Late Kick Live Ep 533: Conference & CFP Predictions | Week 1 Upset Alerts | THE Twisters Review

Late Kick Live Ep 533 features Josh Pate delivering early conference and College Football Playoff predictions. Will it be UGA, Alabama, Texas, Ole Miss, or someone else in the SEC? Can Ohio State reclaim the Big Ten or could Michigan and/or Oregon take the crown? Big what-ifs are also on tonight’s show including Payton Thorne surprising everyone at Auburn, USC’s defense turning around, and Miami having another mediocre season. Bold predictions are back with the wildest things you believe about this season. Could UGA face a new opponent in the SEC Championship Game? What if West Virginia wins the Big12? How could two G5 teams make the CFP? All that plus a look at the best running game in the country, some Quinn Ewers conversation, and Josh’s much-anticipated review of Twisters. Be sure to let us know what you think, SUBSCRIBE to the channel, and CLICK THE BELL for notifications as we bring you multiple live shows per week!
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#LateKick #JoshPate #PateState

[@JoshPateCFB]

Keep the show free - SUBSCRIBE to the channel and LIKE the video! - JP

[@iamjacquesbarjon]

Can we get timestamps on the episodes? Sometimes it's helpful to skip ahead to the part you want to hear.

[@jacobkarnes]

Georgia not playing in the SEC Championship and not being a top 8 seed in the playoff. That’s a 9.75 on the boldness scale. Chalice of Supremacy if it comes true!

[@MagnateTM]

ask josh to bet his own money on his takes.

[@KFBALL247]

@@MagnateTM He tries to hype up most teams so more fan bases tune into the show and have hope. But I promise you he’s not betting on most of his takes 😂

[@virionspiral]

​@KFBALL247 the Ramen noodle express is named that because if you followed his bets that would be all you would be able to afford to eat

[@jaysuave13]

Facts !!

[@RadicallyOptimistic]

Georgia will go 10-2. This schedule is insane compared to the SEC Least. But they will beat Ole Miss as Kiffin can’t beat top 10 teams. He can’t even be competitive with them

[@jseal2]

Just wanted to say thanks to Josh for the love for Twisters. I worked on the VFX - Visualization team for many months and we were very proud of the final result. Been a long time subscriber of Pate State and always fun to hear praise for something random that I coincidentally worked on...when everyone isn't (rightfully) bashing my Aggies. Thanks and Gig'em

[@RushFanatic87]

I was eating ice cream. Then, Josh predicted Texas-Ohio State in the national championship game. Now, I don’t want my ice cream…

[@stevorolo]

I’m curious which Texas Big Oil Company paid Josh a massive NIL bag for this prediction. Of course, it must have not been enough because Horns Down lost the big game. 😂

[@Mike-sp7zv]

​@@stevorolotexas beat the sec champ by 2 scores

[@BrandonWilliams-gs4cs]

@@RushFanatic87 I feel that

[@braxtonmoore5077]

@@Mike-sp7zvat home

[@RadicallyOptimistic]

“The SEC champ” was playing like a meddling Big 10 team in week 2. Teams evolve. The Raiders beating the Chiefs on Christmas last year was not a big deal. The Chiefs weren’t good then

[@trevorjohnson3702]

Texas winning the SEC is a 9 on the boldness scale

[@kizitokatende412]

No it's not lol

[@jaredslabaugh3181]

@@kizitokatende412they have a chance to struggle defensively 😬

[@user-tz2zz5ij1s]

Their schedule can put them in it. They should remain pretty healthy throughout the season. Biggest bruises will be from Georgia, OU, and A&M. Only one of those games is a late season game. If they are as good as everyone is saying they are, they should have a good shot. I went to A&M, so I take no pleasure in saying this.

[@RB-.-]

If they struggle anywhere it will be because they have to replace their entire D-line, RB & WR corps

[@jaredslabaugh3181]

@@RB-.- their secondary already sucked ass last year

[@orangejokr]

Saying Georgia doesn’t go unscathed is one thing. To put two teams in the SEC Championship that Georgia plays in the regular season indicates you think they lose to both teams. 10 on the boldness scale.

[@MOOREHOUSE423]

Theyre losing to Bama thats a sure thing and will prob drop 1 more maybe 2

[@DonteMccray]

@@MOOREHOUSE423 Georgia loosing to Bama is so far from a sure thing

[@MOOREHOUSE423]

@@DonteMccray Since when ?

[@pleasenobotsjd1744]

Josh really saw how much traction Texas got at sec media days and decided to make this whole about them

[@johnwakefield9378]

Best cfb channel without a doubt.

[@PessimisticUte]

KEEP DOUBTING UTAH JOSN (as a Utah fan your doubts always work in our favor)

[@Романо-ж2ь]

This is Utah’s DNA! Exceeding media predictions and proving everybody wrong. Go Utes!

[@spencersmith4373]

Concerning the playoff prediction, sometimes its about the journey and not the destination Josh, that hypothetical playoff you set up would be a ton of fun to watch even IF it works out the way you laid out with that final four.

[@LadyIILord]

“No politics here. No sir, here we talk about college football. We don’t discuss opinions outside of college football. Frankly, college football is the best thing on this planet. So deal with it . . . Anyways, here my take on Twisters the new movie” 😂 love this guy, love this show

[@jameshernandez7473]

Just got the wife and kid subscribed in the matter of 10 seconds🙌🏽

[@djbetts3079]

I still don’t understand the Texas hype , they are a good team for sure , but why are we acting like they are some powerhouse now , they haven’t been the big dog in the big 12 in idk how long, they lose two of the best defensive lineman in the country, they’re also going into the sec in which they take pride in running the ball and being big up front, yes they beat Alabama but so did Tennessee the and they didn’t get this much hype from it , with this logic I don’t understand why bama wouldn’t be a heavy favorite, deboer beat them in the playoffs with nowhere near the amount of talent that is on Alabama’s roster , I see Texas going 9-3 maybe 10-2

[@toddb5537]

And they actually lost a lot of their stars from last yr!!

[@andrewretherford8622]

I agree on Texas but Tennessee beat Bama and then was the #1 team in the country in the next days rankings

[@djbetts3079]

@@andrewretherford8622 I meant like the next season

[@andrewretherford8622]

@@djbetts3079 well in that case they also weren’t returning their QB. I’m sure if Hendon Hooker was able to come back they would’ve been getting gassed up. Also gotta take into account they’re pushing Texas hard cuz they’ve gotten out of their own way for the first time in awhile

[@djbetts3079]

@@andrewretherford8622 yes that’s understandable, but Texas losing two defensive superstars and one of the best receiver cores from last year, yes they got some good guys through the portal but who knows how that would translate, and yes I feel like Texas getting this much hype makes the sport a lot of money so i understand

[@neilvines8821]

Kirby says thank you for your service Josh.

[@The_Mediocre_Musician]

I would still pick Georgia to win the SEC but you are absolutely right about their schedule. It's brutal

[@ckbama17]

As a casual I’m surprised with the Ole Miss vs Texas matchup🤯… I’ll stick with Bama vs UGA for now.

[@steve3803]

Keep sleeping on Bama and Georgia Josh ! Roll Tide …

[@connorsmith7951]

I love how passionate Josh is about storm chasing

[@harrylegge4898]

We shall see, Receipts kept. Injuries will alter things in August, we see it every season. I’m beyond excited!

[@noahhubbard4066]

As an ole miss fan, thanks for the commentary Josh!

[@rickrhoden1]

Yes, miracles sometimes occur!😮

[@logancline7805]

Do we not remember what UGA did to ole miss last year? Rosters haven’t changed that much

[@carlchapman272]

Tuned in from Puerto Vallarta 🎉

[@JonathanRamsey87]

As a Ole Miss fan my whole life if I see us make the sec title game and make the final 4 in the playoff it will be a dream come true I’ll have tears of joy in my eyes and be so proud

[@aggresive_hef6103]

I need Josh to avoid storm chasing this is my only podcast I enjoy

[@ThBlkIbs1925]

Josh Playoff was way too neat, College Football is messy! And I love it. 😂

[@BrandonWilliams-gs4cs]

This has to be the boldest prediction of all time 💯 it's so crippling for him to pick Ga to win the Natty, let alone preseason. Ga is more than well equipped to handle its schedule and do it convincingly. As for Texas, i think they're going to really be humiliated in the SEC. And Ole Miss...smh... c'mon, really?

[@blaineteague6709]

i don’t know if i’m just missing something or am not educated, but why is texas being projected so high? ewers is good but far from elite, they’re losing two of the best receivers in cfb, and losing arguably the most important pieces of their defense. why are we just assuming that all of this is going to be resolved?

[@montana262]

You are so right about the state pride in Oklahomans. Everything here just ties together so nicely. Our chaotic weather is one thing, but it’s home. We love our college football, our OKC Thunder, our good ass food (shout out fried onion burgers), and the people here are mostly good people at heart. Haven’t seen the movie yet but I plan on doing so soon.

[@iWestOver7]

Please do More Pate State Reviews !!!

[@darthjoo8896]

My only question is about the math of Ole Miss and Texas getting to the SEC championship. If I’m wargaming this right, that means Georgia needs 2 losses, one of which is to either of those or both. If Georgia beats Ole Miss, that would need to be Ole Miss’s only loss and Georgia lose twice to other schools for Ole Miss to have tiebreakers over Georgia. The same is true for Texas. So, Georgia maybe loses to Texas and Alabama, beats Georgia, Ole Miss goes 11-1 with their only loss to Georgia, and Texas Beats Georgia and loses up to one other game (or a mirror of that where Texas is 11-1)? I just want to be clear on what has to happen.

[@RadicallyOptimistic]

Ole Miss vs Texas would be a travesty to the sport. We need UGA vs Bama. I’m an offensive guy but i want to see a stop once a half

[@natlovell122]

I haven’t heard many in the CFB domain question Texas’ defense for this upcoming year. I keep hearing they’re going to be able to win the SEC and natty, but no one had addressed how bad their secondary was last year and how they’re missing 2 key components in their D Line. I’m glad to hear you bring some of that up Josh. Great show!

[@RadicallyOptimistic]

Texas secondary is awful. They gonna be 2020 florida without Pitts. Which means no SEC title or final four

[@brockcastleberry1154]

Love the twister review! -Oklahomie

[@michaelroberts6534]

I’m an ole Miss fan but played with Miami in college football 25 on dynasty. Now I finally understand one of the biggest flaws Josh talked about the expanded playoffs. I played Florida state three times and I beat them by double digits until the playoff game and I lost. Beating a team three times is gonna be tough

[@willeodsson]

I see a clip of the SEC champ prediction coming to the Georgia locker room.

[@scottd1903]

If cam rising is half as good as we've been told he is, utah walks through the B12.

[@eltonalbert5714]

Week 1 Notre Dame vs A&M should be interesting

[@TheHunter3211]

my man needed them views badddddd

[@matthewreed3703]

Mike I’m in Lewis center and you stole my prediction!!!

[@fayjohnson4068]

Auto bids aren’t the best but it’s the only way to keep significant value in the conference championship games.

[@gregfaircloth6440]

Also 10-2 in the Big12 doesn’t come close to translating to SEC conference champions, not even top 5 imho, and I believe I am far from isolated in that thinking

[@andrewretherford8622]

FSU fan here. I can’t see the ACC getting two top 7 seeds. I think the loser of ACC champ game is out entirely if they’re not 11-2 or better + even at 11-2 they’re the 9 or 10 seed

[@BradTheBard]

Josh we’ve seen what HardRock can be when Miami is winning and in the national conversation, 2017 games at home against Virginia Tech and Notre Dame were ELECTRIC

[@johnlee7085]

JP - Have ever heard or talked to players about the turf at the home stadium playing a factor in where they choose to go to school/play football? I first heard of something along these lines in my youth when Andre Dawson chose to play his last years of baseball in Chicago because of the grass turf at Wrigley Field. This spring, I heard the Kelce’s speak about it on their New Heights podcast. We’re now hearing about it from KU players because they get to play at arrowhead. Some have bemoaned not having games on campus, and I agree with you and others that campus games are part of what makes cfb great, but I think arrowhead is an advantage for KU players this fall. Tbs, wondering if it makes a difference in recruiting.

[@andrewcrump5954]

Texas winning the SEC and Miami getting to the ACC title game is wild

[@RickAg29]

I just forwarded this video to Kirby Smart. Josh, as a Georgia fan, I thank you for the misguided disrespect. Go Dawgs!

[@JamesBondsLittleFinger]

Pate State is the Gonzaga of college football!

[@augabachoo]

Go Pokes, Big 12 Championship and beyond! Will always like and comment anytime you talk about the pokes. (And share of course). Still waiting for Gundy to reach out for an interview. 😜

[@kyletrammell7308]

Liked how they referenced El Reno in Twisters. Home of the 3 mile monster.

[@Phil-qt5gp]

I like your final four. Just glad we don’t have to see Iowa State or Iowa in the final four!

[@jacobringenwald]

The original Twister was my parents first date, so I'm glad the sequel is doing so well since I owe that movie my life, kind of

[@mimixownzall]

That's quite the 'twisted' story... I'm here all day.

[@alexzarbock2239]

Man, Utah nowhere to be found at all. You ALWAYS seem to underestimate Kyle and his program

[@Романо-ж2ь]

Haha, let him! Utes always prove the media wrong! Uncle Lou is way better at analysis and predictions than Pate anyway. He makes these sort of predictions, and then will hide behind the, “it wasn’t me, it was the computer” when he’s wrong. This is what Utah does year-in-year-out. Go Utes!!

[@thegardenhutch5833]

Love Pate State and have completed recruiting my 5 for the year. Predicting football is impossible so you might as well have fun with it. My guess is Josh doesn’t necessarily believe some of these picks but does it for buzz

[@zanep67]

I’m betting LSU makes the playoffs, their D will be much improved, the offense will still be top 10-15 and their schedule is workable. 🐅

[@taylorfleming2613]

Honestly specifically searched the video for Josh’s Twisters review

[@jackheffernan7329]

Love the show

[@ronniebarker2116]

Love the show huge fan from Tokyo

[@drewby_dooby_doo]

I fully expect Texas to have a better WR unit top to bottom than last year. Ryan Wingo in particular is gonna open some eyes.

[@lucastucker1979]

I pretty much agree fully with your Twisters review. Pretty great, very enjoyable - missing a couple key elements to be on par with the original. Nobody on the level of Dusty as a supporting character and I'll say it, criminal not to have any reference to Jo Harding. Appreciated Bill Paxton's son getting a cameo at least.

[@xuexxiong]

I think UGA vs Oklahoma is possible

[@vertimusmaximus3095]

Auburn has the best back field in the SEC and an underrated runner at QB. Hard not to mention them.

[@johnlee7085]

I loath the thought of Liberty making the playoffs regardless of the matchup against Oregon. I actually loath any g5 making the playoffs without playing multiple p4.

[@SchoonerOffRoad]

I love how everyone gives OU no chance, but everyone always highlights the OU vs TX game while talking about TX’s schedule. It’s usually the only game that is highlighted. What does that tell you? 🤔

[@jonathancastro7355]

Because it’s a rivalry game…. Anything can happen during a rivalry game. You should probably know this by now…

[@ninefingerjack]

That rivalry games don't play by the rules?

[@Drew-dy4hc]

We don't care about that game.

[@user-tz2zz5ij1s]

It’s arguably 1 of 3 games Texas could lose. If they are remotely as good as everyone is thinking they are, they should roll through the other games. Arkansas, Kentucky, Vandy, Florida, and Miss State don’t scream of being threats. OU has to go on the road to Auburn, Ole Miss, LSU, and Mizzu. They also have Alabama on their schedule. OU has a considerably harder schedule than Texas.

[@SchoonerOffRoad]

@@Drew-dy4hc lol really? So, why is it that every year win or lose that game, it is always the game that is brought up? Seems like it’s the only game on the schedule that people worry about. If TX would have won the natty last year, all you would have hear is “they didn’t beat OU”. Herman finally got a 10 win season and everyone was behind the guy……except he lost to OU and guess what happened to him? FIRED, might be the word you are looking for….. does everyone care about that game over all the other games, anyone with any sense would say, most definitely. Have a nice day.

[@givemeabreakdoc]

Michigan fans should just accept the fact that 9-3 is the best they can do this year.

[@GPrice-mg8mi]

Didn’t even have Colorado in the Big 12 standing. Egregious.

[@boully1381]

Texas winning the SEC year 1 would be wild.

[@CDSparks]

@LateKickwithJoshPate do you have the coordinates of the location you visited that the movie filmed at?

[@literally_carl]

There was a little reference to the original twister in the beginning when the capsules were named Dorothy. I kinda like how it was independent bc they could’ve severely messed it up. I agree with you though it was an awesome movie

[@jasonarreguin5315]

Watch the ADS people that’s how we keep things free around here

[@chadrach15]

I was hoping my bold prediction would get on the show, but I still loved every bit of it. Thanks, Josh!

[@forrestkers5897]

Could not agree more with you on the issues with the score. The dread and ominous music every time a tornado was approaching/forming in the first movie was so scary (Bob’s Road), but in this one, it felt like I was watching a “Beef, It’s What’s for Dinner” commercial.

[@emtae65]

TWISTURDS! The fast and furious of Tornadoe movies...i lived in Texas, Mobilehoma. And now Kansass... i cannot watch.... the first one was almost spot on... AND i lived in Wakita, Brokelahoma i was also near the Andover Kansas tornado in 91 and 22...the power of these is absolutely unfking reall. f5 can remove a concrete street!! To the dirt....love your stuff pate

[@stephenboren4207]

Hey Josh Arkansas plays Oklahoma state week 2 just in case you forgot. Since you felt the need to mention that they play west Virginia maybe you could mention Arkansas

[@dcooper91g]

Don’t forget the Vols far as good running teams this year. Heupels offense thrives off the run, their O line is VERY experienced except for Heard (he is a sophomore but was a 5 start when he went to LSU) and they have Cam Seldon and Dylan Sampson to carry it along with Nico being good on his feet!

[@jbanz2462]

Not mentioning Boise state for most lethal run games is wild. Just because they’re GO5 doesn’t mean we don’t have elite running backs and o line play

[@Christopheren]

Texas has a easy schedule for year one in the sec

[@davidlamb12345]

Average SEC schedule FPI against (SoS) - Texas is one of the easiest. 13.5 OU 14.6 Miss State 15.8 Vandy 16.6 Arkansas 17.4 Florida 19.4 Georgia 21.1 Alabama 22.0 SoCar 22.1 Kentucky 23.9 TAMU 24.0 Auburn 25.3 Ole Miss 27.0 LSU 29.6 Tennessee 30.8 Texas 31.0 Mizzou

[@user-tz2zz5ij1s]

Their schedule is a cheat code to the SEC championship game.

[@johnlee7085]

Love that you made some distinction between strength of roster and strength of schedule. I would suggest to you that OSU and ISU both have harder schedules (8&10) than the other Big12 contenders. Only WVU (14) has a tougher schedule amongst contenders. Toughness of schedule determined by adding the place in the preseason ranking of the opponents on each schedule. Highest score is easiest. That’s KU, Arizona, kstate, Utah easiest to tougher. Btw, Colorado has the toughest, though PT will be roasted by the “you are what your record says you are” crowd.

[@johnlee7085]

Gave you my reasoning but forgot my prediction: KU vs kstate I don’t believe the Arizona hype. They kept their two best players but portaling was a net loss on top of the coaching change. Tbs, week 3 is a huge nonconference barometer for the “wildcats”.

[@bentheo]

Why did you leave out the Big 12 runner up? Iowa State, K State, Texas Tech and many other Big 12 teams have harder strength of schedule than Miami, the ACC runner up, Notre Dame and Penn State who are making it instead?

[@jefftee0421]

Texas A&M and Missouri have the easiest schedules in the SEC. Might be worth a few bucks on futures for both to win the conf with the slate UGA has. Tennessee could also come out of there if Nico lives up to the hype.

[@johnadkinson7377]

For all that is good, JP as any self respecting Georgian would do, get rid of that orange. Please sir. Also Go Dawgs

[@ca1putt]

1:06:19 I’m pretty sure my aunt and Cousins make up about half the population of Fairview, OK 😂

[@iamjacquesbarjon]

2:43 Big 10 Conference Prediction 4:46 SEC Conference Prediction 7:55 ACC Conference Prediction 10:48 Big 12 Conference Prediction 15:15 Pate State Freights 17:02 Week 1 Upsets 23:10 Commercial Break: Academy 24:45 CFP Playoff Prediction 34:56 Subscribe to the podcast 36:10 What If: Payton Thorne 38:43 What If: USC DC 40:36 What If: Miami 44:07 Will Quin Ewers be an elite quarterback? 46:56 Who will have the best rushing attack in the country? 51:19 Bold Predictions 57:25 Commercial Break: Fanduel 58:25 Twister Review

[@RadicallyOptimistic]

Movie of the year!!

[@nathansummerville3972]

How is a 8-4/9-3 Texas team making the championship game? A&M is going to completely eliminate them from any chance at the end of the season.

[@jordash325]

@38:48 D'Anton Lynn turning around USC's offense???

[@johnlee7085]

What’s the chances of Manning starting by the end of the season? Same for Sayin at tOSU.

[@8milliondollarman620]

What is the original twisters sound track rated?

[@Splash14756]

Interesting.. so with Texas and Ole Miss in the sec championship are you implying they both beat UGA? Assuming you’re saying Bama beats Georgia and then one of those teams also beats Georgia.. that seems like it could be stretch. Line of thinking is UGA has to lose 2 sec games. Have a hard time seeing them going 1-2 against those 3 but whomst knows!!

[@Whocares77-f4t]

Drinking a gallon of water a day or even half a gallon depending on your weight, is super healthy love to see that at 25:20

[@scottyclayton2501]

I have always had the belief that a conference title loss shouldn’t count on your resume. You get hurt because you were good enough to play an extra game against an elite team and lost. I think 2022 USC should have been in the playoff

[@SuthrnRed]

Cant wait to beat UGA again. They have such short term memories 😂 ROLL TIDE 💪🔥🐘

[@scottd1903]

What if will Howard is worse than mccord? Is ohio state's defense good enough to carry them past oregon (away), penn state (away), and Michigan? last year with mccord and an elite defense (2nd best in the country), they barely beat ND (took the final play against 10 defenders), struggled against psu and Rutgers, and lost to michigan.

[@joelrusche7294]

As a Georgia fan/alum I have to agree with Roman. At worst the UGA OL and DL will be stalemate against anyone, comes down to O coordinator in my mind. Dawgs should be in the mix all the way to the end, just have to wait and see. Ole Miss makes the champ game if UGA loses twice and one of those losses is to Ole Miss.

[@RadicallyOptimistic]

Texas has literally zero secondary dude. They will give up 35+ to every great offense assuming the opponent doesn’t go conservative in the second half because they’re up so much. And all or most of those linemen are gone. How will they get pressure on Carson Beck? Or they make the playoff just to get lit up by DG and Oregon’s receivers

[@braxtonmoore5077]

You should do some research on Texas defense because they will be better than last year

[@RadicallyOptimistic]

They were horrific last year. How much better we talking? The lost some linemen and that was their strength. Kirby Smart and Dan Lanning will have top 15 defenses with Texas-caliber offenses. Y’all have no chance. I just call it how I see it

[@Trx363R]

The grain silos and run down gas station is right by the gloss mountains and my favorite spot in Oklahoma the little Sahara sand dunes.

[@SWANNwillSUFFICE]

I’m genuinely curious as to what happened in Josh’s fantasy season. Like, how did Ole Miss get in? Assuming they beat UGA? Guess that means UGA beat Bama? But Bama wins out? Or no? Texas went undefeated?

[@HYTYDfishing]

Texas running the table in the SEC is a 13.5 on the boldness scale

[@edfleck8626]

I want to say @LateKickwithJoshPate is out of his mind for saying Michigan could lose to Fresno State….Unfortunately as a life long Michigan fan #5 Michigan losing to Appalachian State at the big house in 2007 is forever scared into my memory so yea…Anything is possible.

[@SuggieBear]

Not only will she become a better football fan, she will become a better person.

[@bobbyarrington5993]

Casual Question. Is there a outside chance James Franklin gets hired as the next Florida head coach?

[@shaylaknowlton9711]

We need to understand theres a big difference between bold prediction and just flat trolling 🤣

[@tnjrcfl1]

That pate state was UT with drunk goggles 😆