Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 2

[@rationalvc]

Merci, Professor! May you be around for 100 more years. We look forward to covering Scott's book on our podcast at some point in the future. Blessed weekend

[@997JM]

I feel blessed, got to listen to NNT for over an hour. My bucket list, a bike ride, a walk in the woods, meet for coffee with NNT or more of this.

[@Senecamarcus]

thank you so much sire for sharing an hour of your time with us.

[@kylebetsmlb]

2:58 the turkey's statistical department LOLL

[@tonberry277]

Thanks Nassim. I loved the Mandelbrot discussion.

[@Daniel88santos]

Mr. Taleb, as next guests I would suggest you invite Robert J. Frey and if possible Ed Thorp (this one would be amazing, however I don't know if he still do interviews) to a 1:1 conversation like this one. We, outsiders of the finance world, we need more talks on youtube with the REAL players, not the tonnes of bullshitters that are abundant in KZbin. Please also bring someone that talks about MLE and if possible Copulas. Btw if possible can you say what's your opinion regarding copulas? Best regards, Daniel.

[@asdf8asdf8asdf8asdf]

Doc Taleb, check out Benyamin Lichtenstein and how emergence (of businesses, e.g.) pertains to power laws, etc.

[@amsh007]

Loved it!

[@GuidoSleddens]

Very enjoyable listen! Thanks. A short recap of Incerto🤩

[@bjojosimpson]

Ordering the book, although I’ve already listened to it on Audible, suffice to say that I couldn’t recommend it enough for those interested in highly improbable events.

[@behrad9712]

Thank you so much 🙏

[@jamesmarsh4047]

Good stuff thanks

[@praxeologue]

Is vaccinating an entire species with a novel vaccine itself not subject to the precautionary principle?

[@adlos6168]

Love it!

[@joweb1320]

Thanks!

[@macraghneall6883]

friends

[@nicolaslafortezza6403]

Merci

[@AfrozAlam-m5i]

Great episode! How can I find the talk by George Church that Scott's talking about in this episode.

[@AfrozAlam-m5i]

great episode. Where can I find the talk be George Church Scott's talking about here?

[@companyboss5447]

Taleb is pleased.

[@naxim4778]

00:42 😂

[@johngalt1274]

A few problems. The Jama study was not an RCT and did not test statins. It was an epidemiological study. Accordingly, it was not forward looking. Low cholesterol increasing mortality is often driven by reverse causality. Various diseased states including liver failure and some forms of heart failure decrease cholesterol metabolism and lower serum cholesterol. Almost all your work is quite good but the work on statins needs some work. You *must* address the items higher on the evidence pyramid. There are certainly people that will not take their statins based on this conversation. There are almost certainly people in J Ali's circle that wonder if your potentially incorrect public communications about this subject may have harmed him.

[@nntalebproba]

Not epidemiological. "A total of 4379252 individuals wererecruited,and3789025(2271699women [60.0%]; mean [SD] age, 56.1 [10.0] years) were included in the current study. "

[@nntalebproba]

And further, " participants with high CVD risk (an estimated 10-year risk for ASCVD of more than 10% according to the China-PAR risk algorithm14) but no established ASCVD, which was termed the primary prevention cohort"

[@johngalt1274]

Yes. Observational would have been more correct here rather than epidemiological. The point is that there was no experiment here. The fact remains that dying and very sick people have metabolic breakdowns that certainly impair cholesterol metabolism. This is why there is the alleged paradox driving confusion around low cholesterol. Necessary to confront experimental evidence as well as observational evidence. This would also explain why people with more advanced disease states have the best results at lowest serum cholesterol. For them their most acute risk is cardiovascular disease. Far less likely some other diseased state will get to them before their failing heart does.

[@Tail_clipper]

I am in the midst of the book 'Chaos Kings'. Patterson did a great job with the book, so far. And what a fun way of reviewing the book with none other than (@nntaleb) Taleb 😊 I am more fond Taleb even more after this, Patterson too...