"That could be a killer for some" Mark Bouris & Tom Panos

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Yellow Brick Road

Yellow Brick Road

27 күн бұрын

Leading auctioneer Tom Panos returns to Property Insights with Mark Bouris.
In this episode, Tom shares his latest observations of the market, with an increasing number of properties coming onto the market and vendors considering selling due to financial strain or the opportunity to upgrade. They also discuss the impact of high interest rates on homeowners and the potential for a surge in properties coming onto the market.
Tom and Mark express concern about the financial situation of many homeowners and the difficulty young Australians face in achieving the dream of owning property due to rising ages of first-time buyers and a housing supply issue exacerbated by immigration. They also touch upon the political climate and the lack of effective solutions to address the housing crisis.
#markbouris #propertyinsights #tompanos

Пікірлер: 392
@yellowbrickroadtv
@yellowbrickroadtv 24 күн бұрын
📌 What did you think of the podcast? Do you have any questions for Mark? Pop them below.
@sammohis
@sammohis 24 күн бұрын
One question to RBA- you have increased the rates as ablanket to all.Which menas the struggling section are pushed further into hardship and making them go into arrears and making their credit ratings go bad. Why aren't the rates first increased for investors AMD may be later for owner occupier? Wouldn't that have solver housing problem to some extent?
@sammohis
@sammohis 24 күн бұрын
Also, why is the government OT asking investors to invest in building rather than buying existing homes and competing with people who want to buy their first home
@christesoriero2203
@christesoriero2203 24 күн бұрын
Hey Mark, When as a nation are we going to say enough’s enough, and it’s time to end speculation with a 5% land tax? Or go back to a leasehold system? As evidenced in your Podcast, if you’re not old money, mum and dad money, successful in business or high wage earning, you’ll stay on struggle street for your working life.
@midnighteightsix6919
@midnighteightsix6919 24 күн бұрын
Hey Mark, really enjoy your content on KZbin. What are your thoughts on the Coalition's potential plans (if they win the next election) to allow first homebuyers to use significant amounts of their super to buy a home? Is this a helpful initiative for those young Aussies who don't have a bank of Mum/Dad to rely on or will it only make housing affordability worse?
@judybrowning6002
@judybrowning6002 24 күн бұрын
What the Gold Coast conference?? Sounds like the place to be.
@samdrew4746
@samdrew4746 24 күн бұрын
So good hearing older guys (with respect) acknowledging the difficulties for younger generations 🙏
@nicolle_2944
@nicolle_2944 23 күн бұрын
Unfortunately giving all the wrong solutions though.
@markblake2699
@markblake2699 24 күн бұрын
I'm not A huge fan of Tom Panos..however he talks complete common sense.... and good to see how calm he is in conversation....well done
@MaxWell-pp9zs
@MaxWell-pp9zs 15 күн бұрын
My journey shifted after achieving an initial $1.4M return in 13 months. Over time, this success has led me to just close on my 11th rental property. With rising home prices and stagnant wages, many people will struggle to ever own a home.
@MarjorieRyanJoy
@MarjorieRyanJoy 15 күн бұрын
the housing market feels rigged against us. You mentioned returns, to be realistic luck plays a significant role more-so than the resources to thrive with investing. without it, it's very challenging to succeed
@MaxWell-pp9zs
@MaxWell-pp9zs 15 күн бұрын
when its consistent, its not considered luck. I attribute this to research which was the challenging part before it led me to Emily Ava Milligan, a top fund manager, in turn she made 310k into this, and counting.
@MarjorieRyanJoy
@MarjorieRyanJoy 15 күн бұрын
I pasted her name into safari, and her page popped right up. from our interaction It became clear she's in high demand. Your example is rare. I stumbled on a gem when i least expected to. Thanks
@baldrick6071
@baldrick6071 24 күн бұрын
Mark you have an amazing ability to speak in lay terms without bombarding us with unnecessary jargon. Appreciated!
@joshuajackett6371
@joshuajackett6371 24 күн бұрын
Great point, So true, explaining things in plain English (lay terms) is something that needs to be brought into government, law, business, economic terms and banking.
@TheObSeRvErTheObSeRv
@TheObSeRvErTheObSeRv 24 күн бұрын
TAX THE F OUT OF OVERSEA INVESTORS ON THERE PROPERTY'S THAT THEY DO NOT USE OR RENT OUT.!
@user-pu6jv7wi5x
@user-pu6jv7wi5x 24 күн бұрын
greatest comment ever
@Alig3388
@Alig3388 24 күн бұрын
Labor already did this
@TheObSeRvErTheObSeRv
@TheObSeRvErTheObSeRv 24 күн бұрын
@@Alig3388 yeah but on a small percentage.
@Alig3388
@Alig3388 24 күн бұрын
@@TheObSeRvErTheObSeRv won't make a huge difference. Negative gearing and capital gains discount is fundamental reform.
@redgatecrt
@redgatecrt 23 күн бұрын
They already do and it’s tax deductible 😂 wake up
@ivica351
@ivica351 24 күн бұрын
the sheep are jabbed and head high in debt. Easy to control now for whats coming Good Luck 🙏 🚬
@markovasil1608
@markovasil1608 24 күн бұрын
Perfectly summarized
@darren2351
@darren2351 19 күн бұрын
I plan to buy one of the sheeps distressed properties when they tap out finally. I don't feel bad for them, they screwed us all with their blind compliance.
@user-mw4go7ez9t
@user-mw4go7ez9t 23 күн бұрын
As a father of 3 kids who have just entered the work force and would like to buy a home, my ability to assist them is limited. Rather than spend 20 years to save a deposit and then be paying off a home in retirement, might it be better to immigrate ourselves to a country where we could achieve ownership much earlier.
@damienhall9814
@damienhall9814 22 күн бұрын
Great idea. More opportunity and better nightlife
@markas1987
@markas1987 19 күн бұрын
That's not the reason to leave. The reason to leave is that Australia is a poor imitation of what a Western country is
@KoDeMondo
@KoDeMondo 18 күн бұрын
The issue is that others countries have used the same monetary experimental done here in Australia. So they are also hyperinflated.
@KoDeMondo
@KoDeMondo 18 күн бұрын
​@@markas1987why not? The comment is valid and I understand his point of view.
@LP-up9dy
@LP-up9dy 18 күн бұрын
Yes it could be a way of doing it. Or finding ways of investing their money to maximize growth, rather than saving it in the bank. I wish you and your family the best of luck. Better times will come
@iphoneography
@iphoneography 23 күн бұрын
Harry Triguboff has the 'power' to make units more expensive by publicly saying he's not going to make so many.
@TheTestride
@TheTestride 21 күн бұрын
harry is almost dead .... he will die rich ... big deal! I am sure he has spawn that will continue his useless legacy.
@jpak22
@jpak22 24 күн бұрын
We need someone like you in government
@Al-jv2pn
@Al-jv2pn 19 күн бұрын
Im 37 single no kids, have a small amount of savings, I have given up on the dream, also given up on the country. There is no prosperity, i think I am going to try it out in a SE Asian country.
@jonathanmichaelsmith9012
@jonathanmichaelsmith9012 18 күн бұрын
I'm the same age as you. Living part-time in Australia might be the plan for me.
@Al-jv2pn
@Al-jv2pn 18 күн бұрын
@@jonathanmichaelsmith9012 hypothetical, say you have $100k saved , earn 80k pa, buy a 500k 2 bedroom dog-box in the suburbs, you are pretty much left with maybe 5-10k at the end of each year if you are good with your mortgage, paying insurances, rates, body corp, feed yourself, car rego etc. this is the middle income aussie. far from what our parents had opportunities for.
@junheehan2448
@junheehan2448 12 күн бұрын
​@@Al-jv2pn You said you are a single, why not consider renting out one of the bedrooms? It can pay off half the mortgage unless more. 80K by yourself is pretty good enough. 400K loan at current LVR 80% rate would charge you ~$2600/month in mortgage, and taking every house related expenses into account, it would be roughly $3500/month. 500k 2 bedrood dog-box being said, I'm assuming you live in urban suburbs. Renting a room in such areas can cover $1500~2500 every month depending on what state you live, so that will cut down your cost of ownership to maximim $2000 a month. That's pretty good deal with ur 5k monthly salary. Not a single, you've got a partner? Even better. More savings, more income!
@junheehan2448
@junheehan2448 12 күн бұрын
​@@Al-jv2pnEconomy's always on cycle. It is indeed a sad fact we are having less opportunities than what our parents had in the past, but if you compare space-wise, Australia is still a great place with full of opportunities.
@dingo-dile
@dingo-dile 8 күн бұрын
No kids, you should be fine. Easy life, much lower expenses / time for career
@vittorianesse
@vittorianesse 19 күн бұрын
Rather plough $1m into a business that creates jobs for young people for 30yrs, than a single pile of bricks for me to die in.
@PaddyAU
@PaddyAU 24 күн бұрын
Cash rate is not low. Debt trap has been laid for a decade- bank, gov and media hyping a debt bubble. Interest rates need to go higher. We are looking at a stagflationary environment.
@leonie563
@leonie563 24 күн бұрын
Wish we could see APRA Stress testing the banks etc in real time....the rocks they are turning over would be chilling. Liar loans and probably lots of them. Now they pay.
@KoDeMondo
@KoDeMondo 18 күн бұрын
Yep yep
@farnorth9075
@farnorth9075 16 күн бұрын
Totally agree. We have entered stagflation.
@mitchspackman6744
@mitchspackman6744 22 күн бұрын
The increase in gst is a great idea but when has the government ever reduced a tax after introducing it?
@jonwijaya8539
@jonwijaya8539 24 күн бұрын
The only direction interest rate is going, is UP.
@AussieZeKieL
@AussieZeKieL 24 күн бұрын
Maybe, but the economy isn’t doing very well either. Just because a housing shortage is causing house prices to go up, doesn’t mean interest rates will go up. There is more to the CPI than house prices.
@AussieZeKieL
@AussieZeKieL 24 күн бұрын
@@InfinityIsland2203 Housing is the highest weighted group in the CPI, accounting for around one quarter of the basket.
@eddie8pints804
@eddie8pints804 24 күн бұрын
@@AussieZeKieL The US will increase rates to sell bonds, RBA will follow US to avoid the Aud dropping and causing a foreign debt repayment problem.
@sirdekkar
@sirdekkar 23 күн бұрын
Politicians will do anything to protect their investment. They will give people cash, discount tax, stamp duty, buyer incentives, do anything to keep the property market hot and bring more buyers. They will never make a decision that will cause property prices to go down until the rest of the economy has crashed around them. Property will be the last thing standing.
@KoDeMondo
@KoDeMondo 18 күн бұрын
😂Maybe... I personally don't care
@user-bn4kw8dk3r
@user-bn4kw8dk3r 12 күн бұрын
A 50yr old fibro shack knock down property fetches 1.7 million. 20 years ago it fetched 70,000. Wow!
@sodot887
@sodot887 7 күн бұрын
That pretty much sums up the insanity
@tokenomics1233
@tokenomics1233 24 күн бұрын
This increase gst every time inflation comes up is actually more inflationary. They need property prices to come down, and this can only be done by increasing interest rates. They should enforce property owner by foreigners to be compulsory rented if they do not use the properties
@sparkie996
@sparkie996 24 күн бұрын
The Chinese property bubble shows what happens when real estate is used to store wealth and not used to actually house people.
@vincentc7920
@vincentc7920 24 күн бұрын
Increase interest rate further will be detrimental to the building industry. So less homes will be built , it will be even worse for the potential home owners
@tokenomics1233
@tokenomics1233 24 күн бұрын
@@vincentc7920 Its actually the building code and beauracatic red tape that was restrictive to supply and the inflation of building supplies. and the historicly low and prelonged levels of low intrest rates that has caused this. They should of allowed developers to build more when intrest rates were low and building supplies were cheap, but councils were very restrictive. also they said it themselves, as soon as the market realises interest rates are being cut the market goes stupid again and people over leverage. We cant undo the mistakes now, so we need to go through stagflation, like the 70's a peroid of higher levels of infaltion with stagnat wage growth. This usually takes a decade to pass and clear, maybe 8 years. the other option is cause a 50% property crash over a space of 1.5 years, flush out the unecessary debt and start a fresh. but my money is on stagflation
@tokenomics1233
@tokenomics1233 24 күн бұрын
@@sparkie996 What happened in china is actually so retarded its not funny. They were building ghost cities to purley drive the economy and create job, not just a store wealth, they actually did the exact opposite of australia which didnt allow developers to build. the sweet spot is actualy somwhere in the middle and were equally as fucked but just in a different way.
@scottprice1943
@scottprice1943 24 күн бұрын
Interest rates have absolutely nothing to do with property values. They can subdue activity or increase them but the underlying value is always replacement value. If your existing home is broken apart you look at land price and then cost to rebuild your house, then look at its condition and age. The simple fact is land and building is more expensive than its ever been. The collapse of the building industry and limited margins and land development clearly shows that land and housing prices do not have margins in them that can be reduced, hence existing house prices wont drop. Then you look at supply and demand and supply will never catch up to demand now. Only 35% of all houses have a mortgage. Interest rates will not impact prices long term
@rodmunch1012
@rodmunch1012 12 күн бұрын
Perhaps check out the connection between Jim Chalmers and The World Economic Forum. It provides greater clarity as to where his priorities quite possibly are focused.
@stevedrane9301
@stevedrane9301 22 күн бұрын
You really should point out that this is a Sydney based view.It certainly isn't representing Australia as a whole.
@thepotager9816
@thepotager9816 24 күн бұрын
I have stopped spending on unnecessary things, I don’t eat out or go on holidays or buy fashion, and put extra payments on my mortgage to pay it down quicker.
@ronaldov09
@ronaldov09 23 күн бұрын
I've been doing that since day 1 (10 years ago) and have basically paid off my mortgage in 8 years instead of 30, while others I know spent up big and are now under servere mortgage stress...silly silly.
@user-ye3fk9me1i
@user-ye3fk9me1i 23 күн бұрын
Good idea yes but at the same Time you don’t live forever you wanna have a boring life just to pay for your home your gonna die in common wake Australians at brain washed to much by the system working life worried about paying a house off go enjoy your life it’s only once 🤦‍♂️
@ronaldov09
@ronaldov09 22 күн бұрын
@@user-ye3fk9me1i I enjoy life while paying double my mortgage repayments. Bali with the family last year, Perth and QLD holiday this year...just dont buy expensive cars, caravans, boats, bikes, dining out and takeaway coffee every day...if I didnt have kids I would probably would spend more on crap, but I want them to have a decent life so I also go without in xome areas of life...its called sacrifice.
@thepotager9816
@thepotager9816 22 күн бұрын
@@user-ye3fk9me1i what makes you think I’m not enjoying my life? Eating out and buying clothes and travelling are not enjoyable activities for me.
@michaelschnepel5000
@michaelschnepel5000 22 күн бұрын
It blows my mind how much money gets allocated to bricks and mortar ,in my own experience the increase in house price is mostly land value
@Steve-kk8yb
@Steve-kk8yb 24 күн бұрын
Anyone calling for rate cuts this year is quite delusional.
@suad01
@suad01 23 күн бұрын
Two year federal funds rate usually leads fmoc rate cuts
@JJ-mc8lu
@JJ-mc8lu 24 күн бұрын
Unfortunately greed which motivated people in the good times has now come back to haunt them. People should take responsibility for their own actions!
@geoffvalero3516
@geoffvalero3516 24 күн бұрын
what choice do most have? its the system and politicians and (their lobbyists) who have rigged the game.
@HSMET2023
@HSMET2023 19 күн бұрын
Govt must do something to stop this artificial prices of houses.
@vickiwithers8563
@vickiwithers8563 24 күн бұрын
Great show. Thank you
@phoneticau
@phoneticau 22 күн бұрын
RBA too spooked to lower rates Inflation is too strong
@jarrodmartins8663
@jarrodmartins8663 24 күн бұрын
Interesting commentary. I think the biggest thing around interest rate commentary is even if they go down it’s not going to be by much as these interest rates are more normal (what we had the last 10yrs is not normal). And until gov fixes supply nothing is going to change and generally property will continue to go up and the imbalance of rich and poor will increase. Unless there is a major event like 7/8% unemployment, war etc. but then we have bigger problems.
@michaelsciacovelli4725
@michaelsciacovelli4725 24 күн бұрын
Love listening to your podcast. I always learn something
@yellowbrickroadtv
@yellowbrickroadtv 24 күн бұрын
Awesome! Thank you!
@Susan-yd1nm
@Susan-yd1nm 23 күн бұрын
Just a comment about sharing the omelette, for my husband and I, we’ve started sharing our cafe/pub foods because we simply don’t eat as much now and we’re making better food choices/portion sizes. We found we were wasting money buying two meals because we simply couldn’t eat it, not because we couldn’t afford it. I’d like to think we’re not wasteful either, so I guess responsibility for spending our hard earned money, hinges on the success of the everyday choices we make.
@kristene2372
@kristene2372 20 күн бұрын
My wife and I have been doing the same thing for 6 years for the same reason
@amyhudson1016
@amyhudson1016 18 күн бұрын
Agree. Meals are way too big at a lot of cafes and restaurants.
@dr.vaheed6558
@dr.vaheed6558 24 күн бұрын
Well done mates - thanks a lot
@lllchironexlll
@lllchironexlll 23 күн бұрын
Really enjoyed this commentary.
@spunout5184
@spunout5184 24 күн бұрын
Inflation is also affected by the amount money printed that adds to the M2 Money supply . Starting in Jan 2020 it jumps .
@VoteLaborOut
@VoteLaborOut 8 күн бұрын
Love these podcasts thanks for the insight the recordings are very easy to listen to
@user-bv7lt5ri8t
@user-bv7lt5ri8t 24 күн бұрын
Great conversation
@sunrisesunset8843
@sunrisesunset8843 6 күн бұрын
Great chat gents, thanking you. I love the increase/decrease of the GST idea from Mark. 100% behind that. Also, interesting to hear Mark say that people over 50 who have property low or no mortgages are the only ones spending/travelling. If spending is the issue with the RBA, that's the people the pollies need to target then. i.e. the super industry. It must be worth about $3.5 trillion now. Take just 1% of funds and you have fund of $35 billion. loan that to local councils to develop land estates and develop in small stages, say 50 to 100 lots at a time. Sell for cost + a small profit say $25k. reinvest all money back into the next stage of 50 to 100 lots. When the estate is sold out, the money is paid back to the super industry. That's the best way for older Australians to help younger Australians. Older Australians have more tied up in super. Forget the bank of mum and dad. It should be outlawed. Also, I think we need to open up more competition in this country for construction materials companies. Its the only way to reduce prices to build a home. If lending conditions were really tightened up for people who already own property or are using their mum and dad to help them purchase, than overall demand will drop off and cause a slow down in the market. Under no circumstances should they tighten lending conditions for people trying to get into the market.
@scottcox8559
@scottcox8559 24 күн бұрын
Houses are so far beyond fair value now it's not funny. Anyone who buys in now is buying into one of the largest property bubbles in history.
@juantokyo_
@juantokyo_ 23 күн бұрын
This has the line for so long yet the property market keeps moving up...
@redgatecrt
@redgatecrt 23 күн бұрын
It’s not about to burst anytime soon, believe me 👍🏽
@scottcox8559
@scottcox8559 23 күн бұрын
@juantokyo_ There's no such thing as infinite growth. Every market has a crash.
@juantokyo_
@juantokyo_ 23 күн бұрын
@@scottcox8559 crash and then more growth. Look at market history and the market always recovers to newer highs. If a crash comes the government will intervene and on we go.
@scottcox8559
@scottcox8559 23 күн бұрын
@redgatecrt if supply and demand were the only thing at play, I would agree with you. But there are so many other factors inflating all assets. it's not going to take much to pop the asset bubble.
@williamcrossan9333
@williamcrossan9333 24 күн бұрын
42:30: "Ok, so you've got people on 150 grand who have finished uni..." OK, yeah... This is the problem with Tom. He's too freaking rich to know what the average QLD'er is on!
@MattHerbAu
@MattHerbAu 23 күн бұрын
Wow awesome podcast thanks Mark and Tom you guys are legends very informative
@anitacohen8753
@anitacohen8753 22 күн бұрын
Australia.........too huge an administrative class. The rest have bugger all! When this changes, so will the price of housing. We are yet to discern that there are two groups in Australia. One with money, the other with nothing!
@dustingoldsworthy7303
@dustingoldsworthy7303 23 күн бұрын
interest rates come down, house prices go up and we are back to food sharing and mortgage stress, and high rents...
@jameswillis8969
@jameswillis8969 24 күн бұрын
The RBA doesn’t lend money, they exchange securities Banknotes are RBA debt
@nicolle_2944
@nicolle_2944 23 күн бұрын
And government borrowing and spending is what causes inflation, not consumers
@KoDeMondo
@KoDeMondo 18 күн бұрын
Let me see... - Create money from thin air - Lend it out and earn interest off it - Filter it through fractional banking, extracting all the value off the top, give us the scraps. - Have everyone trade their limited time for it. On top of that... - The company where you work is taxed through corporate tax. - You're taxed through income tax. - Your invested savings are taxed through capital gains tax. - Your spent money is taxed through sales tax. - You're then taxed again through inflation 'The invisible tax '. An endless cycle of theft!
@c.s2001
@c.s2001 24 күн бұрын
Enjoyed the discussion thanks. Listening at 2335 hours.
@CR-pr4sd
@CR-pr4sd 23 күн бұрын
Lol my wife grew up in as house in Kingsley St, Byron. Parents sold in 90s for 300k odd, last sold for 3m. Stupid prices for Airbnb street.
@katherine4365
@katherine4365 23 күн бұрын
Excellent!
@sbk2262
@sbk2262 24 күн бұрын
Reject the basic assumptions of civilization-especially the importance of material possessions.
@user-di7ww6pm3c
@user-di7ww6pm3c 20 күн бұрын
💪
@redgatecrt
@redgatecrt 23 күн бұрын
I don’t think people understand that even higher inflation and higher interest rates will be back within 12 months. As a result, financial repression will be introduced and those in debt for non income producing assets will be left holding the bag.
@crazyham
@crazyham 23 күн бұрын
Council to State Governments are down to State policy and not Federal Policy. Loving the Chat Guys. Thnx for the Great Video.🙏
@vincentc7920
@vincentc7920 24 күн бұрын
Agree with the guest , rate will stay the same. If rate goes down , i will chuck more into the mortgage to reduce debt 😕
@benhamilton574
@benhamilton574 24 күн бұрын
Government needs to connect the satellite cities like Newcastle, Bathurst Orange and Woollongong to Sydney via high speed rail. This will give more of a chance to young people to buy a house outside of Sydney but still be connected to the city whether this is work or play. Sydney is now a global city like New York, London or Paris (for example) where affordability is extremely low and only the wealthy can afford.
@nicolle_2944
@nicolle_2944 23 күн бұрын
All the wealthy immigrants can afford it, just not locals. Stop the foreign demand, stop the problem.
@sodot887
@sodot887 7 күн бұрын
No that's too smart an idea for our politicians, no no, keep that quiet to yourself mate it's too benficial
@tweesgniw4603
@tweesgniw4603 9 күн бұрын
great conversation
@shazmac8555
@shazmac8555 24 күн бұрын
Who would buy a unit for $7M? How about buy land & become self sufficient, they are going to need it.
@user-di7ww6pm3c
@user-di7ww6pm3c 20 күн бұрын
💪
@OzzyBoz
@OzzyBoz 24 күн бұрын
Hi Mark, what do you think of have the 1031 exchange policy from the USA introduced here? It will trigger a lot more sales, more stamp duty.
@user-pu6jv7wi5x
@user-pu6jv7wi5x 24 күн бұрын
Mark will gain every time the Gov puts up rates ,he dosent need another $1
@user-pu6jv7wi5x
@user-pu6jv7wi5x 24 күн бұрын
@harperproperties1306
@harperproperties1306 24 күн бұрын
Yeah these guys are out of touch with reality...money is no concern to them. Real estate agents just get up my nose because I know the ridiculous commissions they receive for not doing much at all. Real estate sells itself now.
@williamcrossan9333
@williamcrossan9333 24 күн бұрын
@@harperproperties1306 Yeah, I cant believe that sector is still going the way it is. I would have thought something would replace this madness by now.
@robm1415
@robm1415 6 күн бұрын
Exactly. There is too much "commentary" around rate movement expectations. There are a lot of people hanging on waiting for interest rates to come down ("as promised") but property prices are going up, people are spending, new car regos are at record levels, interest rates are relatively higher if you look at the last 5 years, but if you look at 20 years they are not high at all. Where is the case to reduce rates in that context???
@tarkangulenc
@tarkangulenc 24 күн бұрын
This was your best video, Mark. Please get a Melbournian equivalent of Tom on the show sometime soon. We've got plenty of Greek real estate agents down here. Surely you know some of them.
@gav240z
@gav240z 18 күн бұрын
38 mins rich people spending more shouldn't cause inflation. CPI is a measured based on a basket of goods. It's the price of those items in the basket increasing ahead of wage inflation that's the issue.
@rodmunch1012
@rodmunch1012 12 күн бұрын
Not sure about Australia. But in Canada it is known as the C P Lie. Because the list of goods year in year out is not immutable.
@DIEGOARTESAO
@DIEGOARTESAO 18 күн бұрын
Great content and expressed kind of realistic sense of what’s going on not what media says despite people got freaked following media’s predictions regard the interest and so on.
@jammashjam
@jammashjam 23 күн бұрын
I just realised I bumped into Tom Panos at a 2BR Burwood auction and he said the same thing lol units are a good property to buy. How important is pre-approval if your income hasn't changed?
@stuart249
@stuart249 23 күн бұрын
The stats about it taking 20 years to save for unit are based on single people income, with a 20% deposit. If you are a couple and can get a 5% deposit you can do it a few years. But if you’re single, it’s extremely hard!
@tonechowdhury3739
@tonechowdhury3739 19 күн бұрын
Maybe they should stop migration in John Howard's era migration was minimal
@ja88ott
@ja88ott 9 күн бұрын
@yellowbrickroadtv hi, what is your opinion on fixing the Negative Gearing and Capital Gains taxation?
@james3744
@james3744 23 күн бұрын
Bank portfolio analytics should always be treated carefully. You will find that many times the underlying data is mis-specified or downright wrong. Also, be very wary of paying down your mortgage too quickly, because if the market ever gets truly rattled and house prices start falling rapidly, the banks will reduce that available limit (the amount you could theoretically redraw because you are ahead) and tell you after its done it. If you are near your limit, then its a lot more work. Keep your payments up to date, but keep the extra cash in a 100% offset account. The added bonus, is that if you buy another property, and want to keep the current one as a rental, you have not boned yourself in terms of tax and interest deductability.
@IsaacLHarrison
@IsaacLHarrison 11 күн бұрын
Love good aussie content. Ta lads!
@cryptodojoau5425
@cryptodojoau5425 13 күн бұрын
While currencies printing is tolerated and promoted by coercion and manipulation?... Stores of value, gold, real estate, Bitcoin, rare art, collectable wine, low stock to flow ratio commodities will seem to be increasing in price!! It's not the values rising! It's the currency devaluing! Nearly, nearly!, all analysis is an illusion beyond that.
@weekends4xploring325
@weekends4xploring325 24 күн бұрын
There needs to be better rules around investing into residential property. The issue isn’t the interest rates, the rates are only a current issue because of a bigger issue which is residential property has become such a huge investment platform that it has become out of hand. I’m a property investor myself (small time). It’s the big time investors those who have made epic money from residential property in the buy and hold(rent). Investing in residential property needs to be capped and only personal purchases not companies or businesses.
@cryptocounselor9415
@cryptocounselor9415 19 күн бұрын
Great engagement and thats good Tom has proper experience in the rich and poor side of different spectrums of people ie understanding of the real estate market. Im writing a book when my health (i hope) gets better about sharing with housemates and the shit rental market. Been stuck in rental b.s. in Melbourne 12yrs, now when the house is literally falling apart my agent is being a dismissive prick of a bully. Have severe health issues, no proper family to help with love,and now i need to get out of the house due to mould/sewage issues😢 Sad thing...i kept the house going keeping my mouth shut.
@TheFfabinhoo
@TheFfabinhoo 22 күн бұрын
Australia cannot bear 30 million people.
@DBolt-xb7sg
@DBolt-xb7sg 18 күн бұрын
It definitely can with proper management
@nicholasgad2781
@nicholasgad2781 24 күн бұрын
The GST example is never going to happen. If GST is increased, it will never go down.
@amyhudson1016
@amyhudson1016 18 күн бұрын
Who said inflation needs to be between 2-3% When determining inflation are wages considered in the final number?
@amyfyffe8158
@amyfyffe8158 24 күн бұрын
the pure bred expensive prestige dog markets completely gones no1 is buying dogs or has the money to buy 4000/5000$ dogs. most breeders have stopped doing litters or breeding
@mangoman9290
@mangoman9290 24 күн бұрын
As much as GST changes would be a good idea does anyone truly think a government will ever reduce the rate once it has been lifted? They would be drunk on the extra tax and come out with every reason under the sun to not reduce it.
@andrewkerr5296
@andrewkerr5296 24 күн бұрын
Of course, there is nothing more permanent than a temporary government program
@M.-.D
@M.-.D 24 күн бұрын
How about we stop taxing income/spending at the individual level and focus on leverage the massive resources industry we see little from.
@mangoman9290
@mangoman9290 24 күн бұрын
@@M.-.D We should tax spending more, you buy more so pay more tax, this would also have the effect of reducing personal consumption. This should be balanced by reducing income tax, mostly by lifting the no tax threshold.
@M.-.D
@M.-.D 24 күн бұрын
@@mangoman9290 tax on spending rapidly accelerates wealth differences as essential spending is fixed costs while discretionary is the cream on top. If we focus on consumption tax my household can cut back to the same basics as an average income earner’s household and save $100-150k a year, and the capital gains can be rolled into further investments as income tax is being spared for a spending tax…. Income through labour should be the lowest of taxes. Use of land should be taxed - penalising land banking and excessive land holdings that are held through generational luck or rezoning.
@mangoman9290
@mangoman9290 24 күн бұрын
@@M.-.D You and I arnt normal, we can live frugally and bank the extra coin but average Jill and Joe will still spend spend spend. If a Kmart pair of jeans is $30 instead of $20 they will buy it, if a 60" tv is $2000 instead of $1000 they will still buy it. Most essential spending is exempt from GST so if someone like us want to FIRE or just get ahead in life then we could take advantage of higher GST and lower Income tax, but most wouldnt. If they had the saving mindset then they would have banked a huge amount in the last decade whilst interest rates were sub 5%. But no, they get used to the extra money in their pockets, get used to the spending and when rates come back to the long term average they cry poor. Tax the consumers and reward the frugal.
@arthurjones6364
@arthurjones6364 13 күн бұрын
A Chinese resident, not a citizen of Australia has recently purchased 165 units. How the f..k is this allowed?
@tristan4491
@tristan4491 24 күн бұрын
Inflation is a monetary phenomenon, not a spending phenomenon
@annefraser2915
@annefraser2915 8 күн бұрын
For housing we need to allow tiny homes, they are a great interim measure to get people off the streets. We need to invest and support prefab housing factory made and assembled on site in a day. There are some excellent solutions out there. However councils are very contrived around their permits. I am talking about solutions for rural areas. Granny flats in the cities need to be allowed for renters not just your elderly relative. Even if councils were flexible for a period of 10 years while the government is doing their traditional builds promised. Property in Australia is our gold. There is nothing like it to make money with. Young people can buy property out side of where they live that are positively geared or they can do the old lets buy with a group of mates with our names on the title and live in it and pay it down. Yes there are some excellent buys in other countries where it is so much more affordable. Just remember there is a deal out there for you the right size.
@standcontractdelta8120
@standcontractdelta8120 8 күн бұрын
I was looking for a house, the prices are just ridiculous though. I can afford one, but it feels wrong to me to support the rip off prices. I just lost enthusiasm after seeing countless 2 bedroom cheaply-constructed tiny townhouses for 700k in really uninspiring areas.
@Rojosi
@Rojosi 23 күн бұрын
Underrated spend area is medical, private everything outside of any gov subsidies especially dental!
@dsinghr
@dsinghr 22 күн бұрын
Blue chip suburbs like Glen Waverley and Mount Waverley in Melbourne south east have seen price rise in last three months. A townhouse with 300 sqm in decent condition now goes for 1.45 mils while just early next year, many of these sold around 1.35 mils. And the ones which are well built and less than 10 years old, they are going crazy between 1.5 to 1.65. That’s the house price !!
@user-di7ww6pm3c
@user-di7ww6pm3c 20 күн бұрын
I wonder why🤷‍♂️😒
@daryldeuter683
@daryldeuter683 24 күн бұрын
Great podcast, GST rise makes so much sense...problem is untrustworthy politicians won't reduce it when they say they will
@nicolle_2944
@nicolle_2944 23 күн бұрын
GST increases hurt the poorest people the most. It would only ever go up, as the biggest lie about inflation is that it is caused by money printing and government spending, not consumer spending. It's a double hit as the expansion of money also reduces the value of the existing currency.
@robertr1421
@robertr1421 22 күн бұрын
Just remember, only 2 weeks to flatten the curve
@johnny-yi2oi
@johnny-yi2oi 24 күн бұрын
I think what surprised me the most was that Tom Panos didn't start yelling his argument at you Mark.
@geoffvalero3516
@geoffvalero3516 24 күн бұрын
but the basic premise of his arguement is increasing values is the norm and the solution..his argument is actually the problem..ever increasing house prices is a bad thing!!
@anthonypai6127
@anthonypai6127 24 күн бұрын
Great interview. Thank you Mark.
@dustingoldsworthy7303
@dustingoldsworthy7303 23 күн бұрын
Overpriced housing in crippling this country for the sake of benefiting those who own more than one property... oh and those in the real-estate transaction businesses. The next generation wont be able to buy.. millions of Australians! and AI impacts of incomes.. well who knows, the rules of the game are changing and also the game.
@nicolle_2944
@nicolle_2944 23 күн бұрын
Who is buying up all the homes?? Recent immigrants and foreign buyers.
@gav240z
@gav240z 18 күн бұрын
29 mins, only fans to buy a house? God.. I managed it, I invested in stock market for 10 years and bought a house with a substantial deposit, 4 years ago. I'm now in a position where my house is almost paid off ($30k to go). If I saved using bank deposits I would have never been able to do it. You must invest in a share market index fund.
@amyhudson1016
@amyhudson1016 17 күн бұрын
💯
@striderGMT
@striderGMT 12 күн бұрын
Thanks for your video Mark. The irony is nobody wants the new units anymore after dodgy builders and developers self certifying and building trash like at mascot and Olympic park. We need more red tape to ensure the quality of buildings. There's a glut of new units available nobody wants to buy but rents are sky rocketing on them more than it would cost to have a mortgage. There's a stigma now on new units thanks to Mascot and Opal towers. And only the old brick 6-12 unit buildings are selling. It sucks for those that bought new units 7-10 years ago before the debacle of structural defects coz they have hardly had any capital growth no equity to buy and upgrade after 10 years of ownership. Albanese and Labor have only made it worse too. Australia is such a lazy inefficient country compared to Japan.
@LibertyDownUnder
@LibertyDownUnder 17 күн бұрын
I think people are paying off MORE as it is no longer easier to keep cash elsewhere. People who had equity loans and for example bought shares - now have a big incentive to sell the shares and put the money back in an offset account. Makes perfect sense.
@stevesimeonidis5488
@stevesimeonidis5488 10 күн бұрын
Can you say ‘every dollar extra they pay towards their Loan can give them a 6.5% return’?
@nathanspinks6676
@nathanspinks6676 8 күн бұрын
Can this be made into a podcast? i don’t have time to watch youtube
@scottpetherick7650
@scottpetherick7650 24 күн бұрын
First time I’ve heard Tom. Excellent chat.
@k.b4273
@k.b4273 21 күн бұрын
Most home loan repayments on a home was less than what renters were paying.
@terryp6396
@terryp6396 22 күн бұрын
dont forget the small real estate agencies, farmers and property investors prior to 2010 that subdivided or bought like crazy, sold a small portion and held the rest. Despite them holding interest only debt they saw stupid amounts of equity and rental income generation particularly in smaller cities that can now perpetually buy.
@jjk087
@jjk087 24 күн бұрын
This is the guy Edwin hates 😆 I wonder how much property he owns that he's propping up with sentiment
@LibertyDownUnder
@LibertyDownUnder 17 күн бұрын
All these references to 'million' dollar houses used to be reserved for exclusive mansions. Now it's for just about anyone in Sydney / Melbourne. Whether prices go through the roof or collapse - this will end very badly for millions of people. Very sad. Also very avoidable if average citizens educated themselves more on these issues.
@Svinky-mate
@Svinky-mate 24 күн бұрын
Time to bring in Pauline
@sydney8382
@sydney8382 24 күн бұрын
Hanson? 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
@harisdiz.5817
@harisdiz.5817 24 күн бұрын
And you believe she'll fix the corrupt system? Bless you...
@Turd_farmer
@Turd_farmer 23 күн бұрын
​@harisdiz.5817 Funnily enough she is probably our best chance at swinging the current Liberal voters away from the 2 corrupt major parties. She's batshit crazy, but the Labor or Liberal voting shit has to stop.
@voodoodoctor1435
@voodoodoctor1435 23 күн бұрын
@@harisdiz.5817 so keep voting for the UNI-PARTY?
@crazyham
@crazyham 23 күн бұрын
One Nation are the most genuine & for the people party we have in my opinion. 🙏 We need more One Nation power to keep the Ba**ards Accountable (Honest would be an impossibility 😂)
@DanTuber
@DanTuber 19 күн бұрын
No one knows which way rates are going. it's all a guessing game. But i'd agree with tom's guess, if anything we might get a raise but it all depends what happens overseas.
@evanovski
@evanovski 24 күн бұрын
Judo economist is talking his book with those rate increase predictions. They are largely term deposit funded so needs fixed lending to address his interest rate risk. Shape of yield curve will cost to hedge with swaps, so makes sense to try address it organically
@alex98b627
@alex98b627 23 күн бұрын
There is only way to slow down house prices - balance the supply and demand. How to do that is where the complexity lies. Many options for this, and some of them will not be supportive of first home buyers in the short term. And because most of the solutions are unfair to certain demographics - that’s why the politicians don’t implement them. For example, ‘back in the day’ home buyers needed a huge deposit whereas now buyers only need 5% plus stamp duty. There was a period during the early 2000s (when prices when gangbusters) that buyers could borrow 105% home loans. Regulating a min 20% deposit and banning LMI would significantly reduce demand and therefore reduce prices, but would be wildly unpopular. On the Supply side, we desperately need more more medium density housing in existing neighbourhoods. But NIMBYs fight against this, so that most new housing is skyscrapers or on the outskirts. This is not sustainable but legislating medium density housing in the middle ring suburbs would be wildly unpopular. It’s ironic that the NIMBYs who fight medium density also love London, Paris, Barcelona and Copenhagen which are perfect examples of how 3-5 storey medium density housing creates great outcomes.
@petergrady8848
@petergrady8848 15 күн бұрын
that's the times not everyone is super rich like these guys easy answer cook at home so much cheaper and easier
@georgepoulos5316
@georgepoulos5316 24 күн бұрын
‘Feels like the road to heaven, but looks like the road to hell’ George Micheal - Freedom…
@AlexKelly1
@AlexKelly1 24 күн бұрын
As long as it's not a Yellow Brick Road 🤔
@Xelrator
@Xelrator 19 күн бұрын
I would like Tom Panos to tell us if he has witnessed property prices ever crashing in his decades long career and some stories, I’m sure he has. Everyone seems to think property is bulletproof in Australia.
@chrishunt4128
@chrishunt4128 24 күн бұрын
Treasury are going to the airports... the small airports for private jets. You can extrapolate this to all areas of life. Those elected to govern us do not live like us.
@philmelb1022
@philmelb1022 23 күн бұрын
1 on 1 economics wages go up prices go up business cost go up materials go up services go up gurss what fellers interest rates go up.
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