Session 6B: Monte Carlo Simulations in Finance & Investing

  Рет қаралды 54,791

Aswath Damodaran

Aswath Damodaran

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 28
@chocolatemodelsofficial5859
@chocolatemodelsofficial5859 Ай бұрын
He said "Look into the abyss it might not be as dark and dangerous as you think it is". What an awesome way to end a great lecture. I'm gonna post those words on my wall tonite!
@chetangk5799
@chetangk5799 3 жыл бұрын
Crisp and clear delivery! This series is really awesome. No words to explain my joy..
@MrBumbo90
@MrBumbo90 3 жыл бұрын
I am so proud to have finished this course. I love your videos prof. I have so far done the accounting course and this one. Moving on to finance after reviewing all my notes.
@titodlt25
@titodlt25 2 жыл бұрын
You're a Genius. Bought your book today after watching this video!
@Prasadavajjhala
@Prasadavajjhala 3 жыл бұрын
Prof Damodaran, Thank you so much for this series, it has been extremely beneficial. The clarity of explanations and in bite chunks was perfect, as was your reference list. I am going to do your valuation series next. Receiving lectures from someone with your reputation and caliber is an incredible opportunity. As an idea and subject to demand, would you consider a workshop or series for future Phd (finance) students or people outside academia who want to learn how to publish finance papers in peer reviewed journals. Thank you so much your content on youtube. 🙏
@royb9113
@royb9113 8 ай бұрын
Thanks! Your courses are so valuable. I really appreciate what you do. You have changed my outlook on stocks and the proper education required to become truly successful.
@nicolaguida5612
@nicolaguida5612 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you Prof. Damodaran for sharing your wisdom! Referring to Apple, I would just add that, based on iPhone segment considerations, the analysis would have predicted the valuation range quite correctly. In 2016 it was probably not already possible (at least for everyone) to predict that Services would become such a significant part of revenues, and, most importantly, that it would sport a gross margin of 70%! which of course is raising the company gross margin by some points.
@dolevmazker736
@dolevmazker736 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much for this, just completed stat 02 and going to start econometrics in the next course of months. This was a great starter to understand the connection between statistics and economics in a group.
@desmondwong5851
@desmondwong5851 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks much this - super clear explanation of applying Monte Carlo simulations, helped me at work today!
@DaniloCosta01
@DaniloCosta01 2 жыл бұрын
What a great course! Thank you so much, professor! God bless you!
@arkabratapaul
@arkabratapaul 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing the knowledge with so much clearity.
@felixjoncar9614
@felixjoncar9614 3 жыл бұрын
Enlightening as always! Thank you professor damodaran
@Akerfeldt77
@Akerfeldt77 3 ай бұрын
Another Damodaran gem down, a few more to go before starting my MBA in January. What a goldmine to have discovered. *Sidenote* The alien landing took place around 18:58.
@mitulkotadia5969
@mitulkotadia5969 7 ай бұрын
Awesome 🙌 Thank you professor ! It is helpful.
@marsaetos9610
@marsaetos9610 2 жыл бұрын
Great coverage. Classic model.
@brainskull98
@brainskull98 3 жыл бұрын
Kinda amazing how Apple turned out closer to the best case scenario
@snehilmishra393
@snehilmishra393 2 жыл бұрын
Extremely helpful. Thank you professor.
@hamidjamshidi7846
@hamidjamshidi7846 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks a lot for your informing and amazing videos Professor
@fkolev7700
@fkolev7700 3 жыл бұрын
I wanted ask, at end the professor said, you can program correlation between the variables in the Monte Carlo Simulation (he gave an example of revenue growth and margins). Does that mean to construct a correlation matrix and use those weights?
@Guilherme-fd2bw
@Guilherme-fd2bw 3 жыл бұрын
You are amazing professor
@dleeuss1997
@dleeuss1997 Жыл бұрын
Professor, how did you get negative values for the lognormal distribution?
@Loi_VietViet
@Loi_VietViet 21 күн бұрын
Not that fast!!! Shouldn't the present value of the FCFFs be calculated at the cost of capital as derived????😇😇😇
@DevanshAsawa
@DevanshAsawa Жыл бұрын
cheers to the man !
@alstendsouza
@alstendsouza 3 жыл бұрын
Thank You Professor
@yknga
@yknga 3 жыл бұрын
As good as always
@jshellenberger7876
@jshellenberger7876 Ай бұрын
#POW
@StockSpotlightPodcast
@StockSpotlightPodcast 3 жыл бұрын
Now at $172 over 90th percentile haha
@taylorblack9038
@taylorblack9038 3 жыл бұрын
The prices shown in the video were pre split that happened in 2021 (4 - 1 split). That means adjusted for split the price would be $680 today ($170 x 4 shares). Far beyond even his 100 percentile estimation. As someone mentioned above, margins have been much higher on the services side and low interest rates have pushed valuation multiples up but return has been incredible since 2016 for Apple.
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