Nate Silver Vs Allan Lichtman In U.S Elections | Whose Prediction Will Come True? Trump Or Kamala?

[@tp958]

Alan Lichtman's problem was that he was way too biased this time around. Because if you go over his keys they are actually correct, but they pointed at Trump

[@wellingtonmphande5114]

Profound truth

[@OO-Enterprises]

I agree it was clear that he wanted Harris to win and that desire made him want to believe that the data was pointing to a Harris win.

[@markd7280]

He was paid of you dimwit. Just say the truth. Democrats have a hard time with that.

[@jamesstewart8377]

But when he hears that he says you are reading the keys wrong. So if he created the keys it’s his interpretation that matters. He’s saying Trump doesn’t win the keys. Period. His keys don’t work the way he created them.

[@broadstreet21]

What keys pointed at Trump? Besides, in 2016, he took a lot of heat for sticking by Trump winning, against his own desire.

[@StrayTato]

Congratulations Nate Silver!

[@franklam2248]

ALLAN LICHTMAN, YOU ARE FIRED!!

[@israelshallbefree]

he's now with CNN or MSNBC to make more false predictions ....

[@ajax4887]

Stop using his dumb catchphrase

[@Alyssavideo]

@@ajax4887 ajax4887, YOU ARE FIRED!!

[@ajax4887]

@@Alyssavideo You are brainwashed. The producers made up that phrase for him and presented him as a great businessman even though they knew he wasn't

[@JohnSmith-ki2hl]

@@Alyssavideo I agree; Ajax - you are fired. Kamala you are fired

[@dominican7155]

Who’s here after the election? 😂

[@RUHappyATM]

🤣🤣🤣

[@keeveli9989]

The keys are alright, but the answers to the keys were affected by Allan's personal bias to the Dems, which caused the outcome to be erroneous.

[@wellingtonmphande5114]

Very true,Allan had so much hate towards Trump rather than being neutral when making prediction

[@JosephR24]

Yep I listened to this clown early on and made the same observation.

[@GeoRedtick]

Yep. I can not fathom how he have some of those keys to Harris. I looked at the keys and they greatly favored Trump.

[@endtimes-myprayersforheave2066]

Did she win Allan????

[@Military-mindset]

I'm glad I wasn't the only one who came back for the flush

[@smileandlaughs]

They changed the locks, his keys don't work.

[@patriciapearl2529]

He’s trying to play it off acting all nonchalant on KZbin lmao!

[@JohnSmith-ki2hl]

@@patriciapearl2529 Lichtman is completely discredited as an untrustworthy partisan hack

[@leedex]

He blamed racism. Not his keys 😂

[@Bhav29]

Litchman has lost his mind. If such people teach at universities, no wonder we have bunch of lads pass out who are good for nothing. I can see hate in litchman predictions

[@vbrotherita]

This. He was biased and full of smug, deserving this bath of humility.

[@ramonanin3018]

What's now the face of allan lichtman whose prediction was USELESS/NON-SENSE!!!!

[@trailguy]

lol yep. I’m waiting for the excuses and the amendments, possibly a couple of new”keys”

[@michaelholman517minKC]

@@trailguy His keys were good. The problem is, he was putting subjective data into his own objective keys. He inserted his own bias for wanting Kamala Harris, and now he has tremendous egg on his face.

[@truckinprepper8743]

Cookie system works better😅

[@michaelholman517minKC]

I agree with Silver. I think Lichtman’s method is solid, but I don’t think he has accurately evaluated his own keys. I see six of the 13 keys that go against Harris, and that doesn’t even touch the economic keys. Trump should win.

[@peacehappyb237]

I saw 6 for Trump. His method works but he was very biased this time around.

[@michaelholman517minKC]

@ Exactly. I didn’t look at the ones that were for Trump. Just the ones that were against Harris. Although, I guess that could be the same thing. But needless to say, he allowed his bias to insert subjective data into his objective system, and that’s why it was skewed so poorly towards Harris…

[@tp958]

Yes, this is exactly what I said. I agree with this. ​@@peacehappyb237

[@ym5891]

@@michaelholman517minKC You can easily tell in one of his other interviews; His language clearly shows his bias for Kamala. ("She'll be the first woman president with a mixed background heritage!") I tend to agree with you that the method doesn't necessarily have to be wrong, he just saw what he wanted to see.

[@ronocf8290]

Trump didn’t need that fools keys to pick the lock 😂😂😂

[@aarons.7271]

Simple. Lichtman went with feelings, Silver stuck with facts. Lichtman is equivalent to an OpEd writer. Silver is a financial reporter.

[@timexyemerald6290]

This election made it clear that 2020 election was rigged 😅. Where are those 15 million votes go??. Did they suddenly disapear into thin air😅

[@JusticeForTheDead]

That is the dumbest thing I've heard today! If they could have stolen 2020 and kept any real evidence from Trump's failed lawyers, they would steal it again and again - Trump lost in 2020, and he was saying 2024 was stolen for months - but when he wins, wow, the fat mouthed jackass shuts up about it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! SHOCKED! LOL

[@broadstreet21]

It's plausible. But Trump also took two million fewer votes than he did in 2020.

[@KarenMacHugh-qc4ej]

Commendations to Nate Silver! ⭐⭐⭐⭐

[@mpl62189]

I would think you could pick up Lichtman's book "predicting the new president" at any Goodwill Store 25 cent bargain bin.

[@michaelkolacz4449]

Let's get both of these experts to discuss the election results on Wednesday.

[@carlosnorris352]

Allan Lichtman had a sweet spot for her cackles. Couldn’t be objective this time. Happens!

[@socialreport2836]

"Gut feeling" isn't a science. In that sense Lichtman is more right.

[@israelshallbefree]

we'll see ...

[@spacealiens00]

Doomed if he's right.

[@jamrodgers121]

Well this is one statistic even more accurate than Lichman's keys. When direction of country is >20 for wrong direction than incumbent party loses every time. When direction of country is

[@memesx3586]

@@spacealiens00why? You want the US to have a felon for president?

[@KevinEskoloso-zk2bj]

😂cry onlyfans babies trump won

[@shellbacksclub]

Lichtman turned most of the keys in the wrong direction! He has no idea what's coming for his prediction tomorrow!

[@WilliamJLynch-bn5fs]

That's the truth. He is being paid to predict Harris, and it's obvious.

[@jamrodgers121]

On top of that there is a poll that has been a 100% indicator who has was gonna win or not. When the direction of country is greater than -20 the incumbent party always loses. When the direction of country is less than -15 the incumbent party always wins. Right now the direction of country is -36. You do the math of who should win based on that. BTW this has been a thing since the 1980 election

[@foakjljrwajkltawtrawtwa441]

​@@borushiki6722 I mean Lichtman invented the fancy way of guessing

[@Sleepylevi]

​@@WilliamJLynch-bn5fs Why would he put his reputation on the line after so many correct predictions. That's just plain idiocu

[@trailguy]

@@foakjljrwajkltawtrawtwa441 maybe the inflation has got him is a financial bind

[@erenjeager9442]

Nate Silver is 5% right, while Allen Litchman 95% well see.

[@israelshallbefree]

we'll see ...

[@chrisulmer694]

Silver is a joke. Lichtman is a boss. It’s like comparing the Detroit Red Wings to little Joey’s pee wee hockey team. Nate Silver doesn’t even belong on tv or in the media.

[@chrisulmer694]

@ *FREE PALESTINE 🇵🇸✊*

[@chrisulmer694]

@@israelshallbefree *Free Israel of what?*

[@WorldPeace-xyz]

​@@chrisulmer694... palestinian squatters !!!

[@tygaz3061]

You're wrong wrong!!!! Nobody will ever believe you ever ever!!!

[@JohnnyDouchbag-nr5yf]

Too much hair dye has poisoned his brain!!

[@gracelife6551]

😂😂😂😂

[@Lordmaster316]

His keys is right for the other candidate Not harris

[@i_am_elle_gee6917]

What now, Lichtman? Why don't you throw away your rusty keys, and while you're at it, you might also want to change your hair dye.

[@mac888spectral7]

Professor Lichtman doesn't change his mind with the wind like Nate, and always seems substantially more confident while being humble enough to admit he could be wrong.

[@israelshallbefree]

he's wrong.

[@hebronharvester1487]

He's also very, very biased.

[@Bhav29]

He's not a fng god. If he knows who's going to win, we shouldn't go to election but just declare results based on his keys. Ask him tomout his keys in his.......

[@ToMaSsS10]

yiiiiikes

[@joker-oq8ev]

9 out of 10 predictions with concrete analysis is not bad at all,

[@KevinEskoloso-zk2bj]

Until now😂😂😂

[@aaront936]

He missed 3 of the last 10

[@kimferzoco6755]

@@aaront936ugh I don’t think that’s correct … he missed this one and the 2000 vote, which was honestly basically a tie.

[@swag9894]

@@kimferzoco6755 He has has flip flopped on if he means it's about outcome or who wins the popular vote. He was wrong about 2016 because it wasn't the popular vote or he was wrong in 2000 because of the outcome.

[@stickedice1979]

​@@kimferzoco6755he did say that his model predicts the popular vote inorder to justify his loss in 2000 but he then changed it to mean that it predicts the president in 2016 since Trump still won without the popular vote. The only elections he gets right are the obvious ones.

[@4gegtyreeyuyeddffvyt]

The 13 keys to getting it wrong! Dead damn wrong!!!!! 😂😂😂😂

[@Kashim_fridayreview_News]

I'm very agree with the Professor Allan Lichtman Ms Kamala Harish will be the next President of United States of America🇺🇸❤

[@gorilla_man539]

Hahaha that's right your LAUGHING DONKEY WOMAN LOSS lol

[@Slipnslide222]

What's that???-LMFAO!🤣🤣🤣🤣

[@mookiewilson4166]

@@Kashim_fridayreview_News Oof!

[@stickedice1979]

Lol

[@fmliberatore599]

Alright Allan we got this!

[@stickedice1979]

Bummer for you. Great time for me. 😂

[@aaronwin33]

Fun fact: the Vegas betting odds has correctly predicted 14 of the last 15 presidential elections. Just follow the betting odds to see who will win

[@malanihunter3377]

Hey Alan, this is what happened when you put Faith on yourself rather than GOD.

[@NikhileshSurve]

In 2016 Nate Silver was Nate Bronze In 2024 he's Nate Gold with a better prediction than most

[@KathyPagano-e9z]

Both of them need to give it up.

[@cheongtookit7497]

That book can be used as toilet paper. Time to retire. Prediction backfired! Almighty hated a proud face and God give grace to the humble person.

[@michaelholman517minKC]

@@cheongtookit7497 Actually, his keys are really solid. The problem is that he put his own bias into the data. When you put subjective data into an objective system, it will clearly be skewed. I looked at his keys, and I saw a minimum of six going against Harris with the possibility of going up to nine against her. It should’ve been a landslide, and it was. So his system was right, but his interpretation of his own system was wrong, dead wrong…

[@philg4116]

Lichtman is trashing Silver saying Silver will be worming out of his miss and making excuses, and yet Lichtman would be crowing about his theory if Harris won by a single vote.

[@AlexMysteryChannel]

Hello everyone! I wanted to share an important message with you: your contribution to the right to vote is essential. Talk to friends and family, and if necessary, offer your support to accompany them to the polls if they are unable to go on their own. This decision is not about being Republican or Democratic; it’s about voting for freedom, against fascism and inequality. It’s a battle for women's rights, to combat poverty, and to ensure healthcare for all. Let’s not allow our country, today and tomorrow, to sink into darkness. Let’s shine a light on our future: vote for Kamala Harris - Tim Walz! Copy and paste this message and share it on all your social media!

[@weyrunner2838]

Your decision is clearly about voting Democrat while you falsely claimed it wasn't about voting Republican or Democrat but then went on to spread false information. Harris isn't battling for women's rights since if she needed to, there would have never been women in her position in the first place and she isn't battling poverty by illegally bringing millions of migrants in to compete for jobs and government assistance when there are already too many homeless veterans not receiving the assistance and job opportunities that illegals are receiving nor is Kamala battling for freedom when her and her party insist on taking the rights and freedoms away from half of this country for not supporting their views. If you didn't restrict your sources of news and information you would probably vote AMERICAN and not for haters of our democracy. please copy and paste this message and share it with your friends and family and anyone else affected by BIDEN HARRIS policies that HURT Americans and their ability to buy groceries, gas and not afforded the American dream enjoyed by fewer and fewer.

[@mookiewilson4166]

@@AlexMysteryChannel I shared this word for word with my deplorables and garbage family. They just laughed and said I was “retarded”.

[@darwel007]

Statisticians call it the fallacy of "overfitting." The wacky professor algorithm is pure guessing in close races.

[@LamiAmos]

Allan Litchman you are not God

[@analogia_entis]

Can we stop with " I must be right, because you are wrong"

[@sothdestiny9496]

Using your old key against a man who survived 2 assassination attempts. You expect that key to work?

[@MelvinStaRita-yb2fm]

Congratulations madame president!🎉

[@israelshallbefree]

... yep ... president for the aged ...

[@DZ302-Z28]

2016 all over again tomorrow

[@mookiewilson4166]

Oof🎉

[@weyrunner2838]

hillary?

[@ym5891]

Womp womp.

[@donburnett8594]

Litchman’s a real wackadoodle

[@KathyPagano-e9z]

Now he can predict when she is going to concede. Worst candidate ever.

[@rebeccalovelace191]

No human can predict anything but God

[@dwang552]

Anyone can predict, but may not be accurate

[@marcakerblom4935]

God, is that something you can eat?

[@HirayaManawari-nx5px]

So your god doesn't know the future that's why he's predicting?

[@ym5891]

I can't predict anything but God? Or do you not English very well?

[@nicolemadit3525]

@@marcakerblom4935god safe trumps life for some reason and the reason was this 🇺🇸🇺🇸if don’t believe in god fine it’s your life but let other believe in whatever they want free religion beliefs in this country

[@alexniapas9243]

I’m surprised he predicted nine out of eleven, to me his system seems flawed and too simple

[@ninimusta336]

Allan has it hands down

[@thedanielagboola]

Does he though?

[@danagrace3911]

I told Prof. Allan one month ago this time you're wrong. He missed the fact there is a greater power that brings upside down all the keys and predictions. Trump is chosen for such time as this🙌🙌

[@carpediem4887]

The whole "Polls" game is so ridiculous...they are never accurate.... never!

[@bahjo7279]

His reputation is done...

[@vitor2650]

Nate’s final prediction had Kamala edging Trump by a very thin margin.

[@leedex]

The same had the main stream media polls 🤔

[@jimmyjackson2361]

They both should’ve listen to the Rasmussen poll.

[@macrosense]

The popular vote does not matter. It is the gerrymandering that matters

[@ym5891]

Well, Trump won both this time.

[@jerelzoltick6900]

Lichtman was entirely wrong

[@sharonbarker5751]

He must have misplaced his keys. 😂😂😂

[@jr1819]

This guy deserves all the trolling now! I almost got crazy 😅

[@Hank-i3p]

Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha!!! Trump /Vance! Save America!!!!!!

[@rezzurektedpoet]

The "KEYS" are OUT OF TUNE with this guy!

[@jr1819]

They change the locks! Lichtman is toast lol

[@user-wm7mp2fl1p]

Keys do not change but some do get lost while some get rusted while some are broken hence Professor Lichtman I believe something is amissed with your keys as you may have to up to date them for future predictions end of story

[@DJ-vf7tb]

Nate has the numbers!

[@rogerbergez]

You’re a bot for the clerk Silver or just ignorant in how to do research..? Dr Lichtman has a 100% accuracy since 1984, with 10/10 accurate predictions. Silver is a flip flopping fool.

[@ShayWilliam341]

Nate is wrong sorry

[@omg_julius5294]

Nate has the guesses, Allan has the History and knowledge to predict a presidential candidate’s win, Allan has defined the keys very good and detailed and of course it is his keys so he determines them of how he created it so Allan Lichtman is much more accurate not because Nate silver is bad but because Allan’s method is much more secure than Nate Silver’s method

[@Shekinah-wn2rq]

Nate is wrong. I was following Allan for about 12 years.

[@FCPCPF]

But this Nate chap has been wrong several times..

[@scoon2117]

Well, lichtmans hair certainly won lol

[@Scorpio_1714]

Alan is partisan and Nate isn’t

[@JoeBuck207]

Alan you're fired !

[@lamassu4100]

His keys are all BS 😂😂😂😂 He must have got the wrong key from Home Depot. 😂😂😂

[@johnconnelly3337]

I remember I said expert will be wrong on election day.

[@bluesea1110]

100 key man retired

[@Miguel-ly4bm]

you should reconsider your text-box order of display......

[@MidNiteR32]

Time for Alan to retire.

[@guitarplayer66]

Nate ansd Atlas intel nailed it, those keys are ridiculous for these times. Alan has no more credibility with these keys wich are highly opinionated anyway. He's a Democrat who let hls personal judgement to look at the keys only one way.

[@pamelafeather6405]

Sadly this has been edited post election

[@KJ-jz2xu]

Quit talking about the freaken key's they have nothing to do with it!

[@Georgie-G58]

Hahaha his keys have let him down big time Trump walked it into the WH

[@Sail218]

This guy predicted Harris, then changed his prediction right before the winning horse crosses the finishline! 😅 I'd be right all the time too doing that.

[@randalljones-k7p]

Lol

[@Military-mindset]

Thank God that Allen guys method was wrong. 60 years or whatever shut down in a single night.

[@Mayorkings1]

The era of lichtman 13 keys are over. Let him get new set of keys 😅😅😅

[@histry123321]

Hellooooo Allan. Oops you failed at last 😂

[@tylerquintel3823]

Cool

[@hollyfischer3501]

Lichtman I was wrong I knew TRUMP would win

[@tomingerzee1134]

And hsi prediction is completely wrong!

[@Jspnj85]

This fool lost me 200 i bet on Harris on Kalshi. Thanks a lot my expert!!!

[@jeremyhodge6216]

Can't win them all Lichtman 🤨

[@JosephR24]

Allan turned into a Democrat shill and I called it months ago when he was spewing his misguided prediction. Loser !

[@ben-clason]

Al should've listen to Americans not theoretical keys lol

[@karenverwayne8315]

The agenda of madness will continue

[@jaykraft9523]

Lets retire the Lichtman nonsense now

[@analogia_entis]

nate thinks Kamala is tupid. lazy, and can't form a sentence...but we shoould oust Biden and make her President. Good luck when you get a real job, Nate

[@KathyPagano-e9z]

Landslide

[@chrisaddison114]

I got great odds on Harris to win by 300 - 329 electoral votes.

[@relaxingoceansounds]

you meant to say trump

[@JanustheXanus]

​@@relaxingoceansoundsNo he spoke correctly

[@abimbolaowolabi4985]

You are right. I think she'll have 320 electoral votes.

[@relaxingoceansounds]

@@JanustheXanus no he didnt

[@weyrunner2838]

cnn?

[@FidelisAkem]

INVITE HIM BACK TO EXPLAIN HIS TDS ONCE AGAIN-HE LIED! BOLD FACE DEMOCRAT ACTIVIST

[@SomjingCarter]

Now you have to remove your book from the shelves Alan . 😂😂😂😂

[@jzola3937]

Nate actually sticks to his predictions

[@thysm100]

TRUMP 100% 2024 . FROM SOUTH AFRICA

[@guentherlawitsch2388]

Trump is concerned about you!

[@Shekinah-wn2rq]

Are you guys from South Africa looking for a green card. There are lot of illegal aliena from South Africa.

[@magdalycruz6271]

Your opinion doesn’t count in USA ✌🏼😂

[@Flowerprincess323]

We don’t care what you think. You aren’t able to vote in this country and Trump is a liar and rapist

[@thysm100]

@@guentherlawitsch2388 Well done Pres. Trump

[@SomjingCarter]

Alan Leitchman at the end just ordinary 1.99 cents per minute phone fortune teller . Now he has to drop his price to 10 cents per minute to survive . You need to clean up your crystal ball Alan 😂😂😂😂.

[@israelshallbefree]

the fact that there are still voters voting democrat n harris is certainly a sign that america is puked !!! even a dog will have votes not mentioning a laughing hyena ...

[@danaxe407]

Sofa king we Todd did

[@danaxe407]

You are sofa king we Todd did

[@Mista.C.5000]

Coming from a generation of nothing but PUKE the dipshit knows of what they speak

[@FCPCPF]

Wish it were so. Unfortunately, he still commands a huge following among men.

[@Mista.C.5000]

Or how about the fact that your a fu*kin idiot racist loser who is gonna be pissed off when your worse nightmare is realized and you wake up after this election is all over and done with in whatever trailer park your living in and learn that the White House has gone BLACK AGAIN!😮😢

[@wilmerpalacios9103]

of course, Alan Litchman is correct. Remember Nate Silver told us in 2016 that Hillary had a 95% chance of winning.

[@MathildaMann]

Bogus keys 😂😂😂

[@GelloMello-j9z]

no lol

[@LonnieSipsyMD-ls6qk]

Is that a toupee in his head???? He’s too old to have hair that thick and no grey

[@brianbach66]

Neither

[@nicolemadit3525]

He’s carrier is over because TDS