Legendary sports bettor Billy Walters on what he'd wager for Super Bowl 58

[@deutsch-7946]

His analysis is spot on. I wish I had his info pre-game. LOL

[@terrywu2292]

It was pregame when he was interviewed on this.

[@Wembanyana]

I can listen to Billy talk all day. If only he had a twitter. Love the tone & wisdom he constantly brings. goat!!

[@Sportsmngmt]

The funny thing is that so many people like Julian Edleman bet on the game and Billy was right there at Radio Row!! JE put $5k on the 9ers. They all had access to Billy because he was at Radio Row in Vegas. I mean he’s right there…I would’ve asked him his thoughts 😅.

[@ryanc9888]

I hope people took advantage because this is the first and last time you will ever get a Super Bowl pick from the GOAT Billy Walters.

[@smosmo4617]

This guy nailed the deciding factors lol ....defense, kickers and ultimately the best qb

[@ML-kx9gz]

Bingo I just was watching him on Rogan found this clip I was in Vegas for the super bowl I just bet chiefs money line +105 I was kind of curious why he took the points though since he considers 2 or 2.5 a dead number that the games only going to land on 2% of the time but at -110 odds which means the dead number is actually costing him 1.15 in odds for a number that will only land 2% seems to me like not the greatest bet id rather risk that 2% for +105 but I'm also not Billy Walters lol

[@Tim-French]

I had never before heard of him now, but after a few minutes of viewing this, I could see why he's a legend!

[@shawn420]

facts! never hearing ab this dude but watching this video with hindsight, dude pretty much accurately described how the super bowl would be played out

[@Sportsmngmt]

It would be so cool to apply his logic to multiple areas of life. He’s always looking for an edge and sees everything in probabilities.

[@rajaG56]

Bill knows what he is talking about!!!!

[@Alohaonalani]

What an interesting guy. As someone who doesn't bet like this, its cool to hear about the numbers/line.

[@allans7281]

Billy’s comments are better than all of the other talkshows combined. wonderful show! how do you equate a +2 1/2 11/10 with a money line play on the dog ?

[@jimbaker5110]

He said +113 or higher

[@allans7281]

Yes but what’s the formula to calculate it

[@MurrayPeeps]

@@allans7281That’s a combination of historical data and personal inputs. There are academic papers online that can walk you down the road if you’re willing to do the work.

[@ryanc9888]

@@allans7281 He probably doesn’t even know the formula, he employs some of the best mathematicians around and just does what they tell him in terms of what has value and what doesn’t. The conversation chart is in his book though

[@arthurcard1152]

I had Billy on speaker phone everyday from 89 to 95. The Animals.

[@comebackkid7026]

And the Man does it again y’all!! $

[@chaseleopold]

Billy is 🔥 🔥 🔥 🔥!!!!!!!!

[@johnkoch7386]

wow, the dude nailed it.

[@richardpoplis6777]

This is why Billy Waters is the best..... he knows his stuff

[@levikeller7916]

4:35 what’s the significance of -132

[@markschwetz]

Plain as day analysis, I’m going to buy his book

[@xxxs8309]

Bill needs his own podcast

[@jimmyjackkkk9770]

Odd to hear him say he thinks the line is off 3.5 to 4pts but is gonna make a “small” bet. That difference seems like it’d be your bet of the year!!!

[@1500runner357]

His small bet is $500K-$1M.

[@jimmyjackkkk9770]

@@1500runner357 I heard that. Thanks tho

[@ryanc9888]

He explained why it’s not a big bet, because despite the line being off 4 points its not on a key number like 3 or 7.

[@genemontoya4028]

When books miss by 10+ points is when they slam the big$$$. Example would be GA v FlaSt bowl game.

[@ryanc9888]

@@genemontoya4028 The line is never off by 10 points lol.

[@vdan2879]

I'm glad he made a 'small bet'.

[@shawnliu4475]

The big bet is the 49ers.

[@steventesta6782]

Billy is a genius 👏

[@WClark-lp9vc]

he was on the money and is a great numbers guy obviously.

[@vin2703]

Why doesn’t anyone ever mention how KC laid an egg against the raiders packers and lions. Barely scraped by the Bills and then didn’t score the whole 2nd half at BAL. Plus injuries

[@ryanc9888]

The chiefs hit the switch late in the season, I think this team has reached the point where it’s hard for them to get motivated for regular season games. Also they scraped by Buffalo and didn’t score in the 2nd half Vs Baltimore on the ROAD in two very difficult places to play in crappy weather. Now they play on a neutral field in a dome.

[@neilwilliams3639]

Superbowl champ's 😂

[@randyposs6281]

Everybody has injuries

[@2cardarsenal310]

When he looks down to read the percentages that was all I needed to know. Pumping the Chiefs is all this video is about!

[@2cardarsenal310]

He nailed it with Lamar though, the MVP of the league cannot get it done in the big games.

[@g-mode5047]

He nailed the whole thing. 🍳😮

[@HoffyRS]

He nailed it bro. Lmao. This didnt age well.

[@derrickc1353]

If you read or audiobooked his book. You will see that he wins most of the super bowls he bets.

[@levikeller7916]

Which of his books should I get

[@arthurcard1152]

The Living Legend!! Art Card and The Animals.

[@vegastopdogstvsports]

I hope he joins VegasTopDogs. He is very sharp!

[@personalit]

lol

[@LoanwordEggcorn]

Ask Dallas, Jacksonville, Philly, etc., if the 49ers defense didn't show up all year.

[@unclemarkmark]

3 choked teams. add: commanders, seahawks, cardinals. THe NFC is the little girl of football conferences. If you can't beat those 6 teams you are pretty sad.

[@itainteasy80]

​@unclemarkmark lol AFC west was a joke this year , kc beat up on bad teams / offenses all year , 9ers gonna roll

[@EJT9000]

Those games were months ago..has no merit to how poorly they’ve played in the playoffs

[@levikeller7916]

Felt great having the chiefs and then seeing this and cashed hell yeah

[@warriorloft]

Spitting facts!!!

[@Marcus32]

Amazing!

[@bradlafferty6076]

Great content

[@dsz1272]

After hearing this, I'm going all in on the 49ers

[@steveludwig4200]

You don't know what you don't know. #IGNORANTFOOL

[@neilwilliams3639]

This aged well 😂

[@ChiefsWin316]

Hope you didn't get that 2nd mortgage you were thinking about getting

[@personalit]

Going against the greatest sports bettor in the history of mankind 🤣🤣🤣

[@davidgrace2951]

And you lose. 😂😂

[@scottnowell4975]

This is like some nightmare pop quiz in math

[@drdontpassone8164]

sounds like he's bet a few times

[@derrickc1353]

Anyone who has read the book/kindle or audiobook: Question if you have spread at 1.5 but line is -4 on the other team. I am crossing zero do I include 1 according to his chart? I did not include 1 I included 2,3, and half of 4. which is 12 1/2 which qualifies for a bet, this is for the min/phx game 3 according to sonny moore's power rankings, which he mentioned in the book.

[@matthewrobles2648]

JFC! You would think this interview was done the day after the Super Bowl, not the day before.

[@ClassicJukeboxBand]

The only thing I can tell you he's wrong about is the Baltimore-Kansas City game. He said Baltimore didn't adjust to Kansas City's offense. The reality is that the fix was in on that game. Somehow, somewhere, the NFL made sure the Chiefs were going to win that game. That's what they do, make sure the highest rated players play in the highest rated games. The fix was in for the Kansas City Swifters...

[@miltonmoore8369]

The dude obviously "knows his stuff." For me, the best bet is KC and the points, FIRST HALF! 49'RS trailed 24-7 against Detroit, Packers covered the point spread in the first half, in game against Rams, Rams plus points won the first half [tied 13-13], and The Commanders won the full game, as did the Rams, although neither game "counted" as SF was resting players. But still. Scary part is, years ago in a key playoff game between Miami and the Panthers, coach Jimmy Johnson had the superior staff and best roster, including Dan Marino at QB. Panthers won 62-7.

[@tre33911]

They couldn’t have Panthers are nfc Jaguars maybe that was a old dolphins team though

[@RorinoTheGreat]

I'm a 49ers fan and I feel the same way. I'm not going to bet KC on principle, but "having the QB and kicker on my side" is definitely something I agree with

[@LoanwordEggcorn]

Brock is a better QB. He makes better reads and better throws. Mahomes drops are on Mahomes.

[@gr8one007]

😂 ​@@LoanwordEggcorn

[@MurrayPeeps]

@@LoanwordEggcornThis has to be the hottest take in the history of hot takes

[@Artemis_A-24]

@@LoanwordEggcorn😂

[@LoanwordEggcorn]

@@MurrayPeeps Film don't lie. Look at Mahomes drops and misses. Why does he scramble when the route is open? Why did Brady beat him? Did Brady throw while falling down better? Did Brady throw with odd arm angles better? Did Brady scramble better? Or did Brady make better reads and throws?

[@spencervanhauter]

49ers playing indoors is a big advantage. Nobody is talking about this.

[@royeveritt2778]

Actually, the Chiefs playing in -7 degree temperatures and winning helped prepare them for games like this. Just remember the you can never count Patrick out, and this is the healthiest he’s been for a Super Bowl and not trying to win it on one leg like last year.

[@Eric-ox5iu]

mahomes is 9-0 in a dome in his playoff career also 4-0 at allegient @spencervanhauter

[@jivancich]

I guess pat is 11-0 in domes. I hope he losses

[@ryanc9888]

And it’s not an advantage for Mahomes the most talented player on the field? The windy and cold weather slows Mahomes down at times like it does to everyone

[@unclemarkmark]

Mahomes is 11-0 indoors.

[@elvis-jj1sc]

plus 110 money line

[@personalit]

What is the exact bet he making on this match? Explain to a european please...

[@micahpg3407]

To America, this is the champions league final and he is taking Kansas City to win by 2 or more. Kansas City is a 2 point underdog but he thinks they will cover or over perform the expected margin by 4. He is also planning on risking 500,000 or more.

[@mrjuvy49]

Simple he is betting about 550K to win 500K (USD) The loser pays the 'vig"

[@personalit]

I tailed his bet and I won :)))

[@joesmith201212]

He makes a great point about the niners getting injured... They are all healthy but as soong as CMC gets a knee tweeked or Deebo gets his shoulder bruised the whole offense is in a lot of trouble... I'm a Niner fan but i can easily see that happening Chiefs play dirty and in the middle of a tackle they shove Deebo hard into the turf on his shoulder and its GG chiefs win sn 58 easy

[@JesusOrtiz-qp1so]

He forgot to say that the most important thing is that ref are on the chiefs side

[@1500runner357]

Really? You haven't been paying attention. The NO-CALL pass interferences and NO CALL holds the Chiefs have had to endure make me think the opposite.

[@unclemarkmark]

chiefs are one of the most penalized teams in the NFL

[@ClassicJukeboxBand]

Good man, somebody who gets it...NFL = WWE.

[@bobterrana6554]

I would rather lose to purdy than lose to mahomes. Because I would feel like a fool that I bet against mahomes.

[@shawnliu4475]

He's going to make a small bet 500k on KC and wait till the line move and he going to place a big bet maybe 10 Millions on the 49ers😅

[@ryankinsey7707]

Exactly

[@Petergalvan]

@@ryankinsey7707wrong

[@nelgm]

Bottom line: Mahomes, Butker, KC D or Purdy, Moody, SF D

[@andrewb8017]

He is never going to tell you what he’s betting.

[@healthandfitnesswithnick173]

Ppl forget Niners moved the ball on the Ravens - just had 3 tipped Int’s !!!!! One bad Int!!! Niners just need to stop the run!!!

[@FGF-om6nm]

I parlayed moneyline & the under 47.5 Basically the same odds

[@neilwilliams3639]

Your sportsbook ripped u off. Odds should be plus 295 or 300 with that same game parlay

[@neilwilliams3639]

Hell I had $400 on Chiefs alternative line -2.5 and that was plus 130

[@charlesheath4225]

Loved his book. Such common sense wisdom in his approach here. Chiefs are an easy call here.

[@pigdroppings]

Was it Mark Twain that said .... common Sense is exceedingly uncommon.... This is why 95% of sports betters lose money.

[@neilwilliams3639]

​@@pigdroppingsBut yet he won 😂😂Vegas don't win them all

[@AAWest]

He is giving out the Chiefs so he can get 49ers at a better price.

[@derrickc1353]

Chiefs were the only team during post season that won when they public was on them.

[@BruhhhUreallyTHATmad]

Casino gonna be smoking that Billy pack come Sunday night

[@neilwilliams3639]

Casinos got jacked by him and me 😂😂

[@acramos1]

He remind me of Billy Bob Thornton lol

[@elvis-jj1sc]

i had money line kc winner wnner chicken dinner!

[@sal4856]

Never mentioned the officials, they will determine, always do,KC notorious holders,held Bosa all night first Superbowl

[@g-mode5047]

Yup. And not one holding call again against KC last night

[@ClassicJukeboxBand]

Obviously, Walters doesn't understand the hidden factor...NFL manipulating games for superstars to win...

[@anujbahl9028]

Deebo Samuels and McCaferty- lol

[@bradlafferty6076]

I bet KC plus 2.5

[@Artemis_A-24]

Brock is good, but anyone thinking he'll outplay Mahomes doesn't know football. Plus he'll have to be playing against a great defense, in case anyone wants to forget about the Christmas game

[@redcomet0079]

Keep crying 😭👌

[@Artemis_A-24]

@@redcomet007922-25

[@swschmidt51]

Called the 49ers Defensive coordinator firing (he’s done a mediocre job)

[@troyhbk]

people are so naive. at -110 by his own admission he wins about 56% of the time. We pick at 50%. The key to gambling is to bet within your budget and don't chase loses. You have a better shot of being a professional athlete as you do to be as good as this guy and even he loses some months. I guess he's only had one losing year in last 30 years but by his own admission he went broke countless times before he figured it out.

[@billyjean9484]

He was right.

[@michaelburris2146]

wooooooow. nailed it

[@sethstine4698]

Line is 1.5 now....

[@markpfeifer1402]

Niners by 10.

[@chaseleopold]

😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@neilwilliams3639]

This aged well

[@stephenpospishil951]

For god sakes, bet an amount you can afford to lose and enjoy the game, if you think your going to make a living sports betting then you are a fool, it’s for entertainment, treat it as entertainment and it will be something you can enjoy

[@ronaldi.ransomjr.6895]

49ERS will win this game 🎯

[@chaseleopold]

😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@Chiefs555]

😂

[@robertmitchell7958]

The commissioner of the NFL works for the 32 owners of all 32 teamsand to let this Super Bowl be as expensive as it is, it's just down right b******* After this game is done, people will be talking. More about how much they got ripped off. Even the players aren't happy. Never have another super bowl in las vegas after this debacle

[@amassey7723]

Taylor will cry a large amount of tears tomorrow night!

[@bbyjimm]

why whats tomorrow night

[@4040Collective]

@@bbyjimm 🤣🤣

[@john9951]

🤔 At her concert in Tokyo? @@bbyjimm

[@neilwilliams3639]

Taylor sure is 😂😂tears of joy

[@andrewgooding5752]

Create your own

[@ninerninerfaith]

His prediction isn't going to age well.

[@ChiefsWin316]

Lol comeback sunday night and bow down to the master. say you're sorry.

[@Icuh8n911]

Especially when he loses his small bet .bang bang niner gang. 🎉

[@ChiefsWin316]

@Hayneye808 I can't wait til chiefs up 7-0 and all that pressure starts weighing on the forty whiners on losing yet another superbowl. Good luck... you gonna need alot of it.

[@redcomet0079]

@@ChiefsWin316 5 is more than 3. Play catch up kid 🤌

[@rajaG56]

@@redcomet0079- 5 with none of the players currently on the roster. 2 with some players 2 SBs and many with 1 SB. You tell me genius.

[@EZMilos88]

🎯

[@Bob-xt2on]

Analysis ? It’s flip a coin, no one knows who will miss a block or get a holding penalty, botch a punt, etc… no such thing as handicapping

[@Mittens.49]

WRONG!!!!!! 49ERS WIN

[@LoanwordEggcorn]

He's helping the sportsbooks by promoting the Chiefs.

[@MurrayPeeps]

Yeah clearly he wants a better number on SF

[@tylerwilcox2656]

I was Billy’s caddy for years and I bet in his circle for him in Panama. He’s throwing the line. He’s taking The 49ers

[@MurrayPeeps]

@@tylerwilcox2656 Want to be friends?

[@chrisdiamond2236]

Man is genius

[@Kostly]

Who is this McCafferty this guy talks about?

[@humbertogonzalez2709]

IM GLAD I SAW THIS BEFORE I TOOK THE NINERS $$$$$$

[@arthurfonzarelli9828]

SF is 4th ranked in defensive DVOA and KC is 7th. Not sure why he feels KC defense is better. At best they're even.

[@greekmike0]

i like SF but they got torched last few games..still at least won.. KC i believe is holding teams to an average of 13-14 pts per game.: last 3 and even though Miami and Bills were banged up, still great offenses including Ravens

[@unclemarkmark]

you're looking at the whole season. take a look at the last 6 games. no one scores more than 7 pts in the second half against kcs defense

[@daze_jamz]

500,000$ is a small bet for this guy… 😮

[@ryanc9888]

His biggest SuperBowl bet was 4 million on the Saints +6 Vs the Colts. The Saints won outright

[@michaelharkins4645]

Im putting everything on Kansas City.

[@rtrwing68]

NINERS will take it!

[@neilwilliams3639]

This aged well

[@Sam-ov5ew]

This is a commercial for Vegas I wonder how much they pay him to say he's taken Kansas City that's where the public money is take 49ers

[@g-mode5047]

🤔

[@Chiefs555]

You lose

[@Sam-ov5ew]

No lose when all said and done I took the Chiefs 300 in my pocket thank you

[@CarryTheZero1]

This was what I wanted to bet but I live in CA and Gavin Newsome exists, so…

[@sammyyourmammy8170]

lifetime gambler, zero stability in his life. Always having to make a choice which will make you or break you. Might have been wrong 3,000 times in his 75 year existence, but the fact that he has been right 3,001 times makes him a winner........

[@neilwilliams3639]

👎

[@xrpb11a]

When Reid chokes on a pregame oversized burrito the suggested coaching advantage vanishes...

[@danieleidet7131]

🙄

[@chaseleopold]

You would know…..😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@terrywu2292]

I don’t think Andy eats before any game.

[@neilwilliams3639]

Naw that's more of Kyles style 😂

[@MauriceLabandeira]

I think people have been listening to Wilbur Harrison’s song Kansas City a little too much! How about Scott McKenzie and San Francisco…be sure to wear niners picks in your hair!

[@barryellsworth]

It looks like Billy is trying to move the line to me. 😂😂😂 And I’m taking the 49ers and the points. And he is forgetting the last time they played one another this year. The 49ers won.

[@secondstring]

You're taking the 49ers and the points? What book has them as underdogs?

[@terrywu2292]

49ers was always the favors

[@brandonfoster5776]

Not the most intelligent move, hope you didn’t lose too much.

[@barryellsworth]

I thought Walter’s was saying KC was favored before I had bet anything. When I went on the STN app I saw the SF was giving.

[@Dantana510]

🤯🤦🏻‍♂️

[@r.m.jackson6778]

who is macafferty ???---lol

[@johnbrandon6017]

yes...great call...we had KC...but KC got Lucky and everyone knows...SF blew it !!!...1st downs, extra point, run run run...its history now.

[@elisenispee7450]

Niners blowout 42-17 chiefs; Super Bowl 58 5+8 = 13, win goes to quarterback 13 whose team adds to 13 4 +9😅= go niners; prophecy Goliath goes down with 2+3 =5 stones of David , omg that’s cmc running; Jesus wins😊

[@markbryant2958]

My money is on KC. 49ers will get chewed up.

[@josephtorres1406]

Not this time = SF gets it done with a TD

[@lennyanders1639]

Agree, KC has Superbowl experience, quarterback is unflappable.

[@playinragz8183]

Billy is a total fraud! I caught his act on 60 minutes. The guy made zero sense with his betting. lol it was soooo stoopid!

[@neilwilliams3639]

😒👎

[@playinragz8183]

@@neilwilliams3639 let me prove it… 60 mins Billy showed his NFL betting skills. He bet $60k on one side to change the line so he could bet more the opposite way. THAT IS A 🤡

[@sheiabrown5642]

Let’s go 49NERS all the way 🏈🏈🏈🏈🏈🏈🏈🏈🏈🏈🏈

[@DrakejGonzalez]

Wrong 49ers