Why Russia is Due a Financial Crisis

[@TLDRnewsEU]

CORRECTIONS: At 0:13, we show a kopeika instead of a ruble At 0:51, we say "war-related countries" instead of "war-related companies" At 3:14, we say "Officially, the Kremlin claimed that it was only spending 8% of its budget on defence", when we meant to say "8% of GDP" (as implied by the graph on screen). Apologies for these sloppy errors, and we hope you nonetheless enjoyed the video!|

[@muramasa870]

just correct and reupload the video bruh

[@vesi908]

@@muramasa870exactly

[@michaeldwyer9656]

Thank you for this effort. I commend you.

[@lazorbheeemz]

@@muramasa870 remember kidz news?

[@SobberMacSobberMac]

Its like 20 corrections every video.

[@ClarkeGriffiny7]

It’s amazing really. We have a financial crisis, caused by greedy, reckless financial institutions. Congress passes legislation requiring those institutions to be less greedy and reckless. The institutions then lobby to have those restrictions removed, usually in the name of “remaining competitive”. This leads to another financial crisis. It’s completely predictable, and we have been doing this dance since the Great Depression almost 100 years ago.

[@ChristianKelv]

Agree; the rules should be applicable to all banks - big or small. First; very few meaningful laws are passed and then this cycle of doing-undoing seems to support deregulation risking the economy and the faith in banks.

[@KarenLavia]

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[@BellamyGriffin19]

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[@JohnSmith060]

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[@romap.8521]

im from Russia, here is a quick summary for todays economy: salaries increased just as the price of everything, real infation in 2024 was 25-30%, to mitigate inflation and cool the economy central bank increased the rate, now its 21% and you can think how it effects the economy. I am surpised how long our economy stood inspite of global isolation, but we defenetly going to have a very very severe hangover after this war..

[@timothynoak5967]

Has this affected everyday life in Russia much?

[@ivan3734]

@@romap.8521 1. salaries have followed inflation until mid 2024. Since, it started to slow significantly. 2. Pensions are far from real inflation : 7,5% increase / 25% inflation. 3. Same with social workers (teachers,...) 4. The long time economy stood is indeed impressive. I explain that by : - big FNB (ФНБ : Фонд Национального Благосостояние) reserves, that is now empty - very good oil incomes, that were enough to finance war effort - less and less available data, so it is easier to manipulate numbers Nabiulina's decision (not to increase keyrate in December) is very showing. Objectivly, key rate had to be increased. She didn't, because Chemisov won his lobbying to Putin. Inflation will skyrocket in 2025.

[@lordmartinak]

@@timothynoak5967 define "much" ... inflation eating your savings won't change much in your day-to-day life, but it will certainly affect your ability to buy a home at some point for example

[@mommyanddaddywerealiengods]

@@spiraboy don't think, consume doomer media.

[@Andrew-bl8eq]

@@spiraboy Acquired territory that needs tons of investment to recover and has mostly old population, older than average in Russia

[@CindyOLynn]

You know how funny it is to see all those bots claiming that the Russian economy will not collapse when Russia's own central bank chief says that stagflation is a GOOD SCENARIO.

[@Jagzeplin]

i find it hard to believe these videos either tho. the channel business basics is particularly egregious with all the "russia is over" or "china is collapsing" clickbait stuff

[@B1gLupu]

Stagflation is a sloooooow grind, and considering the Russian empire implodes every 70 years, I can understand the logic of them saying that stagflation would be not the worst of outcomes.

[@B1gLupu]

​@@Jagzeplin if you look at population collapse graphs, there is a hint of truth to that. The problem is that multi-million people countries die so slowly that the human mind can't really perceive it.

[@Hdogdog7]

@@Jagzeplin Good grief that channel loves clickbait

[@davidprice8371]

How ironic that this comment is made by a pornography bot

[@Gardillus]

There is a lot you omit: real inflation in russia is way higher. They keep changing consumer basket and capping prices on certain goods that are more important for calculation. The income from oil and gas is going to shrink significantly thanks to new sanctions. National welfare fund of russia is soon to be completely empty. Their budget deficits keeps going up as the attrition continues, infrastructure crumbles and inflation rises. Now they will probably resort to money printing to plug the holes in the budget. Hyperinflation is coming!

[@AndreTheBataShoeSalesman]

I came here to say the same thing. Any analysis suggesting inflation is below the OCR needs a double check, because there'd be bond flight but there is not. It can only be estimated, when the goods basket is including property skewing it downwards also.

[@TheToxiss]

Yes but wages in Russia keep up with inflation so far, average people didn't noticed any change so far. The ramifications of the shift to a war economy remains to be seen, but I'm skeptical to any "collapse soon" scenario.

[@stonem0013]

@@TheToxiss only wages tied to war have gone up so dramatically

[@GerbenWulff]

@@TheToxiss Average wages keep up with inflation, but the average person does not exist. Soldiers have seen their real wages gone up, as have some others, but many others have not seen that happen. A 10% wage hike is nice, when inflation is 9.5%, but when real inflation numbers are higher, a 10% wage increase will result in people running out of money at the end of the month. Note that a lot of government department budgets have not increased to make room for military spending. Despite inflation. So if you are a teacher, a doctor or anyone else who's salary is determined by the state (except for the military), then you haven't seen your wages keep up, even with official inflation.

[@felixtoulgoat3185]

@@TheToxiss Also, pensions have not gone up, which is a real problem, when you think that pensions were already Putin's biggest political risk prior to the war.

[@crushhaus]

The biggest issue for Russia would be the post-war economy. The war economy is well, propped up by the war in Ukraine. Once that stops, the economic whiplash will hit.

[@davidsubotin7122]

Well even after the conflict ends/pauses, there will still be a sizable economy around rebuilding the captured territories and with that comes the possible gains in the form of all the natural resources that have been taken in Ukraine(think mines, farmland, etc.)

[@МихаилОрлов-б8щ]

Yes, because post war economies are known to collapse. Like US after WW2, what a horrific crash that was!

[@davevaderlp784]

@@МихаилОрлов-б8щ Unlike Russia, US markets expanded after WW2 and didn't contract.

[@blagoevski336]

Yeah

[@thehighground265]

@@МихаилОрлов-б8щ because the us was bombed, had a previuos age problem, had massive sanctions, had to ask another cuntry for materials and manpower. yeah the US had so many problems

[@ivan3734]

Excellent work. I am monitoring russian economy (I am from Belarus and France) since 2022. Specialized Russian analysts are raising all those concerns for quite a time now (at least mid 2024). Officials started to talk about deposit freeze (to avoid the mentioned bank crisis, therefore financial crisis) a few weeks ago. Civil business is in recession since mid-2024 at least (showed by the fall of tax perception on profits, while tax rate increases). You don't mention 2 key points though : - demographic trends (people born in 90's are now workforce. 90s was a historic low in births. This generation is depleted by the war and emigration). Moreover, Russia deports immigrants, aggraving the upmentionned fact. - the fact that russian economy is loosing its market economy and becoming a planned economy : less and less available economic metrics, law bills passed to force retailers to sell with loss,....

[@adamelghalmi9771]

planned economy works, but russia as of now is trying to do planned economy while being an ultra oligarchy and keeps the wealth in the military instead of the people

[@ivan3734]

@@adamelghalmi9771 Well, I am yet to see a working planned economy. Soviet Union had a very large base of qualified planners, and it still failed poorly. Nowadays Russia doesn't have this hard working, convinced mass of bureaucrats. For now, there are still some free markets in Russia and economy hangs on them. But they are going bankrupt, one after another. Constructors are an example. Russia is already in an irreversible state, they have gone too far. Russia will go bankrupt, the remaining questions are : how and when ?

[@mixelski]

​@adamelghalmi9771 Oh, not the western leftists again🙄 Planned economy doesn't work, Russia, my country proved that. The only things that work well in planned economy are deficit and corruption.

[@PieBit2]

China and Singapore and South Korea were partially planned economies

[@AndreTheBataShoeSalesman]

@@ivan3734 Russia goes bankrupt when the "crypto" remittances stop

[@angeloeolio-pd1zb]

At 3:14 you use "budget" as a synonym for GDP, not at all the same of course.

[@jackroutledge352]

I appreciate your balance here (as always), but I can't side with the "this is fine" crowd. 415 billion dollars is insane. For context, the value of bad loans in Europe and the US in the 2008 financial crisis was around $1 trillion. Needless to say, those defaults caused a financial earthquake, which the largest economies in the world struggled to endure. Russia, with an economy less than a 20th the size has no hope. Also, those companies have only a single revenue source - the Russian taxpayer, and there is no way Russia can raise sufficient funds to cover those loans in the event of a default. And at 21% interest rates, a default is definitely coming for most if not all of that lending. Printing rubles does absolutely nothing to resolve this, it will just wipe out everyone's savings and cause a collapse in the government's spending power.

[@willbarnstead3194]

Putting aside potential loans from China, the only solution to the fiscal problem Russia is facing, is printing Rubles. This has and will increase inflation. This is bad for Russia, but it will still be producing war materials and recruiting soldiers, so will not bring about an end to the war. It is also difficult to imagine that inflation will be so high as to cause a revolution in Russia. So it’s bad for the average Russian, but won’t stop the war or change the regime, unfortunately.

[@Atlastheyote222]

The issue will only be made worse by sending all your fighting age men to the frontline where they can’t work in factories or businesses back home. Plus the obvious issue that they’ll lose a lot of these men forever, and of those that come back they’ll suffer from mental and physical trauma, alcoholism, and other detrimental effects that will damage the economy long term. If this is a fight for Russia’s survival then they’ve probably already lost.

[@dannyarcher6370]

@@willbarnstead3194 I don't see this lasting. Coming up for 4 years of war and a massive current account deficit and soaring inflation. There'll be a revolution soon enough.

[@UnderscoreUnderscoreUnderscore]

@@willbarnstead3194The Housing Bubble is still a major aggravating factor for China, possibly delaying action until a more favourable military environment is firmly established. The current bloody slide for the Russian military has found its inverse in its economy. It reminds me of Mr. Burns’ Three Stooges Syndrome from the Simpsons, the foundations are all fundamentally warped somehow but are leaning against each other.

[@nothingness863]

it's amusing to see how people are arguing around made up claims.

[@Darko_Milosevski03]

It's not a financial crisis It's a special financial operation

[@dannyarcher6370]

A special economic correction.

[@Pippie5555]

"It will be over in 10 days!"

[@qeqsiquemechanical9041]

Ruble? More like rubble

[@Gorbachof]

How original

[@loveandmoney]

@@Gorbachofbut true

[@iceteal3mon108]

​@@Gorbachof womp womp

[@nvelsen1975]

You're wrong. But not in the way you expected: Rubles are currently worth roughly € 22 per tonne in metal or € 9 per tonne paper. Rubble sells for € 38-44 per tonne depending on quality. Basically, rubble costs more than ruble.

[@MrYarik04]

Never heard that one before

[@jpurdes]

0:13 - You show 1 kopeika, which is a cent to the ruble. So, essentially, you're showing that the ruble and dollar are close to parity. (I know the voiceover is correct, but the graphic is funny.)

[@Henners1991]

This threw me off and confused me - I heard "the ruble is worth less than a cent" and looked to see a Kopek, I thought "no shit, even ten years ago they weren't worth the metal they were made with."

[@gbux07]

Interesting since 1 robux or 1 v buck is as strong a currency as the ruble.

[@miramosa7768]

I like these videos, but it's the manuscript I like. The graphics are... Also there.

[@Andrew-bl8eq]

@@gbux07 Actually, 1 robux is called 1 robuck

[@aurelspecker6740]

Ohh god, the "GOOD SCENARIO" is basically "printing money until the problem goes away". Never was that ever a problem for any country. Nonononono, totally normal. And it would never create a hyperinflation ever.

[@SRFriso94]

There is one thing to note: the companies that are getting the loans needed for investment wouldn't have needed them before the war. A company that made 100.000 artillery shells a year in 2021 would need significant investment if the Kremlin suddenly said 'we need a million artillery shells in 2022'. And this is true for many sectors of the military industrial complex in Russia. The problem the Kremlin will face is that these are good investments... So long as the war continues. If a peace deal was signed tomorrow, that is when the chickens would come home to roost, and the Russian economy would likely implode.

[@justADeni]

These companies might now be investing a lot, but they don't have much profit, because russian arms exports (where profits came from, and subsidized domestic arms industry) are down 90%. With these loans they have a huge stack of cash and they're burning it at an incredible rate. This means they will need to borrow more and more as time goes on. Putin has already declared that should these companies go bankrupt, russian gov will nationalize them (=and thus the debt).

[@sogerc1]

"Inflation is 9.5%", yeah, I'd remove the leading 2 from the figure if the FSB came to my house.

[@AndreTheBataShoeSalesman]

Doing math has never been so dangerous

[@Kordanor]

0:50 "Lend money to war related countries" - I guess you meant companies? Anyways, like your videos, great overview!

[@agdevoq]

Russia's economic failure is like my diet: it always starts next year.

[@_0______00__________0_______0]

Same goes for Russian victory in Ukraine

[@agdevoq]

@_0______00__________0_______0 true as well.

[@harmony9591]

exactly, these prognosticators are just clickbaiters

[@smug_lawd2856]

@@_0______00__________0_______0 wdym they are just 3 days away /s

[@Grysham]

Economic issues rarely happen overnight, especially with all the governmental systems in place to stave off economic collapse. That being said, compounding issues most definitely build up and have an impact. 21% interest rate with inflation just shy of 29% is insane. The Ruble is at it's lowest value in history and the war grinds on with few signs of either side showing a full collapse. These issues will continue and it's already having a massive impact. It just isn't a full collapse

[@Martititi]

3:58 In my opinion, you should stop making transitions that don't make sense like this one. Except the eye-candy, there's no meaning behind the 5%-dotted-bar traveling to become one of the bars in the inflation rate in Russia (especially this bar is reading 9% inflation...). I find that the eye-candy is rather distracting in this case, and cannot bring any added value to the information you're conveying. Animations should convey information, not be there to look pretty. It's kinda the same thing for the charts you show. Most of the time they appear and disappear very quickly, or they don't show the whole curve immediately. An example of this is at 2:00, where the curve appears gradually. Here's it's ok because you keep the chart on screen for an appropriate time, but sometimes it disappears too quickly. Keep up the good work!

[@jerrykreutzer4326]

Meh it's just a little design thing, the 5% dotted line wasn't supposed to be accurate anyway.

[@AtakenSmith]

You know you can stop the video if you need more time to look at the graph.

[@artemis_fowl44hd92]

@@AtakenSmith It would be great if you could watch a video produced to give you information quickly (you know, the whole tldr thing) without being thrown off every now and then?

[@Winnetou17]

Yes, this! Thank you! I complained in the previous video clip that there was a graph that was animated and the ACTUAL graph, with the animated bars in the correct (final) position was visible for less than a second. And before the animation finished, you had no idea where a bar would stop, so the 5 seconds of animation was effectively wasted time (and effort). And it's infuriating because I rarely can properly grasp something like this in just one second. It was a graph with over 10 bars (I think it was countries). So I need to pause to read it. Waste of time. Instead the graph could've been shown for 10+ seconds while the narrator continued to talk.

[@injest1928]

High risk loans are a major catalyst for economic crashes. All it takes is for things to get bad enough for a significant number of borrowers to be unable to pay their debt, and the whole system either collapses or is bailed out by the government.

[@TurielD]

Yeah, but it will be bailed out. The Kremlin is using private bank loans to disguise their money creation, but they'll do it directly if necessary.

[@maxwellhiggs]

Putin no doubt rushing to sign up to Brilliant.

[@manickn6819]

Maybe some Germans need to sign up first.

[@BossDelta38]

So, this is 351st time the Russian economy is supposed to collapse, ir did I miss a time or two?

[@sirex9244]

I love watching this videos after half year actually. To 100 percent prove that it was propaganda

[@walther2492]

1. No one ever said the Russian economy is at the brink of collapsing. 2. Comments like yours only show how little you know about such topics, because economics develops over time. Either upwards or downwards and the Russian economy is clearly heading downwards.

[@sirex9244]

@walther2492 yeah yeah sure, clear lie. Watch the spring of 2022.

[@InteractiveHarp]

@@walther2492 yeah heading downwards by growing

[@sirex9244]

@@walther2492 yeah yeah, straight up lie, go to spring 2022 where are still stuck at and hear what your gay leaders all told🤣🤣🤣

[@jafethmendezgomez691]

This one would be the 50371 video talking about a "Russian" collapse

[@AlexC-ou4ju]

Right it’s almost like videos about the end of the US, Russia,China or the EU collapsing draw In more views.

[@IdontKnowAtAlllol]

But it won't have a good time after a period of peace

[@beefylilun178]

Go take a look at the ruble to dollar 5-year comparison before yapping anymore. If you don't see the curve going down, I am assuming you are a blind bot that's all.

[@alexsilent5603]

@@beefylilun178 And why is this important?

[@beefylilun178]

​@ It's important because it shows that yes, the Russian economy is in fact slowly collapsing? Sorry but if you come here commenting with subhuman intellect, I suggest you go read a book.

[@kzalesak4]

I don't think that people realize that Russia can simply ban people from withdrawing money which solves the issue

[@liravesnovaya242]

read about Pavlov reform in 1991 in the USSR

[@bigmungus4864]

I would take this video seriously except I’ve heard this narrative since the beginning or the war. The economy was supposed have to collapsed years ago?

[@ЗащитникИгр]

Well, the last time there was no economic collapse, but this time it will definitely happen!!!1!!1!!!!

[@Winnetou17]

Well, they did mention the caveats and that there's still juggle room and that it's risky, but they have a chance of going over it. Also, the crisis can be after the war too, and without a collapse.

[@gargoyles9999]

And russians were supposed to have taken over all of ukraine 3 years ago but they didn't.

[@gargoyles9999]

​@ЗащитникИгр derp da derp thingz didn't happenz in da past so iz can never happens everz dur hur hur

[@noonoovrrr]

This time is entirely different because it is not like other times. It is a new situation that is fundamentally different from previous times because it is today, in the present, and not in the past like the ones before 🧠👈🏻

[@maksim_cim]

For almost 3 years I hear things about crisis in Russia and how it gonna start soon. But I don't feel it at all. Not from food store's, not from people around me. I guess you just will keep hoping for that and we continue live like nothing happening

[@nativeme2143]

Worth to mention that 9% inflation is data provided by Rosstat which doesn't have anything common with real prices rise. If You take to account real inflation then this interest rates start to make sense.

[@tripplle_aaa2889]

According to the data of December-January inflation is getting lower. So the key rate works. Why didn't you tell us this information?

[@weaimtolearn]

I am so glad to hear "you get the idea." There have been too many videos that don't feature this phrase. It is a good day for ":you get the idea" fans.

[@adshdhhhd7783]

And let's not forget that Russia is cooking its numbers!

[@q.2815]

Seriously thank you for your work TLDR

[@georgioskaraiskakis2725]

I do not understand the points of the video. If Russian banks lend more to war related companies then, those companies have only one customer-The Russian state. Hence, if the Russian state does not have significant problems to pay those companies as it was mentioned in the video then, what is the real risk of financial crisis? Furthermore, it was mentioned that "21% of interest rates from the central bank is stupidly high" which does not make sense since those interest rates are very temporary and similar figures were set by Federal Reserve in the past.

[@Tekkzn]

Print more money. 😂 even still the spending isn’t a closed cycle that is 1:1 for every 1 spent it returns 1 in taxes.

[@georgioskaraiskakis2725]

@@Tekkzn How is this related with the video and where did you find this oversimplistic ratio for this matter?

[@Tekkzn]

@@georgioskaraiskakis2725 think about it. How can you possible tax and pay the company the same amount? They would mean they are doing it for free. There’s only a few leavers a government can pull raise tax or lower spending or print money. Pick your poison.

[@georgioskaraiskakis2725]

@Tekkzn my friend, I'm discussing only to understand and learn. The companies in Russia as it is mentioned in the video are not only "war related". What you say means that all companies in Russia are war related which is not correct. They tax companies in food industry, oil and gas, minerals etc. which constantly export goods to countries like India and China which develop in a much faster rate than the global average and they are also bigger economies than that of Russia

[@TimoRutanen]

I believe the idea is that the Kremlin goes to a commercial bank and tells them to lend money to the arms manufacturers or else. Normally, the bank would have thought the risk of lending to them was too high, and the company wouldn't pay it back, but now there's a risk of angering the Kremlin if they refuse, which is even worse. However, after the bank lends the money, the Kremlin washes its hands of the whole transaction and says to the bank 'You're on your own buddy, good luck'. Which will cause the bank to be in a risky position, in case the company actually can't (or won't) pay back the money.

[@ФедяКрюков-в6ь]

In fact, investments in real sector, especially the military sector at the midst of a war, is the least risky of them all, military corporations production is financed directly by the government's budget, not some high risk/high reward speculations

[@LivefreeLoz]

Hit 220k today. Appreciate you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last months. Started with 34k in November 2024…

[@LivefreeLoz]

I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my whole life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear that you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small Investment, thank you Jihan Wu you're such a life saver.

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As a beginner in this, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. Jihan Wu is also my trade analyst, he has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns.

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His guidance allowed me to restructure my retirement plan, resulting in an estimated $700,000 more by the time I retire.

[@SeanMcGeown]

Waking up every tenth of each month to £210,000 it’s a blessing to I and my family… Big gratitude to this same Jihan Wu🙌

[@fb150185]

Good video. I would like to see a really in depth explanation on how... how is Russia holding up so well. How were they able to pivot energy sales to other countries so easily when energy trading demands for huge investment in infrastructure. How did they just move from incredible revenues from the EU to basically none from them without it being a major issue. With all the sanctions, how is their economy still running so well. Yes, there are issues a plenty, but a lot less than many other countries. It just doesnt add up and I am curious but could not find good answers to these questions.

[@juanalejandrosotto6217]

there's something called cooking the books

[@Joaodocaminhao0234]

Thank you👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍

[@reaperz5677]

Inb4 all the Russian bots start screaming "RUSSIA'S ECONOMY ISN'T COLLAPSING, EUROPE'S ECONOMY IS!" while completely ignoring what this video says.

[@lellyparker]

But videos have been saying things like this since the invasion of Ukraine. So you can't blame people for being skeptical.

[@someidiotwithnoname]

@@lellyparker No economy crashes overnight. It has to be a series of connected effects over several years and the crash was and easy thing to anticipate because Russia had a strong economy on paper only.

[@reaperz5677]

​@@lellyparker There's a line between being "sceptical" and just straight up saying "NUH UH, NO U" to everything people say negative about your country. I understand "scepticism", but if you read anything that pro-Russian account (or comments) say, you'll notice that it's not "scepticism", it's straight up denial. Also, you have to understand that predictions about any country's economy are dynamic - they change relative to the information/data we have. The last time we made genuine predictions of the Russian economy collapsing was in 2022, when the war started - high inflation, high interest rates, sanctions, no gas revenue, etc. This scenario was averted, because some of these issues were resolved (namely, high inflation and interest rates), but now, in 2025, those issues are back, and are more intense than before. So why WOULDN'T people make more predictions, at this stage? It's no wonder that some predictions are wrong - a lot of things can change. But the "sceptics" are the ones that don't recognize the fact that things can change, and view back at predictions made in 2022 with information from, say, 2024, proudly announcing that the people making predictions are always wrong. My point is, temper your expectations with these predictions. Predictions aren't meant to be viewed as prophecies.

[@kohvazein7798]

​@@lellyparker no they haven't. What people have been saying is that the things in the video will happen. No one thought Russia would collapse overnight because thats not how it works. It's a gradual accumulation of markers of decline which culmulnate in a collapse.

[@ricklubbers1526]

​@@lellyparkerYes you can. People expect results of sanctions to happen overnight. It doesnt.

[@laidbakc]

I would concentrate on UK economy right now, as we are doing very poorly and we are not at war with anyone!!

[@EugeneTChu]

Russian bot, interest rates are not double digit. The pound sterling is still stable compared to declining ruble.

[@AlexC-ou4ju]

I mean Britain has a quarter of Russias inflation rate and isn’t losing hundreds of young men permanently or needing to be cared for for the rest of their lives on a daily basis.

[@laidbakc]

@ Since when having an opinion became a quality of being a bot... I beg to disagree! The pound sterling will be going even further down after the austerity budget, don't you worry!

[@laidbakc]

@ Which is very sad indeed. Also Britain is not at war, and its economy should be performing much much much better, but due to the fact that we cannot attract investors because we have left the union and created a huge red tape! I am scared to imagine what will happen with economy if Britain will get actively involved into the conflict... yayks!

[@nikolaimiroshnichenko2689]

​@AlexC-ou4ju it depends on your benchmarks and expectations. Surely, people living on UC which is 4 times higher than average Russian working salary have different definition of "struggle"

[@kyle6781]

I find it kind of wild that it's been about 100yrs and leaders still can't figure out how to keep and hold a steady economy

[@lentilsoup460]

Economies are extremely complicated though to be fair. It's basically like trying to keep together a whole society with different desires, behaviours, etc. along with external factors like natural disasters and wars.

[@dannyarcher6370]

They know how to. They just choose not to.

[@OBsurdityTV]

@@dannyarcher6370explain.

[@connormclernon26]

We’ll see if his American puppet tries to bail him out.

[@02Tony]

Who's that?

[@Ravi9A]

@@02Tony clinton.

[@JF-rh5vq]

@@02Tony trump

[@Zolotou2604]

hello conspiracy theory, keep it up being delusional

[@02Tony]

@@Ravi9A how is he an American puppet? He is from America.

[@robbebrecx2136]

Yes, and that’s exactly what you would expect from a war economy. Banks are directed to lend to the war industry, backed by the central bank, which provides liquidity through window guidance. Naturally, the currency has weakened due to export sanctions. While this approach isn’t sustainable in the long run, Japan maintained it for decades (after the war their economic miracle), and China has been doing the same for years.

[@alexgilliam5144]

One other thing to keep in mind is if numbers are screwey. Aka, just how honest are Russian numbers. While many numbers might be accurate, over the war they have been publishing less and less data. A sign they may be trying to cover data

[@Jose04537]

Judging by interests rates alone as this video mostly does (47%), Turkey's economy is in worse shape than Russia and yet hasn't collapsed.

[@geelangfordo3272]

Will Russias economy collapse like Zimbabwe or Venezuela no. How ever this war is going to wipe out a decade or two of economic growth.

[@dipereira0123]

Wasnt russia supossed to be broke like 13months ago? they were hoarding wasing machines and fighting with shovels didnt they?

[@AlexC-ou4ju]

Right like Ukraine running out of shells and men in 2033?

[@gregorysurovoi3968]

In 1991 in the USSR - Monetary Reform, and long queues formed in front of Soviet savings banks. This dealt a crippling blow to Soviet citizens who could not remove their money before it was devalued by 99%. Looks like it's going to happen again.

[@raphie122]

Did you not watch the video?

[@freespiritable]

Pootin seeking to resuscitate the USSR, ending up killing Russia.

[@sewur5034]

Also corporate loans with such interest rates mean a huge cost for the companies. Matched with higher wages and increased taxes that will inevitably cause more bankruptcies, inflation and unemployment. Those loans are also not for investments but rather to stay afloat. Already working part of population has to pay for unproductive part: military industry, military itself, beurocrats, pensioners and own children + own loans. After the military campaign stops there will be millions of people than wont be able to find jobs while struggling with inflation. There will be also no capital left to rebuild private sector. Not mentioning they should be switching off fossil fuel economy as Europe and China push for renewables.

[@Abelka252]

Weekly “Russia is in financial crisis” video from TDLR 😂😂😂

[@omniopen]

I’m really psyched for Brilliant’s interactive course on toppling world governments 🎉

[@heinkle1]

The depressing reality that Russia has a proportionately smaller deficit than the UK

A young dude with a broccoli haircut is telling me European propaganda, modern times is insane

[@JSK010]

I find the “closed economy” argument unconvincing: there is always an alternative for to be confiscated bank deposits: gold, fur coats, the underside of a mattress

[@gargoyles9999]

They're not going to seize bank deposits. these scenarios have happened before just look at Greece zimbabwe Lebanon ectm the banks simply limit what an individual can withdraw our day. If an individual can withdraw only $100 a day a business is usually allowed 20 times that. The accounts are not seized but access is massively restricted while the wealthy simply bribe bank officials to get their cash out.

[@EugeneTChu]

Issue with that argument is liquidity. A fur coat or gold is not valuable unless there is cash or barter value. Poor Russians exchanged those after fall of USSR for food money and remained poor.

[@tomlxyz]

Those don't make up a big enough amount in the total so are insignificant and be ignored

[@JSK010]

@ true but a confiscated deposit is worth exactly 0.

[@JSK010]

@@tomlxyz how do you mean?

[@ChiefsFanInSC]

$400 billion in bad loans? Let's put that in perspective. The Russian economy is FOURTEEN times smaller than that of the USA. Regarding sanctions, starting in January, the Kremlin is losing $500 million per month from the gas pipeline shut down by Ukraine and the recent sanctions against the Russian shadow fleet will have an even larger impact. At some point, the damn will break.

[@steam9421]

Lemme correct you a bit on why the rates are rising. It's not, or at least so much, that Puting is making banks lend money to military related companies, but rather that Russia in past years implemented a lot of preferential policies for mortgages and similar stuff, that are now (and actually have been) backfiring at banking, because a lot of people can borrow money at super preferential rates. Thus, central bank interest rate really does not apply to a wide range of people and companies, consequently not having required impact on inflation

[@FreeDomSy-nk9ue]

We've been hearing this for 4 years!!!

[@ikt123]

That the Russian economy is a shitshow? Yes? What are you disputing exactly? It has been a shitshow for 4 years.

[@ikt123]

Russians Resort to Stealing Butter Amid Shortages

[@AaronOkeanos]

How can that be? The invasion happened 3 years ago.

[@Friskni]

same with china, they need us to believe this shite

[@johntowers1213]

@@AaronOkeanos you think claims of Russia's immanent collapse started in 2022?, they've been under economic sanctions since 2014 and the talk of their demise has been ever present.

[@user-kx6wl8hz8v]

I love how you said in a video you'd proof read more so less mistakes and say "you get the idea" less. Yet here we are

[@willhudson5625]

The video is only 7:30 minutes long, personally i like more information but I also understand the name of the channel

[@doc9749]

Video was posted 5 minutes ago and your comment 2 minutes ago... come on man, you haven't gotten to the sponsored part yet

[@willhudson5625]

@doc9749 true I'm still watching but I watch often and also I looked at the time stamps

[@muffin_cat7444]

We need an LDR channel. “Long Do Read.”

[@David_Lloyd-Jones]

@@willhudson5625 So you've already hit the parts where he confuses a ruble with a kopek and a budget with a GDP? You want to get back to us when he figgers it out in his own head, takes the video down, and broadcasts the corrected version?

[@dzangordenakha3995]

You know how funny it is seeing all those bots who are saying that russian economy wont collapse, when russia's own head of central bank says that stagflation is a GOOD SCENARIO.

[@ValiantValium]

As well all know, "stagflation" consists of the two best words in the dictionary: Stagnation and inflation.

[@edugames1238]

I'm no russia supporter but I'd say you are a bot cuz @CindyOLynn made the same comments with exact words and the "GOOD SCENARIO" on capital letters. Propaganda agents are at both sides

[@beefylilun178]

​@@edugames1238 I'd say you are quite dumb because this account was made 11 years ago with no signs of being banned. Thanks for showing everyone how dumb Russian supporters are. Did you think by saying "I'm no russian supporter" means we all believe you?

[@gracelandtoo6240]

@educgames1238 OP's comment is an hour older, it's the original comment. CindyOLynn is a p*rn bot (censoring bc of yt), as evidenced by the profile picture. That's the reason it has more likes.

[@dzangordenakha3995]

​@@edugames1238So answer me my little specially gifted "propaganda is on both sides", is it nice smelling your own farts thinking how smart you are, after writing those words.

[@swedichboy1000]

How many times havent we seen this video already?

[@tronghungnguyen8716]

Vids like these been popping on and off for 4 years ays ?

[@barneyklingenberg4078]

@@tronghungnguyen8716 10 years now, Ever since the first sanctions were put on Crimea. See a lot of projection also here in comment section. Russia's infra is ruin, have you ever been to Germany recently? half their country is roadworks where nobody is working. None of the trains arrive on time and next year their industrial output is likely about half the output before covid. The UK is also in a dire position. France has their own migration problems, and their uranium supply chain has been hit by uprisings in Africa, Countries that are quickly getting ties with Brics. Brics from which Russia is one of the main founders, Brics which now has more collective economic power then then the entire western hemisphere. We just can't isolate Russia anymore with economic sanctions, We can however strategically given Russia's terrible geography.

[@lolthepop324alois8]

​@@barneyklingenberg4078 lmao nice true bot

[@CiaoKizomba]

Can you consider doing a video on the risks of whether China may renegotiate past border disputes with Russia given Russia’s plight.

[@fabianabongo6284]

How would he know if it would? Unless you just want a story

[@thepax2621]

That would all be well, if Moscow would actually care. But they don't. The benefits of not running a democracy, one might say

[@ЛюдмилаАртюшкина]

I care and I am Russian. I tried to buy a ticket fir the theatre show I liked to watch it yet again and… I couldn’t because of the sold out. Two months in advance and with extravagant prices??!!! These people thrive instead of trying to survive. No “eating or heating” here. We heat and we eat and war and we feat

[@SuccessMindset2180]

Economic instability can be very damaging

[@d3vilmaycry25]

Didn't you guys keep saying for the past half a decade now?

[@ikt123]

The Russian economy has been a joke for half a decade now, what is your point?

[@charlesbeaudry3263]

The whole point is that the loans will not be repaid and like the sub-prime in US, the Russian government will have to monetize these loans by printing rubles.

[@PagIiacci]

nothing ever happens

[@ForelliBoy]

tl;dr you know that "Obama pulling levers" meme, that's basically what the Russian Central Bank is doing but in overtime

[@alibitarafan-wf7on]

Dude i must add everybody is and was saying that but nothing happened so far , and i must add they are even pushing although very costly

[@Goldfinch23]

Now imagine the cost of an full scale decade long occupation to quash any uprisings.

[@AajgrbddHseuuc]

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[@HappinessVictor-x2t]

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[@AajgrbddHseuuc]

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[@sarahanert]

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[@GoodnewsSghsg]

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[@GloriaBfhdj]

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[@nothingness863]

you mean like 3 years ago? or like 2 years ago? or like 1 year ago?

[@sina841922817028990]

I hear that every month

[@ikt123]

Feel free to move to Russia and tell me how good things are then :)

[@FreeDomSy-nk9ue]

True, since 4 years.

[@FreeDomSy-nk9ue]

There's another KZbinr forgot his name, he literally posts videos with similar titles on a weekly basis since the war started.

[@user_enigma7808]

@@FreeDomSy-nk9ueThe Military Show? At that point his whole KZbin channel is anti Russian propaganda 🫠

[@FreeDomSy-nk9ue]

​@@user_enigma7808 No. I just found it, it's called Joe Blogs @joeblogs. There seems to be many such channels. I was an idiot for watching them back in the day.

[@Jeza921]

Energy exports were a cornerstone of their economy, but with unpredictable oil prices and Europe’s distancing, it’s becoming a liability. The central bank is exhausting reserves to keep the ruble from collapsing.

[@funnyvalentine7607]

This made my day

[@DR-00700]

There are many issues with their economy. What is less clear is the condition of the energy infrastructure which will be creaking without western support. As it falls apart so does their source of income same as the 1990s.

[@Yacovo]

Thanks for the video.

[@TarunSingh-cg3wp]

One reason why russian economy may not collapse is that they're a very resource rich nation, everything that Russia needs they already produce, other things can be imported cheaply from China. I don't think they're gonna collapse.

[@gregorysurovoi3968]

In 1991 in the USSR - Monetary Reform, and long queues formed in front of Soviet savings banks. This dealt a crippling blow to Soviet citizens who could not remove their money before it was devalued by 99%. Looks like it's going to happen again.

[@jeremypearson6852]

Russia is toast. With or without a victory in Ukraine, the long lasting damage will sink Putin.

[@nikolaimiroshnichenko2689]

Economic failures didn't sink even Maduro

[@LukmanH-o6t]

Putin is fine but European leaders are stumbling in every election they will face😂😂😂

[@adityamohan8514]

majority of the world likes putin

[@themountain59]

​@@adityamohan8514Is that so? 😂

[@ll0l0l0lolo0l]

@@LukmanH-o6t Western European leaders don't kill their opponents like Putin does. Russia is stuck with a failure like Putin, while Western Europeans can remove their failures. LOL

[@thomHD]

Even 2 years ago, when reports were that Russia's economy was "weathering the storm", it failed to put that in context of Russian GDP per capita being less than $14k.

[@madlad4597]

Fingers crossed that this will actually force Russia to stop the war

[@Zolotou2604]

to stop the war two sides need to do that.

[@madlad4597]

@Zolotou2604 they are the ones who could end the war today if they just decided to leave. That's all Ukraine has wanted from the start.

[@reaperz5677]

​​@@Zolotou2604That's very reductive thinking. "Compromise" is not the only solution to wars. Take the Soviet-Afghan war, for example - the war ended after 10 years, when the Soviets just... left. There was no "compromise" needed in order for that to happen. Similarly, we don't need "both sides" to do anything, we only need Russia to leave the land they've occupied.

[@breezeout]

​@@Zolotou2604 Ukraine is willing to participate in negotiations. Russia is clearly not.

[@TSEliot1978]

@@breezeout Zelensky literally banned himself legally from negotiations. Russia has been willing to negotiate based on the realities on the frontline, not the wishful thinking of Ukrainians.

[@AbdulEssa-kp4vf]

Is it me but is there an HQ where all content creators attend for "Russia Bad" stories but never seem to find any stories for Ukraine or Israel? When Ukraine and Israel will completely collapse if US and EU funding is removed? Completely lack of awareness of how the world economies have changed?

[@AaronOkeanos]

But we know that already. But not so much about Russia. Besides Ukraine is a war-zone noone expects them to do well in the economy.

[@AbdulEssa-kp4vf]

@@AaronOkeanos Zionists have played a hand several times in Russia. When they caused the fall of the Russian czar and the murder of this entire family. But the one they were very pleased with was the fall of USSR. Why are the Zionist obsessed with Russia? The Pale of Settlement was a region in the Russian Empire where Jews were required to live and work for over 130 years. It was established in 1791 and lasted until 1917 They lived in horrible conditions, many fled to New York. Between 1880 and 1920, the Jewish population of New York City increased from 80,000 to 1.5 million. This increase was due to a wave of Ashkenazi Jews fleeing pogroms in Eastern Europe. Not all Zionists are Jewish many Secular Zionists. But they all share a hatred for Russia! They want to destroy Russia. CIA lead coup in Ukraine removed democratically elected government in Ukraine. They forced Russian-speaking people to stop using their language. To many things to mention. Antony Blinken super Zionist has personal hate for Russia.

[@ashardalondragnipurake]

@@AaronOkeanos yes but that changes the question to whose economy is this war fighting and how is it affecting those ukraine is just the location, not the participant

[@AaronOkeanos]

@ Not really a secret is it. Europe and America helping Ukraine defend an invader because of treaty in exchange for dismantling nuclear weapons. Maybe not directly but indirectly for sure. And on the other side China and North-Korea helping Russia. North-Korea even actively by providing troops.

[@AbdulEssa-kp4vf]

@@AaronOkeanos The nuclear weapons belonged to Russia! This is the constant propaganda narrative being driven across the world by CIA across the world. The US has nuclear weapons in Turkey, if the US leaves Turkey can Turkey keep the nuclear weapons? The United States has around 750 military bases in over 80 countries and territories. It has invaded Afghanistan, Lebanon, Syria, Libya, Iraq, Sudan, and Panama. The list is endless. There are no North Korean troops in Russia! This is a constant projection by the Zionists! There were British, US, Ukrainian, and French special forces in Gaza helping with the Genocide. Helping bombing schools, hospitals, cemeteries, water and sewage plants. Ukraine forces even helped ISIS (HTS) in Syria topple Asad!

[@SeanLinsley]

The corporate debt chart is misleading because the Y axis starts at 95% of the value in 2022 and goes up from there. That's a funny way of saying the debt it up ~40%. The Y axis should really start at zero, and the unit should be a currency instead of an arbitrary percent. Then the red arrow could say "+40%"

[@RR-jz2up]

50-60% of russian economy is oil/gas sales. As long russia can sale it's oil for good price, they can weather a lot.

[@MonsieurDeVeteran]

there's your problem though... even with those sales, they still need more money for the war effort... plus, UA just closed one pipeline that goes through its teritorry, so no more gas money from that... and Trump said he's putting the Navy on the look-out for even more searches of shadow navies. Soo, don't think they can weather that much going forward :|

[@gregorysurovoi3968]

In 1991 in the USSR - Monetary Reform, and long queues formed in front of Soviet savings banks. This dealt a crippling blow to Soviet citizens who could not remove their money before it was devalued by 99%. Looks like it's going to happen again.

[@MrHarvywallbanger]

These things just don't matter in criminal authoritarian states unless they are truly extreme, especially in a major war. Pretending they do is absurd.

[@AaronOkeanos]

Mao's incompetency caused over 100 mio deaths in China. No rebellion and he is still reveered to this day.

[@NilsMueller]

We've been waiting 2 years for this so-called crisis. It ain't happening

[@ikt123]

Interest rates are 21%, it has 10% INFLATION, it's in a CRISIS RIGHT NOW

[@putra4101]

It ain't happening but the propaganda still keep going. 😂

[@putra4101]

@@ikt123 🤓☝️, Man I'm waiting it till 2 years ago, at some point you need to accept that it will never happen. Sanctions isn't effective as how it is before, especially if it used too much. It has potentially to backfire, like it did right now. 🚶

[@la1sk203]

Tell that to anybody with family in Russia

[@AaronOkeanos]

@@putra4101 For what event do you actually wait? An economy is like an oil-tanker it not just falls apart one day.

[@oldowleye3161]

loool ... in short - all russian banks will go bankrupt at once !... 😂😂😂

[@evinoshima9923]

The question is if this is going to come to a head, and when. As long as Russia can sustain its imports, it can probably print money to cover the rest. But if it runs short on forex, its game over. So if sanctions can pressure its forex earnings more,, this will bring it to the tipping point a lot faster.

[@AndreTheBataShoeSalesman]

Things like the bhat to ruble and UAE dirham to ruble rate could be a problem

[@JerriCarrier]

The Adaxum presale bonuses got me thinking about a long-term investment strategy. Time to dig deeper!

[@djinghiskhan9199]

Isn't comparing the Ruble to the USD like apples and oranges, except for the fact that you can buy 6 oranges in Russia to 1 orange in the US for the same US value, lol.

[@letecmig]

what you talk about is Purchasing Power Parity. And I do not think 1:6 works for oranges or any other goods that are imported od have imported components(from cars to household goods to clothing) effectively paid in USD. It worls with services and goods where local cheap RUB paid in labour is the main component- restaurants, rents, some local foods etc. So again. The comparison using the exchange rate is pretty useless. More useful comparison would be by wage/minutes worked on AVG local salary

[@Andrew-ob5ij]

How’s the weather in Moscow today?

[@antonpavlov9019]

@@Andrew-ob5ij It's quite cold here, how's it where you are from? The weather does not define the life in the country though

[@djinghiskhan9199]

@@Andrew-ob5ij I'm in Sydney Australia. Is that all you've got son? kinda sad, lol.

[@nikolaimiroshnichenko2689]

​@@letecmiglast time I checked PPP only improves Russia number by x2 and not for all goods

[@Kolyalan]

As a russian I can confirm, the people running the central bank and financial sectors are actually competent, unlike most other parts of government structure. The problem is: this competence will only help so long. They have brilliantly used all the instruments available to them to keep the economy afloat so far. But we are coming to the limit of these instruments. Everyone else is playing against them, so the system may collapse any moment. Of course, it's only my opinion, I may not know everything, but I wouldn't bet on this system surviving much longer. P.S. Peace to Ukraine

[@rodolforeyes3846]

Good

[@luckyluke1503]

A Channel called News EU would never tell the truth about Russia.

[@injectilio]

The audio is a bit messed up in this episode today.

[@BlackJones-z2x]

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[@CashTerry-g2m]

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[@dratej]

Elizabeth Regina Nelson has really set the standard for others to follow, we love her here in the Uk 🇬🇧 as she has been really helpful and changed lots of life's.

[@DanielBellan-dx6rk]

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[@SarahScotch]

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[@CarollPak]

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[@cristianfamigliuolo]

It's called criminal economy! And it works better than that honesty!

[@koneofsilence5896]

"fighting a full on ground war" - but its only a special military operation, those you get for cheap, right? /s

[@JWentu]

2:00 stop it with misleading charts, please! that goes against your credibility, really. Chart with y-axis starting on a value different from 0 like in this case are just misleading and misrepresenting the amount of a specific quantity through time.

[@melaskhole]

Hi, I don't think it's showing a specific quanity. It appears to be an index showing a percentage variation from July 2022 (= 100).

[@deckie_]

how would you ever make a chart that starts at 0 when the real change is between 100 and 140? This is literally the best way to illustrate the numbers

[@OasisMilo]

It's not misleading at all. It shows corporate dept in percentage compared to july 2022 where y=100 means 1:1 with july 2022. So when the increase is 140% it means corporate debt went up 40% in the last 2 years. Hope this helps

[@busboy262]

To my knowledge, the Ruble isn't a globally traded currency. The value is set at the transactional level. If so, I doubt that it's fetching an amount as favorable as.$.0098. I wouldn't give that much, anyway.

[@y_x2]

Can you stop repeating all the time?

[@Ugapiku]

Bruh, again another video about Russia?! 27 EU member states and you keep making same stuff...

[@AaronOkeanos]

I think they done every EU country already. The round was up to russia again.

[@sreepavang3799]

Hi @TLDR News EU, i would like to know where do you get these kind of information from? I am planning to write blogs about various topics and wondering what sources to refer from? Thanks in advance for your answers.