Monte Carlo Simulation in Excel - Capital Budgeting

  Рет қаралды 9,429

Ronald Moy, Ph.D., CFA, CFP

Ronald Moy, Ph.D., CFA, CFP

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 10
@roberthuff3122
@roberthuff3122 10 ай бұрын
Thank you. I suggest that the more significant benefit would arise from simulating the interaction of several distributions rather than simulating a single distribution, which inherently gravitates towards the mean by definition.
@DenizDales
@DenizDales 9 ай бұрын
Thank you for taking the time to explain this Dr. Moy
@jaccoprins5753
@jaccoprins5753 Жыл бұрын
I see that you add c5 to the npv but it should be c4, as that is the project cost instead of the yearly cashflow.
@joshpeters813
@joshpeters813 Жыл бұрын
This was really good..great job Dr. Ronald Moy. I enjoyed this.
@whopperd
@whopperd Жыл бұрын
Hi thanks for the video. I am just curious how do you determine the standard deviation for the assumptions?
@RonaldMoy
@RonaldMoy Жыл бұрын
If you have some historical data, you can estimate the standard deviation and use that.
@roberthuff3122
@roberthuff3122 10 ай бұрын
🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation: 00:00 🤖 *Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulation in Excel for Capital Budgeting* - Understanding Monte Carlo Simulation for handling uncertainty in capital budgeting. 01:09 📈 *Normal Distribution and Cash Flow Variability* - Explaining the properties of a normal distribution and how cash flows can vary. 03:12 📊 *Traditional NPV and IRR Calculation* - Demonstrating the standard NPV and IRR calculation methods for capital budgeting. 05:36 🎲 *Setting Up Monte Carlo Simulation* - Using the NORM.INV function and random probabilities to simulate variable cash flows. 07:00 📉 *Monte Carlo NPV Calculation* - Calculating NPV using the Monte Carlo simulation approach. 08:18 📈 *Monte Carlo IRR Calculation* - Calculating IRR using the Monte Carlo simulation approach. 09:46 🔄 *Replicating Monte Carlo Simulations* - Setting up multiple replications of the Monte Carlo simulation. 11:11 📈 *Analyzing Simulation Results* - Calculating mean, median, maximum, and minimum values to assess project risk. 14:35 🔄 *Changing Standard Deviation* - Illustrating the impact of changing the standard deviation on simulation results. Made with HARPA AI
@adistynurulfadillah8557
@adistynurulfadillah8557 6 ай бұрын
kak cara hitung expected returnnya gmn?
@aimeebrown7647
@aimeebrown7647 2 жыл бұрын
very informative thank you!
@binoythomas8229
@binoythomas8229 2 жыл бұрын
thank you
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