Will X Factors Save Kejriwal? Or The BJP May Breach His Fortress? | InFocus Episode 4 | Jist

Arvind Kejriwal has a lot riding on the 2025 Delhi Assembly election result. While he is fighting to get a third full term in Delhi, he is also facing anti-incumbency on account of 10 years of Aam Aadmi Party rule in the national capital.
A rejuvenated BJP and Congress have been challenging Kejriwal’s dominance among Delhi voters. Despite the political churn of an election season, Kejriwal is banking on some key factors to fire in his favour.
Factors that work for Kejriwal include the expansion of freebies including direct transfers to women and healthcare for the elderly. When the BJP and Congress reacted with even bigger promises, they appeared to be playing the catch-up game.
The core voters of the AAP - comprising Purvanchalis, Dalits and Muslims - have passed several tests of loyalty. Even the BJP’s traditional Punjabi-Baniya vote have backed the AAP during Assembly polls. This time, if the BJP can swing the Punjabi-Baniya vote, the scales could tilt for the saffron party.
What would worry the AAP is its shrinking vote share and victory margins. First between the 2015 and 2020 Assembly elections. And then a similar decline in support between 2020 Assembly results and the 2024 Lok Sabha election. The AAP cannot overlook the fact that since 2014, Delhi has given all 7 Lok Sabha seats to the BJP in three successive general elections.
But breaching ‘Fortress Kejriwal’ could still prove to be a tall order for the BJP or Congress. Kejriwal enjoys such a long headstart in the politics of freebies and disruption, that he could yet again surge ahead, provided his X factor clicks.

[@dharmendrakumartiwari6063]

सर कितनी सहजता सरलता और तीव्र ध्वनि का प्रयोग किये बिना ही स्पष्ट तथ्यों के साथ सूचनाओं का प्रस्तुतीकरण किया जा सकता है आप इसके उत्कृष्ट उदाहरण हैं. आपका प्रस्तुतीकरण अकथनीय है. 🙏🙏

[@saifirazakhan]

Aapse mil kr acha laga Loved your way of reporting

[@bepolitkal]

Ja riyo h Kejri...

[@moviesmovies6796]

Shri Shri 420 Khujliwal

[@moviesmovies6796]

Shri Shri 420 Khujliwal

[@NikhilKumar-d2x8u]

Such an unbiased video. Thank you sir

[@satishbalooni]

केजरीवाल का किस्सा खत्म् होना चाहिए। ये खतरनाक लोग हैँ कथनी और करनी मे जमीन आसमान का फर्क है।

[@ashu.freestyle]

😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@adarshtyagi2081]

Paw paw ke bare mein kya khayal hai 😂😂😂😂

[@theaveragesinger]

​@@adarshtyagi2081paw paw k wajah se Samaj mein ijjat bachi hui Hai. Raga Aur kejru GDP no.1 kr Dete....niche se.😂😂

[@nabeel739]

​@@theaveragesingerhanji abi to dekhi izzat hote hue.. Jb Indians ko hathkadi baandh k paw paw k best friend ne wapis bheja

[@adarshtyagi2081]

@@theaveragesinger 10 sal 5trillion economic ban rahe america me bhi khub ijjat de raha hai. Aur china ka to pucho mat 😁😁😁😁😂😂😂😂

[@V.K.Sharma-h7h]

देश की स्वतंत्रता के बाद "शायद" राज्यों में पांच सौ से अधिक चुनाव हो चुके होंगे - लेकिन दिल्ली का चुनाव एक ऐसे चुनाव की तरह याद रक्खा जाएगा जिसमें दस वर्षों तक सत्ता में रही party ने अपनी किसी भी चुनावी जनसभा या press conference मैं अपनी किसी एक भी उपलब्धी - मैं फिर दोहरा कहा हूँ "किसी एक भी उपलब्धी" का जिक्र नहीं किया। पूरे चुनावी भाषणों में अरविन्द केजरीवाल ने चुनाव आयोग, भाजपा और शाह को गालियां दी हैं - उन पर तरह तरह के दोष मढ़े हैं - लेकिन बिना सबूतों के। वैसे भी जो वो बोलते हैं उसका सबूत वो कभी नहीं देते, बस इतना कह कर अपना पिंड छुड़ा लेते हैं के मैं जो कह या कर रहा हूँ वो दिल्ली की भलाई के लिए कर रहा हूँ। मगर दस सालों में उन्होंने दिल्ली की कितनी भलाई की इसका चुनावी सभाओं में एक बार भी - मैं फिर कह रहा हूँ "एक बार भी" जिक्र नहीं किया। ऐसे मैं अगर वो सत्ता से बाहर होते भी हैं तो किसी को भी, यहां तक के उन्हें खुद भी आश्चर्य नहीं होना चाहिए।

[@AIspritiuality]

Tu andhbhakt hai Mai phir keh raha hu "tu andhbhakt hai" In Delhi there is no space for dictatorship. ONLY AAP✅

[@aakashsolanki4104]

लेकिन स्वतंत्रता के बाद किसी भी मुख्यमंत्री ने ना काम करने के लिए अपनी जिम्मेदारी कभी नहीं ली यह भी तो बताओ। एक जनप्रतिनिधि क्या यह भी को प्रश्न नहीं कर सकता चुनाव आयोग से की चुनाव निष्पक्ष और स्वतंत्र होने चाहिए? रमेश बिधूड़ी की टिप्पणी का क्या चुनाव आयोग ने कभी इस पर कोई एक्शन लिया?

[@V.K.Sharma-h7h]

@@AIspritiuality मैं अंध भक्त ही सही। मगर है नेता अपने किये कामों का कुछ न कुछ तो जिक्र करता ही है। मगर केजरीवाल ? क्या एक बार भी अपने किये किसी काम का जिक्र किया - या फिर कुछ किया ही नहीं ?

[@V.K.Sharma-h7h]

ऐसे बिधूड़ी को छोड़ो, ऐसे तो केजरीवाल भी बोल गया यमुना में हरयाणा सरकार ने जहर मिला दिया है। अभी तो उसके ब्यान का भी हिसाब होना है। अगर जीत गया तो शायद बच भी जाये। लेकिन अगर हार गया तो समझो राम नाम ही सत्य होगा उसका।

[@CGL_Hak_से]

भैया या तो आप मूर्ख हो या मोदी भक्त क्योंकि मोदी भक्तों को और मूर्खों को ही दिल्ली में केजरीवाल का काम नहीं दिखता इस देश में एकमात्र अरविंद केजरीवाल ऐसा नेता है जो सिर्फ अपने काम पर वोट मांगता है फ्री बिजली फ्री स्वास्थ्य फ्री पानी 378 स्कूल

[@hunnythakur1]

0:37 Delhi became the capital of British India in 1911 not in 1931. Edit: Although it was announced in 1911, the construction was completed in 1931.

[@ranarandhirsingh5604]

It was declared capital in 1911, but the construction took another 20 years and effectively it became a functional capital only after 1931…

[@bhagatsinghkchela]

Before 1911 Delhi was recognised by a Indraprastha

[@hunnythakur1]

@@ranarandhirsingh5604 ok ok got it.. thankyou

[@The_Watcher07]

Delhi become capital in 1912 they announced in 1911

[@Boa-r7v]

Dhruv rathee ka documentry ka kya hoga 🥹🥹🥹..lok sabha elections me democracy ka Ramdi Rona , Maharashtra ke time pe mission Swaraj, delhi elections ke time documentary 😂😂😂...

[@Arunh9-pw7lp]

Dhruv Rathee is a German citizen who’s openly interfering in our elections and influencing people’s decisions. How can a foreigner be allowed to do it that too openly? Imagine Arvind Kejriwal influencing American people’s opinion through internet directly from India. Isn’t that wrong for every democracy?

[@Agnoistic-Hindu]

Ruk ja laadle aaunga 8 taarik ko

[@Human56774]

Kuch sal bad pata chalega importance ,jab sab rights chale jaenge.Koi naukri pe ab baat nhi krta koi pollution kuch nhi

[@Agnoistic-Hindu]

@Human56774 yaa bhai pehle indian log ka kitna respect tha koi bhi unemployed nhi pehle nadiyan saaf thi pehle kabhi emergency bhi nhi lgi Hayye haay modi sb brbaad krdiya

[@Arunh9-pw7lp]

@ A muslim always cry for democracy when the country is not Islamic.

[@brijjanjagransamiti4561]

आपके सरल, सहज एवं उत्कृष्ट विश्लेषण के लिए बहुत बहुत साधुवाद

[@sanjeevmishra7614]

आप का विश्लेषण अच्छा होता है।ईश्वर करे केजरी दौर खत्म हो।बहुत ही बड़ा ड्रामेबाज है

[@rahshri21]

Dhanyavad

[@skalamin4242]

BJP Sabse bada drame baj hai

[@NSG2810]

​@@skalamin4242 tu rehne de abdul, bjp ka naam liye bina teri din ki 5 namaaz bhi puri nahi hoti...

[@sureshnawal2545]

Kejriwal dramebaaz to h .... But Modi chacha to ish mamle main ...phd kr chuke h 😂😂😂

[@ankurkushwaha7978]

Tbhi bhai ye iit krne wala bs free de rha hai delhi me itni hi budhi hai iske pass​@@sureshnawal2545

[@anujl.l.b780]

hats off to your analysis sir 🙌🏻❣️🙏

[@rahshri21]

Thanks so much

[@rishiraaj.580]

Politics is Tough Game. 😮

[@HoshiyarBharatiya-b4h]

There are no welfare schemes like free cooking gas, free electricity, free ration etc. in Japan. Their motto is: Work for what you need or live without it. Probably, these are the five best statements you have ever read, and they should be applied in India too: 1. You cannot make the poor rich by making the rich poor. 2. Whatever one person gets without working, another person has to work for it and he gets no reward for his efforts. 3. No government in the world can give anything to its citizens for free unless it first takes it from another citizen. 4. You can't multiply money by dividing it! 5. When half the people get something for free, they will never work for it, and the other half who work to provide a free benefit will feel demotivated because their efforts benefit those who do not work. This is the beginning of the end for any prosperous nation. Good citizens must stop this madness. Today, all political parties are part of this race. Let us resolve to work with all our might to eliminate this menace in future. Contribute to this awareness campaign.

[@ideasnap88]

Nicely explained, good job

[@meme-bharatyogii]

5:27 best comedy 😂😂

[@RahamatullaShaik-g6c]

Aam Aadmi Party 70To 70 Win

[@चुमन-0]

बहुत शानदार विश्लेषण और रिपोर्टिंग भी

[@rahshri21]

Dhanyavaad

[@ashu.freestyle]

Kejriwal he jeetega bro ❤️❤️🥰🎉😊😮

[@moviesmovies6796]

हारेगा khujliwal

[@ashu.freestyle]

@moviesmovies6796 8 Feb ko rply karna dubara 😍💋😘

[@Kani00019]

@@moviesmovies6796 dekhte hain kl

[@rishiraaj.580]

Nice Analysis. 👍

[@kiranreddy-ti6lm]

Being seasoned journalists, you call working class tax cut in budget as Rewadi is unfortunate... it's legitimate ask by working class...

[@theaveragesinger]

Yeah, I also thought that. It's for whole country, not just tax cut for Delhi, to call it revdi as such🥴

[@DeepakSubedi-y8g]

​@@theaveragesingerभाइ ye journalist communist hai ye bas khud amir bannega magar dusra ko gareeb bannake.

[@DheerajKumar-rj5fk]

Amazing presentation by Anchor, Jist is doing amazing work. This video is masterclass on psephology , i understood the political dynamics and voter behavior of Delhi voters.

[@CHOvd-f7f]

Good and unbiased analysis 👍

[@Coolbudde]

So good to see this kind of reporting compared to traditional news channel with many people shouting at the same time.

[@shanuSingh-l8l]

1931 से नहीं 1911 से अंग्रेजो ने बनाई

[@abhishekchaubey5622]

दिल्ली 1912 में देश की राजधानी बनी...रिसर्च पे काम कीजिए

[@robingupta9983]

Ye kya language h ek leader ki Sir kehte hn ki agar mn yaar Gaya to “TERE” Bachche ka kya hoga.

[@ankurkushwaha7978]

Pda likha hai ye bkl bhai 😢 Te to iski niyat hai free ke chkkr me barbad kar diya hai

[@rahulitrc]

Free to har koi de raha hai lekin delhi ki halat to kharab hai hi. Logo ko pata hai ki BJP aayi bhi to bhi ye jo free offers chal rahe hai wo rukne wale hai nahi lekin BJP kuch development ke kaam bhi karegi.

[@Agnoistic-Hindu]

BJP kabhi freebies nhi degi up walon ko😂

[@kanhupattnaik-k4w]

Har state ka budget alag hota hain. Up ka population aur up ka loan dekha hai 🤣​@@Agnoistic-Hindu

[@Agnoistic-Hindu]

@@kanhupattnaik-k4w are u mad I am not asking to give I know very well ☠️ it will be disastrous

[@harshchopraspeaks]

Bhai BJP kaam karegi Lekin freebies nhi degi Dekh lena mai Haryana se hu ❤

[@RS-yk1wu]

Kejriwal is the Greatest Bluff Master of Ondian Politics

[@ankur413]

अशोक वानखेडे जो अनुमान लगाएंगे उसका विपरीत परिणाम आता है हरियाणा महाराष्ट्र का इलेक्शन में देख लिए

[@shubhamagarwal513]

Abki baar..... Sarkar 😎

[@नागपुरवालेफूफा]

🔴दिल्ली में केजरीवाल पूरी ताकत से वापस आ रहे है 🔥 अब अरविंद केजरीवाल को अपनी ताकत उत्तर प्रदेश में आजमानी चाहिए ....🙏🏼 #ArvindKejriwal #ExitPoll

[@jonsyjabbal]

😂😂😂😂

[@sujeetkiduniya]

Best laga❤

[@abhisheksrivastava8772]

Always a pleasure listening and watching Rahul sir

[@rahshri21]

Thanks abhishek

[@DeepakKumar-v5j1k]

Bohot accha laga karyakaram❤❤❤love you jist totally neutral ❤

[@rahshri21]

Thanks deepak

[@aaftabali2654]

Sir , i am glad that you guys are doing grear work for our democracy❤

[@sakshyatdash511]

Best analysis ever❤

[@rahshri21]

Thanks bless u

[@srishtigupta5927]

Kaun kaun election result ke baad dekh raha😂😂

[@RajV007]

Very good analysis

[@Krotov1329]

Ture journalism ❤

[@nikhilagrawal8452]

वोटिंग का दिन 5 फरवरी था। तो वोटिंग की गिनती के 7 फरवरी को भी तो हो सकती हैं।8 फरवरी को क्यों वोटिंग गिनती होगी??? क्या दिक्कत है चुनाव आयोग को???

[@Kapil79]

Loved the monologue analysis

[@nishithdash4197]

👌👌👌 Badia analysis

[@pksharma3143]

Good report Rahul ji

[@ManmohanBhatt]

Acchi report

[@divinechiku]

मैं आपके कार्यक्रम का क़ायल हूँ❤ आपका प्रेजेंटेसन ग़ज़ब का है

[@rahshri21]

Bahut bahut shukriya

[@PrasantMoharana-lt4pr]

👍

[@HimanshiSharma-f6e]

Keju we will not miss u

[@Pradeep.Singh.Rathore]

Itna black and white toh humko bhi pata hai bhai. I am sure all the viewers of this video have been following the Pre-Delhi election. Naya kya bataya aapne😂😂 Wasted my time

[@0112sjp]

V good analysis

[@cutshot_dkaushi927]

Amazing use of analytical and stats. Great work 🫡

[@amolpatil6120]

AAP will win.. They are very smart. 45+

[@yashagarwal2709]

Mota bhai will Hack the EVM 😂

[@Pav-i4m]

​@yashagarwal2709 Sarcasm?

[@Eskay-USA]

Enjoyed greatly! Filled with interesting facts, succinct narrative, sharp analysis and insights, absorbing narration and editing, well chosen visuals … Well done! Sunil - New Jersey, USA

[@invinciblHon]

grt effort by you sir... very nice and informative.

[@rahshri21]

Thanks so much

[@ashishb]

Kejruddin😂

[@nikh3640]

Waise mujhe Ranjeeti ki thodi samjh thi , Lekin es video ke bad pta chala ki mai abhi rajneeti ka Raj bhi nhi janta 😅😅 Very good explanation of Delhi politics. 😊

[@nipunkapur1148]

Bahut hi badiya aur sateek.

[@Newstart07]

It is like a documemtray

[@pranamyauday7265]

Mahool kya hai❤❤

[@nissinlilbabybeandoc1285]

muslims vote tactically to vote BJP and expect BJP to give them nomination .

[@dkr1888]

Natwarlal ko koi bhi ab pasand nhi karta Delhi ke public.

[@mindaman0907]

Nice analysis sir.

[@rahshri21]

Thanks aman

[@narendrasaud437]

Rahul ji ka big fan❤❤❤❤

[@rahshri21]

Friend not fan. Thanks

[@amitsl8834]

AAP is not regional party it is National Party.

[@kundanmishra111kkm]

Sir 1911(0:32 ) .....with due respect I know it's a slip of tongue not error You are a senior journalist..... 🙏🙏

[@rahshri21]

No brother. Not slip. 1911 foundation was laid. Delhi became capital in February 1931. Read here in history. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Delhi

[@kundanmishra111kkm]

Thanks appreciable work 👍 ​@@rahshri21

[@chandrareddy6383]

Good reporting

[@Appanna_Narayanachar]

Very nice analysis sir, will be looking forward to your video on 8th. We very much liked your analysis on toi earlier. Thankyou and a good day

[@rahshri21]

Thanks so much

[@rajsinghji-84]

0:30 sir, 1931 nahi, 1911 mein banaya tha Delhi ko Capital. How can you be wrong 😞

[@amritpalpunia4587]

Sat Sri akal ji 🙏

[@abhigugale4370]

Conclusion of whole video: AAP Losing the Delhi Constituency and once again EVM will be the culprit.

[@harshitrajput8645]

Agar bjp jeeti to develop jarur hogi delhi kyuki neighbour states bhi saath me kaam karengi jisse yamuna aur pollution kam hoga. Aur pehle ki tarah central aur state me ladayi nhi hogi

[@valueaddwithani7246]

1931 nhi 1911 sir

[@rajeshgoyal2111]

Genuan bat karte ho language bhe thek hai very good sir

[@EXPLORE_WITH_TYAGI]

4:28 AAP se sidha “tere” pr agya?

[@NawalPanday]

your analysis and way of delivery can not be compared

[@rajeshgoyal2111]

Saral Bhasha hai appki

[@swarooproy9001]

GREAT ANALYSIS, NEUTRAL AND HONEST BJP MIGHT WIN❤

[@topvideo44]

Showing kanjariwal as a king or warriors in thumbnail is same as some chaprasi became king.

[@OmKumar-xd3vk]

Sir aap hallelujah nhi bola 😢Christians bhi toh indian hain😢

[@Simple_sip]

25000 ki salary toh mil nahi Rahi hai, toh kejriwal 25000 ka nuksaan kaha se hoga..?

[@anirudhkamath6160]

Jhaadu, kamal aur kaun???😅😂😂

[@ManishExplain]

15:04 ye muslim bangladeshi hai

[@crescent4033]

Tere baaap h

[@i.n.f.o.r.m.a.t.i.o.n1949]

1911 when british made delhi the capital of India....

[@HoshiyarBharatiya-b4h]

Even if BJP wins BJP Government will not be able to keep providing FREEBIES. Already we have seen how Maharashtra State Government and Karnataka State Government are struggling to arrange for money to sustain their Election promises. Aam Aadmi Party was FORCED (by situation/circumstances) to announce Rs. 2100 per month to women after it understood how BJP Mahayuti won Maharashtra State Assembly Elections 2024 and Jharkhand was won by the ruling party because of FREE MONEY DISTRIBUTION SCHEMES for women.

[@kiranreddy-ti6lm]

Stop using urdu words... as south Indian I can understand hindi not urdu.. avoid urdu please...

[@rahshri21]

But spoken hindi in north India has urdu words. It's not that tough

[@JackOfAllAshu]

Middle class ko tax me rahat Delhi election ke liye hai aisa nahi keh sakte. Aisa hi hota to same decision lok sabha election se pehle bhi BJP kar sakti thi. Rewadi kehna galat hai in this case.

[@rahulseth3526]

Background stable thoda kriye, focus dilute hota t

[@msr8922]

Caste system is still decisive factor....How and when will this end in Bharat?

[@dheerajup70]

1.5X

[@manurazgoit]

best analysis till now

[@rahshri21]

Thanks so much

[@saivikas3126]

Ab ki baar BJP sarkaar🎉

[@sharwankori218]

Aam aadmi party is not regional party like sp, recently it got its national party status.

[@sunnysingh3448]

Sir aapko lallan top pe Saurabh ji KE sath sunta tha....aaj as Aapka independent video Dekha... very nice ❤❤

[@rahshri21]

Shukriya

[@kapiltiwari1133]

Mustakbil ???????

[@vinodsarode8368]

Analusis is ok,but without conlusion,shows lack of confidence in self.

[@TheSinpatro]

1.bipolar or triangular 2. If Bipolar than past data is irrelevant. Those party in lead will get majority. Best example is chatishgarh. Last election congress got big lead but recent people reversed these mandate. Only who is no1 and whose current is more important

[@rajeshrathore8316]

Kejriwal agar jitega to bjp ko km congress aur rahul gandhi ko jada nuksan hoga vipaksh ka sbse bda neta hoga kejriwal

[@satyaketushukla7787]

Good

[@HoshiyarBharatiya-b4h]

Like Rajeev Shrivastava of JIST said I DARE NOT HAZARD A GUESS OF WHO WILL WIN AN ELECTION AND WHAT VERDICT WILL BE DELIVERED BY COURT OF LAW! Because as seen from Haryana State Assembly Election results and Maharashtra State Assembly Elections results we cannot predict who will win the Elections because minds of human beings cannot be read. Let's keep our fingers crossed and wait till Saturday, February 8, 2025 to know who won DELHI ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS 2025!

[@puneetmathur7431]

Boht khali ho... comment par comment kiye jaa rahi ho

[@SatishChaurasiya-q7i]

Svami devmurti ji ka jadu. Kejriwal. Bjp par visvas nahi

[@deendayalsharma358]

Duniya dekh Rahi h dam Delhi jit rahe h hum ( bjp )