The reality in tennis trading is that even if you calculate and calculate, none of that works when on the court you are seeing that your player is having a bad day, tennis trading is a strategy, but not before a live game, you can make a idea but not ensuring anything or wanting this or that to win, for the one who has to win to win and that of course that is where we have put money
@nathanmangham35153 жыл бұрын
Hi I would love a video showing how you work out the rest of the probability chances out for winning-15 etc would really appreciate it I’m not the best with equations etc lol thank you
@betangeltv3 жыл бұрын
I'll add that to the request list.
@coreywhite31613 жыл бұрын
Is it possible to scrape the I.e. % of points won on serve instead of manually entering it in for every match as I find this awesome but very time consuming when any model data is basically available on the WTA and ATP sites?
@betangeltv3 жыл бұрын
Yes, somebody has done it on the forum - forum.betangel.com/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=22934
@jorgesa4244 Жыл бұрын
I dind't get how the calculation for the winning to 15 was made? Can you explain, I thougt it would be the .7064^5 ? Also shouldn't we include the return % of the other player as a factor in?
@betangeltv Жыл бұрын
The chance of winning a point on serve already accounts for the ability to return. We were only calculating the chance of a game to love.
@michaelmanning2663 жыл бұрын
Hi, thanks for the video, the calibration tool is a little confusing.It's normally set at 0.65 (as I recall) per player .If one player starts to dominate are you supposed to increase their number ?If so, by how much ? And what does 0.65 mean ? I have noticed when trying to frame a trade the predicted odds can be up to 10 ticks' out ' , so obviously I may not be using it correctly.Although I do calibrate it every few mins ...
@betangeltv3 жыл бұрын
This is where it gets a little tricky as particpants in the market are constantly re-pricing the market all the time. So I acutally prefer to see the deviation from the inital price to see what people are doing. It's impossbile for the model to match the odds you see in the market, because of the momentum people are discounting. But also there are 351 ticks in a market, but there is only 100%, so even a minor shift in % means you will be a few ticks out. That's sort of inevitable.
@cro6492 ай бұрын
How do you account for about two thirds of the top 30 players being utterly erratic for seemingly no apparent reason. I watched a match with Zverev for example the other day where in the first 3 games of the set he was 80% first serves. In the next 2 games he served 5 double faults? He's not the only one who has ridiculous fluctuations for no apparent reason in the same set. Musetti is another as is Ruud, Rune, Tsitsipas and Korda etc. The other thing is all stats go out of the window under pressure. Some can be clutch, others not but there are infinite variables between two opppnents especially with players like Zverev and Musetti. The top 10 historically have been very reliable against opppnents outside the top 20 but even memebrs of the top 10 are utterly unreliable and erratic without logic.
@Rzds83 жыл бұрын
Do you have any tips for FanDuel? Great video btw.👍
@betangeltv3 жыл бұрын
Sorry, no. I've never used FanDuel, yet!
@coreywhite31612 жыл бұрын
Why doesn't Bet angel advise : Fault, let, injury time out like other software?
@betangeltv2 жыл бұрын
We can, but haven't had that many requests for it.
@emma-greatetrakor70333 жыл бұрын
how do i get in touch with you
@cricketqueen33073 жыл бұрын
betangel not connect by vpn why sir. i am from Bangladesh i use betfair vpn...... than how can use ur app
@betangeltv3 жыл бұрын
This can depend on where your account is registered. Have you tried a VPS?
@partheeban79973 жыл бұрын
Ok
@TheWolf-ws5dj3 жыл бұрын
You are wrong...you just try to sell the tennis ad-on on the software.You don't need to know what odds will gone be...is usless.The odds will be or not is simple as that.Whats the difference if you know before?
@betangeltv3 жыл бұрын
I've told you in this video how to price odds in a market, how to predict the chance of a winner. Can't do much more than that!
@JayAT3 жыл бұрын
Worthless without a rigged match column 😉
@betangeltv3 жыл бұрын
If Betfair can provide a feed for it, we will put it in the product.
@King-gc8zd3 жыл бұрын
Statistics doesn't matter much in tennis any given day an underdog can make favourite cry. It doesn't work that way. In any match when lots of money comes in into a player that player loose. Because all matches are fixed
@chrisshimp8245 Жыл бұрын
Model is good but this guy is too long winded. He repeats things multiple times instead of just being straight to the point.