“If you are compensated for taking risk, then you have to be compensated the most when the risk looks most frightening”
@gregbell21174 жыл бұрын
Dr Bernstein saved me when he wrote about the folly of O'Shaughnessy's "What Works on Wall Street" findings, way back in the early 2000s. This was a much needed slap - I had fallen for the results in that book, and had no idea what a p-value is, so I learned I had no business picking investment strategies. Wide-ranging, diversified index funds all the way from then on (with occasional forgetful forays into "ideas")
@leo52084 жыл бұрын
I wish Bernstein had talked about active vs. passive management. He sums it up at 23:45, which reminded me of my favorite quote from his "The Four Pillars of Investing": "There is no greater test of character than confrontation with solid evidence that the whole of your professional life has been a lie - that the craft that you have struggled so hard to master is worthless. Most money managers fail this trial and are still in the deepest stages of denial."
@muffemod2 жыл бұрын
So goodie.
@RRR202384 жыл бұрын
Thanks for bringing this Legend!
@grantmaxted11604 жыл бұрын
This is a fantastic interview. The best so far. I really enjoyed. Great questions, guys!
@BenFelixCSI4 жыл бұрын
Thanks Grant!
@flowersfrom73113 жыл бұрын
Great information delivered with humor! Wonderful conversation! Both dr. Berenstein and the hosts did a great job!
@andrewbennett29034 жыл бұрын
The Dr.'s response at 49:16 was a curveball for me as well - really interesting. Loving the podcast!
@cameronpassmore15614 жыл бұрын
Thanks for being part of the community!
@DrRenatoSilva4 жыл бұрын
Great interview!! Thank you
@cameronpassmore15614 жыл бұрын
Agree. So happy to have him on.
@mriegger3 жыл бұрын
Hooked on every word. Great guest, great interview.
@Dra60oN3 жыл бұрын
32:40 LOL I am an engineer and did exactly what he mentioned. Only to find that if I do my analaysis on a data which is one month older/newer it all gets pointless because the results change significantly. In the end I decided to construct my portfolio equally among different factor premiums: 33,33% Small Cap Value weighted, 33,33% Momentum and 33,33% Quality. This is also what some research suggests - best portfolio results are achieved by equal factor allocation and not trying to market time the factors. I think that looking at the past performance is useful but it can also deceive us. Because as Jack Bogle says: "Reversion to the mean - The first shall be the last and the last shall be the first." Just look at the NASDAQ100 index, it had extremely good performance in the last decade, whileas MSCI Canada and MSCI Europe Quality struggled. Now for the past year both indecies are beating the NASDAQ100 by at least factor. Similar story if you compare the NASDAQ with MSCI USA & Europe Small Cap value. Anyways a very knowledgable and insightful guest.
@user-jc6tj2xt1p4 жыл бұрын
Glad to know Ben is alive and kicking.
@zweck46294 жыл бұрын
I wonder if the corona crash was bad enough to be an indicator of future behavior for young investors. Personally I bought some extra etfs when the market hit 30% drawdown and was prepared to buy some more at 40% down, but that never happened and we are pretty much back where we started now. Not very painfull at all, years of slow decline or a sideways market might be hard to swallow though
@BenFelixCSI4 жыл бұрын
I suspect that this rapid downturn and recovery may give some young investors a false sense of knowing what a crash feels like.
@thao61123 жыл бұрын
@@BenFelixCSI I agree and I think it is especially true for many of the young investors whose jobs weren't affected the shutdowns in both Canada and US. I work in the healthcare sector and I can tell you in a "real recession", even healthcare workers can feel the hurt in reduced incomes in terms of layoffs, pay decreases, etc. The rapid downturn also didn't really affect my other friends and acquaintances in other fields like finance, tax and even in real estate...it was all business as usual. People I know in real estate (in Southern California, US) even tell me they have even more business than pre-covid, it was hard for them to keep up. That's not the case in a drawn out bear market or recession. Like Dr. Bernstein said, the next true downturns likely will expose who's been swimming naked. It's gonna hurt and may scarred many of the young investors.
@vin.handle6 ай бұрын
Do you ever consider living off the dividends? In ten years, I intend to have enough in assets in my equity portfolio to live off the dividends, if I so choose, and pass the portfolio on. I am assuming that in a broadly diversified portfolio the dividends won't be cut.
@Frostbiker4 жыл бұрын
Man, that last quote is golden.
@lukasdomin90104 жыл бұрын
What did he say? I didn't understand him :(
@og79524 жыл бұрын
fantastic interview!!!
@PH-dm8ew3 жыл бұрын
I I didn’t hear politics I heard common sense and good facts. Great interview.
@vvwvvwvv4 жыл бұрын
Amazing episode, thank you.
@cameronpassmore15614 жыл бұрын
Thank you. I’ll pass these comments on to Dr. Bernstein.
@seanobrien77514 жыл бұрын
great interview thank you!
@ramiveiberman31824 жыл бұрын
really enjoyed your interview with Dr Bernstein. What books by Dr Bernstein would you recommend? As it seems, some of his books repeating each other. Also, what books would you recommend for learning history? I did read the Random Walk Down Wall Street. But i would appreciate another recommendations.
@cameronpassmore15614 жыл бұрын
I really liked 4 Pillars.
@ramiveiberman31824 жыл бұрын
@@cameronpassmore1561 I once bought The investor's manifesto 2nd hand. Now giving it a fresh try. Would you say that 4 pillars is better or maybe more detailed?
@shatteredreality113 жыл бұрын
Amazing episode
@samosapikora91694 жыл бұрын
12:24: That’s the ultimate The Silence of The Lambs.
@a.j.46443 жыл бұрын
TY, Dr. Bernstein, for giving us the realness at 49:10 : people are not any better figuring out how to save and invest for their own retirement than they are at operating on themselves or flying themselves from place to place. Giant 90%+ supermajoritiea would be better off with a government pension (aka a UBI, not that he went that far) than trying to muster the knowledge, rationality, discipline, and sufficient income to make enough to live on for 30+ years.
@thao61123 жыл бұрын
The difference I guess is the airline industry or medical community aren't bombarding people with ads, courses and media experts screaming in their face that they can do it all themselves as well. Not many story of a regular Joe landing a Boeing 747 or performing heart surgery out of the blue without any of the standard 8-12 years of medical training, or maybe there are and I am just not getting all my news. Not to mention the barriers for entry in those and other professional industries arguably get tougher and more complicated each year, while you can trade away your life savings for free on your phones while sitting on the toilet.
@a.j.46443 жыл бұрын
@@thao6112 Facts. Scary and true.
@davidwolf44894 жыл бұрын
I really did not expect the politics or pushing a specific political agenda from Dr. Bernstein. Really love his books but definitely heard unexpected ideals today.
@dlw3m2 жыл бұрын
July 2022 here. Prayers answered 🙏
@Thomas-sb2fg4 жыл бұрын
So is market efficient or value stocks are undervalued? Time to chose one 🤑 Great podcast gentelmens!
@TheSteinbitt2 жыл бұрын
No, it’s risk premium on volatility.
@pran100003 жыл бұрын
Please stop saying this podcast is for Canadians. I enjoyed it from India! Amazing guest.
@JamyOats3 жыл бұрын
This Englishman agrees with the above! 😄
@AAkCN12 жыл бұрын
Done :D
@bingo5678902 жыл бұрын
@@JamyOats lmao
@respek4 жыл бұрын
At 30:01 Bernstein talks about a company that begins with "vig", whats its name? I'm sorry, brazilian here.
@cameronpassmore15614 жыл бұрын
Guessing Vanguard ....
@nickatlas84814 жыл бұрын
Great interview! Can you guys take a look at Lars kroijer. I believe he could be a great person to have on the podcast. Also little for us european viewers :)
@cameronpassmore15614 жыл бұрын
Seems like a good idea. We will look into that and try our luck.
@Hyperobject_4 жыл бұрын
Fascinating podcast. 50:48 - 50:53 A duplicate of Cameron's voice is playing while he speaks. Dunno what's going on there.
@cameronpassmore15614 жыл бұрын
We will investigate. It wasn’t in the copy I listened to prior to release. Thanks.
@Eshhagolesh2 жыл бұрын
"if you're dealing with bonds, you want rocket scientists working for you. But if you're dealing with stocks, then you want linguists and philosophers working for you"
@FatherGapon-gw6yo7 ай бұрын
Four pillars definitely screwed my head on
@shatteredreality113 жыл бұрын
Should've sent him a mic
@slovokia2 жыл бұрын
I kind of wonder whether in todays political environment governments and central banks will tend to error in the direction of easy money / higher inflation. So it’s hard to think of fixed income as a safe place to store your wealth for future consumption - basically even if you have won the game you have to keep playing it because the odds are stacked against those who stop playing. The only alternative option is to buy TIPS in a tax deferred account and lock in a known loss of purchasing power over time. At a negative real interest rate of 7.5% Tbills are no long a riskless asset.
@JLL123454 жыл бұрын
I love the new music.
@cameronpassmore15614 жыл бұрын
Kudos to Trevor May of the band Cornflower Blue. Thanks.
@atableinthewilderness6804 жыл бұрын
Oh God, he's in Portland. Glad he's safe.
@chubbs66844 жыл бұрын
That's scary, hopefully the secret police don't throw him in an unmarked van.
@Bobventk Жыл бұрын
I like Bill but I promise you that financial analyst firms don’t prefer English and philosophy majors over finance majors
@piotrmaek3834 жыл бұрын
#1
@Bobventk Жыл бұрын
I like bill but You don’t need a couple million dollars to retire successfully lol