Nassim Taleb on prediction, probability, and what Mandelbrot taught him about forecasting

[@josephnoelwalker]

This long clip contains the context for Nassim's comments on probability ("probability is a kernel"; "you can have negative probabilities") that caused a stir on Twitter. To appreciate his comments in context, watch this clip or-even better-read the transcript or his technical book, Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails.

[@behrad9712]

Brilliant talk thank you so much 🙏

[@mattsigl1426]

Love Taleb’s book anti-fragile, but I’ve always found him a difficult speaker.

[@trevmsmi]

Same, he reads superbly but not his speaking

[@naxim4778]

Please read his entire work before commenting BS, in Fooled By randomness he explains

[@Sam-bj6kb]

He's Lebanese so a native arabic speaker, his 2nd language is french and the third language is English. He's doing well imo

[@Andre_XX]

This is obviously very profound stuff. I only wish I understood it.

[@asknwclips7672]

don't worry, it is mostly bullsh^t, lol you don't hear the wallstreet legends speaking like this for a reason.

[@laurenth7187]

You need probabilities on something. Only talking about probabilities will give you no edge.

[@bhamers6019]

His comments on Napoleon were ignorant

[@user-CIGAxScape]

... it's obvious .