Selection Bias: Do You Really See the Whole Picture?

  Рет қаралды 43,369

Sprouts

Sprouts

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 74
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
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@pyeitme508
@pyeitme508 Жыл бұрын
Plane
@darkdarten3901
@darkdarten3901 Жыл бұрын
I don't even have to do the experiment to know the outcome. You might be familiar with your close neighbours, but the farther you go the more you become a "stranger". Since people who are afraid of strangers won't even open the door for you, you will report back that all (or most) people who answered to you said they are not afraid of strangers, when in fact there might be quite a few who are.
@blanchebau8807
@blanchebau8807 Жыл бұрын
This is a bigger issue especially with social media apps, making it easier to put people in danger/manipulate them. Thanks for the informative video!
@BlackGold805
@BlackGold805 Жыл бұрын
I love how each new video you release helps me realize how dumb i am afresh. And the way your animations and sound effects drive home your rather profound arguments both effectively and comically without being obstructive is just genius.
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
Hey, you have a learning mindset and it can never correspond to dumbness. Thank you for your sweet words :)
@ShiftyKen08
@ShiftyKen08 Жыл бұрын
I used to work in an auto parts store. I had a customer come in with a set of brake pads to warranty and to buy a new brake rotor. Upon inspection of the pads, I noticed that one side was almost brand new and the other side was worn down to the metal. I told the customer that whatever side the brand new pads came off of needed to have the brake caliper replaced. He thought that the side that was worn needed to be replaced. I asked him to imagine two people pushing a boulder up a hill, but only one was doing the work while the other supervised. When the boulder gets to the top of the hill, who's going to be tired, the worker or the supervisor? He said the worker, and at that, I held up the worn brake pads. He immediately understood and ordered a new caliper for the side that was brand new.
@chrisb9365
@chrisb9365 Жыл бұрын
Another example are polls and surveys - we only see opinions of people who agreed to be surveyed, and the response rate can be as low as 5%. So we may be ignoring opinions of people who refuse to take part in such research which may heavily skew the data we are looking after. Conversely, people who respond to the survey may have some biases that correlate with their choice of participating in this.
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
True
@rphb5870
@rphb5870 Жыл бұрын
one of my favourite examples of selection bias comes from one of my old schoolteachers, he always started each class by asking everyone not present to raise their hands
@Njordin2010
@Njordin2010 Жыл бұрын
Really appreciate the dedication to finding the truth in science.
@Gruntled2001
@Gruntled2001 9 ай бұрын
"We conducted a survey among volunteers, and it turns out people really like surveys!"
@transeditor
@transeditor Жыл бұрын
Excellent point. I used statistical sampling techniques in my job for years and was aware of the bias issue in selecting the sample(s).
@richardlynch5632
@richardlynch5632 Жыл бұрын
Exactly why one must delve deeper into questions, and NOT rely on statistics that may be incomplete due to manipulation of outcomes. 😉👍
@cjr3559
@cjr3559 Жыл бұрын
If I did 10 neighbors challenge the police would eventually show at my house and start asking ME questions..
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
haha
@alext8828
@alext8828 Жыл бұрын
None of my neighbors would answer the door so I couldn't get an answer...or did I?
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
Oh... O_O
@orxanxelilov695
@orxanxelilov695 Жыл бұрын
Super topic
@ra5gto
@ra5gto Жыл бұрын
A protected aircraft engine will not matter if the wings carrying the EXPLOSIVE FUEL, that is also necessary for the engine to operate, is vulnerable
@weltsiebenhundert
@weltsiebenhundert Жыл бұрын
It doesn't explode very often. mostly it just drips out and burns there.
@lo_azzopardi
@lo_azzopardi Жыл бұрын
Thank you Sprouts, very good video
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it :)
@MrMastera
@MrMastera Жыл бұрын
I knocked on 10 doors. Nobody opened. So my deduction is they all have to love strangers.
@josa5463
@josa5463 11 ай бұрын
Woooow you are great at teaching complicated theories in simple manner 😊
@laaaliiiluuu
@laaaliiiluuu Жыл бұрын
Also called survivorship bias.
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
True!
@MarkUKInsects
@MarkUKInsects Жыл бұрын
We need more sprouts videos on Biases
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
Glad we think alike ;)
@joshuasbecreative8444
@joshuasbecreative8444 Жыл бұрын
Awesome video by the way awesome explanation good job
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
Thanks a lot 😊
@davidnorman6348
@davidnorman6348 Жыл бұрын
Part of the entire picture is that we humans want a quick and clear conclusion. We tend to regard looking into the details as being tiresome and also have difficulties accepting uncertainties or the unknown.
@taylorgletscher
@taylorgletscher Жыл бұрын
I never really believed those political pools they presented in tv and news and whatnot, only to reafirm my beliefs the day I was stopped and asked a few questions... last bit of my interview (roughly translating): Interviewer - "what's your academic level?" Me - "just graduated as an engineer." Interviewer - "Ow, ok... sorry, your info is not needed, we are only asking people without a university degree."
@brianthomas3910
@brianthomas3910 Жыл бұрын
lol knock on ten neighbors doors and become the neighborhood weirdo by asking if they’re afraid of strangers… no more Big Bang theory for you, you’ll end up getting a van if get the reference 😂😂✌️
@G0SE
@G0SE Жыл бұрын
great video!
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it
@cricket12ish
@cricket12ish 4 ай бұрын
tAKE notes yall this is how influencers get people to believe bullshit is from selection bias
@williamfranks1215
@williamfranks1215 Жыл бұрын
My guess would be that me asking my neighbors if they are afraid of strangers would taint the results. Basically, it's a stranger asking if you're afraid of strangers. Creepy and a potential to meet my local law enforcement. 😳 😅
@poojangohel
@poojangohel Жыл бұрын
Please Make a Video on SISU the finnish art of courage
@cseonlineclassesmalayalam
@cseonlineclassesmalayalam Жыл бұрын
Mind blowing ‼️ is media narrating with selection bias or are we selection biased🤔
@trevoro.9731
@trevoro.9731 Жыл бұрын
They get an order for "correct data", invite low income actors to participate (if some visibility of actual population is required) or go to the areas where they find the people they need.
@OrenLikes
@OrenLikes 10 ай бұрын
What is the rate of deaths of non-patients at hospitals vs out of hospitals?
@matheuscerqueira7952
@matheuscerqueira7952 Жыл бұрын
This is why most governments don't fight corruption. If they do, their time in power will be marked by scandals
@A3Kr0n
@A3Kr0n Жыл бұрын
I won't answer my door if you knock on it so don't waste your time.
@alext8828
@alext8828 Жыл бұрын
If you don't answer the door, you've answered the question.
@Ginger_Hrn
@Ginger_Hrn Жыл бұрын
**KNOCK** **KNOCK** I can save your family from Doulingo
@enieh112
@enieh112 Жыл бұрын
@@alext8828 i think that be selection bias.. If you knock on a door while NOT knowing if someone's home, you can't make up your mind that the person IS home and therefore doesn't want to talk. Do not count this as one of ten houses and move on to the next.
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
Haha
@anakincrespin
@anakincrespin Жыл бұрын
I won't, trick
@waffles_1823
@waffles_1823 Жыл бұрын
I interviewed 300 people who played Russian Roulette. The survival rate is 100%.
@d.christianrathjens7209
@d.christianrathjens7209 Жыл бұрын
also the bed is a very dangerous place. Most people end their lives while in bed!
@timothyspool1399
@timothyspool1399 Жыл бұрын
I knocked on 10 of my neighbours doors. They were all home but only four answered. They told me that they had no problem with strangers. So four out of four, or 100%, of my neighbours aren't afraid of strangers. Interesting...
@delinquense
@delinquense Жыл бұрын
Shouldn't you have tried to open the door? If they left their door open, wouldn't this speak volumes as to whether they were afraid of strangers or not?
@danmcginley3315
@danmcginley3315 Жыл бұрын
And when women were confronted with the data the refused to admit they were wrong 😆
@RighteousPaladin
@RighteousPaladin Жыл бұрын
I'm too afraid of strangers to do the task you've given...either that or I'm too lazy. :P So this is the weakness in pattern seeking, but how could you possibly know you have selection bias unless the sample or statistic is exposed through the addition of a larger context? Is someone's best information invalidated because elsewhere in the universe the majority is the inverse of their every experience?
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
Valid question! Maybe by seeking for other possibilities? Questioning the reliability of any given information! It is only true until it is falsified ;)
@EmiliaHoarfrost
@EmiliaHoarfrost Жыл бұрын
Went to knock at neightbors. Got shot...
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
O_O
@pyeitme508
@pyeitme508 Жыл бұрын
Interesting 🤔
@sanikaransing
@sanikaransing Жыл бұрын
I don't understand😢
@_-___________
@_-___________ Жыл бұрын
Did they? No. Most certainly not. I've yet to find someone who believes that reality is a figment of their own imagination. Perhaps its due to the fact that anyone like that wouldn't be interested in research.
@JohnSmith-fo5cx
@JohnSmith-fo5cx Жыл бұрын
so an example of selection bias would be the gender wage gap?
@scottwinter-sb6lp
@scottwinter-sb6lp Жыл бұрын
What's with the eggs 🥚 🤫🤭🤣
@sprouts
@sprouts Жыл бұрын
Metaphors! ;)
@Pabz2030
@Pabz2030 Жыл бұрын
Climate change *cough*
@MiMiGunDK
@MiMiGunDK Жыл бұрын
maybe not a good idea to knock on the door of your neighbors especially if you live in American
@jameskelly-smith1279
@jameskelly-smith1279 Жыл бұрын
You forgot to mention purposeful creation of selection bias. Also known as 👉🍒
@dystopiansoothsayer
@dystopiansoothsayer Жыл бұрын
😊😊😊😊😊 😊😊😊😊😊 😊😊😊😊😊 😊😊😊😊😊
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