Robert Prechter on Regime Change | Cycles TV October 2022

[@alliedmastercomputer5407]

Thanks for taking the time to do the interview Bob. Love your work and thanks for sharing your current view which is matching my own.

[@pjstew9331]

Thanks Bob for coming back to us with this excellent status update. Grand Super Cycle, 4th Turning, Elliot saw it all.

[@yanivins]

Fantastic conversation. Thanks

[@derelect5376]

Since 2008 Ive found Mr. Prechter to be a great contra-indicator for the markets. Perhaps his methods were valid back in the days of free markets but I think they're totally irrelevant in our new era of digital price control. Unfortunately he is unlikely to disavow EW regardless of any circumstance. The entire concept is his bread and butter.

[@williamsignorile4986]

Good to see you bob best wishes Wavetimer

[@fibonaccitimes]

thank you so much, fantastic stream!

[@hariom-tn7ow]

Awesome presentation

[@madanreddy4673]

Thank you!

[@FSCtv]

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[@lightspread]

After Freud the best and most realistic comments about the Human Personality were writen by Edmund Bergler M D, 1930 to 1960, Vienna to New York City.

[@roni8h]

Thank you for this presentation. I would like to ask about the chart titled "A Gain of 200 Times Since 1922" (around 34'16"). You extrapolate that stock prices should fall considerably from here for decades. However, you have drawn a wedge on this chart (which you haven't continued on the bottom beyond the 2000s) and we could still be inside this wedge for quite a while going up before falling to previous lows.

[@cosmiccoder7225]

Hope Prechter will be invited again ,, eager to see an update on his market view, And point to be noted, we haven't seen any significant correction compare to the upside move of the market for last many year ,,,,

[@janreichenbach265]

I hope he WON'T be invited again. When someone's wrong on the US stock market, with very few exceptions, for close to 40 years .... :( .

[@Kjom4]

How do you play Prechter's 2022-2024ff bear call against Phil Anderson's 18,6 years property cycle downturn which should start only 2026 (with having new highs meanwhile in 2023-2025)?

[@Christoph877]

Too annoying, having trouble listening through this, because the interviewer keeps interrupting Robert... Too many interruptions, too frequently...

[@23panthony]

Prechter has been a bear since the 1980’s. Listen to him at your own peril.

[@nikolaussoundso]

many people seem to forget: in 1929, the market had more than quadrupled in five years. Today, we barely doubled. Hence, most of the 1929 crash was just erasing the recent bubble gains not ever seen after 1929. And in real terms, the market only fell 50% and made higher highs 4 years later

[@xopcapital9986]

Please read p. 215-46 of Elliott Wave Principle. Reading the 2nd and or 3rd edition may make you wish to reconsider your statement.

[@edstevens4439]

Went through two bouts of subscribing to EWT.......they were never right. Eventually Prechter will be right.

[@ask_why000]

@@edstevens4439 And at that point his naysayers will be "all in", all the way to the natural bottom that markets have been trying to find for decades (absent intervention, money printing, banker bailouts and half truths from global governments, central banks and Wall Street).

[@bssb936]

Excellent thanks

[@fibonaccitimes]

All of Bob’s projections are cohesive if you think about it. CBDCs which means a centralised economy , plus socialist ideology in government = an inflationary trend inflationary trend = bond yields go up aging population + low productivity + inflation = low corporate margins = non-commodity related stocks down

[@abijones6968]

Mr.Prechter, could it be possible that due to artificial market players (feds/central banks&QE-QT) natural cycle (Elliot waves structure) has changed?

[@sorena618]

Yes, our real top was in the year 2000 against gold which is real money not unlimited printed paper. Against usd waves are still there but skewed to the upside. Also worth mentioning fed caused this rise to be bigger by printing right? What will happen when they start unprinting is it can cause also waves to become bigger than normal to the down side. I did make a video about FED and interest rates in my channel very eye opening if you are interested.

[@nikolaussoundso]

min 35: stocks vs. commodities. It shouldn't be surprising that stocks outperform commodities over the long-term consistently, because stocks compound, commodities do not. Stocks earn outside money and the index even has a positive survivor bias which acts like a momentum factor build in, whereas the CRB commodities basket is largely stable over time. Commodities are also subject to deflationary innovation, that is economic rent going from the CRB to stocks. So if you showed a 1000 year chart of the MSCI world vs. a commodities basket, it should look like a straight-up diagonal on the log-chart

[@ask_why000]

I found the host interrupted on several occasions to inject fluff. Suggestion: Let your guest speak until there is a natural break or they wild off topic.

[@gabrielalexander1665]

I sincerely hope more people get exposed to this chat. I think Bob is right on point with his analysis. The country and developed humanity as a whole are about to experience something they cant imagine

[@DanHalper]

We are actually incredibly lucky that Bob Prechter is still alive to give us a little chuckle about 2021 and the hangover in 2022 . . .He´s a true living legend of cycle theory . . . regardless that he´s been wrong most of the time on the price moves. The reason Prechter ends up being wrong most of the time appears to me to be the manner in which the central bankers of the wealthy countries have essentially created what has at least appeared to be an infinite flywheel of pumping the historic valuation higher and higher and their governments with relatively infinite military force can compel the rest of the world to lend what has appeared to be so far an infinite amount of money to pump the next bubble. Does this finally pop? Hasn´t yet, look at NVDA.

[@filiper.5479]

Sorry you don't host Robert prechter and keep interrupting him with your own thoughts. That would be annoying if it was a regular guest. It's worst being bob prechter. But anyway thanks for bringing the man for free to us

[@noobahoi]

Why did you even make a life stream event if no viewer question was asked and answered?

[@xopcapital9986]

What does Socionomics say about injections and or boosters I wonder? Were they the folly of the herd?

[@mantras3008]

If all thease experts were right, they would be billionaire, not selling you books.

[@nikolaussoundso]

min 32:00 who cares about S&P dividend yield when most earnings are distributed via buybacks? Buybacks were illegal until 1982

[@michaels4255]

Dividend investors care a lot.

[@nikolaussoundso]

@@michaels4255 no, they care about roi, not in what form. Just like a lion doesn't care about the colour of his prey

[@michaels4255]

@@nikolaussoundso Dividend investors want income (STEADY income) which comes from dividends. You only get income from share appreciation when you sell, but that also marks the end of your income. Also, dividends provide income even during the inevitable periods when share prices decline. So, yes, dividend investors DO care about yields.

[@nikolaussoundso]

@@michaels4255 come back when you're willing to sacrifice ROI for dividends. I'll gladly sell you appreciating stocks bit by bit for a service fee, simulating dividends. Otherwise, just accept that you don't care more than 1% about dividends or share buybacks

[@barrieskotaya-ostojic8837]

Imagine putting money in natural gas. You’d be so rekt

[@hardikpatel4289]

I’m little bit disappointed with his presentation. He shows us history but didn’t say single word what’s gonna after from now on.

[@michaels4255]

Yes, he did. Listen again. Turn on the subtitles and read them if you have to. It just wasn't neatly summarized in one particular segment of the interview.

[@abijones6968]

Could you try to summarize? I was a bit confused as well.

[@pawsjo1713]

I watched twice and still dont see a wave count to the downside.

[@mth469]

How does the advent of CBDC or Central Bank Digital Currency affect Bob Prechter's predictions on the future. With CBDC enslavement, all of our earnings, savings, pensions..etc. are tracked and in the hands of central banksters who can manipulate things as they see fit. Losses will be transferred from their cronies the private banks onto the backs of wage earners, savers, pensioners and productive society in general. How do any of his theories work in that scenario where Capitalism itself is totally corrupted.

[@ask_why000]

Governments have lots of ideas that never come to pass.

[@fibonaccitimes]

That’s what he said about a shift from financial assets ro real assets , ie gold and other commodities. I believe the main purpose pf CBDCs will be to support the aging population with UBI and pensions after, which will install a structural inflation trend for a long time

[@mth469]

@@fibonaccitimes what prevents governments from heavily taxing gold or banning its transcation outright.

[@nuki3234]

So little interest. 305 views.

[@barrieskotaya-ostojic8837]

Not as accurate as Avi Gilburt

[@hypersonic7863]

Agree. Avi is the 🐐 of modern day Ellioticians.

[@alliedmastercomputer5407]

Imagine coming here to add that. Well done clown. Bob has a very good track record and made many great calls over a long period of time. What you said has no relevance, it isnt a competition

[@alliedmastercomputer5407]

lmao just checking out that guys work...some youtuber and the guy sounds lucky to be 40 and youre comparing him to Bob? lmao...good one. And I already see issues with some of his counts. Get outta here clown

[@saladien9987]

@@alliedmastercomputer5407 Does it hurt, can we help you? Avi is clearly the most skilled EW Analyst.

[@hypersonic7863]

To be fair though Prechter is the king of Socionomics and his book on it is absolutely brilliant. Probably the best book on Finance I've ever read

[@janreichenbach265]

There's no greater asset class than US stocks (Nasdaq 100 or S&P 500 index fund), read e.g. Jeremy Siegel's "Stocks for the long run". This guy called Bob Prechter is a bear for the american stock since 1987, following his advice would mean you'd lost your last shirt as an investor. He has lost all, ALL, credibility, as a market forecaster. I don't understand why people fall for him.

[@nickkynan]