Poilievre vs Trudeau: New Nanos polling | TREND LINE

Pollster Nik Nanos and CTV News' Michael Stittle break down new ballot tracking from Nanos Research and discuss what the NDP is doing to differentiate itself from the Liberals, after two years of propping them up in Parliament.
Also, Nik thinks Liberal support might actually be higher than the national numbers indicate, and discusses what the 'true' Conservative advantage may really be.
Finally, as Canadians pay their respects to the late prime minister Brian Mulroney, Nik and Michael rewind to 1988 when the Progressive Conservative leader was seeking reelection.
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[@williamrouthier783]

Stop giving Trudeau false hope he’s done

[@McLovin1759]

Not until the fall of 2025… lots of time for a CPC slide. Especially if Pierre keeps talking.

[@deanc4088]

In 2015, the Conservatives had a 15 point advantage over the Liberals. The only poll that matters is on election day.

[@BajiKorvisamo]

False hope is not how he got where he is.

[@jerrysetlerr770]

@@McLovin1759 nope things are just getting worse and worse for him , PP far too intelligent for Trudeaus dumb dumb stunned self scandel after scandel , violating the charter , hand in cookie jar constantly .

[@rogerrabbit8756]

They will only go up muffin.​@@McLovin1759

[@Mr05301970]

Anyone who votes for the NDP is going to end up a loser not just once but twice.

[@maxw.5799]

Lifelong loser is what they shall be ....

[@JSRTales]

ssssssss ssssssss ssssss

[@McLovin1759]

Jagmet has scored more for the average Canadian and his voters than Andrew, Erin and Pierre combined. What planet are you on?

[@ScotianSouthy]

Can you explain how he has scored for the average Canadian @McLovin1759? I can't see a single thing and I do feel like a pretty average Canadian.

[@McLovin1759]

@@ScotianSouthy GST tax credit and Housing Benefit is kicking in with new home starts up Successful in negotiating that provincial health transfer payments will be tied to health outcomes. Dental program will impact you if you don’t have coverage now or in retirement As will the Pharmacare program. Residential School settlement $$ have been increased. Safe Long Term Care Act in the works 10 paid sick days Ensuring temp workers cannot replace union workers during negotiations And on it goes. Can you list Erin, Andrew and Pierre’s accomplishments? Thanks,

[@EndofDays-7777]

We don't need a poll . He's finished.

[@MikeTrainormusic]

100%

[@CaperFish-xh6il]

don't count yer chickens yet theres more fools in Ontario than ya think and thats where its decided with the seats

[@user-wo5ku3gi7r]

Hello. I'm voting Liberals. Have a wonderful cranky day.

[@grandmufftwerkin9037]

@@user-wo5ku3gi7r Trudeauoids?

[@stynger007]

Nicky would have you believe otherwise,,😅😅😅

[@grandmufftwerkin9037]

I cannot fathom the thought process of a person who still supports Justin and his government.

[@dougreed736]

They are making money from them. Government workers, some large companies, foreign voters.

[@larryprice6195]

It is just UNBELIEVABLE

[@oshop2990]

@@dougreed736 Foreign voters? can you elaborate on that

[@robertnorris9152]

I agree with you completely!

[@lorneyoung6298]

Public sector employees and and landed immigrants benefitting from taxpayer funded programs that are oriented to cater to immigrants who have recently become canadian citizens. Then there's the beneficiaries of Liberals crony capitalism, corporate welfare handouts. Bribes using taxpayers money 🤑

[@grandmufftwerkin9037]

Down with Trudeau!

[@stratford374]

October 2025 buddy. Keep warm until then.

[@petercullen1624]

@@stratford374 🙂

[@grandmufftwerkin9037]

@@stratford374 Keeping warm is phobic.

[@BanditPooter]

I think they meant "done", not "down".. I think.. 😅

[@samadams7224]

Canadians elected Trudeau THREE TIMES!! They deserve everything Justin will do to them.

[@lynnbloom4076]

trudeau should be behind bars

[@BajiKorvisamo]

Sure Lynn. Are you a credible legal representative to be speaking on the criminal justice system for a PM? Let me play along for entertainment. "why should he be behind bars?"

[@ruizheli1974]

@@BajiKorvisamo gugu gaga

[@doubledcanada]

Who on gods green earth would support the Liberals, we need to talk!

[@rickbaker8188]

Talk? I'll vote Liberal every time ahead of Poilievre. Point out how he's made your life better in his 19 years in Ottawa. Now all he gives you are words, slogans, videos and rallies. Wow, what a guy.😂

[@LakeNipissing]

@@rickbaker8188 You are baked. Poilievre has never been in the PMO. Name the top ten things Tarface has done for Canadians to make their lives better during EIGHT YEARS in office.

[@JSTIUK]

​@@rickbaker8188you're absolutely the problem with Canada right now. Voters exactly like you

[@ascension-theglowupprocess2102]

@@JSTIUKAmen!

[@lansud2549]

​@@rickbaker8188... you don't check on facts do you?

[@larryprice6195]

How can any sane Canadian vote liberal or ndp is UNBELIEVABLE. And I find it hard to believe these numbers, I think PC is much further ahead.

[@jumbome7420]

Exactly funny they never tell you why eh

[@ferzadhazeri2377]

me2

[@jolindafroehlich1045]

100% it is! Nick is flagrantly liberal so admitting defeat is rough.

[@Kanakid]

I completely agree with your statement! The Liberals are done!

[@acz88]

The bottom half of tax fillers contributes about 10% of total tax income. Those are your ndp and liberal voters.

[@grandmufftwerkin9037]

Justin and his government need to be fully investigated by impartial authorities.

[@longjohn77]

Agreed

[@dannybrown280]

Agreed

[@stratford374]

For what?

[@marcschouten3527]

Pierre should appoint one of his ski buddies as a special rapporteur to investigate corruption in the trudeau government

[@99problemsbutafishaintone35]

Wishful thinking but will never ever happen.

[@lindarutgers5015]

Who is getting polled? Everyone, except the boobs here in Quebec, ive talked to are voting Pierre. Liberals are off the rails.

[@adamsr4023]

Canada 338 polls Con 42% Lib 24% NDP 19% as of March 17

[@donnarocha4043]

I will never vote for the liberal, ndp party, tax tax tax 😢 🇨🇦

[@elenar.7780]

And Greens either The greens made a collision with NDP in BC and screw the province badly

[@yodatagz]

Freeloaders and government workers like liberals and ndp

[@BajiKorvisamo]

If it wasnt Trudeau it would be Jagmeet

[@user-tm5om9ch2g]

You’re fudging the numbers nik.

[@brianmurray1395]

Yeah Nik get with the program

[@One_Guy]

Canadians Need Change!

[@robertnorris9152]

I agree. Canadians also need an ELECTION!

[@sorshiaemms5959]

PIERRE FOR PM THE LIBERALS MUST GO

[@lizliz4186]

Remember when Pierre and Harper raised retirement age and cut pension benefits at the same time?? Remember when Pierre sold off hundreds of thousands of affordable homes to real estate developers who now pour money into his campaign? Sure, vote against your own best interest.

[@yannyloyer7177]

all must go

[@brendonirwin3644]

bye bye turdeau

[@RandyBarlow-fn8lo]

After April 1st I've got a feeling Trudeau's rating is about to go into the negatives ;)

[@viccolantonio1691]

$500 billion is up for mortgage renewal in 2 years

[@user-xu2sp2eo8f]

Down the toilet !!!

[@bullyboy999]

😂

[@squirrellover3470]

Who the hell votes green 😑

[@rogerrabbit8756]

Granola mf,s

[@garryhaney108]

Most of the world keeps polluting. Just a joke

[@brianmurray1395]

A STONER!

[@icantwiththis]

It's a racist party

[@rogerrabbit8756]

@@brianmurray1395 I'm a stoner and 100% conservative.

[@rosepetals6214]

Pierre for Prime Minister, definitely more than 40% .

[@adamsr4023]

Canada 338 polls Con 42% Lib 24% NDP 19% as of March 17

[@user-px4mp6lz3o]

PP is a lier

[@rosepetals6214]

@@adamsr4023 Pierre need more % as don't want coalition of the losers again of the Libs, NDP and Block etc coming together.

[@AZ-bp5zo]

As Canadians we demand an election as soon as possible!

[@PP-jl8de]

I agree! I can't wait to vote for the Liberals again.

[@andreybondarenko3042]

And nobody cares. Especially your government.

[@BajiKorvisamo]

Trudeau Rocks!

[@nancylynndaigle1072]

❤

[@ImNotNormAll]

Nick Nanos the liberal pollster.

[@claudetteplante9381]

Trudeau has to go,NOW!

[@BajiKorvisamo]

According to who?

[@clydemifflin3600]

@@BajiKorvisamo ...Canadian polls.

[@liberalsarecriminalslyings4370]

The poll was taken in a liberal lunch room and they still only got 24.7%😂

[@schrempskynate8944]

They work? 😂😂

[@user-wi1us5br6m]

​@@schrempskynate8944only in the government

[@BajiKorvisamo]

Stick your poles where they are best heard. All talk little action other than voter suppression.

[@Hellokinni]

😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@kerrryschultz2904]

@@schrempskynate8944 No one said anything about them actually working or doing anything productive. Probably in the lunch room drinking taxpayer paid for booze.

[@bridgetcarrancho846]

His job is to do what Canadians want him to do, not what HE thinks is right. That's what a democracy is. He's not our father and he's DEFINITELY not smart enough to run a country.

[@renegadeprospectors2079]

Running the country is not one persons job 😂 there’s a lot more to it

[@user-zr6pl6nb6z]

He's not smart enough to successfully run a lemonade stand.

[@pjx607]

Canadians are slowly waiting for that 2025 election to come...

[@longjohn77]

October 2025 can't come quickly enough

[@BajiKorvisamo]

Trudeau Baby! ❤

[@Shaolinbody]

Better be sooner

[@mikepurdue7472]

​@@BajiKorvisamohow much were you paid to say that?

[@timotyler2386]

Fixed polls …. there’s no way Trudeau moved up unless your last polls were done in Montreal only

[@bademoxy]

and Ottawa(Canada's version of Washington D.C.)

[@perryfefchuk637]

Qweerbek

[@junix6899]

If Trudeau still in power for the next few years. Canada is in trouble 😢

[@conniehurst9299]

We are in trouble right now. Yes he needs to go.

[@andreybondarenko3042]

Canada is in trouble since 2015. In the next few years it will no longer exist, turned into Northern Venezuela, only without oil industry, with ugly women and awful weather.

[@bevmarwood9312]

You are so right

[@Hellokinni]

It will be in the list of third world countries

[@scotttracey3748]

My vote will be for Poilievre, Trudeau needs to step down along with his taxes.

[@BajiKorvisamo]

Ok but ill be voting for Trudeau just to compensate for conservative voter division tactics

[@clydemifflin3600]

@@BajiKorvisamo ...that makes no sense

[@TheGruntski]

Nik, concerned over the Liberal fortunes, is now refining who he is polling no doubt.

[@daves3819]

26% blame business for increases in cost of living (not the same as corporate greed). This is the carbon tax!! and should be added to the 31% and 9% for the other government costs for a total of 66%!!!!!!!!!

[@asdfhiuh]

That statistic caught me off guard. Every small business I know is dying.

[@Abeysampson]

NDP and Liberals done like dinner for many many decades to come.

[@pheejl7534]

Heh, not sure how old you are or if you studied political science, but the Liberals’ moniker is “Canada’s Natural Governing Party.”

[@oilersridersbluejays]

@pheejl7534 a trend that is going to end with a screeching halt.

[@dew9103]

In 8 years I bet libs will be back

[@bowbender1]

Taken with a grain of salt. Everyone knows which side Nanos is on

[@ganeshpoptani93]

I am from India, I have never come to Canada and after seeing the situation in Canada, I would not like to come, the situation is very terrible and since the Canadian PM has spoiled relations with India, the situation has become even worse due to inflation, taxes, Unemployment, GDP in minus, change PM quickly otherwise Canada will collapse,,,Love from India

[@longjohn77]

It's really embarrassing how a fool can ruin Canada's once stellar international reputation in just a few years.

[@user-px4mp6lz3o]

Who cares what you think you aren't a Canadian

[@user-wo5ku3gi7r]

All you care about is that stoopid mistake your country made by attacking a citizen this country? If PP gets into office then your kind of ppl are going to be banned and deported. You're so lacking that you want the guy who doesn't like you to win?

[@Skoopz-56]

I’d like to see the trend line should the April 1st tax increase hit

[@Hbfb4]

This segment is the exact same every week. The most bland commentary ever. How is the bald guy on TV. They could just replay the same thing from 4 months ago and no one would notice.

[@TheTracerB]

Right he has the personality of a rock.

[@Mk1tt225]

@@TheTracerBthat’s offensive to rocks 😂

[@craigverwey983]

Ban Electronic Voting!

[@wchapman6945]

We do not have electronic voting anywhere on Canada. Paper ballots only.

[@craigverwey983]

@@wchapman6945 We have Electronic vote tabulators and some provinces/ territories go the route of mail in/ absentee voting. Anything Online or Electronic in anyway Can and Will be tampered with.

[@wchapman6945]

For federal elections it is a paper ballot or a comp.icated mail in ballot. Municipal and maybe some provinces might use some type of electronic voting.

[@susanmackenzie1959]

Makes me sick to look at him.

[@BajiKorvisamo]

🪞

[@Anastasia.Spy.]

Trudeau is a horrible PM 👎

[@jameswineck1809]

Trudeau resign

[@BajiKorvisamo]

According to who?

[@colleenstaroszik2084]

Or maybe the NDP support will swing to the conservatives not the Liberals as this Nanos guy thinks. He is clearly a Liberal

[@user-wo5ku3gi7r]

That's too wide an ocean to cross. The NDPs will never swim all the way to the Cons’ shore. The current leads them to an in-between Island called the Liberals. That's as far as they go.

[@thinkfaster6451]

Conservatives DOWN? … RIGHT , SURE.. LOL..HAHAHA!!

[@thewoodchucker-doug4303]

Why does anyone believe we have Pharma Care? What a joke!

[@petercullen1624]

Coming on stream beginning with insulin and birth control.

[@michaelburry2940]

Bias

[@tonyalves5758]

Canada is tired of the liberals and the ndp and block… all the same

[@bravo2zeroCAN]

Poilievre for PM!

[@user-vu4bb6pp7d]

Never Vote Liberal or NDP !!!!!!

[@maxchapman5976]

By the time the next election comes around things will be so expensive for the average Canadian that I don't see Any Way for the Liberals to bounce back from this disaster, and as for the NDP continually propping up the Liberals, - - - Yeah, well - if I were them I would look long and hard at what it is I was taking part in because I know for a fact that their voter base is.

[@daynalynds8719]

Stop fudging the numbers Nanos

[@laughingchimp3468]

Nanos is so weird. Their polling is always the outlier compared to the other. Not saying they're wrong but I wonder why they get the results they do

[@lavernekeller2283]

That's because Nik Nanos the owner of the research company is a devout liberal supporter and that bias shows in his results in each poll,

[@drwzer]

@@lavernekeller2283lol, you know nothing about stats or conducting polls, right? 😂😂

[@tonysopranosduck416]

Nic Nanos just received the Order of Canada….from Trudeau. Look at all the other polling companies and you’ll see the Nanos polls are the outlier and off by sometimes 10%. The liberals and Trudeau are doing much worse according to aggregate data.

[@perryfefchuk637]

Nic is a liberal shill .

[@KeyLmach86]

According to toronto police. Just put your keys at your front door to avoid home invasions! Duh!

[@miketomasini346]

With all the scandals who in the right mind will vote Liberal or NDP

[@petercullen1624]

Every administration has their scandals. Didn't you pay attention during Harper and Mulroney?

[@carollehince8472]

Pierre for PM ❤

[@catinthehat5080]

All polls go up and down, I think most Canadians will do what's right, vote Pierre for PM, this Liberal/NDP craziness will collapse. Wait till the April 01st and beyond, the polls will move sharply upwards !!

[@user-wo5ku3gi7r]

April 1st won’t do anything. It's just a Con scare. But dental and pharma care will hurt the Cons. The forest fires this year and the next will finish them off. Election time comes and it's a flop.

[@mollyanne9697]

If there is a way to cheat to a win, that corrupt b@$+@rd will do it.

[@Unpopular_0pinion]

No Trudeau.. your job 100% is to be an accurate representation of the will of the Canadian public.. aka "Popular"

[@nickylanahensel2682]

Pierre make Canada great again

[@realTomJones435]

My inner circle…all 20 voting CPC …not polled 😂🇨🇦

[@subdawg1331]

if the ndp were smart they would voted against the carbon tax and pulled the plug

[@oilersridersbluejays]

Key word: “if.”

[@alexnagy1981]

They' re not smart!!

[@jolindafroehlich1045]

Nick Nanos’ political choice. Is so disgustingly glaringly obvious. Get on the winning side Nick. Your boi is DONE. NO ONE wants him anymore, not even his wife.

[@TBonerton]

Where do they take these polls? I have never gotten a call from Nanos.

[@perryfefchuk637]

Qweerbek East

[@neilnewinger3059]

Canadians are quite naive to blame businesses, if they think that businesses will not increase their prices if they have to pay higher taxes (carbon) and higher prices for their supplies because of the inflation, which is the result of bad economic policies and growing public debt. Who is to blame for all of that?

[@petercullen1624]

Canadian corporations are making RECORD HIGH PROFITS. Not just raising their prices to address costs, but making RECORD HIGH PROFITS - while Canadians 'suffer'. It's beyond raising their prices to continue their profit levels - they're raising their prices to SURPASS their previous profit levels. Of course, that is business - and of course it comes directly out of the ordinary Canadian's wallet.

[@neilnewinger3059]

@@petercullen1624 Actually "After-tax corporate profits across the financial and non-financial sectors of the economy totaled $577 billion for the year. That was down just 3% from all-time record profits booked by corporate Canada in 2022". And why the socially conscious government gave corporations the excuse to raise prices by increasing taxes, debt and inflation? Don't they care about wallets of the ordinary Canadians?

[@petercullen1624]

@@neilnewinger3059 I should have been more general - record corporate profits under Trudeau 2022-23. I already explained to you. Corporations were not just raising their prices to address any costs, but making RECORD HIGH PROFITS - while Canadians 'suffer'. It's beyond raising their prices to continue their profit levels - they're raising their prices to SURPASS their previous profit levels. Of course, that is business - and of course it comes directly out of the ordinary Canadian's wallet.

[@neilnewinger3059]

@@petercullen1624 But they have to raise prices more than increasing costs, because they have to have profit growth at least at the level of inflation growth. Don't you understand that? Nobody would invest into a corporation, which profits do not cover at least the inflation. Even if there was no inflation at all, they would have to have at least some profits otherwise nobody would ever invest into them.

[@bademoxy]

@@neilnewinger3059 ok, then; invest YOUR OWN LIFE SAVINGS to create your own food production & supply chains to undercut these "greedy corporations" out of the market. Of course these means hard work, ability and COMPETANCE, which we're sure you'll get with diversity/equity/affirmative action and governmental intervention at every turn.... OR you just think government itself can directly own and operate these systems just like you think "government built our roads". The main thing governments build are CONCENTRATION CAMPS and POLICE STATES.

[@nickylanahensel2682]

Make Canada great again

[@BajiKorvisamo]

Greatest it has even been.

[@mikepurdue7472]

​@@BajiKorvisamoLMFAO, "greatest it's ever been." Do you enjoy working 12 hours a day, and living in the back seat of your car? Do you enjoy eating once a day, rather than having at least 2 meals a day? If you aren't living in your car yet, do you enjoy 65% of your pay going to rent? Is that "great" to you?

[@christophercoupe5006]

The excess numbers of immigrants are having an effect which is why the liebrals brought them in!!!!!

[@Mountain-Viking]

Time to take the trash out.

[@aidandevlin2298]

Pierre Poilievre for prime minister! Vote conservative! 🇨🇦💙🇨🇦

[@maciejkolosko4950]

gotta love how Nanos goes from well it was 20 % now it's like 15 so maybe in reality it is 10 so liberals are competitive ... give me a break dude

[@snapcaps12g57]

You are correct Nanos...this week was without a scandal from the liberals and gave them some hope. Wait for next week something will come up and disappoint you again !!! I'm sorry but it is time to accept the reality!!!

[@juliaschneider8909]

You didn't p o l l me or my family or friends were all for conservatives

[@timothyj1966]

TRUCK FRUDEAU!!!!

[@BajiKorvisamo]

EDUMACATION

[@timothyj1966]

@@BajiKorvisamo I think I spelled it Right... you run along now and smoke your Turdeau Weed

[@timgray7908]

please rid Canada of Justin the sooner the better

[@petercullen1624]

Is the record highs on the stock markets that are upsetting you, or is it the near record low unemployment?

[@oilersridersbluejays]

@petercullen1624 record low unemployment also counts part time and minimum wage jobs, which no one can survive on. I see you conveniently forgot to mention the record inflation and cost of living and ever increasing interest rates…

[@foxhound9781]

Anyone who votes liberal should be ashamed of themselves.

[@john60123]

Trudeau and the Liberals are destroying the Canadian economy beyond repair! High food, High gas, High Tax's, Spells Stalled Economy with inflation!

[@user-xs9ij7rr9f]

Who is paying nanos for all this polling, he must be making bank.

[@user-cm2py9cs6p]

Pierre Poilliver for PM wait until April. Kevin O Leary spoke the truth.

[@jaytrivedi7489]

Throw JT out

[@bullyboy999]

Nick, what pharma care?

[@ASH-ou4cg]

What do you mean? You guys got free birth control and diabetes medication. Isn't that what you were promised with this pharmacare bill? Isn't this what you guys voted for, by putting your trust in the NDP?

[@Reba24u]

There is no pharmacare

[@guyb7005]

tea leaves in suits

[@tmoenner]

hard to believe that a quarter of Canadians still vote this party

[@Rjpm-iy8ni]

Going green means turning blue in Canada!!!!!

[@abdcontractingltd]

April 1st he will be even further down the polls

[@ultime321]

How the hell are the NDP and Liberals still getting support?

[@outdoorking69]

How can anyone consider the Liberals?

[@nickg8494]

lol, after listening to these two they might as well be wearing some liberal ball caps and shirts.

[@myssnoel8496]

How and who are you polling? I have never gotten a Nanos poll. I would like to know more about how this polling is done.

[@lilianzhang9128]

Pierre for PM

[@bobboby2400]

You guys are way behind the times the NDP and the Liberal Party have way less supporters

[@AtteliaVel]

This is the latest polling

[@rippertrain]

Fjt

[@lilianzhang9128]

Call for election now!

[@TPB82]

Do a poll a couple weeks after Apr 1st. Show me that one.

[@user-mv7px7yb5g]

The NDP is threatening to win Liberal held seats in Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver not Conservative seats. The Conservatives are in fourth place in Montreal.

[@Rmstrjim]

Lol nobody cares about Montreal

[@perryfefchuk637]

We will see,the bloc are liberals so there's that .

[@mikepurdue7472]

Oh sorry, i didn't realize Canada is called Montreal.

[@mikepurdue7472]

Lol, oh sorry. I didn't realize Canada is called Montreal

[@paladancray7242]

GEEEE and How Many new Voters are gunna be CREATED? ??

[@SamyTheSheep]

The poll had a meltdown 💙

[@SaintMartins]

Support & vote for all Conservative Party members and save Canada !

[@user-gg5wv6pt3i]

When is the election??? Need new Prime Minister Now 👍🇨🇦🛡

[@shawnpowell6731]

Hey Nick....But the Abacus Data Poll March 21, 2024...predicts Liberals will fall to third place in next election. 223 seats Conservatives, 41 seats Bloc, 39 seats Liberals, 37 NDP, 3 seats Green.

[@orthopedix6202]

Jean Chrétien resigned his Prime Ministership over one sandal what Trudeau up to.

[@anitacho9023]

If Liberal win again .. i will leave this funny place

[@craigwynia5280]

Pierre should be at 100% WTF do Lieberal/ NDP supporters like about getting screwed royaly ? Well enjoy your tax increase April 1st . I'm doing my part voting CONSERVATIVE & Pierre for PM, how about you?

[@mcthunderstick2374]

338 still has the aggregate well above what nanos is polling. Not worried at all as a conservative.

[@markorr999]

Take your poll again after April 1st and the new Liberal carbon tax kicks in.

[@mikepurdue7472]

Here's my question. Why does Canada have 4 Liberal Parties and only one Conservative party?

[@ZebraAfrica]

Correction, the Conservatives are trailing by 5.8% according to that data. The Liberal / NDP coalition are leading the Conservatives, that is where the public support is. The carbon tax is hurting me, obviously the Canadian public has not had enough.