RUSSIA KNEW!? Secret deals to abandon Assad; but can Russia keep their bases amidst mass evacuation?

[@hansvonwitzlan3582]

Here

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

RUSSIA KNEW! You won the DPA First Medal~!!!

[@ARCofRESISTANCE]

Events in Syria are not about democracy or human rights, it's about US, Turkish and Israeli interests.

[@11kungfu11]

You said israeli twice.

[@cranker7754]

You said jews 3 times

[@steelwing4319]

And why should turkey have no interest right across its border? Assad refused to take back syrian refugees from turkey. And even threatened causing another refugee crisis. Iran made use of Russias weakness to spread its influence all over the middle east and manipulate assad.

[@GHST995]

QQ

[@zaharijaafar8311]

HTS are terrorist, same as the Jews and Israelis.. Turks too

[@jerromedrakejr9332]

Russia did not abandon the Syrians... The Syrian government and the Syrian Army disintegrated in just a few days, and it was only the Russians who retaliated against the terrorists. In addition, Bashar's government is no more, but the Russians are still in their positions in Syria. Everything points to the fact that the Syrians have actually left the Russians...

[@DIREWOLFx75]

Indeed.

[@tkm238-d4r]

In simple terms, the Sunni Arab troops in the SAAF decided they did not want to support an Alawite President any longer.

[@jebise1126]

it points out that asad agreed to leave and russians kind of negotiated with "rebels" to do it without major fights. and russia can keep bases...after all usa has still guantanamo even after cuban revolution

[@DIREWOLFx75]

@@jebise1126 "guantanamo" USA pretends that they have an indefinite lease for the base that Cuba has no say in. USA has zero legal right to be there.

[@MrWilliamWolf]

Assad's silence during the offensive is curious... Thanks for another great Defense Politics Aaaaasia.

[@numalesoybea1348]

He knew it was over since Iran, Russia, and Hezbollah couldn’t help him. Syria now fully belongs to Israel and its American, Turkish, and salafist gollems.

[@kevramsey4733]

They made a deal probably to let him lived if he just gave up. It kind of makes sense to considering that the rebels didn’t just slaughter the government when they took over.

[@jebise1126]

@@kevramsey4733 my thoughts exactly. and when "rebels" promised that assad people will be hunted down. he would not need to promise anything he would do it if this was really legit fall.

[@themissingpeace7956]

I've seen someone say that the "rebels" gave Russia 48 hours to leave the country, but then I also saw another report say that Russia had struck a deal with the "rebels" and get to keep their naval/air bases in Syria. I'm not really sure what's going on.

[@hot2trut625]

The 48 hrs that was given to Russia is true.

[@kevramsey4733]

Me neither because the incursion by Israel and the Turks fighting the Kurds along with the rebels themselves I highly doubt they can truly force the Russians out.

[@cdeford2]

The 'rebels' don't really have much power. There are multiple groups and even the biggest - HTS - probably has very little power outside Damascus. The Turks are probably calling the shots at the moment since they are providing all the funding.

[@hot2trut625]

@@kevramsey4733 column if russian equipments have loaded inn their naval base and satellite shown no more Russian ships and khmeimin air base has been bombed by israel destroying Assad jets remnants after Russia left the base.

[@mq7447]

The rebels gave 48 hours initially and then Russia probably struck a deal after. Idk I'm just going by what you wrote.

[@elpistore9175]

Btw. Nexta is not a good source to seek information regarding in syria

[@b1gari]

it's like using NAFO tweets lol

[@janineskywalker527]

A good overview Wyatt. Thanks J

[@NoPantsBaby]

Unlike America Russia is not iinterested in permawars.

[@baron3904]

To be fair, unlike Russia America can afford those

[@GHST995]

HA ! Drinking the kremilin kool aid!

[@kevramsey4733]

@@baron3904Difference to is the American people don’t want those anymore since the money towards those are wasted and make more debt for us.

[@DIREWOLFx75]

@@baron3904 Correction, USA BELIEVES it can afford those. When you're running up the national debt by up to a trillion in a month or three, you can NOT afford ANYTHING.

[@kevramsey4733]

@@baron3904 Americans don’t want to get involved in those thats why Afghanistan turned the way it did.

[@anselmdanker9519]

Thank you for covering this subject 😊

[@SirKeefyKeef]

Interesting point… if this is a withdrawal then it is more civilised than that of Afghanistan withdrawal… as in I see no one dropping from planes…. Let’s hope it stays that way…

[@Staann]

Because nobody wants to live in Russia😂

[@tjallingdalheuvel126]

Obviously you've never been there.

@@Staann funny how you say that considering Russia is deporting roughly 200k illegal immigrants each year...

[@jeffgleisner890]

Personally I'd be very happy living in central Moscow, St Pete and Kazan. Superb high culture; great public transport, lots of intelligent people.

[@SirKeefyKeef]

@@jeffgleisner890 Every ‘’VoxPop’’ is have seen from the streets of Russia every person seems tuned in to reality… not tuned in to reality tv.

[@ZappyOh]

Good report. Thank you.

Difficult to see RUS just walking away. Unless _someone_ is outbidding them

[@scott4766]

They aren't walking away despite the highest bidder. I don't see Russia doing that. Far too proud to back off. Well done, Russia

@ I don’t think it’s about pride. Presence in the Mediterrian is important. Both Gibraltar and Bosphorus are choke points.

[@tjallingdalheuvel126]

Dialogue works channel had an interesting interview with Alex Krainer. Had some speculations that made my head rethink what we see.

@tjallingdalheuvel126 Appreciated. I’ll check.

[@kevramsey4733]

And Turkey likes to play in the middle when it comes to Russia. They like to hate Russia and then they all the sudden play ball with them in like a week.

[@syc6598]

i dont think they all leave. just reducing their presence, and an opportunity to relocate them in Ukraine.

[@kevramsey4733]

That what I think, the rebel leader might need Russia in the future too. It will be cheaper for them to buy stuff from them instead of the US, Israel, and Turkey.

[@gian7707]

That was just such a talented anlaysis mate. Cheers

[@wesleydelano5668]

Not even first. Ill just hit the like button and head back to the trench, commander Wyatt.

[@DonJupp321]

It's correct that Russia is not losing too much by the removal of Assad, as long as they can make deals to remain in the country and that it's not a geopolitical loss for them. However the main loser of this situation is Iran, which is a close partner to Russia now and it will be interesting to see how that relation will be effected now, with Iran clearly weakend.

[@kevramsey4733]

That is sort of true Assad had Iran leave a few months ago though. Assad and Iran were not as close as he was to Russia mainly due to the fact that Iran needed Syria to be in chaos in order for them to support Hezbollah. I doubt Assad cared for Iran too much because of that.

[@JacquesBiantouari-tv5cx]

Thanks

[@dgo4490]

On the first day I though this may be a legit reignitiion of the conflict, but 3 days in it was quite obvious an arranged transfer of power with some rather superficial hostilities. The Soviet era alliance was likely deemed a needless liability, given the volatile regional situation. Now Russia can dial back its engagement, and let its enemies waste resources on supporting their faction, while they themselves focus on Ukraine, which was likely sold out as part of the deal. And in the likely chance they keep their bases, they can wait out and estimate the final outcome before committing any support to any side to collect spoils, if any. For now they don't need much equipment, or risk engagement with factions, eager to obtain equipment. It is probably not much to begin with, but will be a welcome addition to the battle that really counts.

[@StandinOnBuniss]

Yeah that's a great theory but its cope. The reality is Russia got caught by surprise and so did everyone even the rebels only expected to just capture a few towns and an highway. Lavrov's face and reaction in Doha says it all. He was pissed off because he was clearly double crossed. But you're right maybe on the long run it's a good thing.

[@dgo4490]

@@StandinOnBuniss For it to be cope, I'd have to have a vested interest, which I don't. So it is actually your misidentification as cope that is a form of cope ;) I am yet to see Russia losing anything other than a liability in Syria. When I see losing something of value, I doubt I will have trouble acknowledging it. Lavrov might have just have had a toothache that day.

[@khoyyenpoi3391]

@@StandinOnBuniss Every country have its interest and priority, Russia need focus on ukraine war. not syria.

[@tjallingdalheuvel126]

Or did they make it look so? Looked more like Israël and US looked surprised. What would make sense. As Iran, Russia knew what was being schemed. Warning Assad. So go figure why they chose to give our al Qaida proxies a free walk. To the point us and Israël looked surprised, panicked and did a massive bombing campaign to make sure those proxies would not end up with Syrian facilities and equipment. Mimd China had our secure apps build in backdoor opened and thus free access to a lot we mistook for secure communications past two years. Maybe we do not understand this checkmove (yet). If Turkey was surprised or in on it? For sure you are mistaking Russia being surprised if you think about it. They did some sorties to keep and make it a surprise for us. But seen this coming months ago. Chose not to step in the trap of this front added. Poor Syrians yes. But efi'd fault? Who enabled al Qaida proxies? US looking bad. Israël looking bad. Them having responsibility and the headache. Players being played. World is jo longer fooled. See who is who. Syria another example confirming how our oligarchy does. Hoe much they actually care for the people. What country wants to ally with us? What peoples want us intervening in their country? To be plundered, get terrorist sent in you if you do not comply. Have no food, safety, education, health care, roof over your head, if you do not let our maffia take what they want and dance how they dictate? How do we compare to those evil leaders we dethrone? And why do we? Plenty around where we do not care. Might have something to do with weather they pay protection money to our maffiosi. Not share any of "theirs" with the people. Plenty to comment on those leaders we het rid of. But besides that, how do they compare to our oligarchy? What do they share and provide with the peoples.

[@radiozvrk6784]

Well,USA make sure that Russian and Iranian gas is not going to EU so there is no point of fighting the war any more. They will just focus on the other markets. 7 billion customers are waiting for them and EU,USQ and other in the group will not be able to sell their overpriced services and goods. So they will be left with 1 billion market where the cost of life will get higher every year and they will not be able to follow this with their salaries.

[@posmoo9790]

Russia didn't abandon them. Syria completely collapsed in a way almost never seen before.

[@colincampbell4261]

Not as fast as the USSR.

[@eh1600]

Afghanistan collapsed pretty quick

[@posmoo9790]

@@eh1600 yeah but it was a puppet govt with zero internal support.

[@ileathan]

Thank you, still don't understand how people think the root problem is so confusing but thank you.

[@GardenerEarthGuy]

Assad was all over the news when he spoke in New York, Good Morning America interviewed him in a very positive light.

[@kevramsey4733]

Because the West loves dictators that are pro-West it’s when they start going East or when they start doing things themselves the West will hate them.

[@ghoward359]

Sound like Russian Airbase and navy base will stay in Syria. Interesting 🤔

[@acomputer121]

It seems plausible to me that Assad's political asylum in Russia was his price for letting HTS win. Most likely he would have lost anyway, but the SAA could have put up much more of a fight, but instead they were continually ordered to retreat and give ground to HTS rather than stand and fight. If this was a coordinated operation, Assad likely agreed to not put up a fight if Russia gave him a way out.

[@Theone-bc7tr]

Russia 🇷🇺 ❤ Ukraine 🤡👹

[@issasn82]

😂😂😂

[@zaharijaafar8311]

One thing very obvious happened during the event, information war. The real event inside Syiria is very much controlled and only one side of story came out but not a single info from the other side. Clearly a different game is played here

[@kevramsey4733]

True

[@Springbok295]

If you read through the Soviet then Russian experience with Syria since 1971 it is one of extreme frustration. The Syrians were inept, and incredibly corrupt. I think in the end Putin said enough is enough and pulled out. They can wash their hands of the region which has been a bottomless pit for anyone who dared enter.

[@pausereflect5911]

Russia SHOULD KEEP ENOUGH to outmatch the strongest party in the REGION.

[@pausereflect5911]

Then TIME and CIRCUMSTANCES WILL show what is the correct thing to do for REAL PEACE.

[@kevramsey4733]

@@pausereflect5911True

[@andreaskraft8818]

The principles of strong power leaderships are always the same, they don't have friends, just interests.

[@DIREWOLFx75]

Sane leaderships have friends. What you describe are psychopaths, not leaders.

[@kevramsey4733]

@@DIREWOLFx75 And most world powers are psychopaths wether East or West.

[@adechapman.1132]

Thanks.

[@MirGip]

According no NEXTA :)))))

[@tobystewart4403]

Interesting report.

[@cnesko]

I just liked (I usually do it when I like content) and subscribed to your channel after watching it for some time. I think content is getting better all the time, and I confess there is probably a lot of confirmation bias, especially regarding the situation in Syria/Russian intentions. The title was absolutely misleading, and I almost skipped the video because of that. I used to follow military channel, and I still do, but I cringe every time I need to watch a new video. Man, it is just getting worse and worse. Hopefully you'll keep regularly posting new content so I can skip watching them. If you could keep the same time so it is predictable when you are going to post new content, then it would almost completely outcompete competition. Keep the good work, and please try to use the titles that correspond to the content. If somebody overuse the click-bate tactics, it could motivate the followers to abandon the channel, at least I usually act that way.

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

- hug - Thanks~ I try to not use to much clickbait title... but man... this youtube algo and human psychology is a problem - if people dont click, the algo punishes the video but sharing it less to more people. Hard balance. Anyway lately I just moved house... still damn busy settling in (alot of stuff to do) - I think once I'm settled, you will see more reports from me.

[@virgiliustancu9293]

If Assad took all that amount of money, he will be ok in Russia. Maybe he will start a business.

[@kevramsey4733]

Being a doctor like he should have instead of taking power.

[@frankyhonnolus5528]

The issue I have with DPA videos is that the video doesn’t talk about what’s stated the title until like maybe 1/2, 2/3 into the video and even then you have to listen carefully to understand what he meant. Like in this video, “RUSSIA KNEW!?” and he just rambles about the situation half of the video until the articles come up. It’s like why do you even put a title? Just say “SYRIA UPDATE”. Every single video is like this. 👎

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

Sad. =\ Yeah, title is always an afterthought.... thats why. =x

[@Ali-7676]

Niot to worry, HTS will promptly hand those bases and much if the durroundifn lsnd to its main benefactor and sponsor, Israel.

[@kevramsey4733]

@@Ali-7676 The thing is those if they keep letting Israel take stuff and do that then another war might happen. Just cause this group is letting Israel take more land and don’t do anything about it then they will cause more tensions among their people.

[@hot2trut625]

Breaking news: US start talking with HTS. British soon will recognize the new Government. HTS is reaching out to the west.

[@Wolfen443]

Assad was a lost cause, Russia needs to keep at least two bases one of them the naval one for the near future..

[@paulwalker427]

it was ratified days ago that they would keep bases - keep up

[@kevramsey4733]

@@paulwalker427 True

[@command_unit7792]

They where talking about ground troops not airforce...the Russian airforce heavly helped the Assad.

[@wildfire3986]

And they left

[@baxterland2860]

What will become of the 2000 Assad soldiers from the 25th division currently fighting in Ukraine. Will they be allowed to go home now?

[@bhangrafan4480]

A few days ago, Turkey, Russia and I think (?) Iran had a meeting at Doha to discuss Syria. Probably this whole subject was what the Russians were pursuing. Yet again by hosting the meeting Qatar could pose as a "mediator", when in fact HTS is owned and controlled by Doha.

[@kevramsey4733]

Yep, if you pay attention to what Turkey and Russia meet things actually happen. During the Ukrainian conflict when Turkey and Russia were meeting they made a military deal and pulled their troops out of Kiev/Kyiv.

[@drbenwaynewyersy9976]

my apologies Commander, but what do you mean "Russia knew"? 1) the offensive out of the Idlib Governate? I would guess so.. Russia and Turkey had ultimately shared administrative/security duties for the Idlib Governate since 2017, since it acted as a sort of buffer between regime controlled territory and the territory controlled by the Turkish-backed FSA..meaning settling of differences between these three parties by necessity fell to Putin and Erdogan.. also contrary to the established narrative there had been DAILY clashes between Assad and Russian forces and the HTS for at least 3 to 4 months according to the ualivemap, as well as heavy shelling.. interestingly the activity over this entire period is concentrated at/along the exact crossings the later HTS operation would use.. even more curious, after the fighting remained static for months the beginning of HTS forward operations breaking through and rapidly advancing falls on November 29th.. the day Assad returned from his visit to Moscow.. and since then found documents and protocolls of the Syrian Army have shown that an operation out of the Idlib Governate was expected to occur since some time around March 2024.. 2) the crisis of the Syrian Army, the issue of support from Iran and Hezbolla and that Assad may would have to resign? I would guess so.. the question is what the nature of this crisis was, why it starts with Assad returning from Moscow and how any crisis would be so permeating through the ranks as to allow an offensive beginning on November 29th to reach Damascus on December 8th only 6 hours after entering Homs.. the information available describes a sudden unexpected mass withdrawl of the Syrian Army beginning on Nov 29th.. until it basically vanishes into thin air in the six hours it took HTS to conquer Homs and Damascus.. with Assad resigning when HTS had barely set foot in the city with no more than maybe 15k men.. and when he met the PM to settle transfer of power he was informed the army had been dissolved and the men sent on leave.. which is consistent with reports that the withdrawls were all ordered from Assad down the chain of command and not due to disintegration or some kind of coup among the armed forces but an organized effort.. as to the time of Assad's resignation itself, that would ultimately also have been Putin's choice as Assad left Damascus with Russian help and fled to Moscow... we can also safely assume that the denial of support from Moscow, Teheran and Hezbolla was not only known but mutually agreed by all three parties.... so we can make a good argument that not only Russia knew of Assad's iminent fall, but it occured in a moment of Russia's choosing.. and judging by the reactions of media and political leaderships at the time at the time of the announcement, the news came unexpected to them.. 3) knew the consequences of Assad's removal in sending Syria into chaos and anarchy? I would guess so.. in a weird way Russia's presence and the continued existence of the Assad regime kept Syria in a somewhat stable state.. as the opposition to the Assad regime was the only thing keeping the different factions and their backers in a shaky alliance.. not to mention, Russian ground operations were only introduced when Syria was overrun by the Islamic State, not the initial rebellion.. however since that 8 years have passed, 13 since the uprising of the Syrian people.. realistically there was no way left to reunify Syria under Assad.. or frankly any government based on consensus between the various factions .. which is not helped by Assad's increasingly brutal regime, that caused the people to rise up in the first place.. how much of that was known to Putin is unclear but just today a mass grave was dug up behind one of the prisons outside Damascus containing at least 75000 bodies.. so Putin's choice was between pouring ressources into keeping Assad in power with uncertainty when it would all fall apart.. or remove Assad at a time of opportunity and his choosing before the opposing forces could establish any sort of control over the wider country.. therefore it is well within the scope of reason to assume Putin deliberately chose to have Assad resign at the time he did.. and at this point it would seem the move had the anticipated effect.. the forces who had fought 13 years for a Syria without Assad were completly unprepared for it.. not to mention, it is hardly understandable how a government under basically Daesh, which is who the US chose to go to bed with for this, is any improvement for the Syrian people.. but this quagmire is no longer his to deal with.. Russia can wait and see.. and then decide what's best at the opportune time.. the West paints this already as a victory not realizing that it was just a move in a game that is still very much still going.. it has just entered its next phase..

[@kevramsey4733]

@@drbenwaynewyersy9976 You know if you put it all together it makes sense.

[@DefensePoliticsAsia]

Yeah... this is why we need to monitor it more and longer and see if anythin shows why this happened.

[@drbenwaynewyersy9976]

​@@DefensePoliticsAsia my best guess would be quite simple.. because it was a very opportune moment to do so.. US leadership was distracted with the lost election and the subsequent transition of power.. not to mention, containing Biden, Blinken and Sullivan who had been publicly recognized as "the principal architects of US policy in Syria and Ukraine", as far back as 2013.. being replaced by an incoming new administration whose approach, and frankly capability, towards US foreign policy is entirely uncertain.. giving Putin an around two month window, from November 6th to January 20th, to create new realities and a new strategic state of play, one by his design and in his favour, for BOTH theatres of his conflict with the US. he HAS to take the initiative.. and we can see that very much at play in both theatres.. in Ukraine the effect is immediate and we can see a further intensification of Russian efforts all across the line right after the US election.. with Ukrainian forces showing signs of collapse.. forcing the US administration's focus on Ukraine and its efforts to keep that project going.. the question is what to do about Syria? here it must be noted that Putin is far less attached to Syria than the US thinks he is, much less anyway as attached as the US themselves is.. his attachment to Assad is probably even lower, given he "inherited" both him and their alliance from the US.. leading him to be stuck in the Syrian stalemate ever since he saved Assad from the Islamic State nearly a decade ago.. there is no possible way to reconcile Syria with Assad in power and keeping him in power for the sake of Tartous is not worth it.. not to mention, Putin can always angle for Tartous as Russian shipments of grain are tied to the lease and existential and irreplaceable for whoever rules in Damascus.. also Putin as well as Syria's other principle allies Iran and Hezbollah are long fed up with Assad anyway.. making a preferably sudden and unexpected removal of Assad and forcing the US to deal with it, an enticing and ressource friendly option as well as the most impactful possible move, if played right.. whether he somehow initiated Erdogan's HTS idea, or it fell into his lap, we will never know.. although how perfectly it fits both Putin and Erdogan's concerns and aspirations, as well as their mutual desire to end their troops more or less facing each other, paints an intriguing picture.. as does the map.. which shows us contunous shelling along the line of contact with the Idlib Governate through the first half of November.. notably most concentrated at the exact points the HTS offensive will cross into regime held territory and the highway leading there.. so obviously they know somethings coming up that road.. then the shelling grows ever more sporadic and almost entirely stops from the 23rd to 26th.. on the morning of the 27th the HTS offensive starts towards Aleppo and the Russians withdraw from the city... on the 28th Assad flies to Moscow and meets Putin, as the HTS tries breaking out of Idlib Governate to the South but are mostly repelled.. on the 29th Assad returns to Damascus and the Syrian Army immediately begins to withdraw south towards Damascus.. the offensive is stopped at Hama, which is held by the Russians, from the 3rd to the 6th.. before suddenly the Russians and Syrian Army withdraw until at 4:00 am on the 8th HTS reaches Damascus and Assad resigns and is taken to Moscow.. and minutes later all hell breaks lose.. forcing the US administration and its allies to focus their full attention to the Syria situation.. which they will as to their eyes, victory in their 13 year project to depose Assad has fallen into their lap a month before they leave.. while Putin is free of the Syria situation, for the time being, leaving him a month and a half to put his full weight into Ukraine.. that's why he did it..

[@drbenwaynewyersy9976]

@@DefensePoliticsAsia I think I may have found the missing link between Russia and HTS.. KHADYROV... because from its very founding a huge part of al-Nusra's fighters and command structure have always been Chechznian Jihadists sent by Khadyrov.. also al-Nusra denounced Jihadism and rebranded as HTS at the exact same time Khadyrov swore off Jihadism and reconciled with Russia and Putin.. bith occured after the recapture of Aleppo in 2016.. after which HTS was confined but allowed to continue in the Idlib Governate.. at the time it was also heavily rumored/implied that Khadyrov had mediated and continued to do so thereafter..

[@festekj]

Turkey just said Aleppo is a part of Turkey. How can they have bases in a NATO country ?

[@lovealways2609]

since sun-ni rebels, tur-kiye and Yis-Rael can claim land regions in sy-ria as their own, why can not ruxzia do the same?

[@azmalkhan01]

Russia is moving out of forward bases that support the Syrian army because the Syrian army is no more they are not needed and demining and aid distribution unit are moving out as well

[@kevramsey4733]

@@azmalkhan01 I would have them stay in order to help who ever takes over. They have a lot of rebuilding to do.

[@Marc_Masters]

When will the Ottomans learn?

[@User-nw37]

The new Syrian govt has invited Russia to stay in Syria. Probably to keep the balance with us and isr.

[@hot2trut625]

You have not heard the news Russia has left.

[@kevramsey4733]

@@User-nw37 Makes sense plus getting stuff from Russia is cheaper and more affordable with the cheap economy they have.

[@jeffgleisner890]

R bases send out a useful message to other powers. I think an agreement will be struck to retain them. The new Syrian leadership has not expressed hostile attitudes to R. It is probably viewed as less predatory than other great powers active in the region. It is a constant complaint in R that she is too generous in her dealings with allies. Economically she gets little out of it.

[@santoriniblue8413]

That was one of the problems of the USSR, contrary to the USA which invests but also profits, eg the oil wells in Syria are their main reason of being there as openly reckoned by Trump himself and senator Linsay Graham. While tfor the USSR the balance was negative. eg the Cuban sugar was peanuts compared to the asistance provided ...

[@kevramsey4733]

Russia is to generous which I don’t understand how they can be like that after all this time.

[@lynndonharnell422]

Did see a post which stated Assad's cousin got executed.

[@abeaboud272]

Russia's bases were established during the Soviet era and were important since Syria relied on the Soviets economically and militarily. They were not actively used after the fall of the Soviet Union and only became active and reloaded when Russia became involved in Syria's last war 10 years ago. I don't think these bases are as important to them with the absence of an ally in Syria.

[@kevramsey4733]

They could change their Ally to the Turkish forces or even the Kurds which would be the hilarious play. They could benefit from both as Russia and Turkey like to play off each other sometimes to their benefit and sometimes not.

[@OleHøiriisIversen]

Modern version of the 10.000

[@jasonkozlow3225]

Afghanistan government also fled but you say that us was responsible but when the Syrian government does it they're not responsible Russia isn't responsible

[@kevramsey4733]

The Syrian government for the most part stayed except Assad. Wouldn’t be the first time a dictator escape to the country that put him there. The US has done that many times with the dictators they put in Haiti and all of them were overthrown.

[@duboisdvoleur]

Have all the sanctions on Syria been lifted? That will be absolutely necessary to avoid a humanitarian disaster. I expect the Russian bases to be central to distributing civilian aid. The very last thing anyone wants is a free democratic election for a new legal government of Syria. This creates a crisis for the UN, already struggling with Israel's genocide. They must do something and deployment of peace keeping forces will be suggested along with immediate withdrawal of all external militaries

[@ruparkyitin]

So.. now, more russian troupes could be deployed in Ukraine

[@kevramsey4733]

True even though Russia only had a third of their army left that has stayed on those bases the last couple years.

[@azymight]

assad have so many assets in russia, it would be nice retreat.

[@resvero8342]

😮

[@Diwana71]

If Turkey annexed Syria into a new Turkish Empire / state , it will be good for Syrian people . Otherwise Americans and Israel will create a Kurdish state in the East of Euphrates river anyway .

[@cbhlde]

Good for Russia to get of there; black hole. Thanks Commander!

[@PosthumanProphet]

Their bases are staying for 25 years and that's what they care about, nobody is walking away.

[@kevramsey4733]

@@PosthumanProphetProbably true, they will just have a smaller presence there.

[@tjallingdalheuvel126]

Heard a Kroatian journalist on that Nima guys channel. Interesting speculation. Could indeed be another master strategical chessmove, by Russia, China, Turkey, Iran and Arabs. We don't know. Need to watch not to misjudge. Thingsboften different than they look. See how Israël panicked how fast they proxy ak Qaida was granted the land and went on a bombing frenzy to not let Syrian material and facilities get at their disposal. Poor Syrian civilians though. For them I worry. We do know Turkey and SArabia are on to how US and NATO current ownership are. Bananacorp oligarchy that is not true brothers and friends.

[@tjallingdalheuvel126]

The interview with Alex Krainer of Dialogue works channel. Speculative, but interesting. Got to keep an open mind. Especialy because China knew it all. Who did they tell and why responded as they have? m.kzbin.info/www/bejne/h2Gpgph9n7WGmZI&pp=ygUOZGlhbG9ndWUgd29ya3M%3D

[@Dorrzo]

Nexta💀

[@Act1veSp1n]

Its possible, its a move to get more troops on the european side of russia. They probably saw theat Assad was stagnating without Oil money that USA was stealing. So this was just a natural outcome.

[@kevramsey4733]

I think that is the case considering Assad got to walk away compared to the other deposed leaders in the area.

[@ivogacina9710]

Wyat, i am suprised how shallow you think about russian interests in syria, saying its only purely because of bases. Certainly bases are part of it, but most important is the levarage you have on goverment itself. No case is 0 amd no case is 100% , but with asad gone that leverage fell significantly, even if the bases are kept.

[@chanpasadopolska]

Russia lost it's assets, it's no point of making it some sort of russian 5 dimension chess move, but still you can milk some benefits even from bad situation. Russia can now focus on Ukraine even more. Maybe they will keep some presence, US has military base on Cuba after all so it would be no precedent, but costs will be significantly higher, in my opinion Russia should just give up all those bases and think about new ones in Africa

[@yurivii]

replace tartus with tobruk in pro-Russian libya

[@chanpasadopolska]

​@@yuriviiYes, I think it would be cheaper to build new bases there and stabilisate situation in Libya (better than in Syria) than to pay HTS for constantly threaten presence

[@dgo4490]

What assets?

[@ivanpetrov5185]

Bro, without the Syrian bases there will be no bases in Africa.

[@kevramsey4733]

Thats sort of true but the fact that Assad got to live tells me Russia made a deal probably with Turkey and HTS. The threats HTS could mean something unless the opposition wins which could be likely and I guarantee they won’t care if Russia is there or not. Another thing to they could stop doing any threats to Russia considering they could get equipment from them that won’t be expensive as stuff from the US snd Israel.

[@ROBOTRIX_eu]

[@islamonlysolution461]

Iran made deal sold assad

[@kevramsey4733]

Russia sold Assad, Iran had little to do with Assad since their falling out a few months ago.

[@luisodriozola79]

You look like you are barely getting any sleep... take care of yourself commander

[@StandinOnBuniss]

Yeah that's a great theory but its cope. The reality is Russia got caught by surprise and so did everyone even the rebels only expected to just capture a few towns and an highway. Lavrov's face and reaction in Doha says it all. He was pissed off because he was clearly double crossed. But you're right maybe on the long run it's a good thing.

[@milfueillefirdaus2030]

Oh no no no ziggerbros its over

[@alfredpeasant5980]

Slava mouth breathing

[@markgarrett3647]

Vlad making secret deals with Syrian Zelenskyy😮

[@kevramsey4733]

@@markgarrett3647 Probably that is why Assad got to escape.

[@clivewakley3901]

Don’t understand why Russia should want to stay in Syria, the South Caucasus and Central Asia states are far more strategically important. Northern Syria will become a part of Turkey as it was in Ottoman times dudes.

[@mcstarioni4871]

for african operations route support

[@mcstarioni4871]

also to host subs and ships out of black sea, cause Turkey controls the Bosphorus channel

[@kevramsey4733]

@@mcstarioni4871That depends on Turkey though and they like to play NATO and Russia all the time because it benefits them. It is mainly due to them being in NATO and they can get away with it.

[@astrolab-b1k]

Defense Politics Ummah

[@kadyrov3218]

You don't talk very much about how the HTS thugs are killing Christian's and Allawites

[@colincampbell4261]

Evidence please?

[@merketarif126]

@@colincampbell4261 he is lying.

[@trezov]

How did Assad take out 135 billion? He just flew on an airplane that holds 1,350 tons of cargo)) Special anti-gravity aircraft for money

[@HoTrEtArDeDcHiXx]

Afghanistan 😳

[@s0ullessrunner470]

Nexta is trash media

[@jayahen5719]

😂😂😂

[@ivangrozni9702]

1

[@davidschlageter5962]

Syria for Ukraine was the arrangement

[@berserker4940]

Z

[@mh-ht2fp]

Assad lied to his commanders about RU support and fled 🙂. I think syria could've used the DPRK troops more than RU..

[@crazyworld5256]

Where are you putin kids now? 😂😂 Soon same thing is coming to Russia

[@Tommy-zs6ro]

LMAO

[@kevramsey4733]

No it won’t because way too many power will get involved to make sure NATO doesn’t take Russia to the point where it will be pointless.

[@igorja9820]

😂😂🎉🎉🎉😂

[@kevramsey4733]

@@crazyworld5256 It won’t happen

[@pauldangerfield3122]

Talk about desperately looking for excuses for a 3 day war that's gone disastrous

[@amandapeluso4217]

3 days is from General Milley. Get a new script as nobody in Russia stated 3 days. More MSM propaganda 3 days 🤡

[@colincampbell4261]

So, the Ruzzians ran away from some tribal mountain men. Again! Great stuff.

[@kevramsey4733]

Syria is flat for the most part and America ran away from the same mountain men just a few years ago and they spent twice as long.

[@GHST995]

Yall should watch the actual videos of the Syrians trolling the ruzz convoys on the highway! Hilarious.

[@amandapeluso4217]

There aren't actual videos. Poor you actually believing such videos. Propaganda for the ignorant like you