Stationarity & Seasonality| Time Series Forecasting #1|

  Рет қаралды 81,722

Nachiketa Hebbar

Nachiketa Hebbar

4 жыл бұрын

Time series anlaysis and forecasting are huge right now. With the enormous business applications that can be created using time series forecasting, it becomes crucial to dive into depth of this subject.
In this video i talk about the following things which are absolutely essential before learning time series models:
1)Stationarity ,
2)Why is stationarity required and how to convert non stationary time series into stationary
3)Seasonality and how to remove seasonality from a time series
4) We will also look at various time series plots to master the skills of identifying if a times series is stationary or not
Recommended Books to get better at Time Series Analysis and Python:
1)Practical Time Series Analysis: amzn.to/31lsLhq
2)Time Series with Python: amzn.to/2Ez073m
3)Hands-On Time Series Analysis with R: amzn.to/3aUxuKq
You can connect with me on linkedin at : / nachiketa-hebbar-86186...
Leave any queries in the comments section and thanks for watching !

Пікірлер: 48
@jinks3669
@jinks3669 Жыл бұрын
Dhanyavaad. As a data scientist I found this was very helpful
@user-py7jr6yr3v
@user-py7jr6yr3v 4 ай бұрын
amazing content> very superb man i understood each and everything. For this shit i am paying 4 lakh rupees in a university in United states but cannot understand anything here. But this guy made it so simple. Thanks man. Reallly appreciate.
@anuragpatil5812
@anuragpatil5812 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the video !! superb explanation
@louisa123
@louisa123 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for your videos! I'm new to time series forecasting and your content gives me a good overview. I noticed though while reading more on the topic that you might have mixed up first order differencing with lag difference. What you describe ( Y(t) - Y(t-2) ) seems to be called a lag-2 difference and apparently order is how many times you do the whole process.
@ankitayadav2690
@ankitayadav2690 Жыл бұрын
its really good vedio to understand concepts,good work
@visunashokkumar1782
@visunashokkumar1782 2 жыл бұрын
Mate this is so informative!!!
@Jevuify
@Jevuify 2 жыл бұрын
Nice explanation. Your channel is underrated
@mehulmehta4981
@mehulmehta4981 3 жыл бұрын
Amazing Explanation Brother....
@abhijeetjain8228
@abhijeetjain8228 8 ай бұрын
very well explained keep it up.
@teetanrobotics5363
@teetanrobotics5363 3 жыл бұрын
Love the playlist on Time Series Forecasting. Hope you upload more videos.
@NachiketaHebbar
@NachiketaHebbar 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks, and yes will definetly put out more!
@harinatha3102
@harinatha3102 3 жыл бұрын
This video is worth watching....! Can you please make a video on Augmented Dickey Fuller test.
@dewanshkumarmishra9378
@dewanshkumarmishra9378 3 ай бұрын
Very helpful video ❤
@siddhijain3802
@siddhijain3802 3 жыл бұрын
Thankyou for such simple explanation! Great!
@NachiketaHebbar
@NachiketaHebbar 3 жыл бұрын
Glad it helped!
@chandu9696
@chandu9696 4 жыл бұрын
Well explained. Looking forward to more content.
@NachiketaHebbar
@NachiketaHebbar 4 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@venkatesh0075
@venkatesh0075 2 жыл бұрын
Superb explaination
@swapnadeepghosh8546
@swapnadeepghosh8546 28 күн бұрын
bhai apne itna accha knowledge kaha se liya ??... thanks for passing it brother GOD bless you
@arnavanuj
@arnavanuj Жыл бұрын
You are a Rockstar ❤️
@lakshyadaulani2110
@lakshyadaulani2110 3 жыл бұрын
please do make a video in mathematical calculation in both statistical tests for stationarity
@dabblewithd4247
@dabblewithd4247 4 ай бұрын
Dude.... Thankyouuuuu soo much buddy
@marksathish2783
@marksathish2783 2 жыл бұрын
superb bro
@rutvikjaiswal4986
@rutvikjaiswal4986 3 жыл бұрын
You are amazing sir !
@NachiketaHebbar
@NachiketaHebbar 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@abhishekagarwal4408
@abhishekagarwal4408 3 жыл бұрын
very nice explanation i wanted to know can i do time series analysis on yearwise median income of men in any particular country???
@h4rsh261
@h4rsh261 7 ай бұрын
I understood the differencing part, but I have a question. If we take the differencing and reduce the scale of data from 400-500 to 0.1-0.5, wont we have trouble scaling the output later ? and if we take the differencing from the data to make it stationary doesnt it mean that we are changing the nature of the data and instead we can use a better model that can work with the current state of data ?
@dicloniusN35
@dicloniusN35 2 жыл бұрын
in python arima there is auto differencing? we don't need to fit model with this differenced time series? just select 'I' value? second param
@kavishkagimhani9803
@kavishkagimhani9803 20 күн бұрын
thank you
@pragyabhardwaj7112
@pragyabhardwaj7112 Жыл бұрын
Please make a video for statistical test
@medhavanisharma3323
@medhavanisharma3323 Жыл бұрын
Hello Nachiketa Can you just tell me if there is any videos regarding the theory content on this particular topic...
@luisarmando415
@luisarmando415 2 жыл бұрын
kudos!
@venkatkasireddy8928
@venkatkasireddy8928 2 жыл бұрын
Nicee
@nurulain4167
@nurulain4167 8 ай бұрын
Can you share example of forecasting using hybrid models?
@tinabeigi2493
@tinabeigi2493 2 жыл бұрын
Hey, i liked your video, But can you please share the codes for the log operation, etc. Thank you.
@joshpeters813
@joshpeters813 3 ай бұрын
Okay so what is the interpretation of the final result vs the exponential curve?
@pouriaforouzesh5349
@pouriaforouzesh5349 2 жыл бұрын
👍
@sulagnanandi2024
@sulagnanandi2024 2 жыл бұрын
how can we get the actual predicted values back when converted data to stationary?
@dicloniusN35
@dicloniusN35 Жыл бұрын
do you know answer now?)) i have the same quastion beacause this stationarity convertation is not work for me) same mape
@tsreenivasulu8757
@tsreenivasulu8757 5 ай бұрын
are you from VIT Vellore? the background in the video looks like vit hostel
@poortijain9524
@poortijain9524 2 ай бұрын
HI, can you also share these ppts please? :/
@jairaja6924
@jairaja6924 11 күн бұрын
why there should be no seasonality
@hshrestha2811
@hshrestha2811 3 жыл бұрын
If the time series is stationary, does that mean that there is no white noise?
@raghavverma120
@raghavverma120 2 жыл бұрын
That means it doesnt have trend,seasonality,cyclicality
@raghavverma120
@raghavverma120 2 жыл бұрын
That is mean and variance are constant.. white noise is when the distribution is stationary mean=0 , constant variance, plus autocorrelation is 0
@Sindbad232
@Sindbad232 2 ай бұрын
dude is 15?
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