The War in Ukraine Is Far From Over

Ryan McMaken and Zachary Yost look at the many factors behind Ukraine's failure to defeat Russia or move closer to NATO membership. Ukraine is sadly caught between a cynical NATO and a Russia that is in it for the long haul.
Be sure to follow War, Economy, and State at Mises.org/WES.

[@CPubi]

thanks ryan for bringing us all these podcasts and articles. you’re a real busy bee

[@benjamindover4337]

I think it was telling when Lindsey Graham said to Zelenski "For Ukrain its freedom or death", to which Zelenski nodded along with a locked jaw grimmace. They've got their nutts in a ringer now.

[@wmntv]

Mises on Russia: "Ever since Russia was first in a position to exercise an influence on European politics, it has continually behaved like a robber who lies in wait for the moment when he can pounce upon his victim and plunder him of his possessions. At no time did the Russian Czars acknowledge any other limits to the expansion of their empire than those dictated by the force of circumstances". You can find more on Russia in "Liberalism" and "Planned chaos".

[@abramgaller2037]

The official takes on the Ukraine are completely wrong.

[@Guti3737]

Love this podcast.

[@benjones1717]

46:40 This does show how bad an idea for security it is to let massive quantities of non natives into the country.

[@stanislavfrul6339]

OK, here's the real explanation for average Americans why it is to the benefit of the US to help Ukraine to make this war with Russia the last one - meaning destruction of the Moscow regime of "oriental despotism" (this term, coined by Aristotle is very much applicable to Moscow regime). Here's the harsh truth: the world is approaching the civilizational crisis of deceleration - a crisis that will exceed the Great Depression by an order of magnitude. It will start with a drastic downsizing of the middle classes around the world, followed by deglobalization ("rise of economic nationalism", hehe), then there will be a rise in social unrest and conflicts between the countries. Some pundits may name it a "3rd World War", but nope: the period of the World Wars was a period of an accelerated science-and-technology progress, and the World Wars were characterized by stable coalitions and lasted only several years each, but the coming civilizational crisis will last for decades, there will be no stable coalitions and there will be more internal conflicts than conflicts between countries. It may even last for 50 years in the most affected countries. Now, the question arises: what countries will be affected most, and what countries will suffer least? The countries with good prospectives will be those that produce a lot of food and other renewable resources per capita (!), and have a potential of growing production of food per capita. Are there many such countries? Nope, there are not so many countries in the world that are underpopulated relative to their potential of renewable resources production. And largest of them is Russia, where renewable resources are produced and processed very inefficiently. Why? Simply because there are many administrative obstacles to mid-size and small businesses, which is typical for 3rd world countries. And it is precisely mid-size and small businesses that are most efficient in producing and processing renewable resources. Now, how is it possible to alleviate social consequences of the hopeless "Greatest Depression" after the inevitable return of a new old paradigm of extensive economic growth? Only by colonizing new underdeveloped territories. The potential for colonization of new territories in the US is weak, meaning high potential for social unrest and civil wars. The economic situation in the Coastal states (except Texas) will be terrible, especially, in large cities. Some libertarian Americans may believe that the US will be able to repeat its 19th century. Nope, it's impossible. You can't enter the same river twice and you can't wish your way out of this situation. There will be many excessive people - formerly middle class people, new poor. And the only way to relieve social tensions will be to direct some of these people to colonization of post-Russian territories. Where they could live in self-governed charter cities, while the US will be becoming less and less free. Presently the US is on the brink of a phase transition, similar to transition from Roman republic to the principate. You probably know what it means. It is childish to believe that the US may revert to the state of a true republic, but you will be able to build new republics on new territories

[@FrankHarwald]

So you're suggesting neocolonialism is the solution to today's problems of Russia & the eastern world?

[@stanislavfrul6339]

@@FrankHarwald I don't use the term "neocolonialism") The coming era of extensive growth will last for a very long time, and since it favors mid-size and small businesses - formation of new (true) republics is inevitable. However, it will take generations, while arrival of colonists will greatly accelerate these processes. I don't know what you mean by "Russia", but the majority of Russians and others peoples will benefit from transition of Northern Eurasia to true republics, while the beneficiaries of the current regime will, naturally, lose. The motto will be "what is good for mid-size and small businesses is good for everyone". Well, almost everyone) In the 3rd world countries law enforcement agencies are in essence mafias and the level of protection of private property is low. The development of mid-size and small businesses requires high level of protection of private property, and in the 3rd world countries oligarchs and corrupt law enforcement suppress formation of a wide class of economically independent citizens. Oligarchs, large and small, understand the threat that they represent for their regime

[@theethicsofliberty4642]

Contracts, Treaties, Agreements, Borders ... Must Be Respected ... On the Treaties between Russia and Ukraine ... the United States and its Allies pledged to guarantee the security of Ukraine against Russia ... Russia invaded in 2014 ... and nothing was done ... another Agreement was signed ... Russia invaded in 2022 ... and nothing was done ... The aid in arms and vehicles that the United States and its allies have been providing to Ukraine is immeasurably small compared to the Real Aid that were agreed on those treaties ...

[@FrankHarwald]

Russia did not invade Crimea in 2014 - what did Russia back then was supporting their secession from Ukraine in a way that was legal according to international law & had large support by its inhabitants. Granted, it's not how libertarian theory would say secession should be done but it's at least according to international law which is what states use to base agreements inbetween them. Source: German expert of international law Prof. iur. Karl-Albrecht Schachtschneider had an in depth look into the situation of Crimea seceeding from Ukraine & joining back Russia in 2014 & held a speech about it in 2015. Google "AWK 2015 - Prof. Schachtschneider - Regieren uns EZB und ESM? Das Eurounrecht"

[@wmntv]

@@FrankHarwald First figure out the issue properly, then speak.

[@aslkdjfzxcv9779]

if an Antonov flies into the WH im gonna laugh.

[@JonathanSchattke]

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum According the their disarmament, they would be justified in using nuclear weapons against a nuclear state encroaching on their territory.