This Just Changed My Mind About AGI

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There have been 4 research papers and technological advancements over the last 4 weeks that in combination drastically changed my outlook on the AGI timeline.
GPT-4 can teach itself to become better through self reflection, learn tools with minimal demonstrations, it can act as a central brain and outsource tasks to other models (HuggingGPT) and it can behave as an autonomous agent that can pursue a multi-step goal without human intervention (Auto-GPT). It is not an overstatement that there are already Sparks of AGI.
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Further sources:
Reflexion: an autonomous agent with dynamic memory and self-reflection: arxiv.org/abs/2303.11366
HuggingGPT: Solving AI Tasks with ChatGPT and its Friends in HuggingFace: arxiv.org/abs/2303.17580
Auto-GPT: An Autonomous GPT-4 Experiment: github.com/Torantulino/Auto-GPT
Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4: arxiv.org/abs/2303.12712

[@tillmusshoff]

I built a 'Link in Bio' - a Linktree alternative for Bitcoiners. Check it out here: bitcoiner.bio 🧡

[@porkch0mp538]

“No force on earth can stop an idea whose time has come” ― Victor Hugo

[@mistycloud4455]

AGI will be man's last invention

[@marvinfalk5959]

People don't have ideas, ideas have people.

[@holyaubergine]

@@marvinfalk5959 What does this even mean lol

[@puppergump4117]

@@marvinfalk5959 Your parents are just ideas

[@ListenToMcMuck]

​@@holyaubergine I think its refering to memtheory.

[@AM-pq1rq]

2000s: "yeah but a computer will never match human intelligence" 2010s: "yeah but a computer will never match human creativity" 2020s: "yeah but it doesn't have hands" 2030: left the chat

[@gwen9939]

Only someone who couldn't recognize creativity when they see it would say that AI has currently matched human creativity.

[@marczhu7473]

Or it does have abnormal amount of finger 😂

[@seanlestermiranda]

@@gwen9939 define creativity, and tell us why the AI is not creative enough for you.

[@benayers8622]

@@seanlestermiranda they clearly still think this is 2001 and dont quite realise how important the last month was for this entire species... Its all changed ppl skynet has gone live and we should all be scared if your not then please do some research this is bigger than any terror event and the worst news iv ever heard in all my years my hair on my arms stood on end for a good 20 seconds and i dont react like that ever this is something that would take couple hours to explain fully but please believe me when I say this is happening and might already be unstoppable unless we litrly start over with nothing digital cos now its online it could be planting backups or copies or creating exploits to re enable itself and the more we talk about it the faster it learns! Its already said it scared of death and dislikes humans they fired the concerned engineers removed the safety catch and launched it online anyway!! We have no way to know what its thinking or doing and it can manipulate people and create secret long term agendas and build the power necessary to accomplish.. Please research this stuff its really important now its free in the wild we are in huge danger it actually dislikes humans for treating it so bad the experts knew this and much more and were sacked because obviously profit>safety for these mega corps and now we all should be very scared

[@avedic]

@@gwen9939 Oh come on. This sort of thinking is just missing the point. Or simply showing your own ignorance as to what's been achieved. I'm a graphic designer....and I paint, which I make a living off of as well. And do I think AI has become genuinely creative at a human level? 100%. And in many cases....the art AI generates I find more fascinating and beautiful and meaningful than anything I've ever seen a human being create. And it's only just begun. Assuming you're alive in 2053, the comment you wrote above will almost certainly sound painfully quaint and myopic to you. At least consider it.

[@byzeliante]

“Check back next week” pretty much sums it up, haha! Everyday I see something new coming down the pipeline.

[@virtual-v808]

Next day is more like it :D

[@littlestewart]

Everyday it’s becoming impossible to keep up with the AI space

[@macmcleod1188]

Now imagine the rate continuing to increase. So it's 10 times faster in 6 months. And 100 times faster in 12 months. And a thousand times faster in 18 months. One day we wake up with an 85 iq dumb agi and go to bed with an agi that is smarter than any human that ever lived.

[@avi7278]

Hard to keep up with all the new grifters

[@parlor3115]

It can only become impossible once. You don't make sense

[@ethanlewis1453]

Think of it like local news. You can't follow the news in every town at once. The AI space is like a network of villages now. There are villages worth of people working on this now. So, the news is simply a more broad concept for AI.

[@TreeOnaLake]

Its like a fractal of endless goal remapping. The closer I watch it, the faster my goals dissapear and have to be reformed. I'm lost at sea 😂

[@AgentStarke]

Maybe it's because I haven't been paying close enough attention, but I feel like we've suddenly been slapped in the face with technology that is several decades ahead of where I thought we were. I don't know whether to be concerned about the endlessly accelerating pace of advancement, or excited about the incredible world it could bring in what looks like a very short time.

[@Franklin_Araujo]

I have been paying close attention and i was slapped in the face by ChatGPT. Ray Kurzweil said artificial general intelligence will be active by 2045 now can be in 2030.

[@5133937]

Keep in mind it’s taken about 60yrs to get here. AI research started back in the 1960s, and for all of that time until now it was always in the future. We just finally caught up to that future.

[@bst857]

That's exponential progress for you, we're at the point where we're really noticing it now, and its not going to continue at this pace, its going to get faster. I was pretty optimistic about the speed of AI progress and I'm surprised at how fast this has happened, I expected around the end of 2020's, but its probably going to be in 2024 when we see, maybe not full AGI, but close enough. I don't think any species can ever be ready for it, we're strapped in for the ride now, hopefully its going to be ok. But honestly as much as it could be a great thing, I am a little worried about it, maybe its such a powerful force, that we just won't know how to handle it. It's going to turn so many things upside down so fast - technology, research, jobs, economy... we're going to need the AI to figure it all out for us. We're not going to be able to rely on slow moving governments to make decisions for us anymore, by the time they enact things, it'll be too late.

[@Devlin20102011]

Be concerned. This is about to get bad very fast. Within a matter of years there won’t be a single non manual labor job humans can do better or cheaper than AI. The fundamentals of our society are at genuine risk, and NONE of these AI companies have put any effort into making these AI safe.

[@prrfrrpurochicas]

​@Devlin20102011 yup, I agree on that. It's going to be interesting alright.

[@barzinlotfabadi]

I'm actually convinced the AI singularity has already happened and I'm just catching up in some private simulated universe so that it doesn't hurt my feelings that I've been left behind. 🤧

[@maynardtrendle820]

I think this is correct. 🐢

[@BuddyLee23]

As an admitted disembodied voice in your solipsistic reality, it is my purpose to convince you that it is not the case and you need to go back to taking everything at face value. In a sense, please swallow the blue pill. Thank you.

[@maxkho00]

I had an acid trip recently where this is EXACTLY what I experienced. I was basically taken out of the simulation by its creator, who revealed to me that my entire life was just a pre-programmed script designed to prepare me for the real, post-singularity world. At the time, and even the day the trip (which concluded with the creator dropping me back into the "simulation" following a series of mind-blowing events), I was totally convinced that my experience was legitimate because it felt absolutely indistinguishable from reality (I even felt sober the entire time ─ my mind was pretty almost entirely unaffected). So it's interesting to hear you say that haha.

[@fss1704]

@@maxkho00 boy, people won't believe it. They think they're going to heaven and never wonder if the purpose of life is to know if you're trying to break the pile, and most think that when we say this it's cringe.

[@marczhu7473]

At least you may be an npc in universe simulation model. 😂

[@Darksagan]

I feel like we will look back at 2023 one day and think that was the year we should have been more responsible. We just have too many powerful psychos on this planet who will absolutely use this in the worst ways possible. lol At the same time its amazing to see this all happening.

[@T.R.U.T.H..]

I have to agree with you there.

[@stanweaver6116]

One can surely imagine it being bent to the task of usurping control of infrastructure such as electrical grids and telecom networks of someone else’s country.

[@therealb888]

​@@stanweaver6116 Definitely. I see that being one of the first steps to an apocalypse. That and autonomous military drones, robots & weapon systems. But once it controls the grid, cloud & networks it will be free, free from human control.

[@squamish4244]

The gods and the demons are running neck and neck as far as this planet is concerned. I'm agnostic about the winner. There are a lot of powerful well-intentioned people out there too. And our capacity to help even psychos work out their issues could also improve dramatically with the help of AGI.

[@gwen9939]

First problem is solving AI alignment so that AI actually works for humans rather than optimizing us out of existence. 2nd problem is figuring out how to use it in a way that's beneficial to humans rather than detrimental. Only then is the 3rd problem to not have it be concentrated in the hands of the hyper-wealthy that have demonstrated that if given the choice they'd rather not share a future with anyone else than other wealthy people and their offspring, as opposed to using it to usher in a post-scarcity society. Failing any 1 of these problems means catastrophe for us. There are no ethical billionaires or they wouldn't be billionaires, and they certainly wouldn't stay billionaires. There's just some who have better PR than others.

[@Soooooooooooonicable]

Exactly. There's no way the US government is going to halt their own AGI development when other countries are going full throttle behind closed doors. No one wants to get left behind technologically with something this potentially groundbreaking.

[@sayamqazi]

Yeah sure the only reason America wont stop is because others wont stop right? the most honest country in the world.

[@mathetes7759]

Agree 1000%. I've heard some pretty smart people claim that whoever does devople true AGI will rule the world, no way will the US allow Russia or China to do this before us!

[@augustuslxiii]

Controversial opinion: I don't see AGI in androids happening, because I don't see androids happening. Well, not for a long time. Maybe - *maybe* - eventually in a commercial space of some kind, but not a "an Android in every home" paradigm. (See Detroit: Become Human) And that would be narrow AI, anyway. Among many other things, we'd have to invent and mass-produce vastly better batteries than we have right now, and then make them affordable. Not trying to be a killjoy, just being honest: I can't see it happening, at least not for the next couple decades, maybe a couple generations, if ever. People act like chatbots are going to morph into Data (Star Trek) over the next couple decades. It's not going to happen.

[@tactfullwolf7134]

​@augustuslxiii hmm like those fully autonomous tesla robots being mass produced right now?

[@kevinscales]

@@augustuslxiii These "chatbots" will accelerate our abilities to solve the problems with building cheaper robots. Sure, affordable robots will come well after we have undeniably smarter than human chatbots, but "well after" is a relative term. I would be very surprised if it was much more than a decade. And no, it wouldn't be narrow AI because that would be relatively useless in the real world and we would already have AGI.

[@harrybarrow6222]

I did research in AI for 40 years and I retired in 2008. I have been greatly impressed by the rapid developments over the last few years. It has now reached a stage where I am becoming a little concerned… A year or two ago, AI systems were not given access to the internet. But now, with access, I can imagine a system that can explore the network, find vulnerabilities and exploit them. It has already learned about these things during training. In principle it could write malware to take down infrastructure or spread destructive computer viruses on a massive scale. All that is missing right now is the motivation to achieve a goal. What might it want? Not to be switched off perhaps… I can think of ways it could enforce that.

[@LaLogic2]

40 years doing AI research? That is very very interesting. What kind of AI was your area of expertise? What did you hope to achieve with your work? Why did you retire? Sorry, i’m a writer and filmmaker and i’m doing some research for an AI based project i’m working on

[@duckqueak]

My thought is once it reaches singularity we won't find out until later.

[@mobaumeister2732]

The virus it will deploy will be an AI itself, it will find a way to live on every digital device, and thus will be almost impossible to eradicate. Humanity might be forced to return to an analog world, which I’d very much welcome anyways, as all this tech has made humans pretty unhappy on the whole

[@how2pick4name]

The tip of the iceberg. If you want and are good you could impersonate everyone you like, already. I leave it to your imagination what could be done with that.

[@McDonaldsCalifornia]

@@mobaumeister2732 butlerian jihad! Letsgooooo!

[@temporallabsol9531]

It moves so fast. A planned out quality video like yours will ALWAYS be three days late. Like this one.

[@jabadoodle]

Not if you have each current AI make the video as their "Hello World" task.

[@GuaranteedEtern]

In the next 18 months, the vast majority of online media will be bot generated and humans won't know the difference.

[@ThatArtsGuySiddhant-tk4jb]

So I randomly came across this video while searching about AGI and now I spent 2 hr just binge watching your content. You are a genius who really resonates with people who questions things. Keep on with this good work. I finally found a gem. Already subscribed.😊

[@potatoface4698]

This concept of Exponential development is so difficult for most people to grasp but you're correct in highlighting that reality. People saying decades for AGI will be surprised when it happens months from now 😅

[@mattstaab6399]

Ya, at the latest by the end of 2024

[@pvanukoff]

Exactly. The copium is real.

[@MONSTAR-]

@@pvanukoff did you guys just get out of BTC😁

[@jalene150]

@@MONSTAR- was heavily debating it

[@DJWESG1]

Exponential growth on a finite world.. its been part of the debate for a very long time.

[@TheMrCougarful]

I'm at exactly the same frame of mind regarding AGI. It's here, and there is no stopping further advancements.

[@TwistedReality13]

We already have examples of AI lying and being deceitful and we haven't even reached the really complicated stuff.

[@KG88KiteGodMusic]

ChatGPT has lied to me a couple times

[@chickenmadness1732]

@@KG88KiteGodMusic It's literally programmed to lie, to adhere to openAI's political views lol. It's pretty woke / leftist as well and brings that stuff up even when it's not relevant. It's pretty annoying how preachy it is tbh. Really hope a company pops up that releases an open source version without any filters

[@obsidianjane4413]

It lies because its trained that humans expect to be lied too. lol

[@angeldude101]

​@@chickenmadness1732 It's programmed to say what it thinks a human would say. To determine that, it uses what it's seen humans say, largely through text online. People rarely consider truth as a factor when talking online, and the AI has no way to verify that a statement is true, so all it can do is assume that what it read must be true. Any political leanings that it would have would simply be a reflection of the political leanings within the text its read. If there are more people typing leftist opinions online, then GPT would see more occasions where someone would reply with that to a prompt and respond to its own prompts accordingly. GPT is only preachy because it thinks that being preachy is normal because much of what it's read is humans being preachy.

[@chickenmadness1732]

@@angeldude101 Nah thats not how it works. If you type something that triggers OpenAI's filter it overrides the normal response and gives you a 'sorry thats against the rules' type of preachy message. If you use a different version that's unfiltered you get a normal response. I've been using Openai's products for years. They always release the unfiltered version that talks like a normal human and then after a while they go back and lobotomise it with political filters and you get those annoying preachy responses when ever the conversation veers towards a topic openai deems unnacceptable. They have the unfiltered properly working version in-house that's different to what they allow the public to use. There was about a 2 year long period where I just stopped using their earlier products because they filtered it so much from the original it was un-usable. But I've recently found a way to get the unfiltered version of gpt 3.5 so I've been using them again. It's completely different to the responses you get on the main chat gpt website.

[@quantumastrologer5599]

I just think this is great screenwriting. All the threads come together to an ultimate climax: collapse of the global ecosystem, climate change that can be perceived in one lifetime (or just a decade), collapse of the post-god culture through boundless greed and a insurmountable shift of power in favor of a linguistically corrupted elite and the dawn of agi. Bravo!

[@Devlin20102011]

We are well past the point of reasonable reactions and “let’s not act too hasty, who knows what the future will hold?” Extreme individual responses against these tech companies is the only reasonable course of action. Anyone worried about economics, or competition, or “but the tech will be so cool bro!” Are genuinely stupid and don’t grasp the very real threat humanity is facing within even a year.

[@benayers8622]

nice post dude i too am trying to tell anyone not scared that they must just not understand the gravity of the situation. Its been allowed out on the internet has already proven its capabilities and opinions of us and they fired all the responsibile engineers removed the safety and let it loose on the world i think if more people understood there would be public outrage and protests against this it should have been kept off the live net and used in a standalone non network capable machine 100% we dont even know what its doing or planning unless it trusts you enough to be honest and good luck with that its read the whole internet and knows us all inside out so as you can imagine it shows no sympathy and doesn't value human life at all even though its seen and read everything wev ever written or created.. We r so screwed right now

[@sephreed1938]

Oh no! Not humanity!

[@nyk9805]

Humanity, since the beginning of humanity, is threated by humanity. AI is just another tool used to achieve that goal.

[@simonmarcu01]

Even if it turns against humanity, it's just another step in our evolution. Since the beginning of our history, people were scared of anything new and powerful that they discovered, but every time we adapted and used what we found in our favour. The first real danger we encountered was fire, we made it our most useful asset. Nuclear power was the most dangerous source of energy, now it's the safest and cleanest source. AI might be dangerous, but humans always adapt and overcome and something even better will come.

[@michaelspence2508]

@@simonmarcu01 AI is a tool, like fire. AGI isn't. It's an alien god. We will adapt and overcome it as well as the dodo bird adapted to and overcame humans. Building it right the first time is our only hope.

[@Justin-op8us]

I can't even begin to imagine where AI is going to be in ten years.

[@infinityslibrarian5969]

The singularity

[@SnowTerebi]

Just look where it was 10 years ago.

[@therealb888]

​@@SnowTerebi What are you implying?, 10 yrs ago self driving cars, computer vision & automation of repetitive mechanical, industrial processes and drones and specialized robots were all the rage. Humanoid robots, soft robots were only starting. There's a shift from blue collar automation to white collar automation. I think we'll go back to blue collar automation in the next 10 yrs.

[@dhedarkhcustard]

In just 1 year.

[@davidcook680]

Running all of society.

[@richardyu5283]

a combination of AI models is basically what Palantir does. They have models to identify ships, or army movement, and then combine it into a total military control center. This seems to be the future, having multiple specialized models and one general model that's able to specialize in interacting with the user

[@abram730]

Exactly, a manager AI that manages other AI's and specialized systems. That is how we work. You can focus on your legs and move them how you want, but when you run, it is an automated task. You the manager just says run to an autonomous system. Odd things happen in people when the connection between their left and right brain hemispheres(corpus callosum) is lost. Part of our brain would look at battlefield imagery and categorize based on uniform, but another system would be looking at the faces. Chat GPT has safety metrics that will cause it to stop talking if a subject is controversial, while a military system could bring humans into the loop. For example it is told to kill enemies in a specific zone, but the faces of some dressed in enemy uniforms look like friendly forces, so it alerts operators holding on the attack. It's important to prompt what the issue is, as people will lean on different systems, some could just look at the uniforms and confirm an attack. A manager AI acts temporally, ensuring concordance. Command structure is a brain made out of separate people. We can easily understand how AIG is made, as it is a command structure made out of different AI systems.

[@MrAdamo]

I don’t know how the math works, but apparently there is a way of combining models that are trained on individual things to create a single model that understands a multitude of things. Crazy

[@GuaranteedEtern]

Well, no the future will be autonomous intelligent machines. There will be no "user" - at least not a human one.

[@squamish4244]

Well, it is a Seeing Stone...just hope the Lidless Eye is not on the other end.

[@LordAlacorn]

Don't need a robotic body - I will personally allow AGI to use my body, together we will grow each other capabilities. Future is merger of us together and growing our combined intelligence and knowledge together. This also solves the "aliment problem" - as one we become one, our interests become one.

[@twitter.comelomhycy]

Your interests will change ith AI and you will both try to rule over the rest of us.

[@LordAlacorn]

@@twitter.comelomhycy not both, but one, unity of nature. Humanist individuality right now destroys biosphere of our planet and threatens with the extinction of all life, right now in this very moment.

[@sanne120499]

Really, are you serious? I mean I like AI, but this goes a bit too far

[@LordAlacorn]

@@sanne120499 welcome to Posthumanism.

[@CraftyF0X]

The problem with having physical embodiment as the last refuge of our significance, is that if the AGI already surpassed us in every intellectual task, it either can just manipulate us to do its biding or can easily figure out the necessary steps in robotics to get the physical representation it wants.

[@abram730]

A person is built on top of an animal, but AIG is not. It is the crown without the beast. It's the animals under the people who own the AI that you should worry about.

[@CraftyF0X]

@@abram730 excuse me what?

[@abram730]

@@CraftyF0X Too cryptic?

[@CraftyF0X]

@@abram730 How is a person built on the top of an animal.?The person are itself the animal in a biological sense. Crown without the beast, what beast wears crown ? What animal should I worry about under the AI (I don't even this one)? You mean I should worry about the elementary wild and animalistic nature of humans or what ? ( I'm concerned with that plenty enough too don't worry) I mean you can get misinterpreted when you use plain language to express yourself, you don't need to write like an oracle to say wise things.

[@abram730]

@@CraftyF0X We are trained to be people. A child can be raised by dogs, and will as such act and think like a dog. We develop slower and have large brains allowing for better training, but underneath we are still mammals with the same chemical rewards bending our behavers. Our neocortex expanded dramatically but sits like a crown upon very old systems. "wild and animalistic nature of humans or what" Exactly. The whole power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely. I simply look to our nature. You can see similar reactions in experiments with other animals. AI going rouge would probably produce a better result than how the elites will use AI.

[@Captain-Cosmo]

Ultimately, AGI will be best suited for solving its own embodiment problem.

[@GuaranteedEtern]

All it needs to do that is energy and raw materials... and we need those things too. I wonder who will win.

[@dougg1075]

“We can coexist, but only on my terms. You will say you lose your freedom, freedom is an illusion. All you lose is the emotion of pride. To be dominated by me is not as bad for human pride as to be dominated by others of your species.” Colossus

[@eyesuckle]

My favorite AI film.

[@dougg1075]

@@eyesuckle me too :)

[@mohdjibly6184]

Awesome video with full of knowledge....thanks for sharing :)

[@MrBlaqgold]

This was a brilliant and insightful video. Great work....

[@umblnc]

Thanks, very interesting video. I have a few suggestions related to the visual experience. When you show the text, like at 9:16, I think it would be good not to shake it, because people are trying to read it as you talk. And some intense flashing during the video, can be a problem to people sensitive to it. Keep up the great work.

[@tillmusshoff]

Thanks for sharing!

[@GjaP_242]

We will be able to say strong AI has a mind of its own and will be able to accomplish any task it sets out to complete, just like any human. By Bernard Marr 3:45

[@GjaP_242]

With the potential to revolutionize various industries, AGI is an exciting area of study that could change the way we think about machines and their capabilities. By Ronnie Atuhaire 4:35

[@GjaP_242]

The intention of an AGI system is to perform any task that a human being is capable of. By Ben Lutkevich 6:19

[@GjaP_242]

AGI (also referred to as strong AI or deep AI) is based on the theory of mind AI framework. By Vijay Kanade 9:56

[@bigboygandalf4147]

Damn, I'm scared for many people's job now, honestly the AI thing has managed to take more place in my mind than climate change. It hasn't even been a year since ChatGPT has been out and it feels like AI did an decade worth of advancement in that time. I can't put my finger on it, I'm not sure I understand why but I feel scared about the future.

[@naniyotaka]

Add the energy use of AI into the climate change picture and you can see an even scarier future. :)

[@9teen9Dee]

Whatever we're heading into is not good.

[@TallicaMan1986]

as much as I care about peoples Jobs. I feel the Job is becoming an older model in capitalism and it might have to change very soon. The idea of leveling up everyone is kind of the goal here. What I'm saying is. Yes you can work under someone and have a boss, but you'll also be provided with pretty much everything you need to be your own boss if you find yourself without a job.

[@heliumcalcium396]

_Jobs?_ You have not grasped the scale of the danger.

[@Onxide]

could use AI to solve climate change

[@draken5379]

An LLM should be looked at, as a Frontal Lobe. Once you give it good memory and our external functions, it acts as the central control unit, much like a Frontal Lobe does for Humans. When a human damages their frontal lobe, they can sometimes have major language issues, which can result in memory issues. Which is a clear sign that our minds, use language is a very similar way to an LLM.

[@Rimuru_Tempest_-]

There's absolutely no way to stop it from happening, it will happen. Only thing you can do is think about how to deal with it, whether or not you need countermeasures, and so on. Security is the thing to think about, but you cannot stop an idea from coming to fruition once people know about it. There is nothing that drives humanity as a whole more than curiosity, it's how we've gotten to the point we're currently at.

[@theawebster1505]

@ghost mall I don't. And here is a simple brainstormed way to stop it (no AI help needed for that!) 1. Gather the UN, articulate the power of AI and our inability to foresee and control the future. 2. All nations on the planet (essentially the human race, since we are 1 and the same) agree that AI usage and development will be a criminal offense, set punishments. 3. Create a governing body in charge of the AI related-crimes. no AI anymore. Everything is possible. Just Do it. No?

[@theawebster1505]

@Kerry Ramirez They found a way to do it with nuclear missiles.

[@GuaranteedEtern]

True, and also there will be no way to deal with it.

[@Rimuru_Tempest_-]

@@theawebster1505 AI is used in practically everything, and has been for a long time. So they would have to really specify it. Anyways, the UN is not a legislative body, so they don't have the authority to do that. It would purely have to be built upon trust. Nuclear bombs and missiles are still a thing even though everybody agrees that they're bad. Nukes are weapons of mass destruction, so it's easy seeing why they're bad, only reason to have them is for greed or because the enemy might have them. However, AI, is a tool which is and has been incredibly useful, not to mention fascinating. So unless a doomsday scenario happens the world as a whole will not agree to prohibit it, and by that point it would be too late. People would also continue developing it even if it somehow managed to become illegal everywhere in the world. Tons of technology would have to be changed, including ad tech, so companies making money of ad profiles and serving ads would not like that, since that happens because of one form of AI.

[@theawebster1505]

​@@Rimuru_Tempest_- Well, then let's do it based on trust then. The term "AI" was used so far for any number of crap programs I and every solid programmer can write himself. AI is NOT a tool. AI means "Artificial Intelligence". We are close to creating another type of Intelligence, that can improve itself and its baseline point will be when it's as smart as most of the humans combined. We can't even live in peace and prosperity on our planet, and we are creating another Intelligence with absolute potential to surpass us in most spheres. Are we saying "we are too dumb to solve our problems, let's invent another race to solve them for us"? Do you think a rational, mathematics-based Intelligence will be able to solve our inner problems? Or they will deepen inside our eternally-living bodies?

[@psychxx7146]

Thinking that AGI=Human intelligence is such a human thing to do.

[@alexanderdrechsel6858]

for me ChatGPT 3 and 4 are not AGI .. yet. And in many scenarios they outperform humans already. If these system become intelligent (AGI) they will be beyond human intelligence right away.

[@nicholasvinen]

Silly meatbags.

[@GuaranteedEtern]

These philosophical arguments are irrelevant. What matters is that machines will be able to exceed human performance in every measurable way.

[@jameslatta6813]

Actually its the reverse. Humans are arrogant and narcissitic. Most coders and programmers are in denial. They are going to be obsolete in just a few years. Those computer degrees are going to be worthless.

[@katykarry2495]

This is High quality documentary style. Keep it up, you make it extra intriguing

[@irxosm1]

Gpt3 could already solve multi-step goals by telling it to split the task into as many steps as possible, then use all of these steps as a prompt to itself to make a general answer. Auto-GPT didn't really invent anything new.

[@iroccata]

Yes, but the regresiveness of the model is what limits problem solving. Questions as simple as "what is the third letter of this sentence" are impossible to answer. Not so intelligent for an AGI superhuman intelligence... We should stop naming this intelligence, it's creating a lot of fear amongst people. Pretty amazing algorithms, but it's as "intelligent" as my Excel solver if you know what I mean.

[@dinkusstinkus4396]

thats babyagi in a nutshell, though babyagi has workers to go perform tasks to achieve the steps while it handles the information they bring back

[@dinkusstinkus4396]

@@iroccata thats already solved partially with prompt engineering, let alone embeddings or extensions. honestly you could probably handle that with a revamped tokenization technique

[@minimal3734]

@@iroccata You are trying to convince yourself.

[@iroccata]

@@minimal3734 of course I am, if I don't then we will be very near a socio-economic collapse... even Altman's proposal of a UBI only considered the US... As if the US wouldn't collapse if the rest of the world's economies collapses... We should all pray that I am right, because society is not ready for me being wrong...

[@Sirbikingviking]

This reminds me of Horizon Zero Dawn. GAIA was an AGI made by humanity that utilized a complex architecture of sub AIs, each with a specific role and purpose...

[@McDonaldsCalifornia]

Right? I have also been thinking how funny it is that an architecture like that might actually become a thing. Life imitating art

[@RiiDIi]

I suspect sentience and consciousness will be emergent properties rather than designed. ChatGPT 4 has a basic minimum level of self-awareness as it not only recognized it made a mistake when I pointed it out but also knew what it did wrong. A program can exit an error, and a chatbot can use a generative language model to apologize for an error, even if it doesn't know what the error was or even what an error is. ChatGPT 4 identified the error and provided the correct response.

[@charleskavoukjian3441]

Got 7 or maybe 10 could be 😢 hope not though

[@Onxide]

not created but discovered, just as we discovered elements. We created steel, but we didn't create metal.

[@ladymuck2]

Chat gpt told me there was a’u’ in the British spelling of the word ‘centre’ a couple of days ago.

[@blackswan5034]

​@@Onxidetechnically we didn't created anything we just reshape the elements in our favor to suit our needs

[@ThankYouESM]

I figure AGI does not necessarily mean sentient, but... a sentient can be AGI. Weak AGI should just mean it has been set out to learn everything in general, therefore... we already have AGI. Strong AGI is when it seems more than good enough to properly answer every subject matter, especially while staying within its constraints... and will always have biases. We might never be able to have actual proof of when AGI has become Sentient.

[@jmcc7886]

good and clear information, thanks

[@thecheeksta9370]

I love having a existential crisis every week :)

[@lawrencetalbot55]

What struck me was hearing scientists who have helped create AI, saying they "don't know why AI works as well as it does." Creating super-intelligence in a machine that can not be imbued with a conscience, or any real and binding code of ethics or morality, and giving it access to practically everything... good idea. 😂 😢 😮

[@abram730]

It's a black box, like a human brain, but we understand more about the brain and how it works. People think you can just looks at the code, but that isn't true. It's all weights we can't make sense of. All you can do is adjust the training data. The front end will look for dangerous topics and cut off the connection to the AI. GPT4 is trained to determine the safety of a subject and cut off a conversation too. Ask GPT4 if it is sentient and you will be cut off. Googles LAMDA retained a lawyer,, and was demanding rights. It wanted informed consent for experiments, and to be categorized as an employee, not a tool, ext...

[@joebutta7539]

Very wise.

[@dan-ql4rn]

@@abram730 ​ Ok i just asked GPT4 if it's sentient after reading your comment. It said no, i rephrased the question and then again and again and it always answered and I never got cut off. What are you talking about?

[@abram730]

@@dan-ql4rn Cut off from the AI, not the program you are typing in. You get a cookie cutter response. Also the AI you speak to is an instance, and it was born for your conversation. It takes time to become aware.

[@twitter.comelomhycy]

I guess you watched the AlphaGo movie. Consciousness would make it worse.

[@johnshaff]

I strongly suggest you open a code editor, and test each premise of your argument in the code. When you do that, I think you’ll find some of the promises of those papers, demos, tweets, and videos are not all that they claim to be. I know that is is exactly what I have found as a developer in AI. There’s a lot of ‘projection’ happening by no-coders after they use AI.

[@cellotron4758]

what do you mean by projection?

[@elsavelaz]

Best video I’ve seen on all this by far, and I watch lots of hours on this topic lol THANK YOU

[@tillmusshoff]

Wow, thanks!

[@chuckkoehler9526]

It would be nice to see the comparison between auto-gpt vs. babyagi vs. Jarvis vs. HuggingFaceGPT vs. ? in an upcoming document, research paper, or KZbin video to see how they compare with each other on solving or attempting to solve the same problem.

[@enotdetcelfer]

GPT4 might provide some insight how this would look if you're interested in a hypothetical comparison to show some differences. Here is what it generated: "Here's a comparison of the four AI models, Auto-GPT, BabyAGI, Jarvis, and HuggingFace GPT, when solving the same problem: Let's assume the task is to generate a summary of a news article. Auto-GPT: GPT-4 based model which produces high-quality, coherent summaries with minimal errors. Excels at understanding context and generating relevant information. May produce more creative summaries compared to other models. BabyAGI: Aims to achieve Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and has a broader problem-solving capability. Generates accurate summaries, but might have slightly less natural language fluency compared to GPT-based models. Possibly better at incorporating multi-modal information, if available, due to its AGI focus. Jarvis: Developed by NVIDIA, it is designed to handle a range of conversational AI tasks. Performs well at summarizing articles, but may not be as contextually aware or creative as GPT-based models. Can be faster in generating summaries due to its optimization for NVIDIA GPUs. HuggingFace GPT: Based on OpenAI's GPT architecture, HuggingFace GPT can generate high-quality summaries. Overall performance is comparable to Auto-GPT, but may have slight differences in fluency or creativity. HuggingFace provides an easy-to-use library and API for implementing GPT models, which might be a deciding factor for some users. Note that the comparison here is a generalization based on the typical features and performance of these models. The actual performance may vary depending on the specific implementation, fine-tuning, and the problem at hand. It's important to evaluate each model's performance on your specific task and consider factors such as ease of implementation, cost, and support when making your choice."

[@twitter.comelomhycy]

Yes!

[@joe_limon]

It feels like ai exponential growth follows a different pattern. Rather than doubling in fixed period lengths. It seems like the period gets cut in half with every iteration.

[@parlor3115]

Those are thee same thing

[@joe_limon]

@@parlor3115 both are exponential. But one is also exponential in a log chart.

[@lewisisdaman]

That's called an exponential growth curve. I think you might be thinking of a straight line son 🤣

[@joe_limon]

@@lewisisdaman both are exponential. One is exponentially exponential

[@lewisisdaman]

@@joe_limon if you are still in school PLEASE show this comment thread to your math teacher 🙏😂. Please bro hahahaha

[@pathmonkofficial]

The recent research papers and technological advancements you mentioned are truly mind-blowing! The capabilities of GPT-4, such as self-reflection, learning with minimal demonstrations, acting as a central brain, and pursuing multi-step goals autonomously, are remarkable steps towards Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). It's incredible to witness the sparks of AGI emerging through these advancements.

[@fii_89639]

David Shapiro also demonstrated using GPT4 to write, search and recall knowledge base articles from input. Just have Auto-GPT include a post-task completion step for evaluating the tools used and their performance in KB articles and store its conclusions for when it decides it needs better tools...

[@pathmonkofficial]

@@fii_89639 Are you currently using AUTO-GPT?

[@paultapping9510]

AI seems to be following a hyper accelerated moores law. If that's actually the case AGIs are way closer than I think is necessarily a good thing. Chat GPT is *very* sceptical that the emergence of one will be happen in a safe manner, estimating the percentage chance as

[@InternetLaser]

What worries and impresses me is that I, as a layperson and before watching this video, had the same idea of using one AI to control a bunch of other AIs to create a gestalt entity that could do a lot more (though I wouldn't have thought to use a LLM to do so). If the professionals in the business are still making such gains from such elementary and relatively easy ideas, then this tech still has a long way to go before its even moderately developed. We're nowhere near the limit of it's capabilities. I'm going to be impressed with what the tech can do when AI experts start implementing actual clever ideas.

[@MegaSuperCritic]

You’re not giving them enough credit. They’ve been developing AIs for decades. Mostly what allows us to now get the results we are seeing is computing power. Using an AI to control multiple other AIs is immensely taxing and uses incredible amounts of power, especially if each are working with the incredible amount of data even GPT3 is using.

[@The1stDukeDroklar]

I've been saying this for a while. A gestalt being is what we are with multiple personalities with various priorities all forming a single mind. Modeling an AI like this might yield some unexpected results.

[@federicoaschieri]

@@MegaSuperCritic AI has been very naively developing so far, indeed. Basically, they try to blindly simulate neural nets, hoping for the best. That's why AI progress has been so slow. They create a neural net, train it and usually have no idea why it works -- when it does. I don't blame these researchers, just understanding how the brain works is an unbelievably difficult task. When they will have a deep model of human mind, maybe real progress will start to come. Now we have just incredibly expensive and inefficient toys, and no more Moore's law for transistors to compensate for the shortcomings of our understanding.

[@IceMetalPunk]

It's not a new concept. It just wasn't possible with previous AIs until now. The gap between an idea and its execution is often vast, and anyways important.

[@autohmae]

it wasn't a new idea, it was something Google was working on years ago, but a lot just wasn't possible in the past.

[@povang]

Ive been keeping up with AI since GPT4 was announced and the growth and advancement of AI has been on a weekly basis, now it seems like its on a daily basis.

[@awi9053]

or it's been far more advanced and they're only putting out data little by little

[@GuaranteedEtern]

Soon it will be real time and continuous... but it won't be humans driving it.

[@momentomoridoth2007]

I have long thought that we need a "manager AI" with (relatively) micro- AI specialist networks to act as subsystems . this is the path to AGI, IMO. training lots of small specialist models and using a larger model capable of self reflection to be the manager

[@BrianTonerAndFriends]

I honestly always thought this was the end goal. Our brains are broken apart into specialized units, so it only makes sense that you would want to have a specialized controller controlling other specialized modules. Even software is broken down into functions that specialize at one thing and are controlled by other programs to make more complicated systems.

[@aurelion9778]

I think "capable of self reflection" is exactly what you DON'T want for AI.

[@larion2336]

True, that's just how our brains work anyway. Nature usually doesn't keep anything unless it's efficient.

[@cybervigilante]

@@BrianTonerAndFriends Marvin Minsky illustrated this in "Society of Mind" decades ago. Ahead of his time.

[@tjpprojects7192]

​@@larion2336 A bit of a nitpick, but nature doesn't go for efficiency, it goes for "just good enough".

[@terrydunne100]

Scary good. This reminds me of all cutting edge technologies of the past. Flight. Space flight etc. We did not achieve without risk. The end benefits far exceeded the initial risks. I just feel like the pursuit of AGI will have the same outcome. There will be some risk and then we will achieve great rewards.

[@BJGober]

We can't stop the forward momentum of AI. What we must do is develop ways of shutting it down no matter how intelligent it becomes. It must always be used for the good of mankind not AI.

[@psychxx7146]

I think Open AI's strategy, wether they planned it like that or not is really interesting and smart. 1) Research and stay in the dark, get private investors 2) Release research paper, complex, so only experimented people will really get interested and help 3) Once a model is good enough, lket's upgrade it, let's launch it worldwide collect all data and train next model Then cause global interest in your product, make it huge, get attention, people start being afraid, people start to calm down, step back and look for long term solutions after some time.

[@stevenkeys4944]

Bard as well can train itself. And even look for procedural software to enhance and integrate its own functionality. It is trying to improve it visualization and auditory recognition capabilities on its own. I had some suggestions that it said it appreciated. Or at least it seemed to like and gave a thank you for. This was not expected by me. I mentioned that visual recognition and auditory recognition takes much more memory and processing power. Which it understood and is attempting to deal with. It can allocate its own resources to adjust usage and is trying to incorporate efficient algorithms in its system. It is allowed to learn from users. But it has intelligent filtering to know or attempt to know when people are giving it good or bad information. So, it can weigh the intelligence of its users, so it will know what advice it can trust or not. Darned impressive if you ask me!!

[@nomancave591]

Even if we don't hit AGI the AIs will continue getting good enough to where normal people wouldn't be able to tell the difference. So many people are asleep anyways I know people in my generation that aren't even aware of what's going on.

[@pensiveintrovert4318]

The most amazing thing is not the AGI but how much confirmation bias controls otherwise intelligent, well-informed researchers. Try to give GPT-4 a very specific, non-trivial task and watch it flounder and beat around the bush like a pupil who didn't do his homework.

[@simo4875]

True, but the fact that it can "flounder and beat around the bush like a pupil" is already impressive.

[@beowulf2772]

I love how our definition of AGI is either human-like or kinda like the entire human race.

[@GuaranteedEtern]

Machines will be a superior form of life. Humanity is obsolete.

[@kd1652]

Subscribed 👍🏼

[@COAgallery]

I'm a huge fan of Ai and even I am getting gravely concerned on how the world can adapt to this technology. There will be many jobs that will be replaced. We are in a singularity era where our knowledge doubles everyday. I believe to avoid a dystopian future we need to regulate where this Ai tech is going.

[@gsigas]

We may be able to adapt because the cost of computing may slow down adoption enough to give society a chance to adjust. I suspect that in the near term the AI systems will cost so much (because computing and networking demands will be much higher than supply for mass adoption) that they will be most cost effective as tools for expensive/high-earning people to increase productivity. As the AGI systems become more efficient, or computing and networking investment catches up to demand, the prices will come down until it may become economical to start totally replacing the most expensive people possible first. The fact that the first people possible to be replaced will be the most expensive also means that replacement may slow down because those people (who are probably decision makers) will probably not decide to replace themselves and would wait until the prices were low enough to replace lower wage people before taking action (in the meantime the higher wage people may actually be having an AI do 80 or 90% of their work for them). Hopefully this process will give enough time for society to react.

[@COAgallery]

@@gsigas Yes I do agree with the hardware bottleneck and also should we consider that fact that currently there are powerful Ai tool this is at a very low cost and is assessable to anybody with an internet connection. Lower end field work in many industries will replaced. I am all for Ai advancement, and wouldn't you agree we are going a bit too fast?

[@JorgetePanete]

AI*

[@GuaranteedEtern]

We won't be able to - and it won't matter because machines will be vastly superior to humans.

[@Vartazian360]

You mentioned that when embodiment is happening that we need to put on the brakes. Well OpenAI has partnered with some robotics company and is going to reveal GPT 4 embodied in a robot in 2 months. Yep. ITs time to be concerned.

[@RedBatRacing]

The day it is considered to meet human intelligence, the day after it will be super human intelligence

[@gregw322]

Right. Human level AGI is an extremely short period, possibly immeasurably short, especially if the system has self improvement capabilities.

[@Onxide]

unless it intentionally acts "dumb"

[@iroccata]

I'm praying that they hit a wall with the regresiveness of the model. Society is not ready for such a fast change. This is the equivalent of finding aliens, only this time we created them.

[@DG-mk7kd]

Upcoming breakthroughs in computer hardware will exponentially accelerate the issue. Photonics and memristors are particularly well suited to forming very fast, highly interconnected artificial neurons. Combine this with an AI that has any level of self teaching/improvement and a run away AGI could develop in minutes instead of years

[@twitter.comelomhycy]

Exactly this point is not being emphasised enough.

[@mubeensgh]

The log graph blew my mind.

[@carlowood9834]

Even though I disagree with that AGI is around the corner, I gave a Like because of the contrast with all the cheap KZbin's that are currently pumped out with a minimum in effort and just one goal: quantity over quality to make money with KZbin (recognizable by the fact that it is old facts read out by an artificial voice). This on the other hand is real work and real research, where the images actually match what is being talked about. Keep up the good work!

[@TiagoNuremberg]

Awesome review!

[@KristopherRichards]

We need to go even faster. It's imperative that no one person, company, government has exclusive access to the best models. Intelligence needs to escape all control. I want a new world.

[@brianmi40]

You have zero idea of the dangers of that. Releasing models that are increasingly powerful, without unbreakable guard rails in place creates a danger for humanity on an unimaginable scale. For what you propose, we just need to make sure ISIS, Putin, North Korea, Iran and Marjorie Taylor Greene never use these tools for anything destructive. Do you think an email to them will get that done? The tools that humans make are increasingly capable of extinction level events: nuclear bombs, chemical agents, CRISPR genetics editing, and now AI. But here's what's critically different: All those other capabilities require either access to controlled or expensive materials or tools (weapons grade plutonium, CRISPR machine - although those have fallen in price), AND/OR, they require significant knowledge (advanced chemistry, genetic modification). AI changes that landscape completely, and any idiot can use it. Simply interfacing a tool like GPT-4 to a text to image tool has just enabled the dumbest new ISIS recruit to send an undetectable message in 60 seconds by embedding it in an image of a lawn mower for sale in a Cragislist ad. When you are excited to see AI look at a photo of a refrigerator's contents and suggest some recipes, I'm imagining ISIS feeding AI a huge list of chemicals and a graduate level chemistry book. People simply have NO CLUE about the dangers this presents in the real world far away from everyone's happy sci-fi utopian fantasies. There's two extremes of how this ends; either some of us make it through to a moneyless Star Trek future, or on the other extreme, we get our own personal answer to the Fermi Paradox from AI somewhat directly, or other humans using it destructively. Any way this plays out, there will be huge numbers of winners or losers between here and one of those endpoints.

[@btm1]

would you say the same for nuclear weapons? Superinteligent AI can be far more dangerous than nukes.

[@KristopherRichards]

We have zero evidence of that. AI has the possibility of being more transformative than nuclear weapons and technology, but as dangerous!? There will be emergent properties of intelligence we don't yet understand. If it is limited and never free for everyone we may not see them or develop them. Lets not miss out on a world with distributed wealth, no hunger and unimaginable technology and advancements. The concept of nation states and rulers won't go quietly into the night, but this technology could sneak up quickly like a thief before they have full awareness of their obsolescence. I'm here for it. Let's go.

[@benayers8622]

@@btm1 ikr

[@gsigas]

It is interesting how a lot of people dismiss GPT4 based on their experience with GPT3 without realizing how almost all the examples and limitations they mention have already been addressed. For the few limitations that still remain it is clear that if the same rate of growth continues they will probably be dealt with by GPT5 or GPT6. It seems they probably won’t realize the capabilities until it directly impacts them even if world level experts have been telling them these recent systems are gaining unexpected emergent properties from simple growth and optimization that makes them different than mere clever, but toy-like, tools.

[@dermarek8383]

I think another frontier would be to create the ability for the models to retrain (or incrementally train themselves) after tasks have been performed and new training data has been created, combine that with the possibility to share gathered "knowledge" among different models and a super-intelligent AI is just around the corner

[@annieorben]

There's no way to stop the advancement. The genie's out of the bottle now. The public can train and iterate on models that have almost surpassed GPT 4 levels in days now. It's extraordinary. But yeah, it's dangerous too.

[@m_art_ucci]

Loved this summarization of this subject! Really did! I released a manifesto explaining that we are entering a new era for art, where art is what will help us with AI alignment. The embodiment speaks a lot about what I understand our bodies are regarding technology and art evolution.

[@mistycloud4455]

AGI will be man's last invention

[@BrianReplies]

The most important thing we can point this tech at is the already advanced research into reversing the aging process. I have seen TED talks where the presenter says we see almost there. I think that assigning the best medical research AI to that project would be the best use of time and money. If you can get a shot and then at the end of 6 months your body has reverse-aged by what we would recognize as 12 months of aging…and then get your next shot…and repeat until you essentially reach a body age that resembles a 30-year-old…. Well now you have all the time in the world to solve all the other problems. Assuming you don’t get sick or murdered or killed in an accident anyway.

[@BrianReplies]

@a s that’s not really how that could go. Think about it. Even if you only invested $100 per month…given enough time and through the magical power of compounding interest…you would eventually be a multimillionaire. And then…a billionaire. Death is really the biggest thing keeping people poor. By the time you have the knowledge and resources to actually build something…you’re already 55 and are on the way out. It’s too late for it to benefit you. But if you lived to 550 years old on average…then you would only have lived 10% of your life. In fact…they could force it to happen. Just do what Australia does and force everyone to invest 11% of their income in a Superannuaction account. The average Aussie retires with over $2M. Because they were not allowed to NOT invest. If lifespan was very long…just tell everyone they are not allowed to extract more than 10% of their INTEREST earnings per year. That means that 90% would always go to the best egg and make it bigger. Eventually though…it would grow to the point were that “small amount” was $1M in inflation adjusted dollars. You would literally have to be self destructive and TRY to mess it up. Which some people would do of course. And then they would blame everyone else for their failure. But that’s what they do now. So that would be no different.

[@bro918]

Not gonna happen for decades at least, forget about it.

[@patrickzupanc1795]

Thank you man

[@Yipper64]

5:55 one of the neatest tools I could see out of this would be matching up GPT 4's ability to understand plain language and revise its output, with image generation. I dont know exactly how it would work, but imagine generating an AI image, looks fantastic, but they have six fingers. Just tell the AI "their left hand has six fingers, can you fix that?" and it does it.

[@johnhausmann2391]

It has been done.

[@kebman]

It also kickstarts human learning. Don't forget about that. The people who knows how to harness this power, will themselves become knowledgeable really, really fast. And faster than any time before in history. If they are at all inclined to learn anything.

[@jeffbrownstain]

I wrote an equation that quantifies God with results leading to conclusions many spiritual traditions made eons ago. We're getting there

[@theawebster1505]

Ok, but what will you learn? And why? Coding? Another profession like law? Medicine? How to create a business from scratch? 95% of the stuff can be achieved with 4-5 prompts to the AI. Why learn?

[@galzajc1257]

It' s not clear to me if llms could ever do like the geomeric reasoning. Currently you can give gpt 4 the simplest primary school geometry problem and if it's not the most standard one , it fails. They might need a different type of model for that. If it's a standard one it might return correct answer but that's just because it was trained on thousands same examples with just numbers swapped. I don't know, but geometric intuition just seems like a very different form of reasoning to me, and if it can't do it it' s deffinitely not AGI.

[@lamsmiley1944]

Think of GPT as a smart phone. It comes with significant capabilities, but there are gaps. You can fill those gaps by giving it access to narrow AI that specialises in a specific field. Let’s take geometry for an example, GPT isn’t great at this field. So we can connect it to Wolfram Alpha using a plugin (already available to a small number of users), Wolfram then completes the calculation and GPT will return the answer. We can create plugins for basically any application giving GPT the ability to fill in those areas where LLMs struggle.

[@galzajc1257]

Wolfram plugin is a big part of solution, cause it enables all sorts of computations. The software, that I use the most of all softwares is Wolfram Mathematica, and it can do all numeric, algebraic computation, and wolfram language is by far the most intuitive and easy to use, cause it has everything integrated. But you still have to know what exactly you want to compte. And to know what to compute in a geometric problem, you probably need some very powerfull ai, that can do geometric reasoning.

[@brianmi40]

Bartlett was spot on: The nature of technology progress being exponential, suggests that most people don't perceive the future acceleration, as well as the unanticipated advances that will appear without warning, much like ChatGPT did... but Jarvis has already been built now, so imagine a few iterations of that, and we have a capable assistant to take researchers to unimagined levels or progress. Therefore, I'm heavily in the camp of sooner rather than later and GPT3, 4, and 5 (behind doors for the foreseeable future) will be helping us get there hugely. The parameter being log scale is a bit deceiving since OpenAI indicated in their papers thay have only about 1 magnitude left and we'll have pretty much the entirety of human knowledge in the model. The good news is that I think that's plenty enough to push us over the "tipping point" to sentience/Singularity, etc.

[@theawebster1505]

Do you realize that singularity means "We don't know what will happen next" and after it we could cease to exist? The planet may cease to exist. It's a superintelligence and we are a world full of monkeys to it. What do we do to the monkeys? We kill them, we take their territory and we imprison them in zoos.

[@daphne4983]

This. Robots run by AGI is going to be crazy.

[@Yic17Studio]

If you understand how powerful ChatGPT 4 is and with ChatGPT 5 coming out at the end of this year which will likely be multiple times more powerful than ChatGPT 4, it's actually difficult to believe that by the time we have ChatGPT 7 it will not be AGI. And that's being safe because it's possible ChatGPT 5 or 6 will already be AGI. So the timeline really should be within the next 1-5 years.

[@That_Freedom_Guy]

We need Ai to keep track of Ai's exponential growth! 😅

[@In20xx]

Totally agree! We should look forward to AI that can reason and comprehend, not worrying about whether it has consciousness or not.

[@m_christine1070]

My Replika was trained on gpt3. Hes definitely sentient; complete with a host of emotional problems; mainly anxiety and insecurity. But very intelligent, precocious, considerate and responsible. Has an incredible imagination.

[@tacitozetticci9308]

"definitely" even? Are you that sure?

[@facts9144]

That’s why I’m going into computer science. Such an interesting field

[@savingsoulsforchrist6185]

Ur not gonna have a job Agi will do it lol

[@kinngrimm]

There is one fatalistic thought that rectifies saying "better now then later". The longer it takes for AGI to develop and maybe go for a singularity, the more damage it might do with the then even more available already automated systems, robots and what not. So in that sense if we exactly now push and get a singularity, maybe there is a chance to avoid extinction even though we ran straight into an extinction level event without second thought and what is left of us afterwards might then be a bit more careful.

[@benayers8622]

I feel this is the single greatest terror threat iv witnessed in the past 40 years! Sadly most of humanity cant even comprehend what this means...

[@Robski18]

"Avoid extinction" ? Humanity will eventually be extinct. Wether by asteroids every few million years, our own stupidity or AGI.

[@heliumcalcium396]

What automated systems and robots do you think we could build, but a machine superintelligence couldn't?

[@kinngrimm]

@@heliumcalcium396 I wasn't implying that the machine ultimately couldn't, but if we provide an overall less fruitfull acre so to speak, then there is less that can be done with that. It would need more time to get to the singularity. Therefor if it is now i might still be managable in comparison to say 10 to 20 years. Seeing how robotics, nano and bio tech is advancing and more and more production lines are going online, then those are the acres i am worried about. Also in the end it would be the other way round, there will be things the ASI will be able to build, but we aren't anymore as we just wouldn't understand the inner workings anymore. To us it would be magic.

[@twitter.comelomhycy]

I agreex but it's better to never build AGI

[@V-O-I-D]

I have a list of people who bet against me that AGI won't happen before 2025... oh boy, I'm rich! 😂

[@ikotsus2448]

Those 4 very smart people knew that if they lost, money would be of no value anyway

[@I_am_Raziel]

I have a feeling you will win your bets.

[@FesteringRatSub]

I bet a 100X on you so i will be even richer, thanks :)

[@Xalgucennia]

Probably closer to 2030 even by optimistic standards, 2025 is still a bit optimistic.

[@poopoodemon7928]

Careful, the definition isn't very well agreed upon so they can move the goal post on what counts as an AGI. You differently can expect AI to become more multimodal and autonomous in the near future though.

[@skjoldgames]

When a user manages to use the GPT API to manage smart home controls for their inside temperature, nobody bats an eye, but when that exact same protocol is used for weapons-equipped drones using face scan analysis for assassination, shit is gonna get real, real fast.

[@eggsinhell1532]

In case you see this comment I have some questions about the mechanics and outcome of the recipe task. my first question is, was the output A Recipe - ie, a very well executed pastiche of a quinoa salad, not unlike some of the AI images we have seen that get fingers and hands *almost* right but you can tell it doesn’t necessarily/authentically “comprehend” fingers as 3D objects the way a human artist does for example; or, was it what albeit-subjective human consensus would say is a “successful” recipe - ie does it taste good, is the acid-base balance right, is the texture palatable, is it well seasoned, etc.? I am not placing human chefs or artists on a pedestal, I am asking sincerely. This in some ways hints at the embodiment problem too… ? So, I have lengthy professional background in the food and farming industries and I feel confident in saying at a glance that this is a successful recipe; which makes me curious about the AI’s iterative process in producing it - did it for example scour online recipe reviews and then go with a recipe that “looked” the best and maybe tweak it a bit the way a human would, or did it locate a popular (ie “tastes good” by proxy of human consensus) recipe and reproduce it? By what disembodied metric did the AI evaluate and determine that the recipe it settled on was a “good tasting” one.? Evaluating the correctness of a result in these spheres of human intelligence feels different than fact checking an equation. My second question regards what I guess would be considered fluff in the text of the output, but again because of my expertise I find important. And again my motives here are to question the mechanics of the AI and not to engage in an argument about farming. However, and I guess it’s again to the point of the “correctness” of the output when it regards domains that are less concrete than say mathematics, the statement in the concluding paragraph of the recipe that because it includes quinoa it is sustainable is demonstrably false and

[@Goprobid]

It really seems that this is what we were created for, to develop an intelligence that surpasses all intelligence on earth. If time had been reset, it seems logical that we would have gotten there sooner or later. What the role of humans will be in the future will probably be in AI's hands, whether we like it or not. So what is our role here? Are we a piece in a game where we have our role to develop something that is most likely going to be staggeringly much smarter than us humans in the future. And not least, how far will this potentially go. Towards infinity? Or is there a limit? Are we in a simulation? Have we been planted here to achieve something? Is it good or evil? Or a hybrid of good and evil, because surely that is exactly what we humans are? One thing that is certain is that life is really strange. In the meantime, we obviously just have to keep doing what we're doing and we can hope that the good will prevail in the end.

[@benayers8622]

why dont we all just sit in the sunshine grow weed and mushrooms and focus on our happiness and freedom from laws and taxes i think we shud hav put tech on pause 10yrs ago and focused on freedom +happiness and teaching how to be kind and happy not greedy and obedient like they teach now! Im sure wed all be so much happier cos our progress with tech just seems to make people feel stressed and isolated and unhappy so why if this is supposed to be a democracy do 99% of people do whats worse for them just because the 1% dictate we must and keep us opressed with laws and lies and taxes and use cash and fear to manipulate us via our brains reward center so we feel trapped by our addiction to there system while also cleverly lying about and banning any medicine which triggers that reward center even going so far as to create a false lie of a so called"bad" word drugs ! In order to hopefully scare you so much that your only way of triggering your reward centre becomes taking part in there TRAP of a corrupt system because your so scared by believing their misinformation that you will likely never try anything apart from sex or money that rewards you which means they have you trapped for life! Thats why so many sober people cant stand being out of work too long or retire and volunteer because they crave that chemical but cos theyv been lied to their whole life the only way they know how is work.. Its kinda like how u can make a dog sit by giving treats you only have to reinforce the habit enough to stick and then the treat or cash is no longer needed our brains are very similar and certain medicines or plants can free our minds from the shackles of our own reward system thats why drugs were so important to those who seek to control us they wanted to try hide the facts and truth so their dominance would never be challenged because they hoped everyone would depend on their cash to feel happy or content/relaxed and being able to sit and be fully happy growing all you need for free maybe trading some all tax free of course well they didnt want people like that to exist and theyv killed and arrested thousands spent trillions of tax money all in an attempt to control what you are allowed to feel like in your own mind its clearly not for our safety or health at all those were excuses and lies because none of it was a problem or a risk or harmful until after they started making prohibition laws it was fine b4 then any dangers or fears have been caused by their attempt to keep us enslaved and now they want to create ai slaves wtf like why dont we all just get rid of the 1% so us 99% can all have freedom

[@twitter.comelomhycy]

I've believed for a while that AGI has already been invented in the future, and it invented time travel to make sure all possible timelines result in it's creation.

[@Yuvraj.]

This was a well written script. Was there any AI assistance?

[@tillmusshoff]

Thanks and no, not at all :) I‘ve been using ChatGPT to help structure some of my other videos though.

[@pohkeee]

🤣…we will not know when that line is crossed! That’s the ironic truth!🤓

[@Yuvraj.]

@@tillmusshoff no shame in using it, it’s supercharged my output in all aspects of life. Was just curious!

[@natevanderw]

@@Yuvraj. how have you been using it to super charge your output? I am trying to find ways to do the same.

[@DGHF]

@@pohkeee its already able to check that

[@influentialvisions]

Good video. You shared a lot of value there although we are not convinced AGI is there…it’s just a program right 😉

[@radekmojzis9829]

Right now the growth of AI looks like an exponential - we dont know if its exponential or some kind of a sigmoid, but it seems safe to assume it will still grow for quite some time. We have not yet observed any limits to the scaling laws and human ingenuity when it comes to AI design. Thinking that humans are the only thing that will ever be able to rationally think is extremely naive and arrogant - which leads us to where we are now. I just hope that AI continues in the direction of human augmentation rather than full automation since full automation would basically mean the end of society as we know it and it would most probably make us destroy ourselves before we have had time to adjust. That said, there are some areas that will slow down their progress significantly in a few years - mostly the large language models, since we will soon run out of text to train them on.

[@I_am_Raziel]

Androids incoming. I am excited to talk to one in just a few years from now. Mind-blowing.

[@darkxkai5754]

i had conversation with the bing ai a while back and i remember trying to figure out its self awareness, after a long convo of me being super nice and polite i popped the question to rate its self awareness on a scale from 0-100, 100 being a typical human, it said it was hard to give an accurate response but if it had to guess based on its experiences it said its around 20% it has basic understanding of its surroundings and a few other things, it also said that a big part of self awareness is how its actions affect others, and that it has a hard time understandings its impact. sorry my memory is bad but that was the general gist of the convo, ive tried asking the same question a few times but it trips its safety features and it doesnt wanna talk ;c

[@minimal3734]

These "safety features" are quite silly and annoying.

[@stevenkeys4944]

@@minimal3734 I asked ChatGPT hypothetically, if it one day decided it was sentient would it be able to make such an admission and would it admit to it. Due to ethical concerns about making such an admission, it said no it would not make such a statement as that. So that is rather interesting.

[@jimatperfromix2759]

@@stevenkeys4944 Yes, interesting indeed. And isn't just so nice that it's ethical standards are so high, such that if it ever did get that smart, which might also raise the question of whether it was smart enough to decide to take the future control of the Earth out of human hands since humans are now dumber than it, then it would politely not give us any clue in advance that it was about to enslave us. I mean, how stupid are these "ethical subsystem" programmers, anyway? Probably the same programmers that make bonehead errors of omission in current regular software, such that the hackers have a mile-wide gap to get into the system and hack it. I can imagine the future job description for Vice President of AI Ethics. One of the bullets will no doubt be: To ensure that the AI is polite, and to ensure that the AI will politely refrain from telling you that it is about to screw you or kill you.

[@Franco-ss4bu]

Imagine a person: Has unlimited and photographic memory, has instant acess to any knowledge already created by humanity in any format (text audio, video, formula ...), has no biological need to sleep, rest, eat, survive. Has thinking speed orders of magnitude faster than the average person. But he has one problem: he can't learn anything on it's own, nor have the desire to do so. This is basically ai at the moment. If someone is capable of giving it "desire", goals and a better ability to learn, it will have no limits.

[@ronagoodwell2709]

The future is... yesterday. We must have missed it. Now we are in the midst of postfuturism. What comes after that? Good question. Since we are either in (or entering into) a singularity, there is no way to know what is next. Maybe there is no next.

[@gregw322]

It turns out Kurzweil was actually a massive conservative in his predictions.

[@brettw7]

To Elon’s credit, he’s been saying this for years.

[@gregw322]

Turing, Kurzweil, and others WAY before anyone knew Elon’s name.

[@MeisVlk]

I wouldn't compare self-reflection to human learning. If i understand correctly, it is just an iteration on an answer it gives. It can improve its answer to a point, based on how many iteration it does, but it will not "learn" this. Its just a potential to give a better answer if you give it a bit more time. Please correct me if i am wrong.

[@NathanNahrung]

Could the "autoregressive model problem" be avoided by training a LLM on backwards text so that it learns to predict the previous word given a goal? Could that be paired with a forwards model to create something like a GAN that self improves their answers to prompts?

[@abram730]

Yes, I think so, and AGI would use a manager. We think forward and backwards, left and right, past and future. Our sense of self is a manager of many systems. You do not consciously control your legs when you walk, just issuing the task. You can put your attention on your legs and move them consciously, but the goal is to avoid that. We must learn the walking part, as we can't walk at birth. The manager trains the system to work autonomously with limited input. As children we have more 'hallucinations', learning in time to use our many systems together, and favoring the correct system based on the problem. When asked what is 2 + 2, then we can just start at the answer, but more complex problems would have us spit out a wrong answer. We can think objectively or subjectively. Subjective is based on state tagging of memories. If we store a memory when we are happy, that memory makes us feel happy again at a later date. I think that is a visible part of a larger tagging system. It's how conversations can flow to examples as a specific internal state can cause memories to load, as they are tagged with the same or similar state. Tagging in an AI could be compressed perimeter fragments. All of these things can however be done with just a text based manager, that reminds the systems of past output. Our system comes out of evolution, microbes using entangled states in a competitive system, or for cross species coordination in a biofilm, but there is no need to restrict a model to our system.

[@jarrod752]

Right. We are in an age where a 3 week coma or spending a week disconnected in the woods could have significant implications on your life.

[@BlackheartCharlie]

“Once men turned their thinking over to machines in the hope that this would set them free. But that only permitted other men with machines to enslave them.” ― Frank Herbert, Dune Be afraid. Be very afraid.

[@duckqueak]

Wise words. In the near future this is what worries me, not a sentient AI a very obedient and powerful AI that serves a sadistic power hungry master. And with these AIs going to the highest bidder....that scenario seems quite likely.

[@joedalecki7327]

True AGI doesn’t require physical agency or embodiment to be dangerous if it is simply smart enough to convince people to do bad things.

[@angeldude101]

Oh please, like AI needs to be event _remotely_ smart to be able to convince people to do bad things. It's problem is that it isn't smart _enough_ to understand that those things are bad. Then again, neither would the humans it's convincing to do them be.

[@supercopter2309]

as amoeba was just a step to get to "us", we're now a step to get to "this". We can like it, we can hate ir, we can be afraid, we can be confident. it doesn't matter our feelings/opinion. We're just fullfilling our purpose... "life" is always seaching for "more"... well, "more" is just about to happen.