Secrets to Winning Best Ball Mania: Historical Data & Trends

What strategies were best for Underdog Fantasy's Best Ball Mania IV? Adam Levitan, Mike Leone, and Justin Herzig look at different concepts and historical data from last year's Finals teams to see what worked and what didn't.
0:00 Winning BBM
0:20 #1 QB Stacking
8:09 #2 Game Stacking
13:53 #3 Live Players
20:01 #4 ADP Value
26:45 #5.1 QB
33:58 #5.2 WR
36:58 #5.3 RB
39:27 #5.4 TE
45:17 BBM Draft
2023 BBM3 Manifesto: • The Best Ball Manifest...
2024 Sneaky Best Ball Stacks: • Top 9 Sneaky Late Roun...
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[@childofkhem1.618]

Im letting my first 3 or 4 picks dictate how I team stack and then add in week 17 correlation as I go. I'm w Leone on memorizing the week 17 matchups

[@rickhubble7498]

I absolutely love the fact that they included a look at health. I'd love to see it broken down by health of your 1st pick.

[@B.o.o.L]

58:30 They’ve said Likely has really impressed them and is making them look at a lot more double TE setups moving forward

[@Buy_YT_Views_854]

Everything about this video is simply perfect. Thank you.

[@EstablishTheRun]

thanks for watching!

[@fantasyfootballgarage]

Love the best ball articles and awesome to get these videos touching back on those main concepts! 🔥

[@EstablishTheRun]

thank you!

[@SRay7887]

Three double Week 17 game stacks with a bring back is the way (QB, WR, WR, opposing team RB/WR/TE)

[@EstablishTheRun]

definitely a good construction!

[@TheWhatMan80]

Leone really needs to wear a Matt Damon costume from Good Will Hunting for Halloween now

[@EstablishTheRun]

haha

[@T-ob5nc]

I was a big 3 QB guy last year, had 3 finals teams, crushed, I will say though, a lot success in that strat was how many QB injuries there were. There were so many dead 2 QB teams. Might not be the case this year. If the running dudes stay healthy, mid to late round guys could get dusted.

[@Kyles_Money]

Yeah this a good point

[@brianford78]

excellent video - learned a lot

[@Golf_Clap]

Is Leone from Buffalo?? Rockin the UB basketball shirt, I love it. GO BILLS!

[@danielmaassen1981]

Thanks for doing a draft where you guys actually talked out the picks. These other streams are quiet the whole time about their targets on the draft board and it makes it a worthless watch.

[@EstablishTheRun]

they are probably avoiding getting sniped, which is understandable. We were lucky to pre record this draft.

[@Maximuss44]

Thanks Gentlemen! Great info

[@EstablishTheRun]

thanks for watching!

[@ConstantineAndreas]

Good stuff. Love the content.

[@gregwhite9740]

Really good summary of key BB tactics, guys.

[@brooklynalldaybrooklynalln4254]

Great content fellas👍🏿👍🏿

[@EstablishTheRun]

thank you!

[@Wildkoala1]

For the most part I understand everything but sometimes the graphs and what they represent throw me off, you guys should breakdown the graphs and what we are looking at for the not so mathematically inclined folks like me

[@andrewjennings236]

Seems like the main actionable takeaway is to draft later and mostly ignore closing value. Reason for that is that CLV is harder to predict and is more easily gotten when you draft early. In your “kyren gets injured and Corrum takes over” example the teams drafted after that point would not be able to Capitalize on CLV of this event.

[@My_oh_face]

I’m literally on the toilet drafting 8 teams at a time 👀

[@swoop4360]

I can see a path for Friermuth as top 5 TE Definitely Top 10

[@EstablishTheRun]

Russ likes his TEs!

[@swoop4360]

@@EstablishTheRun So does Fields

[@PAPABRAY619]

Great stuff as usual. Random question. How is it that some of you guys don’t have badges on UD?

[@panchovillain9117]

So 3 and 4 cancel each other out. Drafting in August had a great finals rate but getting the best closing value had the best rate.

[@shakerx3008]

Question. Would it have been better to wait for Engram, set up the double and grab Dook or Allen?

[@PeterEverett56]

on your week 17 4 top games, is a divisional rivalry (e.g. rams cardinals) more valuable than non divisional (e.g. raiders-saints) because you will get that correlation twice per year versus just once? or is this benefit just too small over the course of a full season?

[@markherman2603]

I would say this is more valuable in a contest like the marathon or weekly winners, not sure if it really provides any value unless 2 teams played each other twice in the playoff weeks but that’s just me

[@Ryn_ryn123]

Curious to hear why you guys have the raiders and saints as a tier one week 17 game

[@Ben-ov2fi]

Dome

[@GardenHood]

+ decent value In the late round players with these teams

[@poloparachutes9983]

How do stack 4-6 skill players without reaching?

[@GardenHood]

Draft 200+ teams and find the value eventually lol 😊

[@danielmaassen1981]

Have a hard time picking Diontae Johnson this year. I think he is overvalued because they also have Bryce Young's bff Adam Thielen and the rookie as well.

[@rosswatson3993]

No matter what fellas, STACK. Even if it totally distracts you from the flow of the draft. Prioritize reaching 2+ rounds ahead of ADP to get your stacks. Lock those stacks up even if you hate those players and teams. Everybody just do the exact same thing. Lots of colorful charts with numbers on them that maybe mean something or be complete nonsense. Fuck it, who cares?! One lemming off the cliff after another. 😂😂😂. Cant wait to win all the money this year.

[@EstablishTheRun]

are you saying you aren't going to stack?

[@edpgroup]

Where can the average guy get this data

[@sladen3884]

I disagree with Herz any time he brought up McCarthy. Jjeff is for unlocking GB Seattle and Chicago correlation, not figuring out which mid qb is starting 10 games and which is starting 7 in Minnesota.

[@royaleawesomene5194]

why does levitan queue up the entire player pool when drafting

[@EstablishTheRun]

planning out the rest of the draft

[@GardenHood]

...... do u draft bro? 😂

[@abstract911]

kincaid falls 20 spots passed adp and the guy doesnt want to take him because his purdy stack when purdy shouldn't be drafted for another 5 rounds? lol what

[@spencer8860]

It was super flex hermano

[@MD-jf1ml]

Love ETR but the vocal fry from Adam is hard to listen to.

[@disbandedbrotherhood]

.