*NEW* La Nina Update (ENSO)

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[@shirleysmith9421]

Thanks Michael for giving us the weather for Western Washington WE NEED RAIN!🌧🌨‼️‼️‼️

[@carladelagnomes]

Yes we do!

[@bellakrinkle9381]

This year, the weather in western Washington has been as it was from 1989-200 or so, cool early spring to chilly early summer, until 3 PM. However, they sometimes had rain 24/7. This year, it only sp former years, wrinkles occasionally. Finally, the humidity is in the 50s. Tonight, there will be a beautiful red sunset with hazy grey skies.

[@ljink48]

Amongst my friends and family, I'm the weather guy thanks to you, Michael ❤

[@weswarren5987]

@@ljink48 😂

[@belindadunne4312]

Interesting and educational! 😊 My relatives think I know a lot about weather patterns because of your channel. Thank you. Sure appreciate your hard work! 👍🏻👍🏻

[@irishgrl]

As someone who lives in wildfire area in California, I look forward to seeing cooler weather, hopefully RAIN before the seasonal winds come.

[@Denise_B17]

So ready for cooler weather

[@sinan2.71]

We live in Arizona. I watch you because our son moved to the Pacific NW. My husband is freaking out because he just realized he hasn't seen a lizard in over a year, and he has been actively looking for one the past month.

[@tristenwheeling2113]

there around just keep trying !

[@bruced2346]

@@sinan2.71 they all moved to Oregon

[@kathleendanford9420]

@@sinan2.71 Same Here...course have feral cats. No matter the amount of food I give little running things that taste like chicken is impossible to ignore, apparently frogs not as tasty 😊

[@JeannetteReed]

@@sinan2.71 Try building a critter habitat, research what sized openings are just right for your specific lizard. Into a hill, or tall anthill style, for flat land. Dig and bury a bubble cement structure as a basement. Sculptural cement apartments block for smaller critters; Line container (garbage pail, box), spray lining with cooking spray non stickum. Inflate long balloons partially, spin every 10cm, 3-4inches into 4-5 compartmentalized bubbles. Place balloons in the prepared pail, fill w balloons. Pour in a cement mixture and let it harden, pop balloons, pull them out and now, behold. This is a many roomed basement level. To be buried below the Tower of Lizard Lounge, a local Lizard hot spot,, hopefully. I 💕Lizards 🦎 too!

[@SaltyReels]

I'm in Az and there are gecko's everywhere.

[@gerardfallon9204]

Great stuff! I’m an old fire guy from Colorado and as you may know we’re all a bunch of weather geeks.

[@annalorree]

I just found this channel. I live near Eureka, CA, so this is the perfect weather channel for me!

[@LaughingblueSu]

Thinking of moving to Eureka area. Is it true about Marijuana gangs taking over the area? Is there a kot of crime?

[@fenderchick2010]

He has a California Weather Watch channel, too, for CA-specific forecasts.

[@rosemarycorn2453]

Thank you. But ill never remember all it entails. So I’ll be here intensely listening to you ❤

[@lynnbailey9470]

Sighs where I live it’s looking like no rain I remember those La Nina’s dry as a lizard need rain badly.

[@luccac6247]

Thanks for passing on this preliminary break down. Easy to follow and understand

[@Goatex100]

Absolutely thorough possible weather change pattern. No one else on the web beats Michael’s model predictions. 👍

[@JeannetteReed]

You kid, but I Have used my meteorology daily Michael lesson to impress at parties!! Haha Geek and lovin' it!!

[@briAction]

Hoping this ends up being a great winter.

[@timothylewisw2394]

Thank you for adding Alaska in the seasonal temperatures and perception

[@boardcertifiable]

The weather in the south of Alaska usually affects us down here eventually. Hope your weather is treating you fairly!

[@TCWindSunWaves]

SOI and MJO in an ENSO update. Very nice...can't wait to see how this plays out.

[@jasonbabila6006]

We had some decent snow falls from Snoqualmie pass to Ellensburg between 2019 and 2021, the most we one season which closed the entire I-90 for a whole week between North Bend and Ellensburg was 2021.

[@markmacintyre3422]

Thank you, Michael!!!👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻

[@Denise_B17]

Thank you Micheal for this. Have a great weekend

[@DerekHyche]

I've smoked some weed and learned this. Amazing.😮 I've got so much to talk about today. Thank you.❤

[@nancid5265]

Child..immature child

[@DerekHyche]

@@nancid5265 you sound like a fun person.

[@misterjaayy6156]

Thanks for the update! Weak La Nina usually work out best for us here for snow in SW Idaho. 🤞🏻

[@GIBKEL]

So far we’re having an El Niño summer in Mt. Hottest stretch I’ve seen in June/July-especially night time temps. Strange year, every year. Consistency is gone in my 55 years.

[@rockpile332]

Hello Mr. Sinder...you have a gift at explaining complex wx to the layman. If you have time ..could you explain "Seasonal Drift" after the earth reaches solstices some night? Lol I was getting neg with you went tornado hunting and missed a few of your AM PNW WX. Thank You,..Great work you do!!

[@diannaa7462]

We need rain in Western Oregon…it’s been too dry for a few years now. I hope for more rain.

[@sidilicious11]

I agree!

[@icls9129]

Yep, I ordered a widespread 1-inch rainfall in western Oregon from the Amazon but they haven't delivered yet.

[@sidilicious11]

@@icls9129 🤣 I go right to the weather spirits with my order. I don’t always get exactly what I order but it was a nice wet and cooler Spring, and this is an unusual mid-summer rain/drizzle/mist. With La Niña coming back maybe we’ll have a wetter, cooler fall, winter, and spring coming up.

[@adrianasoldevila630]

Here in Mt. Hood National Forest, we had the weirdest snow season last year, better said this year when they thought we weren’t going to have any snow at all but we had lots. Weather was crazy last winter.

[@lonnie4894]

I heard we were in a Neutral position which would moderate temperatures to normal for different areas. Not so hot in the PNW.

[@pchabanowich]

To anticipate more rain for the PNW is encouraging. 🤞

[@randallan8158]

When I was working in the weather field in San Diego, the local meteorologists referred to "La Nadad", or The Nothing, when the Nino 3.4 temperature anomaly was between 0.5 to -0.5 C

[@AdvantureZach]

Great video with lots of great info. I was an AG aka weather guy in the Navy and I appreciate just how much detail you covered while adequately explaining for the uninitiated. Not too basic not too complex! Subbed!

[@JSFGuy]

lookout now the plot thickens.

[@rockpile332]

Right...we'll have to blame the swing on global warming....

[@burkelowry9279]

so well done. Very thorough. The last 2 weeks have been upper 80s to low 90s in Calgary, AB. Crazy heat !! Thanks for your presentation

[@devarskinnee8760]

Hey Mikey,we likey!!!bring on the rain,dry digging here in eldorado,but I beeped a 1897quater dollar silver yesterday.great condition.keep on beeping bro.eldo out.105'past Three days.

[@starlight3363]

Very interesting, I like all kinds of weather information.

[@RareGenXer]

The Great Lakes and Upper Midwest just now had its first dry stretch lasting more than 3 days since February! The last 10-15 years (with the exception of last year) have been exceptionally wet and/or snowy. I wonder if that is because of the long-lasting negative phase of the PDO, which doesn't get talked about nearly enough in my opinion as a driver of regional decadal climate trends.

[@AllTheHappySquirrels]

Yay, more educational content! Thanks, Michael! I have washed my car for the first time in a couple of years, so we should be primed for a good La Niña, right? Unrelated, unless early fall/winter happens, but is anyone else experiencing a really early spider season? Its my least favorite PNW season 😅🕷️

[@WorldOfWonder66]

We had recorded breaking snow in Bend Oregon in January of 2017. That winter was very crazy and hard. I'm not sure what we were in at that point though

[@SparkyOne549]

Same in parts of western Washington.

[@Geoplanetjane]

La Niña conditions for us in California has portended drought and higher risk of wildfires.

[@rhensontollhouse]

@@Geoplanetjane Fire at Chico exploded overnight into a monster…

[@nicholasdegarmo2415]

Learned more in 15 minutes than the last 15 years! Really good! Thanks

[@barbaramurphy17]

Great info, Michael!

[@databang]

Thanks from California

[@TheRangerBob]

Thinking about a possible cool, wet winter this time of year is a relief in July. Bring on the snow to NE Washington, I have a snow blower...

[@amypetra5021]

I’m thrilled you channel showed up in my feed 👍🏼😎 thank you 🙏🏼

[@StormWarningMom]

Geeking out on weather with muh weather peeps 🤓😂

[@WorldOfWonder66]

Thank you

[@coolwiz7994]

Watch California get slammed again despite the predictions. That’s what happened in winter ‘22-‘23. Predicted to have a “75%” of average winter and some places in the southern sierras ended up 350%!! That’s why it’s never easy. If a rex block sets up, MJO is at least lightly active, some light westerlies and moisture available, somewhere on the west coast gets annihilated. That’s what happened in January and March of ‘23. Cali never got a break and the 3 year terrible drought was wiped out completely and then some. So I guess we’ll see.

[@patriciaaturner289]

@@coolwiz7994 Just to be safe, I’m battening down the hatches. Maybe buy a rowboat?

[@nathantoney.1501]

@@coolwiz7994 yup. I live in Reno. 22-23 winter was snow on the streets from late October through early May. Mid wintaaaa was shoveling at least 3x/wk. but I can’t complain. My friends in mammoth…no words to state the intensity of that amount of snowfall. Average 150 dump truck loads of snow removal a day for 4.5 months straight. Had to take it to bishop🤯

[@fullcirclethinker]

Wow! Incredible information. Great job!!

[@Sunnydaypicnic]

The previous El Niño didn’t bring us warmers drier late winter and springs- quite the reverse!

[@callen8908]

Same here. Plenty of rain, cool misty spring. Only recently started having hot weather in July. Who knows what we’ll get?

[@terryleung622]

Watching from Canada’s BC south coast and these videos are wonderful, dedication and persistence. Keep doing what you’re doing man!

[@monicajohnson5109]

I’m really hoping for some snow in kitsap county this winter

[@akeleven]

Here in SE Arizona I've never had such a humid summer. But rain is sparse. When I look at the forecast rain is always one week away! Then it happens someplace else.

[@jeffnelson4489]

Coastal California cold as crap my mango tree is not looking good.1st time on 20 years.

[@bellakrinkle9381]

The same is true here in Western WA. We'll be lucky if it hits 70 today. There has been little rain in WA in the last year. We had a few days of 80+ F temperatures. Normally, WA is cool until August, but with much more rain.

[@hurricaneheather1420]

Thank you for the updates Michael 😊

[@EdCastillo2014]

According to the dude at SCWF, same or more rain as we had last season in SoCal.

[@KatTavolacci]

Thanks!

[@jp5000able]

Oceans are so warm now, don't see how a strong La Nina can form.

[@2007cgarza]

We live in W WA because snow, water, which results in lower fire risk, green landscape, sufficient water supply...and those who complain still really need to look into leaving for Eastern WA, etc., if this place is painfull. :) It's OK! Everyone has an environment they will thrive in! This is one environment, but there are many others too.

[@rockpile332]

Eh....

[@rockpile332]

Your telling someone to move it sounds like...

[@weswarren5987]

Idk why you’re yelling

[@rockpile332]

It is painful for some older people with arthritis & joint problems to live in the pnw. My doc told me to go to a warm dry climate. I do for months at a time for work sometimes...and I most definitely "feel" and notice an abrupt change.

[@rockpile332]

?

[@wng689]

Gonna be a whopper of a snow season for the Inland NW!

[@jaimehart5108]

Hey, Boss, you forgot to tie ENSO and JMO into monsoons if there exists a connection. Didn’t know about PDO so hit NWS glossary in the middle of the video. Epic update to all your ENSO videos. Let’s hope the winter will deliver. ❤❤❤

[@weswarren5987]

Oh it’s gonna

[@differentlyabledmuslimjewi4475]

I told a girl about ENSO and now I'm getting married. Thanks Michael.

[@PacificNorthwestWeather]

Win

[@graupelgraupel5396]

For the Upper Peninsula of Michigan, do you think we are probably going to see a repeat of last year's record warm winter with very little lake effect snow due to a strong eastward-displaced Aleutian Low in the Gulf of AK and strongly negative PNA and PDO, or do you think we'll see more variability for the northern Great Lakes region?

[@nrivera4380]

Bring it, La Niña!

[@OSUBeaver03]

Oh and just bought a Tempest, should get here next week. It would be cool do do a video on optimal placement of a home weather station based on different areas (I live in a residential area with houses stacked on top of each other 😢)

[@outlawbillionairez9780]

It's hot in the Willamette Valley!! .... "El Crappo"!!

[@adriaellen]

😂😂😂 I know right? 🤣

[@rockpile332]

Isn't that pretty much quasi correct for this time of year?

[@outlawbillionairez9780]

@@rockpile332 tomorrow, even hotter! 😡

[@briseboy]

We DO note that the predicted climate temperature change seems to have been correct according to those models, Though summer dry season has significantly lengthened, the PNW southern coastal region was cold - meaning 50s F, for longer than usual in spring into summer, just as the longer dry period before coastal precip has extended northward within the past fifty years. The fire seasons to which so many commenters refer, have to do not only with spring precip allowing growth before heat extremes, but also the temperature/fire/drought dependence, which varies as ecosystems vary. Thus, heavy boreal fire occurrence occurs at temperatures many US populations regard as moderate. We humans still more adapted to tropic-subtropic climate, tend to berelatively intolerant oftemperatjre variation, dying in 50s F, and in 90+, when our sweat glands cannot relieve us. Your culture tends to artificially, locally insulate you from the earth, and the development of artificial cooling uses greater energy than does warming of your shelters. Our species favors rich estuarine habitats, first densely clustering by water. Any culture ceasing seasonal migration tends to become irrationally irascible in significant ways. We do not remain cool, nor hold to warm feelings toward strangers. Since islands, moderated by oceanic reduction in variation, are limited in size and we have saturated all those amenable to our species, most are stuck with the continental climates occurring varying distances from water bodies. Try, of course, not to exteriorize your discomfort to any organism or person to whom you do not feel attached!

[@Clouds-su3dc]

Hoping this upcoming winter will be the one for a lot of cold and snow for southern Ontario I wanna plan to build the biggest igloo possible and for the very best I wanna make the inside 5 m tall and for the width 7 m. For December January, February I am in the slightly above seasonal temperatures with above average precipitation which can mean more snow and if all that above average precipitation is snow, then it will also means colder winters as well due to the snow, reflecting sunlight. Every day I think about winter and when it comes to my mind about summer I am like 🙁👎 but winter and Christmas 😃👍.

[@sharronhouse6622]

Do I need to buy a generator for this winter? 🧐

[@weswarren5987]

Yes

[@donaldhenderson8194]

Fascinating!

[@lonnie4894]

I'm Lonnie, I live in Idaho's panhandle in western Idaho in Post Falls and I am trying to figure out what cycle we are in ? La Nina? EL Nino or neutral cycle? Our temps are higher than normal for this time of year. I don't think 100 degrees is normal for the panhandle but becoming more normal each Summer.

[@SeptemberMeadows]

Bury eastern Washington state in snow 🥰

[@lonnie4894]

In the northern Rockies is what I am thinking.

[@paulkysar6207]

My wife believes I have a mental condition, snowboard shopping for my kids waxing boards, making sure all the gear is ready to go.

[@fergferguson7370]

So you could say everything looks like a normal winter in store

[@ric615palm4]

I’m in Los Angeles.. I guess it’s time to save water again..

[@pocketsizedrockette]

It’s always time to save water.

[@ric615palm4]

@@pocketsizedrockette. The water we save is a drop in the bucket. It’s a state scam to excuse their ineptitude and corruption. They need to build desalination plants! The water used by residents is 12% of total water used in California,

[@johnlimke9313]

Living in Minnesota. Spring is very important to me after winter, I hate winter. Looking at your below normal temps for April. Is it a signal of a cold snowy Apri? Or to far out to know?

[@rainbd4569]

Does the madden-Julian oscillation explain why the last La Niña was so dry? I live south of Seattle and it was a very disappointing winter.

[@Just_Joe71]

Micheal, in Northern Utah affected by La Nina or El Nino? It looks like on your map that it's kind of neutral in between the extremes on both?

[@chancellorism]

Hey Michael, have you explained why it’s been so much hotter and windier than normal? Thx Christina

[@jenniferjohnson995]

Interesting! Thank you!

[@lonnie4894]

Neutral temperatures should be more average it seems if we are in a Neutral cycle.

[@user-uv5dj1yw1m]

Ummm it was an elnino winter last yr and the NW and MIDWEST had more snow than a lanina winter...crazy

[@garybayles581]

So duck season may be good in California this year

[@gartwilliams3347]

Gavin Newsom just declared California in Drought conditions just to beat the rush!

[@PacificNorthwestWeather]

He has no say in it

[@Mossback666]

Ohhhhh - SNOW???? ❤❤❤❤🎉🎉🎉🎉

[@amypetra5021]

Also, I subscribed to your channel ❤

[@lonnie4894]

Seems we haven't seen neutral cycle for awhile, the El Nino and La Nina have been battling it out tit for tat the last several years in the way of climatic changes and weather patterns in the United States of America.

[@AnneKing-v4h]

Does this mean if I plan a wedding in Orange County, CA in Feb 2025 that there will be less of a chance of rain than we have had the past two years?

[@MERollered]

Thank you!

[@wozow182]

Attack of La Niña

[@MJ-vz2pc]

I live in Anchorage, AK. What is your prediction for October 2024 through the winter ???

[@nuggyfresh6430]

Hey Michael you should check out the TAO updates, that subsurface cold packet is getting absolutely huge! Is there any reason why you didn't bring the TAO in the vid, just curious

[@lonihollenbeck4654]

Damn, too stoned, but the colors are cool, man.

[@rockpile332]

You related to the late Danny Hollenbeck?

[@lonihollenbeck4654]

@@rockpile332 I doubt it, I was adopted.

[@treehuggingbuddhist]

dude 😂

[@lonnie4894]

Neutral cycle should be normal cycle right? Normal temperatures right?

[@AK-bw8xk]

Just make it snow please😊

[@kimberiysmarketstrategy]

Hey Micheal! What do you think about seeding to get more rain in desperate areas?

[@PacificNorthwestWeather]

Cloud seeing is really hit and miss and only covers relatively small areas

[@debbied9740]

Our world is getting hotter and wetter. Only my observations

[@OSUBeaver03]

Why is it southern oscillation if the temp is measured at the equator?

[@RiverHaus2001]

Anyone can discuss the charts provided by NOAA as well as the thier interpretations. I ask you to explain why the the cooler water rising from the sea bottom to create La Nina. In general this report is a big maybe because no one really knows the actual reason

[@PacificNorthwestWeather]

It's a global cycle related to the Pacific Ocean and how and when it releases heat. We understand some, but not all of this process

[@TJ-id6ee]

Eyyyy!

[@Bootsz2010]

What does La Niña mean for the Sierra in northern California?

[@debbied9740]

Tell him to lift rocks. All animals are hiding from heat. Becareful of thier cousins the snake.

[@lauracochran3213]

👍