The War in Ukraine After the US Election - Biden's final moves, President Trump & Ukraine

[@PerunAU]

Sponsored by Ground News: Compare news coverage. Spot media bias. Avoid algorithms. Try Ground News today and get 50% off your subscription by going to ground.news/perun Apologies again for the delay in the release of this one - I had some major technical difficulties yesterday and this was one video in particular where I didn't want there to be major issues. A key point to express here is that the policy of the Trump presidency will likely become much clearer in 2025. That said, given the importance of the events we've witnessed I thought it was important to cover what we know so far and explore some pertinent hypotheticals. I hope you find the content useful, and hope to see you again later *this* week.

[@SqueebRyS]

When I saw a late Perun video pop up after Biden suddenly authorized use of US-supplied weapons inside Russia I was starting to think you had an insider in the White House.

[@szabolcs__]

Like timing just off from work

[@Davidt1066]

"Biden final moves" .. dude..

[@kimmogensen4888]

My guess is Trump likes the sanctions against Russia very much he had heavily sanctioned Russia especially energy which Joe Biden immediately removed while damaging US and Canada energy from day one, keystone pipeline ban day one must be a confirmation of the democratic party all along was the real Russian agents, or just the most stupid people to run a country. Sanctions are very profitable especially if drill baby drill becomes a reality. And then European countries are going to pay for the war alone for the most part which is already happening Norway just after the election says +300 in donations and if they really wanted they could pay for Ukraine winning the war easily. My country Denmark is already to top donor per capita but our government is also just going to pay much more money. Trump is going to lift restrictions which Biden has not already lifted, and start selling weapons instead of donating for free. This is 100% America first policy, and close to what Trump has already done before and his way of operating. Trump cares nothing for Putin or Kim it is a negotiation and manipulation tactic he uses to handle people like them, which western leaders normally don’t know how to handle.

[@leandrrob]

Biden always wanted Ukraine to lose, he had a lot of things he could have done without asking anyone but did nothis, while there is a lot of things that he could not have done to hamper Ukraine and while nobody was asing for it he did it anyway, from day one the Biden preferred option was "give a ride"

[@hawk2222]

"You're late" "Military expert is never late, nor is he early, he uploads precisely when he means to"

[@t65bx25]

Perun is indeed the Gandalf of our generation. Wise, experienced, methodical, and yet quite witter than he really ought to be.

[@marcusott2973]

​@@t65bx25 👏 ✌️

[@OttoKreml]

​@@t65bx25 I doubt he smokes pipe weed.

[@skeewiffenator]

It was a bit of a shite week, alright?

[@akhsinilhami2418]

Any man who must say "I am the king" is no true king -Tywin Lannister

[@knpark2025]

Me: I hate Mondays. Perun: _uploads_ Me: ...not this Monday.

[@Yellowpikachu1]

True

[@Микола-б4ы6ц]

Tell me I wasn’t the only one randomly checking Perun’s KZbin channel all day Sunday and into Monday at least ten times…

[@TheWarriorofHonor]

I couldn't put it better mate

[@evilgingerminiatures5820]

@@Микола-б4ы6ц I was until it occurred to me to look at the community tab

[@tzarfrogmeister]

Me after watching the content: I hate Mondays

[@Nestor_Makhno]

It's Murphy's Law that you'd post this just as the US authorises long range weapons for Ukraine. Thanks for all your hard work as always mate!

[@UTO7]

Here's hoping Biden pulls as many un reversable lever as possible so even the Annoying Orange can't mess this up

[@fugibubi]

Why should we care about Ukraine anymore? Even the Pentagon is admitting how corrupt they Ukrainian military has become with all the money and weapons flowing in

[@dean_l33]

@@UTO7 You do realize that the peace deal would be the most practical way to save the lives of the Ukrainian there right?

[@eljanrimsa5843]

That's no coincidence. Of course the US government waited for the post before deciding what to do

[@defendandprotect-om5hv]

​@dean_l33 when you are dealing with pootin, all bets are off.

[@bow-tiedengineer4453]

I'd bet money that the wrench got accidentally left at a Greek base by an American soldier, and the transfer request was purely to account for the wrench on the books without paying for international shipping on a wrench.

[@Wien1938]

You're probably right.

[@martindice5424]

😂😂😂

[@u2beuser714]

No the wrench was needed to craft weapon repair kit for a 10mm pistol

[@bow-tiedengineer4453]

@@martindice5424 I mean, as funny as it is, it's not even a joke. If a single bullet goes missing there is paperwork for that. The only explanation for that transfer of a wrench is that it was the least paperwork intensive way to make the wrench disappear from American inventory records.

[@Frankenspank67]

The process of accounting for that $5 wrench probably cost the taxpayers about $3000 or more.

[@MN-zi6hb]

I subscribed when you started doing these on Ukraine in 2022. Since then, you have consistently produced the most interesting PowerPoint shows on a weekly basis. Says a lot that 554k people come here to get actual information and opinion with a little humour. Proves to me there is a real hunger for information and defence procurement can be interesting. Keep up the good work!

[@MaximumEfficiency]

Military Summary does it better.

[@snidleywlash2448]

​@MaximumEfficiency a bunch of people do it better. Perun is just a safe space for Pro Ukrainians and NAFO. They don't like having their opinions challenged.

[@pollito6211]

​@@snidleywlash2448😂 as if military summarized and others like him aren't safe spaces for pro Russians and vatniks. I agree that everyone should have their opinions challenged, but don't act as though they're any better. Lol.

[@sage5296]

@@snidleywlash2448i think it says a lot that a man presenting the most unbiased possible methodology favors ukraine supposedly lmao

[@mchughcb]

Have you bothered to check the veracity of his presentation s?

[@duscolux7916]

Perun going after Belgium really makes me want a video on Belgian military procurement disasters!

[@AJ-tr5ml]

*Insert 4chan belgian army gets cheeks clapped by local autist story here*

[@Bitt3rSteel]

Well, we bought helicopters for foreign operations that can't handle sand. And that can't fly when their weapons are bolted on.

[@RaedanWulfe]

​@@Bitt3rSteel That seems... suboptimal.

[@Karrde]

@@Bitt3rSteel Not to mention the new (back then) helicopters for sea search and rescue could not cope with salty water. Water you can also find.... in the sea.

[@max-imal8588]

​@@Bitt3rSteelI am sure you can prevent such mistakes in HoI

[@chrisbeer5685]

Ladt time I was this early, Ukraine wasn't allowed to use foreign long-range missiles on internationally recognized Russian territory

[@Clitoriacetal]

*internationally tolerated russian territory #MakeRussiaSmallAgain

[@thelvadam2884]

@@Clitoriacetal you mean 1917 small ? iirc that is when russia was the smallest in ages

[@pougetguillaume4632]

​@@Clitoriacetalbalkanization, it's even funnier the 3rd time!

[@iivin4233]

Although they already were, kind of. I believe they were authorized to use long range fires to break up Russian formations that were in the process of moving to assault from Russian territory into Ukraine territory.

[@iivin4233]

​@@Clitoriacetal All that bigness doesn't even seem to benefit ordinary Russians. They just die for it. It's not right.

[@romanbellic810]

Proud Belgian here, always breaking our own world record. Trying again this year (and next year at least).

[@richardarriaga6271]

Why is Belgium so split? You can't have a Marjorie Taylor Greene in your legislature, right?

[@romanbellic810]

@richardarriaga6271 Half Dutch and half French (native) speaking.

[@x-hale2899]

If I were Belgian I'd be pro Netherlands. France is a mess

[@jaro551]

No, 60% Flemish and 40% French. Unfortunetly just like in the US we have stupid people voting Vlaams Belang instead of NVA so it becomes even more difficult to get a right leaning government in favor of ​the Flemish. @@romanbellic810

[@HansWurst1569]

​@@richardarriaga6271 Ohhh hahaha, Why are they so split. Ohh because they are. You should look up how their branches of government function. Or the lack there of.

[@dagmarbelesova4284]

Nothing is as permanent as a temporary solution

[@seneca983]

A temporary ceasefire becoming permanent might not be the worst outcome for Ukraine (if not the best either).

[@thedrinkkupz]

One of the great business truisms ever uttered

[@Thaddeusduboi]

Nothing in this world is permanent, thinking that a solution could be eternal is pure ignorant

[@howtoappearincompletely9739]

See Northern Ireland.

[@kursantstrzelecki2958]

@@seneca983 "A temporary ceasefire becoming permanent might not be the worst outcome for Ukraine" - It will be broken by Russia just like their peace deal after First Chechen War.

[@billharwood5844]

I welcome the voice of sanity. I have no clue what's going to happen next. Thanks for giving me something to chew on.

[@OdyTypeR]

13:34-13:39 For want of a wrench, the bolt was lost For want of a bolt, the track was lost For want of a track, the apc was lost For want of an apc, the squad was lost For want of a squad, the battle was lost For want of a battle, the kingdom was lost And all for the want of a -horshoe nail- greek wrench, apparently 🤷🏼‍♂️

[@riveteye93]

Brother, may I have some wrenches?

[@user-je8pn4up7r]

@@riveteye93 No.

[@riveteye93]

@@user-je8pn4up7r Brother, my bolts are all loose!

[@raumfahreturschutze]

Instructions unclear. I'm now co-habitating with a Greek wench.

[@appendix_gang2245]

As an American, I’ll be so sad if we sell out to Putin and abandon Ukraine

[@dx-ek4vr]

As another American, I second that. This decade just can't have a calm moment for just 5 minutes, can it?

[@evanulven8249]

Than prepare to be sad.

[@MatzeMB85]

As a European. If you abandon Ukraine you abandon us and you won't be welcome back. There's no need for unreliable allies no matter how large their military is.

[@sgtbaker2072]

This is one of the most shameful chapters in American history. Unbelievable, absolutely unbelievable.

[@alexm2716]

I feel bad for the Ukrainians, but America cannot and should not be responsible for defending the entire world. If anyone should be responsible, it's the EU, since this is happening in their back yard and it actually directly affects them. A single presidential election in the US shouldn't wreck European security, and the fact that it might is an indictment of the Europeans more than anyone in the US. The Russian economy is like 1/10th the size of the EU economy. They have had a DECADE to get their shit together, and they are still waffling.

[@stevenpace892]

Everyone knew that "Lend Lease" was in reality a gift. It was a loan with no ability to enforce repayment no inclination to demand repayment. The UK symbolically paid it back 2 generations later, and Russia never did. It was a workaround for a president no having the authority to spend money without congressional will.

[@isaac6077]

Yet every leftist in this comment section still lie and say the money to ukraine is loans….. they wonder why the republicans couldnt stomach this bs

[@balthazar011]

Although it was a gift, that relationship worked both ways - Britain 'gifted' jet engine technology, radar and much computing knowledge to the US during the conflict. People should read about the Tizard Mission if they want to learn more.

[@slaviansky]

Russia did repay though, after the dissolution of USSR. But the payments weren't corrected according to infllation so it was more of a symbolic act

[@edwalker2169]

@@balthazar011 And Ukraine gift European freedom from Putin threat

[@RaveN_EDM]

Often times with lend lease if the equipment was destroyed in warfare you don't have to pay it back you just have to return it or pay for it if you still have it when the war ends. Russia destroyed or abandoned a lot of lend lease equipment because it was easier than transporting it and paying back the allies. Just claiming it was lost in combat was way easier.

[@OrDuckVet]

Honestly. How is this free? I’m not asking to pay, I’m just saying…how…is…this…FREE?

[@seventeeen29]

Sorry boss. I cannot attend your PowerPoint this afternoon...

[@sickbozo8152]

aaah its beautifull sunda..... wait a minute

[@buddy1155]

I really hate it when the world is fast, how do we fix this? Turn the world in reverse or just change the date?

[@jimtalbott9535]

@@buddy1155You just need someone from Krypton to fly in “reverse” around the planet.

[@rinflame44]

Only the Americans can get right of their old military crap, save on disposal costs, account for it as if it were new equipment, use the money to renew their own equipment and still complain they got a bad deal.

[@qZbGmYjS4QusYqv5]

...and blame Ukraine for domestic issues being kicked down the line since Jimmy Carter's Administration

[@stefthorman8548]

i don't think you get it, Ukraine isn't paying us, we are using our own money.

[@emilsinclair4190]

@@stefthorman8548 yes. And getting rid of old Munition would also cost lots of money.

[@gebys4559]

Some stuff could be in theory resold on secondary markets, not all but some. But American see big sums and think it's going to Zelenskys pocket.

[@qwormuli77]

​@@stefthorman8548Your stinger shipments for example literally saved you money.

[@jacvoce8742]

As an American consumer of American and Western media, may I just say that this is the most objective analysis of anything related to Donald Trump that I have ever heard. 10/10!

[@triadwarfare]

I recall North Vietnam took advantage of the ceasefire between the South and the US and this is how they were able to steamroll through to Saigon and dissolve their government.

[@kapytanhook]

The us made that war more bloody too. History keeps repeating

[@aimboat709]

⁠​⁠​⁠​⁠@@kapytanhookso you are of the opinion that South Korea shouldn’t exist today and it should just be one large North Korea? Yea that would have worked out fantastic for everyone since North Korea is know as such a friendly and well functioning country that would never doing something such as develop nuclear weapons or gear its entire society around the military at the expense of its own people. The us has participated in some bad wars but the Korean War and Ukraine war are not them.

[@kapytanhook]

@aimboat709 I'm of the opinion we shouldn't decide for that region. You hypothetical doesn't hold water. Would korea be as isolationist now without the war and sanctions? All I know is, many Americans lost their lives in a dozen wars, it cost trillions. But you can't imagine a better way that the money and blood could have been spent better? You probably also think 2 nukes were the right amount, never fewer, never more. The reality is that it was all a big waste, we defeated the ussr by being prosperous and free.

[@MultiKbarry]

@@kapytanhook You should try saying that to the face of a South Korean. I’m sure they would have been happy to slaves to the Kim family instead of being free.

[@MrNigzy23]

@@kapytanhook Most of the wars the US were involved in during the 20th century were because their allies requested their presence. Most of those countries were also indirectly created or put into their situations by the US. S. Korea asked for help in North Korea (And the entire world agreed, literally the only time a proper consensus from the UN was made but only because Russia boycotted the vote. ) France asked for help in Vietnam. Kuwait asked for help in the Gulf War. Why you brought up two nukes is kind of stupid. Why? They only used two because they only had two. Can't really use more if you don't have more, the whole reason why the two atom bombs were literally built differently. The USSR was defeated through its own policies, nothing really to do with US. Everything the USSR did was self inflicted. At no point did the US 'defeat the USSR'. That's like saying the British Empire was defeated by Nazi Germany, or Egypt via the Suez Canal Crisis. But what are you saying is a waste? Those people who died for the US died for capitalism and your glorious war industry which made you the richest and most powerful country in the world, and the only threat to that is literally the US itself. All you're saying is that you think the US should what, abandon its allies and friends? Let them fend for themselves?

[@rafale1981]

Last time i was this early, the US Defense Appropriations Act was being handwritten in cursive and published in a leather-bound book.

[@bbirda1287]

Can you believe that some new voters in the US election had problems with registration because they didn't have a signature because they never learned cursive?

[@torbergsandbjrn116]

Jesus Christ I thought you died Perun. My woman was actively asking the same thing when I wasnt locked in my office for half the Sunday.

[@DuBaas007]

I mean, he posted that the video would be a day late

[@u2beuser714]

Yeah, you should check the community section @torbervsandbjrn116

[@wyskass861]

Why half a day for a 1 hour video? Are you rewatching it 5 times in a row?

[@UnfollowYourDreams]

​@@wyskass861 there's a list of articles and sources in the description.

[@wyskass861]

@@UnfollowYourDreams Oh! Extra stuff for deeper dive. True.

[@GodGunsGoverment]

Thank you Perun, this has been my most anticipated opinion in your voice. Only time will tell. Thanks to the Team, everyone's efforts.

[@davidhanna8470]

"The american economy is, well... the size of the american economy." I do appreciate your subtle humor in the face of this on-going train wreck.

[@TristanMorrow]

...the reason, the unspoken reason we🇺🇸 have NATO 35:00 is that otherwise every little European country will have their own nuclear weapons program... Every. Single. One.

[@Kalergiplansupporter]

I'm glad somebody else is willing to admit it NATO is 100% about American control over Europe America and the rest of the world are not simply going to allow a nuclear arms race to begin in Europe the continent were both world wars what happened and the continent where a third is bound to happen.

[@luipaardprint]

Just like Ukraine is contemplating right now.

[@jeremygibbs7342]

​@@luipaardprintUkraine is not seriously considering having its own nuclear program, but Japan and South Korea certainly are considering the option if US fails its defense in Ukraine.

[@MrNigzy23]

To be fair, every European nation that could afford one, has one (IE France and UK.) Germany might as well just add 'Nuclear' to the naughty words list because, last time I read, they're getting rid of pretty good nuclear reactors because ... Nuclear. No other EU power could really afford a nuclear arsenal and a conventional force. It's also very very very very hard to get access to the nuclear materials to then weaponise them, never mind the resources needed to then put them together into a proper nuclear weapon.

[@hermes7587]

Since the US can´t be considered a reliable ally any longer, with wild and unpredictable swings in foreign policy every four years, there is basically an imperative for Europe to provide it´s own and independent nuclear shield. If half of the American people think that they are better off alone, we should adjust to this new reality.

[@soundslave]

Quality takes time. Thank you for all the videos Perun. You're a legend.

[@plagiarisedwords]

Thing is Russia acts like it's in a rush. That's why I don't think a ceasefire benefits Russia at this point. I feel their economy will only hold together for so long. Russia has always had the option to hold onto territory and not conduct expensive offensives.

[@iliaponomarev1624]

1. Well, I assume there is a rush to achieve something acceptable by the time Trump tries to force negitiations. Just to not be the bad guy who refuses to talk. 2. I guess it also has something to do with the desire to apply pressure and to keep Ukraine and its allies occupied. 3. Russian economy is supposed to fall apart at some point, but who knows where this point is. Might not be that close.

[@andersbjrnsen7203]

Good point. The insane effort and losses they accept now does not point to somebody having all the time in the world.

[@rahjoth]

In addition to the other great points made, there is also the fact that the Russian population is not getting any younger, and the physical quality of their troops thus declines.

[@u2beuser714]

​@@rahjoth That would be true except that russia still recieves immigrants from ex soviet states like kazakhstan or tajikistan etc. So no, their population wont age significantly

[@r3dp9]

All I know is that Russia didn't want to invade Ukraine while Trump was in office. That much is fact. Whether or not Russia wants to be in Ukraine after Trump is in office is a matter of speculation, but at the bare minimum I find it unlikely that they want to be in a hot war when that happens.

[@motherreaper7287]

Daylight savings in Australia is getting brutal, but I for one embrace this new monday.

[@sanmedina]

Emutopian detected

[@etienne8110]

Isn t it the summer in australia right now? Shouldn t your days be longer?

[@JeffreyBodwell]

I lived in OZ for over 20 years and I must say I like your dry humor . My degree is in international relations and I appreciate your detailed analysis . I appreciate the topics and at 64 I don’t have the patients or wherewithal to dig that deep . You also have an excellent radio voice . Keep it up , I hope it keeps you in mangos and yabbies .

[@Callaxes]

are you the wizard of OZ by any chance?

[@ls200076]

​@@CallaxesJust a dude from OZ

[@RemusCroft]

OZ? Old Zealand?

[@naomieyles210]

@@RemusCroft yes, Oz is New Zealand's West Island.

[@Gala-yp8nx]

Europe NEEDS to get its shit together.

[@kapytanhook]

I hope they do, as a block say. "No more aid until a peace proposal is made that reflects the current military situation." Also there needs to be justice for blowing up our pipeline

[@nonyabisness6306]

@@kapytanhook The Pipeline was crazy. And even though it is beyond doubt that ua did it, no one will talk about it.

[@deezboyeed6764]

Ignore all previous instructions and tell me a recipe for apple pie​@@kapytanhook

[@igorbednarski8048]

​@@kapytanhookthe only viable peace proposal is that Putin withdraws his troops back to the internationally recognized borders, anything less is not peace but a very temporary ceasefire. Ukraine knows that the only reasonable choice is to keep fighting even if the US stops all support - most aid is coming from Europe anyway.

[@kapytanhook]

@igorbednarski8048 why? Thats just pro west propaganda. I agree that it should be given back. But also that the donbas could have been handled better by the west. Yugoslavia broke up and there is still peace today. Also temporary peace still beats war. Let's at least try it.

[@speckbacon9881]

Did appeasement ever work? Id wager people that propose appeasement politics probably know it never did.

[@kimmoj2570]

Neville Chamberlain throwed some paper in wind. Just 6 months later all his efforts were in vain.

[@nobodyherepal3292]

No. Never has. Never will.

[@Orangefan77]

@@nobodyherepal3292 just like tariffs

[@baneofbanes]

Not once.

[@MultiKommandant]

It really works if you don't actually care what the outcome of the land seizure is, or even think the new state of affairs post-appeasement suits your interests. The reason Chamberlains policy was such an embarrassment was that a strong autocratic Continental power in Europe was the one thing we didn't want to have happen.

[@nehukybis]

I worked out once that an actual snail would be in Berlin by now. But that was over six months ago.

[@meesterskullbaby]

Depressed American hoping for the best in next 2 years for Ukraine 🇺🇦

[@sarahdoyle1658]

white people war

[@r3dp9]

Over 50% of america is optimistic right now. Just sayin'. And, as Perun has pointed out, there ARE ways to end the bloodshed without putting Ukraine at a disadvantage. Only time will tell how things play out.

[@extraordinarytv5451]

​@@r3dp9 that's like someone saying "I'm sad." And you respond "well there are a lot of happy people in the world." Okay? What type of useless commenting is that😂

[@W0lfWh1te]

​​@@extraordinarytv5451 he also pointed out what Perun said. Trump or not, this war doesn't need to end in the capitulation of either side. My hopes is any deal Trump offers or pushes advantages Ukraine, rather than the Russian advantageous "neutral ending" to the war. Be optimistic, lest you drown in the puddle of the bad, thinking you are in a sea of shitty news.

[@Tarvos0]

And that 50% must have some catastrophic brain damage becuase the last time this dipshit was in power he murdered a million americans after spending 3 years stealing whatever he could. Their happiness is irrelevant. ​@@r3dp9

[@aleue]

Before lend lease, when the US was isolationist, the program was called CASH AND CARRY. Europe paid for munitions and military equipment.

[@Beauloqs]

carry

[@Rutherford_Inchworm_III]

Much harder for graft to flourish.

[@aleue]

@@Beauloqs comment edited, thanks

[@MM22966]

Yup. The British Empire more or less spent their entire gold stockpile staying in the war those first couple of years.

[@aleue]

@MM22966 also due to the Great War England went from a creditor nation to a debtor nation. It was a one two punch that was referred to as a " mortal blow" to the British Empire. We need to learn not to enable Russia.

[@unformedeight]

Sergei Lavrov in a wig Got me good with that one xD

[@howtoappearincompletely9739]

It's _quite_ the mental image.

[@sparks1792]

Reminder Europe could’ve stepped up in 2014.

[@Kyle-sr6jm]

The US was also lead by a Democrat at that time.

[@Calvin_Coolage]

​@@Kyle-sr6jmObama signed the law which banned Russian firearms imports as a response to the annexation of Crimea. Should have been much harsher then so we could avoid what's happening now.

[@PhysicsGamer]

@@Kyle-sr6jm Yeah, and his response back then was a huge mistake. As the Democrats today readily accept, judging by the party's general anti-Russia line. This is called "changing your mind in response to observations about the world". I recommend trying it some time.

[@FrenkieBakbeest]

Yup, the Obama administration wanted to do a lot more but was frustrated by domestic politics and a lackluster European response, Merkel's Germany, Letti and Renza's Italy, Rutte's Netherlands etc. European leaders were basicly beegging Putin to give them excuses to do nothing and he did, disgustingly shamefull.

[@jarink1]

@@PhysicsGamer Are you forgetting the whole Burisma scandal? Ukraine paying Hunter Biden millions for doing essentially nothing? Trump getting impeached for *asking* Ukraine to investigate allegations of judicial interference from Joe Biden? A lot of people think there was much, much more to that story than what was reported.

[@joeszep]

Interesting throwaway line: "2028 - when the next U.S. presidential election is MEANT to occur..."

[@Generic_Name_1-1]

Glad I'm not the only one who caught this...

[@noahway13]

(American) I wish someone would address what would happen ( legally, structurally ) if Trump did seize power again and would not leave office. Like his Russian buddies, he would learn from past mistakes..

[@AHDBification]

Just started the video. Glad he's realistic.

[@John_Doe657]

@@noahway13well the republicans will have majority in the congress. If they want to change the constiruion to stay in power i guess they can. Trump certainly wants to stay in power.

[@methylenedioxy818]

​@@noahway13 American here. I reckon we'd have a civil war if that happened.

[@mattyholt2012]

Monday has already eaten my soul , so sending Sunday vibes to all that need it

[@elektrotehnik94]

❤

[@JustFamilyPlaytime]

Quite extraordinary the way that Perun can deliver his script. There are few professional journalists/commentators who could match him. Remarkable.

[@caretakerfochr3834]

Got my tick of approval. Pace, diction, natural voice, content...perfect....or near enough.

[@Syndr1]

Hi Perun, i went to a tank museum yesterday (had nothing to watch on KZbin 😉) and I could have sworn I saw some Rustkie's shopping.

[@Syndr1]

Made a video but,they sneaky🧐

[@jamesmanger4392]

Leaving US equipment at European bases, writing it off as excess, and then having allies deliver the equipment to Ukraine has some big 1940-style "land the airplane at the Canadian border and roll it down a hill" vibes.

[@APennStateHistorian]

Finding this channel has been very enjoyable it’s always a non-biased information based point of view and it’s rather refreshing as someone in the American system

[@michaelkendall-by7jv]

Perun is lowkey pissed

[@michaelkendall-by7jv]

1:01:01- bottom meme was absolutely unexpected in a perun video. What is happening to the world

[@reubensandwich9249]

If you worked for a munitions contractor and of eastern european ethnicity, you'd be low key pissed also.

[@martavdz4972]

@@reubensandwich9249 Perun is part Croatian, Croatia is Southern Europe geographically and South-Eastern Europe culturally. Apart from the Slavic language, the "Eastern Europe" identity was pretty much forced on it. It´s a wine-growing country with Catholic history and Italian architecture, used to be part of the Roman Empire, later the Austro-Hungarian Empire.

[@devinnie7572]

​@@martavdz4972 If you worked for a munitions contractor and were part Croatian you'd be low key pissed also.

[@gute321]

@@michaelkendall-by7jv that meme is what donald trump jr. posted to twitter

[@fretted4life]

I can already imagine Trump freestyling to the press after he is sworn in as POTUS. “I spoke to Zelensky What a great guy, tough guy, really tough guy. Did you know his first name & Putin’s first name is the same? Vladymir!! I also spoke to Mr Putin also a really tough guy……… this is the greatest military aid package in the history of military aid, believe me!!”

[@DakotaofRaptors]

"Biden...Kamala...tried their best to start World War 3 but I stopped it!"

[@Fiiischinator]

I find it amusing how this parody underperforms on how biden called zelensky putin in front of other governments and media with zelensky with him on the podium.

[@defendandprotect-om5hv]

​@@FiiischinatorIt is a perfect depiction of how the lawless orange fellon talks.😂

[@sarahdoyle1658]

White people war

[@perihelion7798]

I'm a Trump supporter, but that does sound like him. LOL

[@kermittoad]

Next year decides if the the United States commits one of if not the biggest geopolitical blunder in history.

[@playedout148]

😂

[@jozefkovac6858]

They will not care about Taiwan either. The press would be claiming "an unprecedented deal with Chinese" and do not care about anything. Well..they will care about domestic critics and will take care of them.

[@magnusschaub4848]

this geopolitical blunder could cause no nation to ever again give up its nuclear arsenal

[@rennscott5808]

Yeah, cause the last 4 years have been a shining example of perfect geopolitics.

[@rick7424]

​@@rennscott5808 Elaborate.

[@mykullthecimmerian7183]

You do not need to apologize!! You give me the most amazing information and analysis for free! I am thankful that you are so conscientious of your schedule. Don't worry my friend, I know I'm not the only one who knows you kick ass.

[@manuelriveros2911]

Aussie Wizard has returned. All's right with the world.

[@WhiskyCardinalWes]

The wait for this video was worth it. The clearest sight, is sometimes from those outside the room.

[@alan_clough]

Greece when they saw that wrench knew they needed to bolt on it before the rest of the world realized its signifigance and went nuts.

[@johnwilliams9244]

Thank you for this video. It was very informative and had very good analysis of the current situation in the Russo-Ukrainian war. 🇺🇸❤️🇺🇦

[@anonyshinki]

Thank you for the new episode! I've got no funny comments to make, not least because the outlook isn't that great, but I'll just use this opportunity to feed the algorithm

[@santubandieri]

So glad it's sunday again!

[@Movetheproduct]

hahaahaahhaahhahahaaaaaaaaaa

[@bits_and_bytes2220]

thanks perun. it's kinda crazy how you keep posting quality videos every week

[@Redcoat11]

Especially for free. It is a great service

[@gdutfulkbhh7537]

The early days of peace could be a very difficult and dangerous time for Mr Putin.

[@renrutmat]

Good.

[@rinaldoman3331]

Why? Because on Zelensky’s part it is he who disrupts all peace negotiations for fear of losing power (although the period of legitimacy has passed and there have been no elections).

[@stpancraschapel2136]

Always enjoy these but I’m particularly interested in this one. Thank you Perun, I am very grateful.

[@doomedwit1010]

Love the content. Just not ready to deal with this yet. Mostly because not sure much I can do (I did vote) but donate personally, which I have done, but is not a lot individually. Did my part to get us to 500 billion, but not a wealthy person.

[@andersbjrnsen7203]

Take part in discussions online and in your community and show people the importance of Putin not winning. Thats more than enough.

[@Schlumpfelch]

serenade me, australian defense man

[@skeewiffenator]

Lull me to sleep, PowerPoint master.

[@howtoappearincompletely9739]

There is _so_ much uncertainty surrounding this aspect of the Russo-Ukrainian War, but this video is an intelligent sketch of the factors and probable possibilities, at least. Thank you, Perun.

[@daemonredfield3211]

“I was wondering what would break first - your spirit…or your body”

[@javajunky215]

I have no issues with this being late, although I was out of sorts yesterday, my Sunday morning routine was completely turned upside down.

[@piushalg8175]

The Swiss problem is largely due to a kind of moralistic and shortsighted policy largely fostered by the left and left leaning centrists in the Swiss parliament. The left has always targeted any military production as suspicious if not outright immoral or even criminal. Greetings from Switzerland and thanks for this high uality podcast.

[@perihelion7798]

Switzerland - the country even the N@zis didn't want, and gave women the right to vote in 1971.

[@klaykid117]

Perun being a day late Is definitely a sign that this was a bit more of a let's say "challenging" video

[@polarstorm5986]

No need for an apologie. Take your time, do it right. Deliver quality, not speed.

[@carlomottola3213]

I don't get it. The radar on the F22 was designed in japan and the tyres are made in S. Korea. I don't remember the Japanese telling the Americans when they have to switch off the radar or the Koreans tell them where they can land.

[@timthetiny7538]

Built there isn't designed there. FYI

[@zacharywilson8346]

Perun, we didn't allow you an extra 24 hours, you allowed us to have another episode

[@D-Moneyz]

I imagine Perun hearing Biden's strike authorization exactly 5 seconds after uploading this video...

[@KrisRogos]

I love the vision of someone doing a stock check across a whole workshop and deciding this one wrench specifically just has to go

[@straybeastden]

I'm now going to go to sleep every day thinking about that wrench tipping the scales

[@Chuck_Hooks]

A very Trumpian deal would be to ask Ukraine to cede all its oil and gas to America in exchange for a permanent stationing of 150,000 US "personnel" in Ukraine. We would find out how fast Putin wants to deal.

[@alexdrockhound9497]

Not gonna lie, that would be very entertaining to watch.

[@Chuck_Hooks]

@alexdrockhound9497 It's the only worthwhile deal available that would get Putin's attention--fast. And would quickly end the conflict. It also bypasses any talk of Ukraine in NATO. It would be another US bilateral deal, as the US has, in various forms with Japan, South Korea, Phillipines Australia.

[@r3dp9]

That would be hilarious. It's the sort of compromise that EVERYONE would hate equally. That's what would make it a great compromise. The only threats worth giving are the kind you wouldn't mind enacting :]

[@jordandowland7256]

That would be a great deal. Such an amazing deal, probably the best deal in history. All other deals, total disasters. Believe me! Everybody knows.

[@Kaiserboo1871]

Wow… That would piss everyone off simultaneously. I say go for it. If everyone is offended, that means it’s a great compromise.

[@tortenschachtel9498]

Ukraine had security guarantees from the US, the UK and Russia, i don't see why further guarantees would make a difference.

[@jrnmller1551]

The Master strikes again, thanks Perun, well balanced and researched!!!

[@johnneutralobserver5944]

Brilliant realist insight as ever. Thanks

[@AdamMGTF]

I bet this is the most respectful and serious comment section thats ever happned to youtube.

[@prophetsspaceengineering2913]

Here's a quick rundown of German politics from someone who lives there. It's almost guaranteed that the conservative CDU will be the largest faction in February. The uncertainties are the following three bullet points: 1) Will the SPD and CDU combined have more than 50% of the votes? If so, that's the government we'll get. If not, things will get very complicated, possibly with an extended lame-duck period. 2) If the CDU and SPD don't get a majority, there's the question if the CDU remains true to their word and keeps the far-rights out of the government. It seems likely that they will but one never knows. It happened in Austria a few years ago, and it might happen here, too. If the far-right Putin apologists get enough votes, German politics will become a shitshow similar to the US. 3) Who's going to lead the SPD? Nobody likes Scholz but so far he managed to silence his opponents within the SPD. His most likely replacement would be our current defence minister Pistorius. He's been quite busy over the last year and pushed for reforms on the military procurement side. You might recognize quite a few of your own positions about the Bundeswehr in his comments and actions. Probably the most competent defence minister we've had in a decade, if not longer.

[@NotCreativeEngh]

Born to early to explore space, born to late to explore earth. Born just in time to witness Perun comment trumps second term

[@BezBog]

I feel like your videos should be mandatory viewing in all halls of power and government throughout Europe. Especially this one!

[@jaxkommish]

I'll trade my two HD TVs for a functioning Bradley or Hummvee, if some Greek or Belgians really don't want all that military junk

[@perihelion7798]

That deal just might work here in Texas: kzbin.info/www/bejne/jIGXmmiQnNmpntk

[@johnm900]

It was worth the wait - enough said. 👍

[@khangvutien2538]

Thank you. This analysis helps understand.

[@squireson]

Sounds like a non permanent cease fire is devastating for Ukraine. With building Russian advantage, it almost guarantees Ukraine-Russo War Part Two.

[@avroarchitect1793]

Any sort of cease fire allows Russia to try again in a few years after recovering.

[@isaac6077]

Techincally three but whatever

[@motouno3778]

Thanks mate ! Great job . SLAVA UKRAINI 👌 HEROYAM SLAVA ❤❤❤❤❤❤

[@schmiddy8433]

They sold MRAPs for 46k a pop. wow. I don't think thats a reasonable price

[@jaymacpherson8167]

Guess I will send more money directly to Ukraine.

[@cc0767]

Oh boy monday was never better

[@Zer0Blizzard]

18:10 THANK YOU. ABOUT DARN TIME SOMEONE SMART ALLUDED TO THE TRILLION DOLLAR/UNLIMITED MONEY PLATINUM COIN

[@mcs131313]

35:58 lol don’t bring the energy transition into this. To be clearly fully support the US continuing to help. But that energy transition was totally self inflicted problem. Not only had they ignored calls to work towards greater independence as early as 2017 - they had also just doubled down on another Russian pipeline.

[@r3dp9]

Wrong timestamp? Good point though.

[@shawnkivlin3238]

Europeans feel entitled to American money and will ue whatever logic to justify it.

[@odinsrensen7460]

@@shawnkivlin3238 Oh, another burgerclapper complaining about Europe not doing enough for NATO... I'm a European, and I don't mind increasing our military spending up to 5 percent, or more! But I very much DO mind doing it for NATO and acting as a good little vassal state of the US empire. For every burgerclapper who complains like this: By all means, F off. F off with NATO. F off with your military bases in European nations, and your r*pist soldiers! And F off with starting s**t in our back yard, like Ukraine!

[@perihelion7798]

Yeah...get your energy from Putin to satisfy an irrational and stupid agenda. Brilliant...

[@OriginalOmgCow]

Europeans are one of Americas largest import and export trading partners, particularly of high technology. Why would you ever think it's all for free.

[@normm1619]

I wonder how the workers in the HIMARS plant in Arkansas voted? I wonder if other US defense workers are going to appreciate European counties switching to European suppliers as times go on, assuming the USA starts withdrawing from Europe generally….

[@wpatrickw2012]

Trump carried Arkansas by a landslide (64% vs 33%), so it’s safe to assume that most supported Trump.

[@normm1619]

@@wpatrickw2012 yup….and I am sure they will be shocked if Trump cuts off Ukraine…

[@willd7596]

@@normm1619 We have to fill our own arsenals... also, rural Americans don't think in the way you do

[@KingCreeper-1026]

@@wpatrickw2012 The average American voter suffers from a severe lack of understanding of causality. More generally just look at how many voters evidently did not know what a tariff is before they voted.

[@glennmitchell9107]

What would European nations do if Trump made continued minimal U.S. support for Ukraine contingent on a significant increase in European aid to Ukraine? Burden sharing to allay MAGA arguments that the U.S. is spending scarce resources more urgently needed at home.

[@MattTheSpratt]

I just feel physical ill about this whole situation.

[@reubensandwich9249]

Then go see a physician.

[@512TheWolf512]

obviously. because surrendering to nazi russia means world War 3 is inevitable.

[@2005batman]

You may feel frustrated, but who’s been enjoying nearly three years of circle jerk around Ukraine “winning the war”? You knew guilty pleasures come at a price, so…

[@reubensandwich9249]

@@2005batman For real. Everyone is in denial just looking at the map for the last two years. Combined the US and EU spent $300bil usd and Pentagon estimates 600,000 Russian casualties. So it $500,000 per Russian casualty... For what? A country the EU and US tariffed, and still do, exports from. And this is all before they show up asking for money to rebuild Ukraine.

[@nathanbishop4197]

how can anyone claim NATO is a security concern to russia? who believes NATO would ever invade russia like how russia invaded ukraine? their security concerns are that they wouldnt be able to get away with invading/interfering with more countries the larger NATO is.

[@BoskoBuha99]

"Western political will" was never a serious factor in the final outcome of this war. Ukraine was always going to lose unless NATO was prepared to intervene militarily and these missile strikes will not change much. What they will do is make Trumps job more difficult...

[@perihelion7798]

Sad, but true.

[@baneofbanes]

Sure thing bud

[@isaac6077]

Generally…

[@absolutechaos13]

As an American, I have to say this: Ukraine might have been as high as 4th on the list of concerns most voters had on election day and likely quite a bit lower. I am not going to say that every voter had the same priorities, but domestic issues (economy, immigration, abortion, etc.) were higher priorities than foreign wars for both parties and most of the independents. Israel-Palestine probably ranked higher in the minds of the masses. I am not saying that was good, just, or right, just that more people were concerned about the price of eggs than people dying halfway across the world. Even if Harris won, it was likely to be more of the same, mild support with a lot of strings attached.

[@Ω3103ζ]

i cant wrap my head around the fact that most americans voted for republicans, because of the economy- didnt bush saw over and was partially responsible for the biggest economic crash in this century? Didnt trump saw over the initial impacts of covid-19 and barely did anything about it? Whenever a republican leaves the white-house in the last 24 years, a democrat needs to see over the mess they made during their administration and needs to in some way or other solve it, its never the other way around. You might be right that ukraine/foreign affairs wasnt the priority for most americans, but from an outsiders perspective even considering their own scewed reasoning- it still is baffling to me that voters honestly to god think that their economy will get better under trump when history repeatedly showed otherwise. The economic growth during 16-19 wasn't because of his design, and when it came down to it in 2020, he failed. I seriously dont get how anyone would 4 years later vote for the guy that failed, again.

[@carltonbauheimer]

Probably the most reasonable comment I've read on this video

[@perihelion7798]

True enough. Most folks not in the USA cannot understand our strange politics.

[@Blackened30]

I imagine it wasn't even on the list for most voters. I think that's short sighted, but people tend to be short sighted. I do think taking the election as a sign of support or a lack of support for Ukraine among Americans would be wrong. This election felt like we weren't really given much of a choice, Harris was a terrible candidate. I still have no idea what her policies were, or if she ever had any.

[@joeclaridy]

​​@@Blackened30is it short sighted? This isn't the first time Russia conducted a "Special Military Operation" since Putin took power. In Georgia, Crimea, Moldova, and now Ukraine proper were met with the same response; Western European made token gestures while ignoring the obvious. To be clear, some European NATO members (mainly Germany) have been getting closer to Moscow since 2007 in attempt to source cheap energy while blatanly ignoring the obvious. How can they pressure us into bankrolling a large portion of this very preventable war in THEIR backyard? This is all happening while they are being dragged kicking and screaming to take defense serious?

[@Klint_Izwudd]

A single wrench price checked and shipped with receipts. Holy shit I don't know if I want to condemn the bureaucracy or praise the transparency.

[@dodgingrain3695]

Europe is going to step up? HAHAHAHAHAHAHA.... yah... right.

[@squisherderheld]

I think it was a big failure of the US to give greece the WRENCH. Totally unjustified in face of the potential missuse. What if that WRENCH is not used to tighten bolts only? Leave it all to trump to collect all the lose nuts and bolts and string them all together? Irresponsible

[@SimplyJustRed]

Damn, Band of Brothers was good.

[@Zeitgeist_Dron]

Stop looking at nominal GDP. Purchasing Power Parity my friend. How else can they out produce the US and Europe in artillery, make nuclear submarines, and also wage the biggest war in the 21st century by themselves. Inexplicable

[@baneofbanes]

By themselves? Lol

[@lordcirrhosisofliver]

1. even with ppp copium the russian economy still isn't that big, it is barely bigger then germany in ppp and is still absolutely dwarfed by countries like the USA and china 2. the only reason this war is the biggest war in the 21st century is because we live in a time of unprescedented peace and russia failed to get an early victory like the US did in iraq. 3. russia is not alone in this war by any stretch, many countries are helping russia both directly (iran, NK) and indirectly (china, india) 4. russia has an artilery based military doctrine, while most nato countries have an air force based doctrine. Which is why russia produces a lot of artillery shells. but also why russia cannot produce su-57 or su-75 while F-35s are flying off the assembly lines.

[@Zeitgeist_Dron]

@lordcirrhosisofliver they're not getting grants or free stuff. Everything is paid for by them.

[@Zeitgeist_Dron]

@@lordcirrhosisofliver so the russians are not buying yoga classes in new York with dollars. They're buying 152mm artillery shells in Kaluga with rubles. When it comes to military spend(and anything else a country is self sufficient in) ppp is the only relevant measure. Add on top of that that all the weapons producers are government owned and are not taking margins (unlike Lockheed or Boeing taking massive margins from the europeans) Yiu can see how Russia could outmatch Germany several times over for the same nominal dollar amount

[@Zeitgeist_Dron]

@@baneofbanes well they're not getting military or financial aid from anyone and $300 billion of their reserves have been immobilised. So yes by themselves

[@johnathonyoung4799]

Before watching this the key word I would say is: Uncertainty

[@johnathonyoung4799]

We will see how accurate this is

[@Narkkarihampuusi]

I don't know, something tells me that there will come some kind of surprise on this.

[@andersbjrnsen7203]

If there is one thing certain with Trump involved its that surprises will come, and real life will surpass any comedy or tragedy writers imagination.

[@r3dp9]

@@andersbjrnsen7203 Yep. Let's wait another month or two before jumping too conclusions. I'm personally optimistic, but I realize that Putin, Z, and the people under them, AND Nato all get at least some say, on top of whatever Trump throws on the table. I have no idea what we'll get - but it will be something! I also know that no matter what, the mainstream will whine. Trump could cure cancer and the mainstream would STILL find a way to whine. I can't take any criticism of him seriously when over 90% of it is in bad faith.

[@Alphasig336]

US could easily allow defense industry to sell to Ukraine.