" in Western Washington.Comparing the ONI Index with actual observed weather data will confirm this.For example,the 1999-2001 La Ninas produced very little cold and snowy weather in the Seattle area.I suspect this winter will be similar.

[@PacificNorthwestWeather]

I mean it did snow at Seatac all 3 of those seasons! Each La Nina going back to 1950 has had some measurable snow at KSEA, but this seems like it has a chance to be the first, but still lots of doubt that its even an official La Nina also..

[@harrisonrutledge5]

Madden Julian Oscillation seems to be highly relevant to PNW weather. Seems like it wants to collapse back to null space rather than swinging around; tends to just collapse. Great analysis. Thank you.

[@Encephalitisify]

So basically we are at a point where La Niña can not exist except in depths of winter. Once spring and summer comes, we get neutral and dare I say we go back to El Niño conditions in late summer? We will see.

[@4runner_rooney359]

It feels like we have a heavy fire season coming

[@wopalongcassidy]

I’m in Humboldt. I need this dryness to last because I’m moving. How long do you think Ive got ?

[@user-op9mv5lq1u]

End of month

[@gigartina]

I’m in humboldt, too - it’s been so wet that this break has been really welcome!

[@StarLight-lq6fn]

Love your in-depth weather reports!! You showed a map of the moisture in the air-at what height was that measurement taken? Were measurements of moisture way up in the ionosphere taken after the Hunga Tunga volcanic explosion of water way up there in the troposphere and beyond? How much is still up there slowly coming back down and how is that still effecting the weather? The tropics still look moist, is the moisture magnetically attracted to itself and staying in the tropics? Would the under sea volcano change the charge of the water? Again I’m asking for you to include the solar flares and coronal openings as effects on the weather via the charged particles hitting molecules in the ionosphere.The sun is a rather large elephant in our solar system to ignore😏and its effects on volcanoes have been shown to “coincidentally” effect volcanic explosions and earthquakes. Don’t predict just report coincidence of happenings so the full picture can be seen. With a complete report I won’t have to go to 3 other channels and try to weave them together cohesively. You’re still the best planetary weatherman but you could include the solar weather too-Please??? You’re so good at explanations I know you’d be great at the rest too and I need explanations for my curiosity I’ve got so many questions…🤷‍♀️

[@PacificNorthwestWeather]

Those maps were surface, yes

[@jamesreding6336]

Raining in Tacoma right now

[@NatureDerek]

Bring. On. The. Powder. dammit mother nature lol

[@Helen-gh5cr]

Interesting how the waves of cooling waters mimics the waves in the atmosphere in the northern hemisphere. Is there any research of my observation or is it just coincidence?

[@SamWilkinsonn]

I’ve noticed that after I pour a cup of coffee, the air above it is warmer. Is there any research supporting my novel observation?

[@santacruz59]

Still confused why we are still talking about the ENSO cycle. Has absolutely 0 bearing on the forecast as far as I’m concerned. Should be more focused on figuring out how to forecast the PNA (positive or negative)

[@wayneessar7489]

Over a period of time it will become clear to you.

[@santacruz59]

​@@wayneessar7489 Probably not......I have come to realize that our weather in the PNW is increasingly dominated by very persistent high pressure ridges....especially during these "wet" La Nina winters Just look at this last triple dip La Nina....not really crazy winter weather....

[@harrisonrutledge5]

So sick of this rex block ridge.

[@PacificNorthwestWeather]

They are related, and its important to know whats going on furing this season so we can see how this all played out vs how we thought it would!

[@johnp9988]

🍻

[@Jam-m7m]

I hope the correct amount of rain comes to California and not Landslides from flooding ❤ 😊

[@jamesreding6336]

I think we will have snow down low by first week of February

[@danielmoung9098]

Fingers crossed, hoping so.

[@santacruz59]

@jamesreding6336 You are a funny guy. Looks like it will be the driest January I have ever seen. Also nothing but high pressure ridges as far as the forecasts can see. I would rather have an average rain storm at this point. Pretty much 0% chance of lowland snow

[@jamesreding6336]

Its been dry most Januarys the last 10 years

[@danielmoung9098]

@@santacruz59 We'll see how funny your opinion is when you ARE WRONG and lowland snow does happen. Troll!

[@santacruz59]

@@danielmoung9098 Still very odd that you care about my comments on a KZbin video…..it’s almost like you really believe that my comments influence the weather somehow….so weird.

[@edwinlipton]

My tea leaves say; I'm gonna die as broke as I was born.

[@edwinlipton]

I think La nina needs fired!! We need a LaLa me a coppa kabbana!

[@jamesreding6336]

For now things change fast

[@chompers11]

Pnw AND california weather watch? There goes the weather channel

[@PacificNorthwestWeather]

I do two channels , check the other one out!

[@mutantryeff]

!!!

[@edwinlipton]

They lied. Not you Michael. But those physic teachers, the googlers and scientist,, 😮 they lied too us. They do make some tasty kool-aid though. Try not too drink to much😂

[@gare2742]

13:37 like tree's

[@rosemarycorn2453]

The tri cities got the rain. Still have mud here 😂

[@That1JohnDude]

I'm like 422 and that's awesome cause it's 420... tooo(two) ha ha ha

[@michaels4526]

I live in the inland NW and it has been 40s and absolutely dry. It is completely uncharacteristic for Jan. Your models are wrong. Our local weather says warmer and dryer than usual, the exact opposite of what you are saying.

[@PacificNorthwestWeather]

You didn't watch the videos, I never said any of this

[@michaels4526]

@PacificNorthwestWeather Your heat map did. Don't care anyway, I'm not watching you anymore. You've been wrong for weeks. 👎 by D.

[@trynodev]

All of his videos I watched since December correctly indicated drier than normal weather based on the data at hand.