The Winning Factor

[@paulkngeno641]

Raila tosha to be the next president.

[@shinjemsuka1822]

Your very right prof,it seems you know the behavior of voter I am telling,you can take that to exim bank,Raila will win Mt Kenya Vote by more than 50%

[@mobilegamerpro8005]

Ulisemaje hapa?

[@wabannah9009]

Professor na Wazalendo Tukubaliane:"Raila is the Power behind the Throne"!!!.

[@nancymathenge]

Ukweli wa mambo Wa Bannah

[@meshackomukaga8948]

Wa Bannah naona wewe ni azimio mwenyewe..niko pia hapo nyuma yako

[@rugendorunene545]

In such a Scenario... then everyone folds to Azimio after Aug.09. Then I will remain the only Opposition diehard.

[@wabannah9009]

@@rugendorunene545 Wewe kaa kwa Baridi.

[@rugendorunene545]

@@wabannah9009 buda, I am a productive Kenyan. Even offering myself for the Coveted official opposition... Kwani ni nini🤣🤣🤣.

[@arwandajunior1122]

I saw ruto and his dandas crying in caren today in the name of prayer then proceed to nyeri and hails insult what a hypocrisy ruto and his dandas thin God is human being like them

[@markgeorge7426]

Mungu asifiwe bwana yesu asifiwe but what comes from the mouth is opposite

[@joynjoki4234]

😂😂😂😂😂sisemi kitu

[@charitygathi3306]

Sometimes you can be annointed be prayed for but God will not answer the prayers he is not a son of a woman ...not moved by the amount of tears the hypocrite will shed God looks at the heart....

[@meshackomukaga8948]

I'll repeat again, Ruto has a Jekyll and Hyde disorder/double speak/bait and switch /gobbledegook.. where Mister nice suddenly changes to master nasty.

[@daviddavid9100]

I was shocked as well

[@ibrahimhumba6953]

WSR journey to SUGOI is UNSTOPPABLE RARUA TICKET ALL THE WAY SERIKALI NI YA BABA NA MARTHA 🎉🥳🎉🎉🥳🎉🎉

[@petermunyua3270]

This is what I was waiting @Prof Manyora. What a great conversation with Simon Irungu.Greetings from Tabuk city 🇸🇦.

[@j.blessing971]

Hon. Raila is the 5th President of Kenya by God’s Grace

[@elizabethsonga7698]

So the mountain think the man of Sigoi after belittling their son will suddenly become their hero. Let them know Karua is their best bet.

[@kelvinmuriithi1136]

william ruto will have more votes in Kabare ward than Raila yet its the home for Azimio running mate. I like Azimio policies but truth is that people especially women in rural areas might take Azimio home

[@peterkirimu150]

@@kelvinmuriithi1136 That doesn't prevent Azimio from attaining considerable votes of winning presidential elections country wide.The worst you could do is to separate yourself to the winning team.Chanuka bwana Wacha kufikiria mambo yako ka ward peke yake Rarua presidential ticket win unstoppable.

[@peterkirimu150]

@@kelvinmuriithi1136 How?You cannot speak for women being a man.

[@simonmwaniatilesterrazzoma2030]

Ruto numbers are dropping every day, if raila today standing with 47% ad ruto 41%, in this remaining 6 days raila will win with 53% . ad he will be declared as a winner for this general electtion 2022.

[@panafrican.nation]

My friends... Uhuru seems to be playing a high level game. Like someone who quietly spent time in his house sharpening an axe instead of whacking at a big tree, then eventually spends a few minutes lazily chopping down that tree

[@jap8205]

You know, Moi was a Bible-thumping president who attended church every Sunday, but that didn't stop him from "dealing with the Kikuyu"! Ruto, like Moi, is hiding in church and once in office, his true colours will emerge. Do you know why the church leaders could not reconcile Uhuru and Ruto? It's simply because the church leaders suffered from conflict of interest having accepted Ruto's "gifts"of money and cars. They could not sit at the reconciliation table when they had accepted a "bribe" from one side.

[@peterkirimu150]

Well articulated and said

[@merkebnoohtube]

Ruto sounds everyday like someone who is clutching at any distraction blunt his crushing return on investment. Ruto’s knows that it’s going to be impossible to put a positive spin on his looming defeat, so he is setting his supporters up to reject the election result. To truly appreciate the scale of Ruto’s pain, you need to go back 5 years to when he fired the starter’s gun on the 2022 presidential campaign with a lone competitor - himself. To add salt to injury, Uhuru’s simple, non-confrontational responses make Ruto look very unpresidential.

[@gracejoshua4368]

Good job guys good job good people . I Salute 🫡 you!!!’

[@christophermusumbu2979]

Wonderful analysis

[@jamesmwaurakuria1848]

What interests me is that there's no trees in sugoi ,yote imekatwa

[@christineopiyo7769]

I hope Mt Kenya does not lead us to the path of destruction by electing Ruto

[@richbroadcastingnetwork8232]

I totally agree with you

[@antonynganga7868]

We won't!

[@janekiruki9187]

We are electing Ruto to the last man in the mountain.

[@peterkirimu150]

A good warning.

[@peterkirimu150]

@@janekiruki9187 talk about yourself alone

[@HellenofTroy897]

Today Uhuru baited him, " vile Ruto hufanya - moja yako, nusu mwanachi, mbili za huyu, tano zangu..." now let's see Ruto bite hard.😂😂😂

[@godfreyoduor4360]

I watched that and laughed 😂😂😂😂

[@samochola4429]

@Prof Manyora, the Bradley effect you're citing in Mt Kenya could equally work against Raila as much as on Ruto. Raila could yield very little votes in the region than supporters and pundits are anticipating. Azimio strategists would be foolish not to conceive and work around that eventuality. That said, there are two facts/inevitabilities I could add to buttress your calling of the race : (1) The voter turn out in Mt Kenya will not replicate the super figures recorded in the previous two elections. On educated guess, 75% is the most optimistic Gema turn-out next week. That's still a whooping 10% drop from 2017. (2) The science of politics is limpid that Raila will not fail to garner at least 25% of Mt Kenya support. The above factors are critically consequential on numbers' scale. Thus, granted Raila retains over 60% lead respectively in Coast, Western & Ukambani ( polls are indicating that trend) , Ruto's path to the presidency is utterly foreclosed. In plain terms, even if Ruto was to marshal 74% of Mt Kenya votes (a herculean task) , mathematically he still looses the election. Hats off to Herman Manyora channel; An encyclopedia for many with regards to homeland discourse.

[@djjuniorsampler7528]

No run off azimio will carry it round 1

[@officialflameboy2548]

Rutoh will surprise many

[@zdy373]

If the silent voice is not only individual but affects the family in mount Kenya. How is it that the same silent voice is moving from RiftVally to mount Kenya? Because they have been threatened?

[@michaelwanaks1086]

Kiti kizunguke....

[@martinjacobtv9864]

The percentage will be calculated according to the turnout, if only 70% turn out to vote then that is where the matrix begin.

[@stephenmacharia8832]

Prof I thought that the 50% is of the actual votes cast, so the issue of undicided will not matter during the elections unlike for the polls

[@trimediavids]

It won't matter if they don't vote. If they do, it will matter which side they break for.

[@johntabu]

Boss, undecided is a position during opinion polls only. On election day, they change to voters (where they HAVE to chose one of the options) or non-voters, where they remain as national statistics with little bearing to the 2022 elections.

[@christophermusumbu2979]

You will hit the 100% mark before the elections

[@Eddyke]

Prof prof prof😅😂. But you're learning

[@pamzoo4372]

I counted how many times he said prof...unbelievable

[@emmanuelmabele4654]

Watched.

[@zdy373]

Who are the undecided voters? How do we determine them? Where are they? Can Manyora discuss in depth about this issue of undecided voters?

[@johntabu]

In Kenya, undecided voters are mostly found in regions with no contestant in the elections. They usually don't hate one candidate hard enough, and are not excited either about the alternate candidate. So for a long time, they remain on the fence, not sure which side side to jump to. But don't worry because all that ends on the election day where they finally have to put ONE mark on that paper. And suddenly, they cease to exist. I hope this helps.

[@erickalwora4028]

Prof please give an analysis of the Kenya film industry. In my opinion it is a sleeping Giant

[@HukuNairobi]

I came back and laugh about this Professor analysis 😀😀😀 Talking Ruto will finish your career You will see That man is from Sogoi You can't understand what i am saying You will witness it

[@bethu5242]

Manyora what will you do or go when Ruto is declared the president??..just some food for thought. Make sure you ask your sponsor (Atwoli) the same. Also ensure you have your doctor close to you from the 9th till results are announced.

[@ichooseviolence2532]

Nothing will happen to him or you think Ruto will kill him or jail him??? The constitution can't allow this you clown

[@johntabu]

Do not even lift your last finger to respond to this one, prof; this one is beneath you. So instead let me deal with @Bethu perpendicularly. Herman Manyora is only making conclusions from his reading of the situation on the ground. That does not make him a Raila or Azimio supporter. If I tell you that your team will win, that does not make me a supporter of your team. So on the 10th August, after results are out, the prof will be right here, doing exactly the same thing. And now I can also ask: Where will you be after Ruto has been announced as the loser in these elections? Tafakari.

[@stephenkahura833]

Declared by who let the people decide

[@bethu5242]

@@johntabu stop being so naive, or did you just crawl out of a hole. Manyora has stated many times in his videos that he supports Raila and it is democratic right to do so. Also, he is part of those sponsored to drive certain narrative. So don’t think everyone is a fool. By the way this is a courtesy response, you’re neither in my level.

[@johntabu]

@@bethu5242, now that I am "neither in your level" let me bow before you in humility and supplication: IGWEEEE..! And boss, never "catch feelings" on these matters; it's not worth it imagine. This is just Kenyan politics! Having said that: 1. Next time you wish to bloat your fickle ego by elevating yourself above the rest of us mere mortals, please start by writing proper English for clean communication, ok? It has a way of exposing your level inadvertently. 2. Common decency demands that if you cannot substantiate statements like " he is part of those sponsored to drive certain narrative", you don't venture into such communication zones; it exposes you badly as one of those brainless sycophants who regurgitate tired statements from politicians without subjecting them to even an iota of thought. Note that Manyora could easily and by his own volition have opted to drive that same narrative without sponsorship from anyone, so where would that leave you and your allegation? 3. Lastly, much appreciation for your courtesy, sir. It is perhaps the only positive thing remaining on your person after I have stripped off your charade and left you bare. Do have a blessed day, sir.

[@tumezedawayaminyoo8727]

This is where such kuzimias sympathizers and bloggers ought to Save time and just go to the point and tell Mganga's supporters the bitter truth of waking up sooo early just like wajackoya's supporters and cast their votes in large numbers cz all the shortcuts intended by Uhuru on his project right from BBI, NIS report, sijui Karua effect in Mt Kenya,😂 everything has been proven futile and have all BACKFIRED

[@harunmuya2882]

Sasa wewe unaongea vitu gani? You sound so depressed.

[@erickmakamu7601]

Nambari moja kama kawa

[@cujo7758]

Prof its not so much Uhuru but kikuyus themselves who have to fear this guy.

[@bellaolum9768]

Fear which guy?

[@peterkirimu150]

A fearful person hits hard and harder.We shall kumira kumira to take the Sugoi man home with his wheelbarrow.And by the way the wheelbarrow narrative stopped coz it was not selling.

[@mwanamutemi]

Prof Mutashangaaa !!! Kikuyus were already tired of the Kenyatta name & Uhuru has scratched the wound more, & the one issue that will decide & shame Uhuru is FAMILY BUSINESS VENTURES especially MILK !!!

[@jodiesheba7326]

why are you speaking for all kikuyus have you asked all of us???

[@mwanamutemi]

@@jodiesheba7326 jiite ka mkutano

[@georgeondiro8214]

How about now that the same Ruto guy has given them marching orders to move from Eldoret and environs?...At least the milk factory is employing them. What has Ruto established in Eldoret that can employ anybody save for his close relatives? Vote wisely lest u shoot ourselves in the foot...

[@mwanamutemi]

@@georgeondiro8214 Kindl just protect our energy with information which can show your maurity

[@harunmuya2882]

Kwani maziwa haiuzwi kwingine? Fresher ni ya Uhuru? Bure kabisa!

[@caesarooke]

To interviewer, respect is okay. Make the interview respectful without a lot of Prof. title. Might just get more folk to listen and get the questions and response

[@johntabu]

I thought I was alone in noticing this bad habit...!!! Simon Irungu's use of PROF borders on an insult, or very bad sycophancy! "..But you know, PROF, in Kenya, PROF, tribe matters a lot PROF, and this is bad PROF, so PROF how do we deal...." I mean, give the PROF a bureeeeik....!!! I hope he reads these comments, so that he can learn from them.

[@ceokirkscongroupafrica]

Tell us in the event Raila loses for any reasons? Will he agree? He's still our Grandba No problem. Remains to be the Sons of this Kenyan soil. Why? It isn't over until counting is Done by IEBC, trusted than OPINION POLLS BY INFOTRACK,TIFA, IPSOS...

[@iananderson6705]

Think it's closer than anyone thinks.

[@ibrahimmohammed9361]

I think they god is they age mate ndio maana wanamchezea walie watoke matusi sasa huyo ndio mcha mungu na mpenda amani kenyans vote wisely don't vote leaders who have bad intentions cause tutaumia na hawa wezi

[@johnwilliam7410]

Ruto will shock people

[@felixnyakundi5890]

Shock who?

[@kabunga5056]

John....yes he will....because he will be crying on his way to sugoi....

[@minagejosephine1627]

Shock you

[@mathias_mathias45]

By accepting to go home

[@okotoryem4105]

True he will shock people by beaten hands down bcoz Mt is shifting to wards Baba

[@pattcarl5949]

Im Azimio , Ruto will carry the day, he has to manage perception and / or apathy . Raila cannot match rutos' RAW numbers

[@Emily11-11]

Wake up

[@zdy373]

Nakutakia mema. Look for Mutahi ngunyi....the mountain analyzer.

[@mauricemasete]

He is a young man who is experiencing voting the first time

[@richado2579]

You are not in Azimio. You are somewhere else. Azimio folk are focused on the ultimate prize , they don't waver .You are Lot's wife who turned into a rock when she looked back.I

[@charitygathi3306]

Tihihihi.....

[@ceokirkscongroupafrica]

Prof, we're tired of this nonsense anyway. We'll talk on 9th of August and settle down and move on a New Kenya

[@Steve-qf8he]

Yes a new kenya means azimio. The old kenya of corruprion must not live. It must die

[@johntabu]

Boss, just speak for yourself, sawa? Do not include me in your "WE". And if you cannot withstand the heat in the kitchen, simply walk out, ama? Prof and myself will be right here on the 10th after the results are out, wacha hata 9th I will comb all over this page to see if one @Kirks E is in the house as well

[@harunmuya2882]

Go and watch cartoons.