Chance of Taiwan, China Reunification is ‘Nil’ - What Happens Next?

'International Relations Consists of Keeping Myths Alive'
There's no solution to the situations in Taiwan and Gaza, says former Singapore diplomat Bilahari Kausikan.
by Hope Kahn, National Press Foundation
Most international issues have no solutions, but they can be managed, says Bilahari Kausikan, the former Permanent Secretary for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Singapore.
“That’s good news for diplomats and journalists because it means we’ll never be out of a job,” he told NPF International Trade Journalism Fellows.
Taiwan and Gaza fall into this category of management as the best-case scenario, Kausikan said.
The prospect of Taiwan joining China is “nil,” Kausikan said.
“Why would the Taiwanese want to voluntarily reunify? There’s no support for the two extremes of unilateral independence or reunification. Most people want the status quo to remain and I think the status quo can be maintained.”
But while Kausikan criticized China’s leader Xi Jinping as “mediocre at governance,” he does not anticipate war.
“Whatever you may think of the Chinese leadership, they’re not gamblers, and they’re not going to roll the dice with the most important thing to them which is the continuation of party rule. … If there is a risk, it’s going to be conflict by accident, by miscalculation - not war by design.”
There are two scenarios where the Chinese must fight, he said. “The first is a very low probability, high impact scenario, which is if Taiwan revives its nuclear weapon ambitions … the higher probability scenario is if Taiwanese domestic politics takes some strange turn.”
Kausikan says that a lot of international relations and diplomacy consists of keeping myths credibly alive so people don’t take drastic actions - which is true in both Taiwan and Gaza, he said, “which gives you something to write about.”
Gaza has been “ill managed for quite a long time,” Kausikan said.
While a two-state solution is favored by many nations, “I have not seen anybody come up with a viable pathway to a two-state solution,” Kausikan said, predicting that the conflict will remain subregional and not spread. After “mistakes” in Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S. is “offshore balancing” with Gaza, Kausikan said.
“You have these demonstrations about Gaza at the universities, but the demonstrations over the Vietnam War were far worse. Why? Because Americans were dying.”
Speaker: Bilahari Kausikan, Former Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Singapore
Transcript, summary and resources: nationalpress.org/topic/bilah...
This fellowship is part of an ongoing program of journalism training and awards for trade coverage sponsored by the Hinrich Foundation.
This video was produced within the Evelyn Y. Davis studios. NPF is solely responsible for the content.

[@Liboch]

This guy once suggested that Cambodia and Laos be expelled from ASEAN for being too close to China. He is a nut case. Even the US wouldn't suggest this. 😂

[@GeoScorpion]

Yeah, we would. We're very annoyed at how close Australia and Canada are to China and Cambodia and Laos are just suburbs of China in comparison. That said, I admit that they see China as a sometimes protector against a sometimes-aggressive Vietnam.

[@michaeltse321]

Singapore is a joke. They have has the same party since 1959 - lol - their elietes are just as corrupt as the US and western countries - lol

[@kongking5048]

he has no ideas what he was talking about.

[@kongking5048]

What a clown 😢

[@chriswong9158]

A clown that can lead to what US/NATO offer to Europe today.... Peace in ASEAN was not following the West.

[@rbc812]

Hi communist.

[@petervote7914]

He looks like a clown also.

[@GeoScorpion]

Yeah, you are: You post the same three words everywhere that shows China in a poor light. 🤡

[@ggc7318]

@@GeoScorpion he wants 50 cents

[@lowpecklim855]

Cynical n low class diplomat or exdiplomat from spore..surprising😢😂

[@rbc812]

Nope. He is so wise, smarter than Lee Kuan Yew. XJP is a shit brain.

[@xmen2130]

He is not fit to lick the shoes of his ex bosses George and Kishore.

[@rbc812]

George and Kishore are communists.

[@barryng1]

Kishore and George are shameless CCP arse kissers.

[@exoticGlobalTravels]

Kishore was only Ambassador rank. He is a Permanent Secretary. Higher rank than Kishore.

[@lagrangewei]

I am Singaporean and I support Chinese reunification. people might be in denial but it is inevitable. it might take 1 year, 10 year or a 100 year. however the chinese identity in Taiwan will not disappear. the native will not allow the creation of a "Taiwanese" identity that threaten their own heritage, they saw what allow to America native when the American identity was born...

[@user-ed9so2rb4k]

How long can US support Taiwan, which is located thousands of km away while China can actually "visit" Taiwan on every Sunday morning!

[@barryng1]

You are not Singaporean, you are a CCP wumao shill and little pink propagandist

[@Fr.VeniceLAI]

Are you aware..likely after Taiwan ROC unification to PRChina if successfully acquired, without much damage or consequence .. . Singapore / & South--East-Asia may be next in the Chinese Communist Party radar/target sight. If you're a Singaporean ... you can download this CCP's song, "Ode to the Motherland" via KZbin, you should be prepared ... the current CCP doctrine is expansion of its domains ... to take control of all countries in the South-China-Sea, after taiwan ROC.

[@HYH2023]

How about Singapore "reunified" with China? Quite a lot of Chinese think it is part of China. Why not make it de jure?

[@octavioferrer1676]

@@user-ed9so2rb4k It is not only America but also many other countries around the world with similar democratic ideologies ,many in the Indo-Pacific region, that will support the Taiwanese people fight for independence from CCP rule.

[@ssss8162]

Kausikan is a clown. He has been making excuses for the US for years.

[@360du]

And you are a CCP apologist?

[@user-my7wn6ps1y]

Another u.s. spokesman

[@360du]

And you are a 🇨🇳 spokesman?

[@huanghermann5207]

@@360du Yes, so what?

[@ggc7318]

At least he is not a CCP'S spokesman.

[@coshyno]

@@ggc7318 CPC*

[@gc23336]

Management of 1.4 billion in housing, infrastructure, food, heathcare, education, jobs - mediocre? Arrogant.

[@rbc812]

The truth is the Chinese are escaping. That is mediocre.

[@ggc7318]

Even Xi Jinping's daughter has moved to USA. She has been in USA since 2010.

[@ggc7318]

​@@rbc812most of CCP elites families are in USA, UK, Australia...😂😂😂

[@jmjt3709]

At the same time, the top Chinese scientists and engineers educated and working in the US are heading back to China.

[@steventan385]

This guy is a maverick He thinks he is the smartest guy in town. No way near Kishore.

[@ggc7318]

Kishore is a 🐍

[@Utube1024]

He is of indian origin (ah san) no surprise for being anti-China.

[@charliecheng3340]

I call kassakan a Mediocare from Singapore

[@chriswong9158]

Henry Kissinger Quote: “To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.”

[@Kimmimaro86]

In the Cantonese language, his name is literally "Gao Si Guan", Sh*t Stirring Stick.

[@clipwat1511]

😂 nice!

[@ssss8162]

Kausikan is an embarrassment and not worth my time. I'm just here for the comments

[@chriswong9158]

Only did 8:00 min., now signing off !!!

[@user-ed9so2rb4k]

He is trying very, very hard to reproduce the image of his predecessor Prof. Kishore in the Foreign Ministry. Any success???

[@Fr.VeniceLAI]

..myself glued and even downloaded and saved the entire episode to watch again and again to this man's genius and out-spoken insights ... so, so very rare these days, where most if not even Presidents and Prime Ministers dare spoke so openly such comments ... that Paramount Leader Xi Jinping (soon likely to be named Chairman Xi) as a mediocre performer !!.

[@rbc812]

Disagree with your communist view. He is so brilliant. XJP and Putin have brain made from shit.

[@petervote7914]

He is ultra hardcore anti China, anti chinese. Very odd this kind of sinophobe can be Singapore diplomat. I see him as human garbage.

[@choysiongwong7187]

The BRI Belt and Road project is a part of CHINA PROJECT (my definition). This project is similar to that abandoned by the USA. But they try to derail the China Project. Back to topic at hand, 'China' and Taiwan may unify at another level, a great fear of the USA/other.

[@dylanthomas12321]

BRI is a failure. Do the research.

[@simonlow3338]

He is a rubbish

[@rbc812]

Nope he is so smart.

[@KoHo-xy2mp]

He is so smart even then xi

[@ggc7318]

@simonlow3338 just because he is not on the side of CCP ?

[@philipwong895]

The US is continuing with its strategy to keep Asia poor and divided. This policy was articulated in the top-secret U.S. Foreign Policy written 76 years ago. February 24, 1948, Declassified U.S. Foreign Policy: Furthermore, we have about 50% of the world’s wealth but only 6.3% of its population. This disparity is particularly great as between ourselves and the peoples of Asia. In this situation, we cannot fail to be the object of envy and resentment. Our real task in the coming period is to devise a pattern of relationships which will permit us to maintain this position of disparity without positive detriment to our national security. ... that Japan and the Philippines will be found to be the corner-stones of such a Pacific security system and that if we can contrive to retain effective control over these areas there can be no serious threat to our security from the East within our time. Taiwan was added to the Pacific security system after Chiang's army retreated to the island of Taiwan in 1949. South Korea was added after the Korean War in 1953. The attempt with Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia was abandoned in 1975. The 1989 attempt in China failed. The 2019-2020 attempt in Hong Kong also failed. Anywhere in the world, if there is a border dispute, it is usually the result of a line drawn by an Englishman; if it is an internal dispute, it is usually the US fueling it. Difference in implementation of divide and conquer strategy. The 'Arsenal of Democracy' produces 40 percent of the world's weapons. It is a very profitable business model in which other countries buy these weapons to fight each other. The key is maximizing profits without shedding US blood by inducing conflicts between and within countries outside the USA. One client is eager to spend AUD 368 billion to buy a few high-quality used nuclear-powered submarines. This business model's critical components are NATO, QUAD, ANZUS, Five Eyes, AUKUS, and MCC (Mutual Cross-Service Agreement). The US makes the rules, and the US and their friends do not have to follow them. Since WWII, the United States has started 201 wars, overthrew 36 foreign leaders, killed or attempted to kill 50, dropped bombs in 30 countries, and interfered in 86 foreign elections. To make the world safe for democracy, the US has caused the deaths of tens of millions of people in its conflicts in Korea, Vietnam, Yugoslavia, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, and Syria. The CIA was involved in covert operations that resulted in mass killings of communists in over 22 countries, 500,000 to 2,000,000 Indonesian civilians disappeared in 1965-1966.

[@tthotty8679]

If that’s facts then you need a channel

[@grannylil8036]

👏🏻

[@vivienneL1011]

Why you guy has so much knowledge, well informed...?

[@saehian]

US's lackey. 😂😂😂. He doesn't knows China loans and help which conquer or colonise countries.

[@ggc7318]

At least not CCP'S lap dog like Kishore.

[@choonhockong8215]

I suggest Bilahari Kausikhan watch the video: Lee Kuan Yew on China, Taiwan and relations with the USA and the rest of the world. The founding father of Singapore independence from the colonial master, I saluted him as a visionary leader who helped Singapore economy growth and social security, etc. Don't be a mouthpiece for the Western powers. 😂

[@darthvader4209]

What makes you think Bilahari hasn’t watched nor learned from LKY? Perhaps you shouldn’t be a mouthpiece for the CCP either 😂

[@Jin-oq2qu]

Bilahari kausikan has been discredited in Singapore.

[@stvnzhu2387]

@@darthvader4209 how much u r paid by CIA ?

[@ssss8162]

@@darthvader4209 How has anyone here been a mouthpiece of CCP? Kindly elaborate

[@darthvader4209]

@@stvnzhu2387 I wished the CIA pays me. I’ve heard they pay well; much better than 50 cents 😂

[@ex0duzz]

There's LKY, Kishore, George Yeo. And then there's this guy. Lol. 10 mins in and hes said absolutely nothing except he doesn't believe in Asian century. Sure. India is the one who's not going to join in the CHINESE century. Everything else he says is a waste of time. He keeps talking about what he believes in or not and China's "serious structural problems" and "demographic problems". If means absolutely nothing. Just another biased us/west apologist and China basher. Not objective at all. Nothing he said is insightful. XJP is mediocre and only good amassing power? BRI, his anti corruption drive, cracking down on unsustainable growth like Jack ma and Alibaba etc. if XJP is mediocre then every other leader is a joke. Just the things above already puts him and China heads and shoulders above every other leader and country. He says that eradication of poverty has nothing to do with XJP? You can say the same about any leader. He downplays everything that happened under XJP watch, but at the same time himself did not mention any reason for why he's mediocre. He made the claim, so onus is on him to back up or prove his claim.. why is Xi mediocre? He never says. Complete joke. He speaks in generalities only because he has nothing else. Why is belt and road bad? China was attacked and trade war waged under XJP watch. China overtook USA in everything under Xi watch. From GDP to every technology. He handled COVID better than any other country and leader. He raised China's technology and military power from nothing to world leader and peer of USA, if not above usa. He reigned in all the structural excesses and corruption that came about due to Dengs reforms. Deng and previous leaders never had to deal with USA attacking China with full court press and not just defended, but has lead China to greater heights than ever. Then we also have China's space program.. he took China to the greatest heights its ever been. He expanded BRICS and now everyone wants to join. Belt and road is still growing and doing great. He claims China is not talking about it so it's a failure? Nonsense. It's only a decade old, same as BRICS. But even in just that short time, it has changed the world and is reshaping global balance of power. USA and West have declined massively in the last 10-15 years while China has booned massively under XJP. Where is the mediocrity? J don't see it. I see it for USA and western leaders. Mediocrity is the best they can get if we are being generous and diplomatic. Otherwise if we are being frank, then they have been utter disasters. USA has forced its vassals to cripple and destroy their own economies and futures. Like Japan, SK, Taiwan, Netherlands with the chip ban. Like Germany, UK etc with Ukraine war. Japan with plaza accord. They are all currently in recession and have no future to hope for. USA and west supporting Israel and genocide in Gaza only gave up all credibility and China has been the biggest beneficiary of all these issues. That has all been under XJP watch. He will probably try to downplay it and say it was due to Deng or whatever which is just ridiculous nonsense. Saudi Arabia and Iran have joined brics after china brokered rapprochement between the two enemies. Malaysia joining brics. Usa forced Philippines to be cannon fodder and antagonize China over SCS but China called usas bluff, and now USA is nowhere to be seen when pH needs them most. USA and pH is all talk. China has biggest navy in the world, and now has like 280x the shipbuilding capacity USA does. China not only survived usas chip ban and full court press to kill China's high tech development, but is thriving. China is more united and stronger than ever. USA could not even kill Huawei, let alone china. China came from "nowhere" and in the last 3-4 years has taken over the global electric car industry, making USA have to do 100% tariffs and hand china the crown for free trade. China has full domestic capability to mass produce 5th gen engines and jets. China has caught up in all crucial core technologies and usa has no cards to play, nothing left to ban or sanction. Their whole decoupling and de risking strategy has failed due to XJP leadership. Even with covid, USA and wests full court press and trade wars and tech bans, China under XJP at its worst has still managed to keep 5%+ GDP growth and is doing better than ever. All serious "structural issues" like infrastructure over capacity and associated bubbles has been popped by XJP and the government intentionally. They didn't bail out ever grande and they banned the Alibaba IPO intentionally. this showed great foresight and courage to stop full on growth in return for more stable quality growth. All this and more happened under XJPs watch. All massive changes and growth. He turned China from a growing great power into an undisputed superpower and not just a peer competitor but into a superpower that everyone knows will overtake USA in EVERYTHING if it hasn't already. The Asian century? Nah, because India is part of Asia and because of its mediocre leadership and corrupt and inept system will not follow China's rise.. It's the Chinese century. And anyone who is friendly with China will undoubtedly rise with them. Just see Russia. Growing at 3-4%, fastest in the West. Mainly due to China. While EU and anti China forces are all suffering. China by itself is responsible for like 1/3rd of all global growth, and then rest is mainly from countries who are China's biggest trade partners. See Vietnam and SEA. Growing massively due to china. Compare with pH or Japan or SK or Taiwan. They are being sacrificed for us interests, while those who work with china are growing. Even if he doesn't want to give XJP the credit, China's rise and accomplishments cannot be denied. So it doesn't matter if he wants to give XJP credit or not. This guy is a joke and has no idea what he's talking about and downplaying all of Chinas achievements under XJP.

[@octavioferrer1676]

USA and Ph all talk??? What about China threatening to invade Taiwan for the last 70 years and nothing has really happened but all just talk. They even threatened to shoot down Nancy Pelosi's plane on her way to visit Taiwan as a gesture of support, did anything really happen on her visit?? Of course nothing happened as expected. XJP just went on to display tantrums firing missiles past Taiwan and surrounding it to display its military might without actually firing a shot at its target in an attempt to save face. This is what "all talk" is.

[@axnjack5]

It looks like this guy is constantly drooling. Kind of annoying.

[@JCSY1]

US spokesperson and yes man, nothing else.

[@Jin-oq2qu]

Its better to listen to George Yeo's views. Kausikuan in Chinese means sheet stirrer.

[@morpheus3390]

You miss spelled shit.😂😂😂

[@Jin-oq2qu]

@@morpheus3390 More to do with KZbin censor.

[@user-ne8yi1io4h]

Laughing gas Bila in the same league as Kamala 😂 keep on laughing.

[@lokkaisa]

If Xi Jingpin was a mediocre leader, I wonder, is there any leader can be rated as great or even good? There was a saying that it is a huge achievement by feeding and providing proper housing, education, medical care for 1.4B people. Xi has not only done that, but also had taken it to a much higher level.

[@happyhappynuts]

Hu Jintao did also

[@98zing]

I think you missed his key point. He did mention that the lifting of Chinese out of poverty was a result of policies taken by PREVIOUS Chinese leaders starting from Deng and not solely a result of Xi's policies. In fact, you could argue, Xi's predecessors had a greater impact on lifting China out of poverty. Likewise, the true impact of Xi's policies may not be felt until decades later or in fact earlier, as you can see the current state of China's economy which really is a direct outcome of Xi's policies. So he is not wrong in saying Xi is mediocre in governance. He did say Xi is excellent in consolidating and grabbing power.

[@GeoScorpion]

A lot of what he says is NOT what we want to hear, but if we're honest with ourselves, he's not always wrong when we want to disagree with him.

[@chriswong9158]

China PRC read: ‘Never interfere with an enemy while he’s in the process of destroying himself.’ - Napoleon Bonaparte

[@jmjt3709]

以逸待劳

[@metaphosV]

Big joker LOL

[@thebarehandsdoctor2769]

Who is this guy? full of bullshit,

[@KQ0909]

As a Singaporean, I can tell you that I have always felt that he is a dog. Lap dog. Period.

[@Fr.VeniceLAI]

..i don't know about much ordinary Singaporeans' opinions about this man, Bilahari, but according to me, he is one of the bravest/smartest of man among Singaporeans, who openly dares challenged the Chinese Communist Party's United Front Work Dept. narratives permeated among Singaporeans and importantly properly able to assess/analyse about the state of affairs betw. Taiwan ROC/PRChina and others, also most critically pointed out that Paramount Leader Xi Jinping, is in fact, a mediocre performer leading & managing PRChina. It is no wonder, that despite Singapore Island small land size and small population of some ca. 5.0 millions, the island state is so prominently noticed and recognized in the World.

[@davidchan9175]

Well, as a Singaporean, I'm always embarrassed by his immature views. I cannot listen to him for too long. Just here for the comments.

[@WWLooi-js8rl]

Ha, another anglophile who has passed his use time in Asia but still sought after in the West. Another Gordon Chang but slightly better.

[@josephkiang8222]

Nuts

[@PrimeChaosVC]

Wow, this woke me from the illusion that Singapore will always select exceptional and really competent people for important tasks. We need more people like him doing talks like this in public, so we know what kind of people we are dealing with for the sake of rational Singaporeans.

[@liongjiahwong5478]

How competent are you. ? Are you in politics if you do not join one and push your worth.

[@Gman979]

I normally don't pay any attention to this guy.

[@user-cn5ri5he4c]

I just spent several weeks in Taiwan! This guy is out of touch. Has anyone ever spoken to anyone from Taiwan who says they aren't Chinese? Of course, not. The first thing they say is they are Chinese.

[@MS-ce8nr]

No sir, only 2.4% identify themselves as Chinese.

[@georgiaguardian4696]

More than 65% Taiwanese think they are just Taiwanese and the number is still climbing. Why don’t you ask Koreans or Vietnamese to be united with China? You are a nut case..

[@user-my6ig5dm9f]

ok, the south koreans and north koreans consider themselves Koreans too,. ur point is?

[@annleland6422]

Most recent poll showed that 78% of people in Taiwan said they are Taiwanese, 7% Chinese and 8% both.

[@georgiaguardian4696]

@@user-my6ig5dm9f the CCP wants to claim that whoever think they are Chinese should give up their lands and properties to CCP

[@ansa336]

He is a Chancer, he makes it up as he goes along

[@kinboon3138]

65 minute: He mention USA has been offshore balance for the last 50 years (or after the Vietnam war). When did USA "take over" Afghanistan ? Around mid 90s. Whatever and whenever USA involved, they need some benefit.

[@user-ed9so2rb4k]

US got involved in Afghanistan because otherwise John Rambo could not be created in Hollywood.

[@chriswong9158]

11:00 How much nothing former S'pore diplomat Bilahari Kausikan know of S'pore history, the time of it's course direction.

[@MyHanck]

We live in the cusp of life changing dynamics and power play in the Asia Pacific and pan Asian affairs.

[@williamkwah1]

He is not a good speaker. I switch off after the first few minutes.

[@ggc7318]

@@williamkwah1 you would listen attentively if he was a CCP shill like Kishore 🤣

[@yky621]

We need diplomat who believes peace is possible if leaders wanted peace. When leaders don’t believe peace is possible, they need generals and commanders. But a diplomat who already don’t believe a unification is possible, he shoot his own feet. Luckily he is non Chinese of China nor Taiwan.

[@BrianPatrick-s6b]

That's it if anybody wants the view Singapore foreign and defence policy delivered in a non politically correct manner. LKY used to do that during national day rallies when he was PM...Ministry of Foreign Affairs always provide "clarifications" days after

[@michaelmarchal4004]

War by American design for both Taiwan and Ukraine.

[@octavioferrer1676]

It is not just America but all other democratic nations that are defending Ukraine and Taiwan from authoritarian and despotic rule. War in Ukraine is obviously a Putin design and the threat of war against Taiwan is a design of CCP.

[@chriswong9158]

Did Bilahari Kausikan call Lee Kuan Yew an Communist Agent for he, Lee did same for S'pore in the beginning for S'pore

[@spencergan4353]

I agree with some of his on Gaza and how it should be better managed. But calling a XJP a mediocre leader over the last 10 years of his reign is factually incorrect. I’ve lived in China long enough to see positive changes to the people’s lives, this is done systematically with a consolidation of power but more importantly the right people who see the same picture as him. So if this is mediocre leadership the no leader is great.

[@mingkao1]

Hi, Communist mouthpiece, LOL.

[@jameschu512]

Telling story without giving facts and figures is not qualifing the truth.

[@petervote7914]

He does live up to his reputation as anti China, anti chinese, this Bilahari Kausikan. As chinese Singaporean, I find him to be a disgrace to Singapore diplomacy.

[@nashsmith3043]

A reflection of Spore’s dearth of genuine talent … a typical arrogant shrimp

[@charliecheng3340]

This guy does not have a freakin clue about China and Taiwan .

[@KEVINLTINWAN]

Counter-intuitive, a truly non-diplomatic, no-holds-barrred presentation.

[@axnjack5]

“It used to be that we thought China would do no wrong and US can do no right” which alternative dimension does he live in?

[@SazalibinkamsirSazali-zu5yo]

Thank you have nice Talking about the horse Racing.👍🤵🌊🔑🌊🗝🏇🏇

[@Gemini73883]

As the old communists would say, "running dog" is barking!

[@kooisengchng5283]

He is bellicose and rude. Prone to calling people names in the name of his master. He is the American answer to Kishore Mahbubhani and George Yeo. His mien reveals his true personality.

[@360du]

Hahahha

[@redbeansg]

Please don't insult Kishore and George Yeo. There is no comparison.

[@dylanthomas12321]

An excellent presentation and Q&A session with a smart audience by a very wise man who fully understands Realpolitik in dangerous times. I highly recommend you listen or view if you are dispassionate and analytical.Having read the comments it's clear that most are from an ardently pro-CCP persuasion, but highly emotional and lacking strategic or geopolitical insight. However, professionals and graduate students involved in foreign affairs will find this session well-worth the time, no matter your international political persuasion.

[@blittercopper]

ending 70% of a sentences with Right does not make it right

[@clementihammock7572]

What will happen after UK Tory turned into Pumpkin and rolled aside? the implication and impact of UK's leadership deficit.

[@Jin-oq2qu]

He is part of US foreign affairs, not Singapore's.

[@darthvader4209]

And George Yeo and Kishore is part of CCP foreign affairs. George is paid indirectly by Chinese companies. And Kishore was “forced” to resign from LKYSPP for “harboring” an agent of foreign influence named Huang Jing. Go read the news and get your facts right. Will make you look a little smarter 😂

[@Jin-oq2qu]

@@darthvader4209 nice try. Providing fake news will not make you any smarter.

[@ppp123asdf]

​@@darthvader4209shameful pedaling of fake news

[@stvnzhu2387]

Loser create fake news to cover their weakness ! 🤣🤣🤣🤣​@@darthvader4209

[@petervote7914]

I feel that everytime Bilahari Kausikan opens his mouth, SAI comes out.

[@johnchang1226]

I always wonder why he could be a permanent secretary? the govt gave him a scholarship to study a PhD, but he failed half way.

[@sherwoodang58]

Xi is an excellent leader contrary to the speaker's assertion, guiding China's economic and technological growth amid great pressure from the west including Singapore. Example of great policy work: (1) long-term investment is supply chain via the belt and road allowing Chinese companies to achieve cost advantage and (2) allowing real estate industry to undergo massive correction to solve housing problem affordability / thus maybe solving declining birth rate. So Xi is an excellent leader taking decisive decision and implementing concrete action.

[@darthvader4209]

Gosh, my toes are laughing 😂

[@saehian]

​@@darthvader4209brainwashed darthvader.

[@stupodest]

….everyone is entitled to his/her view……

[@98zing]

what is the going rate now? can't still be 50 cents a post right?

[@kennethyeung7087]

Should Singapore policy makers heed this 'John Bolton of Singapore'? He thinks the US 7th Fleet in Asia is the most formidable armada in the world.

[@thedudeman8408]

How can it be a "re-unification" when it was NEVER part of CHICOM rule. PRC came after the ROC. It can only re-unify when it was one piece together. IF CHICOM gives up it's rule, then the ROC can unify the Mainland which it had ruled. Not the other way around.

[@cedarcanyon1]

Brilliant guy. Funny and engaging.

[@lowpecklim855]

Suppose to be brief....rather long winded...

[@watchman835]

2 Iraq wars and an Afghan war does not look like “off shore balancing” to any observant eyes.

[@r.a.h.175]

Imagine a mafia-like team, sitting somewhere now and enjoying themselves, routinely planning their next move. They examine every situation, their interests are spread in every nook and corner of the world, expediently stirring turmoil to create a state of disorder anywhere as suits them, planning the removal of those leaders that are obstacles to their plans, never losing sight of any situation as all must be in tune with their projection to dominate and control the world, to be completely in control of all aspects of businesses from a pin to a bomb, and woe betides those who dare cross their path. They use all the tools of the media to confuse and convince, they keep their puppets happy and that is easy for them, and these puppets will do their bidding with just one phone call, they make a mockery of morality and integrity, they set the standards for you to follow, it’s one big game and everyone else doesn’t count, the rest fight and die and they shall wine and dine and get their women. It’s a satanic world we are living in, they are enjoying their stimulating games. Meantime thousands of conferences, meetings, articles, books, commentaries, forums, demonstrations, interviews, and they wine and dine in the poshest places. Behind the scenes the final decisions were made. To do this and that, drag this fella down, get rid of this fella, and they sit somewhere and enjoy the show. And inconsequential speakers or do-gooders aplenty bursting their lungs, yelling or squeaking away here and there, addressing small or big groups, expressing their views on issues, just hot air as that doesn’t count to the mafia as their minds are already set. They don’t care how many will suffer and die. Their satanic minds are ceaselessly planning to ensure their control and domination over anything and everything. Their interests come first. The small guys merely suck in and prostitute themselves to these characters. That’s the situation and position and reality to accept.

[@mxl4345]

After carefully listening to him, he seems to have a deep grudge against China and Chinese. In terms of strategic thinking, he is mediocre, compare to Kishore Mahbubani. I don't want to be impolite to call him a clown, but he is.

[@ggc7318]

To me Kishore is a CCP shill, a 🤡

[@johnchang1226]

my guess is that he could become a permanent secretary was all because of his father.

[@98zing]

not a big fan of him personally...but he does make several valid points. Just because he says things that does not agree with your personal bias does not make it wrong. He is basically the opposite of Mahbubani who you can argue seems to have a deep grudge against the West. Sometimes i wonder if the powers that be deliberately designate pro china and pro US 'thinkers' that are not in politics to convey the image of singapore's neutrality......

[@ggc7318]

@98zing K Mahbubani's ex-wife was an American lady whom he lost to the great Singapore architect/ planner, LTK. That may be one deep-seated reason.

[@stephentan7881]

A non-Chinese said so?! Singapore is more of academic involvement.

[@user-ed9so2rb4k]

It seems he can't get out of his Indianese in him.

[@Branch7ShuZhi]

Kausikan is the son of a Tamil and a Peranakan. Thus, a true blue Singaporean with his own unique view of the world. So just listen and form your won opinion after you hear from him with that from George YEO and Kishore Mahbubani. The historical reason why there should not be war between China and Taiwan: 本是同根生，相煎何太急. Time will resolve the geopolitical impasse: 富在深山有远亲，穷在闹市无人问. The right time is when the GDP per capital of key coastal cities in China, exceed that of Taiwan. Namely, 广州， 厦门，福州，杭州，南京，合肥，上海，苏州，青岛，天津， 北京，海口，........... 昆明，重庆 and 成都.

[@kccmd9096]

Agree!

[@r.a.h.175]

Such strong disagreements with his views. Wow!

[@ivandate9972]

He is the right mind for South East Asia,

[@liewwilliam3305]

He should have a debate on this topic with Kishore, he will be put into Kishore's pocket in the first min

[@redbeansg]

What a joker living in his own cocoon.

[@stupodest]

…unification, without doubt….but at what and whose cost?…..can we say the same for the PRK and ROK?….

[@kianglin]

Bila Hari kau lahir? 2000 BC ?

[@CruiseSen-b1b]

He acts smart.

[@exoticGlobalTravels]

Very insightful. much better than Kishore.

[@kennySg101]

Very direct n frank reply to questions.

[@ssss8162]

But at the same time it reveals his arrogance, his contempt and illogical hatred of China, his lack of tact, his narcissism and his complete lack of respect for others

[@kennySg101]

@@ssss8162 In this world, speak the truth n your mind is rare especially in diplomatic circle. He is certainly a undiplomatic ex diplomat. Can be less blunt n tactful agreed. Comments on China is true u may not agree with his view. The Singapore view is rather neutral with no western ideological colour.

[@TrueJusticeisHistory]

vietnam is the best player because vietnam is not chinese? so if what he says is valid than what he is saying is he knows for certain 100% every single "asian" part of the world are all break off from china. He even included korea and japan so that is exactly the point he is trying to make, but also I think he should have done a better job in trying to sound like a neutral guy vs the obvious anti-china videos that are starting to pop out everywhere these days

[@aave865]

This controversial video surely will not go well with CCP propagandists 😂

[@lagrangewei]

it doesn't go well with anyone with a functioning brain to be honest...

[@coshyno]

CPC* also what is your point ? Propagandists can be found in all countries.

[@setisuafa-os9tv]

Sounds reasonable.

[@jmjt3709]

I'm always telling myself to be open to different opinions, so I have been trying very hard to appreciate the provocative tone he takes. Granted, he can be a non-Chinese Singaporean voice which is valuable, but he just comes across as way too cynical. When I scrolled to see how others felt about this, I'm glad to realize I'm not the only one that felt he comes across as a little "off".

[@petervote7914]

Not a "little" off. Completely and totally off. He is a sinophobe. Not only anti China but anti CHINESE. I have been tracking this clown for years already. He is very striking. Singapore is 80% chinese, but he is so brazen in his anti chinese, anti China views. There is nothing valuable about his views. Nothing but ignorance about China, pro Western drivel and the usual pro West propaganda. Actually his Sinophobia, anti China and pro U.S. views are very dangerous for Singapore. We already paid a price for that in 2016 when China seized SAF assets in HK when Singapore acted as U.S proxy in ASEAN. George Yeo himself already said that Singapore was burned by that incident and that it was mistake. This type of thing happened due to influence of the Sinophobes in Singapore government, people like Bilahari Kausikan. Very dangerous guy. All of them must be purged from Singapore government.

[@Mic-x4n]

My take on this inhumane politician, Bilahari Kausikan, is that he does not mind people being denied democracy by western and NATO governments in the 21st century to feed their own resource geopolicies. To him, it's just a reality they should learn to deal with. And if they can't, tough!

[@chongsewaun930]

Waste of time and energy listening to rubbish!😊

[@masdemon1]

Legend..

[@willsims6748]

How did he become perm sec?!?

[@sed9406]

RETIRE INDIAN singaporian became indian lobbyist???

[@Fr.VeniceLAI]

With current situation developing within PRChina ... is there is chance we may be also witnessing the beginning of a possible December 25, 1991 happenings of the Dissolution of the U.S.S.R. occuring ??

[@whyjj1991]

Always good to hear a bit sarcastic but defensible remark. 1) On China BRI and XI, he is entitled to have his perspective although I think BRI is a great strategy that benefits China and members short, medium and long term one way another in terms of export, resource, infrastructure, jobs and currency angles etc. 2) True, voluntary unification from Taiwan is almost nil as HK would be in a way too given the possibility, due to fear of unknown and long time brain washing, even Taiwan becomes very poor relatively (think Philipine wanting to be part of China or USA?). But 92 consensus is in a way is the status quo with Taiwan maintaining its constitution (of owning mainland too, as a result of one china but with diffierent interpretations), which I think will be adhered down the road to maintain peace across the strait. Short term wise, unification will happen by accident when a war is triggered (by US status quo change or Taiwan independence)

[@WowLuvya]

Wow well diversified viewpoints unlike the usual pro motherland talk from Singaporeans even Indian Singaporeans. He makes very good points about NOT being wholly vested in other countries power struggles. Apparently, Singapore took his advice to stay neutral and not join BRICS. Some ASEAN countries need money and development badly so they get caught up in this game. Singapore perhaps could step up to invest in ASEAN without the debt diplomacy issue and keep the peace and no WARS. ASEAN needs more Diplomats like him who are straight forward in offering observations and opinions based on his knowledge in the diplomatic corps and governmental circles. There are plenty of well aware ASEAN folks who simply look the other way. Glad to see and hear his take on ASEAN affairs and keeping eyes wide open on all the happenings in the world of geopolitics. Of course there is the MASTER, Dr. Jaishankar whose diplomatic observances of duplicitous behaviour of the WEST and CNY is nothing short of brilliant, in unpacking decades of lies!

[@petervote7914]

Singapore is neutral? Then how come Singapore sanctioned Russia over Ukraine war? How is that neutral? Bilahari Kausikan is not a neutral guy also. He is ultra hardcore anti ChIna, anti chinese, sinophobe for years. He is always mouthing off anti China garbage. Everytime he opens his mouth, anti China SAI comes out. How to be neutral? lol. Don't be clown lah.

[@adamkhan7102]

Kishore Mabubani, Where are you, now?

[@petervote7914]

PAP uses Kishore to cater to China, for ang moh, PAP will use this clown.

[@merlinf2869]

There seems to be an inclination that he has a new set of teeths

[@adamkhan7102]

Kishore Mabubani is really ankat balla.

[@stephenyang2844]

Kausikan has some valid points, but he does not go deeper for rationales. China has momentum and reserve and will grow stronger to push US out of Asia.

[@JIANGTG]

China will continue different ways to ensure reunification of Taiwan. China has strong determination and its overall strengths will accomplish this sacred objective...

[@BrianPatrick-s6b]

😊

[@Lee-vb4vh]

Wow interesting discussions. Audience had great questions. Outstanding views, opinions, and statements are full of geopolitical insights.