Real Estate Bubble is About To POP!

[@jaydubau8755]

If the Fed raises rates over 4%, national debt blows up due to how costly it will be to service that debt interest. Therefore, the Fed doesn't have that option. They will only threaten to raise rates, but no more than 1%, ever, not while debt to GDP is over 125% like it is now

[@nostric4237]

Remember, there is a lack of supply of houses. When you have a short supply and a big demand for houses, the prices has to go up, even if the rates go up. The mortage rate has to go up to above 5% for the house prices to start falling. It needs to be more diffucult for people to get a loan, and only then will the prices fall. When the buyers cant get credit/loan to buy the house they want, thats when prices go down.

[@RandoBox]

I agree. The supply/demand is so imbalanced that a rate increase would not significantly impact prices.

[@anthonyliwyj8219]

Hey Rob I think you need to factor in the skyrocketting costs of materials and labor to even make a house

[@jacksonsanchez8075]

People will be kicking themselves in few weeks if they miss the opportunity to buy and invest in bitcoin

[@jusufracipovic7655]

True thought unfortunately.mine always ends up with losses😭

[@felixgallardo190]

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[@JohnSmith-zh1wc]

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[@saadali3385]

they dont need to hit 20% like before. 3-4% would be similar to 12-13% back in the day

[@stickystuff1001]

No bubble. Scarcity of homes on the market will accelerate as investors continue to offer cash to homeowners. Companies are buying up blocks in planned developments so their employees will have a place to live. Commercial Real Estate is taking a hit but hopefully a lot of those properties can be repurposed offering work space, retail space, and living space.

[@UltimatePowa]

Our future lords are buying all the land so they can parcel it up among themselves and re-establish a new feudal society. "You will own nothing and be happy." You're on the right track, though there is a bubble, however the crash will be short lived, as all the big corporations like Blackrock will just buy everything they can like Rothschild did. Owning property means you aren't subject to their rules and don't have to pay rent indefinitely, people may even pay you rent. Whoever owns property in this new hellish future will be their own Lord, well Land-Lord, or Laird if you would.

[@dl7775]

We bought our house new 2 years ago. There’s comps selling in our neighborhood for twice as much in less than a month. That’s insanity! I was actually looking for 10 acres an hour out in the rural farm areas. Land over 2-3 acres are almost up 300% in the same two years. It’s gonna be game over for anyone who’s bought in the past year. Edit. This is in the DFW area, but happening everywhere… again

[@notthatbad8]

Could you please clarify your statement of its going to be game over for those who bought in the past year? Are you saying they'll be upside down on their loan once the bubble pops?

[@notthatbad8]

@Yuck Foutube thank you. Agree.

[@dl7775]

@@notthatbad8 that’s exactly what I’m saying. We bought a house when I was stationed in Jacksonville, FL. Thanks to the Navy decommissioning the uss kennedy, we had to move. It just so happened that the housing bubble would pop at the same time. We had to pay $20k to get out of our loan. The poor guy that bought our house ended up $40k upside down 2 years later. Our current economy is way worse than it was then. When this 💩 hits the fan, anyone who bought real estate after 2021 is gonna be even worse off than in 2008. I’m talking at least a 40% loss

[@nostric4237]

They can raise rates to max 2%, and thats maximum.

[@christinemiller1872]

I think we are screwed.

[@mytinfoilhat9801]

He would be perfect for HIGH END REALESTATE

[@TheSupraRegistry]

You are doing awesome man. Great analysis

[@paddyoshocknasey8068]

I would be careful throwing around the term hyperinflation during 70s 80s inflation

[@Benmeglei1]

I love these guys telling me to hit the like button in the beginning of the video. How about I watch it first then I decide if I like it or not. 🤷🏻‍♂️

[@alejo5401]

Honestly whatever happens i will hv to accept. But would LOVE to make better sense of justifying a down payment this year. I just cannot pay 200k + for a 20% down payment for a simple 3-4 bedroom house in Ontario.

[@radian9097]

200? half a million in south florida

[@michaelxwhite]

@@radian9097 where can you get 3-4 bedroom in south florida for 500? On the east side of 95

[@RandoBox]

But others can. The poorer are getting priced out, but the supply is so short that there will be people willing to pay that price.

[@bullmeatt]

@@radian9097 he said 1 million if you read it properly. they are printing houses like mad in calgary

[@ejlworld]

Don't you think that real estate will crack up higher as people exit equities? Same for silver and gold? Sure a huge correction will touch every part of the economy but don't you think bonds and equities will take a beating first? I think the Fed will remain wishy washy and nothing significant will happen until after the mid-terms. Stocks with a P&E ratio out of whack need a huge haircut and it will come soon. but QE and stimuli will flow and the pendulum will get pulled back farther. Real estate probably has 6 months to a year to rip higher

[@sethshaffer8592]

I think they are gonna kick it. They been kickin it since Nixon.

[@MrTubs911]

I have a hard time comparing real estate to the stock market. one is a commodity, and the other is not. I don't see the fed 2% interest increase doing not much to the real estate market. And if it did. It would be months after the percentage increase took place to see it reflect in the market. Real estate has a better track record of price increase then any other investment one can make. This is why you see organizations like black rock buy at higher prices.

[@satyasaradhi3046]

Very informative

[@paddyoshocknasey8068]

They have to raise interest rates... however they probably wont... this is the end game... The debt market will implode imo

[@meredrums1]

Dude.. You never mentioned the bond market. IDK, I sorta skimmed but you're missing the picture. The Bond Market drives the Fed.

[@basketballion]

Fwiw, i hate predictions…. I respect peoples opinions, especially when they are supported by evidence, as Robs always are. But predictions do nothing but scare people, and most of the time they don’t come true, so they just end up perpetuating negative emotions across big groups of people. I understand they make for good click bait and result in more views. But i personally avoid videos that have click baity titles especially if they make a prediction. I generally agree with the analysis here, but again see no reason to make a prediction. My analysis would be something like: the real estate market is inflated af right now, and it’s due to pop, but it’s been like this for over a year now so who knows how long it will keep going. Markets have not been rational for a long time, so trying to call when the bubble will pop using logic alone is futile. The elite ruling class have complete control over the markets. They will pop the bubble when it best fits their agenda. Until then, trying to predict market movements based on market conditions and logic is a pointless endeavor. This is the reason Robs calls for higher silver prices are pointless too. Logically speaking, yes, as the absolute value of the dollar weakens with inflation, silver SHOULD become more valuable. But it hasn’t. Because the silver price doesn’t depend on market conditions right now, it is completely controlled by the central banks and elite ruling class

[@josephmartyr3391]

It's all a game, well said.

[@tomstencil2945]

you didn,t get a 30 yr loan you took a 10 yr A.R.M. or you take a land contract loan or you had a rent to own and you don,t have $7000 origination fees.

[@nj-bz8pv]

they are bluffin hoping the market sells off enough they dont have to actually raise

[@frothybeaver4869]

Bad day for Michael Sailor. Buying all that crypto fiat and microstrategy tanking along with it.

[@silver-en7kl]

Real rates have been rising for the last couple weeks already.

[@TALONTEDGUY]

I like metals, but I believe in people more and their need for a quality home to grow in. Where realestate investors get in trouble is when these 7% or less return investor guys turn into slumlords and overcharge a family just to pay off their other debts. Its never ending spiral of stupid. If you invest in good faith, in family and community, you never go broke.

[@InvestorsRealEstateWinterPark]

The market isn't going to crash until 2027 so go make your money and stop whining

[@gerryalbert1726]

< TA is all well and good but I find it truly baffling that all major crypto youtubers just look at pure TA and completely ignore the bigger narrative of why BTC is pumping and why the future outlook might not be as rosy as it seems. It's kinda irresponsible to ignore the fact that each ETF launch so far has caused a major dump at the peaks of BTC. More emphasis should be put into day tradiing as it is less affected by the unpredictable nature of the market. I have made over 11 btc from day tradng with David Mayor, insights and signals in less than 2 weeks, this is one of the best medium to backup your assets incase it goes bearish....

[@gerryalbert1726]

learning:

[@rolandnelson3977]

I stopped worrying about bitcoin price ever since i started using David strategy, it gives me gain daily even with the downtrend.

[@hoofixrman]

Really, you arent in real estate?

[@Who2Rawww]

Are you asking or telling him ?

[@michaelxwhite]

I'm in, i purchased real estate in november. People need a place to live and build equity while doing it. Your home and equity in it are the best investment most of us will ever have.