New Report: Dire Sea Level Rise up to 20 meters (66 ft) Locked-In Even if Climate Goals Met

New climate change reports are being released every single day as we approach the start of the 28th version of the United Nations Climate Conference (COP28 - Conference of Parties 28)
In this video I chat about the new report on the vanishing cryosphere with massive sea level rise called: “State of the Cryosphere 2023: Two degrees is too high: We cannot negotiate with the melting point of ice”; link is in this article: apple.news/AaP...
Essentially, this report argues that Earth is facing dire sea level rise - up to 20m - even if climate goals are met and the global average temperature is stabilized at 2 degrees Celsius relative to the IPCC baseline 1850-1900 average.
I discuss the main findings in this report, and have a look at what the figures tell us in specific areas of glacier melt, permafrost thaw and emissions feedbacks, Arctic and Antarctica polar temperature amplification and sea ice loss, polar ocean acidification, and changes to ocean circulation patterns and consequences.
By the way, we are heading to a 2023 global average temperature of 1.54 degrees Celsius or higher, and on November 18, 2023 the daily average temperature reached 2.0 degrees C above the IPCC baseline for the first time.
It appears that by the start of next year, we will only legitimately and honestly be able to discuss the 1.5 C temperature goal in the past tense. Recall that in the James Hansen video recently, I chatted about 1.71 C by 2030 and 2 C by 2038 with James.
Please donate to paulbeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I join the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.

[@PaulHBeckwith]

New climate change reports are being released every single day as we approach the start of the 28th version of the United Nations Climate Conference (COP28 - Conference of Parties 28) In this video I chat about the new report on the vanishing cryosphere with massive sea level rise called: “State of the Cryosphere 2023: Two degrees is too high: We cannot negotiate with the melting point of ice”; link is in this article: apple.news/AaPaaajMYT-iWfWXxchoOjw Essentially, this report argues that Earth is facing dire sea level rise - up to 20m - even if climate goals are met and the global average temperature is stabilized at 2 degrees Celsius relative to the IPCC baseline 1850-1900 average. I discuss the main findings in this report, and have a look at what the figures tell us in specific areas of glacier melt, permafrost thaw and emissions feedbacks, Arctic and Antarctica polar temperature amplification and sea ice loss, polar ocean acidification, and changes to ocean circulation patterns and consequences. By the way, we are heading to a 2023 global average temperature of 1.54 degrees Celsius or higher, and on November 18, 2023 the daily average temperature reached 2.0 degrees C above the IPCC baseline for the first time. It appears that by the start of next year, we will only legitimately and honestly be able to discuss the 1.5 C temperature goal in the past tense. Recall that in the James Hansen video recently, I chatted about 1.71 C by 2030 and 2 C by 2038 with James. Please donate to paulbeckwith.net to support my research and videos as I join the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.

[@pascalblackmore8098]

dear Paul, 1.54C is the avg through october 2023 (from january). Likely approaching 1.6C by december

[@gilbertsatchell6866]

We are in a "termination zero event".

[@andrewmeiklem5098]

They understand. I wouldn't be surprised if they have been building rich arks all over the place for themselves lol

[@artcassetteworld9975]

Take action by making less ACTIONS = CARPOOLING

[@adelinad3513]

Can you please also tell us for each "research report" who is the institution or foundation who paid for it? It would be interesting to track who puts these out and later in time to match their actions agains their reports. Can you please make a spreadsheet with publishers, researchers names and financial backing of the paper. Thank you!

[@thec0mmnmann822]

Apparently it is more important to maintain continuous war.

[@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885]

you must be missing out on that $30 million a year military contractor CEO salary!

[@adelinad3513]

War brings money to the pockets of people in charge of the country. Now that the petro-dollar is no longer petrol backed and you don't have industry, the only thing left to weaponize is the world population. By owning the media and the education system curriculums they divide people and spread little fires of disent that are used then to create a world war . We must resist and turn off your TV.

[@NickBrowning-lk1oj]

And the zombies put their poppies on year upon year touting lest we forget...😢

[@kti5682]

​@@NickBrowning-lk1ojWhat was the temperature anomaly in 1945, 0.4°C, isn't this wonderful to remember, oh those wonderful war years. Seems like escapism to me.

[@jamescollins3647]

@@NickBrowning-lk1oj Lest we forget is because of the people who died so that shit like you could spout bollox.

[@jessieadore]

People are literally like.. shopping and booking cruises and watching dancing with the stars while we’re just sitting here bathing in an existential crisis jacuzzi 😭. I genuinely can’t tell if I’m laughing or crying

[@susanl7514]

"Nero fiddles while Rome burns."

[@mindsindialogue]

circus.. grab some popcorn, it is still cheap and enjoy.

[@stevangelical7052]

"Dancing with the stars"😂 Pity the poor masses.

[@teddybearroosevelt1847]

Honestly, I am part of the party as well and I think that’s the best way to go down. If you know you’re on the titanic and you know the ship is going to hit an iceberg, do you want your last moments to be dominated by that event or do you want to live with grace as Guy McPherson likes to put it, enjoy your last moments while also trying to be a good person to those around you? I choose the latter.

[@juliebarks3195]

@@susanl7514 Now It's "The politicians fiddle while we burn."

[@michaelschiessl8357]

Thank you very much Paul for your tireless dedication toward giving us the facts and breaking down the scientific data for us. We appreciate you.

[@adelinad3513]

Is he getting paid for this dedication to read one sided articles? No debate in this channel .

[@obsoleteoptics]

@@adelinad3513 There is no debate. It's science, not politics.

[@williampatton7476]

Well give the otherside then home boy. I'm all ears.

[@glennkeppel9836]

Just switch back to your fox news or 4 chan feed; that should meet your needs. @@adelinad3513

[@BenGates101]

😂😂😂Lol

[@sobolanul82]

Romania, Eastern Europe, 20 Nov 2023. I have some linden trees in front of my house and they still have the leaves green. I read on internet about them and normally the last leaves should have already fallen at the end of September because of the sub freeze nights. But it's not the case anymore, we had positive values for 24hours until 2 days ago when snow arrived at higher altitudes. I remember my childhood winters when in the same month we already had inches of snow and frozen nights in the low altitudes. Last winter my city tasted only 1 week of snow which melted rapidly because of the positive temps day/night. Near my city we have some mountains with a ski resort. They used artificial snow cannons intensively until January when snow arrived there. But it was a short season for ski overall. Now they have some snow plus what they made artificially. I'm curios how this season will be. Frozen lakes to play on them? Never saw that in the last 5-10 years. Summers: hell on Earth in the last years. Last summer I had 28-29 C degrees day/night in the house. Some people are happy because they will pay less for heating in the winters but they don't realize how dangerous will become the summers heat waves and the same energy will be used for AC cooling. Continental temperate climate was in the past. Welcome to tropics! I'm a guy connected to nature from childhood to adult and I have my observations. So I have a recommendation for who keeps denies the reality: go outside and observe how the nature changes over years.

[@freeheeler09]

Sibilant, at a 1000 meters in the mountains of California. Same here; first frost is over a month late! That is driving beetle kills in our mountains.

[@reuireuiop0]

In the Netherlands, some trees still had a fair share of leaves right up the first frost this week (December) They used to lose most leaves in October, and be bare branch leave less by November. Some older trees even fell in the first stormy November winds, with nearly all leaves still there ..

[@kti5682]

Well, I travelled to Romania in the 80s and thought I could never grow mulberry and almond trees, but now the mulberry tree I planted in my parents garden is doing well, and who knows almond may have a chance.

[@alexcarter8807]

You are correct good sir. There was nothing in the US about the Sikkim flood, because no Americans were inconvenienced by it. If we're going to hear about disasters overseas, we need to keep young, attractive, blonde, Americans posted in these overseas danger spots.

[@chrisyarnold6205]

Americans are about to become inconvenienced by events. Just think in simple terms for them. The glaciers have left their mountain homes, and gone on vacation. Some of them are coming to a coastal resort in the US. Mind you we are no better in the UK. Our PM is so stupid that he thinks now is good time to drill for missed oil puddles under the North Sea!

[@flamegarden]

Sadly true. Very sadly.

[@edwardmiessner6502]

They have to be female, too. It won't work if these young Americans are guys.

[@gtfg3800]

The world has never seen floods ? Are you serious ? Have you heard of Noah ? How many cars were being driven when it rained for 40 days & 40 nights ? Do you really think man. over the last 100 years, could possibly know enough about the planet to understand it ? The same man that can't stop the common cold ...

[@gadabout694]

So when is it going to start???? Have you ever asked how much the sea level has actually risen? Let's ask NOAA... The answer is less than 3 millimeters per year... Here is the Proof look up your own location .. tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.html

[@parrsnipps4495]

That first graph showing we just hit 2C and the overall red line for 2023 as compared to previous plotted years, suggests we've passed a tipping point. Hansen says reducing Sulphur in shipping fuel has raised CO2 levels the equivalent of going from 420 ppm to 525 ppm. That's about 40 years of carbon emissions equivalency just by reducing dimming from cleaner shipping fuel. We're in big trouble, NOW!

[@danwatson171]

Yes we are. I’ve loved and deciphered patterns my whole life, but when I caught wind of our extinction several years ago and absorbed those patterns it shook my world. I’ve grieved and accepted that humanity will expire before we even see 2030. 90 percent of food producing plants will die if experiencing 3C over the 1750 baseline for more than 3hrs. In a world averaging 2C, many countries will touch 3 and lose their entire agricultural industry overnight. The momentum of social patterns was too established to change in time, so now no matter how we move, starvation and thirst is coming for us all in the next few years.

[@adelinad3513]

😂😂😂 and you really belive ppm has an impact in your life. Illusion for the masses, control tool for later. Be real

[@Ominousheat]

@@danwatson171 Social patterns? It has nothing to do with social, patterns. It's the propagation of toxic fossil fuels with capitalists lobbying governments for deregulation and lesser incentives for renewables. It's a scam. And it can still be reversed. It just takes the various govs around the world to have the balls to take on the fossil fuel companies. To nationalise them all. If people get anzi about that then tough titty. It has to be done. To suggest our fate is locked in is pure apathy.

[@wjfox2006]

@@adelinad3513 Why don't you believe ppm has an impact on your life? You don't believe in physics?

[@ourcollectivewisdom8769]

@@danwatson171why do you believe we will not see 2030?

[@mamapretz]

Thank you Mr Beckwith for another informative video. This is the stuff of nightmares.

[@treefrog3349]

Except that nightmares are merely mental phantasms. This is real as a heart attack!

[@gadabout694]

I have been hearing this for the last 30 years.... So when is it going to start???? Have you ever asked how much the sea level has actually risen? Let's ask NOAA... The answer is less than 3 millimeters per year... Here is the Proof look up your own location .. tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.html

[@Meagain921]

Thanks again Paul. Your place is like home to me. I do not know anyone who knows, or seeks to know, the real situation. I can’t talk about it to other than my cats, who I accept are vastly more intelligent than humans, but they just do the superior cat thing of living a life. So I can visit your place which has a community of fellow mortals who are not just plain bog stupid. It’s a refuge for me and therapy.

[@richardyoung5293]

well it looks like we are screw homie cause i do not think the leaders of the world care or maybe they do not understand the science. If Trump gets re-elected in 2024 that is the end of the united states even giving a pretense of caring .

[@texasrefugee7888]

Noam Chomsky says Trump is being used to distract from environmental catastrophe and the build-up to nuclear war. Our government can't gaslight, lie, minimize, and outright deny climate crisis any longer. So Trump not only ignores and denies it, his circus is a huge distraction. Several years ago, the Pentagon put out a report that stated climate crisis was the USAs worst problem. John McCain, who was also a climate denier, waited until he was on his deathbed to admit the climate is in crisis. In our country, "it's all about the economy stupid" is true. Just like Uncle Sam denied and lied about COVID epidemic and hundreds of thousands died unnecessarily from government denial, misinformation, and inept handling of infection protocol because the economy is much more important.

[@remodeledcatidea5324]

You mean screwed, not screw. You must annunciate the King's English correctly, We can't become uncivilized just because of eminent extinction.

[@peter9477]

​@@remodeledcatidea5324Did you edit to adjust previously correct text to be wrong, or was it just to fix typos to make the deliberate mistakes funnier?

[@jerrylyns7331]

@@remodeledcatidea5324static

[@justmenotyou3151]

​@@remodeledcatidea5324Bugger off.

[@roberthornack1692]

The aerosol masking paradox makes it abundantly clear that we have already reached the point of no return!

[@____________aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa]

That’s why no action taken to curb it

[@alexcarter8807]

The McPherson Paradox. Yep, it's all baked in, folks. But even if it weren't, our response to every COP meeting and every dire warning from scientists has been to increase the amount of fossil fuels we burn, increase air travel, buy bigger vehicles, etc. So it doesn't matter if it's baked in or not, we're not going anywhere but as close to earthly Hell as we can contrive.

[@treefrog3349]

And ask yourself how many "every day" human beings are even aware of that phenomena. Ironically I have come to believe that "ignorance truly is bliss'.

[@odhrancrowe3894]

Ya... really. All the worry and anxiety of the people here ghat can make it through Paul's videos. But for what? To justify the inexplicable "feelings" many of us have had for years but need someone like Paul to connect the dots and spoon feed us the many levels of system breakdown that will unfold over the next 50yrs. It would have been so much better not to know. Maybe death by a thousand cuts doesn't seem so bad while taking the right medication.

[@Muddslinger0415]

@@odhrancrowe3894I don’t think we have 50 more like 20

[@Mark-ql2wp]

In addition to shifting the baseline, administrators have come up with another extremely useful tool in the fight to keep us under 1.5°C. Averaging the Global Average Temperature Rise over longer time frames will help to keep us below 1.5°C for decades to come. If we shift the baseline to the year 2000 and use a century long average, oil company profits could be safeguarded long past 2050!

[@treefrog3349]

The sheer momentum of 8 billion humans who are ignorantly or willfully pursuing their own self-interest, and who believe that the Earth was provided for THEM rather than recognizing that every living thing on this planet is part of a larger "organism" called Earth, is the crux of our predicament.The sheer scale of the problem seems tragically, yet logically, insurmountable.

[@RustOnWheels]

Tragedy of the commons.

[@edwardmiessner6502]

And we're collectively F'd by that crux.

[@dmrr7739]

It IS surmountable. But we have an economic class who have no interest is divesting from oil. What’s more, they know they personally won’t be affected by the outcome. So, for now they say, “drill, baby, drill.” When the consequences become undeniable, they’ll do what they always do: blame it on brown people.

[@martiansoon9092]

In Alps even a record high snowfall in the winter did not protect the ice sheet for melting further...

[@terencefield3204]

Good to know Oxford will be seaside town. A pity about Cambridge………..

[@gadabout694]

So when is it going to start???? Have you ever asked how much the sea level has actually risen? Let's ask NOAA... The answer is less than 3 millimeters per year... Here is the Proof look up your own location .. tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.html

[@alexcarter8807]

I love it, hold the COP meeting in Dubai because we're Saving The Earth(tm). My favorite Saving The Earth(tm) thing lately is how someone decided to take sulfur out of cargo ship fuel, thus making the warming effect of cargo ships 2X what it was before. I can see it now, the official, an American probably, between fistfuls of Pringles and pulls of Mountain Dew from his 2-liter cup, thinking, "Hmm, I really want to sock it to Mother Earth, and I can't double the number of cargo ship, but I CAN change the fuel so it's the same as doubling the number of ships! I'm a genius! (slurp!)"

[@adelinad3513]

True, it has to be American

[@Mikey-mike]

Industrial civilization pumps 36 BILLION TONS of CO2 every year into the atmosphere and rising. Thank you, Paul.

[@russmarkham2197]

Cognitive dissonance: For example, Formula One Grand Prix just launched a huge event in Las Vegas costing tens of millions (I forgot how much but it was a lot) and the seats start at $800. Meanwhile, the Earth burns and we are soon to be doomed.

[@RustOnWheels]

The string quartet keeps on playing until the ship has fully capsized.

[@reuireuiop0]

Max Verstappen nor Lewis Hamilton have ever watched a serious video on climate change

[@reuireuiop0]

​@@RustOnWheels It didn't. It broke in two parts.

[@gtfg3800]

IF there is a climate crisis why do all the billionaires (Bill Gates, Oprah Winfrey, etc.) own seaside property & fly private jets ? Look up Al Gores book, written 30 years ago and has been completely wrong in it's climate predictions. Canadian climate counsel predictions, the same. All 100% wrong. How is that ?

[@rolandgo6744]

1 meter sea rise which is right about the door will be disastrous to world food supply since most of rice paddies are sea levels and all ports will be under water at high tide mentioning just a few.

[@rdallas81]

We will live to see that, and much worse. No mistakes about that. We will witness disasters of biblical proportions.

[@adelinad3513]

If you look under the sea to about 5km off the coast of most old cultures ( like Japan or Australia) you will find remnants of huge pyramids and monolithic stone structures made by the people before us, under the water. So yes, it's a cycle. Earth's crusts shifts, some places sink, some are flooded, some become deserts when they have been fertile ( see Egypt as civilisation has not flourished in the desert) . It's a constant change , you are not to blame and also the ppm has nothing to do with . Look at the sun for the bringer of change cycles. 😊

[@rdallas81]

@@adelinad3513 Because there was people. The earth is under changes. Within the next 50 years, much of what you see on coastlines all over the world will be under water, or inundated. Beaches today will be in the basements of houses and businesses all around the USA, and many other nations.

[@reuireuiop0]

The flooding of port Installations will completely ruin world economy. Without sea trade, economy is simply finished. This effect is far stronger - just the foresight of harbors risking floods, is going to ruin them, because no insurance company will offer to cover such risks. Yet stronger - It will become impossible to refinance port investments long before - decades, even, before any quay runs a serious chance of going under. Big Finance is not going to risk their money on rising oceans.

[@rolandgo6744]

@@reuireuiop0 with just 1 meter sea rise, money will be of no value.

[@MarkYoung-l8f]

Faster than expected! Who would have guessed?

[@juliegeneric042]

Lots of us did.

[@MarkYoung-l8f]

@@juliegeneric042 lol I take it you mean lots of us Climate Aware People. Unfortunately average Joe Blogs have not got a Clue what's in the pipeline. Especially for their Children and Grand Children. The next 40 years will be recorded in Full HD with every detail. About 2000 heat deaths this year so far and Summer has not even started ! I really cannot imagine 52'c. Wow.

[@etienne8110]

​@@MarkYoung-l8fanyone reading scientific publications knows since the 90s. But that s like 1% of the pop and they are in no position of power. So, yeah, we re screwed.

[@TheMrCougarful]

The behavior of the 2023 anomaly has no current theoretical explanation. We now are entirely off the map.

[@adelinad3513]

Theoretical...models are flawed, always have and are used by authors to push a certain narrative

[@edwardmiessner6502]

The models were far too conservative for projected temperature increase and the amount of global dimming that was delaying global warming.

[@erkinalp]

@@adelinad3513Every model has assumptions and preconditions.

[@Muddslinger0415]

@@adelinad3513actually the models are pretty dam spot on the scientists from the 50s that big oil had said all this was coming but no one believed them

[@nobody687]

The ocean currents wrap around Antarctica, so as the oceans warm, they will melt the Antarctica icesheets from below. Current emissions are increasing and only going to increase as India and China increase energy use.

[@demontrader1222]

Not India and China....world capitalism. You wanted freedumb, you got it.

[@nobody687]

@demontrader1222 human nature, not capitalism. Besides, no one said humans were smart.

[@demontrader1222]

Capitalism or infinite growth. Humans are by and large, blank slates, social economies form us. Cannibal economy, you eat your neighbour. Infinite growth greed, you shit your planet.@@nobody687

[@adelinad3513]

😂😂😂

[@adelinad3513]

Just move inland and try to be more self sustainable..oh wait, they want to bring "smart" cities for dumb people to charge them carbon tax

[@GhostOnTheHalfShell]

Considering gov inaction remember that the pathway left for people is to adapt locally. A change in zoning laws and local lobbying would drive a conversion to car-free, the introduction of perma culture as an asset, and a change in building codes to develop local material use and passive structures that do not need energy. Local condition specific adaptation is the pathway available to people. This pathway has multiple benefits: it’s cheap, it’s known technology, it has benefits regardless of climate change, and it disengages from the hydrocarbon burning cycle.

[@flamegarden]

I agree, and in addition to the ideas you listed there is much more that can be done! But there is no will. Literally people willfully lost their will to live, somewhere back there since the eco awakening of the early 1970’s and the start of Earth Day and all that was emergency work already - that did not take hold in most people, they just gave up and gave in to delusional ways and it is why there have been no logical health-sustaining behaviors by any communities from neighborhoods on up to towns and cities and counties etc. No good will. 😢 But the solutions are still there! And very possible! Always were. 🙏 I appreciate your comment and your mindset. We ran out of time to quit/give up. What will that accomplish? 🌎🌍🌏

[@nicevideomancanada]

It seems to me that the only way that emissions are going to go down is when people go down 6 feet.

[@Scepticalasfuk]

The elites have already started a global depopulation programme.

[@nsbd90now]

Faster. Faster than. Faster than expected! Wheeee!

[@mrpaul5726]

Hi Paul I am sure you have noticed it, but could you please comment on the recent deviation in CO2 levels. In recent years we have been running approx 2 ppm annual increase but in the last week this has jumped to nearly 5 ppm increase y.o.y. Yesterday was 422.36 compared to 417.31 one year ago.

[@adelinad3513]

Numbers on a paper. Could you measure it for yourself and verify these scaremongering numbers? They could say tomorrow that is 500 and that they are starting a climate lockdown for the masses because you are bad and you have to stay put and pay for it. It's all bs. Make big companies pay for the pollution they crated in the past 100 years and clean-up of earth by donating 25% of their annual profit to buy and implement cleaning methods. And also tell them now to spray alumina and other chemicals in the air ( that is still polution) plus it damages humans animals plants water and earth itself.

[@RustOnWheels]

Exponential growth leads to exponential output.

[@mrpaul5726]

Looking that way isn't it.@@RustOnWheels

[@realeyesrealizereallies6828]

I'm a person who installs solar systems for people going off grid...We have not invested in the infrastructure that produces solar panels and the electronics that are required to switch to solar..Frequently these products are out of stock, from people voluntarily switching to solar, which is a very tiny number..We can't just stop fossil energy because billions would starve, freeze, have heat related issues, etc., etc., If a civilization is wanting to switch energy sources, a massive investment in solar factories and the related electronics, as well as LIFEPO4 factories are required..China produces 90% of these products and America and it's puppet states are hell bent on destroying China and starving it's population..And our western governments only invest in the war machine to try and maintain world hegemony..Electric cars is the very last thing we need..Electric bikes and public transportation, consuming far less, and localized societies, are obvious solutions..But, the only real solution is replacing these governments, which won't happen..Civilizations don't change their foundations, instead their foundations collapse..Which is an indisputable fact, because the hundreds of civilizations that existed on Earth all self destructing and collapsed one way or another, bar none..And our civilization is the pinnacle of this cycle, far worse than any other civilization to ever exist, by thousands of orders of magnitude..We have recreated the conditions of the planets very worse mass extinction events..We are so delusional that we think we can escape the consequences of the damage we've done, which isn't possible..We merely exist within the grace period or lag in the time that it takes for massive complex stable planetary systems and civilizations systems to break down and collapse..Which is why I build solar systems for those going of grid..And ebikes, tiny houses, etc. Adapting to a collapsing civilization is where we are..If that is even possible, who knows..But creating the new, rather than beating your head off the wall of changing existing power structures is far more rewarding and rational, practical and sensible..

[@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885]

I was into solar power in the 1980s - glad you are doing the work. Too bad the Aerosol Masking Effect research by Daniel Rosenfeld's research group shows a 40% decrease in burning coal heats up Earth another 1 degree Celsius global average.

[@adelinad3513]

Because America was never about good only about profit and financial influence over others by using military influence. Free energy patents exist and they have been shelved by people at the top that have an immense interest in oil/ petrol power for control ( see petro dollar control currency from the past 50 years) . This is what damaged the balance of the world. Solar power will give freedom to people to not depend on their energy. Australia is a sun country and everyone could have free energy from the sun...do you know that you now have to pay more for putting energy in the grid if you have solar than just taking power from the grid that is from coal powered stations . 😢 you get it? Control. We can't have masses have cheap energy.

[@TheDoomWizard]

Oh you actually talk sense and don't just troll people on their channels! 🎉

[@obsoleteoptics]

@@TheDoomWizard Hush, you send people death threats. 💀

[@realeyesrealizereallies6828]

@@TheDoomWizard Never trolled anyone in my life..I joke around with people I like, some have a sense of humor, some don't...

[@jaylindberg719]

On a good note, DC will get flooded permanently. 😅😅😅😅😅

[@alexwilsonpottery3733]

Which is actually really bad news for all the people not in government who aren’t as able to up-sticks. You believe those in Congress will just sit there and drown!?

[@brentsummers7377]

Even two meters of sea level rise will cause a lot of problems. For example sewage treatment plants, and maybe some airports such as London City.

[@juliebarks3195]

And coastal Nuclear power plants.

[@adelinad3513]

Yeah, modern way of life with sewage plants and internet is going to be wiped out by the next carrington event soon anyway. Back to the 70s baby! 😂

[@juliebarks3195]

@@adelinad3513 Yeah, Donny Osmond and David Cassidy. and strange balls you would swing around and smash together until it took your eye out. Family entertainment with Rolf Harris, Gary Glitter, and Jimmy Savile? The days when teachers could get away with throwing board rubbers at your head and not be arrested. And ice on the inside of your bedroom window. But they were good times growing up.

[@Corrie-fd9ww]

Not to mention increased intensity of coastal storms with storm surges resembling tsunamis.

[@Corrie-fd9ww]

Oh and increased earthquakes due to rapidly shifting tectonic plates due to ice melt, and so actual tsunamis with a little extra water to throw around

[@irisstasinski8893]

According to the Event horizon we are at 2 degrees now , and surpassing it !

[@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885]

what's "event horizon" you mean Aerosol Masking Effect? The "arctic-news" site factors in 1750 temperature increase - and now with El Nino - yes 2 degrees seems about right. Factoring in the Aerosol Masking Effect is definitely over 2 degrees already.

[@-LightningRod-]

Thunder bay is 2C over already, soon YOU will be too,...

[@obsoleteoptics]

​@@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885During the Anthropocene greenhouse gas forcing has risen by more than 2.0 W/m2, equivalent to more than >2 °C above pre-industrial temperatures, which constitutes an abrupt event over a period not much longer than a lifetime. As the climate stabilized from about 7000 years ago, the application by Neolithic civilizations of iron tools, production of excess grain and animal husbandry, allowed human creativity, imagination, dreams, aggression, fear of death and worship of nature and of the gods to be expressed. This developed through the construction of monuments for immortality, death rituals and genocidal wars in the name of superior powers. A consequent progressive mass extinction of species is tracking towards levels commensurate with those of the past five great mass extinctions of species, constituting a geological event horizon in the history of planet Earth. Glikson, A.Y. (2021). The Age of Consequences. In: The Event Horizon: Homo Prometheus and the Climate Catastrophe. Springer, Cham.

[@irisstasinski8893]

Book by Andrew Glibson@@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885

[@adelinad3513]

Alaska has broken the records of snow 😂 and we are going cold not warm. The above are buzz words of the woke generation

[@theonionpirate1076]

Opinion: rates of sea level rise and amounts by certain points in time should be given along with maximums. The maximum itself is not that informative.

[@reuireuiop0]

Now _that_ is a sure fire challenge for climate modelling. Not that long ago, the effects Paul mentions in this vid were attributed to temp changes several degrees higher.

[@DangerAmbrose]

66 feet puts the US capital building under water.

[@peter9477]

There's always a silver lining.

[@SandhillCrane42]

Metaphorically? Like deep in debt? We can print and digitize our way out of that no problem... unless it's going to be literal water or something, IDK.

[@adelinad3513]

​@@SandhillCrane42 you can't anymore. Nobody will accept currency that us not backed by real value anymore. And your leaders would not be there, that is just a building. They will be high up in the mountains in military bases waiting for all of you to starve and drown down here. 😂

[@peter9477]

@@SandhillCrane42 Yes, literal.

[@EmeraldView]

2023 what a year. 2024 will be interesting to say the least.

[@NJcruiser]

Exactly, moving the baseline in the first place was cynical and duplicitous..

[@BufordTGleason]

In the end, I’m not sure we will be treated any different than Vietnamese or Afghan allies sensing their abandonment while being lied to until the very last moment

[@sharonhall1909]

Thank you for your dedication.

[@terencefield3204]

If co2 and methane release in nature is above human emissions then we are entirely stuffed as Hansen has clearly identified and this means the price of plain chocolate digestive biscuits will rise very significantly.

[@reuireuiop0]

Good to know. I'll stock up on those for the oncoming season ;)

[@terencefield3204]

Ok but make sure you buy plain chocolate ones, the milk chocolate ones are just not the same@@reuireuiop0

[@christill]

2 degrees by 2038 itself sounds very conservative to be honest. Hard to imagine it taking that long with the way we’re going right now.

[@Cyberpunk_Radio_PBS]

Well considering in the video he mentions that for a day we did hit 2C.. Yeah, it's delusional to think it'll take that long unlessss we're still using a 30 year average

[@diversie509]

@garrymcgrath7125 Its a lot less stressful to live life knowing where you are located will be minimally effected by the impending climate disasters coming down the pipeline.

[@Muddslinger0415]

Most all leading scientists say 3 degrees Celsius by 2040 and almost 6 degrees Celsius by 2100

[@BenGates101]

All BS. They have been spewing this garbage since the 1970’s

[@michaelduncan6287]

I'm a BIG wool sweater fan. That's a nice one you have there!!! Brand?

[@PaulHBeckwith]

Scottish wool from Glasgow:)

[@gilbertsatchell6866]

Termination Zero Event! Thank you Paul.

[@Bendydog]

I was hoping to hang out in the last chance saloon for a bit longer but it's been demolished, they're building a new restaurant called Milliways. It's being built by some guy called Douglas Adams.

[@Lemmay]

And a lot of people are hitchhiking there!

[@carolynbrzezinski5779]

We, in the rich west, are energy-blind and resource-blind. We see the wild fires, hear how extreme weather (floods, droughts, intense storms)all around the world are wiping out livelihoods and killing peoples, how people are running out of water, and soon food shortages will inevitably follow. Yet, we carry on with vacations to far flung places (sometimes via private jets and yachts), building big houses that we justify because they have a few solar panels, buying huge new EV pick-up trucks & SUV’s to ride around urban streets, as if everything is fine. We live on a finite planet and our insatiable consumption of energy is at the root of the problem because there are real, biophysical limits to growth. Scientists have warned governments about this for decades.

[@abyssaldision5134]

You must be speaking of the western capitalists, and not about the average people. Most people i know aren't doing that good.

[@jamesmckenna8092]

Hi Paul, it would be great to have Sandy at Environmental Coffee House host a 3-way discussion between Peter Wadhams, Ella Gilbert and yourself. Would be invaluable to have those Arctic, Antarctic and Systems-wide perspectives as COP28 approaches.

[@jamesmckenna8092]

⁠@EnvironmentalCoffeehouse

[@jamesmckenna8092]

@DrGilbz

[@reuireuiop0]

For a moment, I thought you'd invite storm Sandy over for a blustery night on the town ;)

[@nottenvironmental6208]

Information packed clear presentation about the current climate. Thanks

[@BombusMonticola]

1.5 ...ad nauseum is right. Joke target passed a hell of a long time ago but no one finds it funny apart from the fuel lobby.

[@nicevideomancanada]

It's starting to get a bit depressing now Paul. But thank you for keeping us informed to what's coming.

[@reuireuiop0]

A bit ?? ;) I'd add - when the mood over climate change gets too thick on the wheels, I go for a listen to them post new wave dudes of Modern English singing something like " *I stop the world and melt with you* "

[@nicevideomancanada]

I'm English too, so "a bit" is a relative term for quite a lot. @@reuireuiop0 And I now live in Alberta Canada where our Provincial Government has put a Moratorium on Wind and Solar Power Farms and is now taking back its so called ? Sovereign Rights. I'm against this and for Renewable Energy. I have lived in Calgary for 42 years. Heaven Help my Grandchildren.

[@laynecoombs]

i saw the death cross, in your graph?

[@pheluma2394]

Great timing, just in time for bed

[@lauraarcher1730]

Sweet dreams!😂

[@robertschmidt9301]

Wasn't the original baseline year 1750, not 1850?

[@PaulHBeckwith]

Yes

[@jerrylyns7331]

@@PaulHBeckwithhow can I effectively communicate the severity and extent of this issue to my friends and family? My boyfriend still thinks we’re going to be fine in our lifetimes.

[@edstud1]

We're screwed, get used to it!

[@stevek9793]

Nexus reports that January 2024 Artic Ice extent at its largest in 20 years. Tony Heller uncovers it and posts the data.

[@karlwheatley1244]

Sea ice can be a very misleading indicator because 100% coverage in 6 foot thick solid ice counts as covered by sea ice, but so does 16% coverage in thin slushy ice and 84% open water. Thus, depending on the winds and currents, "sea ice extent" can mislead people into thinking there's much more ice than there is. What matters is how much total ice is up there, and that is down 50% since 1979 and is declining rapidly. You should listen to podcasts of Arctic scientists who have been going up there for 40 years, talking about how radically it has changed as the ice has melted away. I'm a university researcher, and part of what I have studied is climate misinformation, and Tony Heller's channel can seem very convincing if you don't knows enough of the facts, but all of his videos are blatant misinformation, and he is repeatedly misleading people by not telling them the whole story--and by using the same propaganda tricks he accuses other of using. Hmm, funny he didn't tell you that Arctic ice mass is down 50% and dropping... especially since I'll bet he knows that. Take care, but please tune in to actual scientists.

[@stevek9793]

2023 NORWAY GOVERNMENT STUDY: CO2 NOT CAUSING TEMP RISE The effect of man-made CO2 emissions does not appear to be sufficiently strong to cause systematic changes in the pattern of the temperature fluctuations.

[@karlwheatley1244]

@@stevek9793 Nothing to see there, more on: Those two chaps have published shallow and misleading information before. Their fatally flawed analysis was thoroughly debunked at Climate Discussion Nexus, No Way Norway

[@RiverogueLander]

In 1850, we were in the heart of The Little Ice Age

[@goodenough22]

I was surprised only one person died at Taylor Swifts concert in 138 heat index, wet bulb situation there in Brazil. Scary

[@robertjsmith]

COP 28 is a jolly for the rich, private jets , it’s BS

[@BrianBetron]

Thanks for bring this information to us. Suggestion: get a background when speaking on camera. Some people will be critical of what they see in your background.

[@eev24eshmolikali]

The way the predictions just keep getting worse and worse makes it seem we are experiencing a repeat of the Permian Extinction which happened 252,000,000 years ago again. We had about 10 degrees Centigrade increase then, if there was a civilization at that time which participated in causing the Permian Extinction.

[@rebdomine1]

We're adding CO2 to the air far, far faster than the Permian extinction did: thecottonwoodpost.files.wordpress.com/2019/12/emissions-rate-1.jpg

[@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885]

@@rebdomine1 awesome graph! Too bad it doesn't include the asteroid 65 million years ago

[@obsoleteoptics]

​@@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885It doesn't need to, we're faster than the asteroid.

[@adelinad3513]

It was not that long ago...the last extinction event was about 6000 years ago .

[@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885]

@@obsoleteoptics I agree with you but Peter Carter just posted a "Will Steffen Top climate change lecture (2021)" lecture where he says our current warming is not as fast as that asteroid. "Earth that's 4.5 billion years they can find only one time when climate changed faster and that was when the asteroid struck Earth 66 million years ago the one that wiped out the dinosaurs" So I guess he was still in denial. He left his body though so he's not in denial now!

[@EastWindCommunity1973]

It's not bluer because there are more curves, the oldest years are the darkest blue. (your graph interpretation around 15min in) Very nicely shows the unending progression up. Thanks, Paul!

[@NCJsport]

You're studying this and I've been studying UVC. Ummmm, I think we got a few issues here as well. Yeah we have problems on the horizon

[@craigkdillon]

I read -- oceans were 70 ft deeper during the Pliocene, 3.5 mya, and the CO2 level was 390ppm. IF true, then what does that imply about our future??? 1. CO2 is now around 419ppm, or 29ppm higher than during the Pliocene. 2. That says that our oceans will rise and be AT LEAST 70 feet deeper than today. 3. It does not tell us how fast this will happen, or exactly how it will happen. We don't know if the ice melting and ocean rise will be steady and linear, or if it will happen in a punctuated way. We don't know if it will happen over 1000 years, or over a few hundred. Does that really matter?? I don't think so.

[@dededouble327]

Maybe we all wont die in The Great SHTF,.. but I'd bet that many of those who survive will wish they didn't..

[@alexcarter8807]

That's OK I watched a documentary called "On The Beach" (the 1990s one) and the gov't provided people exit pills.

[@stevangelical7052]

​@@alexcarter8807, my favourite apocalypse movie. The later version covered the scenario of how to deal with children, thus, as you mentioned, the exit pills.

[@loungelizard3922]

@@alexcarter8807 Try "The Road".

[@SunJake]

​@@alexcarter8807I wish they cared that much.

[@Lemmay]

Can we start a group interested in pushing for the Harvard MEER project to start producing & installing mirrors in deserts? Is anyone willing to gather this group together? Paul, could you forward people's names to this person?

[@pitpalac]

Installing mirrors in deserts is an idiotic idea, that is actually perfect to be financed by the owners of capitalism so that they can admire their "beautiful" square faces from their private jets.

[@timwmartin17]

There’s a story by anthropologist turned ecological economist, Jason Hickel in his eye opening 2017 book “The Divide: Global Inequality from Conquest to Free Markets”, about the UN shifting their baseline definition of poverty to demonstrate that neoliberal (colonial capitalist) economic policies had reduced poverty when actually it was a statistical trick or two. 😢

[@physiqueDrummond]

I like to imagine some sentient alien receiving and decoding all those Paul videos... he would think: «poor things... and they knew, and this guy with his cat, dog and son kept his cool... strange species..»

[@milespostlethwaite1154]

Temperature has risen slightly over the last century. Overall that has been a benefit for life on Earth. During the Roman Warm period it was 2 degrees warmer. These were good times. Let’s hope it doesn’t get colder again.

[@karlwheatley1244]

"During the Roman Warm period it was 2 degrees warmer. " NO, globally, the RWP period was .5-.9 degrees C COLDER than it is now. And NO, rapid global warming has caused hundreds of damaging ripple effects for people, societies, other species, and ecosystems. If sustained, this will causes a mass extinction event, just as big rapid changes iN CO2 levels have done many times in earth's past.

[@edwardmiessner6502]

0.2 to 0.3 degrees Celsius between the 1750 baseline and the 1850-1900 IPCC Baseline. Dr. Beckwith, which is higher?

[@SovereignTroll]

If the sea level rise is 10 meters, that is already catastrophic. The deniers can be swept away by reality at that point, but what a terrible way to win an argument.

[@edwardmiessner6502]

True, but only if we get 10 meters of sea level rise everywhere, all at once.

[@gtfg3800]

30 years ago Al Gore said NY City will be under water in 25 years. Not .1" rise in water levels in New York. What happened ?

[@elainebraindrain3174]

Im in tucson az. Any advice for me, summers are hell no relief, blackouts predicted ... run???

[@CS-gg5hx]

Right from the beginning of the video you’re talking about individual days? Is climate change measured in individual days?

[@Seawithinyou]

Okay more Gloom and Doom case scenarios regarding this But Have you actually have at least some insight on how our next Generation are going to handle this Paul? I know I myself feel so much Guilt with how much our Generation have just Wanting Money Money Money and not do enough research on how this EvoSuicide will end as This predicament has happened numourous times when Empires and Dynasties etc etc have Reaped and Pillaged our Precious Soils and Ecosystems

[@obsoleteoptics]

What next generation? They don't call 'em Gen Z for nothing.

[@robertfontaine3650]

Had a couple a good chuckles while listening to another report of our destruction of the planet. In the midst of a global extinction event and we focus on sea level.

[@adelinad3513]

Yes, distraction for the masses . Selling delusions, keep them busy

[@notrueflagshere198]

Maybe if we all use paper bags...

[@junglie]

Aren't we supposed to put them over our heads......

[@robertjsmith]

If we get under the kitchen table,it will be ok

[@martiansoon9092]

12-20m sea level rise - too conservative. LMAO. But yea, 1,5C and 2C will be passed. Our current governmental actions points toward over 4C, not even toward 3C... (85% of the pledges are failing. 50 years on do worse loop...)

[@adelinad3513]

😂 temp has nothing to do with the earth extinction cycle. Basically if you are on the coast of any continent, huge tsunamis with wash the land far and wide. And huge earthquakes will displace land. Be high inland and away from people.

[@martiansoon9092]

@@adelinad3513 Temperature has lots to do with extinction rate. It triggers: direct healt problems like wet bulb temp, sea level rise, loss of ice sheets, heatwaves, droughts, higher flooding rates, loss of water sources, loss of mountain glaciers, losing permafrost with elevated CO2 & CH4 emissions, ... There is lots of found evidence that species are rapidly moving out from warmer areas to colder ones. If they can. Temperature has a lot to do with current extinction levels. Please stop spreading lies.

[@jessieadore]

If the conflicts are considered I think we’re closer to 1.6 for this year.

[@robcook8244]

Good point, if you look at the Temp anomaly btw 1940 to 1950, it rises sharply due to WW2.

[@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885]

use 1750 as baseline and it goes up again

[@-LightningRod-]

Thunder Bay where i live is 2C above 1950's , 30 year running averages, so, ..its already here friend.

[@peter9477]

​@@-LightningRod-If I'm not mistaken, that area is expected to warm somewhat above the global average warming.

[@-LightningRod-]

@@peter9477 Well,..i would say it is warming faster and more severly than predicted. I guess its thoughts like that that make me an "Alarmist".

[@thinkthinker44]

Plants and trees, birds and bees are all a bit confused here in the PNW. Still getting new flowers on trees and bushes in November. This morning is the first hard frost I've seen this season. Maybe now the sap will finally go down for a short winter nap.

[@karlwheatley1244]

Here in northern Ohio, we didn't really get a winter.

[@martiansoon9092]

Ok, 20 meters of sea level rise with 6,5 meters from Greenland... Let's add some gravitational pull. In Iceland the sea withdraws when Greenland melts... Estimating Antarctica's ice loss: 20-6,5 = 13,5m and parts from mountain glaciers and expansion, let's say 3,5m... So 10 meters worth from Antarctica. And Antarctica has huge mass that creates large gravitational pull. Near Antarctica is only ocean while in Northern hemisphere seas are bounded with land masses. I assume that this makes gravitational effects to gategory 2-4 times the ice loss when water shifts to north. So, 20-40m +3,5m = 23,5-43,5m sea level rise in Northern shores... That will reach far inland... Most coastal cities are wiped off the map. And even many inland cities will be devastated. We have these maps for 0-4 meter sea level rise, so could someone get 0-45 meter maps? Of course timescale is more than just decades (that are predicted if Thwaites rapidly collapses).

[@obsoleteoptics]

Thwaites and Pine Island are obviously gone; the real question is when Denman and Totten are going.

[@adelinad3513]

Just move from the coast if you are there. This is part of a larger cycle of destruction with crust displacements and tsunamis not just artic melting.

[@duncanmckeown1292]

I don't see that electric cars can be a viable improvement, considering the vast new calls on resources that the turnover will entail. Plus about 1/3 of these vehicles is made up of plastics.

[@adelinad3513]

They are not helping the planet as the materials we dig for batteries and the processed are more damaging than petrol. But they are viable for control as the battery autonomy can be dropped to whatever the 10 miles size of the smart city will be that you will be allowed to drive only inside.

[@koicaine1230]

We need to plant lots and lots of Bamboo. It absorbs twice as much CO2 than any other plant and 30% more O2. Our next problem to solve is the Methane being released from melting Permafrost. If I remember correctly, there is a bacteria that feeds on it but I need to double check

[@RustOnWheels]

Where are you going to leave all the bamboo? If it burns or rots it’s back to square one…

[@koicaine1230]

@@RustOnWheels It's Indigenous to every Continent except Antarctica, so I and others can put it everywhere but there.

[@RustOnWheels]

@@koicaine1230 I mean after it dies. Most bamboo has a life span of say 30 years (then it blooms and dies) and then you must keep it from burning or decaying else it isn’t capturing but again releasing everything it captured.

[@koicaine1230]

@@RustOnWheels Bamboo only flowers every 100 years or so and it doesn't die in 30 years. Individual canes will get old and can either be removed individually or left there to decompose to feed the soil.

[@snowjoe43]

Good job Paul ! 👍

[@jeretribbles39]

Could you explain in a video the importance of the baseline being moved? I'm kinda confused. Why does moving the baseline matter? Like it's physics and warming is warming...

[@rodmena3404]

If sea level rises just go up on the hill what's the big deal

[@felipearbustopotd]

Thank you for uploading and sharing.

[@sobolanul82]

Hello Paul, Can you cover in a video how the radiative force of greenhouse gases is calculated? I'm curious about how its done. Thanks!

[@adelinad3513]

He only reads the propaganda articles

[@sobolanul82]

@@adelinad3513 ?

[@sobolanul82]

@@adelinad3513 if you think that hundreds of scientists from different continents and countries, suddenly they decide to work on a world disinformation plan about GW and Climate Change in the last decades, you are very delusional.

[@jaydinledford6990]

Thanks Dr Beckwith. You are a light in the darkness.

[@yorkiebuck]

Where do the temperatures go from here? Dont look to the current models they didn't forecast this sort of rise so soon. Does it level off, at the moment the deviation from the pre-industrial seems to be inexorably rising. I think this of all days not knowing with any certainty what the trajectory could be is I think really for the first time is the scariest moment. Those in the know a sense of foreboding whilst the rest still in ignorance. Argentina's new president talks to his dead dog through a medium for spiritual advice.

[@jkmarshall3553]

Bring it on! I have land that's lowest elevation is around 65 feet ASL. This happens, I'm getting a boat and building a dock! Grouper and Snook every night ya'll! Hell yeahz!

[@norag.5690]

Good morning? When?

[@EmeraldView]

I haven't had one of those in a VERY long time. Sadly I keep waking up in the morning.

[@aliceflorentin7748]

But Patrick Pouyanné, Total Energy's director, said you have to be realistic ! All these datas are very nice, but you have real life, people need and want petrol. This is why he's destroying Uganda's forests to dig and get more, right now.

[@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885]

Even if carbon emissions WERE reduced the Aerosol Masking Effect would heat up Earth another 1 degree Celsius for a 40% reduction in burning coal!! Oops! I guess that's too complicated to mention. hahahaha.

[@pascalbercker7487]

Are we at + 1.5 C ? I thought the 10 year running average was + 1.3 C ? Is it not the long-term average that counts? Prof. Eliot Jacobson says that, at the current rate, the Paris limit as defined will cross + 1.5 C in the 2030s.

[@PaulHBeckwith]

2023 average 1.54 or a bit higher 10 year running average 1.3 100 year running average 0.6 People use what they want… Nobody says when we cross 10 year running average of 1.5

[@Sentimental_Mood]

By way of an update, this past weekend, global temperature was more than 2°C above 1850-1900 (or pre-industrial) levels, at 2.06°C, based on latest observations from the Copernicus Climate Change Service.

[@peteraernouts5741]

To bad I can't share picture's ore video's how bad the green energy is failling.

[@AtHomeTacticalDefense]

Human life expectancy has steadily risen since the start of the Industrial Revolution. When is it going to going to turn the other way from global climate change? Why does life on earth always expand as it warms, and why is it different this time? History says the colder it gets, more and stronger storms can be expected. Do we see hurricanes in hot weather? Wildfires have drastically reduced since 1850. Life expectancy is up. Our ocean level has been relatively stable for a hundred years. When exactly is the crisis supposed to happen? One other question: What is the ideal Co2 level for human life on earth?

[@Seawithinyou]

For some Hope and Guidance for what is next to be prepared for Please watch Nate Hagens Awakening with a very High regard to giving at least some Strong future Hope on how to deal with the next big collapse of Global Energy 🕊🌏💖

[@voidisyinyangvoidisyinyang885]

Nate said he's booked through April but I doubt any of those talks will focus on the 1200 gigatons of pressurized methane in the world's largest ocean shelf! He's a Wall Street guru - he's too anthropocentric. hahahaha. I did a lot of activism at University of Minnesota. Has he done one video confronting Cargill, world's largest private corporation headquartered in Minnesota? hahaha. I had an op-ed published on them back at the U of MN newspaper. thanks

[@stevek9793]

East Antarctica Ice is Stable and Growing, over the last 85 years. Univ. of Copenhagen Researchers analyzed 1937 aerial photos and new satellite data. The area studied contains as much Ice as the Greenland Ice Sheet.

[@stevek9793]

US Temperatures were hotter in the mid 1930s by 5 degrees than the 2020-2023.

[@martiansoon9092]

There is hardly any permaforst in high Arctic, because of the Arctic ocean, so 2-4 times faster warming rates are accurate over areas like Siberia, Canada, Alaska, Scandinavia, ...

[@adelinad3513]

The earth is ready to shift again. Pole shift. Arctic's will be without ice again we will have ice poles somewhere else..cyclical

[@johncurtis920]

Thanks Paul. There's really no other way to say this so I'll just say it. And my apologies for the "french." Bottom line? The future for the species is fucked. We're in the beginning stages of a slow motion train-wreck folks. And it's now accelerating. This is indeed going to be biblical. John~

[@NickBrowning-lk1oj]

​@@anthonymorris5084So India for the first time not exporting most of their rice, no rice except basmati and theyre halfing those exports as well because of crop loss due to extreme weather. Olive oil is doubling, Greece has decided to ban most exports. We have had 4 times the worst wildlife in Canada this year. I could go on and on as could many people here. Amazon in the worst drought ever ......mind boggling to hear people like you arbitraryily disbelieve in very well provwn founded 50 year studies by millions of people...

[@johncurtis920]

@@anthonymorris5084 I get what you're saying but have you been keeping up with current events? You don't have to wait. It's here. Massive wildfires, droughts, hurricanes and the perversity of floods occurring in the midst of said drought. These are no longer regional phenomena. They've gone global. Animals in more southern latitudes shifting northward. Like I said, a slow-motion train-wreck. It's well underway. Just some thoughts.

[@volkerengels5298]

The reporting on “climate change species extinction plastic waste” is flickering. We have reached a communicative tipping point. "More education would be necessary..." (..?..) but the defense mechanisms _of simple, dull or sick behaviors_ simply begin to block harder. Pressure against pressure - not a useful 'move' "How long will this last?" In the current multiple pressure situation... 1 year? Maybe two. My bet I'll have a new roommate in an hour: *"Hardy Of The Fair" * Almost aristocratic - in Europe that still means something! Purebred Poodle-Schnautzer. We're going to have a good time. It's not his fault that it rains sometimes in Greenland now. Absurd, but I find comfort in writing Python programs. I'm programming a lot right now... With Hardy here... ..that won't be necessary anymore.

[@martiansoon9092]

SSP1 and SSP2 scenatrios are simply not reliable. We are still going with worst case scenario, or with some parameters a bit over it...

[@obsoleteoptics]

I'll see your RCP 8.5 and raise you RCP 10.0

[@martiansoon9092]

@@obsoleteoptics My bet was around RCP 8.5 plus 10%... At lest that was the situation by 2019 before Covid and now we have returned to that path. If some news from China are accurate, they could turn off loads of emissions. China is planning to install renewables at level of France's total energy usage in a single year... If these becomes as actual emission cuts, then we may end this rapid emission growth scheme. China is still using huge amounts of coal in many areas and cutting these emissions depends on local decision makers. And western countries should really get along with this path too. We have waited far too long (50+ years).

[@obsoleteoptics]

@@martiansoon9092 Enter the McPherson Paradox

[@RoyAllanThomassen]

well we just took new cold record for november in norway so i have a very hard time belive any of the global warming dellutions

[@karlwheatley1244]

"well we just took new cold record for november in norway so i have a very hard time belive any of the global warming dellutions" I assume you are joking. Global warming refers to AVERAGE global temperatures for the whole Earth for the whole year, not one month in your tiny but I'm sure lovely country. While you were very cold, over here in much of the US, we didn't even have a winter. It's been 2 years since I shoveled any snow because winter has largely disappeared here in recent years. Think globally.

[@Bookhermit]

The warmer, the better, the quicker, the better. Sadly, we won't be getting enough warming and thus will just keep heading towards the same overpopulation-driven collapse we've been heading towards for over a century.

[@karlwheatley1244]

Rapid warming, if sustained too long, will cause a mass extinction of life on Earth. There will be a significant reduction in the human population in this century due to the ecological destruction we are causing.

[@DangerAmbrose]

This is what happens when people vote for old rich people.

[@tordkarl]

In Sweden we don’t but our politicians are not any more clever.

[@adelinad3513]

​@@tordkarl puppets for wef and banker criminals all over the world