Nate, I've watched many of your podcasts and they're so intellectually energizing, pun intended. But this one, it was like being in graduate school again, and I'm 70. Thank you.
@AlanDavidDoane10 ай бұрын
This video should be watched by everyone, everywhere. How Keen is able to explain in (mostly) plain language how the human race got here to the verge of collapse is absolutely incredible. Thank you Nate and Prof. Keen for this enlightening discussion.
@Santi-rd7jf9 ай бұрын
What do you mean plain language bro. Academia is so disconnected to the reality of the common people. You gotta have a degree in economics to follow what he is saying for more than 5 minutes. BTW I like Keen.
@alexnosek10669 ай бұрын
Yeah, this isn't the most accessible content. No disrespect to anyone involved, but it isn't for "everyone, everywhere".
@KoDeMondo9 ай бұрын
Keen is very good at talking fast and pass it on through different and difficulty concept so the narrative is becoming difficult to digest
@testpattern0987654329 ай бұрын
@@Santi-rd7jfI can’t believe that it takes such an academic argument to state the obvious.
@achenarmyst215610 ай бұрын
I am just blown away. This was one of the most eye opening conversations I ever had the pleasure to listen to. And this is definitely not another daft conspiracy theory, it is stone cold natural science. I hope that I am still alive when Steve Keen receives the Nobel Prize for economics. He will be the most deserving candidate in the history of this somewhat gloomy award.
@KoDeMondo9 ай бұрын
In Italy you can find plenty who explain it better...
@ChrisSmith-bh2hg9 ай бұрын
Keen has ridiculed the so called "Noble Prize" in Economics. The whole thing is highly politicized for the benefit of big bankers.
@Larimerst10 ай бұрын
Wow!. Awesome interview. Keen has moved so far ahead that doesn't even stoop to address the obvious fallacies of conventional economics - the fictions of infinite growth and the neutrality of money - as he ratchets our understanding to an entirely new level. Many Thanks!
@jenniferl871410 ай бұрын
@@GhostOnTheHalfShellthanks!
@Alex_Plante9 ай бұрын
He wrote a brilliant book called Debunking Economics around 15 years ago, and supplementary information from his course lectures has been posted to his KZbin channel called ProfSteveKeen or something like that (if you Google his name it should come up).
@dylanthomas123219 ай бұрын
@@GhostOnTheHalfShell thanks so much. I was just about to search. Kudos.
@hogey7418 күн бұрын
Gents thanks for this. It's an example for me of the mind expanding potential of the internet. I came to it after Steve was mentioned in a decouple podcast. I can highly recommend Steve's talk with Lex Fridman.
@daniel-bertrand10 ай бұрын
This person deserves the Nobel prize in economics.
@mateusznazarczuk9 ай бұрын
This is not even Nobel Prize, it's Bank of Sweden Memorial Prize, with the name being hijacked from Nobel. Original Nobel Prize was awarded in 5 categories and economics was not one of them. But Keen will never win this prize, because he works outside of mainstream and constantly berates both the prize and its' recipients and also mainstream economic ideas. It would be them shooting themselves in the foot to award it to him.
@Skunk1069 ай бұрын
I discovered Steve Keen via the anti estab Max Keiser and his mercurial Keiser Report. The episodes always went way to fast when Steve was on. He gets it and lays it out like very few can and he's got solid evidence to back this work. Thanks for this long form interview Nate!
@TennesseeJed10 ай бұрын
Steve Keen is brilliant, thanks Nate.
@AlanDavidDoane10 ай бұрын
Hi, Jed!
@TennesseeJed10 ай бұрын
@@AlanDavidDoane hello Alan!
@DaveOxfordCookingWithStarlight4 ай бұрын
'A little shell-shocked ..' is an understatement, Nate! I've always thought it was self-evident that energy underpins everything, but I had no idea that economists had failed to realise this. Thank you for this mind-boggling interview.
@john1boggity5610 ай бұрын
This is the pinnacle of all your podcasts Nate. Truly brilliant!!!!!
@treefrog334910 ай бұрын
This is a story of how self-serving rationale, rather than truly objective analysis, creeped and seeped into what we now call neoliberal economics. Human beings themselves became merely an "input" - rather than the focus - of human endeavor. The collective well-being of the whole human "enterprise" has been relegated to the interests of the monied few. Greed overwhelms common sense, justice, and fair play. We have created the source of our own demise by ignoring the lessons we were all taught in our schools and churches. Welcome to the 21st Century!
@johncarter115010 ай бұрын
Your psyche is the victim of the broken system, your perceived understanding is base delusion, LOL!
@LittleOrla10 ай бұрын
You nailed it.
@biggriz22119 ай бұрын
Yes. But burning fossil fuels increase life on earth by restoring the CO2 levels. CO2 is life.
@bunsw20709 ай бұрын
These guys believe in global warming, the most nonsensical and easily debunked idea ever. And he talks like James Hansen knows what he's talking about. Hansen predicted in 1989 that the worlds coastal cities would be under water by year 2000. Know everything and understand nothing. This is one of the main problems with big brains. They know intuitively that they aren't allowed to question the gospel of other disciplines. So debunk your own field but fall for what is obviously idiotic. 1.5 degrees warmer next summer? I hope so. It's getting bloody cold the last 10 years.
@roderickmoore39159 ай бұрын
@@LittleOrlaa😊
@rgsteinman48429 ай бұрын
Brilliant! Brilliant! "Output is fundamentally NRG transformed into a useful form." That is, NRG is the input into L and K. I got my PhD in Econ nearly 30 yrs ago - It was all about factors of production receiving their Marginal Product = a complete absence of NRG in describing wealth and productivity. Keen's clear thinking insight, in combination with Kate Raworth's Doughnut Economics, forms the foundation of an awakened Ecological Economics. Thank you for this fantastic conversation!!
@christopherharrison2987Ай бұрын
I've been following Steve Keen's work for over a decade now and he never ceases to completely grab my attention while discussing economics at a high level, and introduces me to things I didn't know previously.
@michlwezenngraon748710 ай бұрын
Awesome, awesome, awesome! The plain truth about energy has finally reached KZbin in plain(-ish) English! Alleluyah!
@carolspencer691510 ай бұрын
Good afternoon Nate and Steve Again truly grateful for you two people, certainly from my very own professional perspective. This platform over the past turbulent few years, in which the same crazy situation remains. Saddening really, however your shared work remains a source for learning, of aspiration and knowing. So much sensemaking, incredible. Sanity brain gym, indeed. Thankyou. Etc, etc etc.😀 💜
@2pintsofcremedementh9 ай бұрын
I clicked on this expecting full "wu", but instead learnt about a school of thought as far from wu as possible. "Energy blindness" sounds like a very esoteric phenomenon, which probably says something about the extent to which the role of energy is neglected in the current economic paradigm. Thanks for the eye-opening conversation!
@RodBarkerdigitalmediablog10 ай бұрын
Thank you Nate and Steve for this discussion / lesson on the history of nonsense economics. I'm not surprised that previous economists have been awarded Nobel Prizes for imagining fantasy formula that enshrine the ideals of those with power and control.
@liamhickey3599 ай бұрын
Useful idiots like Greenspan, Bernanke, Geitner springs to mind.
@brucethomas4719 ай бұрын
When I was a kid, we had a red Corvair, but were not well off enough to ever fly anywhere. And it never even crossed my mind that driving a car caused a problem. I used to brag that I've driven in 46 states, from my home state, Delaware, to Mt Champlain in Maine, to the south flank of Mt Rainier, with many stops in Yellowstone, to San Francisco, San Diego, Austin, and Key West and etc.. Never crossed my mind how energy blind I was. No one ever talked about it. I knew I was burning gas, but in all my life, I had no idea that a gallon of gas weighing 6 pounds, making 20 pounds of CO2, would have any consequence. But did I get this right? .. I've learned that all in all, that's more CO2 in the air from all of us burning gas (and other hydrocarbons) than the physical objects, including cars, that we have made. That just blows my mind. If it wasn't colorless, we can only guess how dark the atmosphere would be. I was blind, but now I see. I've cut my carbon footprint to the bone. But what's done is done. Thanks for helping me understand my (albeit) small part in our world's predicament. I am humbled and changed.
@paulkillinger59159 ай бұрын
Your journey proved two things.. That Ralph Nader was wrong about the reliability of Corvairs. And that CO2, which today accounts for 4/10th's of 1% our atmosphere, hasn't killed us yet.
@paulkillinger59159 ай бұрын
And in fact, there are a lot more people alive today than there were then precisely because of it..
@goodnatureart5 ай бұрын
solid eye opening conversation with you and Steve Keen, Michael Every. Thanks Nate!
@donmc195010 ай бұрын
Being an engineer I can relate to energy based economics. The problem as I see it is how to factor future fossil fuel depletion into present day economic decisions. The 1956 Frank Capra movie " Our Mr Sun" forecasted our future as fossil fuels become scarce and more expensive, a middle ages based economy. An energy based economic view is outlined in Georgescu-Roegens book The entropy law and the economic process, 1971, Harvard university Press.
@brucethomas4719 ай бұрын
Good info, thanks.
@anngodfrey61210 ай бұрын
Have been watching Keen for a number of years now partly because as a kiwi I like his Aussie no bullshit approach and cos the layman's parts resonate so well. And as well he has a certain predictive ability!
@wvhaugen9 ай бұрын
Okay, second comment now that I have finished listening to the podcast - which was great by the way. In Keen's ballpark example of manual labor producing 100 watts from an input of 200 watts for a 50% return AND a machine producing a lower percentage than a human, a big insight was glossed over. This is the intrinsic efficiency of the human organism. As an example, in 2023 I grew a substantial amount of food (2425 pounds = 633,286 kilocalories) with a small amount of labor (683 hours = 136,600 kilocalories) and 247,034 kilocalories of fuel. This is an EROI of 1.65:1. Note that this includes fuel for weed-whacking and planting cover crops and green manures. Compare this to industrial agriculture which uses 10-12 kilocalories of fuel to produce 1 kilocalorie of food. Also consider that I am now retired and am just keeping my hand in. I used to get an EROI of 3.5:1 when I was a market gardener. Another point that was just glossed over is Keen's recognition that we have changed the game by throwing cheap oil energy at any and all problems for the last 150 years. Instead of solving our problems culturally, we substituted cheap oil energy for culture. Now we have lost the ability to adapt culturally and so we are increasingly subject to the laws of physics WITHOUT the buffer of culture. The cultural buffer that not only defines us as humans but has constituted our social environment for over two million years. The buffer is still there in part, but it as if our baby blanket of culture has become threadbare.
@barrycarter827610 ай бұрын
Hi Nate, wouldn’t claim to have understood much of the first half of your discussion with Steve Keen. Was formally a Power and Controls Engineer, I’ve always understood the situation described in the second half of the conversation regarding energy inputs, outputs (and entropy). Always said: engineers can do miracles, but the impossible might take a little longer, and that there is no such thing as a problem, only opportunities. But then who wants to listen to engineers, we do as we’re told, limited only by accountants and economists. The future for those that will live long enough isn’t looking good with signs of “ The Great Simplification. Keep these discussions coming Nate🤔
@ideafood4U10 ай бұрын
Great interview. Steve Keen is awesome. I first read about the Physiocrats in "The Value of Everything," by Mariana Mazzucato - another insightful economics historian. Beyond economics and biology, physics points to everything being energy. We need electrons to keep spinning.
@elliottmcintyre909210 ай бұрын
I am the typical colloquial layman Australian male, the information Steve provides makes so much sense. The academics who argue have cognitive dissonance. Colloquially in Australia these academics would be called F$&kwits.
@antonyjh123410 ай бұрын
No typical Australian male use the term colloquial or layman.
@john1boggity5610 ай бұрын
Or cognitive dissonance :)@@antonyjh1234
@djmadcoins218210 ай бұрын
@@antonyjh1234haha too right!
@paulscholes5410 ай бұрын
Excellent stuff - I had to keep reminding myself to breathe! My takeaway is Steve's profound academic observation on the traditional economist's view of energy, ie that it has almost no role in production, which he says is "complete bollocks".👏👏👏
@tozobozo41429 ай бұрын
Amazing podcast. Been a student of this stuff for some 20 years and this is the sort of premium meat my cranial potato craves. Thanks.
@lynnlavoy677810 ай бұрын
Wow, mind blown! I recently have been writing to anyone who will listen about saving the salmon population in the lower 48. Breaching dams are such a "micdrop" even a willingness to see the problem differently to save the sockeye is considered "taboo" . All the waste needs to be optimized. Thanks!
@Lyra09669 ай бұрын
Good on you. Derrick Jensen will definitely be approving of your efforts!
@lynnlavoy67789 ай бұрын
@Lyra0966 lol, no I am a Randell Carlson girl. I just love listening to both sides of the argument. I recognize I am a ancient artifact who cares about truth, that is why wisdom is my grail.
@FREEAGAIN4329 ай бұрын
Epic convo. Very insightful and revealing. Thank you Steve and Nate. Activists are DIALING IT UP! Lets do this friends.
@vilhelmgrasbonde15 күн бұрын
Fascinating talk. I’m amazed how previous economic models have missed this as it is so apparent within farming and agriculture that the increase in productivity is not due to more labour but instead energy being fed through bigger and more effective machines. How obvious can it be?!?
@jonathanrider441710 ай бұрын
Another great interview! Thanks Nate and Steve! I will look at your previous segments with Steve.
@vsotofrances10 ай бұрын
Good book. The second law of economics. Good interview. The most important statement in 1:20:00
@ouimetco10 ай бұрын
It’s more like “the great edufication” Another great lecture Nate. Cheers
@stevehutt237110 ай бұрын
Absolutely awesome gentleman. Thank-you. Steve should be advising presidents and politicians. Energy bindness IS the problem that underlies the confusion at the root of so much angst, from the worker all the way up to international politics. Like the three legs of a stool energy, capital, and labor lift up the human condition. Using the leverage of tech, resources, and financial dicipline, the world could be made a much richer place for all.
@carl-Sp10 ай бұрын
Loved this. I’m now poring over my high school memories of physics and economics. Economics never sat quite right and now I know why. Looking forward to throwing Optimus bot and 100% solar into the discussion. The end of fossils is possible. Lucky, because also essential.
@cal48koho10 ай бұрын
incredibly valuable interview and explanation of how this whole flawed understanding came about of how Labor, capital, Energy, technology interact!!! When will this insight ever get in to the brains of the knuckleheads in academia and government???
@NickGj-k7v9 ай бұрын
Finally one Economist who understand and develop further the Economy on all complexities, including and energy on different forms. Happy to hear that Steve Keen as economist of 20 century and 21 century advance further the science of economy by considering evolution from Adam Smith to Karl Marks and others. Modern economy without Karl Marks lead on misunderstanding. The energy certainly play a key role on economy, but all resources have importance, without all resources, from land and water, to minerals including energy resources, and on addition to all these and Human Resources and human energy and intelligence, the developed society does not exist. Happy to hear for the NEW MANIFESTO about economy.
@vincentkosik40310 ай бұрын
Another stellar discussion, thank you
@PaulHigginbothamSr6 ай бұрын
Thank you Nate for excellent videos. My poor pup has bone cancer and to get my mind off it with good videos helps me. Thanks
@tomschuelke79559 ай бұрын
Difficult to follow on english. But once again its mezmerizing. Your work Nath Haeagens and your interview partner in my opinion are the pinacle of th best science we have and we should listen to..
@Pappaous10 ай бұрын
You would think social media and technology would've solved this by now. I have been saying this since 1996, coming from the Peak Oil perspective. Thank you, Professor, for putting this into an academic context. {I miss Michael Ruppert.}
@personzorz9 ай бұрын
Social media is a destructive force. I work in microbiology, and if there's one thing I can tell you from my time in the field, it's that the microbial communities that support cooperation and interesting structure have spatial structure where individuals interact more strongly with their neighbors. The way you destroy cooperation and structure is creating a well-mixed system where every individual interacts equally strongly with every other individual. Such systems become overwhelmed with parasites and antagonistic interactions and viruses. That describes all social media to a T.
@martinmtweedale28610 ай бұрын
I'm totally in agreement with Keen's conclusions about the nefarious role classical and neo-classical economics has played in our predicament. I think the origins of the wrong turn could be explained more simply by noting the distinction between use-value and exchange-value, which Smith, Ricardo, and Marx all emphasize. The physiocrats can be seen as interested in use value, i.e., the actual usefulness of what gets produced and sent to market. Here soil and sunlight (i.e., energy) play a tremendously significant role. But Smith was mainly interested in exchange value, i.e., how much power a product has to purchase other goods and services on the market. The exchange-value of a product can be way out of line with its use-value. The study of political economy after Smith became devoted to how the former rather than the latter is created. In that study energy just appears as one of the costs of production and its value is just what it takes to purchase it on the market. Its importance to production varies directly with the quantity of it required and its purchase price per unit volume. The cheaper energy becomes the less important it is for an economist solely interested in exchange-value. Hence in the age of cheap energy (which we are now leaving) economists did not see it as of much importance. Of course, someone who is interested in the use-value of what the economy produces would see it as completely fundamental. (On the history of the ideological of the roots of our predicament, including neoclassical economics, I've written a book: Making Wonderful: Ideological Roots of Our Eco-Catastrophe, published by the University of Alberta Press, which you might want to take a look at.)
@joegithler10 ай бұрын
Economists throwing shade is my favorite 😂 I wish there was still a safe place for them to say what they actually think anonymously outside of politics in the job market. People are waking up to the reality of capital choosing scientists post hoc like big tobacco. This is especially true in economics.
@jjuniper27410 ай бұрын
Ohh happy day!! Loved the last one. Thank you in advance for helping me understand so many things.
@coweatsman10 ай бұрын
I will have to rewatch this episode to comprehend some of the 90% I did not absorb from the first listening.
@clivepierce18169 ай бұрын
A story of staggering ignorance. As a retired atmospheric scientist I have always been deeply sceptical of economic modelling and this reinforces my position. The words of the physicist, C.P. Snow, spring to mind - “A good many times I have been present at gatherings of people who, by the standards of the traditional culture, are thought highly educated and who have with considerable gusto been expressing their incredulity at the illiteracy of scientists. Once or twice I have been provoked and have asked the company how many of them could describe the Second Law of Thermodynamics. The response was cold: it was also negative. Yet I was asking something which is about the scientific equivalent of: 'Have you read a work of Shakespeare's?' I now believe that if I had asked an even simpler question - such as, What do you mean by mass, or acceleration, which is the scientific equivalent of saying, 'Can you read?' - not more than one in ten of the highly educated would have felt that I was speaking the same language. So the great edifice of modern physics goes up, and the majority of the cleverest people in the western world have about as much insight into it as their Neolithic ancestors would have had.”
@pascalxus9 ай бұрын
Truely amazing interview! I am floored!
@RickLarsonPermacultureDesigner9 ай бұрын
One seed to a hundred is a perfect explanation of a real return on investment.
@RickLarsonPermacultureDesigner9 ай бұрын
I love the professors research on the agricultural economy of France. There is something special to learn about the "free tenant peasant".
@RickLarsonPermacultureDesigner9 ай бұрын
Marx was not interested in communal living. Hahaha! Marxism is fascism is socialism is communism, ect ect. All dependent on labor which is the reason the peasant economy, which was by & large sustainable, were smashed apart for larger institutional labor, cheap or otherwise, to capture the results for those in charge, no matter the political flavor.
@RickLarsonPermacultureDesigner9 ай бұрын
Also, the term payback was derived from the industrialists to justify the purchase of machines. Now we even apply this term to house hold purchases of solar equipment.
@RickLarsonPermacultureDesigner9 ай бұрын
Of course, the capitalists don't deserve anything let alone .25 (a free energy thing).
@RickLarsonPermacultureDesigner9 ай бұрын
Interesting the rising data reference. I'll have to think on this.
@delburnwalter202410 ай бұрын
Inputs from engineers would be nice, but ecologists should be drafting the requirements documents.
@achenarmyst215610 ай бұрын
This needs to be underscored multifold 👍👍👍
@trenomas19 ай бұрын
Farmers once again proven the peak of humanity!
@EddyDJIMini3Pro10 ай бұрын
I rarely share these topics on my LinkedIn, but this one is the most important one, and I just shared it. If we don't make this the central theme of the next decade, we can commence (continue) partying like it's 1999 with the theme, "That's all she wrote"!
@tomschuelke79559 ай бұрын
Agree.. But did you also once listen to the great interview with prof. William Rees? It's on the same level but rees even can explain his sience better I think. Well maybe that's only true for me ( I am German). But they both are complementary views of the same issues, and together even much stronger. And both would deserve a Nobel price
@yvonnereed16710 ай бұрын
Energy in the economy for an economist is equivalent to water in the ocean for a fish. “ what’s water?” says the fish.
@lizzieconnor79 ай бұрын
Yep, that's my main rake-away from the interview as well, Yvonne. It's short enough for me to remember, and cogent enough (I hope) to make most people think when they hear it. :-)
@elliottmcintyre90929 ай бұрын
It’s hard to stay colloquial or layman when you go down the rabbit hole. When you peel all the layers off, it comes down to how we want to live and what is important. To say we have lost our way in some cultures is an understatement, a layman can transcend consciousness.
@mkkrupp24626 ай бұрын
It’s not just the engineers who need to accelerate the production of alternative energy to alleviate the effects of climate change. It’s humanity, particularly those of us living in the developing countries, who need to seriously curtail our consumption of all non necessary stuff (and hence fossil fuels) and conserve our precious natural resources. We must move to a degrowth economy and invest in the resilience of local communities in the things that truly matter - clean water, good food and shelter.
@andrewpaterson519210 ай бұрын
Fantastic. .. but we still need boundary conditions ( both physical [planetary] and intellectual, [wisdom] ) in all economic models. Steve Keen ... Keep on going. Your job is not yet done. I have worked as an "Energy Engineer" .. and I have been discomforted for many years at economists bizzare lack of understanding of physics. .
@RichardBergson9 ай бұрын
I've been following Steve on Substack for a while and it's been great to have this opportunity to hear the whole piece. I'm no economist but I do understand the value of economic theory and how it influences decision making. I have to agree, too, that the poly crisis we now face probably has its roots in the economy so promoting an accurate economic model that acknowledges the reach of its effects is critical to an effective, if hopelessly late, response. Thanks. both.
@beingnonbeingincludesexistence9 ай бұрын
Great podcast and great guest! Now I really want to see you talking with Michael Hudson and afterwards a conversation with Michael and Steve keen, like they did on demystify sci channel, that conversation was golden!
@woodliceworm45659 ай бұрын
As an Engineer involved in Energy for 40-odd years and with a family background in manufacturing, I have always pushed to the point that Energy is the key, to progress and prosperity. It is clear that the UK had access to unlimited quality coal in /during the Industrial Revolution and that economics is driven by this energy source - the rest is just math.
@Astrologon7 ай бұрын
So, I guess scifi strategy games had economics right the whole time, maybe we should get some game designers to redesign the economy, to turn it into a game that makes sense. Great intereview, Steve Keen might be the most important economic thinker right now.
@arp0ad0r9 ай бұрын
“This is the reason that neoclassical economics has gone, so totally off the rails: they don’t even know their own history.“
@stefanbernardknauf46710 ай бұрын
It seems like another story of the anchoring effect, on a gigantic scale this time. I'm talking about minute 69. Nate, Please have a look at behavioral economy for this. But you probably did that already. I'm amazed. This for me is indeed Nobel price stuff. Note that it takes decades for such publications to get this price... Great work, thank you very much! I understand now why you took a 5 week break!
@davidmitchell407710 ай бұрын
Interesting discussion of the history of economics. I am just a citizen with an above average knowledge of environmental issues and an interest in economics. In my opinion, governments and businesses do recognize the importance of energy in the economy in terms of price. People demand their governments take action to keep prices of energy low. Energy price shocks have led to change in government leadership and to the desire to avoid shocks. This results in policies like the strategic oil reserve, and pushes to reduce taxes on fuels when prices increase rapidly. Arguments that shortages of oil will result in resource substitution are very compelling to me because there are so many examples of it occurring in history. The belief that efficiency in energy use will help keep GDP from declining is also compelling. It seems that a 20 percent decrease in energy availability will result in no change in production if matched by a 20 percent increase in energy efficiency. I recognize from watching previous episodes that efficiency gains to date have been offset by increased overall energy use, but I wonder if that link can be broken at least at a state or national level. Policies like carbon taxes with refunds to low income populations seem like a possible solution to include the costs of environmental impacts while softening the economic impacts on some consumers.
@danielfaben583810 ай бұрын
Yours is the logic of the greatest number of hope filled buyers of the belief in the status quo. These folks can't imagine the shrinkage of the human enterprise. Somehow economics and monetary policy can come up with plans to keep things chugging along. It is taboo, unthinkable, to imagine a world without progress, security and ease that technology has wrought.
@Alex_Plante9 ай бұрын
A 20 % reduction in energy availability would probably mean, in the short run, a 20% reduction in income, but over time, as alternatives are developed and energy use become more efficient, the reduction will be something between 0% and 20%. In general, non-fossil fuel-based sources of energy require more capital than fossil-fuel-based sources, and even increasing energy efficiency requires capital. In the end less energy may mean we need to reduce consumption and increase investment in order to end up with that reduction of consumption that is somewhere between 0% and 20% (my gut instinct is it will be closer to 20% than 0%).
@webfreakz9 ай бұрын
Thank you!
@Seawithinyou10 ай бұрын
My God what an Intense let alone Awake up call for All Wonderful in-depth info Thank you dearly Steve and Nate Will Facebook share this Publicly 🕊🌏🙏🏼
@GhostOnTheHalfShell10 ай бұрын
Now we only need to drag Nate onto SteveKeenAndFriends podcast.
@alderom13 ай бұрын
Terrific!
@alexandrabryden61439 ай бұрын
I went to James Watt College for 3 years and used to look at watts engine in the foyer of the college. The importance of this engine is very much planted in my brain now and how things could have been different.
@tastytoast457610 ай бұрын
Keen my beloved ❤️
@N1otAn1otherN1ame9 ай бұрын
I will definitely read Steve's book. Sharper insights into economy will be hard to find, I guess.
@sallyjohnstone853529 күн бұрын
Love your podcast, soooo knowledgeable. Thanx. Gary's economics. Amazing. He says similar things, contrary to almost everyone else. Please get together guys and with our support maybe we/you can do more to change this madness that's leading us to possible total human extinction. Towards the end you ask why no-one calls them out.... Nate. I think you're being naive. They don't call it out cos this stupid stupid system makes them richer and richer. Sadly. Selfishly
@drillerdev46249 ай бұрын
I was missing a mention to intellectual work and how it can increase efficiency and as such alter the calculations. It was mentioned near the end, but I think it deserves more time, probably an episode by itself. Specially if you factor in phenomenons as the paradoxical increase in waste when a higher efficiency is reached.
@johnwatt191110 ай бұрын
Energy always fundamental, Capital (machines) necessary and now AI makes machines function autonomously. So Labour goes to near zero (not required). How does that change economic theory with no labour required. Who gets all the profit ? Great conversation by the way, thanks Nate.
@achenarmyst215610 ай бұрын
The „Dark Satanic Mills“ are an expression from William Blake‘s 1808 poem „And did those feet in ancient times“, today best known as the hymn „Jerusalem“.
@brucethomas47110 ай бұрын
I would award the Dumbell Prize!
@Lyra09669 ай бұрын
As a very poor mathematician I nevertheless have long believed that most modern economic theory constitutes a bogus discipline masquerading as a science: a formulaic con trick that functions in a similar way to the way in which sophistry functions within the philosophical sphere. That function is a pseudo-scientific sleight of hand, the purpose of which has always been to justify an inequitable division of the spoils. For me, neo-classical economics and its grubby offspring, neo-conservatism, amounts to little more than an argument in favour of unrestrained greed.
@em9459 ай бұрын
I heard the saying " quality of a nation's topsoil is it's wealth". Fertility has to be managed also.
@BespokeByNellie9 ай бұрын
Thank you Nate and Steve. This is so important and needs to be heard and understood globally. Steve, when you say the next Northern summer, do you mean this year, and by Northern do you mean Canada, the US, Europe? Nate I hope your colonoscopy went well and all is well.
@andrewwoods81539 ай бұрын
Brilliant. ❤
@treefrog334910 ай бұрын
The theoretical, statistical "explanation" of our contemporary world defies the empirical reality that surrounds us all. Incessant warfare, egregious income disparities, environmental degradation everywhere defies all the things we might SAY about it. We are surrounded by the failure of our presumptions and calculations. A simple look out your window should be sufficient.
@snnwww18319 ай бұрын
I'm so glad to have found what seems like a english speaking equivalent to all the similar podcast/channels I listen to a lot in French. Does anyone have any similar english channels to recommend please ? Thanks !
@emceegreen886410 ай бұрын
Consider that the problem is we have a single “economy “. That economy has certain systemic characteristics. Among them are dirty consumption and pollution. The resolution may be a parallel restorative economy that systemically rewards the energetic and clean opposite. That is the reduction of dirty energy consumption, the reward of clean energy, and removal of pollution. Check out Delton Chen’s climate policy proposal. Before we run out of time…
@Gmt19684 ай бұрын
If you want a case study on the impacts of reduced energy availability you should look at South Africa and the impact of long term electricity load shedding has had on our GDP. Also considering local water shortages we have had at times over the last year since heavy flooding and poor systems maintenance you should consider the impact on economics of water shortages and I think you will find some significant impacts to.
@mfwic229 ай бұрын
I refer you to Dr. Tim Morgan's book "Life after Growth" published 2013 .
@infrared56110 ай бұрын
Very interesting. I'm in total agreement with Steven Keen about blind spots of neoclassical economists, but feel obliged to point out that economists' predictions actually did come true for Germany. In 2023 total primary energy consumption dropped by 7% while their GDP dropped by just 0.3%. What does it mean? Probably the their models work for the time being, as long as we have abundance of energy and functional global markets. Obviously a time will come when those assumptions no longer hold...
@Alex_Plante9 ай бұрын
Their GDP would probably have dropped by far more than 0.3% if the whole world's primary energy consumption had dropped by 7%.
@drillerdev46249 ай бұрын
And how does it correlate with debt? Maybe Germany increased their debt to wade through. Debt allows you to bring energy from the future by ways of buying someone else's work (energy), with the caveat that you need to pay back later, but of course, economy being as it is, the amount of energy returned may differ.
@briskyoungploughboy9 ай бұрын
My guess would be that the energy drop was primarily absorbed in uses that were less economically productive, such as non-essential transportation, home heating turned down a couple of degrees etc. Most likely energy was directed by pricing policy towards the economically productive sectors of the economy. The capacity to do this would however soon reach its limits.
@infrared5619 ай бұрын
@@drillerdev4624 Public debt increased, continuing a trajectory that started during COVID. Germany is still running a very high trade surplus though, but that's the problem in these measures: money or GDP are not a good proxy for energy.
@infrared5619 ай бұрын
@@briskyoungploughboy I didn't have a chance to dig into statistics what sectors shrank and which expanded during this time. One data point I know is that energy-intensive production dropped 11%. That's pretty significant and means some other sectors picked up the slack.
@djudju804710 ай бұрын
Energy is a mesure of change. Makes sense to use it to mesure economic growth. The way I see it the economy is limited by multiple factors, and available energy is one of them. Right now available energy is the limiting factor, but if we had unlimited energy maybe the number of workers.hours would be the limiting factor. Or maybe it will be the size of the planet regarding pollution. Availability of resources is another limiting factor I can think of, like steel, copper, lithium, etc. The fact that GDP and energy production are correlated is proof for me that energy is the biggest actual limiting factor.
@danielfaben583810 ай бұрын
When I found out about thermodynamics and entropy through a book by Jeremy Rifkin my mind was opened to this very reality: the speed which one travels, consumes, verily burns through life, hurries the disintegration of surroundings and the source of life itself. It makes a fucking mess that is left to others to muck through but never ever remedy. The greatest sin in the world is hubris and the race ( and the planet) is being humbled as we twiddle.
@chookbuffy10 ай бұрын
Note for the young economist who might want to replicate what Steve is talking about in terms of the relationship between GDP and energy. You will need to factor in the impacts due to import substitution. For example, in Australia we used to make Clinker (a very energy intensive ingredient for the production of cement) but now import a fair amount from Asia. So it may look like that the energy productivity for cement has undergone massive improvements in the last couple of decades but that is a false interpretation but that is only because the outsourced a part of cement manufacturing overseas. So its important to look at global energy use and global GDP in thefirst instance before delving into individual countries. the MEDEAS model is probably the closest I have seen that attempts to correlate primary energy production by industries along with their $Gross Value Added (GVA). Many economists would never look at this.,,,but its so obvious once you remove all biases. I'm very lucky I studied physics before looking at economics. Also Nate please get on Dr Tim Morgan!!! Seriously you both need to talk
@ErnestoEduardoDobarganes9 ай бұрын
excellent, expected no less.
@olivierlescop47529 ай бұрын
Nate and Steve, thanks for the brilliant conversation!! As a followup, what are your thoughts on this? Labour is expressed in money equivalent in economic models. But labour can also expressed itself through work of the mind (genius, creativity etc) or body/hands (actual manual labour). In Physics work is the quantity that defines the energy needed to displace an object on a distance (expressed in Joule). So actually human labour can be expressed in Joules, the same way the energy of a machine using some kind of energy is expressed in joules. Very naive question: Could Labour of a machine be added to the actual labour term in the economic equation given they are of the same nature?
@Namari129 ай бұрын
He completely lost me at the math part, not going to lie - but the second half of the podcast was so powerful, it blows the mind.
@Ritastresswood9 ай бұрын
The idea that GDP and energy is correlated is not new. We have been using such a graph to teach our students for the last few years. Thanks to Dr. Chris Martnson at Peak Prosperity whose book should truly be read by everyone.
@TheFlyingBrain.4 ай бұрын
1:22:04 What you're looking for here, Nate, is a Darwin Award for Economics. (For those too young to recall, the Darwin Awards were an early internet phenomenon that were awarded yearly and circulated by email lists in the 1990's. They were given in honor of those who during the past year had demonstrated their superior fitness in contributing to the human gene pool by committing an act most likely to remove them from it. The awards were greatly anticipated, and a much beloved source of dark comedy relief for those at the time who had become chronically frustrated by the self administered blindered state of a supposedly intelligent human species.)
@conversatio-luisdiaz9 ай бұрын
I would appreciate if someone tells me, what would be different if we took into account the value of energy in our economic system. Thank you.
@MagnusHenke9 ай бұрын
Just on a sidenote: The is NO Nobelprize in economics! There is just the Swedish National Banks prize to the memory of Alfred Nobel. Nobel himself didn't think economics was worthy of a prize since it did not contribute to the development of mans finer characteristics.
@Stuart.McGregor9 ай бұрын
It’s staggering that our social systems have been built and wars fought on these flawed views. If all physicists were this wrong for that long, we’d still be agrarian but we shouldn’t forget that they also gave us String Theory.
@tomschuelke79559 ай бұрын
@Nath Haegeans. Wouldnt it be in your case realy realy important to improve the impact of your exciting Podcasts. I teach in a big company and i us AI in this case to create seamless translations, using my own voice with fake lip synchroinisation, to tell all the stuff i teach also in CHinese and english. There´s actually one Platform caled "Heygen" I woul totaly love, to find all your podcasts getting translated in perfect "French, Chinese, German, Russian, Turkish... What ever... Wouldnt it be worth some Crowdfounding. At least you should try this out. Translation is not perfect but good enough. Because even if there are some mistakes, its more important to get out your message.
@martinacusack986710 ай бұрын
What happened to the transcript after 49.23 i really wanted to screenshot one part as no pen and paper on me. Guess i will have to review later. Thanks though
@Mary-Mar5 ай бұрын
I wonder if anyone is studying the connection between energy and noise production? I know this does not exactly correlate with large scale data centers which can be football fields in size, and generate little noise, but they do generate some decibels. Perhaps something like this can be part of coming up with formulas for accurately measuring energy in production.
@klindt57769 ай бұрын
Did he finish his comparison to the 10% reduction in energy to the German economy hypothetical? The modern economic equation said a reduction in the economy by .4% but I don’t think he ever said what his new equation would make a 10% reduction in energy be? Was it the full 10%? And if so how long would it take for the entire 10% reduction in the economy it looks like it lags behind the reduction in energy by a bit
@steverocco72819 ай бұрын
This was another great interview. But I am very surprised that he did not come to the degrowth conclusion