NorthCast Market Update: A Freak of History

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Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 56

@daver9563 9 ай бұрын

I really like your technical breakdowns Sven! The only drawback I see with this one is the fact that there has never been this much financial intervention into the system ever in History.

@MK-ye1wj 7 ай бұрын

I agree with you on the recent unprecedented level intervention. while it remains to be seen how that ultimately works out; it is amazing how close the stock trader's almanac has been regardless of world events, market/company upheavals, past country or bank interventions, etc.

@NamLe-j2w 10 ай бұрын

"Don't ask me why..." 😅 Thanks for sharing this Sven!

@Scavo63 10 ай бұрын

Interesting. Thank you.

@pnbmpnbm1155 10 ай бұрын

I think I preferred it when Sven was a bear

@SteveJohnson-ht6kv 10 ай бұрын

No way man

@timc8276 10 ай бұрын

Making money is more important than being right

@Sherif8928 10 ай бұрын

Amazing analysis, love it

@Dennis_510 10 ай бұрын

Sven too much time on his hands LOL

@rafaelkramer8841 10 ай бұрын

I noticed another cycle. if I look at the chart from 1905 I noticed that from 1905-1925 (depding when entering the market) DJI was about flat for 20 years. 40 years later, we get another 20 flat years - 1965-1985. And 40 years after that it's 2025. So based on this chart, can we make a case that we might have another "lost decade" ahead of us???? I heard this notion about S&P remaining about the same in 10 years from several people. Interested in your opinion.

@albessonov 10 ай бұрын

Don't ask Sven about this, he has fallen in love with the bull thesis and is now looking for specific facts feeding his confirmation bias.

@ladgrove 10 ай бұрын

This is the view of Hussman.

@drwinklepecker9298 10 ай бұрын

Answer is in Saturn-Jupiter conjunctions.

@BourgeoisRaser 10 ай бұрын

Definetly worth keeping on the radar

@cicatrace 10 ай бұрын

True, but they didn't inject trillions of dollars into the economy every few years back then. I think there is a solid case for V shaped recoveries and dips getting bought as long as this doesn't change.

@jj.d 10 ай бұрын

Interesting bit of trivia (key word = "trivia"). Farmer's almanac style stuff. I'd note that the Dow isn't the benchmark anymore, by any stretch of the imagination. For the SPX, we had down years in 1884, 1894, 1914, 1934, 1974, 1994 (43% of all years ending in '4" since 1884).

@rolandlocmelis8117 10 ай бұрын

Fascinating! Thank you Sven

@JoeJo-l4r 10 ай бұрын

thanks for sharing

@BourgeoisRaser 10 ай бұрын

I will get into how WTI performed in 1944, 1964, 1984 and 2004

@cedricschwartzler3284 10 ай бұрын

You missed 1932 at 7.40. It should also be highlighted to red.

@markleveck6029 9 ай бұрын

Why he doesn’t have a million followers is beyond me

@mellojoe6281 9 ай бұрын

gyyaaaad I love it when you're bullish, thanks so much for sharing this!

@GaiasFleas 10 ай бұрын

Appreciate your level-headed look at the markets. You deserve more likes

@normchong9221 9 ай бұрын

Great stuff Sven!

@MrPedalfeet 10 ай бұрын

Incredible work as always Sven!!!

@GreenspudTrades 7 ай бұрын

7:40 what about 1932! Down year not labeled!

@JamminJaminK 10 ай бұрын

This one is really dumb lol! If you move those lines by whatever years you want, you can basically make the same argument...

@aknevv 10 ай бұрын

FASCINATING ❤

@cicatrace 10 ай бұрын

Love your videos, Sven. Keep them coming :)

@drwinklepecker9298 10 ай бұрын

Sven has just discovered Gann.

@jackskal4302 10 ай бұрын

good marketing teknik.

@Tzmaker 10 ай бұрын

this chart looks almost exactly like 1993-2002. the 05 years are skewed from 1955 and 1995 which were some of the best years in history

@thealternativecontrarian9936 10 ай бұрын

I don't know what to do with this analysis.

@aarone9454 9 ай бұрын

Basically - Nothing matters but technicals and Hope that the FED will lower rates. Everything is bullish in this market. Like it or not - hold your nose and invest. I wish that fundamentals mattered and that markets made sense but they don’t!

@TheW89 10 ай бұрын

Would like to see CAPE ratio average for those years on same chart.

@thomasricardo9833 10 ай бұрын

I think you need a break Sven. All these numbers are not good for you 😟

@stkhnds 10 ай бұрын

That’s some freaky stuff! So then one would have to believe in cycle analysis on a shorter timeframe

@jaimej.4337 10 ай бұрын

I love it

@stoneyj1a1 10 ай бұрын

M2 still isn't changing much

@Alex-ws5uf 10 ай бұрын

LOL. Seasonality analysis is going out of hand... SPX goes 7% yearly on average.Seasonality average hahahaha

@Hubly_bubly 10 ай бұрын

🙌🏻🎉

@manuelfabbri7650 10 ай бұрын

Fascinating? Unconvincing imo.

@BerniePearl 10 ай бұрын

Sven... Can't hear you. Please talk louder.

@NorthmanTrader 10 ай бұрын

increase the volume, it's plenty loud on my end.

@dmdanimal 10 ай бұрын

@@NorthmanTrader HELLO??!?! CAN YOU HEAR ME NOW??!?! ;)

@TheW89 10 ай бұрын

@@dmdanimal WHAT? SHORT THE MARKET?!?!

@SwissMovement 10 ай бұрын

I too like one of the commentators here liked it when Sven was a bear. I just don’t understand his massage lately. So 2024 and 2025 and 2026 will all be up years? So no recession? Sven are you saying that bear market ended on October 2022 and we are now in a multi year bull market again? I can name you several dozen well respected analysts and experts that would completely disagree with you. Your videos are no longer making any sense to me.

@NorthmanTrader 9 ай бұрын

Don't worry, I'll turn bear again when the time comes. Fact is nothing has broken and every correction/pullback since October of 2022 (when I turned bullish) has been a buy and I've been highlighting the structures and opportunities along the way, doesn't mean there are no corrective moves coming along the way and some perhaps substantial ones in 2024, but I'm keeping an eye on the big picture as well.