The AMOC Might Be WAY More Unstable Than We Thought...Here's Why

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PBS Terra

PBS Terra

Күн бұрын

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@ScienceTalkwithJimMassa
@ScienceTalkwithJimMassa 3 күн бұрын
I'm an oceanographer. My research was done in the arctic ocean studying sea ice and heat budgets. The concern about AMOC slowing is what it means for the southern ocean. The conveyor belt (as it is colloquially known as) is more than a heat distribution mechanism for the planet. It also distributes nutrients. As AMOC sinks, the North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) forms. This flows southward and eventually starts to upwell in a region called the Antarctic divergence. This upwelling brings in nutrients that in essence fuels the southern ocean's food web. This is why it is so productive and you have all the krill, baleen whales, orcas, etc, etc. A slowdown in AMOC will result in a slowdown of nutrients upwelling adversely impacting this ecosystem. HOWEVER, recent research have revealed what the potential mechanisms for a complete collapse of AMOC would look like. It is not just the melting of Greenland's ice. This melting does indeed slow down deep water formation. But to completely stop deep water formation, a sudden large volume injection of freshwater needs to happen and happen quickly. Melting of Greenland's ice does not achieve this. As the ice melts, there is mixing, the fresh water gets entrained, but regional currents move this water westward (causing sea level rise along the eastern seaboard of North America). What these new researches found was when a huge amount of ICE breaks off from Greenland, then carried south by currents where they then melt at once, it is this shock to the system that can stop deep water formation. As Greenland's ice melts, the likelihood of huge chunks of ice breaking off continues to decrease. Therefore, this mechanism is unlikely to occur. To determine and measure this mechanism, the researchers used isotopes of Thorium to make these assessments. A second mechanism is a sudden flush of freshwater into the North Atlantic. About 13k years ago, there was a lake in North America called Lake Agassiz. It formed due to the ice sheets melting back. Then around 12k years ago or so, there was a sudden influx of this freshwater into the North Atlantic and it is thought to have contributed to the Younger Dryas era where ocean circulation was disrupted and planet wide temperatures cooled considerably. (This is the 12k years ago period referenced in this video). There is a possibility for a similar situation happening today. In the arctic ocean, there is the Beaufort Gyre. It is an anticyclonic (clockwise) gyre which means there is a concentration of water in the middle (with subsequent downwelling). Due to increased riverine inputs, increased precipitation, loss of sea ice, there is a buildup of freshwater in this gyre. A new oscillatory system, the Arctic Dipole (of which I was a part of in discovering and describing this system) controls whether or not sea ice continues to flow within the arctic ocean or is pushed out through the Fram strait. Right now, this freshwater buildup is contained. If conditions change and become just right, this freshwater in the arctic ocean can be rapidly introduced into the North Atlantic. This would be the necessary shock to stop deep water formation. This is what people need to be keeping close tabs on. I do have my own channel here where I discuss many of such topics and have posted recent videos of this over the past several months.
@0topon
@0topon 3 күн бұрын
First i was relieved that a collapse is not possible and then you hit me with Beaufort Gyre
@unadultratedtrini
@unadultratedtrini 3 күн бұрын
So I should infer that a collapse could be beneficial as it may trigger a global rapid cooling of the poles while a heating of equatorial regions. Though in the short to medium term this could dramatically disrupt food cultivation as it will eliminate monsoons until the system basically self resets after the rapid cooling period. The issue is with our current rate of additional heating, does this offset the collapse? Can offsetting the collapse and reset actually present more of an issue towards long term survival than that short period of rapid cooling and disruption to food cultivation resulting in the same collapse but at a point where the rapid cooling doesn't take effect due to the excess heating. (Facts to be observed, if AMOC collapses, poles will rapidly cool during their winter periods due to the massively reduced sunlight; the counter will happen at equatorial region as it will begin to rapidly warm and not be regulated with precipitation taking places that are naturally well suited for farming to become deserts (given enough time))
@nolongerblocked6210
@nolongerblocked6210 3 күн бұрын
You've gained a follower
@ZebaKnight
@ZebaKnight 3 күн бұрын
Thank you for adding this information. The intellectual and moral distance between humans who can discover/understand systems like these and the humans who are in charge of what happens to the Earth now is beyond infuriating. I am 80 years old, a veteran protester... _Where are the young and middle aged people who will pay the price for our collective ignorance and misdeeds?_
@lukebogacik2793
@lukebogacik2793 3 күн бұрын
@@ScienceTalkwithJimMassa awesome, thank you !
@futurecaredesign
@futurecaredesign 5 күн бұрын
One of the things I'm personally doing is creating water harvesting earthworks in Greece! We are about two weeks away from planting out our food forest. When the swales are full, we can slow, spread and sink 50,000 liters / 13208 gallons of water, recharging the aquifer after giving a good drink to our fruit trees. I am also planting a whole bunch of support species such as acacias, vetiver and willow in order to create biomass that will further absorb carbon.
@JBaxter-pi8oj
@JBaxter-pi8oj 5 күн бұрын
I'm very curious as to what these water harvesting earthworks are! I'd love to hear more about this. I'll do some research myself but thank you for the guidance!
@MalcolmYoung-h4k
@MalcolmYoung-h4k 5 күн бұрын
Shame it is too late, just like this episode. +10c equilibrium already locked in.
@johnwang9914
@johnwang9914 5 күн бұрын
​@@JBaxter-pi8oj Most water harvesting strategies are to control and reduce the surface flow by topology and permeable materials. The idea is to let the water soak into the ground to rejoin the shallow underground acquifers rather than erode the surface and flow away. Swales are basically channels of rocks and pebbles into which the water would flow and it's speed reduced as well as directed into low lying areas where it should soak in, think of them as a French drain or ditch. In India, there's an ancient practice of piling up the soil in chevrons against the natural flow of the water on the surface so they slow down and have a chance of soaking in. If we used permeable pavements on our streets, sidewalk and driveways, a lot more water would soak into the ground to replenish the aquifers. Of course, these are just the shallow aquifers and hence more likely to absorb pollutants. Permeable surfaces are certainly important but offers little mitigation against the probable climate changes from a cessation or slowdown of the AMOC and an AMOC slowdown would likely result in more snow and frozen soil moisture accumulation in the northern hemisphere as less heat is brought north hence the benefits of shallow aquifers accumulation might actually become a moot point. Shallow acquifers aren't really sufficient to buffer the changes in precipitation and snowmelt, it's just something we could do something about. By all means, we should try to harvest water wherever we can but really it has little benefit with AMOC concerns.
@PureMI-008
@PureMI-008 5 күн бұрын
Explain please​@@MalcolmYoung-h4k
@JBaxter-pi8oj
@JBaxter-pi8oj 5 күн бұрын
@@MalcolmYoung-h4k It doesn't mean we should stop trying to do something about it!
@jeffnolan7392
@jeffnolan7392 4 күн бұрын
Here... she keeps leaving this out: "The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a system of ocean currents that circulate water in the Atlantic Ocean, carrying warm water north and cold water south." *it makes farming and food production possible on the North American continent and Eurasia.
@samueldrazkowski2908
@samueldrazkowski2908 4 күн бұрын
Thank you, I haven't heard that acronym before, knew about the current and it's affects and possible changes global warming was having, but couldn't figure that out
@penitenttangent7346
@penitenttangent7346 4 күн бұрын
Millennials and Gen Z making up new labels on “problems”
@gqqggq7127
@gqqggq7127 3 күн бұрын
@@penitenttangent7346 skill issue
@catpoke9557
@catpoke9557 3 күн бұрын
@@penitenttangent7346 Boomers seeing a word or phrase they haven't before:
@jajajaja2606
@jajajaja2606 3 күн бұрын
Also it makes farming and food production possible in South Asia, South America and Africa by stabilising the monsoon rains. I don't think people understand how much we would be fucked by not having those currents
@foxyboiiyt3332
@foxyboiiyt3332 5 күн бұрын
Here in Ireland we are at the same latitude as Japan, Victoria Island, Newfoundland etc... and we are far warmer/milder in Winter. Without the AMOC we are fcuked and freezing!
@kmoses582
@kmoses582 5 күн бұрын
Good thing this is fear porn
@MaverickBlue42
@MaverickBlue42 5 күн бұрын
I dunno, I think Japan and Victoria island are probably warmer and milder than Ireland, they grow citrus fruits in BC, and grapes, they barely even experience winter compared to say New York. Due to the wonders of climate patterns, New York seems to get the sh** kicked out of it compared to where I live on the east coast of Canada, despite being a solid 12 hour drive north by car away...
@BSWVI
@BSWVI 5 күн бұрын
VICTORIA Island is way way way up in the north. Vancouver Island is on Canada's West Coast - City of Victoria is on Vancouver Island. SOURCE - I live in Victoria the city, and I looked on Google maps
@elizabethchiron6313
@elizabethchiron6313 5 күн бұрын
Good thing you’ve got lots of sheep to shear! Sweaters for all! And yes- you are Fcukd. We all are unfortunately.
@andrewgraves4026
@andrewgraves4026 5 күн бұрын
I get zones 8a to 10b in Ireland and 8 to 9 in Victoria. Pretty comparable I’d say…
@RondaOptional
@RondaOptional 5 күн бұрын
Think they should just start teaching us how some of us might survive after these tipping points because I do not believe our world governments will "allow" the massive changes that are needed to prevent them.
@MrBishop077
@MrBishop077 5 күн бұрын
... Look at what happened to the Georgia guide stones. ..
@bobvbryan1266
@bobvbryan1266 5 күн бұрын
You are the person who has said the best thing.
@joesoap8125
@joesoap8125 5 күн бұрын
We were too late 40 years ago
@threadbearr8866
@threadbearr8866 5 күн бұрын
Get to know your neighbors. Strengthen the ties in your local community.
@nixon2tube
@nixon2tube 5 күн бұрын
Billions dying is a "feature" not a bug to our evil overlords.
@hilltigger
@hilltigger 4 күн бұрын
Back in 2015/2016, I was part of an Internnational Arctic Circle Traverse team. We setup the largest Firn Compaction network in history - 13 sites across the entire Greenland icesheet. We were trying to help NASA determine why we were experiencing a significantly accelorated melt beyond what the current models had predicted. We setup data stations, did firn compaction readings, setup Thermister strings 65 feet into the ice sheet, multiple ice core samples at each site, did vacuum measurements, setup radar to track the ice melting through the ice layers, chemical anaylsis of each core back 30 years (10 cm chunks), checked surface reflectivity, and monitored each site's movement using hyper-sensitive GPS tracking. We confirmed there were giant shelves of monophorus ice that were stopping the snow from being absorbed into the sheet and forcing the new melt water to exit off the the icesheet on the surface instead of it's normal absorbtion cycle. We did the same chemical measurements on our ice cores (going back 30 years).
@OkieJammer2736
@OkieJammer2736 3 күн бұрын
Wow. Thank you for this interesting info. QUESTION. In your opinion, WHAT ARE THE LONG-TERM RAMIFICATIONS OF YOUR FINDINGS?
@evanpenny348
@evanpenny348 3 күн бұрын
So?
@10ring60-bp5ml
@10ring60-bp5ml 3 күн бұрын
ive seen this amazing work, bravo to you all. be well thank you all
@hilltigger
@hilltigger 3 күн бұрын
@@OkieJammer2736 This is a long-winded answer because the effects are complex and ripple across the globe in multiple ways. Firstly, the arctic ice sheet won't be able to repair the ice lenses that have formed for decades to come. That damage has already been done, to be frank. Time and carbon polution-reduced atmosphere is the only healer. Locally, the ice sheet is "super lubricated" underneath causing faster movement combined with significant 7x normal run-off. The core damage is already done. We are already seeing some of the effects in increased and stronger weather events due to increased and more frequent carbon overloadiing of our oceans and in turn, clouds absorbing more warm air over the oceans. The most critical effect of the ocean's warming is the effect and ripple effect of it's effect on plankton, the ripple effect on the ocean's food source for much of what the ocean's creatures eat and also it's affet on land animals. Ocean's water levels in the southern hemisphere will increase due to the moon's gravitational force on our ocean. We expect the shifting jet streams to cause instability in weather causing incereased and exagerated droughts. The human effect - Currently, we have a problem of human ego (We can't possibly be affecting the entire planet. This is a normal cycle that can't be stopped.), Greed (Oil and Gas and iit's industries spreading misinformation to distract from it's affect. It's the cows, volcano's, etc that are the poluton. Not us. Don't look here). Ignorance (It's not warmer here. It's colder. The ocean looks the same to me.). What we choose to do as a species will either allow us to recover from what we have already done, or feel earth's inadvertant wrath, to be blunt. The two major absorbtions of carbon polution are trees and the ocean. It's not enough to simply use more effecient forms of energy that are available. How quickly we respond to this crisis will exponentially affect the future generations of everything, either positively or negatively. The ice lenses will eventually be buried deep enough into the Arctic icesheets and lose their effect on the water loss. However, that process can't even start to happen until we reach a balance point of the oceans' and trees' ability to absorb the excess carbon.
@MaryDougherty-ge3mh
@MaryDougherty-ge3mh 3 күн бұрын
​@@hilltiggerWow, very well said. I understood, clearly what you were saying. Thank you.
@bettergames6259
@bettergames6259 5 күн бұрын
It is unbelievable to me how you can make such a quality video, well researched, animations, interviews etc. etc. Mention AMOC about 150 times, without ONCE saying what it stands for. This was the most frustrating watch ever. For all normal people that watch it and surely don't want to hear constantly AMOC AMOC AMOC without context: It stands for: Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. You're welcome.
@craiggillett5985
@craiggillett5985 5 күн бұрын
Yes!! I had to Google to find out what it stood for. Nothing in the notes either!
@heathergray8291
@heathergray8291 5 күн бұрын
I suppose not everyone has seen repeated articles on this over the past several years.
@t.k3025
@t.k3025 5 күн бұрын
Agree, people watch these things to learn and understand. Stop with the acronyms and abbreviations.
@pyontasansan
@pyontasansan 5 күн бұрын
I FULLHEARTEDLY AGREE! It drove me nuts also!!!
@I_author_articles
@I_author_articles 5 күн бұрын
you're^ nobody is going to listen to you if you sound uneducated. let me tell you so you can hear. men can't get pregnant. if you voted for kamala you don't understand science, nor are you for it. men can't get pregnant and american democrats have abandoned science.
@pirobot668beta
@pirobot668beta 5 күн бұрын
An article in Scientific American magazine (1970's?) explored the science behind the 'radiosonde' buoys used to map ocean currents. This mapping program was to determine transitions in temperature, salinity and other factors. The authors stated that such transitions were natural 'hiding places' for submarines....sound waves bounce or are refracted by said transitions. Regular mapping of the currents was necessary, as they changed over the seasons. Almost as a footnote, the author noted a weakening in the 'transporter current' that kept central Europe from freezing. 'They' saw the trends over 50 years ago, hid it under Defense.
@tyson31415
@tyson31415 5 күн бұрын
It's called a Thermocline.
@I_author_articles
@I_author_articles 5 күн бұрын
don't forget that the party that told you this also claims men can get pregnant. i really wish the average human was more intelligent than this... you are so easily manipulated, even back in the 1970's. wow. 🤣🤣🤣🤣
@FCKSHT813
@FCKSHT813 4 күн бұрын
this happens no matter what its how the earth cools it self down. technically we are still in a ice age. watch the beauford gyre once it is let loose its on
@joannmay-anthony1076
@joannmay-anthony1076 3 күн бұрын
I heard about these trends in the 70s, it really wasn't being hidden, you just had to know where to look. But I, like others, didn't expect the speed at which this is all happening. I am 72 and didn't think i would see this much change that's already happening in my lifetime. Boy was I wrong.
@boydgauvin3377
@boydgauvin3377 4 күн бұрын
I thought that AMOC stood for the Atlantic Mid-Ocean Current. I was incorrect. It actually stands for the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation .
@malinolsson5921
@malinolsson5921 13 сағат бұрын
@@boydgauvin3377 that is correct however meridional : something that is situated on or along a meridian, those go from one pole to the other. Current is movement of water in a body of water, you pretty much had the meaning of the name covered.🙃
@prettypic444
@prettypic444 5 күн бұрын
Funnily enough, they actually showed that terrible “day after tomorrow” movie about the AMOC break down in my middle school science class. It’s a shame that they chose to make a ridiculous disaster movie where the ice literally chases the protagonists down 5th avenue on a real theory
@wylde39
@wylde39 5 күн бұрын
I had a teacher who refused to teach us anything at all about it or other climate related stuff.
@ThatOpalGuy
@ThatOpalGuy 5 күн бұрын
they really should have just show documentaries.
@ThatOpalGuy
@ThatOpalGuy 5 күн бұрын
@@wylde39 not surprised.
@That.Lady.withtheYarn
@That.Lady.withtheYarn 5 күн бұрын
Yeah the movie was sped up for movie time. But how off was it really?
@desputnikcommander
@desputnikcommander 5 күн бұрын
Just a movie. Reality is so much harder to grasp, and propaganda worldwide disabled us to get to a society with decisions based on facts.... Not that I know these facts. I am just sure the more somebody says that he does, the less I trust that person
@edbouhl3100
@edbouhl3100 5 күн бұрын
Thank you for this series. I am closely watching weather developments because I don’t want to be caught off guard by ‘unprecedented’ patterns and events. I’m trying to harden my home against the extreme events that might occur in my area during my lifetime (which is unlikely to last beyond 2060). I concentrate on this because it’s the only tangible thing I can influence. I don’t expect emissions to decrease until the number of emitters decrease, both consumers and producers. How that’s going to play out is still an unknown - probably a combination of the chaos caused by extreme weather direct damage and climate refugee indirect impacts. There is no evidence to date that individuals and countries are willing to voluntarily reduce their levels of consumption (aka ‘standard of living’) - and considerable evidence to the contrary. Most disappointingly, it appears that democracies are particularly hostile to needed changes.
@distinctga5811
@distinctga5811 5 күн бұрын
Democratic Republic
@vornamenachname1572
@vornamenachname1572 5 күн бұрын
👍
@stucclikechucc
@stucclikechucc 5 күн бұрын
i mean the changes you just labeled as needed is the control of who can and when they can propagate. no human ever will purposefully decrease the standard of living they have. so ther fore like you say the only thing that can fix it is the reduction of consumers and producers ie killing off humans or controlling the replacement of those humans when they do pass away. at the end of the day thats a dystopian society no one wants. well i shouldnt say no one as there are many people out there who wish to control society. i do have one question tho if you have a dot graph how much data do you need to come up with a conclusion? cause the dot graph we have for our weather history has just started and seeing people jump to conclusions about patterns that cant even be seen as the amount of data we have is not near enough is insane to me.
@PadeMoro
@PadeMoro 5 күн бұрын
Democracies are particularly hostile to needed changes compared to what? The authoritarian nations around the world are not in a hurry to lower consumption, emissions and increase recycling for the common good either.
@stucclikechucc
@stucclikechucc 5 күн бұрын
@@PadeMoro yep cause those other countries can give a fuck about how the west views the future of the planet they live in the now they dont have the luxury of worrying about the future THEY WORRYING ABOUT TODAY. must be easy for these lefties to tell people who barely make it day to day to live a worse life so they can feel good about themselves.
@KJ-vc3sw
@KJ-vc3sw 2 күн бұрын
These segments are golden. I cannot thank you enough for your excellent work.
@tedblu14
@tedblu14 5 күн бұрын
Good video, Really don't like the chart at 12:09 . It is 2025 and we are still increasing our CO2 emissions year on year, yet that chart shows a dramatic slowdown, starting at 2020. Lets be real, we are never going to drop emissions and definitely not within the next 4 years. That chart needs to start at 2030 to be at all realistic.
@TheDoomWizard
@TheDoomWizard 5 күн бұрын
We won't do anything in 2030 either but experience civilizational collapse
@globalwarming382
@globalwarming382 5 күн бұрын
Dont worry about the chart bcuz we wont ever reach net zero. Billionaires own the world and they dont give a shit about anything or anyone but being the first a hole to be a Trillionaires.
@roughroadstudio
@roughroadstudio 5 күн бұрын
In addition the only reason we had a dramatic slowdown was because of COVID and businesses converting to work from home wherever they could. The dramatic reduction in traffic was why we had dramatic reduction in pollution.
@bigjd2k
@bigjd2k 5 күн бұрын
Humans won’t generally accept the facts because it would mean them being much more frugal - no flying, no SUVs, nothing luxury, no global goods, although it would be better for everyone.
@pythin2040
@pythin2040 5 күн бұрын
@@StefanoCap13 I can't be sure if you're being serious or joking, but an interesting fact is that the fossil records don't show a mass extinction event or a large shift in the climate when the magnetic field last switched. And it's weakening because it's on its way to flipping, so magnetic north would be where today's magnetic south is. As it's one of the things we humans haven't obviously messed up on this planet I'm fine with it being a novelty so far.
@TutorWindow
@TutorWindow 5 күн бұрын
Reducing emissions is only part of the solution. I'd like to see a show on reforestation of land and sea. By planting and nurturing kelp beds, sea grasses, and mangrove estuaries, we can remove carbon at the same time. A similar thing happens on land. But we know that it takes about 25 years for a newly planted forest to sequester more carbon than it emits. So we concentrate on prairie grasses, regenerative agricultural practices, and selective logging and replanting.
@Dianasaurthemelonlord7777
@Dianasaurthemelonlord7777 5 күн бұрын
There’s a channel here on KZbin that does demonstrations of Rewilding Projects across the globe. They are 100% crowdfunded too, do check them you Theyre called Mossy Earth
@kayakMike1000
@kayakMike1000 5 күн бұрын
What are you trying to solve? It's not clear to me that there is an actual problem with the climate at the moment. We were probably closer to the truth in the 70s when we feared the next ice age. Don't get me wrong, humans got some problems with environmentalism, like monocropping, glyphosphate, land use, etc etc ... CO2 is not likely a problem. Tippinging points likely cause a correction back to the normal state of the earth, which seriously more icy cold than anything. Besides, look at CO2 atmosphere concentrations. Everytime they get high.... An ice age comes and they drop. It's almost as if the CO2 concentration _causes_ the ice age to occur.
@JBaxter-pi8oj
@JBaxter-pi8oj 5 күн бұрын
@@kayakMike1000 It's interesting that you think CO2 isn't a problem. That sounds like the misinformation/ disinformation the oil/ gas industry is putting out. There is very clear evidence that CO2 is a problem. However, you are correct in that it isn't the only problem. From my understanding of this the programme is interested in is finding out (a) if there is a collapse imminent and (b) what the outcomes of that collapse could be. So it is limited to that particular issue.
@JBaxter-pi8oj
@JBaxter-pi8oj 5 күн бұрын
Reforestation is an excellent idea as it allows nature to take the lead in healing itself. I believe the Japanese experienced the results of deforesting an island that was previously rich in organic matter and the effects of deforestation were that the land could no longer produce "food". Interestingly, it also impacted the ocean in the vicinity. And that included marine life. I recommend the work of Dr. Suzanne Simard, Julia Beresford-Kroeger and Peter Wohlleben for further information.
@Peregringlk
@Peregringlk 5 күн бұрын
But can we keep up with the rate of emissions? I mean, if I'm not wrong, the Amazon forest removes from the atmosphere about 2 gigatons of CO2 each year, but we emit like 38, which are 19 amazonias each year. I know that I'm not accounting for biomass etc but my point is that the amount of CO2 we are emitting is no joke. Your approach feels "too slow" proportionally speaking. And if we account for biomass, according to chatgpt the amazon stores like 900 gigatons of CO2 at most, which equals to 25 of emissions at the current year. In other words, we would need to create four full replicas of the amazonia each century to keep up with the rate of emissions.
@grinner68
@grinner68 4 күн бұрын
As a scientist studying AMOC (and in agreement with those scientists who did not want to be interviewed - I’m pretty sure I know who they are), I found this report to be highly biased. Yes, some climate models indicate a 50% slowdown, but just as many indicate no significant change. And higher-resolution models which get the physics of the Southern Ocean and eddies correct don’t suggest much of a slowdown. And AMOC is controlled as much by physical wind-driven upwelling in the Southern Ocean and tropics that is not modeled well in many low-resolution climate models. Also, the idea of a “collapse” comes from model runs in the 1980s that were significantly biased because the salinity and temperature of the North Atlantic was not close to correct. I suspect many people referencing the paper as proof of a “collapse” have never actually read it. Look it up yourself and decide for yourself. Manabe and Stouffer (1988) Two Stable Equilibria of a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model. Journal of Climate, Vol 1, pp 841-866.
@leighanddansinclair1696
@leighanddansinclair1696 4 күн бұрын
But isn't the whole point that the patterns emerging in the temperature anomalies of the North Atlantic are reminiscent of the cooling patch that an AMOC slow-down would produce. This is *despite* the (modern) model predictions suggesting that no major AMOC slowdown should be happening at our current warming. We both know that models are not perfect and unrecognized model biases could mean that we've underestimated the sensitivity of the AMOC to perturbation. If this is true (and I agree - it's early days in trying to determine from short noisy observational datasets if this is indeed what is happening), then a major slowdown of the AMOC could have big consequences over the coming decades.
@SammytheStampede
@SammytheStampede 4 күн бұрын
I'm of an opinion (not asked for assuredly) that a great chastisement is about to be poured out upon mankind. This is but 1 facet of the catastrophe cycle. The sun, the earth's weakening magnetic field, the approaching WWIII, diabolic influence in global society, etc; are examples of equally important other facets influencing our future. Morality is the hidden sign, as it decreases danger increases. This is human history and no one notices.
@miremsis1121
@miremsis1121 4 күн бұрын
Citing one 1988 paper as evidence is totally absurd in the context of a research that flourished in the last decades
@Eyes0penNoFear
@Eyes0penNoFear 4 күн бұрын
I'm curious about your thoughts concerning potential effects from the Beaufort Gyre. If the Gyre collapses, it could dump a large amount of fresh water into the North Atlantic.
@lowellarnett3172
@lowellarnett3172 4 күн бұрын
Thank you for your insight and the reference.
@ryanjohnson8960
@ryanjohnson8960 5 күн бұрын
Kind of cool to think that the Earth has a restart switch it seems to prevent extremes in either direction though
@Turnil321
@Turnil321 4 күн бұрын
The earth was a ball of ice at one point and was 1 jungle at a anothere. So i do not think so.
@shaneelliott9045
@shaneelliott9045 4 күн бұрын
Or... it's extremely unstable and small changes in atmospheric composition and temperature can wipe out most of the life on earth
@fanOfMinecraft-UAs_channel
@fanOfMinecraft-UAs_channel 4 күн бұрын
It has, but it could happen very fast, making a very sudden shift and everything has a high chance to die
@MetalPcAngel
@MetalPcAngel 5 күн бұрын
Humans: We can't slow down the warming, woe. Earth: time for a force reboot on this temperature spike.
@amandastewart7889
@amandastewart7889 5 күн бұрын
Yep. Because that's what Earth does with tipping points. She's the great equalizer and cares not about individual species, just the equilibrium of the planet. So, knock yourselves out, humankind.
@waynetodd3620
@waynetodd3620 4 күн бұрын
I see the carbon fraud continues CO2 is not the problem and never was - ITS PLANT FOOD people!! This fraud is a way for Governments to tax and control the populous it is making some people very rich. This very program stated that 28,000 years ago IT was warmer then now! didn't see a lot of cars back then!!! The world has been colder way longer then it's been warm enjoy it while it lasts because Ice ages are very long and not any fun. The climate is affected by so many things like the Milankovitch cycles ...which includes the shape of Earth's orbit (its eccentricity), the angle that Earth's axis is tilted with respect to Earth's orbital plane (its obliquity), and the direction that Earth's spin axis is pointed (its precession). People have no problem understanding the four seasons but some how don't think the sun has much impact on our climate...REALLY. Fossil fuels are not the problem it's BAD science that is the problem, poor temp gather data, and global weather models that have never worked. WAKE up people the Carbon Fraud needs to end!!!
@bobsacamano7653
@bobsacamano7653 4 күн бұрын
exactly the earth has its response mechanisms
@wdhyrhrj4414
@wdhyrhrj4414 4 күн бұрын
Humans: disappear
@fanOfMinecraft-UAs_channel
@fanOfMinecraft-UAs_channel 4 күн бұрын
Everyone: it's so hot here Oh, finally the temperature is dropping Everyone:freezes to death
@c.a.7844
@c.a.7844 4 күн бұрын
11:00 - So... what were the consequences of the last AMOC collapse during the last interglacial??? The video explained what the blob indicates but didn't take a further step to explain the consequences of an AMOC collapse during an interglacial period beyond "it's a tipping point and stuff will happen". Will the AMOC collapse still have a cooling effect similar to previous glacial periods or will the effect be different now, given we are in an interglacial period?
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
You can't apply logic to a religion based on cognitive dissonance.
@yodieyuh
@yodieyuh 4 күн бұрын
6:53 None of the interglacial periods last long, so either way it indicates it will cool again.
@seaofenergy2765
@seaofenergy2765 2 күн бұрын
It literally said as one major outcome that it will affect monsoons, shifting them south, and in the process deprive regions containing 2billion odd people of the source of 90% of their water. Now imagine about 1/3rd of the planet no longer being able to produce enough food/water for itself and emigrating to other parts of the world that will struggle to accommodate them. Most with more than 1 braincell would understand how that might be a pretty serious issue. Do try and pay attention and then engage your brain.
@seaofenergy2765
@seaofenergy2765 2 күн бұрын
​@@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaais that fossil fuel shilling/propaganda victim cognitive dissonance you are referring to? You know the kind you have been drip fed for decades in order to prevent meaningful societal action against the manmade climate crisis because it will affect elites power and wealth?
@willdeit6057
@willdeit6057 Күн бұрын
To answer your question, The Northern Hemisphere would enter an Ice Age as predicted in the early 60's (still waiting), not sure about the Southern part as the AMOC would still be working.
@0MisterLucky0
@0MisterLucky0 5 күн бұрын
Good clear coverage of an issue that seems to confuse a lot of people.
@drewthompson7457
@drewthompson7457 5 күн бұрын
Yes. There is a lot of misinformation and disinformation published by several governments. In Canada, last winter I paid 52% tax on clean natural gas, yet there has been no improvement.
@erictjones
@erictjones 5 күн бұрын
Tell me what AMOC means? They fumbled that one.
@BoobsMcGee3
@BoobsMcGee3 5 күн бұрын
​@@erictjones The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is a system of ocean currents
@thenayancat8802
@thenayancat8802 5 күн бұрын
@@erictjones Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, in very simple terms warm salty water from the gulf travels north on top of the ocean bringing temperate weather to Europe, then as it cools as it is more salty it sinks, and it then returns south, even travelling beyond the equator and eventually joining with other major global water circulation patterns
@Bartholomeow141
@Bartholomeow141 5 күн бұрын
So.. how exactly do they know what the temp was in the 1400's?.. they "estimate" it... it's not like guessing, it IS guessing
@mikebolin4311
@mikebolin4311 5 күн бұрын
Thanks for covering this. I never the AMOC before your show. We never hear of this in mainstream news.
@mathieucaron4957
@mathieucaron4957 5 күн бұрын
In countries where education is important they talk about it, but most countries now prioritize the "economy" (using taxes to pay the rich).
@DerIchBinDa
@DerIchBinDa 5 күн бұрын
Here in Germany that was basic school stuff in Geology classes. I am sorry that in your country the education is so bad and corporate media is not helping.
@heathergray8291
@heathergray8291 5 күн бұрын
I've seen articles on MSNBC, CNN, ABC for US-connections. The Guardian, a British news site is a good place to read up on what's happening.
@jerrys4841
@jerrys4841 5 күн бұрын
@@mathieucaron4957 Such a cynic, but it has some truth.
@I_author_articles
@I_author_articles 5 күн бұрын
well, you are watching PBS, the station that claims men can get pregnant. so I, as an educator, will do my part, the rest is up to you... you never hear about anything of value from mainstream news. the fact that you still don't understand this is why you are part of the problem. seriously, how long will it take for you to figure out you are being naive? not about climate change, but about science? 🤣🤣🤣
@dethmaul
@dethmaul 3 күн бұрын
This channel is so cool. Very assessible, easy to understand, and i feel like they make sure info is accurate.
@LuckyPierre789
@LuckyPierre789 5 күн бұрын
There was a PBS Nova special from over a decade ago titled 'Earth From Space' that used data from multiple satellites and connected it all to show how inter-connected all of the ocean currents with air etc. really are. It was fascinating and I wish we could get an updated follow up! Thanks for all y'all do! :)
@JFire175
@JFire175 5 күн бұрын
I never would've thought that the AMOC was critical for monsoon seasons in China and India. I thought the AMOC was just a North Atlantic climate thing only.
@leighanddansinclair1696
@leighanddansinclair1696 4 күн бұрын
Water has an incredible ability to absorb and transport heat. The AMOC carries gargantuan amounts of heat from the tropics to near the polar regions. Now, warm surface temperatures cause air to warm and expand (becoming low pressure regions). Cold surface temperatures cause air to cool and contract (becoming high pressure regions). Air tries to flow from high pressure regions to low pressure regions, which results in our winds and weather. When you change the AMOC, what you do is cause a major change the pattern of surface temperatures. Changing this pattern of temperatures changes the location and direction of winds, and therefore changes the location and strength of things like rainfall regions. These effects can occur far away (literally on the other side of the planet) from the north Atlantic.
@vinny61389
@vinny61389 4 күн бұрын
The oceans have impacts around the world, little if anything is isolated. That's why you hear about El Nino and La Nina near the equator having precipitation and temperature impacts thousands of miles away since it can change the air circulation patterns.
@christopherjanousek7994
@christopherjanousek7994 3 күн бұрын
Great overview of this very important component of global ocean circulation and our climate.
@audioartisan
@audioartisan 5 күн бұрын
Survey complete! It's the least I could do, for the many years of sharing such wonderful Science facts & Adventures with all of us! Long Live PBS!
@weatherlou
@weatherlou 5 күн бұрын
lol it literally is the least you can do…
@audioartisan
@audioartisan 5 күн бұрын
@@weatherlou Exactly. I was hoping the post made PPL wanna do the survey for them. Especially as the LEAST they could do. Hopefully it works ;) (Hopefully you did too! It will help shape future episodes ...Thanks for commenting!)
@andhehassentmehere777
@andhehassentmehere777 5 күн бұрын
@@audioartisan Your post is what reminded me before I clicked off. I usually read the comments a lot, and not the description, so Thanks!
@waynetodd3620
@waynetodd3620 4 күн бұрын
I see the carbon fraud continues CO2 is not the problem and never was - ITS PLANT FOOD people!! This fraud is a way for Governments to tax and control the populous it is making some people very rich. This very program stated that 28,000 years ago IT was warmer then now! didn't see a lot of cars back then!!! The world has been colder way longer then it's been warm enjoy it while it lasts because Ice ages are very long and not any fun. The climate is affected by so many things like the Milankovitch cycles ...which includes the shape of Earth's orbit (its eccentricity), the angle that Earth's axis is tilted with respect to Earth's orbital plane (its obliquity), and the direction that Earth's spin axis is pointed (its precession). People have no problem understanding the four seasons but some how don't think the sun has much impact on our climate...REALLY. Fossil fuels are not the problem it's BAD science that is the problem, poor temp gather data, and global weather models that have never worked. WAKE up people the Carbon Fraud needs to end!!!
@Petch85
@Petch85 5 күн бұрын
Right now I am most excited about geothermal power. I just find it to be a very elegant method of producing energy. Just drill a hole deep enough, lower some pipes, add cold water and get very hot steam, run it through a turbine, use the remaining heat to heat homes. Together with wind, solar and a few flywheels we should be able to cover most of our energy needs.
@roughroadstudio
@roughroadstudio 5 күн бұрын
We need wave action generation as well.
@karenneill9109
@karenneill9109 5 күн бұрын
In our area (west coast of Canada), they use geothermal for heating and cooling. It’s too difficult to drill deeply enough to produce steam, but it’s real relatively easy to set up enough temperature differential to heat homes in the winter and cool them in the summer.
@IdrisFashan
@IdrisFashan 5 күн бұрын
I’m in Alberta, Canada and our government committed $50B to geothermal industrial development. We have a lot of oilfield drilling skill here, so it is a very exciting time for a lot of engineers and technicians here. Geothermal is a great fit for energy transition from on-shore oilfield work! Geothermal gets pretty complicated, as does anything 20 feet below ground or more: hydrology, rock formations, soil type, pressure/heat management, corrosion, etc.
@WaffleCake-q7d
@WaffleCake-q7d 5 күн бұрын
Look at New Zealand. 90% of the country is powered by renewable energy. Geothermal is big down here along with hydro and wind.
@EastBayFlipper
@EastBayFlipper 4 күн бұрын
Geothermal energy becomes truly practical with microwave rock vaporization drilling because then conventional fossil fuel power plants can be converted in situ by drilling supercritical boreholes for live steam extraction. This technology is very real and essential for the planet
@jonlittle5032
@jonlittle5032 3 күн бұрын
Excellent video and a clear concise explanation on one of the critical aspects of the climate change debate. However. You do yourself and us a disservice at 7:30 when you say an AMOC collapse happens every 5k years or so during Ice Ages, we haven't had an AMOC for 12K: so, "maybe we're due." That figure, as you just pointed out, was based on 25 AMOC collapses in the last Ice Age. We have not been in an Ice Age for over ten thousand years, and we are not "due": one per 5K years is during Ice Ages, not Interglacials. This just feeds the narrative of the skeptics.
@CitiesForTheFuture2030
@CitiesForTheFuture2030 5 күн бұрын
Scientists are looking at several indicators of an AMOC slowdown, eg salinity changes at various depths in the Atlantic. Some other indicators can be attributable to other climate change impacts, eg increasing sea-level rise & coastal erosion on the usa east coast, and the warming / drying of the Amazon rainforest etc. Whatever the current status of the AMOC, the only thing we can do to "fix it" is to reduce emissions. Eliminating human emissions is required for many other climate related solutions, so let's do that anyway.
@paulmatley8818
@paulmatley8818 5 күн бұрын
"the warming / drying of the Amazon rainforest etc." That'll be slash/burn/bulldoze at play, not global CO2/warming. The Amazon Rainforest is doomed. It WILL reach its own tipping point through direct destruction. The climate extremists are happy for that to happen as they can blame Climate Change and tell that us we were warned...
@trombone113
@trombone113 5 күн бұрын
You, my friend, have swallowed their crap hook, line and sinker. 😅
@MrPhillip2
@MrPhillip2 5 күн бұрын
@@trombone113 Who is They, Scientists? It’s a lot easier to believe scientists than it is to believe politicians.
@CRneu
@CRneu 5 күн бұрын
That's the thing that deniers refuse to acknowledge: There are no downsides to eliminating our emissions and pollution. It's a very obvious win all around for everything involved.
@futuza
@futuza 5 күн бұрын
​@@CRneuit doesn't make oil executives as much money, that's the downside
@spineblaZe
@spineblaZe 5 күн бұрын
0:22 that graph contradicts both the Greenland and Vostok Ice Core graphs. Why?
@seankimbrough8489
@seankimbrough8489 5 күн бұрын
Kaufman and McKay would know 😂
@SirCranberries
@SirCranberries 5 күн бұрын
Looks like the graph from D.S. Kaufman and N.P. McKay, 2022
@Maxtyur
@Maxtyur 5 күн бұрын
Could be a older graph from say 1940 or older maybe the graph is not up to speed I'm teacher
@keithcaldwell207
@keithcaldwell207 4 күн бұрын
The sad part is the fossil fuel industries consider the destruction of the planet a cost of doing business.....
@kmoses582
@kmoses582 4 күн бұрын
I guess you don't use them
@willdeit6057
@willdeit6057 Күн бұрын
So you don't have electric, plastic or even any modern day stuff in your abode like a house/home (computer) what so ever. Until we can generate clean energy we need to use dirty energy because you like me depend on it. So it's not the fossilized fuel industry that's pushing for energy it's us, shut it down tomorrow and we die as a civilization.
@snorfallupagus6014
@snorfallupagus6014 14 сағат бұрын
So...when did you stop using electricity, flying in airplanes, driving a car, or riding on trains, etc.?
@MonkeyChessify
@MonkeyChessify 5 күн бұрын
You mention a couple times that the cold blob "shouldn't exist" per models. I feel like Stefan's research and papers have shown that the cold is expected and its a current issue of the current models that they don't show it. In other words, it is expected and its exclusion is a known flaw of the models
@Kokally
@Kokally 5 күн бұрын
I do wonder if it's a phenomenon similar to the La Niña currently in the Pacific that their infographics team is desperately trying to cut out of the thumbnail and at 0:08. I understand why they're doing that, but still it's very noticeable once you know we're cutting out half the Pacific because of a separate known 'cold blob'...
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
On one hand the climastrology cult says we'd be cooling into a glacial period if it weren't for our emissions. On the other hand we have the climastrology cult saying our emissions will cause a glacial period. Anyone that can think themselves out of a paper bag can see that climastrology is nonsense and is closer to religion than science - unfortunately our brainwashing centers we call an education system has taken away most people's ability to think themselves out of a paper bag.
@Eyes0penNoFear
@Eyes0penNoFear 4 күн бұрын
​@@Kokallygrant money flows best when the music follows the tune
@methos1024
@methos1024 5 күн бұрын
@11:29 Want to keep warmin below 1,5 or 2°C ... he says :D from when is his recording? we hav already reached 1,6°C
@zodiac5375
@zodiac5375 5 күн бұрын
Look at the graph in comparison with the last interglacial
@northeast5076
@northeast5076 8 сағат бұрын
I used to think it was a joke until looking deeper
@levestane6383
@levestane6383 5 күн бұрын
It is a shame that the consequences of burning fossil fuels were suppressed by those gaining money and power from the resource extraction. Had we been rational and used fossil energy with caution both humanity and the ecosphere would be in a much better place.
@trombone113
@trombone113 5 күн бұрын
Nope. We would be in the same exact place we are today because man has had a negligible effect on any of it.
@amandastewart7889
@amandastewart7889 5 күн бұрын
Nope. We've all enjoyed and relied on fossil fuels. We are all responsible. Sorry.
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
Yeah...like an average lifespan of 50 and blaming bad weather on witches.
@Julez60
@Julez60 4 күн бұрын
​@@trombone113the billionaire owner class thanks you for your service
@Styrophone1
@Styrophone1 5 күн бұрын
Don’t worry guys I have 2-3 house plants. We should be good
@goggles8691
@goggles8691 4 күн бұрын
Phew I was worried I'd have to step up and buy some. Thanks for doing that for us
@Eyes0penNoFear
@Eyes0penNoFear 4 күн бұрын
0:16 yes, in a big way
@gammayin3245
@gammayin3245 5 күн бұрын
As an advocate of ecosystem sustenance for all of life, I recommend that current agricultural practices change so that soils can rebound with native mycorrhiza and fertility, and so that ecosystems can revert to fully supporting native plant and animal species. Practices include water harvesting, sustainable grazing practices, keeping the soil covered with plants, permaculture and creating 30-50 ft. wild zones (akin to British hedgerows) between fields and property boundaries, and wider wild zones (200 ft or more each side of a river, lake or stream) in all riparian areas. These practices allow farms and ranches to become important carbon sinks which help curb climate changes and halt the diminishment of species. Also, ag practices of pesticide, herbicide and fungicide uses that damage internal organs and biological systems need to be halted to clean up waters and produce foods that are non-damaging to health. Ag practices need to reflect the climate in which foods are grown such that extra water and other resources are not necessary to produce foods. This will restore ground water levels and natural stream and river flows. Also these techniques utilize fewer fossil fuels which all add to global climate changes. In areas of higher wildfire dangers, goats and sheep need to be herded over these terrains every spring and summer to lessen the fuels and thin forests to make them less prone to catastrophic wild crown fires. Reducing catastrophic crown fires also counterbalances climate change.
@ALA87
@ALA87 5 күн бұрын
Your right about working toward better agricultural practices to help the soil absorb carbon more efficiently. Check out the Carbon Cowboys project, seems promising.
@leafbranch1872
@leafbranch1872 5 күн бұрын
How does all this create shareholder value.
@leafbranch1872
@leafbranch1872 5 күн бұрын
Ever increasing shareholder value that is.
@barryr7216
@barryr7216 4 күн бұрын
Wouldn’t this lead to an escalation in food prices for all. I guess we’ll have to all get community gardens again then. Fine by me 😅
@fanOfMinecraft-UAs_channel
@fanOfMinecraft-UAs_channel 4 күн бұрын
We should restore swamps where we drained them for agriculture. They capture a lot of carbon into the ground, creating a fossil fuel from the atmosphere, basically reverse of what we're doing, so that would lead to a slowdown in carbon level rise
@spindryer7746
@spindryer7746 4 күн бұрын
The sudden rise in temperature is usually followed by an ice age,it's in the records.
@macmcleod1188
@macmcleod1188 4 күн бұрын
It's followed millions of years later. What's happening now had +never* happened before.
@timothyrussell4445
@timothyrussell4445 4 күн бұрын
Yes, but +1.5 C in 150 years isn't
@macmcleod1188
@macmcleod1188 4 күн бұрын
@@timothyrussell4445 there is no evidence to support the fact that this increase in temperature due to massively increasing levels of carbon in the atmosphere is going to lead to a similarly fast decline in temperatures. What you doing is just wishful thinking. And even if true you're talking about a catastrophic drop in temperature which we don't want to happen either.
@timothyrussell4445
@timothyrussell4445 4 күн бұрын
@@macmcleod1188 I was replying to spindryer - I agree with your point. No, modelling suggests the ice age will be very much localised to north west Europe; globally temperatures will continue to rise, especially in equatorial regions where heat will be trapped, the Southern Hemisphere will get warmer generally too. As for the catastrophic drop in temperatures in north west Europe, that will happen, and farming on the scale we require will not be possible in much of Europe; it'll be similar to Alaska
@macmcleod1188
@macmcleod1188 4 күн бұрын
@timothyrussell4445 yes and the rain bands are already starting to move. They're about 50 to 80mi north of where they used to be. In fact the seed catalogs finally adjusted their climate zones on the packages to reflect the new reality. And they're moving on to areas that are less productive. Plus we're getting more extreme weather which isn't good for plants either.
@eysteinnkristinsson8911
@eysteinnkristinsson8911 4 күн бұрын
As an Icelander, I'm just pissed that I'm missing out on global warming. Heatwaves everywhere IN THE WORLD except where I live, which sucks and is really unfair.
@JZsBFF
@JZsBFF 4 күн бұрын
Well, Eysteinn (that's from "Einstein"?), it's called Iceland for a reason. Considered moving to... GREENland? Btw I live in Belgium and I do remember having seen a heatwave this year which doesn't mean that it doesn't suck for those who did. We had lots of rain though and very little sun, a bit like Iceland? Cheer up. You have invisible people, elves, trolls, sea monsters. We only have to odd tree person and missing drone.
@earthlymatters888
@earthlymatters888 3 күн бұрын
thats because global warming is actually a myth. its fake. its only going to get colder, world wide.
@GaviaArctica382
@GaviaArctica382 3 күн бұрын
Be glad. Dark winters without snow are horrible. (Greetings from southern Finland.)
@YogiMcCaw
@YogiMcCaw 3 күн бұрын
But you guys got volcanoes! Is that not catastrophic enough for you?
@ThomasPalm-w5y
@ThomasPalm-w5y 3 күн бұрын
@@YogiMcCaw Plenty of geothermal heat to keep the chill winters out. Outdoor pools in freezing weather is surreal.
@baggaz167
@baggaz167 4 күн бұрын
Have we tried turning it off and on again though?
@steveky7829
@steveky7829 4 күн бұрын
Another true Trump acolyte...
@dukenukem4447
@dukenukem4447 4 күн бұрын
I tried but... The lever was too cold for my hands. -_-
@baggaz167
@baggaz167 3 күн бұрын
@@steveky7829 A) I'm English, not a moron. B) It was a joke.
@Robo34
@Robo34 3 күн бұрын
so, on 8:41 we can see the chart, and the rise of temperature 150 thousand years ago was the same as now. ok. BUT, 150 thousand years ago, there was no technology. Sooooo, if these charts are correct, then that means that the global warmimg ISN'T our (humanities) fault.
@0topon
@0topon 3 күн бұрын
Just because in the past there were natural warming cycles, doesnt mean that the warming today is not manmade.
@volodx
@volodx 2 күн бұрын
Aliens
@winterbomber2
@winterbomber2 Күн бұрын
Yes it's true the earth has a natural warming and cooling system. But, humans can and are accelerating that cycle.
@herrschafts-wissen
@herrschafts-wissen 4 күн бұрын
If the AMOC did fluctuate over hundred thousands of years, what evidence is there, that human behavior could have an impact on it in one way or another? If it’s a natural cycle, we might start looking for another spot in our solar system to ride the next downturn out. At least as a species.
@LivingNow678
@LivingNow678 2 күн бұрын
Douglas Vogt and (or) Elizaveta Khromova team mathematical model prediction
@FiremanBrian2010
@FiremanBrian2010 2 күн бұрын
Thank you! Out of all these biased reports and comments you hit the mail on the head….these same cycles have been here for millions of years and the last one was about 12,000 yrs ago with no impact whatsoever from humans and fossil fuels and it’s time for another 🤷‍♂️It’s just the way it is….
@lorriewatson7423
@lorriewatson7423 5 күн бұрын
I really do appreciate these videos! No one else seems to be covering such an important issue to every one on the planet. If it isn't politics or conspiracy theories, it doesn't get covered anywhere. Thank you for keeping it real! As for what I am doing? I'm planning on starting a food forest, not for me, but future generations. I had a tornado destroy a large chunk of the forest behind my home a few years back, I want to rejuvenate that strip with healthy new trees and vegetation that may help feed the future generations.
@peterphilipsen8136
@peterphilipsen8136 5 күн бұрын
Can still be fake, good story right?
@kuukeli
@kuukeli 5 күн бұрын
great video
@yokotaashi
@yokotaashi 2 күн бұрын
5:39 really cool overlay to support the scientist's findings, I am thoroughly impressed. These extra coincident visual dimensions are really what make this information digestible.
@marku606
@marku606 5 күн бұрын
At around 3:15, it says models estimate a 45% weakening of the AMOC by the end of the 21 century with low CO2 emissions, and 55% weakening with high CO2 emissions. Not much of a difference. Yet at 12:35 the intimation is that lowering our CO2 emissions will prevent AMOC collapse ...
@waynetodd3620
@waynetodd3620 4 күн бұрын
I see the carbon fraud continues CO2 is not the problem and never was - ITS PLANT FOOD people!! This fraud is a way for Governments to tax and control the populous it is making some people very rich. This very program stated that 28,000 years ago IT was warmer then now! didn't see a lot of cars back then!!! The world has been colder way longer then it's been warm enjoy it while it lasts because Ice ages are very long and not any fun. The climate is affected by so many things like the Milankovitch cycles ...which includes the shape of Earth's orbit (its eccentricity), the angle that Earth's axis is tilted with respect to Earth's orbital plane (its obliquity), and the direction that Earth's spin axis is pointed (its precession). People have no problem understanding the four seasons but some how don't think the sun has much impact on our climate...REALLY. Fossil fuels are not the problem it's BAD science that is the problem, poor temp gather data, and global weather models that have never worked. WAKE up people the Carbon Fraud needs to end!!!
@insideline158
@insideline158 4 күн бұрын
I don't think the take away is that "it's not that bad", it's more like "the way things are going, it's already too late to make a substantial change in the outcome". It's all just damage control now.
@fanOfMinecraft-UAs_channel
@fanOfMinecraft-UAs_channel 4 күн бұрын
Well, it's better to be safer than to risk the earth climate going to sht, and making most species extinct
@fanOfMinecraft-UAs_channel
@fanOfMinecraft-UAs_channel 4 күн бұрын
Well, it's better to be safer than to risk the earth climate going to sht, and making most species extinct
@slevinkelevra5540
@slevinkelevra5540 4 күн бұрын
there's a super volcano if I recall it has 2 eruption calderas from the 2 warming periods
@hephaestion12
@hephaestion12 3 күн бұрын
This presenter is really very very good. She is so clear and so precise! ❤
@cub1009
@cub1009 5 күн бұрын
If the AMOC collapses it is going to cool the planet? But that isn't good. As it seems only certain regions will experience shifts to a much colder climate. While other areas become hotter and dryer? Am I understand that correctly? Net zero emissions isn't going to happen. Fossil fuels are too heavily relied on. Even green energy is powered by fossil fuels for energy, manufacturing and delivering. We need a substitute for oil and we need it fast. One that is organic and has limited emissions.
@Dianasaurthemelonlord7777
@Dianasaurthemelonlord7777 5 күн бұрын
The AMOC is a major current that transfers Heat from the Tropics to the Polar Regions, which helps keep the Global Climate stable. All the alternatives exist now, the Infrastructure just doesn’t exist yet so it’s not practical. We need State Intervention and we needed it decades ago
@shakeyj4523
@shakeyj4523 5 күн бұрын
You do realize that fossils fuels ARE organic right?
@That.Lady.withtheYarn
@That.Lady.withtheYarn 5 күн бұрын
Well we certainly won’t get any help for this problem from the new guy.
@Mr.MasterOfTheMonsters
@Mr.MasterOfTheMonsters 5 күн бұрын
Without the current transfering heat, the bigger difference in temperature will cause even more common and catastrophic hurricanes. Or at least I think so, climate is complex.
@gitduck
@gitduck 5 күн бұрын
​@@Mr.MasterOfTheMonsters I think, as a person from southern india , ground water depletion with fractured ocean current means , effectively no more sense of winter from now about 20 years after in any sensible capacity. No more sensible water sharing mechanism within the water scarcity states. No more sense of recollection about climate and it's complexity. Pure wack.
@puravidadew7031
@puravidadew7031 5 күн бұрын
Maybe you’re missing the fact about all the water melting off of Greenland and the north, which is causing this cold blob.
@Syrkyth
@Syrkyth 5 күн бұрын
Yes, no one has thought of that before. Wow. You did it. Nobel prize for you . . .
@TazPessle
@TazPessle 5 күн бұрын
Yes. Greenland melting is exactly one of the causes of AMOC collapse. It disrupts the salinity/density/heat balances that allow the corculations to happen. This is known.
@UnclePea
@UnclePea 5 күн бұрын
As I understand it from friends who are actual researchers looking at Greenland melt water, the reason the blob isn't predicted in models is that melt water hasn't been fully incorporated into the models. It will be after it's better measured, we hope.
@leftcoastline
@leftcoastline 5 күн бұрын
9:05
@UnclePea
@UnclePea 5 күн бұрын
@@leftcoastline Yes, the idea is understood. A quantitative detailed understanding is not yet very advanced, so putting the melt into models that use vastly intricate calculations and iterations can't be done very well yet.
@craigbeasley3120
@craigbeasley3120 4 күн бұрын
Is there a shareable link for the graph shown at 10:36? Thanks in advance.
@crackerjack3359
@crackerjack3359 3 күн бұрын
print screen maybe
@josephcomings
@josephcomings 5 күн бұрын
So.... I just want to get this straight. According to the professionals the earth has gone through these cycles without human intervention and human caused emissions over and over again... but somehow it's the human intervention that is causing it this time around?
@Les_S537
@Les_S537 5 күн бұрын
The earth's climate is controlled by a set of natural variables. As those natural variables change over long periods of time the earth's climate adjusts accordingly. The issue today is that man is influencing one of those natural variables, and he exerts that influence via his use of fossil fuels
@leighanddansinclair1696
@leighanddansinclair1696 5 күн бұрын
There are natural cycles. The major ones currently operate on 100,000 year timescales. The last 10,000 years has been remarkably stable, allowing human civilization to develop. But much of the preceding 90,000 years was characterized by major climate instability that would have disrupted any fledgling civilizations. Calculations suggest that our current *stable* climate could persist for another 10,000 years, but this stability is *fragile*. Theory and observation tell us that our climate system is 'twitchy', responding suddenly and unpredictably to perturbations. Rising global temperatures caused by greenhouse gases represents a major 'kick' to our climate system The physics is simple and clear. Regardless of whether CO2 has previously been a 'driver' of climate change in the past, or an 'enhancer' of climate changes triggered by other things, the 50% increase in CO2 over pre-industrial levels (to levels not seen in over 3,000,000 years) *will* perturb the finely-balanced energy budget of earth's surface. Nobody knows for sure what this warming will trigger, but we know enough to make educated guesses, and there are scenarios - like a slowdown/shutdown of the AMOC - that lead to a world characterized by rapid climate *instability*. Human society (and global ecologies) could adjust to gradual climate changes (centuries to millennia). But instabilities that can occur within years to decades would be nearly impossible to adapt to. The result would be chaos.
@EchoDoctrine
@EchoDoctrine 4 күн бұрын
Yes Two things: 1- the earth going through those past cycles took millions of years. The cycle took millions of years of to slowly change BUT we humans are doing it in mere decades. The amount of change we are pushing into our atmosphere and world is off the charts. You can disbelieve or laugh at this but you might see it & finally understand in your lifetime (depending on your age & all that) 2- yep the earth changes, it’s changed before so no big deal right? WRONG !! When this changing happens crops won’t grow where they used to, massive food crops will be wiped out. Now growing seasons are being messed up, every year we hear more stories of “oh darn the Georgia peaches or Florida Oranges had the worst growing season ever because storms were very different than before”. Too much rainfall all of the sudden after weeks of drought lead to a massive reduction in ______ (fill in the blank crop this year). That story repeats again and again. The planet will go on. But YOU humans will have a hard time when the food can’t be grown as easily, when the food shortages lead to famine, war and chaos. But hey, you sound like the type of guy that laughs & scoffs at “the professionals”. What do they know. You were so smart in school. You do your own research. Good luck buddy.
@wdhyrhrj4414
@wdhyrhrj4414 4 күн бұрын
Earth will be fine, humans won’t be
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
@@EchoDoctrine Uhh there have been 30 glacial-interglacial cycles in the past 2.5 million years alone with many more interstadials in between. From 15-10k years ago the Earth warmed enough to melt major ice sheets in North America and Europe which resulted in 400' of sea level rise - if every inch of ice melted today the resulting sea level rise wouldn't even be half of that. Global crop production is at an all time high. Satellites and ground observations show a massive greening of the planet as higher latitudes warm and CO2 improves growth. The only thing you got right is that we ARE laughing - at you and all your simpleton climate cult buddies.
@ceciljones2695
@ceciljones2695 5 күн бұрын
The New England and Mid Atlantic Coasts have been seeing signs of disruption in phytoplankton and this is directly related to the strengthening of the Labrador Current which has been bringer cooler than normal waters down the continental shelf. Ice melt from Greenland’s ice sheet is driving huge changes in the marine environment.
@Upinthegarden
@Upinthegarden 5 күн бұрын
I live right in the middle of the Labrador current. Ice bergs have been floating by for tens of thousands of years. Bergs were written about when the Vikings were in North America. What was the cause of the Greenland ice shelf melt then?
@ceciljones2695
@ceciljones2695 5 күн бұрын
@ I’m on 64 years old so I don’t know how it was 10,000 years ago but I’m positive that you are a world renowned expert in this, so you tell us sandpaper bc I’m not rough enough.
@ceciljones2695
@ceciljones2695 5 күн бұрын
@ it is obvious, if it was melting I would believe that the temperatures were above freezing. 😉
@richarddavies7419
@richarddavies7419 4 күн бұрын
​@@Upinthegarden Bergs come from glaciers/ice sheets reaching the coast, so more snow/less melting in the past would have made thicker ice sheets/more bergs. No melting then.
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
So 2 mile thick ice sheets melting between 15-12k years ago releasing enough melt water to raise global sea levels by 400' didn't cause the AMOC to stop but the current melting in ice sheets with indistinguishable sea level rise is causing it to stop. That is much like the melting permafrost consisting of preserved plant matter being a net carbon emitter rather than a net carbon sink despite the conditions being present that caused the plant matter to be deposited there in the first place providing the source of the carbon emissions now. Climastrology is cognitive dissonance, all the way down.
@Georgewin1er
@Georgewin1er 4 күн бұрын
This video is so wonderfully made. I like the way you present the Earth with interspersed storms throughout the world which all fit together like a puzzle piece with and result from things like the Amoc, glacial melting. So cool
@JBaxter-pi8oj
@JBaxter-pi8oj 5 күн бұрын
Thank you. A very interesting and well -presented series. Best wishes!
@waynetodd3620
@waynetodd3620 4 күн бұрын
I see the carbon fraud continues CO2 is not the problem and never was - ITS PLANT FOOD people!! This fraud is a way for Governments to tax and control the populous it is making some people very rich. This very program stated that 28,000 years ago IT was warmer then now! didn't see a lot of cars back then!!! The world has been colder way longer then it's been warm enjoy it while it lasts because Ice ages are very long and not any fun. The climate is affected by so many things like the Milankovitch cycles ...which includes the shape of Earth's orbit (its eccentricity), the angle that Earth's axis is tilted with respect to Earth's orbital plane (its obliquity), and the direction that Earth's spin axis is pointed (its precession). People have no problem understanding the four seasons but some how don't think the sun has much impact on our climate...REALLY. Fossil fuels are not the problem it's BAD science that is the problem, poor temp gather data, and global weather models that have never worked. WAKE up people the Carbon Fraud needs to end!!!
@PigeonsSoapbox
@PigeonsSoapbox 3 күн бұрын
The initial graph is extremely scary. At this point, anyone denying this reality is either dishonest or stupid.
@kmoses582
@kmoses582 3 күн бұрын
A graph that shows the past 50 years of Earths 4.5 billion years is scary for the alarmist
@PigeonsSoapbox
@PigeonsSoapbox 3 күн бұрын
@@kmoses582 It's exactly because the change has happened in only a few decades (and it's accelerating), that we should be alarmed. As you say, 50 years in geological timeframes is nothing, so that shows you how fast is everything happening.
@kmoses582
@kmoses582 3 күн бұрын
@@PigeonsSoapbox You probably think that comparing thermometer data with data from mud is about the same
@TomZen-k6q
@TomZen-k6q 3 күн бұрын
This whole video is mainly pseudo scientific climate alarmism. THE SKY IS FALLING! THE SKY IS FALLING!
@nolongerblocked6210
@nolongerblocked6210 3 күн бұрын
​@@kmoses582 I kno it shouldn't be but it's still surprising seeing someone denying climate change, try reading more & quit listening to biased sources
@mhub3576
@mhub3576 2 күн бұрын
Love your and your team's very informative and timely content. Thank you.
@o.h.w-ok
@o.h.w-ok 5 күн бұрын
I’m so sorry. I love science and the earth but I’m too overwhelmed right now. I’ll check back later ⏰
@ili_711
@ili_711 4 күн бұрын
No Problem, take your time
@XAndrew88
@XAndrew88 5 күн бұрын
This literally says over and over that the AMOC collapsed without humans...
@quickmythril2398
@quickmythril2398 5 күн бұрын
YES, exactly. :)
@stainlesssteellemming3885
@stainlesssteellemming3885 4 күн бұрын
Well, if you're gong to take that tack. The AMOC was probably non-existent once you get more than a few tens of millions of years in the past. Without an Atlantic Ocean, you have no AMOC. So, it's all good I guess?
@quickmythril2398
@quickmythril2398 4 күн бұрын
@@stainlesssteellemming3885 yes, it's all good. there are major cycles in the earth, sun, and galaxy. humans are a speck of dust compared to all that. to pretend like we could influence it, is like trying to steer the titanic by paddling with a plastic spoon.
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
Yes but if you turn off your brain and reach the cognitive level of a zombie you too can become a climate cultist.
@FiremanBrian2010
@FiremanBrian2010 2 күн бұрын
But we still have brainwashed idiots out here running around that man alone is responsible for global warming 🙄
@drbuckley1
@drbuckley1 4 күн бұрын
"'Did you ever see such a winter as this?' asked one sufferer of another. 'Yes, last summer,' was the answer." James Quin
@granitfog
@granitfog 5 күн бұрын
My conclusion: we are doomed, not to extinction but to drasticly reduced quality of life due to extemes of climate, first heating that will displace large populations due to flood and fire and cause increased costs in goods and loose of insurability. (Later by the AMOC collapse perhaps) More imigration and reduced food and land resources leading to stresses on democratic institutions and less international cooperation. All favoring greater autocratic governments and more war. Humans will adapt but at a cost to civilization and population. Perhaps this is the "great population reset" needed for the next (22nd) century. This is based on 1) the fact that climate change first discussed in the late 1980's when atmospheric CO2 in 1990 was 354 ppm. This is now over 420 and rising every year by 1 - 2 ppm. In 1990, CO2 emissions totaled 19.5 GT. This is now over 36 GT. (Pre industrial atmospheric CO2 was 280, and emissions in 1940s was less than 5 GT) 2) during the covid year when basicly the entire world economic activity was drasticly reduced, the Amospheric CO2 continued to rise but at a slightly lower rate. CO2 emissions did fall by 1.9 GT between 2019 and 2020. But atmospheric CO2 continued to rise. 3) Humanity will not tolerate economic slow down of the covid years as a perminant condition. 4) even if we have Zero increase in emissions, because the half life of CO2 is measured in over a century,which means that for at least a generation or two, Climate change will continue. 5) feed back loop-processes progressing toward their feed back point: loss of arctic ice, wild fires (contributing to greenhouse gasses and soot spread by wind to fall on glaciers facilitating melt), and permafrost melting.
@timleiferblunderbuss
@timleiferblunderbuss 5 күн бұрын
This is the MOST intelligent analysis of all the comments made. I agree wholeheartedly with this summary of ideas!
@quickmythril2398
@quickmythril2398 5 күн бұрын
but who is "we"? people in cold areas will enjoy a much less severe environment. more people die from cold than heat. look into the data.
@granitfog
@granitfog 4 күн бұрын
@@quickmythril2398 "We" refers to civiliized humanity as whole. As I said, suvival of the species is likely, just not at the levels of civilization we currently enjoy. regarding "more people die of..." current causes of death will be less relevant in a climate change future due to 1) increasing heat which whch will displace current cold, 2) delitarious effect on farming with displacement of rain fall areas, drought, flooding and fire, 3) and my biggest concern is diseasse due to either migration of tropical disease into current areas too cold to support them, or from melting permafront releasing a pathogen for which current immune systems are not prepared (especially fungus or virus).
@quickmythril2398
@quickmythril2398 4 күн бұрын
@@granitfog what??? "current causes of death will be less relevant in a climate change future due to increasing heat which whch will displace current cold" ... uhh if there are deaths due to cold, and the cold is displaced, that means less deaths from cold. how is that not relevant?
@timothyrussell4445
@timothyrussell4445 4 күн бұрын
Population is set to fall dramatically anyway because of much lower birth rates.
@marquendra
@marquendra 5 күн бұрын
I do believe it could collapse. With all the negative impacts humans are still creating due to not wanting to change our way of life or can’t afford to do, it will reach negative consequences before any massive positive changes are put into effect. From my observations, I feel that those at the top want to squeeze every second of the money driven aspects of life before they switch to caring about the impact it has on our world. They will likely find a way to monetize things after it’s all collapsed.
@themanicfiddler1152
@themanicfiddler1152 4 күн бұрын
Yeah of course they do, and this is only made worse by the fact that all the profits they make now will be worth NOTHING if we do reach a tipping point and it ends up causing an effective collapse of civilization. Because it's ultimately corporations and their fiscal revenues which run the world, not the politicians, they just pretend to.
@mildredmickle4434
@mildredmickle4434 4 күн бұрын
Thank you for such an informative video, and thank you to the folks like bettergames6259 who in the comments explained what AMOC is-Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. It is frightening to think that human stupidity, greed, arrogance, and disrespect towards the air, water, and land that supports and feeds us will result in the demise of many. If you overpopulate Earth which upsets the ecological balance, then the Earth’s ecological balance will do things to rebalance the scales. I agree that the movie “The Day After Tomorrow” is problematic; however, it is a movie. Still the most compelling line in that film comes to mind when I think about ecological imbalance-to quote Ian Holm’s character in the movie, “The Day After Tomorrow”: “Save as many as you can.”
@Caligator89
@Caligator89 5 күн бұрын
i absolutely hate how they always boil it down to *only* carbon emissions. its a disservice to the subject to simplify the complexities of this system to put it down to only a single thing.
@BrianK-zz4fk
@BrianK-zz4fk 5 күн бұрын
follow the money, everything about covid was, this is no different. My problem is just showing 20 years graphes then 150k year graphs to say we are in trouble? A thousand years is a blip on earths timeframe and dont care how good a geologist is but probably couldnt get the past right within 10k years.
@Sam-fb1nq
@Sam-fb1nq 5 күн бұрын
@@BrianK-zz4fk And they always have to say May,,Might,,,Could happen... etc... Just so they can say they weren't wrong 20 years from now.
@BrianK-zz4fk
@BrianK-zz4fk 5 күн бұрын
@ No Al Gore won an award saying NYC would be underwater 5 years ago🙄. Why people listen to this is beyond stupid.
@waynetodd3620
@waynetodd3620 4 күн бұрын
"A theory that explains everything explains NOTHING! " I see the carbon fraud continues CO2 is not the problem and never was - ITS PLANT FOOD people!! This fraud is a way for Governments to tax and control the populous it is making some people very rich. This very program stated that 28,000 years ago IT was warmer then now! didn't see a lot of cars back then!!! The world has been colder way longer then it's been warm enjoy it while it lasts because Ice ages are very long and not any fun. The climate is affected by so many things like the Milankovitch cycles ...which includes the shape of Earth's orbit (its eccentricity), the angle that Earth's axis is tilted with respect to Earth's orbital plane (its obliquity), and the direction that Earth's spin axis is pointed (its precession). People have no problem understanding the four seasons but some how don't think the sun has much impact on our climate...REALLY. Fossil fuels are not the problem it's BAD science that is the problem, poor temp gather data, and global weather models that have never worked. WAKE up people the Carbon Fraud needs to end!!!
@willdeit6057
@willdeit6057 Күн бұрын
@@Sam-fb1nq Again
@mehtamorphosis
@mehtamorphosis 4 күн бұрын
I appreciate that you are centering the health of the planet. Your visualizations are impactful. It helps us see how the planet is alive- breathing and circulating nutrients through its oceans and air over land. These circulations are vital for its health. It is our responsibility as human beings to take care of our planet and manage its healthy function-like we ought to do for our own body. I wish more people take care of their own bodies and do the same for the planet. ❤
@uditfonseka
@uditfonseka 4 күн бұрын
Canada has Polar Bears at the same latitude as Birmingham, England.
@keinenvlogs3232
@keinenvlogs3232 5 күн бұрын
I just want some snowy winters again😢
@Michael0663-qo4wx
@Michael0663-qo4wx 5 күн бұрын
I know, it’s going to be raining again on Xmas instead of snow.
@themanicfiddler1152
@themanicfiddler1152 4 күн бұрын
Better normal rain than acid rain. Or fiery rain. Or earthquakes, monster storms and super-lightning. We still have it good, it's just depressing at the moment, not deadly. I mean hell, there's still the option to "opt out" before it gets really bad. In the future death may just come for you or any of your loved ones irregardless of what you do. So, my advice? Just quit yer whining, boy, and enjoy yourself some merry, rainy Christmas! 🎄🌧🌧
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
Some places in NY have already got more than 6 feet of snow this fall.
@quand_meme
@quand_meme 3 күн бұрын
Thanks to the warming, I can ride a bike in Poland all year round. Quite a ride yesterday. I won't have to build up my form in the spring from the very beginning. 😅
@quand_meme
@quand_meme 3 күн бұрын
Thanks to the warming, I can ride a bike in Poland all year round. Quite a ride yesterday. I won't have to build up my form in the spring from the very beginning. 😅
@NOJSIP
@NOJSIP 4 күн бұрын
Thank You for the knowledge. That was the best explanation I have seen on the importance of the AMOC.
@stevecrowley9371
@stevecrowley9371 3 күн бұрын
Sorry, but our economics aren't going to change enough to allow a sufficient decrease in carbon build-up. The AMOC will not survive. Once the societal pain is enough to change the economics, Mother Nature will have already simply moved on to a very different reality. Ouch.
@williamblue9996
@williamblue9996 5 күн бұрын
keep up the good reporting stay safe , well and brave
@markdormer7959
@markdormer7959 4 күн бұрын
the following is more serious than cynical, but there are a few things that have got me thinking: - If the AMOC keeps collapsing over millions of years due to global warming, without us, then how does us our CO2 materially change the cycle? - If the heating of the AMOC, thereby causing it's collapse, encourages global cooling, then what is the major concern of us being within an interglacial warming period, which again happens with or without us? - CO2 being the main input source for plants and green life on the planet is also produced through the natural breaking down of methane. Methane being the major output of biological decay, creates CO2 which is absorbed by plantlife, which create fruits/veg/nuts/pollen, etc, etc....and some of the largest zones for this are monsoon flood zones/flat-lands....is this show insinuating that we need to reduce floodlands used as a significant part of our delicate eco-system by reducing rainfall?? - Is it just me, or does the video really just confirm that the planet is in constant flux, and we (as a race bent on survival at any cost) don't want to face the inevitability of the next pending move in the constantly advancing natural global adjustment and are therefore striving for solutions to fight against nature ?? (that we basically cannot accept that the world is changing regardless of our efforts, and that we, in the delusional belief that our species is eternal, need to fix the planet???) I was always a bit 'on the fence' when reading how farming is a high carbon industry, when I also realise that vast acreage is destroyed on a regular basis for development of more industrial zones...the same green acreage that would have been absorbing the carbon output from farming.........natural carbon capture plants. This video about the AMOC , I think, just swung me into the inevitability of our situation, no matter what we do. Our collective output has a micro-fractional impact on the natural order of things, and coupled with the weakening magnetic field (which also causes heating through increased solar radiation) the next stage is coming, and mining heavy metals to create electric cars, flying fruits and vegetables all over the world, and recycling your tinfoil hat wont change a thing.
@Alan-lv9rw
@Alan-lv9rw 4 күн бұрын
If the ice sheet will reach New York City and Chicago, I’m glad I live in Dallas, Texas which is at the same latitude as Cairo, Egypt.
@joannmay-anthony1076
@joannmay-anthony1076 3 күн бұрын
actuality, the ice sheet came down as far as the middle of wPA in E-W direction.
@donaldhester6555
@donaldhester6555 4 күн бұрын
If I am getting this correctly, you think that the AMOC is slowing due to global warming because of CO2 emissions, but once it slows or stops, the earth will begin the glacial cycle that is going to happen anyway and the earth will get dramatically cooler, affecting rainfall, which is going to come in areas previously not getting much creating more methane. If this is true, wouldn't this also prevent methane now rising fron areas where permafrost is thawing? Wouldn't cooler northern European temps also cause the Greenland ice sheet to reglaciate instead of melting? That sounds alot like a loop of warm and cool periods. One thing is obvious in this video, and that is the fact that we are nearing the end of a warming period that is a natural cycle and we still are several degrees temperature below the last warming cycle. I think the Milankavitch cycles are the most dominant factor while you never mentioned that at all, as if it doesn't exist.I suspect that the AMOC will cycle more rapidly if what your evidence provides is correct but will eventually reach a point where the Milankovitch cycles make it a permanent cooling until the next interglacial rather than expediting the next glacial period of the current ice age. Trust me, you do not want to see another deep freezing glacial period where the ice is many miles thick and most of earth is covered in ice, but history shows that it will happen. Humanity needs to plan for this with every modern technological advantage we can muster. I also do not trust any science that does not include the amount of CO2 produced by breathing animals such as 8 BILLION humans. I need to see and hear from scientists who account for all factors rather than just CO2 and wild predictions that exclude all other factors. For example, If CO2 that represents about .04% of the current atmosphere is such a driving factor, what caused the melting of the glaciers before mankind even existed? Where did such an enormous amount of CO2 come from to cause warming enough to cause the current interglacial warm period? The answer is there, but scientists affiliated with the IPCC are not interested in anything that could stop cash flow to them and their never ending studies on CO2. They really should get to the bottom of what created all warming and cooling periods.
@cyber5515
@cyber5515 4 күн бұрын
"I think the Milankovitch cycles are the most dominant factor". I agree. Plus, the ice core data shows that when the temperature drops, due to the Milankovitch cycles, the ocean dramatically absorbs much of the CO2 in the atmosphere. By destroying the entire fossil fuel industry, our ability to put some CO2 back to keep the planet warm is gone.
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
Don't try to apply any logic to their dogma or they will call you a denier - ironically a religious term.
@willdeit6057
@willdeit6057 Күн бұрын
As well as the Milankovitch cycles the Earth tilt also has an effect.
@PhilipEvang
@PhilipEvang 5 күн бұрын
Great report - the key issue is getting people informed. But then what - how do we turn information into action?
@CRneu
@CRneu 5 күн бұрын
I dont think we really can. Most people don't want to change their behavior and that's the only thing that will save us. We can't wait for corporations or governments to do anything. The time for that was 40 years ago. People need to go vegan, reduce their emissions, and stop buying stuff they dont need. The average US Citizen can cut their emissions by nearly 50% with nothing but behavioral changes. As a country we could cut our climate impact by a similar amount without asking politicians to do a thing. These things could happen immediately. Unfortunately we have the mentality that "China is worse" which just kicks the can down the road. We have conservatives who still refuse to even acknowledge the problem exists. We have therapists telling everyone to go ahead and buy another latte because you had a hard day. The can is constantly being kicked down the road by everyone because accepting that we all have some responsibility is too depressing or too hard. It's sad. We're all responsible everyday we don't do something about it.
@Esrom_music
@Esrom_music 4 күн бұрын
the most terrifying part of this video was the call to action at the end for people to leave comments about their opinions. please keep making the content people need to hear rather than crowd soursing theirs wants for the benifit of capital. no good can come from that
@Pyrothekilla
@Pyrothekilla 4 күн бұрын
Just one thing, you keep mentioning fahrenheit, a uniquely American thing... why not use a measuring method that is used as standard by the scientific community globally, as well as about 99% of the planet... celsius?
@AshleyReynolds-vc6ly
@AshleyReynolds-vc6ly 4 күн бұрын
Because Americans think the world centres around them - but only the ones who realise there is a world outside the USA.
@stainlesssteellemming3885
@stainlesssteellemming3885 4 күн бұрын
Perhaps because the US has one of the highest concentration of climate deniers on the planet? In which case, you want to frame the data in terms they are familiar with.
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
Because Fahrenheit is more precise, scaled for normal temperature variation at the planet surface, invented just for that purpose, by the guy that invented the thermometer.
@thomashenshallhydraxis
@thomashenshallhydraxis 3 күн бұрын
I’ll believe it when I see it. But for forty years I’ve heard earth is right around the corner of collapse
@JamesTulip
@JamesTulip 2 күн бұрын
@@thomashenshallhydraxis 40 years is an eye blink for geological processes. Even rapid ones like climate change. 40 years ago, we could tell something was going to happen. And now it's happening. Right now. Climate change isn't the future, it's the present.
@J4Zonian
@J4Zonian 2 күн бұрын
@tho You’ve heard what exactly, from whom exactly?
@willdeit6057
@willdeit6057 Күн бұрын
@@J4Zonian From those scientist's who preach doom and gloom as stated by our Main Stream Media, (who don't tell us who.) and this right the way back to 1960.
@rosscarter24
@rosscarter24 4 күн бұрын
I find it odd that we are being shown how all these patterns have occured naturally many times before, but then being told that this time it's our fault and we can do something to change it.🤔
@LinasMuliolisC21Homestar
@LinasMuliolisC21Homestar 5 күн бұрын
Saltwater farming in desert coastal areas. Rain retention/reclamation systems in deserts like they are working on in India and parts of Africa. These create green areas which will also work as carbon sinks, and also keep those areas cooler.
@bigtexuntex7825
@bigtexuntex7825 4 күн бұрын
In the United States, the current war on science is getting worse, and education is also worsening. We have politicized this issue to the point that half of the US population feels it a duty to ignore the issue, even if they believe it is real. So as long as politics drives the conversation, there will never be enough consensus to do something about it in the US. The war on science can't be ignored, or swept under the rug. The war on science will prevent any successful outcome. We have a situation where we can't even ask these questions because politics doesn't allow a consensus.
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
Lol science is in the dark ages and climastrology is a big part of it. Ironically the brainwashing centers you call education has prevented you from having enough critical thinking skills to see the cult of climastrology for what it is.
@gravitonthongs1363
@gravitonthongs1363 4 күн бұрын
@@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa science is the problem …sure 😂
@nickolasturner
@nickolasturner 4 күн бұрын
Science doesn’t care for belief, it will happen regardless. Humans will need to be creative if we are to survive as a species if we can reach a point of disruption of the global climate in less then 200000 years of existence
@gj1234567899999
@gj1234567899999 4 күн бұрын
“According to climate models this gigantic blob the size of a continent shouldn’t be there” maybe the climate model is very very wrong then
@AlsFoodForest
@AlsFoodForest 5 күн бұрын
the doubt about amoc collapse will not survive the 2050's. the impotent political machine of the old world will not avoid this catastrophe of our own making. the old system is and must collapse so future generation can build with lessons learned. who can we blame? it is our own persistent ignorance that is the cause 🙂
@crw-bm7mm
@crw-bm7mm 4 күн бұрын
It does not matter how many facts you give some people, they will still ignore what is staring them in the face. Just look at the recent U.S. election.
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 4 күн бұрын
What fact is that, that your IQ is ~ 70?
@crw-bm7mm
@crw-bm7mm 14 сағат бұрын
@whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa lol, you must be one of the uneducated.
@berserkirclaws107
@berserkirclaws107 4 күн бұрын
Great video BUT couldn't you have wait the beginning of next year to publish it?
@JamesTulip
@JamesTulip 3 күн бұрын
One of my concerns is that Paleoclimate records are all 'lagging' indicators - it takes time for any change in experiential climate (weather) to show up as a smoothed record in sediments etc. So all the rosy forecasts of 'by the end of the century' and 'in a few decades' could be fairly optimistic. The whole nature of 'tipping points' is that things change rapidly from one equilibrium to another.
@kanaancross317
@kanaancross317 3 күн бұрын
When this fully hits we will likely entire at least a new mini Ice-age and possibly a full ice age
@Les_S537
@Les_S537 3 күн бұрын
We're already IN an ice age right now, so to say we're going to enter into a new one would be completely illogical.
@kanaancross317
@kanaancross317 3 күн бұрын
@ we are in the warm up period, what is going on now could speed us up to the start of a cool down back to a full ice age.
@Mylesy-x8s
@Mylesy-x8s 4 күн бұрын
This sounds pretty intense....and the speaker is fine as hell too
@helloming1010
@helloming1010 3 күн бұрын
Hi PBS Terra, I recently watched 'The Day After Tomorrow'. How close to reality would the events in the movie happen should the AMOC collapse?
@HealingLifeKwikly
@HealingLifeKwikly 3 күн бұрын
Vastly exaggerated. No super cyclones or instant freezing of people, just the north gets colder and the tropics get warmer--but less of the Earth will be comfortable for humans.
@nsbd90now
@nsbd90now 4 күн бұрын
It's amazing how people figured out how to learn such things.
@masterlotiondmt
@masterlotiondmt 3 күн бұрын
No one is talking about how devastating global cooling would be... another ice age would be catastrophic
@haven216
@haven216 3 күн бұрын
Fortunately, transitions to glacial periods take tens of thousands of years
@stevenhartley1350
@stevenhartley1350 4 күн бұрын
I’m from the UK and what terrifies me is that after 10 or so years of looking into renewable energy sources and finally seeing the light on moving away from fossil fuels some countries are starting to get governments that are climate change denier’s and want to reintroduce our reliance upon fossil fuels. However there are also some countries that are more than happy to buy Oil, Gas and poor quality coal from countries that are under restrictions and are exporting to countries like China, India and some Eastern European countries which are getting these fuels at a discounted price. Wa also have countries that have a vested interest in selling fossil fuels to stay rich and relevant energy providers. For example Russia is currently producing some of the dirtiest coal in the world and exporting it to whoever is willing to buy it at a huge cost saving, however the countries that are buying it are using it to produce cheap electricity for their expanding energy requirements for their expanding economies. Until the world is willing to invest in renewable energy we are just going to destroy our environment and by then it will be too late. Heck even the UK no longer uses coal to produce electricity.
@Les_S537
@Les_S537 4 күн бұрын
There is no "too late" in this discussion my friend. Look, it is UNDOUBTEDLY true to say that mankind has INADVERTENLY geo-engineered himself into a corner with his use of fossil fuels, but it is also true to say that mankind can PURPOSEFULLY geo-engineer himself out of that corner as well. Will the road be a little bumpy? Sure, but man made climate change is NOT going to be the end of the world. We have added a lot of carbon into the carbon cycle, and yes that is warming the planet some, but at the same time we can also work to remove that carbon from the carbon cycle which will in turn cool the climate back down. Relax, things will be fine.
@willdeit6057
@willdeit6057 Күн бұрын
where do you think the UK has outsourced its carbon producing industry to. All electrical products rely on Co2 production your heating, lighting and movement also rely on Co2, You're living relies on Co2 what do you think keeps the plants alive which produce our Oxygen, we are in a mini ice age and coming out of it means it gets warmer and when its to hot it goes into another ice age. this planet has cycled through both many time and will continue to do so till the end.
@drumcircler
@drumcircler 4 күн бұрын
Climate Alarms must be amplified, not muted.
@kmoses582
@kmoses582 4 күн бұрын
Climate alarmist are always right
@johntracy72
@johntracy72 4 күн бұрын
That cold spot near Iceland explains why they were significantly colder last winter. Reykjavik never got that cold when I lived there from 1986 to 1988.
@omarlopez8596
@omarlopez8596 2 сағат бұрын
Thanks for this! However there was not much coverage on the ITCZ, there is paleoecological evidence of its shifts, are them related to the AMOC?
@dh2032
@dh2032 4 күн бұрын
Do you think it might have anything to do with all the icebergs in that area? (e.g. the TITANUC famously runs into one of them icebergs?)
@photon6668
@photon6668 4 күн бұрын
I love these graphs out of nowhere, without any citations nor data sources
@Furredface
@Furredface 2 күн бұрын
How long have they been measuring ocean temperatures?
@stefannielsen5991
@stefannielsen5991 2 күн бұрын
Can this and rising volceno activity be connectet?
@tcsmagicbox
@tcsmagicbox 4 күн бұрын
Even without a full collapse, the changes can affect us drastically.
@evanwiechert3168
@evanwiechert3168 3 күн бұрын
Dope, can’t wait
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