The 10 Biggest Fantasy Football Regression Candidates

[@jakcough]

To anyone watching these in the dog days of summer, you are a true psychopath, welcome.

[@TheClassicalKids]

Sweating bullets in my un-air conditioned bedroom 😂 feel like I’d be better off researching the stock market with the amount of time I put into this stuff 😅

[@Manchupacabra]

More like dawg days.

[@MegaJusWright]

Mike Evan’s just gets lucky every year and Godwin just seems to get unlucky more than not. Not that he hasn’t had a good year before but he’s definitely disappointed many people many times.

[@IEdjumacate]

Evan’s gets lucky every year, huh? Is that why he’s had over a decade straight of 1k+ receiving yards with a ton of middling QBs & a couple years of Brady? Lol

[@mdel310]

I also share the sentiment on Sutton. I don’t care about TD regression the guy is a stud.

[@TheClassicalKids]

Those highlights were phenomenal, made me realize how much I’ve been sleeping on him. Those were some highly contested catches, hopefully Bo will make it a bit easier next year.. probly shouldn’t get my hopes up 😅

[@Joel_Aleman]

Sutton is a solid WR. stud implies he's top 20 which he isn't. He has trouble separating but is an excellent 50/50 ball catcher. There will be a TD regression for sure.

[@benbranham5641]

I love the editors' comments, the Overruled in response to AJ Brown is better than Ja'marr Chase had me laughing out loud

[@BlakeJL07]

C'mon mann lol

[@illphil82yo]

I’m not doing another draft until underdog adds SOUND. Too many missed picks, too many thrown away drafts.

[@Thought_Criminal_13]

The Queue is your friend.

[@dlansman]

He really said Courtland Sutton? 😭 What year is it? That dude has had multiple chances.

[@IEdjumacate]

On some pretty terrible offenses. Really betting on the fact that Bo Nix & Sean Payton can turn it around. If you like Bo Nix you’re drafting Sutton.

[@MegaJusWright]

Don’t draft the #2 receiver on a mediocre offensive.

[@CryptoGrady]

🔥🔥🔥

[@TheHoneyBadgerDUDE]

JK Dobbins gotta be #1 unlucky.

[@itzskyfallgaming7543]

Haven’t watched yet but I’m assuming my entire fantasy team from last season is gonna be on here 😂

[@JoshandHayden]

😂🤣

[@HisEarffness]

Hugs bro. Hugs.

[@CALIFORNIAsGAMER]

All of our teams 🤣🤣🤣 Adam's chubb, kupp , Amari Cooper Christian kirk,

[@HerbertTheII.]

My take on the Aaron Jones and Green Bay situation: they didn't want him because he refused to take a pay cut the third season in a row, not because of his effectiveness

[@mylesmckee6236]

I like that Josh Jacobs comparison to bears David Montgomery

[@smittysomething3520]

I wanna buy in on Achane so bad but the Vegas betting lines on him are 725 rushing yards and 7 TDs. Amazing player but Mostert has the same betting lines 70 picks later in the draft.

[@julienforletta7896]

I don’t even love him and that seems crazy low to me . But Vegas is smart . I think with his size they’re banking on him missing time. That’s not the end of the world tho bc it’s not like your roster spot will be empty if he does

[@KingKaiserman]

Mostert having the same betting lines is very interesting thanks for sharing

[@smittysomething3520]

@@KingKaiserman Yeah it really surprised me. Maybe Vegas is accounting for both guys having red flags with Achane’s size and Mostert’s age.

[@specstar8724]

I thought I was going to be on this list. But it's all NFL players

[@MVPTC]

Achane is so explosive and fun to watch!!!

[@TheClassicalKids]

@Hayden have you ever done any research on # of expected starts according to position and round drafted? Ex.: QBs drafted in round 5 should make your starting lineup 12/17 weeks, while round 10 QBs should get you 8 starts and round 15 QBs are good for 4 lineup starting weeks. On the other hand, round 5 RBs should get you 10 starts, round 10 RB good for 5 starts, and round 15 RBs should make your starting lineup 2 weeks. (All these numbers are made up, just trying to illustrate what I mean by expected starts according to position and round drafted. Also just talking about bestball format, to be clear.) I guess what I’m trying to get at is finding a benchmark for how good a team needs to be in order to make the playoffs and advance through each subsequent round. Additionally, identifying how the value of different positions fluctuates by round would be really useful in pinpointing the most efficient value pockets on the draft board, and strategizing when to target each position.

[@rayparks6008]

I had Sutton 2 yrs ago. Few games I watched, Wilson missed him sooo many times! Once across the middle of the end zone. Lost me the week.Wilson leaves a bad taste in my mouth.

[@Joel_Aleman]

If I asked you to write with your off hand you probably won't do a great job. Sean Payton was trying to turn Russ into a dink and dunk specialist. That's not his game. Strong run play up the middle and long passes outside that's his game.

[@timr1235]

My concern with the "catchability" stat re: A J Brown is that a receiver's ability to adjust to the ball while it is airborne greatly affects the very subjective term "catchable" ... Devonata Smith won the Heisman Trophy as a WR bcuz his abilities as a receiver are generational... not so with A J

[@jacobsauvage7805]

Don’t understand how the qb situation is worse! He had nick Mullens throwing him the ball!

[@disbandedbrotherhood]

.

[@brianmurison7361]

Is there are way to play Best Ball if you live in Scotland?

[@rollingman17]

I love aaron jones specially without TJ Hockenson at the beginning of the season

[@tomedelkowski6567]

crazy video, but very usefull, thanks boys for the work

[@TheClassicalKids]

Are there any reliable sources who project defensive rankings? I want to experiment with drafting to optimize ideal matchups, but I’m not sure how to evaluate the different defenses.. just looking for info on 1st-32nd vs QB, RB, WR and TE. I know PFF is generally pretty good, curious to get some opposing/more robust viewpoints as well. Would love to hear some takes about defense and scheduling in these discussions- anybody else?

[@kona7043]

Big issue is defense can drastically change year to year due to how good/bad the offense is, the defensive coordinator, defensive player shuffling, how they fit together or with new players etc.. It's difficult to tell sometimes who's actually going to have a good or terrible defense.

[@TheClassicalKids]

@@kona7043 yeah I feel that. That’s why I was hoping to find some discussions from people who understand football far better than I do 😅 offensive changes obviously take the majority of focus for fantasy purposes, so I don’t feel super up to date on all the roster changes defensively, let alone who the best/worst coordinators are. That said, even if the middle ~20 teams are too close to call, there should be enough info to make fairly reliable predictions on the more extreme ends. Just identifying 75% of the top 6 & bottom 6 could yield significant insights for BB. Honestly surprised it’s not an element of the game that’s discussed more often, outside of targeting week 17 matchups.

[@tiltnmafks]

muh ajones stand last year 😭

[@Phobia92898]

First

[@Doctorboster]

I think you guys are dead wrong on aaron Jones, JJ Mccarthy is a handoff merchant. Sam Darnold is gonna throw 8 million checkdown passes to aaron jones. Stats don't look good for the vikings usage rate of RBs because they had injury prone mattison, cam akers, and ty chandler as their RBs. Regardless of what KOC wants to do, he's limited by the vice that is the Vikings QB room. Aaron Jones revenge season, signed with arch rival for only 1m more than what the packers asked him to cut his salary to.

[@dogsbreakfast4952]

He will be great for the 5 games he plays

[@ALIAS18425]

Good luck 🙏🏼

[@KFBALL247]

He will be great when he actually plays. One of the best, most explosive running backs in the league. And running behind a pretty decent O line. But the dude is never healthy. It’s a 50/50 or worse he will be healthy and playing during the best ball playoffs, maybe even worse than 50/50. He’s definitely going to be playing with a chip on his shoulder, but don’t have much faith he makes it through the season. And I don’t foresee him getting a million checkdowns like you are saying. Ty Chandler will get a lot of run too. They won’t give Jones more than 13-14 Carries per game.

[@MichaelHawkins-yd6ge]

Ty chandler is better player at this point in careers

[@Rubio_Eric]

Big Aa Jones fan too

[@minecraftman1981]

JOSH KELLEY is very unlucky

[@jakcough]

Thats a funny way to spell bad at football 😂

[@TheClassicalKids]

Josh Kelley single handedly lost me my season. Never again.

[@rickwelch8464]

Whatever argument you want to try to make that says AJ Brown is better than Chase is a flawed argument. :)

[@GuavaBiscottii]

Agreed but from a fantasy perspective Chase is a tier 1 WR and Brown could be in that tier this season. So it’s not that far off

[@KoryGuidry1]

Prove it

[@TheReportOnFantasy]

Back on the Sutton train after pushing him in Round 3 just two years ago?! You guys should be held accountable for terrible takes and be fired for losing people millions.