New American Military Aid for Ukraine - What's in the package and what impact will it have?

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Perun

Perun

Күн бұрын

In early 2022, the US quickly emerged as one of Ukraine's most important military suppliers, supporting Kyiv with everything from artillery to armour & millions of rounds of artillery ammunition.
In late 2023, that vital flow of supplies began to stall as debate in Congress continued. And as supplies ran short, Russian forces took advantage and ground the front forward in several places.
Now, the US has passed a new package and the flow of supplies is resuming. In this video, we look at that package, examine its contents and ask what impact it might have as Ukraine reportedly faces some of its hardest defensive battles since 2022.
Patreon:
/ perunau
Relevant Reading/sourcing:
H.R.815 - Making emergency supplemental appropriations for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2024, and for other purposes.
www.congress.gov/bill/118th-c...
Estonian MoD: A Military Strategy for Ukraine’s Victory and Russia’s Defeat
kaitseministeerium.ee/sites/d...
IMF - Third Review of the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility - Ukraine
www.imf.org/en/Publications/C...
US DoD on recent USAI and Ukraine Contact Group meeting
www.defense.gov/News/News-Sto....
Reporting on Ukraine's ATACMS usage
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
Article on mentioned Kyiv spending protests:
apnews.com/article/russia-ukr...
www.nytimes.com/2023/12/22/wo....
Featured demonstration of shifting US policy position on aid:
www.reuters.com/world/us/us-q...
www.reuters.com/world/europe/...
Featured article reporting the Pentagon replacement deficit
www.politico.com/news/2024/03...
US Congress passing aid
www.reuters.com/world/us/long...
www.voanews.com/a/us-house-pa...
UK sending largest ever package to Ukraine
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
Reporting on Russian offensive
apnews.com/article/russia-ukr...
apnews.com/article/russia-ukr...
Reporting on Russian budget passage
apnews.com/article/russia-bud...
Featured article on Putin's war goals and expectations
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
Macron warning Europe cannot rely on the USA
www.politico.eu/article/emman...
www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
Ukraine needing $3B per month - (reporting, see IMF source for more detail)
www.reuters.com/world/europe/....
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular - I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Opening Words
00:00:57 - What Am I Talking About?
00:01:40 - The 23/24 Delay
00:08:28 - What's In The Package
00:26:09 - Aid And The Usa
00:27:54 - What Aid Will Do
00:30:58 - Working The Ammo Example
00:41:08 - The Valley Of Death
00:48:11 - Economic Sustainability
00:58:08 - The 24/25 Dynamic
01:03:21 - Channel Update00:00:00 - Opening Words
00:00:57 - What Am I Talking About?
00:01:40 - The 23/24 Delay
00:08:28 - What's In The Package
00:26:09 - Aid And The Usa
00:27:54 - What Aid Will Do
00:30:58 - Working The Ammo Example
00:41:08 - The Valley Of Death
00:48:11 - Economic Sustainability
00:58:08 - The 24/25 Dynamic
01:03:21 - Channel Update

Пікірлер: 2 800
@PerunAU
@PerunAU 24 күн бұрын
Well, after months of back and forth debate in the USA, here we are. This topic was one that needed to be revised more or less up to the point of final release as follow up announcements were made, but hopefully this gives a decent picture of the scale of what has just been committed and what it will (and won't) do for Ukraine. The broad takeaway is that from a purely materiel centred perspective, there might be enough here to make a difference once deliveries start in earnest - but it isn't an answer to all of Ukraine's requirements. Barring any more major and sudden developments, we should be back to the regular topic list next week. Thank you all for your ongoing engagement and support.
@colin8696908
@colin8696908 24 күн бұрын
Do you do voice work for other channels or just this one? I ask because I've noticed your voice popping up on several other war videos that are similar to this and I've been trying to figure out if people are using AI to rip off your voice for their channels.
@Uncle_Neil
@Uncle_Neil 24 күн бұрын
That corruption in DC is out of control is obvious. That we seem incapable to fix this is/has been a national security threat we have created for ourselves pretty much as a wedge issue generated out of thin air to beat the electorate into a near brain-death. The war that is coming will fix this and young people will die at the expense of partisan politics which is a very old and tragic story. Extend to US draft to females, that might help.
@PerunAU
@PerunAU 24 күн бұрын
@@colin8696908 only this channel. can you link me an example?
@UncleJoeLITE
@UncleJoeLITE 24 күн бұрын
@@colin8696908 That sounds plausibly bad, P definitely needs examples. Cheers.
@hungrymusicwolf
@hungrymusicwolf 24 күн бұрын
@@colin8696908 His voice is simply so great it transcended space, time, and all the write protections of the KZbin servers to appear in other videos!
@tonyharpur8383
@tonyharpur8383 24 күн бұрын
'Your existential struggle for survival is important to us....etc..' Absolutely priceless!
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
The biggest thing Ukraine has done for the US/Europe is show that in reality, the russian military is a complete joke. At the top levels this is totally known, and russia was even downgraded from "near peer" to "hold my beer" lol.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
The biggest thing Ukraine has done for the US and Europe is show that the russian military is nothing more than a joke. Just last week the russian military was downgraded from "near peer" to "hold my beer"😅
@resipsaloquitur13
@resipsaloquitur13 24 күн бұрын
@dpelpal Nail'd it.
@badluck5647
@badluck5647 24 күн бұрын
@@dpelpal That was a year ago. Russia has learned a lot from their mistakes, built up their military industrial base, and have gained plenty of experienced combat veterans. Untested European NATO members probably don't stand a chance against a Russia allowed to rebuild their forces after defeating Ukraine. It is also why it is important to make sure Russia never wins.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 24 күн бұрын
@@badluck5647 Russia has now lost half the land they held in July 2022. Ukraine didn't even have an army in 2020. Russian military is a complete and utter joke.
@polarstorm5986
@polarstorm5986 23 күн бұрын
Can't stress enough how much i apreciate it that the presentation just "starts". No "hello", no "intro" no nothing. The world would be a better place if more KZbinrs would make it that way.
@dpelpal
@dpelpal 23 күн бұрын
You don't like a 10 minute intro?
@harleyb.birdwhisperer
@harleyb.birdwhisperer 23 күн бұрын
Where the first 30 seconds is an appeal to subscribe and turn on the bell before you have a glimmer of whether the site is of any interest.
@Ikbeneengeit
@Ikbeneengeit 23 күн бұрын
He has only an hour, and there's a lot of PowerPoint to fit in.
@nian60
@nian60 23 күн бұрын
Agree, if more KZbinrs did this it would save us so much time.
@snaggiz
@snaggiz 23 күн бұрын
I mean a short intro never hurt anybody lol
@macmcleod1188
@macmcleod1188 24 күн бұрын
The United States was not designed with bipartisanship in mind. George Washington warned about the risk of forming partisan political parties at all. The system was designed for a non-partisan Representatives with no political parties. And that concept pretty much failed by the second presidency.
@scoobydoobers23
@scoobydoobers23 24 күн бұрын
Yeah, but ~250 years of iterative design later and we have things like the filibuster, the Hasert rule, etc. etc.
@richardarriaga6271
@richardarriaga6271 24 күн бұрын
​@@scoobydoobers23None of which are law. Congress is too chicken to make law and let the voters sort it out.
@autohmae
@autohmae 24 күн бұрын
@@richardarriaga6271 some would say, this is what they want. Any power you have you don't easily give away
@84MadHatter
@84MadHatter 24 күн бұрын
it failed before the constitution was passed, Anti-Federalist vs Federalist. It was never realistic to not have them. But are the founding fathers did their best to limit one small group or person from having to much control
@churblefurbles
@churblefurbles 24 күн бұрын
Many mistakes were made, including 1965, 19th, and unqualified franchise.
@ShornDunlevy
@ShornDunlevy 23 күн бұрын
I would just like to point out that their are multiple videos of lectures/talks/personal remarks of high-ranking British officers (Brigadiers and generals) referring the public to Perun as a reliable source accessible to non-experts. So congratulations on that Perun.
@ShornDunlevy
@ShornDunlevy 22 күн бұрын
@@SpoOoOoOoOoOod I saw it on other channels. It's up to each viewer to check multiple channels. It's a while ago so I don't recall the exact channels but it was merely a personal opinion, as is everyone else's comments. Seems odd that you would seek out what I considered a fairly non-controversial comment not aimed at anyone but Perun. Isn't rule 1 to accuse others of the very thing you are doing?
@ShornDunlevy
@ShornDunlevy 22 күн бұрын
@@SpoOoOoOoOoOod BTW I see you have 2 subscribers. I'm almost sure I have none, but then I'm not attempted to appear something I'm not.
@SpoOoOoOoOoOod
@SpoOoOoOoOoOod 22 күн бұрын
I was responding to a Russian talking about the entrenching tools meme but looks like they deleted the comment, nothing against you
@windowdoog
@windowdoog 24 күн бұрын
“No other donor, not even the Russian military” Perun comin out hot!
@priyan605
@priyan605 24 күн бұрын
Lol 10 seconds in and I'm already laughing
@badluck5647
@badluck5647 24 күн бұрын
Russia is still the biggest donor of tanks to Ukraine.
@krissteel4074
@krissteel4074 24 күн бұрын
I don' expect anyone is going to risk themselves for a Ural with a cope-coop or a Chinese golf cart lately
@thiscouldntblowmore
@thiscouldntblowmore 24 күн бұрын
tbh, "Russian military" hasnt been "donating" since end of the ukro Kherson and Kharkiv offensives, at all, +90% of trophies are now been collected by Russian army, for like 2 years and child like meming wont change that.
@MarcosElMalo2
@MarcosElMalo2 24 күн бұрын
@@thiscouldntblowmore You’re already blowing it, but you’re not blowing hard enough.
@user-ot3oz4le1i
@user-ot3oz4le1i 24 күн бұрын
" A billion here a billion there. Pretty soon your talking about real money."
@nnonotnow
@nnonotnow 24 күн бұрын
Thank you, senator dirksen
@pogo1140
@pogo1140 24 күн бұрын
The US will need to send about 90-100 billion in military aid if it wants Ukraine to actually win.
@gagamba9198
@gagamba9198 24 күн бұрын
@@pogo1140 Tragically Europe has no money. Were they were faking it instead of making it? Who knew it was bankrupt?
@fudgeknuckle952
@fudgeknuckle952 24 күн бұрын
@@pogo1140 I don't give a fuck about if Ukraine wins. They're not my ally. Their the buffer state between me and my ally. And I need my ally to stop using my paycheck for security anyway.
@Kyle-sr6jm
@Kyle-sr6jm 24 күн бұрын
Why US? When I look on the map, the United States isn't on that continent. The fing EU needs to kick in that money.
@defective6811
@defective6811 24 күн бұрын
Many moons ago during GWOT I spent 3 weeks at an Italian controlled fire base and I _still_ dream of the food their pop up tent chow hall made. Seriously, it was all that good.
@trey85031
@trey85031 24 күн бұрын
🤌🏼🤌🏼🤌🏼
@andersgrassman6583
@andersgrassman6583 24 күн бұрын
I don't mind Swedish army food, but I can imagine the effort Italians put into it.
@bosoerjadi2838
@bosoerjadi2838 24 күн бұрын
Lol, the adage of 'amateurs talking systems, professionals talking logistics' just got expanded with 'experts talk accounting'..
@MarcosElMalo2
@MarcosElMalo2 24 күн бұрын
By systems I guess you mean weapons platforms? Because it’s all systems, just at different levels. The U.S. DOD is a system of systems, and the DOD in turn is a subsystem of a higher level National Defense (or National Security) system. Economics and accounting are important at all levels. What is the highest system level? Geopolitics. This is why it is so important for a nation to have a long term strategy and a network of friend and allies to buy into your geopolitical strategy. (And to be perfectly frank, this is why Blinken is shit at his job. He’s the architect of a really dumb geopolitical strategy (going back to the Obama administration) that reversed the previous Kennanian strategy of containment. (Although it can be argued that it was the Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld neocon strategy that kicked off the reversal.)) ((Note: a Keenan grand strategy would also support aid to Ukraine and support for our friends and allies.) If you don’t understand what I’m talking about, you need to reach up to these higher levels and learn what different experts have been saying. I’m not an expert myself, but I’ve learned enough to form an opinion about the wrongheadedness of the neocons under Bush, the soft neocons (under Obama and Biden), and the isolationists (under Trump). I hold out some hope that Biden will return to a policy of containment that will avoid a shooting war with any of the rogue nations.
@faithnfire4769
@faithnfire4769 23 күн бұрын
Savants talk politics.
@MrEerilybasic
@MrEerilybasic 23 күн бұрын
😂
@abcdeabcde4877
@abcdeabcde4877 23 күн бұрын
And wonks talk cope.
@skydragon23101979
@skydragon23101979 23 күн бұрын
The most important accounting not mentioned in these video with regards to war outcome is manpower which Ukraine has almost close to empty now.
@jimtalbott9535
@jimtalbott9535 23 күн бұрын
My half sister and her husband both work in an ammo factory here in the US. Let’s just say they’ve been….”busy” the last few years. OT has not been a problem. Got themselves a nice new VW recently.
@seth1455
@seth1455 23 күн бұрын
next time you hear MTG talking bs, think of this x 1000's of workers
@jimtalbott9535
@jimtalbott9535 23 күн бұрын
@@seth1455 Exactly! Good paying jobs too, very often.
@Hispania_45
@Hispania_45 23 күн бұрын
Won’t be nearly enough unfortunately
@danielmartin7838
@danielmartin7838 22 күн бұрын
In my area they’re hiring hands to load naval vessels with supplies.
@robgrey6183
@robgrey6183 22 күн бұрын
" "Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed. This world in arms is not spending money alone. It is spending the sweat of its laborers, the genius of its scientists, the hopes of its children. The cost of one modern heavy bomber is this: a modern brick school in more than 30 cities. " Dwight Eisenhower. You keep telling yourself that building weapons and sending them overseas helps this country.
@AHouse181
@AHouse181 24 күн бұрын
There is a petition going on in Lithuania to increase government spending towards defense to 4% GDP. Other countries should probably look into increasing their spending towards arms production as well. We need to think long term. Produce what UA needs in our own countries.
@External2737
@External2737 24 күн бұрын
Agreed. Something is wrong that Europe isn't supplying more. Due to decades of underfunding, 4% is the minimum. For a decade. The US has, for better or worse, lost its taste for being the world's policeman. Europe has the money, step up and make the factories.
@Mortablunt
@Mortablunt 23 күн бұрын
America still wants to be the world policeman but has lost its balls to do the job. Probably because of 60 years of nearly unbroken failures and defeats have made us reluctant to actually deal with any risk ourselves when we can just bribe other countries and rig governments to do it for us.
@highdefinist9697
@highdefinist9697 23 күн бұрын
​@@External2737 It is ok for the United States to play such games against Europe. But it is not ok to play them with Ukrainian lives - it is not their fault that Europe did not spend enough on defense. The United States choosing to withhold aid from Ukraine, just for the sake of sending a message to Europe, is appalling.
@robertklimczak5630
@robertklimczak5630 23 күн бұрын
​@@External2737Polska 4.3% PKB . Jeżeli stwierdzimy ze trzeba dojdziemy do 8% PKB
@nunyabidness3075
@nunyabidness3075 23 күн бұрын
@@highdefinist9697Slow your roll, hero. I think Biden was too cautious and slow in his support, Trump is a jerk, and Congress is full of clowns. However, Ukraine helped get themselves into this mess, and their lack of volunteers isn’t making them look good either. It’s not the US playing around with Ukrainian lives which it’s not the US’s job to protect. We ought to do it, but it’s not our responsibility.
@michaelfuchs6397
@michaelfuchs6397 23 күн бұрын
"The Ukrainian-Russian war being a proxy war of North and South Korea" is GOLD
@barotrauma_32
@barotrauma_32 23 күн бұрын
but no one wants to end it with the 38th parallel
@holgernarrog
@holgernarrog 10 күн бұрын
Nope the 2 Korea`s are small countries...It is the West vs. Russia and at the end to show China its determination. The half hearted support for Ukraine is the main reason China still wish to take Taiwan. -In 2022 as the war began I expected the West to provide Ukraine some > 1000 of the M1, M113 and Bradleys that are mothballed in the USA. - I would have expected the USA to send dozen of F16, F18, A10 that are currently replaced by F22 and F35. - I would have expected the West to motivate such company`s as Panasonic, LG to make millions of drones. - I would have expected that the West would increase its artillery ammo production to > 1 m rounds/month (in ww2 the USA produced some 10m rounds of artillery ammo per month, Germany perhaps 6 - 8 m rounds). Now they are begging South Korea, Egypt, South Africa for it.
@artemdashynych7601
@artemdashynych7601 24 күн бұрын
The bit about the cheese pizza mre sparking a debate for Italian justification to commit friendly fire against their American counterparts had me fucking rolling. idk what i love more about Perun videos-- the above and beyond in-depth research-- or the snide jokes
@tonyharpur8383
@tonyharpur8383 24 күн бұрын
😂
@OlTrailDog
@OlTrailDog 24 күн бұрын
Yes, I thought about commenting on this...PerunAU busts out the humor. A first? ;-)
@chrisrautmann8936
@chrisrautmann8936 24 күн бұрын
Data is good. Telling a story to keep people engaged is absolutely priceless.
@tonychan647
@tonychan647 24 күн бұрын
​@@chrisrautmann8936🎉😂
@ItRemindMeOfHome
@ItRemindMeOfHome 24 күн бұрын
The Cheese Pizza MRE is way better than the Ravioli MRE. You'd think the Italians would be more insulted about that XD
@ShellRobin
@ShellRobin 24 күн бұрын
Your closings remark about overeconomizing reminds me of popular sayings in Ukrainians volunteering circle: refusing to give 1 dollar to military efforts will lead to the need of giving 5 dollars to humanitarian one.
@emildavidsen1404
@emildavidsen1404 23 күн бұрын
​@@nickcharles1284please, take me through the mental gymnastics of what the US gameplan, according to you, is here...
@ctrlaltdebug
@ctrlaltdebug 23 күн бұрын
Ukraine is done. Money won't buy more manpower.
@richardarriaga6271
@richardarriaga6271 23 күн бұрын
​@@nickcharles1284How did surrender work in 2014? Russia is the wendigo of Eastern Europe.
@lightfeather9953
@lightfeather9953 23 күн бұрын
I understand now. If only Ukrainians weren't hypnotized by CIA mind control space lasers they'd realize they actually want to surrender to Russia!
@nickcharles1284
@nickcharles1284 23 күн бұрын
@@emildavidsen1404 As above: the current 'plan' is to keep Ukrainians dying until the presidential elections in the US are over. Whereupon the most likely move by the US will be to blame the Ukrainians for losing the conflict, and the washing of their hands of the whole thing. Like they did in Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, etc. Its the same old plan. Remember the women of Afghanistan? Hillary sure doesn't. Its really less of a plan, and more of a dodge.
@casbot71
@casbot71 24 күн бұрын
One *instant effect* of the aid package passing was that Ukraine could stop rationing ammunition straight away, as they knew they would soon be getting more delivered. So Ukraine could start burning through their backup stocks they'd kept to last for a long while.
@ivanovd.8279
@ivanovd.8279 24 күн бұрын
That is not how it works. Ukraine has been burning though ammuntion while allies didn't supply any in the winter
@macmcleod1188
@macmcleod1188 24 күн бұрын
Excellent point. And on top of that, a lot of the first billion dollars worth of Aid was sitting on trucks at the Polish border so it was going to arrive within 24 hours.
@kameronjones7139
@kameronjones7139 24 күн бұрын
​​@@ivanovd.8279you completely missed the point of what he said. He said that they can use it more because they are getting more ammo. They don't need to pass on as many targets
@ssn2186
@ssn2186 24 күн бұрын
It was already past that point, they had batteries that only had smoke shells to respond with
@Luredreier
@Luredreier 24 күн бұрын
​@@macmcleod1188 That's *very* optimistic... Getting anything from the Polish border to the front in 24 hours is optimistic...
@LastNRA
@LastNRA 24 күн бұрын
Croatia-Serbia Soccer Match LMFAO
@rodgerhempfing2921
@rodgerhempfing2921 23 күн бұрын
War by other means.
@Ramschat
@Ramschat 24 күн бұрын
Looking at the artillery numbers, Europe has been crucial to keep some modicum of supply going while the US was struggling with internal politics. I can't imagine how horrible these last months could have been if the EU has also abstained from sending shells
@dylanfk5445
@dylanfk5445 24 күн бұрын
Always the us fault, classic European brain
@occamraiser
@occamraiser 24 күн бұрын
The EU+UK has spent more than America, the Americans need to grasp that AND realise that WE are buying THEIR security.
@Luredreier
@Luredreier 24 күн бұрын
There's zero chance of that. For us it's a existential threat. And I might be wrong, but I think about half of that European ammunition is produced in nordic countries, and we practically *border* Russia. *All* of us have bomb shelters for most of our population and yearly bomb raid drills to be prepared for a Russian invasion... For us this is about as serious as it gets. Ammunition factories have been granted temporay exceptions to environmental laws allowing them to pollute almost freely. That's not something we usually permit up here. Worker rights laws are being set aside. We're not exactly entering a true war economy. But Ukraine has been given priority here and we *are* stepping up our production and funding both for Ukraine.
@k53847
@k53847 24 күн бұрын
@@Luredreier The Germans apparently said, "We only have 20,000 rounds of ammo, we can't send any." Rheinmetall said, "Well, how about you order some more? We have lots of capacity." Germany said, "Shut up!"
@widerje
@widerje 23 күн бұрын
Russia is out producing all NATO nations combined, by many times. There is no artillery available, the West failed Ukraine and now they will pay.
@christopherconard2831
@christopherconard2831 24 күн бұрын
Offering a US MRE cheese pizza to an Italian soldier would likely be considered a legal argument for blue on blue violence. Offering them the Veggie Omelette has been declared an actual war crime.
@disposabull
@disposabull 24 күн бұрын
If you haven't seen the video Italian 🇮🇹 and American 🇺🇸 soldiers swap rations It's a crime against humanity.
@Trumben
@Trumben 24 күн бұрын
We will have to Ask Steve1989MREInfo
@disposabull
@disposabull 24 күн бұрын
@@Trumben It's NATO youtube channel's most popular video, a US soldier giving an Italian a pizza MRE.
@celewign
@celewign 24 күн бұрын
MREs aren’t trying to taste good as a primary purpose. The goal is to provide energy, being appealing is secondary.
@jodyfulford8215
@jodyfulford8215 24 күн бұрын
Chicken a' la King from the 80s had to be discontinued as it violated the Geneva Convention.
@GuardianComplex
@GuardianComplex 24 күн бұрын
Seriously though, who put a line for "stuff" in their procurement budget?
@paulrods
@paulrods 24 күн бұрын
pretty sure it was the CIA
@ADobbin1
@ADobbin1 24 күн бұрын
its better than "misc."
@christopherconard2831
@christopherconard2831 23 күн бұрын
Though it wasn't, it sounds almost USMC. We need money. Why? To buy stuff. What sort of stuff? Stuff to put on a boat and take over there. Then what? Take it off the boat and use our stuff to break their stuff.
@edwinmartin9120
@edwinmartin9120 23 күн бұрын
goods and materials articles and effects
@zacklewis342
@zacklewis342 23 күн бұрын
@@christopherconard2831 Well they couldn't just put down "crayons".
@CanalTremocos
@CanalTremocos 24 күн бұрын
Like Churchill's apocryphal quote, the Americans can always be trusted to do the right thing, once all other possibilities have been exhausted.
@perihelion7798
@perihelion7798 24 күн бұрын
Americans are very prone to do the 'right' thing....history shows that. However, the US government, especially the CIA, cannot be trusted.
@bosoerjadi2838
@bosoerjadi2838 23 күн бұрын
In itself it wouldn't be too bad, exhausting all other options firstly. The scary thing is that, inevitably someday, if not already, the Americams will have taken so long doing so, it'd be far too late.
@slimdiddyd
@slimdiddyd 23 күн бұрын
Do the right thing yourselves. We’re tired of European entanglements.
@bosoerjadi2838
@bosoerjadi2838 23 күн бұрын
@@slimdiddyd Lol, you're one of those accounts that have a first name as a last name, aren't you? Taking a break from scamming lonely spinsters?
@icu17siberia
@icu17siberia 23 күн бұрын
“Now at this very moment I knew that the United States was in the war, up to the neck and in to the death. So we had won after all! ... How long the war would last or in what fashion it would end no man could tell, nor did I at this moment care ... We should not be wiped out. Our history would not come to an end ..." Winston Churchill
@swj719
@swj719 24 күн бұрын
The best part of waking up Is Perun in your feed.
@jooot_6850
@jooot_6850 24 күн бұрын
Yeesh. Bad sign then that I'm just going to sleep when this video came out..
@swj719
@swj719 24 күн бұрын
​@@jooot_6850man, it really must suck not living in America... 😉 It's ok, the video will be here when ye wake up, mate.
@benoithudson7235
@benoithudson7235 24 күн бұрын
If only defense economics weren’t such an exciting topic, you could just play the video as you fall asleep.
@RobertCraft-re5sf
@RobertCraft-re5sf 24 күн бұрын
🎶
@heikos4264
@heikos4264 24 күн бұрын
@@swj719 na, it's fine, for me it was released around 4pm, coffee and cake time. I don't get the videos when i wake up, but at least over here no farmer pulls a gun on me for walking over his field 😉
@garyjones9023
@garyjones9023 24 күн бұрын
There's an upside to reducing complacency on the part of US allies, some of whom have been content to outsource their defense burden to the US. The EU has an economy 10X larger than Russia, yet they are unable to supply such basics as 155mm shells to Ukraine. That is at least as damning about European preparedness as US reliability. The fact that a pittance of 10,000 155mm shells is a major burden for Germany points to a dangerous overreliance on the US to do everything for them.
@stafer3
@stafer3 24 күн бұрын
But western countries set up their military with air supremacy in mind. What is the point of having millions of shells in stock for defensive trench warfare, when your strategy is to bomb enemy before they come towards you, so there shouldn’t be any static trench warfare. Ukraine relies on artillery because they don’t have air-force with long range missiles. But yeah, your point stands for those long range missiles. Since they don’t have enough of those either.
@Kyle-sr6jm
@Kyle-sr6jm 24 күн бұрын
It has been too easy for Europe to hide behind US skirts. If they had done their 2%, this wouldn't be a problem
@perihelion7798
@perihelion7798 24 күн бұрын
True. The Ukraine war is in EUROPE, not North America.
@greendoodily
@greendoodily 23 күн бұрын
Whilst I don’t necessarily disagree, various US administrations over the past 50-years have also pushed Europe to “just buy American”, because it puts the profits in their pockets. Unfortunately it also seems like a good idea at the time, because of the efficiency of scale that the US offers, which means you get much more bang for buck (yeet for your Euro?!). All of which is fine until you find yourself trying to support an attritional war and your primary supply chain is on the other side of the planet and being stymied by internal political wrangling.
@joduh4665
@joduh4665 23 күн бұрын
The reliance on US military was a win win though, EU countries having large armies gives them incentive for more domestic production. Which makes them a US competitor rather than a customer.
@johnglenn30csardas
@johnglenn30csardas 24 күн бұрын
This guy is the shit. Big picture set-up, details where you need it to understand, and humor to say that he knows that you know (a little bit). I have to listen at .75 speed. Just as informative and amusing, if you’ll pardon the expression. There is absolutely nothing in so called mainstream media to compare with this. He is the tip of the spear in the new media age. Thank you.
@andersgrassman6583
@andersgrassman6583 24 күн бұрын
Thank's for the tip! As a non native English speaker, listening at somewhat reduced speed seems a very good idea!
@Luwoze
@Luwoze 24 күн бұрын
There is much to be said. Is it me or did he up the speech? I too would play at 3/4 speed some of the passages.
@johnglenn30csardas
@johnglenn30csardas 24 күн бұрын
I think this speed is a KZbin thing. I have done and supervised voiceover sessions for 40 years. Very few people can keep up this pace over a one hour video. Probably no one. So, it’s editing and a slight digital acceleration. He can probably go almost this fast, but I am skeptical. It’s way, way too fast for most listeners, and I am a native speaker of English who does voice overs. I love the content, but the VO speed is problematic
@justvid366
@justvid366 23 күн бұрын
It's too fast for me to.
@sniperfi4532
@sniperfi4532 23 күн бұрын
@@johnglenn30csardashe does talk fast but it might be a choice to confine the videos to an hour or less if possible. Honestly the 0.75 speed is a good idea and if it helps understanding better than that’s awesome. Personally as an Australian this is usually how fast people can talk in a presentation especially when they give themselves a time limit.
@Oompa_Output
@Oompa_Output 13 күн бұрын
It's good to make Europe in general not rely entirely on the US to fight and supply any conflict. Allies shouldn't be taking each other for granted.
@JinKee
@JinKee 24 күн бұрын
This is the powerpoint presentation that Perun was born to make
@markscion
@markscion 23 күн бұрын
Who knew a PPT of military economics could be so riveting (or welding).
@robcanisto8635
@robcanisto8635 23 күн бұрын
I see what you did there... ❤
@blaiseutube
@blaiseutube 24 күн бұрын
If the Nobel literature prize considered wit and sarcasm , perun would have it in the bag.
@nathandanner4030
@nathandanner4030 24 күн бұрын
Nobel Prize for POWERPOINTS
@lukeneill1568
@lukeneill1568 24 күн бұрын
Like “Ukraine is winning”. Peak sarcasm 😂
@user-sc6sr2zz5z
@user-sc6sr2zz5z 24 күн бұрын
Sarcasm is the official language of Australia mate.
@rodgerhempfing2921
@rodgerhempfing2921 23 күн бұрын
And understatement​@@user-sc6sr2zz5z
@nian60
@nian60 23 күн бұрын
@@lukeneill1568 How is Mordor going to win against half a Billion Europeans? Did you ever think of that?
@positroll7870
@positroll7870 24 күн бұрын
One of the bilateral agreements skipped is GER buying 100k 122mm from Bulgaria for delivery by end of April. Also, with the pipeline reopened, Ukraine can empty its remaining reserve ammo stocks. So the arti situation on the front should be improving soon.
@Oblivisci........
@Oblivisci........ 23 күн бұрын
Thank God.
@TopShot501st
@TopShot501st 22 күн бұрын
100k rounds would last like a month.
@positroll7870
@positroll7870 22 күн бұрын
@@TopShot501st If it was the only delivery. And if Ukraine was mostly using 122mm. But it's using - and constantly getting - 155mm, 152mm, 122mm, 105mm plus divers mortar rounds. 100k rounds does allow Ukr to increase 122mm use by 1000 rounds per day for 3 months. By which time lots of 155mm will have arrived in country, from - the original EU package - the CZ initiative - the new US package
@TopShot501st
@TopShot501st 22 күн бұрын
@@positroll7870 the Russians are producing 250,000 arty rounds a month... The west hasn't produced mass arty before and has limited production capacity. Most of the US $$$ will go towards patriots resupply. The EU package doesn't kick in until 2025.
@Blashmack
@Blashmack 21 күн бұрын
​@@TopShot501st One month is quite critical and can make all the difference at the moment...
@thomassecurename3152
@thomassecurename3152 23 күн бұрын
There’s 1+K comments. Mine overall are insignificant. I give myself one exception, no one is your equal in analysis, projection, and information content. You are unique and invaluable. Poulsbo,Washington
@SpoOoOoOoOoOod
@SpoOoOoOoOoOod 23 күн бұрын
60% people reiterating that yes, Perun is still great, 15% undisguised Russian propagandizing, 5% subtle Russian propagandizing, 20% people arguing with Russians.
@Rhino_Aus
@Rhino_Aus 23 күн бұрын
The throwaway line of "rounded to the nearest billion" is pretty wild
@Negativvv
@Negativvv 24 күн бұрын
The thing that blows my mind is the CZ artillery initiative has tried flat out to get shells for months now but has likely been beaten in a week by the US aid package. It just shows the military capability of the US.
@zemog1025
@zemog1025 24 күн бұрын
No, it shows how weak, US dependent, and non-functional the European countries of NATO have become.
@davidjb3671
@davidjb3671 24 күн бұрын
That's if you believe in the CZ 'initiative'. So far there's been a lot of talk but not much action, while the Iranians and North Koreans have been getting on with it.
@gagamba9198
@gagamba9198 24 күн бұрын
Astounding how far (most of) Europe's and Canada's emasculation has gone. If only someone had warned them. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
@PeterA650
@PeterA650 24 күн бұрын
No it hasn't. The US is incapable of supplying any meaningful quantity of artillery shells.
@casbot71
@casbot71 24 күн бұрын
If both deals work as advertised, CZ's still going to be very beneficial as it'll be more ammo added to the stockpile of currency existing ammunition. Ukraine is not going to complain about receiving too many artillery rounds (well as long as it's not from Russian artillery fire....)
@guaposneeze
@guaposneeze 23 күн бұрын
Apparently Italian soldiers don't even hate American MRE's. Ours are decent quality, and military rations are always graded on a curve. The Italians are just confused about why we accidentally used an Italian sounding word on the packaging for our weird American food. As far as they can tell, it's purely a coincidence that the weird American Cheesy Bread snack is spelled "pizza" despite obviously being etymologically unrelated to the Italian food called pizza.
@stealthcone2339
@stealthcone2339 23 күн бұрын
I’ve lived in the Us for many years and most “Italian” food here is good but very different and it is rather perplexing, but marketing is king and it’s good PR
@ComradeTomatoTurtle
@ComradeTomatoTurtle 23 күн бұрын
Well that’s just what happens when you have a large portion of Italian Americans who are separated from Italy for over 100 years, the culture and food diverge enough that it makes its own. Italian food in America, Americanized and so did everything else. A huge melting pot of cultures mixed and matched foods together and eventually you get the American pizza concept which has far surpassed Italian pizza both culturally and globally that people don’t even think about Italy when it comes to pizza, especially for Americans. Italian style pizza is considered fancy pizza in the US.
@oohhboy-funhouse
@oohhboy-funhouse 23 күн бұрын
@@ComradeTomatoTurtle To add to this, New York style pizza is considered fancy/pricey where I live. There is a chain here call Sal's that supposedly import ingredients like meat and cheese from the US. It's next level tasty compared to Pizza Hut. No, Dominos (Barf) doesn't exist here, we don't talk about it, stop asking. Put up a barrier or restrict availability, things can diverge pretty quickly, not just food.
@purplespeckledappleeater8738
@purplespeckledappleeater8738 23 күн бұрын
Plus even in America taste buds and regional cuisine can differ greatly. Some Europeans may complain about American milk chocolate and American ham. Meanwhile some Americans would get confused if you put Albanian sausage or Eastern European fermented foods like potted meat or Swedish fermented cod on the table. America probably has more varieties of tomato sauce than Italy and more varieties of wine than France.
@BoraHorzaGobuchul
@BoraHorzaGobuchul 23 күн бұрын
Those of you getting over usa (non-mre) pizza haven't tried Russian pizza.
@nicholasrckent8609
@nicholasrckent8609 24 күн бұрын
I'll never think of friendly fire the same again.
@seth1455
@seth1455 23 күн бұрын
fighting over pizza had me laughing out loud
@kemarisite
@kemarisite 14 күн бұрын
​@@seth1455considering it's a Meal, Rejected by Ethiopians, that should probably be "pizza".
@ianmcleod48
@ianmcleod48 24 күн бұрын
There’s actually $1.6 billion in FMF for Ukraine and another $8 billion in FMF for Ukraine, NATO, and non-NATO allies, but that $8 billion is shoved way into the back of the bill and exists as amended text to some other preexisting policy, so no one really talks about it. There’s also another $600 million in various drawdown authorities. That $6 billion USAI announcement came from remaining USAI funds from previous bills, so they haven’t touched the new $14 billion in USAI yet. And similarly, they’ve used $1 billion of the remaining $3.9 billion of PDA, so they actually have $2.9 billion of preexisting PDA left + the $8 billion in new PDA. Cheers mate!
@huntergatherer7796
@huntergatherer7796 23 күн бұрын
Where are you getting this false information. These funds are use it or lose it. Once they expire the funds arent available anymore to be used but have to be reauthorized by Congress. All those past monies are gone and cant be used.
@kimholder
@kimholder 23 күн бұрын
@@huntergatherer7796 'As PDA is an authority, not a funding source, once notified to Congress there is no ‘expiration date’ for the provision of defense articles and services up to the value that was notified. ' www.state.gov/use-of-presidential-drawdown-authority-for-military-assistance-for-ukraine/#:~:text=As%20PDA%20is%20an%20authority,the%20value%20that%20was%20notified.
@GCSloan95
@GCSloan95 23 күн бұрын
@@huntergatherer7796 "PDA is an authority, not a funding source, once notified to Congress there is no ‘expiration date’ for the provision of defense articles and services up to the value that was notified"
@Christopher4700
@Christopher4700 23 күн бұрын
Why are their unallocated funds from last packages when the Ukranian military is in such a dire situation? it makes no sense!
@ltournay
@ltournay 23 күн бұрын
Probably nothing to spend it on
@averybothwell8942
@averybothwell8942 24 күн бұрын
Cheers from Boise, Idaho. PowerPoint go brrrrrrrrr
@davidcpugh8743
@davidcpugh8743 24 күн бұрын
Fortunately it is clear that Perun is really a good spirit wielding a powerful stick to motivate those needing insight.
@pr0xZen
@pr0xZen 23 күн бұрын
Thank you for explaining the aid package so well. In particular it clarified and dispelled some misunderstandings about the major "acquisition parts", that among so many others I myself held too.
@R4002
@R4002 9 күн бұрын
“Man, I wish I had less ammo.” -NOBODY EVER
@wyattdean5192
@wyattdean5192 24 күн бұрын
Cheers from Ohio, thanks for the presentation Perun. Great work as always!
@michaelimbesi2314
@michaelimbesi2314 23 күн бұрын
So from what I gather, the reason we didn’t get a breakdown of what Ukraine will be getting in this aid package is that we don’t actually know.
@isaac6077
@isaac6077 23 күн бұрын
Might be the “last call” for politians….. which is problematic if it is….
@Mortablunt
@Mortablunt 23 күн бұрын
It better be $61 billion of shovels and washers because that’s what Russia has been winning battle after battle with!
@heetheet75
@heetheet75 23 күн бұрын
@@Mortablunt settle down, orc. You'll get yours.
@peka2478
@peka2478 23 күн бұрын
we do know, we'll get *stuff*.
@Destroyer_V0
@Destroyer_V0 22 күн бұрын
@@Mortablunt Screw shovels, I hope there is some proper earthmovers in the package. Why dig by hand when machines can do the work so much faster?
@lukekowa
@lukekowa 24 күн бұрын
Perun, I said it last week - your production quality and the value of the information and its delivery are incredible. I only found your channel 2 weeks ago and you are still pumping out INCREDIBLE content. Thank you so much for diving deeper than what you find on ground news or wiki. Keep up the amaZing work!!!! Lemme buy you a coffee!
@andersgrassman6583
@andersgrassman6583 24 күн бұрын
Well, it's in line with his professional work. He IS a pro.
@Pussaychop
@Pussaychop 23 күн бұрын
You can work backwards, lucky guy. The stuff is that gdmf’n good and of course still stands, ive watched many of em more times than might be considered complimentary, but to be polite: i’d start with the 6th Gen Fighter vid, South Korea one, or of course the legendary ‘Destroys Armies’ triptych - every one of them the grad level college course Perun gets nice on weekly.
@Mortablunt
@Mortablunt 23 күн бұрын
So if he’s so reliable, why is Russia still winning and why hasn’t Ukraine won already?
@Pussaychop
@Pussaychop 23 күн бұрын
@@Mortablunt so, you’re not watching the channel and just raiding the comments? Cause i cant think of a single instance of Perun getting out front in any kind of predictive fashion that wasnt data supported or thoughtfully caveated (see: this episode dawg) so im guessing youve already done as much citation/explanation as you are prepared to do, but if you are in earnest, lemme recommend to you my fortune-telling friend the ‘Death of Prighozin’ episode. Thats about as much conjecture as you’ll get from Perun and guess what? Stands up, coulda dropped it earlier today and might not be much different - that was released (i think) within 48-72 hours of your boy meeting the world. Please, do tell me where im wrong.
@tommcallister7647
@tommcallister7647 23 күн бұрын
@@Mortablunt When did Perun say that Ukraine would win? All he has ever done is to (as objectively as possible) describe the current situation at specific points in time and the various possibilities going forward.
@siegfriedheydrich
@siegfriedheydrich 24 күн бұрын
Ya know, the ammo will be arriving just as the Russians are getting their supply depots topped up in anticipation of their summer offensive. Not to mention equipment, vehicles, and troops assembling at forward bases, too. My guess is that one side effect of an ammo shortage is that your list of things that need to go boom as soon as you DO have ammo gets quite long.
@kameronjones7139
@kameronjones7139 24 күн бұрын
Himars o'clock
@macmcleod1188
@macmcleod1188 24 күн бұрын
Well true, there's been a notable increase of Russians attacking on foot, on motorcycles, and in non-military vehicles. It's possible they have run through their stockpile and they can't produce new equipment as fast as the ukrainians are destroying it.
@pogo1140
@pogo1140 24 күн бұрын
Just in time for ATACMS
@macmcleod1188
@macmcleod1188 24 күн бұрын
Wow, I can't imagine what got my post censored. But since I'm going to get notifications I might as well put in another post What I said was Russia's built up stockpile of equipment has gotten so low that recently Russian soldiers are using motorcycles or even walking in on foot instead of being transported to the front. And
@macmcleod1188
@macmcleod1188 24 күн бұрын
... andThat Russia's current production capability appears to have failed to replace equipment as fast as it's being destroyed.
@Zyzyx442
@Zyzyx442 23 күн бұрын
Amazing you got +79k views with a powerpoint presentation and without any advertisment, this is something else. Thanks for your work.
@isaac6077
@isaac6077 23 күн бұрын
He does good work. Im not surprised
@Hamster110R1
@Hamster110R1 22 күн бұрын
"Justifiable Friendly Fire" nearly killed me...was choking on my lemonade for quite a bit. Love ya Perun !
@Danksta911
@Danksta911 24 күн бұрын
Instant excitement, instant like, instant download. Perun has uploaded!
@udittlamba
@udittlamba 24 күн бұрын
can't wait to binge 1 hours of slideshow :D
@MarkGoding
@MarkGoding 24 күн бұрын
Sunday night is Perun night.
@benoithudson7235
@benoithudson7235 24 күн бұрын
Western aid policy in Ukraine is pretty obvious: extreme moderation. It’s the same policy that worked so well with COVID, where we were all in various levels of restrictions for almost two years, except for a few of us living in places that went for elimination rather than control. And with the climate crisis, same. And the occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan. Moderation works well when you’re talking about making a deal with someone. In an existential struggle, not so much.
@richardarriaga6271
@richardarriaga6271 24 күн бұрын
*insert meme of ethnic nationalist and BLM protester with moderate saying to compromise*
@perihelion7798
@perihelion7798 24 күн бұрын
"Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice. And moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue. " Barry Goldwater, 1964. I was too young to vote then, but I supported him.
@andersgrassman6583
@andersgrassman6583 24 күн бұрын
Or you educate and trust people, like Sweden, which had no restrictions, just daily public briefings and Q&A. And people we're trusted to act responsibly. Like socializing outdoors, and everyone that could work from home, did so. No schools were closed, as children didn't get that sick, if at all. The Swedish deathtoll wasn't bad at all, compared to the rest of Europe, looking back. The economy wasn't hurt, children's education and quality of life remained unaffected. And socializing outdoor, I found a rather minor infringement. I think Ukraine has so far fought this war in the same spirit Sweden took on Covid.
@richardarriaga6271
@richardarriaga6271 23 күн бұрын
@@andersgrassman6583 Sweden had people with long COVID and much less population density or shared households than other countries.
@isaac6077
@isaac6077 23 күн бұрын
It worked great for me but i actually have a funtional immune system unlike the rest of the world apparently
@krwada
@krwada 24 күн бұрын
If I could give TEN thumbs up for this video presentation, I would. Excellent analyses, research and explanations.
@UnnamedBridgeburner
@UnnamedBridgeburner 24 күн бұрын
Perun! Please do a video explaining how military aid works. I’m tired of seeing people say why are we sending billions of dollars to Ukraine, let’s have free [insert something expensive you can’t afford for yourself]. Please explain, if you know, how military aid works and how the accounting works. That way I can send it to idiots I know so they can learn them something.
@Kyle-sr6jm
@Kyle-sr6jm 24 күн бұрын
Borrowed money is still borrowed money, even if it is spent in the states. The other way to look at this is that it is a huge money transfer from US tax payers to arms manufacturers under the guise of "aid".
@tonysu8860
@tonysu8860 24 күн бұрын
If money is well spent for a good cause, it should not bother anyone and may or may not be borrowed in this case. It's US taxpayer money being spent to hopefully avoid sacrificing future American lives by supporting allies willing to sacrifice for a shared common interest. As described in this video, the amount isn't even very much at all, about 1/5 of one percent of the US budget, all the economic activity benefits only Americans and the US MIC gains new insights into modern weapons needs. Americans are winning in this aid package every which way.
@andersgrassman6583
@andersgrassman6583 24 күн бұрын
@@Kyle-sr6jm These old stocks would have been replaced anyway, so the spending might have been somewhat delayed, and labeled different. But the money would in any case have been spent. The USA isn't going to disarm.
@ChucksSEADnDEAD
@ChucksSEADnDEAD 23 күн бұрын
​@@Kyle-sr6jm Money borrowed 30 years ago will be blown up or thrown into the sea. Old military equipment is donated, sold for pennies to less wealthy countries or straight up disposed of. Tanks and IFVs are famous for being ripped out of stuff that could release dangerous chemicals and thrown overboard to make coral reefs. You're not going back in time to prevent that money from being spent.
@Mortablunt
@Mortablunt 23 күн бұрын
I can’t tell you a single thing that money to Ukraine has done for me other than see my tax refund turn into a tax bill all the past couple years! We get fed buzzwords and dogma instead of concrete benefits. What is every American entitled to one lay per month from Ukrainian a hottie? Are we getting cheap tax free vodka if we help Ukraine? Did we get 25% off Stalker 2 if we help them? Do we get a $200 voucher off a package vacation to Ukrainian Black Sea? Do American students get priority placement at Ukrainian universities? Will we get Ukrainian labor from some sort of guest worker program? We’re not answered anything, we’re just told something something freedom something something democracy, Russia bad Russia bad Russia bad. I couldn’t tell you what benefit we get out of saving the Nazi regime in Kiev. Ukraine doesn’t give us anything special we don’t have any special great deals with them. They aren’t the supplier of any rare material they don’t send us intellectual capital they don’t send us really anything at all except hot chicks for sale and rent. Well, except for Nazi indoctrinated mass shooters like at Buffalo and in El Paso. So we are burning money in a big fire, pretty much when it comes to Ukraine, for no actual benefit to us.
@SnowmanTF2
@SnowmanTF2 24 күн бұрын
One thing to consider on funds being allowed in 2025. US federal budget years do not line up with calendar years, they start in October. So it seems pretty standard for a bill allocating at least some funds from the 2024 budget to be allowed spent well in 2025.
@tristanridley1601
@tristanridley1601 24 күн бұрын
You seem confused though. This is still the bill for 2023-2024, which should end in September 2024. It's just so late that the 2023 portion is moot.
@cugelchannel4733
@cugelchannel4733 19 күн бұрын
Seriously strangest protest ever: "We demand more spending on the war economy and less on local projects! I don't want a park! Why do I need paving stones?" In my town we complain constantly about unrepaired potholes. Nothing makes us more mad than a front end re-alignment caused by giant holes in the street!
@stmcde1701
@stmcde1701 24 күн бұрын
Air Force getting 3.3 billion for the Stargate program... I mean, uh, "Deep space radar telemetry"
@MattttG3
@MattttG3 23 күн бұрын
God bless you Per! Fawkkkkkk this is on *POINT* and legit I hope everyone is sharing this with everyone
@MrEerilybasic
@MrEerilybasic 23 күн бұрын
Perun, I look forward every week to your quirky .ptt presentations of high quality, researched, cited, and intelligent information. I have become interested in geopolitics and much more aware of war as 'diplomacy by other means'. Thank you for giving these presentations for us, but also the world. Eric, USA
@barbeonline351
@barbeonline351 23 күн бұрын
Thanks. While almost all Perun videos are "should watch" or "must watch", this one is a "must re-watch". This one has data that any American needs on the tip of their tongue when confronted by the loud folks who never venture beyond the shallow end of the pool.
@sergeyangmar
@sergeyangmar 24 күн бұрын
I reckon that there's one more important factor that needs to be addressed in conjunction with 6-month delay - it is that this delay scored a huge hit to Ukrainian morale. Especially after seeing a rather swift response by the western militaries to Iranian missile attack on Israel. I mean that from Ukrainian point of view it looked pretty absurd: one day we had Russian, Iranian and North Korean ballistic missiles hitting our cities and power plants with some Russian cruise missiles flying uncontested through actual NATO air space and just next day we saw how western air forces didn't care much for Israel not being a NATO member or in fact being allied, or that Iranian rockets were flying through their neighbor's air space or for not being at war with Iran etc. Good for Israel but after this operation all those talks how Russian missiles cannot be intercepted even in NATO air space sound as empty as all those long speeches about firm commitment to defending democracy. Another important thing that needs to be kept in mind when comparing all these big budget numbers and their actual impact on battle field is that Ukraine has a huge malus - the fact that we cannot freely use western military aid for strikes on Russian territory. Kharkiv (our 2nd largest city of 1.5 mln) is being destroyed right now by daily KAB-500 and S-300 strikes and we cannot use said aid to stop that. There’s talk that we might be allowed to use ATACMS to strike Crimean bridge but it is still not confirmed and the fact is that such a strike will not have the same impact as it would’ve had 2 years ago because Russians used this time to build additional infrastructure to supply it from the main land. Combine this with request from White House not to hit Russian refineries even with our homemade drones and you can probably guess why there was so much quoting of Churchill’s "You can count on Americans doing the right thing, after exhausting all the other possibilities" on Ukrainian twitter. And as days go by this “doing the right thing” becomes more and more illusional, so we do as we ought to and then comes what may.
@perihelion7798
@perihelion7798 24 күн бұрын
OK, but Ukrainian moral has been suffering since the failed offense, and the Ukrainian troops are being worn down by constant fighting against a never-ending enemy, and very formidable defensive barriers. Russia is using it's historical strategy to defeat Ukraine's advances.
@peterfireflylund
@peterfireflylund 24 күн бұрын
The “right” of Jews to occupy other people’s country and “defend” themselves is more important in American politics than freedom, justice, principles, taxpayers, treaties, allies, protection of the American border, and any kind of long-term rationality.
@andersgrassman6583
@andersgrassman6583 24 күн бұрын
Although we (like me, I'm Swedish) don't actually fight the war, the USA has made all it's allies nervous about future support. Really sad, that at the same time we finally joined NATO, doubts about the USA weakens the alliance. Hopefully, American elections will put an end to American isolationism.
@orthrus4490
@orthrus4490 24 күн бұрын
​@@andersgrassman6583if you think this american isolationism then... yikes. Trust me we're still heavily involved, its just that we cant agree on how much we still want to be involved with a lot of issues worsening domestically. A common saying here is that the american governments last priority is the american people, and its mostly rung true for the past 20 years
@KryptnGaming
@KryptnGaming 24 күн бұрын
​@@peterfireflylund *Zionists
@susang4507
@susang4507 24 күн бұрын
Thank you, Perun! Ukrainians complaining about spending money to fix roads and stuff impresses me so much about the Ukrainian spirit and focus on what’s important right now - that is to win and end this war!💖🇺🇦💖🇺🇸💖
@jf7243
@jf7243 23 күн бұрын
How many blokes can produce a YT slide show from financial spreadsheets and gain this many views? This bloke is brilliant! Well done Perun.
@catherineandpaulfuters2523
@catherineandpaulfuters2523 23 күн бұрын
Thank you for your coverage and insights 🇪🇺🇺🇦🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇺🇦🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇺🇦🇬🇧
@ChildofWar2
@ChildofWar2 24 күн бұрын
What a wonderful day! It's my birthday AND Perun puts out another slideshow!
@matthiasbecker5064
@matthiasbecker5064 24 күн бұрын
Happy Birthday ! 🥳🎉🎉🥳
@Syndr1
@Syndr1 24 күн бұрын
Is every Sunday your Birthday 🎂?
@MellowGrunt10
@MellowGrunt10 24 күн бұрын
Happy birthday!
@MaeLSTRoM1997
@MaeLSTRoM1997 24 күн бұрын
Bappy Hirthday
@JR-gp2zk
@JR-gp2zk 24 күн бұрын
Happy Birthday, fellow PowerPoint lover.
@jacobno7400
@jacobno7400 24 күн бұрын
Amazing video as always, I really enjoyed this one! Thank you and the team for all the hard work!
@neilgriffiths6427
@neilgriffiths6427 24 күн бұрын
Super work thanks Perun!
@SargentGunnery
@SargentGunnery 24 күн бұрын
Thank you for the video, Perun!
@edwardv1219
@edwardv1219 24 күн бұрын
Thank you once again for an amazing update.
@MattttG3
@MattttG3 23 күн бұрын
*BRO! This is SO important for ALL my fellow Americans to see!*
@williamyoung9401
@williamyoung9401 23 күн бұрын
I love the Squid Game comparison with Red Light, Green Light, lol. It was probably the same analogy used to convince Mike Johnson to bring the bills up for a vote, lol.
@Veritas419
@Veritas419 23 күн бұрын
Yes out tax dollars squandered on a war the Ukrainians can’t win
@pRahvi0
@pRahvi0 20 күн бұрын
How much better the democracies - and to some degree, all countries regardless of their government type - would work, if all their people understood the value of sober analysis like Perun's.
@Andrei2patrU
@Andrei2patrU 24 күн бұрын
awesome analysis once again, thank you!
@kyk1682
@kyk1682 24 күн бұрын
Thanks for the update
@toysoldier6093
@toysoldier6093 24 күн бұрын
Watching this during a cross country roadtrip to my wedding. Really completes the experience.
@sauleddy1
@sauleddy1 23 күн бұрын
Is your spouse going to give up Kalingrad?
@williamyoung9401
@williamyoung9401 23 күн бұрын
"Honey, no...later...Perun has a new video." 😉
@SwordOfApollo
@SwordOfApollo 22 күн бұрын
I hope you're not the one driving...😬
@jaym4144
@jaym4144 23 күн бұрын
Another great video. Thanks.
@mattbrown5511
@mattbrown5511 23 күн бұрын
Thank you for all you do to keep us informed.
@tilley2572
@tilley2572 14 күн бұрын
Basically having a garage sale only your friends can attend 😂😂 love you perun. Nailed it
@anno-fw7xn
@anno-fw7xn 24 күн бұрын
Thanks for you great work
@Snipeyou1
@Snipeyou1 24 күн бұрын
Week 20 of liking before watching.
@justvid366
@justvid366 23 күн бұрын
Actually, algorithm doesn't like it. You better watch more than 50% before you like
@S0RGEx
@S0RGEx 23 күн бұрын
Thanks, Perun!
@Lolztrel
@Lolztrel 24 күн бұрын
Amazing analysis, thank you.
@saint-miscreant
@saint-miscreant 24 күн бұрын
these powerpoints have become my weekly ritual that makes my Sunday nights (aka pre-Mondays) a vastly better experience
@YanBaoQin
@YanBaoQin 24 күн бұрын
Good to see you Perun. I've been looking forward to this
@StereoSpace
@StereoSpace 23 күн бұрын
Thanks for these comprehensive overviews you produce.
@red_nikolai
@red_nikolai 23 күн бұрын
I suppose gifting shiploads of military equipment is a fairly public display of affection.
@misutatomasu
@misutatomasu 23 күн бұрын
I don't know why USA does this, the delays, the announcement of equipment being delivered and then giving russians months in advance to prepare for it. Did russians or the Chinese do this while USA was in Vietnam? Did they announce the systems they were giving to the VC?
@sonicblackhole3559
@sonicblackhole3559 23 күн бұрын
Let’s go another upload, thank you Aussie slideshow man
@McNubbys
@McNubbys 23 күн бұрын
Well done, and I'm glad you finally got to make this one Mr. Powerpoint man😊
@viliussmproductions
@viliussmproductions 23 күн бұрын
Thank you, Americans!
@kevak1236
@kevak1236 24 күн бұрын
USA should let Ukraine charge them for the 'safe' disposal of all those DPICM shells they are sending to Ukraine. USA is going to pay for disposal anyway.......
@rajeshkanungo6627
@rajeshkanungo6627 24 күн бұрын
We should have sold them to a disposal company which did live fire and testing. In Ukraine. They could have charged the US billions for testing out weapons for us and then used that to buy more body armor and other things.
@tristanridley1601
@tristanridley1601 24 күн бұрын
These ideas are too obvious and common sense. Next you're going to suggest an across the board policy that if any stored equipment is "unacceptably out of date" it should be sold (discounted to whatever degree) immediately to Ukraine or the EU.
@icu17siberia
@icu17siberia 23 күн бұрын
you forget that there were no shells in Europe...none. So US gave what it could and Ukraine accepted.
@noelliedecasterle6693
@noelliedecasterle6693 20 күн бұрын
THANK YOU FOR ALL YOUR GREAT PRESENTATIONS...!!!
@bobthebomb1596
@bobthebomb1596 24 күн бұрын
These video's are extremely well researched and presented. Well done.
@davidcpugh8743
@davidcpugh8743 24 күн бұрын
Timely report! Helps build the case. Europe certainly needs to do the necessary. Best if USA in a support role. But not abandoning Ukraine 🇺🇦
@autohmae
@autohmae 24 күн бұрын
Let's remember it took the US years to stockpile as much ammunition, which is why Europe can't just re-create it fast while also delivering to Ukraine at the same time.
@davidcpugh8743
@davidcpugh8743 24 күн бұрын
@@autohmae yes Europe can. And they seem very willing now to do the necessary. Depending on USA to do it all? Times up to put up?
@teardrop-in-a-fishbowl
@teardrop-in-a-fishbowl 24 күн бұрын
​@@autohmaeWhere Germany really does what it can. Some people repeating Taurus - Taurus, but giving up another patriot system (out of duty) and brand-new IRIS T's, as well as building a new plant for artillery shells, is more than anyone else is doing. Macron talks the talk and Britain can only deliver what it produces. The Netherlands, bc of lack of Patriots, tries to buy something elsewhere. Spain and Italy are effing around. Greece wants to deliver "something" but only if it gets "insurance" that it gets something back. If all who produce artillery shells would deliver what it could produce, Ukraine would get at least 60- 100,000 shells a month + what the US can produce. So, it wouldn't be a miracle if everyone does "a bit" to help. I'm pretty pi**ed how some countries behave and how people are mislead.
@MarcosElMalo2
@MarcosElMalo2 24 күн бұрын
Looking for the silver lining here, the delay and uncertainty of U.S. aid seems to have pushed the EU harder and further to do their part. There’s a very thin silver thread in U.S. domestic politics. The MAGA faction’s power in Congress really has only a small number of hard core true believers, with the main body of the conference being bullied to go along because Trump and Trump allies control campaign funding (and threaten insufficiently loyal representatives and senators with being “primaried”). But the nominally MAGA elected officials appear to be pretty frustrated with the extremists. (It’s hard to describe the situation without getting far into the details, so I’ll try to simplify.) While Trump is strong and can focus on party discipline, the likes of Marjorie Taylor Greene can threaten the Speaker and deliver on that threat. This is why the foreign military aid package never came up for a vote. The Speaker of the House, elected by a very narrow margin, can be deposed with a handful of vote against him (this happened to his predecessor). This made him Trump’s lapdog. Trump is now (finally) in court, being tried for campaign finance fraud (the Hush Money case). This is taking up Trump’s time and attention that he should be spending on campaigning and browbeating republican congresspeople and senators. Trump has been at his weakest since the trial began. This is the moment that Mike Johnson, the Speaker of the House, chose to buck the MAGAs and assert the power of his office. He’s taking a big risk but he arguably couldn’t get the aid packages passed before this moment. He is still under the gun and might lose the Speakership. He doesn’t want to rely on help from the democrats who have sent mixed signals about their support. But the point is that there is a small window here that Johnson can break MAGA control of the House of Representatives, and maybe, just maybe, begin to work in a bipartisan way. It’s a very slender thread. A lot of things have to go right. But this thread didn’t exist before. And this gets us to November, although a new congress won’t be seated until January.
@autohmae
@autohmae 24 күн бұрын
@@teardrop-in-a-fishbowl Let's remember NATO countries and others in Europe all need to have some kind of stock pile in case Russia gets silly ideas and wants to euh... visit an other country. Greece still has a conflict with Turkey which is a country with a fast growing military industry. So I think those kinds of factors do put some limit on what they can do with their existing stockpiles. You also forget something else, I think their are countries who aren't interested in letting Ukraine win in the short term, but a higher priority is to have Russia deplete their resources to prevent Russia starting any new conflicts for a long time.
@B.L.A.M
@B.L.A.M 24 күн бұрын
Red light green light had me laughing to hard in this.. but hey great video as always!
@hctim96
@hctim96 24 күн бұрын
Good stuff, thanks for the information...
@Rico.308
@Rico.308 24 күн бұрын
PERUN VIDEO DROPPED LETZ GOOOO
@MikeF1189
@MikeF1189 23 күн бұрын
Congratulations on over 500k subs.
@burdy2959
@burdy2959 23 күн бұрын
It's worth noting that within the supplemental is a provision requiring the DoD to issue a report on American strategy and financing to win the war
@XxBloggs
@XxBloggs 23 күн бұрын
Great video, thanks for making it. It makes the whole package clearer.
@BalbazaktheGreat
@BalbazaktheGreat 23 күн бұрын
Excellent work, as always.
@RotGolem
@RotGolem 24 күн бұрын
Sunday afternoon: coffee after lunch, new sprues to tackle (yes, it's plasticrack I know thankyou), 1 full hour of Perun. Aaaahhh.
@brenatevi
@brenatevi 24 күн бұрын
The other and stuff bit cracked me up.
@oconnem1
@oconnem1 16 күн бұрын
Great presentation. Witty, well thought through and highly informative. Thank you.
@racebiketuner
@racebiketuner 24 күн бұрын
Thanks for another great vid!
@variable7833
@variable7833 24 күн бұрын
It should not have taken this long to get ukraine more aid but im glad it finally went through
@akeleven
@akeleven 23 күн бұрын
I hope that every US citizen that cares about Ukraine is making sure to tell their congressman, weekly! They all have websites and email. A little research and you can find out it's easy
@huntergatherer7796
@huntergatherer7796 23 күн бұрын
Just as many are telling their Congress critter not to support Ukraine
@joby10095
@joby10095 23 күн бұрын
I'm pretty sure the citizens of Baltimore would rather have that money go to fixing the Key Bridge, and the citizens of Maui (who got a whopping $700 is FEMA aid after the wild fires destroyed their homes), could certainly think of something better to do with that money. And if we HAVE to spend the mkney on defense dollars, the US Marines and Soldiers living in moldy barracks with busted A/Cs could probably give you a good idea of things to do with that money.
@akeleven
@akeleven 23 күн бұрын
@@joby10095 there's plenty of money for both. The amount of money we give Ukraine is a drop in the bucket, especially compared to the amount of money that oil and pharma corporations do NOT pay
@akeleven
@akeleven 23 күн бұрын
@@huntergatherer7796 the ones that don't care don't bother
@joby10095
@joby10095 23 күн бұрын
@@akeleven really? We're 30+ TRILLION dollars in debt. Every fake dollar we print is a bump in inflation and mortgaging a bit more of our kids' future. And I saw enough waste and money spent on overseas adventures that meant nothing to the US during my time in the Middle East. The time to draw the line was 20 years ago, but we have to start somewhere, and I'm tired of watching US dollars go towards financing other people's wars.
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