There's Enough Math in Finance Already. What's Missing is Imagination.

  Рет қаралды 43,474

Big Think

Big Think

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 49
@Nickuncle
@Nickuncle 10 жыл бұрын
Well...I must say he has a point. I've been doing so many Financial problems and the only imagination comes from establishing an equation for every scenario.
@HaiLeQuang
@HaiLeQuang 7 жыл бұрын
This dazzled me even though the fact that I haven't learnt enough math in finance
@TunioMir
@TunioMir 13 жыл бұрын
Imagine this: A world where there IS perfect knowledge, a world where computers DO have ALL the information and the processing ability deal with it. I believe the only reason math is lacking is because there aren't enough variables considered.
@franciscoromero1406
@franciscoromero1406 11 ай бұрын
We're getting there brother.
@zicongma6702
@zicongma6702 6 жыл бұрын
His book was an interesting read, do give it a try if you are interested in this area.
@mindauggas
@mindauggas 12 жыл бұрын
Is the model self-referential? i.e. does it take into account when predicting the future market condition it's own actions now? Can anyone approve or decline this? And explain in few words why?
@jonasianbuddy
@jonasianbuddy 13 жыл бұрын
I saw the remake with Branden Fraser in it
@minimalist34
@minimalist34 13 жыл бұрын
no this guy is spot on, try to not apply the occupy wall street movement for a second and think purely as acting as individual. (BTW i support the ows movement). He's talk in terms of an investor, trying read the markets, foresee where capital will move, what will be vital, e.g. silicon valley late 80's, FDI in China 90's
@MoneyR8
@MoneyR8 4 жыл бұрын
If the models are based on predictive input and the future can’t be predicted, then isn’t everything a sham?
@schrodingerscat3912
@schrodingerscat3912 6 жыл бұрын
Derman is awesome. I love the point he is making here
@Klive5ive
@Klive5ive 13 жыл бұрын
Ha! What's missing in Finance is common sense. The whole is Europe is screwed because everyone ignored the obvious... don't borrow money you can't pay back.
@user-or7ji5hv8y
@user-or7ji5hv8y 5 жыл бұрын
But there are so many other things where imagination is needed. Is imagination applied to better forecasting prices, even if it improves market efficiency, that worthwhile, beyond monetarily? And how much larger is the marginal impact relative to so many other potential endeavors?
@supermonkeywtf09
@supermonkeywtf09 12 жыл бұрын
South Africans and math, its like pen and paper.
@orientrat
@orientrat 11 жыл бұрын
there are tons of different kinds of financial models. There are simulation models such as monte carlo models. There are also stochastic models such as the black scholes model and other related options and interest rate models. And there are ibanking/dcf models which are basically just companies' financial statements put into a spreadsheet
@cammyjeee
@cammyjeee 13 жыл бұрын
I'm not shooting that fookin' prawn!!!
@TempestTossedWaters
@TempestTossedWaters 13 жыл бұрын
@dilic Stealing means taking something from an another person so that the person no longer has it. You can't steal data.
@Kenji314159
@Kenji314159 13 жыл бұрын
@Jinmane i cant find his name
@Kenji314159
@Kenji314159 13 жыл бұрын
I think it's the opposite. There's enough imagination, speculation and expectations in finance. We have to bring rationality and carefulness in finance! Which is basically equal to maths.
@RandageJr
@RandageJr 6 жыл бұрын
He is the cutest old man
@appinfo9703
@appinfo9703 5 жыл бұрын
😂👍👍👌😜
@ArtisanTony
@ArtisanTony 13 жыл бұрын
@ArtisanTony *too
@TambetTV
@TambetTV 13 жыл бұрын
That's really interesting.
@xDaBeginninGx
@xDaBeginninGx 13 жыл бұрын
looks like im renting bedazzled tonight
@aSheeple
@aSheeple 13 жыл бұрын
@TunioMir what if there are an infinite number of variables? in reality you would at least have to include the minds of all inhabitants of planet earth, thats 7 billion variables. but that would still accumulate errors unless you went smaller. say all the cells in all human's brains, but there would still be errors, so you have to go smaller. like all molecules in all human bodys...... you can see where that's going. at some point it gets impractical to become more accurate.
@alllove3717
@alllove3717 7 жыл бұрын
Even if you consider all possible variables, what matters is that you can estimate those variables well to yield a useful model.
@W-HealthPianoExercises
@W-HealthPianoExercises 7 ай бұрын
Prediction Is unnecessary😊
@Anonymous247n
@Anonymous247n 13 жыл бұрын
@tankusfred People.
@sftw009
@sftw009 13 жыл бұрын
There's never enough math in anything.
@jinmane3361
@jinmane3361 13 жыл бұрын
@Kenji314159 It's in the video. Emanuel Derman.
@EBUNNY2012
@EBUNNY2012 8 жыл бұрын
Bedazzled
@rogueremis
@rogueremis 13 жыл бұрын
This was basically a really fancy way of saying. We can do 2+2=4, but we're really lacking in getting to actually know what people want and are interested for the future. We've lost Human connection.
@jinmane3361
@jinmane3361 13 жыл бұрын
@Kenji314159 Look at this guy's Wikipedia page. He's actually remarkably accomplished, and far from ordinary.
@natashaphillips4371
@natashaphillips4371 2 жыл бұрын
As a trade enthusiast who has made lots of money investing with Steve Hendricks, made 31k$ last week putting in 12k$ I will advice y’all get a professional to guide your investments as I can proudly say it’s the best way moving forward from now, y’all reach him for guidance to great earnings
@natashaphillips4371
@natashaphillips4371 2 жыл бұрын
His telegram is
@natashaphillips4371
@natashaphillips4371 2 жыл бұрын
stevehendricks
@andrewjones5033
@andrewjones5033 2 жыл бұрын
I’ve made lots of money investing with him lately and I’m very grateful, I pray others in search of legit ways to earn money sees this cuz this was how I knew about him from other people as well
@Starbattle64
@Starbattle64 13 жыл бұрын
@kenji314159 Importance is relative.
@Anonymous247n
@Anonymous247n 13 жыл бұрын
NO, what's missing is COMPASSION.
@leezygottini5672
@leezygottini5672 Жыл бұрын
👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾
@tankusfred
@tankusfred 13 жыл бұрын
@Anonymous247n What the... compassion? Compassion toward what? O_o
@nishanth584
@nishanth584 5 жыл бұрын
Your work the people who help you
@Kenji314159
@Kenji314159 13 жыл бұрын
@DonFuego1 Your statement is invalid. You wanted to say that I feel somehow superior but you accidentally said that the others feel somehow superior. If you want to offend me, use correct grammar please. Either way, it's sad how you love to judge other people you don't know at all as if you were somehow superior.
@raydredX
@raydredX 13 жыл бұрын
Blasphemy! It should restated as: There's enough sucky math in finance already. What's missing is awesome math!!!
@ArtisanTony
@ArtisanTony 13 жыл бұрын
His story was way to long and had no imagination.
@andrewmanford
@andrewmanford 13 жыл бұрын
wtf
@Kenji314159
@Kenji314159 13 жыл бұрын
It's sad how bigthink raises people like him up onto the same platform with richard dawkins and other people like the guy who invented C++. Those are brilliant people, this guy is ordinary.
@F_L_U_X
@F_L_U_X 13 жыл бұрын
AHHHH! IT'S A TALKING NUT SACK!!!
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