Pattern Change, Cold Enough for Snow???

  Рет қаралды 21,517

Pacific Northwest Weather Watch

Pacific Northwest Weather Watch

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 97
@stm890
@stm890 2 күн бұрын
I do remember leading up to Feb 2019 was pretty similar - the forecast didnt really catch on to it until it was upon us. Lots of flip flopping and it caught a lot of us by surprise. We shall see how this pans out. I have a feeling we are due for it. Sure hope so!
@madjenta3079
@madjenta3079 2 күн бұрын
Snow heathen here 🙋‍♀️ 🙏🏻❄️❄️❄️
@Trad-Am
@Trad-Am 2 күн бұрын
Just give us the big mountain snow dumps. The lowland is just extra, but we need feet at elevation.
@luccac6247
@luccac6247 2 күн бұрын
Almost 100K in subs Mike. Keep up the good work. Appreciate what you do. Let it snow......let it snow !
@Pbav8tor
@Pbav8tor 2 күн бұрын
The Olympics have no snow. My only concern is this summer. We are dependent on surface water, and no snow is bad. Is this the dryest January since 1982?
@santacruz59
@santacruz59 2 күн бұрын
since 1948
@jaymontgomery3330
@jaymontgomery3330 Күн бұрын
The Olympics are at 86% snowpack currently. Plenty of snow above 4000' . More coming, no worries.
@Bosses_Exploration
@Bosses_Exploration Күн бұрын
@@santacruz59🤣🤣🤣🤣
@lonewolfsurvival3453
@lonewolfsurvival3453 Күн бұрын
I would love some snow, but it's just been way too dry in my area of WA state. My sinuses need a little more moisture in the air lol.
@aquachonk
@aquachonk 2 күн бұрын
Seeing snow in the Portland extended forecast and I'm excited, yet cautious. 99% of the time, it amounts to 37 flakes and the recently-imported Californian drivers freak out at rush hour while the rest of us roll our eyes. The other 1% involves widespread power outages, destruction, and I'm in my yard for 2 days with a rake and a chainsaw.
@michaelsmith-yd9tq
@michaelsmith-yd9tq 2 күн бұрын
So true
@joncope9175
@joncope9175 2 күн бұрын
@aquachonk yeah, it’s not just the recently imported drivers.
@jeremydeansausages1985
@jeremydeansausages1985 2 күн бұрын
Meh. Speed limits are too low anyway in Oregon to have any real problems. Freeway is what like 45mph in a lot of places ? Haha. Hell na
@sueshade8215
@sueshade8215 Күн бұрын
Beware an East wind and freezing rain. My spouse spent many a January night climbing poles for UPRR in the Gorge, repairing cables broken by the weight of the ice. Fun times!
@hisnameisiam808
@hisnameisiam808 Күн бұрын
​@jeremydeansausages1985 you must not live here.
@RMM541
@RMM541 2 күн бұрын
When you show your snow totals, it’s covering up the colors at the bottom so we can’t see what areas are getting how much snow
@robertdenton6936
@robertdenton6936 2 күн бұрын
Those totals are just guessing. Still very uncertain if the cold air even makes it that far. Cross your fingers
@rejanedesevigne
@rejanedesevigne 2 күн бұрын
Thanks Michael Im getting a little nervous. Here in the foothills of Mt Spokane we can see the ground in many places. We have snow but nothing like we usually get. I hope we have a wet summer and fall if the snow doesn't come through. We dont want any wildfires.
@seer77
@seer77 Күн бұрын
It’ll be ok. Weather has fluctuated since the beginning of time
@markhill9912
@markhill9912 Күн бұрын
Thank you for keeping an eagle eye out on the wild pattern changes and the updates Michael!
@pauldavis1943
@pauldavis1943 Күн бұрын
Either snow or bring us spring!!! 😊
@cajo5501
@cajo5501 2 күн бұрын
"Throw it in the trash!"😂😂🤣
@nousername102
@nousername102 2 күн бұрын
This feels like one of those rare cases where if you're north of Puget Sound or even San Juan Islands. That's the snowline. I'm watching this closely from southwestern BC.
@Bosses_Exploration
@Bosses_Exploration Күн бұрын
@@nousername102 it shows snow reaching all the way towards Everett/Lynwood on the European and gfs model the heavier amounts will be north of that
@___sevenseveneight
@___sevenseveneight 2 күн бұрын
Love to see the signal, thank you Michael
@markrund6292
@markrund6292 2 күн бұрын
Thank you for thorough and common sense forecasts.
@draperone371
@draperone371 2 күн бұрын
Thank you ❤ 😊
@fenderchick2010
@fenderchick2010 2 күн бұрын
I hope the lowlands get at least some snow. We are behind in precipitation so anything we can get, I’ll take it.
@jamesreding6336
@jamesreding6336 2 күн бұрын
We need the low just off the Columbia river
@LiquidMercy
@LiquidMercy 2 күн бұрын
Definitely hoping for some good Fraiser river valley outflow. Suspect if we get that, Bellingham and SW BC are going to get some interesting weather for a few days!
@Zarkxac493
@Zarkxac493 Күн бұрын
I'm just glad the mountains will definitley get snow. They have been looking really bare. I don't want wildfires.
@CamShawn
@CamShawn 2 күн бұрын
Thanks Micheal ❤
@violetdreams1799
@violetdreams1799 2 күн бұрын
good morning! 🌞🥶☕😊
@Sidewinder-xk9sk
@Sidewinder-xk9sk 2 күн бұрын
Pt. Angeles could really use some snow
@gariklaw
@gariklaw Күн бұрын
Can you please hide your task bar so we can actually see the scales on the bottom? 🙏
@leilaniunger1528
@leilaniunger1528 2 күн бұрын
Yes, I recall 2019 the GFS had called the snow ten days out 😂. And it was forecasted for light snow and we got hit, the GFS was right. So this can go either way 😂
@stevebubbie1126
@stevebubbie1126 2 күн бұрын
a different set of circumstances this year with the weak La Nina. A battle royal over the Pacific and Arctic. Which will win out?
@Mr_CGS
@Mr_CGS 2 күн бұрын
Called it Snow in February , for everett north and the Olympic pennisula.
@CPJGuide
@CPJGuide Күн бұрын
I hope this turns out like 2019!
@vinny61389
@vinny61389 2 күн бұрын
February of 2019 was epic. Would love to see something like it again.
@PacificNorthwestWeather
@PacificNorthwestWeather 2 күн бұрын
Nothing like that showing right now
@vinny61389
@vinny61389 2 күн бұрын
@ I have much more tempered expectations this go around. Maybe an inch or two in my area and I’ll be more than happy. The deterministic variability run to run is giving me whiplash, but I can’t help but look!
@LonaPua_Pouliuli-Popoki
@LonaPua_Pouliuli-Popoki 2 күн бұрын
🤙Aloha y'all The Golden Years ~ you'll no longer be in "good health" you're in "good health for your age"
@pmm1044
@pmm1044 Күн бұрын
Michael: can the Tempest weather station data be used in forecast models? Just wondering 😀
@JohnB-nr4qk
@JohnB-nr4qk 2 күн бұрын
My main concern is that upper low SW of the coast at the beginning of the event.Over the years,Ive seen many an arctic air lobe drift too far off the coast (and sometimes phase with another low,)the result being a warm maritime SW flow and rain, not snow.Its looking pretty marginal, dont get your hopes up......
@harrisonrutledge5
@harrisonrutledge5 2 күн бұрын
Southwest flow is going to win out.
@chaingliderreddup4222
@chaingliderreddup4222 2 күн бұрын
At the Beach it's been so clear you can see Terrible Tilly from Canon beach. :)
@dumptruckmoney
@dumptruckmoney 2 күн бұрын
March big snow🌨️🌨️🌨️🌨️🌨️🌨️🌨️🌨️🌨️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
@ingridblack296
@ingridblack296 2 күн бұрын
❄️☃️ please!
@johnhagemeyer8578
@johnhagemeyer8578 2 күн бұрын
Well I guess I will have to enjoy sun for the next day or so. I would prefer 28" of power in the hills around Philomath, but sun will be nicer than clouds we normally have at this time. One thing that I do love with the PNW is i can get my snow fix if im willing to drive 45min to an hour east to the good old western Cascade mountains.
@shannonophelan3440
@shannonophelan3440 2 күн бұрын
Was really hoping for some snow. Hopes dashed again 😭😭
@PacificNorthwestWeather
@PacificNorthwestWeather 2 күн бұрын
Confidence has never been high, and there are still lower end chances for some.
@shannonophelan3440
@shannonophelan3440 2 күн бұрын
@@PacificNorthwestWeather i know, it was always iffy - just a kid at heart! 🤣
@paulsorensen7110
@paulsorensen7110 2 күн бұрын
GFS is my fantasy model, until it isn't.😄 Thanks Michael
@thatz.wright
@thatz.wright 2 күн бұрын
GFS can be so wildly wrong its funny. But that 1% of the time its correct, I love it!
@katreniaclark
@katreniaclark 2 күн бұрын
How does 2008 compared to 2019?
@markmacintyre3422
@markmacintyre3422 2 күн бұрын
Snow pattern seems like it’s getting closer…maybe another couple of weeks!!!
@chanvalentine8283
@chanvalentine8283 Күн бұрын
Unless it's coming through the Fraser River Valley, Seattle won't get snow..... I loath snow. I just can't move elsewhere.
@WgB5
@WgB5 Күн бұрын
Discovery Bay. For the past week night time temps have been in the low 20s. I don't see this getting like spring any time soon.
@daviddillemuth7268
@daviddillemuth7268 Күн бұрын
Yep 18 this morning down south in Medford and 20 in grants pass oregon
@ronaldspins
@ronaldspins 2 күн бұрын
Snowmageddon or Snowpocolypse Thank You
@f4fake22
@f4fake22 2 күн бұрын
Northern whatcom county viewer here. I'm bracing for 6-10" of snow and nasty wind personally.
@harrisonrutledge5
@harrisonrutledge5 2 күн бұрын
ECMWF with mild southwest flow, GFS not buying that fully. Seems like the Euro may win out with less snow to no snow for lower elevations and milder temps. My contention anyways.
@joncomte6443
@joncomte6443 2 күн бұрын
Lexington Wa USA 🇺🇸🥶🤠
@steveportasUKUS
@steveportasUKUS 2 күн бұрын
I recon you have some "weather weenies" like myself that know a good deal about the weather but would like a deep dive on some of the things you talk about. Like why are we throwing the GFS in the trash? 850mb... what? Temps aloft need to be about -6º for show at sea leave. I can infer and can Google but I think we all wanna here from yourself? Unless you've already done all this before and in that case can someone point myself in the right direction?
@PoweredByChoro
@PoweredByChoro 2 күн бұрын
Snow heathens 🤣🥶🤣🥶
@NebuChadNezzarKBDN
@NebuChadNezzarKBDN Күн бұрын
Every big snow event here in Bend has never been predicted accurately. I’m talking snow amounts that total over 12”. They are never predicted let alone the times we get 2-3’ of snow. Hard to predict precipitation amounts in the form of snow here for some reason during the big events. I’m assuming it just has to do with our geography and proximity to the mountain range.
@patriciareed3510
@patriciareed3510 Күн бұрын
GP Ore - My alarm went off tonight and it showed snow! ???
@Robert-x6p7f
@Robert-x6p7f Күн бұрын
Solar Geoengineering in full swing
@Hossy215k
@Hossy215k 2 күн бұрын
Snow heathens unite
@marklillrose5068
@marklillrose5068 2 күн бұрын
if we only had a MT weather watch....
@stevebubbie1126
@stevebubbie1126 2 күн бұрын
What surprised me was that the ECMWF AI (12Z) has gone the way of the ECMWF. So much for AI supposedly being superior to the traditional models. At least the traditional European has been consistent these past few days. The GFS AI a.k.a GraphCast GFS is the outlier with the cold air and snow all the way down through Oregon. CMC is all over the place as usual. That Pacific energy is the problem for these models it seems.
@harrisonrutledge5
@harrisonrutledge5 2 күн бұрын
Agreed. I'm going with the 12Z ECMWF and the ECMWF model with a return to the same pattern as in November and December with decent south to southwest flow. I think the cold snowy GFS doesn't make much sense at this point. Due to this the ECMWF 12Z run shows much more accumulated precipitation due to SW flow. GFS has weaker lows sliding down the coast from the northwest. The complete opposite of the EC.
@frankpayne8281
@frankpayne8281 2 күн бұрын
Moisture, yes. Mountain snow, yes. Otherwise, politely, no, thank you.😉
@michaelsmith-yd9tq
@michaelsmith-yd9tq 2 күн бұрын
Looking good for Mountain snow 🏂 🎿 ⛷️ ❤😊
@genehammond7239
@genehammond7239 2 күн бұрын
👍👍👍👍👍
@ervinvice1521
@ervinvice1521 2 күн бұрын
For me, this talk of possible snow is agonizing. Keep it in the mountains and leave the lowlands alone!
@aquachonk
@aquachonk 2 күн бұрын
yay
@richard-cf8ce
@richard-cf8ce 2 күн бұрын
THEY'RE JUST GUESSING
@dezaraemalone5416
@dezaraemalone5416 2 күн бұрын
🙏🤞❄️❄️❄️
@johnp9988
@johnp9988 2 күн бұрын
🍻
@tobyjungkeit
@tobyjungkeit 2 күн бұрын
Nope to me I’m believing GGS Euro will cave soon enough
@tobyjungkeit
@tobyjungkeit 2 күн бұрын
GFS*
@tonyf.8858
@tonyf.8858 2 күн бұрын
NO SNOW!!
@danielmoung9098
@danielmoung9098 2 күн бұрын
Then why are you here?
@ashiscrazy6010
@ashiscrazy6010 2 күн бұрын
I hope it snows especially hard whereeevr you live
@tonyf.8858
@tonyf.8858 2 күн бұрын
@@danielmoung9098 Same reason you are.
@tonyf.8858
@tonyf.8858 2 күн бұрын
@@ashiscrazy6010 lol Okay.
@santacruz59
@santacruz59 2 күн бұрын
@@tonyf.8858 Be weary Tony, This person truly believes that comments on KZbin have an effect on weather patterns and forecasting.
@cheriebalogh4545
@cheriebalogh4545 2 күн бұрын
No snow please 😂
@ashiscrazy6010
@ashiscrazy6010 2 күн бұрын
Snow please!!!!
@johnschwartz8015
@johnschwartz8015 2 күн бұрын
Foggy on Hood Canal still at 11.
@harrisonrutledge5
@harrisonrutledge5 Күн бұрын
Uh oh...the mystery fog.
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