Now that Oxy dropped to $50, I took a deeper look into the business. It has offloaded low-margin assets in favor of high margin assets in the Permian which had decades of reserves. Its per barrel operating costs are $36 which is among the best in the region meaning it can remain profitable even with a substantial drop in oil prices. It is currently the most efficient producer in the Permian. With Oxy securing decades of reserves, Oxy is moving away from expensive exploration and wants to return maximum value to shareholders. This business has very little downside trading at what appears to be a discount. Oddly enough, my fair value was also exactly $86/share. Currently that would be a 60% margin of safety. The last time I felt this comfortable about a stock was $Meta
@TheSecurityILikeBest5 ай бұрын
This has to be one of your best videos yet. Well done. Would love to see more like this.
@sanchayjaveria2 ай бұрын
I was not expecting a KZbin stock analysis to be this good. Great breakdown, Jimmy.
@jesse_on_youtube15 ай бұрын
I bought it back in 2020 at $10. Welcome to the club!
@Dank_Matmo5 ай бұрын
Incredible. Congrats bro that was an amazing call
@jollygreen46625 ай бұрын
If u didn't sell, congrats
@Miti13 ай бұрын
and sold @12$? :)
@vitorvitor43515 ай бұрын
Hi Jimmy! Did not expected a video on Oxy, fantastic. I bought Oxy in 2020 on all the fuzz of crash and that oil will be over etc, and oxy was a dead company.. I saw the oppurtunity. bought at 13 dollars per share. And i'm thinking on buying more. Thanks
@LearntoInvest5 ай бұрын
Looks like a great move
@markedwards8375 ай бұрын
Thank-you Jimmy!!! Great analysis!! I own a little bit at $56.00 and I am waiting to buy some more shares.
@Ferneric4 ай бұрын
Great video. Really like how in depth you looked at their different acquisitions
@alphaSiiX4 ай бұрын
I love the FULL explanation of OXY. I have been looking at them vs CVX and XOM to diversify. Thank you.
@borisp94994 ай бұрын
I am still wary of the CrownRocks acquisition. If it was such a good deal, why wasn't it competitive and bid up higher? Generally the seller wants full value, so unless there is some extenuating circumstance, why did CrownRocks sold so cheap? What is the risk in the CrownRocks acreage?
@1Akanan1Ай бұрын
Did you add any under 50$?
@cirodirosa67525 ай бұрын
Folks, The cost of oil may go down a bit. But, the USD is getting weaker... it's a must commodity and an inflation hedge for Buffet
@asdf1234112883 ай бұрын
My take too. A Creative inflation hedge by Buff
@hernstv5 ай бұрын
im holding OXY since Warren started buying. My average $56.91
@EllifiknowАй бұрын
It's $50 now. Never brag about what you pay for a stock. You never know when the price is going to drop and make your statement look silly.
@michele56954 күн бұрын
Stock is in the shitter
@chimanchiang2042 ай бұрын
Great video, now at 54$, can you create one more on oxy? I subscribed and liked!!
@alstonian783 ай бұрын
Are you still recommend owning this stock today its 53.60 per share and still going down.
@daniell6303Ай бұрын
prices move every day, fundamentals don't.
@faisalmithawala6245 ай бұрын
@LearntoInvest Hi Jimmy - What is the difference between the two tiers of subscription on your website? Seems like it's the same for majority of benefits except exclusive chat rooms. Are those chat rooms directly with you?
@LearntoInvest5 ай бұрын
The tiers are mostly the same. There is a bunch of us in the community, although you can send me direct messages if you want a specific question answered. but so many people in the community are so helpful and knowledgeable. And for some deeper discussions, many times I’ll talk through them on the livestreams we do each week. 👍😀
@sheanathan35665 ай бұрын
That was an amazing analysis I learned so much Thanks
@soenaing200418 күн бұрын
How about now? at 48.65?
@user-ty2uz4gb7v9 күн бұрын
Same price it was in 2007
@michele56954 күн бұрын
While every other stock has been at all time highs, Oxy is in the shitter.
@GaryFabian5 ай бұрын
why doesn't OXY hedge the price of oil with futures contracts to prevent being at risk to the flucuation in oil prices then?
@QuotidienFinancier3 ай бұрын
they do it to some extent, like any airline or oil companies
@jollygreen46625 ай бұрын
Under 50$ is a buy. Not it's just high. And in oxy record. Heigh is average. 100$ and 50-70 is Average for the recent decade
@qtoeup5 ай бұрын
Buffet also bought NU bank that in Brazil. That may be a good value.
@Djjsndnndnnzjjs5 ай бұрын
Given that the RU-UA peace talks are likable after Trump gets the office, we can see oil going down in the next 2 years. Also Israel should end the military campaign at some point in a year or so. Buffet can dump it any time and small investors may be busted. I believe the entry point shouldn’t be higher than $53
@mbnesbitt5 ай бұрын
Invest in the financial markets before retiring by diversifying across assets, allocating a small portion of your portfolio, staying updated on market trends, and considering long-term holding to balance risk and growth..
@hamzahamza-bz3rf5 ай бұрын
I feel sympathy for our country, low income people are now suffering to survive yet inflation and recession keep increasing daily, many families can't even enhance the good cost of living anymore. You've helped me a lot Sir Brian! Imagine I invested $50,000 and received $190,500 after 14 days
@vanillatgif5 ай бұрын
Very possible! especially at this moment. Profits can be made in many different ways, but such intricate transactions should only be handled by seasoned market professionals.
@icucmerc5 ай бұрын
Brian demonstrates an excellent understanding of market trends, making well informed decisions that leads to consistent profit
@mfmcintyre5 ай бұрын
Yes! I'm celebrating £32K stock portfolio today... Started this journey with £3K.... I've invested no time and also with the right terms, now I have time for my family and life ahead of me.
@amytuttle16215 ай бұрын
nice! once you hit a big milestone, the next comes easier. How can i reach him, if you don't mind me asking?
@roberttaylor35945 ай бұрын
I was looking at this when it was ~$20...insert sad face here...
@MrMountain7072 ай бұрын
its okay. Nvidia went up way more
@camposcine25355 ай бұрын
Why is Oxy going down ??
@dreamrealize6425 ай бұрын
Jimmy, don’t you think Shell is more undervalued than OXY?
@1Akanan1Ай бұрын
Shell is European, they went full woke likes its peers. Massive investments in renewable R&D, it doesn't pay off. Stick to NA businesses for Oil
@cassiusbraganza46584 ай бұрын
great video!
@vadermike77724 ай бұрын
Fabulous video.
@zizu89885 ай бұрын
Btg from valuation point of view looks better- its gold mining though
@kokwahtan85774 ай бұрын
I really don't understand, the dividen is 1.53% ...??!!! Why n How it is a good investment??? U don't need a finance degree, for 1.53%.
@maxjames000773 ай бұрын
buybacks are 5-7%? you have to add those.
@MrKT4103 ай бұрын
Currently aggressively paying off debt due to 2 decent acquisitions. Once they pay down debt sufficiently, the plan is to return cash to shareholders in form of buybacks and dividends.
@michele56954 күн бұрын
They don't care about shareholders, unless they are named Warren Buffett
@strikerjasma685 ай бұрын
How much would dillution affect the price?
@AmandaBrookes09085 ай бұрын
All the best and good video. In my opinion it is still a good time to invest in different stocks like gold, silver and digital currencies. This is one of the most important skills to learn and everyone should invest instead of saving. Some may agree, some may disagree. My big compliments to Natalie Rose Strayer for improving my portfolio!!....
@DaveCulbertson5 ай бұрын
The very first time we tried, we invested $2000 and after a week, we received $9500. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills.
@Nguyenvictory835 ай бұрын
Natalie Strayer has really set the standard for others to follow, we love her here in Canada 🇨🇦 as she has been really helpful and changed lots of life's
@AmandaBrookes09085 ай бұрын
She's always active on Whats~App...
@AmandaBrookes09085 ай бұрын
+197
@AmandaBrookes09085 ай бұрын
8960
@chrisgomez19953 ай бұрын
and why now it falls so dramatically?
@Lerppunen2 ай бұрын
Because the price of oil fell lol.
@nnnooo5553 ай бұрын
Good video
@cesarsanchez96975 ай бұрын
I think I’m late to the party. I think if oil prices fall then I can consider buying some shares.
@michele56954 күн бұрын
Before she became CEO, the stock was usually upper 70s
@bradbrown28305 ай бұрын
Trump has stated that he wanted to drill more oil which would increase the supply of oil driving prices down. Could also mean that OXY takes a large market share of that and can profit off volume but I suppose we'll see. Certainly interesting to see lol.
@prophetseven7285 ай бұрын
Kinda what Im thinking. Trump going to get the prices lower. But to do that, he has to let Americans able to Drill more Oil. Does OXY make more or less in this case?
@bradbrown28305 ай бұрын
@@prophetseven728 Yeah that’s what I’m wondering! I’m not certain and I can see both outcomes haha, at a certain point if the company gets real cheap I think I’ll build a decent position.
@prophetseven7285 ай бұрын
@@bradbrown2830 No way to really tell. It all a guess. Good Luck.
@chewie13555 ай бұрын
I bought shares but I’m down
@oleksacrowley95804 ай бұрын
This margin of safety aged well.
@nonayabusiness6170Ай бұрын
Looking for it to dip under $50 😗
@kosukekoichi86663 ай бұрын
Those that bought are underwater.
@Lerppunen2 ай бұрын
Can’t judge a value play on short-term results.
@amanfromthewest73264 ай бұрын
😂I would look at the current situation and entire market, because there are 5000 puts on OXY as of today, before earnings
@rickgraham76415 ай бұрын
Hard pass, you're better off just buying BRK lol
@Hazel667815 ай бұрын
My buying prices are $58, $48, and $43.
@crohmer5 ай бұрын
k
@HaoChen-x4t4 ай бұрын
oxy price dropped to 56
@JohnsonFinn-r8j3 ай бұрын
Theodore Vista
@ramsaudio4 ай бұрын
Let's not forget that crude sold at -30 a barrel at some point in 2021 during covid. I am estimating a conservative 70. And the value will be with MORE EXPLORATION from the acquisition, rather than banking on current metrics.
@EllifiknowАй бұрын
Is he buying because it's a good business, or to ease his woke conscience?
@pivjohnson75595 ай бұрын
First
@justanopinion-ub9pp4 ай бұрын
This stock is so boring.. stay with technology stocks. I'm trapped in this stock and can't bail until the dam thing goes back up to $65..