Q4 Warning: Why The Worst Year Is Coming For Investors | Ted Oakley

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David Lin

David Lin

Күн бұрын

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@TheDavidLinReport
@TheDavidLinReport Ай бұрын
Try InVideo for free at invideo.io/i/DavidLin, use code DAVIDLIN50 to get 2x the video generation credits in your first month Stock market complacency is now at "the highest level I've ever seen," says Ted Oakley. What's next for markets in Q4? Subscribe to my free newsletter: davidlinreport.substack.com/ FOLLOW TED OAKLEY: Oxbow Advisors: oxbowadvisors.com/ Twitter (@Oxbow_Advisors): twitter.com/Oxbow_Advisors KZbin: www.youtube.com/@OxbowAdvisors
@elizabethh7685
@elizabethh7685 Ай бұрын
I’m just trying my luck 😊😊😊😊😊
@elizabethh7685
@elizabethh7685 Ай бұрын
I’m 😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😅😊😊😊😊😊
@elizabethh7685
@elizabethh7685 Ай бұрын
😊😊😊😊😊
@Puzzlehup_com
@Puzzlehup_com Ай бұрын
nice insight
@oneillbilder
@oneillbilder Ай бұрын
The recession is here, where do investors look at for wealth gains now? mortgage rates still on the rise with higher imports and lower exports, yet the Fed is to lessen cost. Something will eventually break if they keep raising interests and quantitative tightening.
@philipr1759
@philipr1759 Ай бұрын
if you want to hold on to cash, put it in a safe deposit box, if you want assets, buy things people need in a shtf society, food, ammo, wood, water filters, tools, have a skill at building and fixing
@DavidRiggs-dc7jk
@DavidRiggs-dc7jk Ай бұрын
when we go into recession, tech will do poorly as a sector considering what's going on in the world, while defense stocks should be doing good, but always do your own research, or speak to a valid advisor before investing your money
@HarrietBemish
@HarrietBemish Ай бұрын
Agreed, I've always delegated my excesses to a pro, ever since suffering portfolio steep-down amid covid-19 outbreak. As of today, I'm semi-retired with barely 25% short of my $1m retirement goal after subsequent investments, and only work 7.5 hours a week.
@EllenAbrex
@EllenAbrex Ай бұрын
truly appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to unmeasurable progress, thus the search for a reputable advisor, mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?
@HarrietBemish
@HarrietBemish Ай бұрын
My CFA Vivian Jean Wilhelm, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
@brendancarrington-k7h
@brendancarrington-k7h Ай бұрын
There is an equal market chance associated with each crash or collapse. I have seen people accumulate up to $1 million during a crisis, and even make it work in a strong economy if they are prepared and well-informed. Without a doubt, the bubble/collapse is making someone wealthy.
@FareedahThompson
@FareedahThompson Ай бұрын
The issue is most people have the "I want to do it myself mentality" but not equipped enough for a crash, hence get burnt, no offense. In general, Financial Consultants are ideal reps for investing jobs, and at firsthand encounter, since Jan.2020, amidst covid outbreak, my portfolio has yielded massively in ROI, summing up to 7-figures as of today.
@tristianlamb
@tristianlamb Ай бұрын
Accurate asset allocation is crucial with an Experts guidance. I have 850k in equity, 300K cash earning 5.25 interest, 685k in 401k, 250k cash account, 120k in car assets ( paid off cars) Gold and silver bars. age is 48. My Fiduciary-counsellor helped me realign my portfolio to my risk tolerance and it boomed overtime.
@christian-x6r4h
@christian-x6r4h Ай бұрын
I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for financial advisors online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?
@tristianlamb
@tristianlamb Ай бұрын
Rebecca Lynne Buie is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@christian-x6r4h
@christian-x6r4h Ай бұрын
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
@atom_rr
@atom_rr Ай бұрын
At first, I thought that it was a bearish channel only talking about recessions and catastrophic stuff, but it turns out to be very informative and accurate. Thanks for the videos.
@illegalsmirf
@illegalsmirf Ай бұрын
It is just another doomer channel though.
@Kundalini_Martini
@Kundalini_Martini Ай бұрын
To be fair it’s the guest’s points of view, not necessarily David’s.
@bpb5541
@bpb5541 Ай бұрын
Almost everyone "says time in the market not timing the market". This is true if you are young but if you are old time is against you. Any massive pullback or correction or crash is devistating. I worry for lots of folks. Most everyone is being way too cocky. But more specific, folks are being greedy. Greed never ends well.
@garyschneider6644
@garyschneider6644 Ай бұрын
Thank you, Mr Oakley, for appearing here. I think I don’t have the asset base to have you manage my money, but here I can benefit from your financial acumen and overall wisdom.
Ай бұрын
Brown Nose?
@Jakethebeard
@Jakethebeard Ай бұрын
He would have lost you a lot of money over the past 3 years.
@DonaldMark-ne7se
@DonaldMark-ne7se Ай бұрын
I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.
@kevinmarten
@kevinmarten Ай бұрын
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert
@Jamessmith-12
@Jamessmith-12 Ай бұрын
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
@JacquelinePerrira
@JacquelinePerrira Ай бұрын
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
@Jamessmith-12
@Jamessmith-12 Ай бұрын
'Carol Vivian Constable, a highly respected figure in her field. I suggest delving deeper into her credentials, as she possesses extensive experience and serves as a valuable resource for individuals seeking guidance in navigating the financial market.
@JacquelinePerrira
@JacquelinePerrira Ай бұрын
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
@sledgeyyyyy
@sledgeyyyyy Ай бұрын
They are out of thier mind! Plenty of fear mongering for years. I should have just been long NVDA and SPY and cash in from an epic bull run. With a predicted 'massive' rally . It makes me wonder if it's time to rebalance my 6 figure portfolio or maybe even consider some value additions.
@PauleAraiza
@PauleAraiza Ай бұрын
Well all i know is that you cannot go wrong taking profit at near high. No one ever went broke taking a 10% loss. It's best if you consult with a fiduciary advisor to get informed buying & selling decisions.
@Dollrnri
@Dollrnri Ай бұрын
They're better investment strategies than moving to all cash waiting to deploy. Follow the S&P 500 by investing in ETFs like VOO, SPY, and SCHD. Dollar-cost averaging into these ETFs will likely outperform most investors.
@AddilynTuffin
@AddilynTuffin Ай бұрын
My dollar portfolio i DCA with is made up of 30% NVDA, 25% SCHD, 15% VOO and over 30% in digital assets, thanks to my CFA. This strategy is what works for my spouse and I. We've made over 80% capital growth minus dividends. Q3 taxable divs this year was $18,388 this year.
@gregorywhem
@gregorywhem Ай бұрын
@@AddilynTuffin Your advisor must be really good. How I can get in touch? My portfolio's decline is a concern, and I could use some guidance.
@AddilynTuffin
@AddilynTuffin Ай бұрын
Jennifer Leigh Hickman is the advisor I use and i'm just putting this out here because you asked. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
@maxangeles6279
@maxangeles6279 Ай бұрын
always a very good financial speaker. Ted.
@bellavistadanes3881
@bellavistadanes3881 Ай бұрын
Fantastic discussion ! Ted Oakley is one of my favorites to learn from..
@Marukomekun
@Marukomekun Ай бұрын
Love Ted. Keep get him on each quarter David. He is a star
@shilohtrowbridge6149
@shilohtrowbridge6149 Ай бұрын
Hi david just want to say I appreciate how much work you have been putting into your content....always publishing every day I can see some days you get exhausted and it takes a toll but I respect the dedication.
@geraldt331
@geraldt331 Ай бұрын
Market highs can sometimes be followed by corrections, but predicting the timing and extent of it is challenging. I've heard some analysts talk about a 'massive' correction. It makes me wonder if it's time to adjust my $2M portfolios or maybe even consider some defensive investments.
@BerryRyan-gl3sm
@BerryRyan-gl3sm Ай бұрын
The professionals presently control the market since they not only have the essential business strategy but also have access to inside information that the general public is not aware of.
@yeslahykcim
@yeslahykcim Ай бұрын
True. Having the right financial planner is invaluable. My portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 90% rise from early last year. I and my CFP are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, though this could take till Q3 2024.
@Jadechurch-ql3do
@Jadechurch-ql3do Ай бұрын
True. Having the right financial planner is invaluable. My portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 90% rise from early last year. I and my CFP are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, though this could take till Q3 2024.
@yeslahykcim
@yeslahykcim Ай бұрын
Credits goes to "Mary Elizabeth Fugelsang" one of the finest portfolio managers in the field. She's widely recognized; you should take a look at her work.
@brianwhitehawker1756
@brianwhitehawker1756 Ай бұрын
I just googled her now and I'm really impressed with her credentials. I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get.
@superstar5123
@superstar5123 Ай бұрын
Ted talks, I listen.
@somejohndoe3004
@somejohndoe3004 Ай бұрын
A great guest. Great interview, well done gents.
@TeresaLiam-z1o
@TeresaLiam-z1o Ай бұрын
Invest judiciously, keep a stop loss figure. Shuffle between debt and equity wherever the ratio goes to off your target. As for the target, I recommend a Ratio like this Debt % should be equal to your age in years. If you are 20, debt is 20%, reset in equity. If the market falls or rises drastically, your debt % will change, which you should rebalance to 20% and bring back equity to 80%. Thus you would have bought low or booked profit depending on if it was a crash or a bull run.
@FrankCoric
@FrankCoric Ай бұрын
Starting early is simply the best way of getting ahead to build wealth , investing remains a priority . I learnt from my last year's experience , I am able to build a suitable life because I invested early ahead this time .
@Michelle-Bennett
@Michelle-Bennett Ай бұрын
I totally agree; I am 66 years old, recently retired, with approximately $1.2 million in external retirement funds. I am debt free and have very little money in retirement funds compared to the total value of my portfolio over the past three years. To be honest, I didn't do all this alone, but with the help of a financial advisor. Having one is currently the best way to trade in the stock market, especially for people nearing retirement.
@Ben_Jacques
@Ben_Jacques Ай бұрын
Is there any chance you could recommend who you work with? I've wanted to make this switch for a very long time now, but I've been very hesitant about. I'll appreciate any recommendation.
@Michelle-Bennett
@Michelle-Bennett Ай бұрын
My CFA ‘Grace Adams Cook’ , a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
@Ben_Jacques
@Ben_Jacques Ай бұрын
I just Googled her name and her website came up right away. It looks interesting so far. I'm going to book a call with her and let you know how it goes.Thanks
@911aircooled5
@911aircooled5 Ай бұрын
Ted, the voice of reason. He just gets it and can annunciate it well to us! Thank you.
@kiyoshitakeda452
@kiyoshitakeda452 Ай бұрын
Ted Oakley is always an effective guest. Good questions and good answers. Thank you both.
@faithsrvtrip8768
@faithsrvtrip8768 Ай бұрын
Ted is a truth teller. I like his approach. Anyone over 65 that is all in on stocks has a fool managing their assets. I have been living like I'm poor for 4 years and stacking cash. I don't put anything on credit and if I do I pay the balance in full, every month. The bank pays me interest. My paternal grandfather lost his beloved polo pony estate in West Hartford, CT to foreclosue in 1934. He was smart. Until he wasn't. Lotta people are going to be old and broke and that's a bad combination.
@xmonikerhotmailcom
@xmonikerhotmailcom Ай бұрын
That cash is worth 25% less than when you started stacking it. Bad, bad idea. Scared money doesn't make money.
@raesmart3305
@raesmart3305 Ай бұрын
As soon as the USA elections are done the market will crash before the next President takes over.
@sethmiller5414
@sethmiller5414 Ай бұрын
And you have no money in the past 4 years while you 'stacked cash; and felt great about yourself wishing doom on everyone else. In the meantime, everyone invested is up most liklely 30-50% over the past 4 years. Even if the mkt drops 5-8%, can easily sell then and still be up a ton over your stupid stacking idea. Traders dominate scared money every day.
@xmonikerhotmailcom
@xmonikerhotmailcom Ай бұрын
@@sethmiller5414 I am up hundreds of percent IE MSTR, BTC, SOL, NVDA. It is wonderful. I will retire after this liquidity cycle ends.
@c.p.haslop2500
@c.p.haslop2500 Ай бұрын
Won't inflation ultimately eat away at your cash stash? I know I'm concerned about it.
@danielhutchinson6604
@danielhutchinson6604 Ай бұрын
Inflation effects as more Nations join the BRICS Trade Group are one reason I began to predict the end of the US Stock Market increase a year ago. I thought the end would appear after the second Quarter. The Government has used some very questionable statistics in the 3rd Qtr to embellish their claims of success. The adjusted figures as Employment and Inflation climb, despite Government claims that "All Is Well." appear to be embellished? Revised figures always appear to dispute the concept of Security in the US Economy? After a month the adjusted numbers appear too late to change Investor support, as People continue to seek profits. 1929 seemed to be similar? Falling from a higher altitude, does not lessen the impact at the ground.
@clarkstephen7861
@clarkstephen7861 Ай бұрын
I am trying to avoid making any new buys at this point in other not to get sucked into a bear market trap.It's tough making money in stocks when institutional investors are the driving force behind the selling.. although I read an article of people that grossed profits up to $150k during this crash, what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist?
@RoseGuerra7862
@RoseGuerra7862 Ай бұрын
Focus on two key objectives. First, stay protected by learning when to sell stocks to cut losses and capture profits. Second, prepare to profit when the market turns around.I recommend you seek the guidance a broker or financial advisor.
@martinheaway
@martinheaway Ай бұрын
I agree, reason I have all my invt-decisions ran through a coach on a daily-basis, it’s been 3years and counting and I’ve grown over $2million in gains, my coach's-analysis so far has steered me off losses and troubled waters and guided me make the most off major-breakthroughs in the mrkt, and esp. in this downtrend, her safe haven asset- trading, short-selling, ETF shorting skill-set are very essential..
@JaneClark7861
@JaneClark7861 Ай бұрын
I've been thinking of going that route, been holding a bunch of stocks that keeps tanking and I don't know if to keep holding or just dump them, think you coach could aid me with portfolio-restructuring?
@martinheaway
@martinheaway Ай бұрын
There are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’ Amy Desiree Irish” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
@JaneClark7861
@JaneClark7861 Ай бұрын
I just looked up this person out of curiosity, and surprisingly she seems really proficient. I thought this was just some overrated BS, I appreciate this.
@Thedrifter1
@Thedrifter1 Ай бұрын
Education, just can't beat it.
@drewgb
@drewgb Ай бұрын
Ted is the guy you want in your corner. These Fed tools are just bois.
@hurcell1
@hurcell1 Ай бұрын
Good job David. Love to hear Ted Oakley's wisdom & insights
@shambhangal438
@shambhangal438 Ай бұрын
A quick search reveals this:' Ted Oakley: "Worst Part" For Stocks Lies Ahead In 1st Half Of 2024'. The first half of 2024 would have actually gained you 30% if you had a simple S&P500 tracker, so bad advice of the 'being early is the same as being wrong' kind. Although I believe Ted Oakley and we should expect a large correction, it is all about timing. Real indicators (such as credit spreads, which are important because we are in a debt market so liquidity is everything) rather than synthetic ones tells us the market is stable - for now. We're safe at least until the end of this year (assuming a clean US election, and by that I mean a clear winner and a fair loser) so my bet is many people are just waiting for the 'Santa rally' (and its not just retail investors - there's many fund managers that underperformed the S&P in the first half of the year and will be looking to catch the end of year rally), and will be moving to defensive soon after.
@cortez9978
@cortez9978 Ай бұрын
I am awfully late in investing at 45 with just about 180,000 in savings as I have never invested before. I’m worried about missing out on dividends and want to make smart choices for my future. If I invest aggressively, can I still retire with at least $1 million by 50?
@Ballesteros-d
@Ballesteros-d Ай бұрын
Yes, you can. Investing in the S&P 500 at an 8% annual return will grow over $800k in few decades, whereas financial advisors can achieve much more in less time, depends on the market they allocate your assets I guess
@Marquis-9
@Marquis-9 Ай бұрын
True, despite having no prior investing knowledge, I got fully invested amid 2020 pandemic and pulled in a profit approximately $250K that same year. In reality, all I was doing was following guidance and to date, my portfolio has maintained a balanced growth.
@Curran-m-i
@Curran-m-i Ай бұрын
​@@Marquis-9 I wish to know more about stock investing, think your advisor can be of help? I have just recieved a good sum of inheritance money and would love to make meaningful use rather than spending only2
@Marquis-9
@Marquis-9 Ай бұрын
My FA is Sophia Verdekal O'neal, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her further on the web, she's valid.
@Curran-m-i
@Curran-m-i Ай бұрын
your response suggests a person of benevolence, just inputted Sophia Verdekal O'neal on my browser and immediately came across her consulting page, top-notch qualifications... very much appreciate this
@bigb0r3
@bigb0r3 Ай бұрын
These two make for a great show.
@Deitricklaverne
@Deitricklaverne Ай бұрын
Working with professionals who have expertise and experience in the market can provide valuable insights and guidance to navigate volatile times.
@Deitricklaverne
@Deitricklaverne Ай бұрын
with the ever-changing global economy, tax laws and regulations can also vary, impacting how investments are taxed. It's essential to stay informed and plan tax strategies accordingly.
@soothingrelaxationandmedit68
@soothingrelaxationandmedit68 Ай бұрын
Financial planning and retirement strategies are crucial, especially in today's economic climate. With global economic fluctuations and uncertainties, it's essential to have a solid plan in place to protect your financial future.
@soothingrelaxationandmedit68
@soothingrelaxationandmedit68 Ай бұрын
Consulting with a financial advisor can provide personalized insights and help align your investment strategy with your retirement goals.
@camela8445Mar
@camela8445Mar Ай бұрын
Honestly this cannot be overemphasized, helping people mitigate unforseen circumstances and mistakes .It's always good to have a financial plan,
@camela8445Mar
@camela8445Mar Ай бұрын
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skills and knowledge
@sarawilliam696
@sarawilliam696 Ай бұрын
My portfolio doesn’t just cater to dividend stocks. I hold $VFIAX (S&P 500 index fund) in my Roth IRA and $VTI (Total Stock Market ETF) in my taxable brokerage account. Two of my largest holdings. The individual dividend stock positions all complement the index holdings.
@Justinmeyer1000
@Justinmeyer1000 Ай бұрын
Thats when you hire someone to manage your money. You need a (CFP) straight up! personally, I would invest in ETF's and also love investing in individual stocks.
@carssimplified2195
@carssimplified2195 Ай бұрын
I took charge of my portfolio but faced losses in 2022. Realizing the need for a change, I sought advice from a fiduciary advisor. Through restructuring and diversification with dividend stocks, ETFs, Mutual funds, and REITs, my $1.2M portfolio surged, yielding an annualized gain of 28%.
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io Ай бұрын
Your advisor must be really good, how I can get in touch with them as my porfolio isn't doing well.
@carssimplified2195
@carssimplified2195 Ай бұрын
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io Ай бұрын
Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@mjbucar
@mjbucar Ай бұрын
I always enjoy Ted Oakley's down to earth insights. Thank you for having him as a guest speaker.
@_Thoughtful_Aquarius_
@_Thoughtful_Aquarius_ Ай бұрын
Another great interview on the David Lin Report!
@anthonypai6127
@anthonypai6127 Ай бұрын
Great conversation Dave.
@GraceOliviaf7y
@GraceOliviaf7y Ай бұрын
I am at the beginning of my "investment journey", planning to put 85K into dividend stocks so that I will be making up to 30% per year in dividend returns. Any advice?
@OscarBarnaby3k
@OscarBarnaby3k Ай бұрын
Investing without proper guidance can lead to mistakes and losses. I've learned this from my own experience.If you're new to investing or don't have much time, it's best to get advice from an expert.
@TeddyAlexanderv6
@TeddyAlexanderv6 Ай бұрын
The issue is people have the "I want to do it myself mentality" but not equipped enough for a crash, hence get burnt. Ideally, advisors are reps for investing jobs, and at first-hand encounter, my portfolio has yielded over 300% since 2020 just after the pandemic to date.
@NikolasMartine01
@NikolasMartine01 Ай бұрын
Glad to have stumbled on this comment, Please who is the consultant that assist you and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?
@TeddyAlexanderv6
@TeddyAlexanderv6 Ай бұрын
My CFA NICOLE ANASTASIA PLUMLEE a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further... She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market..
@NikolasMartine01
@NikolasMartine01 Ай бұрын
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
@kookiebush
@kookiebush Ай бұрын
Ted us probably the best guest on this channel.
@keimo2007
@keimo2007 Ай бұрын
Why is that... most bearish?
@KungPowEnterFist
@KungPowEnterFist Ай бұрын
@3:40 And yet the 2021-2024 delinquency rate is the lowest it has been since at least 1985, which is as far back as the data goes.
@vascamp4854
@vascamp4854 Ай бұрын
I've seen this exact user and exact post on 3 videos now. Guess the Fed has financial bots now? Cool.
@briannewman6216
@briannewman6216 Ай бұрын
The holding cost of gold is much lower than the holding cost of real estate and it is much more liquid than real estate.
@xmonikerhotmailcom
@xmonikerhotmailcom Ай бұрын
Bitcoin destroys both gold and real estate long term.
@user-xg6yc8ho3w
@user-xg6yc8ho3w Ай бұрын
Truth. And the holding cost of Bitcoin is much lower than the holding cost of gold. Also when it comes time to sell and buy, Bitcoin is also cheaper transacting with than gold. With gold you typically buy it a a premium and sell it less than it's current value.
@fbirmingham
@fbirmingham Ай бұрын
Another great episode, another great guest. Keep up the great work David
@titchglover2601
@titchglover2601 Ай бұрын
tks Ted, and David! Working hard and we appreciate you both for it, and for sharing the knowledge with us.
@2nostromo
@2nostromo Ай бұрын
I missed the answer. Why is 2025 the worst year for investors? Also at 20:32 He said the word Bitcoin. Wouldn't a bad year for investors be good for Bitcoin? Just asking
@xmonikerhotmailcom
@xmonikerhotmailcom Ай бұрын
Depends when in the cycle we are. Bitcoin is about to have it's blow off top, bull run is starting so it will probably double, or more in the next 300 days then come down 80% from ATH.
@alliedmastercomputer5407
@alliedmastercomputer5407 Ай бұрын
Ted Oakley one of my favourites
@rokyericksonroks
@rokyericksonroks Ай бұрын
Oakley has been in the trenches. He knows the difference between “advance!” and “retreat!”
@jmaietta
@jmaietta Ай бұрын
2:40: Retail sales figures are not inflation-adjusted. Adjust for CPI, the numbers tell a different story. If it were only possible to adjust for real world price increases, the numbers may have been negative.
@secondhorizon
@secondhorizon Ай бұрын
Ted is a Giant
@i486DX66
@i486DX66 Ай бұрын
RE: 0:20 - Yes, the stock market has always been a risk asset. The problem is the Federal reserve turned the dollar into a risk asset as well.
@jd218
@jd218 Ай бұрын
Not all that long ago for years it was common advise if you were within ten years from retirement not to have any more than 25 percent in stocks.
@tinad8561
@tinad8561 Ай бұрын
I wonder if target date funds have something to do with overexposure. It’s supposed to be a one-and-done solution to risk management, but I’d bet there’s also significant competing pressure to craft attractive return histories…
@selma5885
@selma5885 Ай бұрын
Age in bonds was Jack Bogle's rule.
@1man2many
@1man2many Ай бұрын
Yay! Ted Oakley! David, in case you care, the background 'music' on the intro is a negative for me. Maybe someone likes it, I dunno.
@jeffnapoliello
@jeffnapoliello Ай бұрын
Thanks!
@TheJacobnotowitz
@TheJacobnotowitz Ай бұрын
Just an amazing interview as always! Very little advertising/ marketing. Just information!
@Pelican5077
@Pelican5077 Ай бұрын
Barbell. Gold/Silver on one end. Cash on the other. Dividend equities in the middle, particularly in segments retail ignores.
@WillCloutman
@WillCloutman Ай бұрын
Wife: "You watching the game?" Me: "No, I'm watching this old guy" I like that chart showing % of household allocation to equities. Nice.
@TheKietNguyen-dy1dz
@TheKietNguyen-dy1dz Ай бұрын
Super super super great information Brothers 👍👏😊❤
@jhull5870
@jhull5870 Ай бұрын
Mr. Oakley said that there were going to be major credit defaults in 2023 and that the markets were going to go down. He got that totally wrong.
@moneymusicmindset
@moneymusicmindset Ай бұрын
Rand Paul is one of few senators trying to cut spending but it’s like trying to hold back the tide.
@Lieutenant_Dan
@Lieutenant_Dan Ай бұрын
I always appreciate hearing what Ted has to say. Thank you for having him on.
@13calpal
@13calpal Ай бұрын
Great interview David, this was awesome information. I’m super worried about my parents and how they’re all allocated.
@mikekorn6968
@mikekorn6968 Ай бұрын
@ 33:00 you cited a study that has been determined to be inaccurate & was debunked even by some in the legacy media as inaccurate & politicized....
@ritzenhauf
@ritzenhauf Ай бұрын
So what do you think, 50:30:10 cash:10 gold?
@kenthughes4396
@kenthughes4396 Ай бұрын
I’ve been in the business 42 years. The sentiment levels pale in comparison to early 2000 when AAII bulls were 75% last week 45%
@kenthughes4396
@kenthughes4396 Ай бұрын
By the way , Oakley is flat wrong even though he guaranteed it. Year 2 of the presidential cycle has been the worst see Stocks for the Long Run by Jeremy Siegel.
@brianponcelet3529
@brianponcelet3529 Ай бұрын
I think the worst year was in 2023 when the S&P was only up by 26%. Where is Harry Dent when you need him?
Ай бұрын
Hiding under his bed, sucking his thumb
@bradleyqueen3879
@bradleyqueen3879 Ай бұрын
That clown should quit. Been off base for years.
@xmonikerhotmailcom
@xmonikerhotmailcom Ай бұрын
Busy predicting 43 of the next 2 recessions.
@PopAndBubbles
@PopAndBubbles Ай бұрын
Economy is scary. Thank you helping us with knowledge sir. 😊
@Daig-c2n
@Daig-c2n Ай бұрын
*So much happiness and joy $47k weekly returns has been life changing. AWESOME GOD I now have a house and can now afford anything for my family even with my Retirement..*
@RyslanDurstova
@RyslanDurstova Ай бұрын
Only God knows how much grateful i am. After so much struggles I now own a new house and my family is happy once again everything is finally falling into place!!
@AdrizzBeer
@AdrizzBeer Ай бұрын
Same here waking up every 14th of each month to 210,000 dollars it’s a blessing to I and my family… I can now retire knowing that I have a steady income❤️Big gratitude to Ms Evelyn Vera
@AldanaMackean
@AldanaMackean Ай бұрын
Absolutely! I've heard stories of people who started with little to no knowledge but made it out victoriously thanks to Ms. Evelyn Vera.
@FresyGiadans
@FresyGiadans Ай бұрын
I do know Ms. Evelyn Vera, I also have even become successful....
@FresyGiadans
@FresyGiadans Ай бұрын
After I raised up to 325k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states 🇺🇸🇺🇸 also paid for my son's surgery (Oscar). Glory to God.shalom.
@robb5642
@robb5642 Ай бұрын
When Ted says he owns "Gold & goldminers.." I wonder if he means GLD or physical? No one can predict the future. One can only speculate. Experience in the markets & track record lend credibility, but a big one lately - for me at least - is an expert or authority's level of "belief" in the system. We've seen the SEC asleep at the wheel re silver manipulation. Congress insider trading running rampant with no consequences, job number corrections that scream cooked books, and a Fed that cuts 50 for no logical reason. If Ted is in GLD I'm not interested in his take, if he's in physical, then to me at least - he's serious.
@4hartrich
@4hartrich Ай бұрын
I guarantee he personally owns a lot of physical gold
@rainman3927
@rainman3927 Ай бұрын
Great interview! TY... another great guest would be Michael Nicoletos, you have NOT yet hosted him
@michaelwiebeck3
@michaelwiebeck3 Ай бұрын
Given the uncertain economic conditions and heightened global tensions, I'm considering investing over $400k in stocks. However, I'm uncertain about how to minimize potential risks.
@Rachadrian
@Rachadrian Ай бұрын
Consider hiring financial advisors, estate planners or tax experts. They can provide specialized knowledge and help you navigate complex financial decisions.
@Dantursi1
@Dantursi1 Ай бұрын
Having an investment advisor is the best way to go about the stock market right now. I was going solo, but it wasn't working. I’ve been in touch with an advisor for a while now, and just last year, I made over 80% capital growth minus dividends.
@SteveEstrada-js9nu
@SteveEstrada-js9nu Ай бұрын
How can I reach this adviser of yours? because I'm seeking for a more effective investment approach on my savings
@Dantursi1
@Dantursi1 Ай бұрын
“Annette Christine Conte” is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@SteveEstrada-js9nu
@SteveEstrada-js9nu Ай бұрын
I looked up her full name online and found her page. I emailed and made an appointment to talk with her; hopefully, she gets back to me.
@Jo-xx2rd
@Jo-xx2rd Ай бұрын
Great video!
@davidsumner3750
@davidsumner3750 Ай бұрын
As long as the us prints money to spend beyond our means, there will be incentive to seek refuge in business assets
@IvesIrby
@IvesIrby Ай бұрын
Thanks for sharing such valuable information! I need some advice: My OKX wallet holds some USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). How should I go about transferring them to Binance?
@toge167
@toge167 Ай бұрын
Thank you for the interesting content as usual. Not sure we need the overly dramatic violin music for the introduction.
@regulartxdude7813
@regulartxdude7813 Ай бұрын
I like this guest. Good perspective vs current euphoria.
@ninjashhh8344
@ninjashhh8344 Ай бұрын
Thanks guys 🤙😎🤙
@David-yn7wl
@David-yn7wl Ай бұрын
Government is 47% of GDP when you count federal state and local governments. It should be 15%
@stevenheyer-wq7hf
@stevenheyer-wq7hf Ай бұрын
What was Ted's 30/30/30/10 investment titles? Thanks
@ksawhney
@ksawhney Ай бұрын
Very insightful, I agree. The Fed will inflate the currency due to the debt load.
@caucasianafrican1435
@caucasianafrican1435 Ай бұрын
Last time we had a balanced budget was 1998. Clinton with a Republican House and Senate.
@Yru2noz
@Yru2noz Ай бұрын
Even surplus.
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 Ай бұрын
When will TLT perform?
@KungPowEnterFist
@KungPowEnterFist Ай бұрын
It is performing exactly as expected. The Fed committed a policy mistake when it cut by 50bps last meeting, and bonds/TLT were repriced to reflect that error.
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 Ай бұрын
@@KungPowEnterFist The real error is in the treasury market. They are mispricing inflation.
@maverickjones9418
@maverickjones9418 Ай бұрын
I think a lot of people were fine with their money in 5.1% money markets and the now 4.5% is too low and pushing that money into the stock market.
@DorisBeth-u8u
@DorisBeth-u8u Ай бұрын
Hello jones It’s risky to use your hard-earned capital for purchasing or selling stocks. A safer alternative is to partner with our organization who offers you a live account to trade and yield higher returns on a daily basis. At the end of every trade you split the profit with our organization. One advantageous aspect is that we do not charge a penny. It’s a 100% free learning and earning program. To signup contact me on
@DorisBeth-u8u
@DorisBeth-u8u Ай бұрын
It’s risky to use your hard-earned capital for purchasing or selling stocks. A safer alternative is to partner with our organization who offers you a live account to trade and yield higher returns on a daily basis. At the end of every trade you split the profit with our organization. One advantageous aspect is that we do not charge a penny. It’s a 100% free learning and earning program.
@FusunTumsavas-cq7tp
@FusunTumsavas-cq7tp Ай бұрын
The continuously changing economic conditions in our society have made it necessary for people to find additional sources of income, thus I am looking at the stock market to fuel my retirement goal of $3m, my only concern is the recent market crash.
@RossiPopa
@RossiPopa Ай бұрын
for majority, the solution to their problem can be found in specialized knowledge, so you can as well seek guidance from a well experienced advisor
@ericmendels
@ericmendels Ай бұрын
Agreed, despite my rookie knowledge of investing, I have a financial advisor who did the trick in a bit more than 6 months after a lump sum capital of $500k, and I've so far made a fortune. I'm now buying real estates, gold and silver as advised by my FA.
@ericmendels
@ericmendels Ай бұрын
Monica Shawn Marti is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 Ай бұрын
How about EM equities?
@claybomb1064
@claybomb1064 Ай бұрын
Nope. I’m buying 🚀💰
@j.corona8118
@j.corona8118 Ай бұрын
The fed does make mistakes and through out and especially at the end. But you should not make the the mistake that the fed is here to serve you. The fed has been driving through-out making sure that the economy remains inflated. Transitory inflation was the plan. He serves the oligarchy.
@caucasianafrican1435
@caucasianafrican1435 Ай бұрын
How about foreign equities?
@Marquez919
@Marquez919 Ай бұрын
I have a $90,000 portfolio that I've been working on for 5 years, but lately the volatility in the market scares me... Is the bull market over? I'm thinking about moving my investments to safer options like a hysa or T-bills. What do you think?
@RobbStonee
@RobbStonee Ай бұрын
It depends on your goals-whether you're looking to grow your money, earn income, keep your savings safe, or how much risk you can handle and how close you are to retirement.
@Tipping-Point88
@Tipping-Point88 Ай бұрын
Accurate asset allocation is crucial with an Experts guidance. I have 850k in equity, 75 cash earning 5.25 interest, 685k in roth ira, 120k in 401k, Gold and silver bars. age is 48. My advisr helped me realign my portfolio to my risk tolerance and it boomed shortly.
@Tnks4cmin
@Tnks4cmin Ай бұрын
Can you share details of your advis0r? I want to invest my increased cash flow in stocks and alternative assets to achieve financial goals.
@Tipping-Point88
@Tipping-Point88 Ай бұрын
*Marissa Lynn Babula* is the advisr I use and im just putting this out here because you asked. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
@Armstrong741
@Armstrong741 Ай бұрын
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@frankdattilo1836
@frankdattilo1836 Ай бұрын
The Country is in deep Sh.t
@harism2001
@harism2001 Ай бұрын
It is. There’s a lot the media does not tell or show. You will only know when you look from outside the country. Lots going on worldwide.
@davidcollins8150
@davidcollins8150 Ай бұрын
It’s private debt to GDP that is the problem. Public debt is not as consequential - ask Steve Keen
@nadruik9890
@nadruik9890 Ай бұрын
They will have to raise the rates about as much as Japan did…dunno why people think rates will go up if we gain to much debt they are more likely to be negative as fed buys them all. And no that doesn’t necessarily cause inflation, Japan is in constant threat of deflation only getting inflation recently as I would argue other countries invaded their economy. Our inflation and high asset value is as much a cause of every other nation investing in our growth if our debt threatens that deflation is as likely as inflation as they pull out(look at China atm)
@4hartrich
@4hartrich Ай бұрын
We have inflation because of government deficits…
@myzenheart6106
@myzenheart6106 Ай бұрын
David, Who are buying US bond? How do we know the bond sales is failing? Why the interest of ten-year T-Note has been moving up from 3.7% to 4.1% lately? Are we already in trouble?
Ай бұрын
Fed is buying the bonds, not Bethel and Uncle Dick;
@mattg8431
@mattg8431 Ай бұрын
Stock market has been risk free for years now, when we reverse to the mean it will be brutal. I think we are making generational top here, similar to 1989 Japan
@DorisBeth-u8u
@DorisBeth-u8u Ай бұрын
thedaviidlin
@DorisBeth-u8u
@DorisBeth-u8u Ай бұрын
@g mail
@DorisBeth-u8u
@DorisBeth-u8u Ай бұрын
.com
@bigelbow4854
@bigelbow4854 Ай бұрын
One of the most beautiful feelings in life is being able to afford everything you need in life. I have tasted what it means to be b r o ke and I can tell it’s not something you wish for anyone. Thanks to Larysa Caba, I don’t have to experience that kind of life anymore. I’m grateful and I will always be.
@leticiaenraz8514
@leticiaenraz8514 Ай бұрын
I feel one Of the greatest challenges that we first timers face in the ma rket is that we end up losing all we have,making it difficult to find ourselves back to our feet. My biggest advice is to always seek the services of a professional just like I did when I ventured into it for the first time. Big thanks to Larysa Caba. I now make huge profits by weekly through her services while still learning to stand on my own.
@fred5528
@fred5528 Ай бұрын
I think she trades for everyone I meet. I met her twice at a meeting in Germany and after her lectures from Ella I had to personally ask her to be my financial advisor. she is definitely good.
@annddyyy-6920
@annddyyy-6920 Ай бұрын
I have never seen a trader as open and transparent as Larysa Caba with her clients. The way she decides to make a profit for her clients. she allows you to express your fears and she still rests your fears and that is my respect. I don't normally comment on videos, but this word should be included. she is really cool.
@militaryorderly5386
@militaryorderly5386 Ай бұрын
I just looked up her name online. she is licensed with credible certificates and has an amazing track record. Thank you for the message.
@ivarlast2966
@ivarlast2966 Ай бұрын
I will like to knw mre
@drwinklepecker9298
@drwinklepecker9298 Ай бұрын
Ted is one of the best - ignore him at your peril.
@scepisle4970
@scepisle4970 Ай бұрын
Bitcoin... escape hatch...
@BootsieTheGreek
@BootsieTheGreek Ай бұрын
The number of people owning equities is always going to go up because people are more aware of the government spending easier access to investing Platforms less red tape to invest. Boomer doesn’t understand tech
@4hartrich
@4hartrich Ай бұрын
You don’t understand reversion to the mean…..
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 Ай бұрын
Is there gonna be another fracking boom?
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 Ай бұрын
Monetary policy functions w/ long & variable lags. & M2 growth is anemic now.
@harism2001
@harism2001 Ай бұрын
I’m cash. F the markets. They don’t make sense.
Ай бұрын
Not smart. They are inflating.
@harism2001
@harism2001 Ай бұрын
Will recover with what is coming. And things are only bad in west. It’s still cool in other countries.
@wadej769
@wadej769 Ай бұрын
At least buy some good dividend ETFs!
@janetpelletier1238
@janetpelletier1238 Ай бұрын
@@wadej769as in the top 7? Something odd that it isn’t spread across the board
@BobbyLawblaw69
@BobbyLawblaw69 Ай бұрын
You can get 4% on your cash which will at least have your cash hold its value and you can sleep at night knowing your not losing value by keeping it in the bank.
@AJ-hy2dy
@AJ-hy2dy Ай бұрын
David, please ask every expert how their portfolio has performed vs. S&P 500 during this year and the last three years. I will listen more carefully to top performers. Thanks.
@caucasianafrican1435
@caucasianafrican1435 Ай бұрын
If the FED comes to the rescue of the stock market, we will get screwed with inflation.
@mattcampos2032
@mattcampos2032 Ай бұрын
Consumer debt 17.9 trillion credit card debt 1.3 trillion 2.2 trillion dollar deficit just in August the deficit rose 384billion so what does that tell you about the real economy
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 Ай бұрын
What happens to all that Treasury debt w/ these higher yields?
@forfreedom8110
@forfreedom8110 Ай бұрын
Ted says stock market has everyone all in and to diversify into real assets. Then he goes in to list his real assets and they are all stocks.😂
@fahranyounas
@fahranyounas Ай бұрын
Comical!
@mikep9913
@mikep9913 Ай бұрын
Just what I was thinking - very odd
@Andrew-dp5kf
@Andrew-dp5kf Ай бұрын
There’s a difference between NVDIA and fertilizer
@alliedmastercomputer5407
@alliedmastercomputer5407 Ай бұрын
You aren't listening closely enough then. He is positioned in stocks that are based around commodities.
@alliedmastercomputer5407
@alliedmastercomputer5407 Ай бұрын
@@fahranyounas comical that you can't discern between stocks that are hard assets/commotity based ones that are not
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 Ай бұрын
Does “Oxbow” originate from ND?
@anthonypai6127
@anthonypai6127 Ай бұрын
Hard assets- Bitcoin?
@scepisle4970
@scepisle4970 Ай бұрын
The hardest....
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