The United States Just Went Into Deflation

  Рет қаралды 75,163

Sasha Yanshin

Sasha Yanshin

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 762
@KaffeeSpot
@KaffeeSpot Ай бұрын
Anyone who actually lives in the US will tell you this is BS
@nicholascarter9158
@nicholascarter9158 Ай бұрын
Prices aren't really up compared to three weeks ago. This is data comparing August to July, not August to January.
@Jaaj2009
@Jaaj2009 Ай бұрын
Both points can be true at the same time, who would notice an average decline of 0.1% on anything?
@lambda653
@lambda653 Ай бұрын
Wages haven't risen, that's why it still feels like inflation is still a big problem.
@nicholascarter9158
@nicholascarter9158 Ай бұрын
@@lambda653 In the sense that inflation is the reduction of all dollars' value, it's not really inflation if your wages don't go up.
@EzraMerr
@EzraMerr Ай бұрын
It's a bull whip effect investors feel it now consumers will feel it later 5x worse
@TheRustyLM
@TheRustyLM Ай бұрын
My food bill nearly doubled in last year. Rent up $200. I don’t see anything deflating.
@floridaman4073
@floridaman4073 Ай бұрын
Your wallet
Ай бұрын
Groceries only up 25% since 2 months ago. Sweet cooling economy.
@financecrypto7285
@financecrypto7285 Ай бұрын
it's only just starting, there's 17 months of M2 reduction to be priced into the market.
@Jam_Fam
@Jam_Fam Ай бұрын
Prices lag behind especially with rent. You can’t really change rent every month or day, same with grocery prices. Stuff happens usually at an annual rate. Deflation is a slow process of people buying less causing an individual dollar to have much more worth. This rescinding of money we spend makes it more hard to make money as companies or brands. Slowly this will force companies to pull back prices leading to deflation.
@richardmenz3257
@richardmenz3257 Ай бұрын
Both can be true sadly. The price of needs can go up a lot while high end goods can because 1/2 the price making everything look better for people in reality it isn’t the case. Just rich people got discounts on the toys they can buy.
@billmoore2606
@billmoore2606 Ай бұрын
It needs to go into deflation. It's so expensive to live in the US, I moved to the Philippines.
@MnemonicCarrier
@MnemonicCarrier Ай бұрын
I moved to the UK, that was expensive too, so then moved to Russia. Back in the UK at the moment, trying to sell one remaining apartment. Can't wait to get back to Russia.
@pedros1
@pedros1 Ай бұрын
What do you do for living in Phili?
@pedros1
@pedros1 Ай бұрын
​@@MnemonicCarrierI got laid off last week, I returned everything what I bought last month in Amazon and started using food bank, as soon as I get my US passport I am going to return to Russia where my cost of living $500/month!!! Jerome Powell must be in a prison!
@MnemonicCarrier
@MnemonicCarrier Ай бұрын
@@pedros1 Ah man, sorry to hear it! A couple of my close friends back in the States got laid off too - they were working in IT. One of them has applied for over 500 jobs, hasn't even got an interview yet. Its been 8 months now, he's gonna have to move back in with his parents as he burnt through his savings (mostly on rent). A friend in Germany told me things are pretty grim there too. Anyway, take care, hope you find a new job soon!
@bash102
@bash102 Ай бұрын
@@MnemonicCarrier Russia ? You cant wait to go back to Russia..
@muhdiversity7409
@muhdiversity7409 Ай бұрын
Already lost my job. Not really interested in participating in propping up this system anymore.
@RichPober
@RichPober Ай бұрын
Me too.
@demoix
@demoix Ай бұрын
But how can you survive then?
@bangdobrich
@bangdobrich Ай бұрын
You either participate in this corrupt illogical greedy circus or get completely thrown out of society, what are you gonna do, move to Ukraine or Thailand? One is no longer an option... Trust me I believed in being out of the system too, but that will get more difficult.
Ай бұрын
Have you considered becoming a candidate of choice.
@giant0mantis
@giant0mantis Ай бұрын
​@@bangdobrichWhy did you pick Ukraine and Thailand of all places
@danburke6568
@danburke6568 2 ай бұрын
I hope you do a deep look into the UK. The jokes would be amazing and give the USA a bit of hope.
@feersum3433
@feersum3433 Ай бұрын
He doesnt care about uk, he just wants drama, the uk was already totally fucked by the conservatives
@JoanneBurford09
@JoanneBurford09 Ай бұрын
When the US only added 114K (revised down to 90K) permanent FT jobs in July and Australia added 58K, with 14x the population, you know you're in trouble.
@pedros1
@pedros1 Ай бұрын
Bezos promised humanoids would save Americans! UBI for everybody! Free housing, free food, free healthcare in 2025!
@rath6375
@rath6375 Ай бұрын
@@pedros1 TANSTAAFL
@geeeee8268
@geeeee8268 Ай бұрын
@@pedros1 Humanoids make as much sense as five legged dogs.
@DanielBerkness
@DanielBerkness Ай бұрын
Australia does not have 14X the population of the US.
@jdoedoenet
@jdoedoenet Ай бұрын
@@DanielBerkness Around 10x last time I checked. EDIT: Just verified...it's now ~12.5x.
@tatianastarcic
@tatianastarcic Ай бұрын
Considering the shaky economy, I'm keen to know best, how people split their pay, how much of it goes into savings, spendings or investments. I’d be retiring/working much less in 5 years, and sometimes earn up to $160K per year, but nothing to show for it yet.
@Vincent-j8u
@Vincent-j8u Ай бұрын
thats personal, you should connect with an advisor for proper financial/investment planning, never can tell what the future holds
@sharonwinson-m8g
@sharonwinson-m8g Ай бұрын
No doubt, having the right plan is invaluable, my portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 100% rise from early last year. I and my CFP are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take till Q4 2024.
@TinaJames222
@TinaJames222 Ай бұрын
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
@sharonwinson-m8g
@sharonwinson-m8g Ай бұрын
I've shuffled through investment coaches and yes, they can be positively impactful to an individual's portfolio, but do your due diligence to find a coach with grit, one that withstood the 08' crash. For me, Melissa Terri Swayne turned out to be better and smarter than all the advisors I ever worked with till date, I’ve never met anyone with as much conviction.
@carolined5923
@carolined5923 Ай бұрын
Have a look at the richest man in Babylon it tells the % to put on each
@Aglai76
@Aglai76 2 ай бұрын
In my opinion we have 2 paths before us: Slowing *real* economy with *INflation* Knock-ons being lower employment & ever increasing prices [a.k.a. Stagflation] (only beneficial for wealthy asset holders) Slowing *real* economy with *DEflation* Knock-ons being lower employment but *DEcreasing* prices (bad for those with assets Good in the long run for the vast majority of the population) The latter seems overwhelmingly preferable to the vast majority of us Millenials & zoomers who can't afford to then think about the American dream thanks to this wildly overinflated economy
@truthseeker2222
@truthseeker2222 Ай бұрын
Guess who makes policy decisions? Hint, its not the majority of the population. The decision makers dont give a shit about you or I.
@overcaffeinatedengineering
@overcaffeinatedengineering Ай бұрын
The problem in Japan for the second half of the century was inflation, not deflation. They experienced stagflation for decades, which has hurt Japanese consumers.
@connorlewis3946
@connorlewis3946 Ай бұрын
The problem with the later is you can only lower rates so much. Japan has had nearly zero interest rate for decades and struggled because of it. With inflation there are tools the fed has to control it somewhat
@Zero-s7k
@Zero-s7k Ай бұрын
We have not entered into deflation yet lmao lol. Lowering of interest rates means a recession and inflation. Government spending is too high to cause deflation lol. That's not how economic works lol. If they lessing the monetary surplus aka take liquidity out of circulation then yes. Dropping interest rates means they will going back to quantitative easing(printing money) meaning putting money into the economy to stimulate growth. Excess money supply is directly tied to inflation. The more money in circulation than less purchasing power you. Like if everyone has gold ,gold would be worthless. If everyone has dollars, then that means there are more dollars in circulation than people actually need. He is wrong We will entee into deflation with the assets bubbles pop like in China's housing market. China is experiencing deflation. When the housing bubble pops because no one meets the financial requirements to buy a house or car then we have deflation.
@AaronStatic
@AaronStatic Ай бұрын
Its not just "lower employment" in your second path. It's absolute Great Depression style bedlam
@geeeee8268
@geeeee8268 Ай бұрын
Honestly, about 15-20% deflation wouldn't hurt right now. Even if it means my real estate goes down a bit in value.
@phil8830
@phil8830 Ай бұрын
This is a silly comment: deflation means high unemployment, which means high social unrest, which means rationing, means total misery. High prices do not cause so much misery, so no deflation with lower employment is a total.disaster, and the democrats are leading the US straight into it!
@conceicaod
@conceicaod Ай бұрын
I'm only disappointed that I can give you only one like.
@Loundsify
@Loundsify Ай бұрын
15-20% deflation would be a lot further house drops than that.
@johnsealy4957
@johnsealy4957 2 ай бұрын
Sasha, thank you for providing vital and real information that us plebs have no way of learning through listening to MSM propoganda.
@renaissanceman5847
@renaissanceman5847 Ай бұрын
except the market recovered from the crash mid morning and is now ripping higher.
@MrMont804
@MrMont804 Ай бұрын
@@renaissanceman5847stop sir
@Zero-s7k
@Zero-s7k Ай бұрын
We have not entered into deflation yet lmao lol. Lowering of interest rates means a recession and inflation. Government spending is too high to cause deflation lol. That's not how economic works lol. If they lessing the monetary surplus aka take liquidity out of circulation then yes. Dropping interest rates means they will going back to quantitative easing(printing money) meaning putting money into the economy to stimulate growth. Excess money supply is directly tied to inflation. The more money in circulation than less purchasing power you. Like if everyone has gold ,gold would be worthless. If everyone has dollars, then that means there are more dollars in circulation than people actually need. He is wrong We will entee into deflation with the assets bubbles pop like in China's housing market. China is experiencing deflation. When the housing bubble pops because no one meets the financial requirements to buy a house or car then we have deflation.
@Trapped42
@Trapped42 Ай бұрын
Yo I don't think we have enough "lol's" in that pinky out posh ass explanation there guy
@Zero-s7k
@Zero-s7k Ай бұрын
@@Trapped42 it's funny because it's very simplistic economic that's why it's 🤣🤣🤣. I don't understand how people slave over a job everyday for money and haven't woken up or taught themselves how money works lol. That why it's funny 🤣🤣🤣. Y'all have no clue the events about to unfold.
@martik83
@martik83 2 ай бұрын
literally two minutes ago I checked for a new video and here it is!!
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 2 ай бұрын
😎
@modelsnstuffreveiws6628
@modelsnstuffreveiws6628 Ай бұрын
All I know is this, stock market goes up I get fired to help boost a great quarter report into stellar. Stock market goes down and they immediatly cut me to massage a bad quarter report, but maybe house prices fall to a point I can buy or maybe things get cheaper as they chase customers to come back. I honestly barely care I get fired regardless
@BeeptheLesser
@BeeptheLesser Ай бұрын
Nice analogy
@RitchDixon
@RitchDixon Ай бұрын
The deflation is a natural adjustment in the market. Prices are lowering to meet what is affordable for people. Prices rise too high. There's no point selling a widget for 2 units at a 50% margin when people can only afford 1 per unit. There's growth. Then there's greed.
@wallace-bv4rl
@wallace-bv4rl Ай бұрын
A rather reductive argument when you’ve presumably listened to Sasha for quite a few minutes. That is to say he addressed this
@RitchDixon
@RitchDixon Ай бұрын
@@wallace-bv4rl Yeah, but i wrote this message only a few seconds into watching the video. Time is a bugger. You weren't to know that i wrote this before he started talking. Thank you for your input. I am slightly more wiser after our interaction.
@elmersbalm5219
@elmersbalm5219 Ай бұрын
This is risking becoming stagflation. The working class has been forced for decades. The correction isn't going to be quick or simple.
@Loundsify
@Loundsify Ай бұрын
This guy gets it.
@quixomega
@quixomega 2 ай бұрын
A lot of people think inflation is high prices, not increase of prices, so you'll get a lot of complaints about "inflation" for ages after the major inflation ends.
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 2 ай бұрын
Yep - happens every time I cover this topic! 👍
@danielc-s8056
@danielc-s8056 Ай бұрын
​@SashaYanshin food in my state is up minimum of 100% for everything from prices 3 years ago. And we've essentially had no job growth in the same period when you look at just citizens. The complaints will not stop for many years.
@ExaltedDuck
@ExaltedDuck Ай бұрын
Increase of prices is a result of diluted value. Meaning, increasing prices is a lagging indicator of inflation. Inflation itself is increasing money supply and credit availability. It's a whole macroeconomic thing and is nonsensical to go through pricing sectors and baskets and say inflation occurred in one and not in another. Inflation either occurred or didn't occur in the whole economy.
@HeierMr
@HeierMr Ай бұрын
@@ExaltedDuckand it is STILL occurring. How this man can put in his thumbnail that the US has deflation is absolutely beyond me. Especially as we continue to pay for programs and the government continues to add to the debt
@justinmadonna3733
@justinmadonna3733 Ай бұрын
​@danielc-s8056 well complaining is useless. Set up your tent cities outside your politicians house. Make them fear
@mxixxj5757
@mxixxj5757 Ай бұрын
this is why i come here, fed mockery through metaphors and actual in depth facts.
@mxixxj5757
@mxixxj5757 Ай бұрын
i come back once a week to hear this fed mockery this channel is gold
@LieutenantStandby
@LieutenantStandby Ай бұрын
Lmao, I come here to laugh at Sasha believing the figures that are reported by the government. Gregory Mannarino for the US, and Maneco64 for UK. All the others are constantly repeating the nonsense that inflation has gone down or 'gone negative'. Remember, the numbers go up non stop, because someone somewhere is still creating debt. I laugh at Sasha saying that he doesn't know why the media doesn't report on it, and everyone can see the media is bought and paid for, they run damage control. Sasha is part of that.
@Christian-eh8iu
@Christian-eh8iu 2 ай бұрын
I want a tshirt with. Shelter is a lagging indicator😂
@sweshunbeats
@sweshunbeats 2 ай бұрын
I love your analogies. Engine oil, traffic lights braking distances… keep them coming 😂
@edc1569
@edc1569 Ай бұрын
That’s exciting news, I’ve never experienced deflation, sounds wildly fun!
@rubicon3416
@rubicon3416 Ай бұрын
Trust me. It isn't. If you're penniless already, maybe no big deal.
@lawLess-fs1qx
@lawLess-fs1qx Ай бұрын
banging day thanks to Jensen Interceptor at nvidia. Sasha better than any economist as usual. Thanks Dude, appreciate you bothering.
@paulcoles1567
@paulcoles1567 2 ай бұрын
As always, a great in depth analysis into the real world. Thanks for your valued input!
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 2 ай бұрын
👍🙏
@financecrypto7285
@financecrypto7285 Ай бұрын
The Fed are not that incompetent. This is by design.
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin Ай бұрын
Design to do what? Collapse the economy for no particular reason?
@financecrypto7285
@financecrypto7285 Ай бұрын
You know they want to change the financial system to bring in CBDC's and digital ID's. We're at another Bretton Woods moment.
@veejohn9681
@veejohn9681 Ай бұрын
To be replaced with something more powerful and controlling...start the fear, divide the people and introduce it. ​@@SashaYanshin
@marctorres2759
@marctorres2759 Ай бұрын
​​@@veejohn9681 These idiots really believe that the Fed doesn't know what it's doing. Their doing it by design. Their bringing in a new system. And the power to inflate is the Feds weapon of choice. The Fed is cutting rates in 5 days. And Both Presidential candidates are calling for a weaker dollar and lower rates, despite that rates are going down already anyway. And it's inflation that will decimate the middle class. This videos stats are so deceptive. Watch Gregory Mannarino videos. He tells it like it is.and his info is legit.
@Insideoutcest
@Insideoutcest Ай бұрын
@@veejohn9681 i dont see how this is all "controlled" when there are so many random variables
@pepinlebref7585
@pepinlebref7585 Ай бұрын
Salaries have not really increased, no wonder that people can't pay stuff any more. This is a pure effect of the offer and demand mechanics. Look at retailers like DG, they are getting slapped. Rather than playing on the rates, salaries should increase.
@ianbelletti6241
@ianbelletti6241 Ай бұрын
Deflation is a good thing here. It means that overinflated prices are being forced to drop. We were in a price bubble for a while. The bubble had to give at some point.
@s.e.n3264
@s.e.n3264 Ай бұрын
They're not idiots. They know
@asktoobtain
@asktoobtain Ай бұрын
Not enough kids are asking, "Where is my land?"
@schumanhuman
@schumanhuman Ай бұрын
Yes they should have cut much earlier but credit will pick up even with limited expectations of Fed movement as the bond market is noting, even with an old and slow Fed there won't be enough unemployment to stop pent up demand pushing a new housing bubble and euphoric market in 2025.
@paulomoniz7326
@paulomoniz7326 2 ай бұрын
You forgot to talk about federal government spending. All this spending by the government cause inflation too.
@BoycottYoutube
@BoycottYoutube Ай бұрын
Federal government spending and the FEDs manipulation of the dollar and interest rates are hurting the average citizen. They're trying for a soft landing to help keep the banking, insurance, and huge business and medical sectors from suffering, but it's making the everyday joe suffer most.
@_F8.
@_F8. Ай бұрын
Depends whether they tax it back or not.
@LieutenantStandby
@LieutenantStandby Ай бұрын
@@_F8. inflationi s a stealth tax, to reply "whether they tax it back or not" just shows how completely inept and reliant people are on the system, they are agent Smith's of the system.
@clementattlee6984
@clementattlee6984 Ай бұрын
Only if they're spending beyond the productive capacity of the economy to absorb it. As the US has some level of unemployment, they are not at that point yet. Blaming inflation on public spending is neoliberal horseshit.
@solowolf7418
@solowolf7418 Ай бұрын
The issue is too much consolidation by corporations. They have near monopolies and are killing themselves by forcing higher prices instead of innovation
@jonscott8586
@jonscott8586 2 ай бұрын
Maybe AI is starting to bite on employment and the next figures will be the start of an exponential move..
@pedros1
@pedros1 Ай бұрын
Yes, if AI means all Indians, 100% true
@theromanian8194
@theromanian8194 Ай бұрын
Great info! Next time when you record be sure to match the shutter with the flicker of the lights.Try changing the shutter form 1/50 to 1/60 and the flicker will dissapear.
@St0ffel
@St0ffel 2 ай бұрын
Egg-cellent video! You really cracked open the topic of deflation, and I’m scrambled thinking about all the impacts. Your analysis was no yolk - truly hard-boiled facts. Thanks for laying it all out so clearly! 😂
@FrankSavona-l3w
@FrankSavona-l3w Ай бұрын
😂😂😂😂
@l.c.3150
@l.c.3150 Ай бұрын
This is eggxactly what I needed. 😅
@DSHK-wb5cn
@DSHK-wb5cn Ай бұрын
Gas prices just dropped massively. They were $3.50 per gallon where I live last month and now its down to $2.60, almost a whole dollar cheaper.
@LG-tw5vm
@LG-tw5vm Ай бұрын
Sounds great. Let me know when deflation actually happens. I won't hold my breath. Prices continue to rise.
@tylerhealey1506
@tylerhealey1506 Ай бұрын
if we ignore it, it might go away...
@Lexus2121
@Lexus2121 2 ай бұрын
6:05 Cash cattle prices mooo-ving lower as consumer demand soars
@LouiseAaron-d1q
@LouiseAaron-d1q Ай бұрын
wow this awesome 👏 I'm 37 and have been looking for ways to be successful, please how??
@McCarthy8
@McCarthy8 Ай бұрын
Angela
@McCarthy8
@McCarthy8 Ай бұрын
Grace
@McCarthy8
@McCarthy8 Ай бұрын
Boots
@ValerieAnnPate
@ValerieAnnPate Ай бұрын
Great to see you guys talking about Angela Grace Boots, This woman changed the game for me.
@Janejones-hz6sj
@Janejones-hz6sj Ай бұрын
I checked her up on Google ,she is a verified and licensed broker.
@rexcherian2644
@rexcherian2644 2 ай бұрын
Markets back up
@Micfri300
@Micfri300 2 ай бұрын
And? People are going to lose even more money.
@shambhangal438
@shambhangal438 2 ай бұрын
Probably because probabilities of a rate cut are going up, plus the thought that they might actually throw *two* thimbles of water on the burning car.
@chrisk7812
@chrisk7812 Ай бұрын
@@Micfri300What do you think, within the next 6 months 📉?
@renaissanceman5847
@renaissanceman5847 Ай бұрын
@@Micfri300 those struggling to buy food and pay for gas are better off in a deflationary environment, which is 90% of the people.
@Micfri300
@Micfri300 Ай бұрын
@chrisk7812 my 5 trades open are currently selling the canadian dollar v the yen, selling nikkei and selling euro v yen brought gold and silver.
@jillkthomas
@jillkthomas Ай бұрын
Loved it! Need you to explain all of life's problems for us using those same engine oil analogies!! Most appreciated.
@itshadouken
@itshadouken Ай бұрын
Mortgage rates in US are fixed so mortgage rates for landlords are not going up…
@jakebest5601
@jakebest5601 Ай бұрын
From a fundamental perspective there are reasons for concern. Mortgage payments missed has just slightly increased over the last month, as has unemployment recently, and credit card usage and defaults. Consumer sentiment is down and manufacturing and purchasing data indexes have come in soft. all of that and earnings came in only okay last quarter. The US consumer isn’t spending as they have been and it seems like disposable cash is drying up a bit. There are definite signs of weakness/slowing down in the economy. In my opinion Q3 earnings will move markets significantly to the downside if they come in under expectations.
@ouethojlkjn
@ouethojlkjn Ай бұрын
One of your best Sasha and I love the description of the car with the oil light on. I would just like to add that Electric vehicles are deflationary as well because they Take less energy to go further and have little maintenance. There are huge numbers of second hand EV's on the market Dragging all prices down for second hand cars.
@williamflinn8606
@williamflinn8606 Ай бұрын
Deflation isnt bad, it’s what the world needs. The cost of basic goods has increased >20% over 4 year period and we’re all feeling it. I understand the consequences of deflation too, but the impact of inflation is more severe.
@Insideoutcest
@Insideoutcest Ай бұрын
its not price deflation hes referring to but demand deflation. that means the prices do not reflect demand, thats what deflation means. it never means that food will be priced lower. "but demand = price" sure if the currency you use isn't constantly debasing. "but you can lock up some of that money velocity" not really.
@1337Jogi
@1337Jogi Ай бұрын
For all I care food and such can go into a serious deflation. They told the prices went up due to high energy and fertilizer cost (these are linked as well). Now as the energy cost comes down prices should go down as well without harming anything right? I mean if they just took the cost increase and passed it to the consumer a cost decreased should be passed to the consumer aswell without harming any job right....RIGHT?
@jinguu5852
@jinguu5852 Ай бұрын
Dear Sasha, I appreciate your clear analysis with data. I remember somewhere around last year, you thought the US is actually getting better when every one was panicking. But now it's getting worse. What happened? Is it because that the FED has been doing things wrong (too late to act)? When did the turning point happen?
@horrorfan117
@horrorfan117 Ай бұрын
Deflation is bad because while thing may be cheaper, you could lose your job. Mate... Companies were already cutting people to maximize their profits. It's just going to be more of the same. It doesn't matter how the economy is doing. The best way to make short-term gains is to cut staff.
@FSGallipoli
@FSGallipoli 2 ай бұрын
Prices go down 0.01 percent after going up almost %25 last two years so we have another 24 per cent for deflation before pushing the panic button.
@chrisnuk
@chrisnuk Ай бұрын
Except when prices go up, wages go up, albeit a lot less, but wages rarely go down in the opposite scenario. You just get fired, or (if you're lucky) your employer is optimistic, and you're asked to work fewer hours until things improve.
@jakebest5601
@jakebest5601 Ай бұрын
That’s not really how it works. Deflation, even at a small rate, can still have significant effects on the economy.
@oldskoolmusicnostalgia
@oldskoolmusicnostalgia Ай бұрын
@@chrisnuk Wages never go up at the same pace as prices. The cumulative effect over 2-3 years is devastating, and equivalent to taking a pay cut.
@chrisnuk
@chrisnuk Ай бұрын
@oldskoolmusicnostalgia I agree my point is deflation is worse. Employers know the psychology of a pay cut is such that people completely lose morale.
@hathwayh3209
@hathwayh3209 Ай бұрын
doing this before winter is just stupid, look at energy inflation after xmas.
@p4ndorA
@p4ndorA Ай бұрын
i think the fed is conservative about rate cuts because we are following the 70s path of inflation and back then we got the reflation exactly at this point and it was worse than before.
@Insideoutcest
@Insideoutcest Ай бұрын
"i think" the fed is not a real organization with people that should work unobserved and unfettered and is a criminal organization instead and "i think" they should be all jailed and thats "conservative".
@kjof01
@kjof01 Ай бұрын
Food prices will stagnate now with cats and dogs as substitutes
@FrankSavona-l3w
@FrankSavona-l3w Ай бұрын
😂😂😂😂
@connormcqueen3633
@connormcqueen3633 Ай бұрын
One of the reasons oil and gas is down is because the US has been producing massive quantities of it over recent years. I don't think falling prices in that sector is a bad thing because it means Americans get to take advantage of an abundance of energy, something we can only dream of in the UK.
@LG-tw5vm
@LG-tw5vm Ай бұрын
The US is producing very little under the Biden Administration. If Trump gets in office, the US will produce FAR more oil.
@Loundsify
@Loundsify Ай бұрын
If only the Tories built all those Nuclear power plants they promised when borrowing was the lowest in the BoE history lol.
@connormcqueen3633
@connormcqueen3633 Ай бұрын
@@Loundsify Indeed. Underinvestment in nuclear energy while we subsidize windmills and solar panels (in the UK lmao) is an utter disgrace.
@Loundsify
@Loundsify Ай бұрын
​@@connormcqueen3633​@connormcqueen3633 i agree with solar being a waste of investment in the UK but wind is definitely not a waste. But the past few governments should have been investing into nuclear and wind at the same time. Electric units could be so cheap in the UK if the government wanted it to be. Same with tidal energy.
@AidanMyne
@AidanMyne Ай бұрын
It'd be interesting to see what producer costs/inflation is in the food sector because I expect grocers to fully take advantage of a widening profit margin until someone blinks and offers a lower shelf edge to win wallets. On food sub, this is absolutely observable in my local supermarket, wrong time and the chicken has been absolutely raided while the beef and lamb aisle is still well stocked.
@TomtheMagician21
@TomtheMagician21 Ай бұрын
I'm a beginner investor so idk how I've accidentally fluked my way out of beating the S&P 500. Probably not gonna last for very long :/
@Sam-ue4rv
@Sam-ue4rv Ай бұрын
Cash is King.. make sure you have a steady income make sure your health is good make sure you have an emergency fund.. Even in these situations make sure you will be okay.. Ive seen this Inflation Deflation Stagnation over the last 40 years.. Mortgage rates up Mortgage rates down. Interest up Interest down. Just live life make sure you will be okay.. Prepare for the worse hope for the best.
@degoyfamily3074
@degoyfamily3074 Ай бұрын
Hahah… I love this analogy with oil and car and Fed 👏👏
@CoryRayGordonMusic
@CoryRayGordonMusic Ай бұрын
People are forgetting the inflation already happened. This is now future inflation. We're talking about the prices are already high. If they keep raising the prices, no one will be able to pay for anything.
@demoix
@demoix Ай бұрын
Valuable review, straightforward and to the point, thanks!
@JoeSmith-st3hl
@JoeSmith-st3hl Ай бұрын
Always appreciate the layman terms explanation.
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin Ай бұрын
Thank you!
@aucourant9998
@aucourant9998 Ай бұрын
Food inflation is going up all the time and it's not just eggs. Butter, cheese, meat, and milk are all going up too.
@dandrake337
@dandrake337 Ай бұрын
lol…. Ok. Gold just hit an all time high and everything is more expensive than ever. We could use some deflation.
@arturandretta9849
@arturandretta9849 Ай бұрын
broooo you are awesome!!! also look out for the18th everyone! If they cut rates drastically, all the indicators will be in place to favor a drop in the markets within the next 6 month.
@B0jangle5
@B0jangle5 Ай бұрын
Came for the data, liked for the egg puns.
@SavieShane
@SavieShane 2 ай бұрын
Good evening all 🙋‍♂️
@hchalz
@hchalz Ай бұрын
Sasha, my man, I agree, there is deflation risk. Out right deflation? I'm not so sure yet.
@FC3sInfiniIII
@FC3sInfiniIII Ай бұрын
Love the oil analogy
@JonnyWanders
@JonnyWanders Ай бұрын
I think they're not reducing interest rates enough because they want to squeeze house prices down?
@alexlindstrom9971
@alexlindstrom9971 Ай бұрын
It comes back to the same old question: who do they expect to buy all of this stuff if they've lobbied to create an economy where you can't pay rent? It's almost like the system is structurally unsound. I wonder who could have predicted this.
@franwex
@franwex Ай бұрын
Considering how much things went up recently, I wouldn’t call it deflation. More like stabilizing.
@JMgmkh
@JMgmkh 13 күн бұрын
I'm in the Philippines also , but it seems inflation lagged here and has not seemed to stop , although maybe it's topping out. Our electric has more than doubled in the last couple years. Food up alot also.
@rachelonigirl
@rachelonigirl Ай бұрын
Honestly, this concerns me and has left me uneasy. Especially this potential depression, no more a recession. I'm unsure about my $130K account strategy, considering the uncertainty of this whole recession mostly.
@Monicamonasky-
@Monicamonasky- Ай бұрын
If you lack knowledge about market investing tactics, get advice from a financial counselor.
@donovantobs
@donovantobs Ай бұрын
Agreed! this is why I work with one. My $520k portfolio is well-matched for every market season yielding 85% rise from early last year to date. I and my advsor are working on more figures for this year. IMO, financial advisors are the most sought-after professionals after doctors.
@kurtKking
@kurtKking Ай бұрын
How can I reach this advisers of yours? because I'm seeking for a more effective investment approach on my savings?
@donovantobs
@donovantobs Ай бұрын
Her name is. SUNITA CHACHY JOSEPH . Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@kurtKking
@kurtKking Ай бұрын
I just curiously searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. Thank you
@richawoman
@richawoman Ай бұрын
Love your description of the fed's management lol
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin Ай бұрын
😁
@jeffcahill5722
@jeffcahill5722 Ай бұрын
Always a valuable persepective. Kudos.
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin Ай бұрын
🙏🙏
@lehast
@lehast Ай бұрын
Agree!
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin Ай бұрын
👍
@350zLeMans
@350zLeMans Ай бұрын
My car insurance up 20 percent HOA up 10 percent Electricity up 10 percent Gasoline up 10 percent Perhaps we have some deflation. But we have inflation in other areas taking the rest of our money
@voidtv8401
@voidtv8401 Ай бұрын
That’s how deflation works. It’s a lack of ability to partake in discretionary spending because requirements for living take up the entirety of the population’s money. This is like arguing that global warming is fake because it shows in some places still.
@DSHK-wb5cn
@DSHK-wb5cn Ай бұрын
Gas prices just dropped massively
@EzraMerr
@EzraMerr Ай бұрын
The *Cloward-Piven strategy* results begin.
@criminalelement494
@criminalelement494 Ай бұрын
Hindsight is always 20/20. I try not to judge too harshly. We all saw the data, and most agreed with the actions.
@romance234
@romance234 2 ай бұрын
Good video mate. Sound analysis with occasional, highly appropriate use of blue language.
@davideyres955
@davideyres955 Ай бұрын
Don’t worry Sasha. Deflation is just transitory, nothing to see here. J. Powell.
@Project2013B
@Project2013B Ай бұрын
DEFLATION IS AWESOME. If any of this topic is based on Government data, then add 5%-10% on top of the numbers used.
@rubicon3416
@rubicon3416 Ай бұрын
It's not awesome if you have assets. Doesn't bother broke people too much until they lose their job and are penniless.
@Project2013B
@Project2013B Ай бұрын
@@rubicon3416 If most of your assets are cash, your cash is gaining purchasing power.
@Banmuyuan
@Banmuyuan Ай бұрын
We need more deflation to bring food prices down to pre-pandemic level.
@Usefullinformationphilippines
@Usefullinformationphilippines Ай бұрын
Deflation is fantastic if you have savings. It makes almost everything cheap, not that things magically become cheaper but because of the massive Unemployment that causes the deflation. 65% of the American people have been Surviving on credit and they have reached a level where they are starting to panic sell everything that they can live without . It is a great time to buy a used car or truck or boat or motorcycle. When people get desperate you can make money at an unbelievable rate by becoming a middle man in Business transactions on sights like Facebook Marketplace. It takes money and knowledge. If you used discipline and saved money or better yet made good investments life is about to get really good. Get out of the market hold cash and use it to take advantage of the ignorance of the masses.
@electrocity2000
@electrocity2000 Ай бұрын
Any real sign of deflation and the central banks will PRINT, PRINT, PRINT. This will stoke inflation, and because they'll completely over-react, they could well bring on hyperinflation. They're already itching to print more as it is and the first to do so this time is likely to be China
@Insideoutcest
@Insideoutcest Ай бұрын
i dont make the IRS money if i can help it. that includes precluding myself from making money but fuck the fed.
@Loundsify
@Loundsify Ай бұрын
Got it ready. I'm hoping I'll be mortgage free before I'm 40.
@l.c.3150
@l.c.3150 Ай бұрын
What I found interesting is that people are selling pre bought burial plots.
@const71
@const71 Ай бұрын
He's one smart cookie ... I am in total agreement ... Subscribed....
@daveb8323
@daveb8323 2 ай бұрын
Thanks for the eggcelent breakdown.
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin 2 ай бұрын
Had to scramble to get it done fast.
@bjjking1000
@bjjking1000 2 ай бұрын
@@SashaYanshin You didn’t crack under the pressure
@robymaru03
@robymaru03 2 ай бұрын
Actually, the way things are you cant fix it with desinflation, only deflation can bring some correction. And deflation is not so scary if you are not carrying a lot of debt and your population is still growing. Yeah deflation wil stop people from spending now hoping price will get better later but this is already happening without deflation. People are already putting every big purchase for later hoping for better price or interest rate. As you can see deflation is a reaction of the free market, if price are too high people wont buy and if they have to buy they will buy as little as possible.
@thetapheonix
@thetapheonix Ай бұрын
People don’t put off purchases during deflation, there is no evidence of this. People buy what they need to buy when they need it. They aren’t going to put off surgery or replacing a refrigerator because it’ll be a dollar cheaper next year, that would be ridiculous. People are not buying things right now because they cannot afford them and for no other reason.
@prasanshah6833
@prasanshah6833 Ай бұрын
Great video, thank you Sasha
@laurieproctor3572
@laurieproctor3572 Ай бұрын
Doesn’t worry those in power when they have enough resources to be just fine whatever happens. Playing with the lives of the majority
@desidious4521
@desidious4521 Ай бұрын
Buying power will be down for a long time still. Maybe correct steps towards fixing this.
@kellywalker4494
@kellywalker4494 Ай бұрын
The car analogy is comedy gold 😃😃
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin Ай бұрын
Thank you!
@christopherdavies8839
@christopherdavies8839 2 ай бұрын
Put your mattress under your money now😂or is that money under your mattress? No, the first!
@AaronStatic
@AaronStatic Ай бұрын
Both the mattress and the money will be worthless before long
@stevo728822
@stevo728822 Ай бұрын
I once owned a car with a blown head gasket. Pipes were melting and hot water shot out of the radiator like a volcano.
@Casey-qm1nd
@Casey-qm1nd Ай бұрын
Deflation? Nope. I am from Canada and our consumers are much more overleveraged because we have a massive housing bubble, and mortgages renew every 5 years. We haven't even seen deflation yet, instead we have seen a massive decline of living standards instead. The high house prices are a huge drag on the economy here, even though consumers are pulling back spending, it's government spending that is keeping inflation afloat. The government debt situation is in unsustainable and the massive government spending will continue at the expense of lower living standards. So in effect by cutting rates now, you help keep asset prices stubbornly high. Who does this benefit, banks. Who does it hurt? The middle class. You may be shocked at how resilient people are, the US can handle a lot more.
@dr.erelevant9204
@dr.erelevant9204 Ай бұрын
The feds target rate of 2% is actually supposed to be 2% overtime meaning that they aren’t trying to actually just keep it pegged to 2% but that it can drop below somewhat or go above somewhat. Given the recent acceleration of inflation, it’s going to take quite a while below 2% to get us back on track to that, floating 2% target rate averaged over time.
@NeroX-nh8se
@NeroX-nh8se Ай бұрын
So the question is, who is pumping up the stock market after the plunge?
@royed31
@royed31 2 ай бұрын
Is what it is , nothing we can do about it, so just need to adjust like always
@ashs921
@ashs921 Ай бұрын
I do wonder if this deflation is a temporary result of retailers going back to actually competing with each now they've stopped using inflation as an excuse for over charging and lining their pockets especially the supermarkets and energy companies.
@clifftlee
@clifftlee Ай бұрын
no, what will happen is that the "little guys" will go away and the "competition" will disappear and you will be left with corporate greed and no choice. deflation =bad! period
@TriLe-nz4oq
@TriLe-nz4oq Ай бұрын
They printed 20 trillion.... u dont think adding 100% would make your dollar worth half??? That is the real issue...
@TriLe-nz4oq
@TriLe-nz4oq Ай бұрын
We should ve paid double of what we were paid in 2019... if we were to survive... pur moneys worth half of what it was before...
@MsPurplecl0uds
@MsPurplecl0uds Ай бұрын
I wish it did. Too many people keep going for wants and racking up credit debt like fools!!! Consumerism in the U.S. is nuts. Needs only people.
@thesonggardenproject1316
@thesonggardenproject1316 Ай бұрын
Egg-cellent analysis
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin Ай бұрын
🤣
@nick000002
@nick000002 2 ай бұрын
The egg news left me feeling shell shocked
@mmartin4978
@mmartin4978 Ай бұрын
Im not betting on beef prices in the future, the stakes are too high
@makosharksimmo8124
@makosharksimmo8124 Ай бұрын
Well said Sasha
@SashaYanshin
@SashaYanshin Ай бұрын
👍
@badass6656
@badass6656 Ай бұрын
Very good but what happens when the FED realises we are deflating. Surely this is what investors should be considering.
@AaronStatic
@AaronStatic Ай бұрын
They will cut 25bps next week and the market will rejoice until they see the labor market continue to weaken and unemployment queues get longer. Then bankruptcies will follow and the fed will be forced to call an emergency meeting, drop rates to near zero again and begin yet another cycle of QE to try and save the "economy" (the stockmarket), beginning the cycle of inflation all over again
@chuckmurray1825
@chuckmurray1825 Ай бұрын
I think the FED will cut a half point in September and another half point in November. Meanwhile greedflation continues in the U.S. with corporations and landlords gouging consumers.
@AaronStatic
@AaronStatic Ай бұрын
They should have started cutting a quarter ago when the majority of inflation line items hit 0% m/m. Yes I agree they need to cut AT LEAST 50bps now to stop this runaway freight train from careening into the US economy, however I don't think they will because they seem to only care about the effect it has on the market and not the average American.
@chuckmurray1825
@chuckmurray1825 Ай бұрын
@@AaronStatic I agree with you. They should have cut rates last quarter by .25. They are watching the employment situation and I think they realize they will need to cut .50 in September and again in November. They are certainly seeing the data on auto loan and credit card delinquencies. They surely must be seeing what's happening to commercial real estate and residential real estate in Florida, Texas and Nevada. I suspect that they may have to even switch from QT to QE policy to keep banks from collapsing. If they don't intervene, we could be looking at a severe recession and with China falling off the cliff, the whole world could be plunged into severe recession. The stakes are too high. I hope they do the right thing.
@rubicon3416
@rubicon3416 Ай бұрын
You're really overplaying the "corporate greed" part. I'm seeing consumer good prices coming down as buyers struggle.
@chuckmurray1825
@chuckmurray1825 Ай бұрын
@@rubicon3416 Look at the profit margins for the grocery and oil and gas companies. Oil prices are tanking but you are not seeing the price reflected at the gas pumps. These companies used "inflation" headlines as an opportunity to pile on and raise prices. What's going on in grocery stores is criminal.
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