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Sometimes the most important realization you can make is calling out the things you don't know or you cannot predict. Recognizing when your data and signals are bad leads to being cautious and not being too aggressive betting on things you don't understand. My entire point of this video... is to advise caution. Many things are NOT what they seem based on traditional metrics.
YES... Inflation is coming and it's a real thing. All the central bank and government interventions has massively inflated the money supply. Yes... the US Dollar is very likely to eventually collapse via massive inflation. But there's a long road between here and there... Asset prices can easily swing up or down in many different asset classes on the way from here to a broken US Dollar.
So... as for me.... I'm staying liquid. If I invest in something it's short term while I have some signals that tell me it's direction over the next few weeks. And my investments will remain a small portion of my portfolio for some time. If a black swan event happens (which could happen ANY TIME right now) I don't want to have been too long in any investment.
On the complete opposite side... I do remain confident in my Magic the Gathering collection value. I don't know if the crazy spike of the last 6 months will keep going... but even if it does stop and contract a bit I definitely think the contraction will not be very deep. But again... my MTG investment is mostly holding cards I play with. I have no plans to dump my cards anyways if I forsee a drop coming because I didn't buy them for an investment (for the most part). That's kinda the point though... many people are in that boat and it's the very reason for strength against a market price retracement in original print old MTG cards.
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