Trump's New Grand Strategy || Peter Zeihan

President Trump suggested that Europe should buy US oil and gas to address trade deficits and strengthen alliances. I have a few qualms with this.
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#trump #strategy #policy

[@JS-jb7is]

Wait, Trump won the election? I thought Peter said it was impossible for him to be re-elected.

[@cwav4074]

Remember when trump tried to rig the election

[@lupsastta90]

He did predicted the split of the Republican Party, but it happened after the election lol

[@VanderbiltMr]

Zing

[@sparks1792]

You don’t feel corny?

[@matm4413]

and packing his cabinet with incompetents, remember that

[@SuperCrazyEstonian]

I think Zeihan might not like Trump.

[@garykinard7553]

haha, Predicting the future and politics don't go well together.

[@kishm1724]

Seems like he hasn't learnt anything from Trump can never win, he still is like Trump can do nothing

[@tedthoman6580]

Actually, the majority of Americans despise DonOld Dump.

[@BreakerOneNine]

@@tedthoman6580 Were you asleep on Nov. 6th?

[@noctwice]

@@BreakerOneNineDefinately asleep

[@taxpert2999]

I used to watch his videos every day, thinking he knew what he was talking about because of his confidence. Gradually, I realized that his analysis is based on doubling down rather than having the humility to learn from his mistakes. No one can always be right, but this guy is seldom right. I also noticed he removed many of his videos where his predictions were so off that he looks foolish. I clicked on his video to read the comments, and lo and behold, more and more people have started realizing that this person speaks with confidence but lacks substance.

[@Reviews4fun1]

He’s wrong again and again and again and …

[@MH-qy5hh]

Thanks, you saved me the bother of checking his predictions👍🏻

[@Davidt1066]

The sun that dont shines in Germany (according to him) this year brought me 800kw/h of energy with a 2x2meter solar panel.

[@Jurmyhyle12]

Realistically nobody can be right with every prediction

[@RobOfTheNorth2001]

Same. I stopped putting any store in his “analysis” when he talked about a topic I know a lot about and he had only a superficial understanding and made lots of mistakes.

[@trevormurray617]

Admit it you all came straight to the comments

[@JohnReall]

Yes I did.

[@ruralroute312]

Heck yah ! Peter just can't stand Trump... Geopolitics is his forte, but Donald ruins his mornings and he's gotta just blow sometimes...

[@jonathanprince7939]

Absolutely

[@Patrzę.i.nie.wierzę]

Yeap.

[@tacemartin4422]

I just wanted to confirm that everyone else finds this guy appalling

[@yad-thaddag]

I guess next week we will hear Peter's thoughts about conquering Canada and Greenland 😆

[@markdowse3572]

That would involve WAR! Not funny.

[@Jensildur]

"Kudos to Trump for starting the conversation"

[@britcom1]

And the Panama Canal.

[@donkeysaurusrex7881]

It will give Peter a chance to talk about the Jones Act

[@tomastakac7027]

Waiting for this as hell 😄

[@toddhaskins2302]

Thanks!

[@DanielPaprocki]

He's not president yet and I'm already running out of popcorn 🥹😂

[@joopmar6]

Is it inflacion

[@patrickm6012]

It’s more supply and demand issues 😂

[@More_Row]

With the shrinkflation your popcorn bag will son be about 10 in the bag

[@allenl9214]

Stock up on pop corn .. tariffs are coming 😂

[@teflchiangmai]

Watching endless stupidity, gaslighting and grifting gets boring indeed.

[@harmonicpatternsOfficial]

it's going to be a loooooooooong 4 years for Peter

[@ostevoostevo1592]

Peter and the MSM absolutely love Trump really. He gives them so much to rant about...

[@MichaelBeirneVettedCapital]

12 years+

[@gimpy454]

Yes it is! And I'm a thousand percent here for it

[@brandon_youtube]

Yep. Detractors need to pace themselves rather than report on every tweet of fart by Mr 47.

[@garybarr1045]

It's going to be a loooooooooooooooooooooooooooong four years under Trumpism, providing America and the world survive Trump's idiocy.

[@hawssie1]

This guy is right about as much as a broken clock but he sounds so convincing

[@duethe6929]

curios (and agree) whats your take on his take on Germany?

[@leftfield123]

Yet, we still keep watching him!

[@El...Presidente]

Nonsense.

[@76mothersofinvention]

If I follow Peter will I be considered a Zeihanist?

[@carmenmccauley585]

😂Bravo!

[@carmenmccauley585]

😂Bravo!

[@VancouverInvestor]

Yeah...😂 Thats usually how it works. He learned from the post war realists and is passing on knowledge to us. One of many sources.

[@aussiehardwood6196]

No you'll just end up uninformed and with tendencies to reject facts on front of u in place of leftist ideology.

[@Clivetinker]

Just means you follow The Diplomat’s front page and you can predict what Zeihan is about to talk about

[@rowdyhoo]

Wasn’t this the guy that predicted that the Democrats would win the White House? One would think that misread would toned down the hubris at least a bit. Used to love this guy's releases. Then, I thought, that he was middle of the road politically. Recently though, his real colors have been showing. Too bad.

[@anthonyml7]

The problem I have is I don't want to read between the lines of what he's saying and sift through his biases or subjective conclusions 😣

[@5133937]

Did he say that before or after Biden dropped out?

[@andersbjrnsen7203]

You can be pretty middle of the road politically and still see Trump for the charlatan he is.

[@ladama3201]

Yeah he’s a 🤡

[@TheEmoUte]

He regularly points out that Obama and Biden were awful presidents, but since he also recognises that Trump is equally awful he’s too biased for you? You MAGAts really wonder why people feel like you’re in a cult. God forbid someone criticise the god emperor.

[@JunkerOnDrums]

You are forgetting an important thing in relation to Europe's energy needs and its solution: Renewable energy is playing a bigger and bigger role in Europe, and in some countries the electricity production is covered by between 50-80% and still increasing. In other words, if Europe continues that expansion, the need for American oil/gas will become less and less.

[@colinnickerson8870]

This is correct. And as Trump is an extremely unreliable person, why would any country willingly enter into long term supply contracts/infrastructure to further enable is own personal agenda? Canada and Mexico (just) signed an update to NAFTA that Trump already appears to want to repudiate. Europe can't and won't seriously entertain wholesale changes to their individual energy policies in order to pacify Trump. It just can't happen.

[@gregdudycz5602]

Like windmills? Lol

[@JunkerOnDrums]

@@gregdudycz5602 You don't know what your talking about. Renewable energy covers 80% of energy where I live in Europe - so screw off your ridiculous ignorant nonsense!

[@PaVVroo]

How on earth can he talk about demographic bomb in Europe and then mention Thailand as an alternative which has lower feritility rates than UK, France and Germany??

[@strategicviewpoint6672]

Or South Korea.....

[@IndigoEagle78]

Thailands average age is lower so although the bomb might be bigger, it’s going to be delayed for longer

[@camerbot]

thais havent aged yet you can suck them dry for a couple of decades for now unlike euros who have aged into death at this point

[@TomTomicMic]

​@@strategicviewpoint6672 .....or Japan and actually anybody in South East Asia, ask Gemini!?!

[@zacksampson6189]

Literally every nation but india and african country have shit birth rates.

[@kameokameo7125]

I suppose this video was recorded before Trump told us his plans for Panama and Greenland...

[@DrinkyMcBeer]

The release date of the video is in the upper left corner

[@brokenaura23]

Date stamp clear as day. ffs

[@dcc70]

How do you like the conversation now, Peter? Still applauding?

[@jimluebke3869]

Not to mention before Trudeau resigned in energy-rich Canada.

[@toxic-o1u]

Not to forget the 3 day military special operation to bring Canada back to the Reich.

[@Someone-tn8ur]

Zeihan keeps saying that globalization is ending but international trade keeps going up. 25 trillion dollars worth in 2022 and still going up. Does Zeihan have a firm, concrete objectie definition for measuring the supposed end of globalization?

[@julilab]

good question!

[@bert5376]

Is from inflation?

[@georgepappas8535]

Why let numbers get in the way of a good story! Walk fast in an exotic location speak breathlessly into the camera phone makes for a great story!

[@brandon_youtube]

I think the term is correct as in the old view of globalisation is ending. And replaced with trading blocks with different mix of production and protectionism. It may also allude to the dollar system which is going through a change as we know it. But this all means growing trade regardless of the configuration

[@gaywizard2000]

Right. I'm confused about where he's coming from.

[@albawehunt]

[@Jessica-1v]

I’m feeling truly inspired. Can you provide additional insights about the bi-weekly subject you mentioned?

[@albawehunt]

I raised 184k and Anna Kathleen Sanford is to be thanked. I got my self my dream car just last weekend, My journey with her started after my best friend came back from New York and saw me suffering in dept then told me about her and how to change my life through her. Anna K. Sanford is the kind of person one needs in his or her life! I got a home, a good wife, and a beautiful daughter. Note!:: this is not a promotion but me trying to make a point that no matter what happens, always have faith and keep living!!!!

[@JimJeffries54]

Whoa 😲 I know her too! Miss Anna Kathleen Sanford is an incredible person who has brought immense inspiration and positivity into my life.

[@JimJeffries54]

I meagerly kicked off with $2k, and the results have been Jaw-dropping TBH!!!

[@buckmillerschuerer]

[@TheBKnight3]

I for one, cannot wait to hear Peter's comments for Trump's comments on the 7th

[@yetzt]

You'll have fun on the 14th then.

[@markdowse3572]

It is already 9 January 2025.

[@wayfa13]

@@markdowse3572 us filthy casuals that aren't supporting him via Patreon get them updates here on YT a week later

[@dcc70]

You don't have to wait if you join his patreon

[@Cessayr]

I am not a zeihan hater but in my opinion the delay puts things into perspective, with many things often shifting around a bit in the week that we are waiting here compared to his statements

[@rici_22]

Bay of Islands! You walked right past my house (and didn’t even drop in for cuppa 🤨)

[@JohnBjerregaard]

whats wrong with with shipping , says that your prediction of global shipping is going to collapse whatever the trigger is premature. I would love to hear your response to his reaction video

[@donkeysaurusrex7881]

Don’t hold your breath

[@KRAMITDFROG]

If that happens, give it a week. I found that particular episode kind of odd myself. I'm glad someone who actually knows what he's talking about on the subject said something.

[@kevak1236]

Regarding energy usage, you forgot to mention Europeans, in general, don't drive monstrous trucks doing 14 mpg and typically, do not need (or have) air conditioning running 24/7 in homes.

[@TheNemesis442]

if i want to run my air conditioning all day, then dammit i'm going to do it.

[@propermodulation948]

The retail cost of electricity in many EU member countries can be two to three times the cost of electricity in the US. The vast majority of the difference caused by high taxes, strict renewable energy mandates and regulatory policies.

[@malcolmwolfgram7414]

But they need to heat their homes!

[@matthiasniklaus392]

This is true and add to that the use of renewables which in -Europe provides big chunks of its energy supply. Also Norway has huge oil and gas reserves still available, so no big need for US supply in the long run. Right now, maybe yes, because of the sudden stop of Russian supply,, but things are changing quickly.

[@timothytibbits7942]

Peter says Trumps picks are incompetent while Peter is mainly prognosticator and I have yet to see any of his predictions come true. Maybe he should check his own performance.

[@danroberts8141]

Remember this is the guy that said no way Trump would win the election. He has a credibility problem.

[@anthonyml7]

Facts, which is at this point is all I want him to give in his vids

[@5133937]

Did he say that before or after Biden dropped out?

[@NightmareForge]

@@5133937 Before, and it was never an absolute sort of statement like the guy above is saying. And even then, that's kinda dumb. People get an election wrong all the time and he's primarily geopolitics to which he had been singing China's issues for 20 years which are starting to show true and he was singing the invasion of Ukraine by Russia well before the crimean annexation but people fixate on one thing cause it fits their politics.

[@jonnyd9351]

He doubled down after Biden stepped down (which he also said wouldn't happen) and said Kamala would win.

[@thebestoffools]

@@jonnyd9351 She did win. The election was rigged. Don't you know that?

[@davocc2405]

Given that he clearly never expected to win in 2016 and was subsequently a deer in the headlights - I think he hadn't had any time whatsoever to consider appointments and postings especially as he had no hands-on experience in that area and they say Washington is wildly different to New York in terms of how you assess someone coming to be your friend all of a sudden. This time around I'd envisage he's quite a bit differently prepared and that they will hit the ground running with actual plans and agendas completely unlike the first term; there will a LOT of shock and upheaval from that, I actually think you might see immense civil service strikes and industrial action in the first instance. How that's going to end up going - it's REALLY hard to say. You're witnessing the end of the former Establishment Epoch so all the rhetoric, allegiance statements, alignment displays and belief compliance will suddenly not only be completely worthless but could actually be a giant negative for anyone continuing with it; when fashion politics is the order of the day then one has to be ready for the fashion to change awfully quickly and overnight lets they be swept away by it. Trump is the tip of the spear of the new epoch but whether he's also the cornerstone it's hard to say - I'd wager he may not be longer term, who that will be is REALLY hard to say. We just need you lot to sort that out chop chop because we over in the UK are going to be copying your homework rather furiously as we have absolutely ZERO direction whatsoever here.

[@jlvandat69]

Interesting thoughts from across the pond. I hope Trump doesn't threaten a UK invasion....I really like the Brits. But seriously, you are right, very difficult to say how this Trump v2.0 will pan out....my guess? In a word, "short-lived"....he's in mental decline, accelerated by the emboldenment of re-election. His delusions are expanding into, e.g., global conquests. Watch him closely.....if the shrinks are right, his rhetoric will become increasingly unhinged, probably culminating in a serious event requiring hospitalization or possibly institutionalization....that's how these mental issues tend to progress when not treated (and his medication is clearly not working).

[@virtualobject]

Really useful and well presented argument, and equally thought-provoking as Peter's Video. Would not be surprised if Trump succeeds in decimating the talent in the system that is actually running the country in his vain attempt to shake things up and make his Big impact. It then remains to be seen if what's left of the administration can deliver on realistic objectives, never mind proposed outlandish fantasy policy used to attract his voter demographic. Regards UK, It's become a Tribal society, I'm past caring and trying to get out.

[@jlvandat69]

@davocc2405 The crucial factor with Trump that most overlook is his deteriorating mental state. From a shrinks perspective, the prognosis is not good. He is exhibiting increasingly delusional behavior, e.g., the takeover of foreign countries, the house pets episode, etc. Left untreated, his condition only worsens, as we have observed.

[@jlvandat69]

@davocc2405 It's the declining mental health that will likely derail the Trump train. He forgets that he cannot say whatever pops into his head now that he's headed back to the WH.

[@crosslink1493]

Considering Trump 45 fired Rex Tillerson (Sec of State) and Jeff Session (Attorney General) for giving him solid advice and telling him 'no' when he needed to hear it, then looking at Trump 47 appointments like RFK Jr and Tulsi Gabbard, I'm not so sure Trump will 'hit the ground running.'

[@sulaak]

Zeihan confidence in talking without substance is brilliant.

[@paulnam6524]

Europe chose to "run out of energy", they have plenty of energy available but choose not to use it.

[@juanfelipemejia6535]

Germany is slowly realising this... so funny that the goal of going all-electric (automotive industry) will be delayed because of their own decisions

[@Ericwvb2]

@@juanfelipemejia6535Germany sure is! 62.7% of the German electricity in 2024 was generated by renewables. Expect that to climb to 80% in the next 5 years. 100% is not too far in the distance.

[@juanfelipemejia6535]

@@Ericwvb2 Plan is to fully transition by 2045, but they have some major challenges to make that happen infrastructure-wise (grid modernization and storage). I still believe there could be some room for failure

[@springle91]

You talk about ‘the Europeans’ and ‘baggage’ as if the United States language, democracy, socioeconomics, culture, genetics… isn’t just a few generations removed from European colonialism? 😂😂

[@velocityautomotiveperforma7586]

Okay, the US doesn’t have all the energy resources for all those possibilities, but the US and Canada probably do. Rather than picking a fight with best friends and neighbours we should be working together so that collectively we don’t have to pick, and our sphere of influence together grows larger.

[@Tom-oz7iy]

With the pull back in globalization, wars will follow so it is best to partner up with those that think like you.

[@jamestidd5119]

How can i believe anything you say after your election calls

[@jasoncraig3167]

Easy! Peter is blinded by his dislike/hatred of Trump. We all have blind spots, the smart man doesn't live in a cynical or pollyanna world but has progressed to one where people aren't perfect and yet we grind on.

[@brandon_youtube]

The funny thing about his election call was his video about how it is impossible to reach the different factions of the republican party to win. And that the dems had it all sown up. Well all those deep insider insights proved to be worthless when looking at the results of the elec college and pop vote. I didn't do any research beyond a sense the dems were trying to cloud people with vibes. I wonder if that trump cannot win video is still up or deleted lol 😆

[@liberman7667]

Peter's biggest problems are ego, arrogance, and hubris. He's wrong about a lot of things because he insists on offering commentary about issues that are outside of his areas of competence. The problem is he sounds so convincing even when he wrong that people believe him.

[@leftfield123]

For the same reason you're still watching him!

[@Phanyxx]

Re: Germany industrial collapse. Do we really think that they're just going to throw up their hands and say "oh well. Time to close everything down now"? No, they're going to crank up immigration and/or lean heavily into automation to make up the shortfall. Yes, in isolation, Vietnam has a lot of tailwinds and would make sense to build deeper ties with, but that's also right on China's doorstep.

[@julilab]

We here in Germany have a very good education system (regardless of what right wingers say), are well organized, have a good infrastructure and are located in the center of Europe. Nevertheless, we will believe the doomsayers of the internet!!! The last German will turn off the light on 31.12.25. Germany will once again become a forest through which wild boars crawl and wolves howl at the moon. End of story ;))

[@nkamensky]

Germany litterally just threw up their hands when their immigration plan failed spectacularly. When their energy plan failed spectacularly. They can't solve problem, it's a failed state.

[@LeifurThor-qu2bz]

My concern with Peter is all his data. He’s out hiking and traveling, which is wonderful, but his entire intelligence is based on up-to-date data, the world’s data on resources. One day I realized this just doesn’t compute, so he’s either working off old data, or he’s making it up. Not gonna lie I do like to listen to him though. I just wish I could sound that confident.

[@attilaann9421]

Me too, LeifurThor. Zeihan does have a lot of facts at his command. And he can fling those facts at you in a rapid paced articulate way.

[@albertzeller1498]

Thank you for providing me with another day filled with existential anxiety. Greetings from Germany.

[@ben-n4u5f]

I am also in Germany and believe that Germany and Europe have amazing human and financial resources but are being hamstrung by unnecessary regulations and the cost of energy. If those, and other issues, can be sorted then growth can be unleashed.

[@brianpickrell2477]

Existential anxiety is like mother's milk for people from Central Europe.

[@RussCrush]

@@ben-n4u5f This new President is looking to free you from all that. First, by example in the US. Then, by negotiation. And if necessary, by ridicule of those that did this to you in the first place.

[@Cream-i5u]

@@ben-n4u5fi think it has to get worse before it can get better.

[@Sonnell]

@@RussCrush lol I guess you have no memory of the past, or just hearing what they want to hear, but you do not see what is reality. He will do sh*t.

[@jameskilcrease6337]

Totally disagree with your thoughts. Need someone that understands economics. Not lifelong politicians. The U.S. used tariffs, not taxes in the mid late 1800’s to support a much smaller government and minimal people on the hand out. Regarding oil, a majority of oil produced in the U.S. is light. Many refineries cannot use light oil by itself to produce necessary products. This is why the U.S. is importing heavier oil.

[@thatguythere98]

Hey buddy we don’t live in the mid 1800s, it’s been 2 centuries since then and the world is completely different.

[@TJ000]

How does the newly expanding 'Dead Cow' gas fields of Argentina fit into any calculations for Europe in the future? Or for Asia, in any other case?

[@JuanCastro-fr3bu]

HATE mail?? Thank you for your service! Keep going.

[@ZinnyZebra-zx2nq]

Used to appreciate his insights, but now I think he needs to take a hike.

[@anthonyml7]

🤣🤣🤣

[@leftfield123]

That's what he's doing while you still watch him.

[@ce4062]

There's not only a cultural connection! All the artifacts and architecture of centuries and even millennia sits there and is to a degree being kept alive.

[@ce4062]

And why not just help securing Europe sourcing from other places? It's not intended to happen? "Buy from us or you might die - but we can't provide enough anyhow!" Or what?

[@uripre]

Totally neutral analysis without any political bias. Totally.

[@roarkdoubt1365]

TDS

[@Rogov8]

Politics is literally in the name - Geopolitics.

[@uripre]

@@Rogov8 Yes, but it isn’t Biasedgeopolitics

[@Rogov8]

@@uripre Agreed. Framing Obama as being anywhere near the same level of incompetence as Trump is a bit embarrassing. Guess he has an axe to grind there.

[@emceeboogieboots1608]

Yes. It seems he has similar disdain for the 2 previous presidents. Not so much Biden, but I guess he achieved more than Obama had.

[@Reviews4fun1]

Peter’s wrong predictions again. Who actually pays this man to spitball bad information repeatedly?

[@LaKris1952]

Hi and Happy New Year! I wonder: Have you migrated to New Zealand? ;)

[@wuffy68]

In the Wolff / Epstein interview ... Wolff asks ~["so for Trump, action and reaction have no correlation"] ... Epstein didn't disagree, however he did say (about Trump's literacy)... "he *can't* read a balance sheet ... which is funny").

[@danno1800]

BRILLIANT! Thank you - much appreciated…

[@NorthernWhiskyJack]

Starting a conversation that ends the moment he leaves the room? I agree with you that nothing will be achieved except to further alienate past allies. This is a train-wreck happening before our eyes.

[@renaissance17]

as opposed to the last decade of train wrecks?

[@ChrisWatson762]

The conversation the public sees, absolutely. This is a guy who wrote a book called 'The Art of The Deal' and has been across the table from mobsters and unions his entire adult life.

[@SuperWabo]

Given recent events it appears that the US is not just looking in the right direction - decisions has already been made. It seems the option to "play" with the less profitable Europe is off the table. I find it hard to draw any other conclusion from Trumps threats (including invasion in one case). This is the direction and leadership the Americans has voted for. We respect that. We will miss you. Good luck in Asia.

[@papasmurf9146]

I remember Obama talking about changing the pivot away from Europe and towards Asia. Following Zeihan on demographics, it doesn't seem like Europe is going to be recognizable as Europe in the not to distant future.

[@Low_commotion]

I don't think Europe has completely been written off, otherwise Musk wouldn't be wasting the effort with AfD & Meloni. I think they are looking to see what direction the winds blow in Europe and will either go half/half with a more militarist Europe lead by the likes of Poland or all-in on East & Southeast Asia along with Australia if the European establishment parties prevail Note that that's just my read and doesn't reflect my personal politics

[@mrsphillips]

He certainly knows how to alienate people, more like a dictator than a true leader.

[@anthonyml7]

@@papasmurf9146 True their piss poor immigration policies are leaning that way. But I do see some red waves that might coming to them. Especially in France, and UK.

[@papasmurf9146]

@@mrsphillips which "he" are you referring to? Peter? Obama? Musk?

[@madmanthepope6448]

For defending asia against china's expansion into Taiwan and bullying of the Philippines, how do we expect to keep that promise whenever Taiwan is so far away and all of our energy is focused twords Europe, the asian diaspora is a very high security intrest, japan said they'd take lead and was laughed out the door I think wrongly so peehaps korea should take the mantel however it now seeems we have political turmoil even in korea,to tackle this isse id perpose. #1 Forming an asian alliance or coalition, the leading parties would be japan and korea to keep each other in check. #2 Re write Japan's constitution, enabling them to aid in support of a defensive war, and come to support neighboring asian nations that get attacked that may adversely affect Japan's national security. #3 isreal over throws Iran and supplies asian nations with oil/ energy.#4 Our European allies and india will help isreal and be the bulwark to the Middle East and Russian aggression. #5 india and veitnam,Thailand india will be built up and will become a part of the new Industrial base in exchange. They will aid in the Middle East bulwark. #6 Poland will teach Europe how to handle immigration.

[@NClark1]

Please keep giving us an analysis of Trump administration policy on world economies.

[@asterixky]

I can't wait to see buyer's remorse comes mid term.

[@Mr12barbluz]

Never Trumpers don't have remorse thus the term NEVER.

[@matthiasniklaus392]

I like the great capability of Peter Zeihan for resuming complex issues easily and understandably. I agree that Europe has problems and above all Germany, but I would not agree on the dire outlook for Germany specifically. Germany has an excellent cultural, educational and industrial background which will be challenged but is certainly capable of reinventing themselves. Contrary to Peter I see much more critically -Fance, deeply in debt, highly state controlled and in general a society that seems to be in eternal love with living off the state,

[@gav240z]

Zeihan was adamant that Trump wouldn't get re-elected. So take this with a grain of salt. haha.

[@ostevoostevo1592]

Take everything Peter says with more than just a grain...

[@depot-lb8hl]

There's so much attention going into Trump's cabinet picks and it's great. When has anyone in government ever been extremely competent? Maybe P.Z. can have a go sometime soon.

[@crozetisles8315]

Well, its not like Trump was a good candidate or anything. It just happens that the Democrats are super incompetent at winning elections.

[@YouKnowTheyExist]

Most liberals were celebrating that the public was largely in support of Biden and Trump had no chance. haha what? The path of true thinking is not as quick as the Big Bang. You take a week or so to ruminate on your expressed ideas AND largely secret motivational emotions. Fear is important in its own right. Time is very essential to the process. Total respect for Zeihan, even if he flips 360 degrees each week. We are not dead soul machines locked into arrogance over our personal imminent domain by DNA perfection.

[@jeanlamb5026]

He didn't know Elon would count the votes in the swing states.

[@ShubalooMugaloo]

Why do we still need a "foot" in the middle east if we mostly energy independent?

[@aaronandfelicia]

We don’t have the refineries for the oil we produce which is why we need to export. It’s not financially feasible for us to retrofit our current refineries which are designed for low quality oil.

[@joe18750]

Influence/hegemony. Military and economic policy. Alliances. You're either in the game and dealt a hand or a nonparticipating by-stander.

[@robbycook4298]

@@aaronandfeliciaWe do have that, we have the most in the world for high end (www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-and-petroleum-products/refining-crude-oil-refinery-rankings.php)….we do it to give energy to Europe and various other places that are our Allies and they allow us to have military bases and control global trade.

[@chrishenry5945]

@@aaronandfeliciafinancially it could be done the problem is the climate cult and the politicians using “climate change” to control the masses.

[@Hawtload]

israel

[@davidparnell1893]

Comrade Trumpkin the Pumpkin..."...if I only had a brain." (The Wizard of Oz)

[@itsmatt2105]

Peter, as per usual, saying what will happen in 10 years based on the current events not changing between now and 10 years from now.

[@adamjosey1543]

1. Trump admits they he selected bad people the first time and says he's learned from that mistake. 2. He want to extract more energy, therefore will have more to sell, and needs buyers.

[@mrdisco99]

Apparently he's learned to keep doing it.

[@familyguygaming_]

Have you seen his cabinet? It’s all culture warrior yesmen with no relation to the field that they’ve been chosen for. Nothing of consequence will be done this administration

[@jerrykunz9538]

This guy needs to go on a roadshow with Neil Degrasse Tyson. They deserve each other!

[@JaffMem]

Peter has OUTSTANDING commentary on nearly everything EXCEPT anything related to Trump. He just can't get past his Trump hate. And he's said Bitcoin would be going to zero for a few years now.....

[@anthonyml7]

I would say U.S. politics as a whole

[@liberman7667]

We are also still waiting on the imminent collapse of China he has been predicting for the past couple decades.

[@debeholland]

I think Zeihan does not understand Trump.

[@yedidyah-jedshlomoh1533]

He is left, but he makes me think so I will keep listening to him.

[@dljr60]

well said

[@jeanlamb5026]

Who the hell does? I mean, you have to really love Putin to love Trump.

[@yedidyah-jedshlomoh1533]

@@jeanlamb5026 King MAGA TRUMP is back! The keeper of the light! All hail TRUMP! All hail TRUMP! Oh TRUMP, can you see, by the dawn's early light...

[@jeanlamb5026]

@@yedidyah-jedshlomoh1533 I'm sure you'll be happy when all the poor, the disabled and the elderly lose their health care so Republican donors can get huge tax cuts. Oh, and don't forget prices going up from tariffs and the stock market crashing. Then again, Russia approves all that anyway.

[@dansjolseth3454]

I enjoy listening to Peter's alternative views. Whether I agree or disagree with him, it does help me consider alternative perspectives. Over my 80 years on this earth I have been forced to reconsider views that I had held with an iron fist.

[@BreakerOneNine]

What have you changed your mind on?

[@oldcynic6964]

He makes a lot of sense round the 4:00 minute plus part. He doesn't seem to like Mr Trump however, and that seems to cloud his judgement.

[@bagster8660]

As a defacto Kiwi, what do you think of the state of the NZ economy right now and future prospects?

[@Dalwhinnie15]

If us Canadians get our shit together and elect a more energy-friendly government, might we help offset some of the demand? Trudeau's own-goal was to turn away both the Germans and the Japanese from our LNG exports.

[@theredscourge]

We'd have to ban fatherless single women from voting to have the possibility of getting our shit together politically.

[@Dalwhinnie15]

@theredscourge The electorate is a big part of the problem, certainly. Unfortunately, it includes members of my extended family.

[@theredscourge]

@@Dalwhinnie15 The irony of creating a prosperous society with a social safety net is that it makes it easy for the idiots to prosper too. I think the biggest mistake the US made was incentivizing welfare queens to have a kid every 18 years in order to stay on welfare. What would be better is an option like "we will give you welfare for life if you agree to get your tubes tied".

[@ryans4815]

I keep forgetting these are a week late

[@XquizitRush]

Which is interesting to watch. It becomes apparent that Peter's initial appraisals are off the mark and his bias is coloring his perceptions. I think Peter made a mistake in delaying his video releases as it shows Peters incompetence in understanding the true nature of events, mostly because of his political bias.

[@anthonyml7]

@@XquizitRush You hit the nail on the head

[@Dashriprock4]

Is it possible for us to divert supply to Europe and then use our leverage to have another producer divert supply to our Asian allies?

[@Potentrol]

I sense a form of derangement syndrome

[@sb5580]

Peter has a strong framework for how the world has worked until now. The more you know the more you know that Trump is just randomly grasping for gratification and power. Anyone who knows a narcissist knows there is no chance for a good outcome with a malignant narcissist. Call it TDS, that stands for T is a dump Shift.

[@TL-qr3ii]

MAGA being blind sheep to Trump's bad policies, corruption, and bad outcomes is the delusional problem.

[@leftfield123]

does that mean you'll stop watching, and commenting?

[@espn2829a]

Nope, these MAGA morons will keep on watching and commenting. They are a bunch of sore winners and most are usually very dumb.

[@jeffreyrogers5689]

Political bias is astounding.

[@anthonyml7]

It compromises his predictions unfortunately

[@ColleenC-n5v]

Thank you for sharing. You are amazing…. I will need to listen to this again to better grasp the alliances you recommend we foster….so much to consider here. Wow…..

[@CHRISDABAHIA]

“Functional incompetents” 🙄

[@patrickm6012]

That’s what you get when you hire “yes” people and sycophants.

[@brasidas2011]

Translation: Not with the "agenda" and not "credentialed".

[@3vil3lvis]

Nah Peter is just projecting the status of the Biden administration on to Trump. Potato 🥔 Biden is Functionally incompetent and everyone saw it in his debate.

[@svnhospitalet7885]

If trump starts a boycott of Denmark, we will block the flow of wegovy. Just think about that. Do you want all your celebrities to get fat?

[@rudysmith1552]

I haven’t watched a movie in five years in theaters I only listen to Indie artist. And I’m sure they can get knock off in Indian factories or Mexican factories. lol

[@afgvGb4Th5180]

Ozempic is made in Denmark, maga cant live without it

[@nazcamain]

Ok now I'm sold!

[@rudysmith1552]

@afgvGb4Th5180 Incontinent rich, mostly left-wing middle-aged women are the only ones using it. That and gear heads. Do you really think the predominantly American blue collar working-class that voted for Trump cares. Geriatric men over the age of engaging in the dating market and blue-collar workers that will mostly be single permanently will not care that they can’t get weight loss drugs they don’t have insurance for.

[@thomasidzikowski1520]

Lovely! Examining these connections is such a great exercise in deep thinking. Is there a Langland's correspondence in here somewhere? That would be a fantastic follow-up video.

[@britcom1]

What was that one law of consequence that was passed under Obama?

[@allenl9214]

He surely got beef with Obama to compare him to Trump.. I think Obama didn't give him a job during his administration 😂

[@britcom1]

@@allenl9214 I think it is true that when one strips away all of the corporate leftist media hype surrounding Obama and all of the ghost written books and articles attributed to him, it becomes clear that he was a functional incompetent.

[@theredscourge]

Obamacare

[@EvieBeanVideo]

I dont think his cabinet matters with musk in the mix. I think you may be underestimating things tbh.

[@wocookie2277]

Doesn’t seem wise to screw with the Canadian relationship if you plan on using more oil having 60% of your oil consumption coming from there?

[@NicoleAllen-d5s]

I'm favoured financially with Bitcoin ETFs approval, Thank you buddy.$28,600 weekly profit regardless of how bad it gets on the economy.

[@Bridget1-k7s]

Same here., I strongly agree that the Bitcoin ETFs approval will be greatly life opportunity for us, with my current portfolio of $102,500 from my investments with my personal financial advisor Steve Miley I totally agree with you😊

[@EdwardCoblah]

YES!!! That's exactly his name (Steve Miley) so many people have recommended highly about him and am just starting with him from Brisbane Australia...🇦🇺

[@GoodNess_te02yem]

He's my family's personal Broker and also a personal Broker to many family's in the United states, he is licensed and a FINRA AGENT in the United States.

[@Theodore-h1z]

The very first time we tried, we invested $1000 and after a week, we received 4500. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills.

[@SusanSummers-i1w]

Steve Miley has really set the standard for others to follow, we love him in Canada🇨🇦as he has been really helpful and changed lots of life's

[@freydeyric]

He`s got one thing right... Trump surounded himself with incompetents....

[@mark-o-man6603]

There's enough incompetence between his pair of ears.

[@ChrisWatson762]

Innocent babes in strange places surrounded by Bad Actors. That was pretty much #45.

[@michellegutierrez2119]

Thank you 😊 keep up the great work of reporting this news to the public for all the people involved in the matter who need help with the matter to get the best results for the nation today as we all need to be able to do our part to ensure our nation stays strong 💪🏻.😊

[@MyUsernameIsAlsoBort]

Peter calling Trump’s staffing picks “functionally incompetent” really shows how much salt you should take his opinions on everything 😂

[@Livin-In-a-Box]

Hegseth was a pretty strange pick. I am just extremely glad Robert Lighthizer is back, since he *is* competent _and_ experienced.

[@WillMoon]

Uh huh. Yeah. Germany has demographic problems but SK and Japan don’t?

[@mark-o-man6603]

Mr. Zeihan somehow believes that the average white US American woman has significantly more children thant the average European woman, which I highly doubt. Let's see how US demographics look like when Trump deports 15m illegal migrants, which he won't

[@burgitech8643]

Oil and gas is a world market. The Europeans can buy from Middle East, Latin America or whereever. If the US delivers to Europe, the Saudis will sell less and give it to Japan - its just re-routing. Europe is still much more industrialised than the US actually - that explains why they have a positive trade balance despite having no natural resources. They are only less wasteful with energy, since they have to buy it (and they somehow try to save the planet although its useless since the others are consuming more at the same time). For example the average Russian uses 2,5 time more energy than the average German - because the Germans sit it cold houses in the winter and use 1 liter hot water per shower trying to save energy and the Russians regulate the hot temperature in their houses by opening the windows and use 100 liter hot water.

[@wozm9924]

" ....pack his cabinet with functional incompetence" Really ? Tulsi Gabbard, Robert F. Kennedy, Elon Musk, JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Kristi Noem, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tom Homan and the list goes on. You actually believe these people incompetent ? Petey Petey, whats going on with you mate? I would think that most people might describe these individuals as highly competent, high achievers. Makes me question your judgement.

[@geoplaten337]

Petey also called Chrystia Freeland the smartest woman in Canada the other day. He is so infected with TDS that it’s affecting his judgments. It’s sad.

[@thecyberseer]

Zeihan is always wrong on Trump

[@cycle4lifeac]

If Trumps cabinet is being packed with functional incompetence, how the hell do you describe the last four years??

[@calvingrondahl1011]

Good to see NZ again in your background… Thankyou Peter and your teammates.

[@briansnoddy9675]

I have been a long time viewer of your videos, and have enjoyed them immensely. Sadly after this video I won't be watching anymore.

[@billwonders1603]

Me too.

[@TampaDave]

We will try real hard not to miss you guys. Byeeeee

[@puppylove4506]

For a guy who has TDS you have been wrong a lot. Hate leads to many of your mistakes.

[@mookie861]

Nice to see you back Pete! You had a touch of TDS for a few there… i understand things were crazy for everybody! But sincerely happy to see you back with the unbiased analysis again 🫡

[@TheBryceWade]

'Functionally not competent' as the current admin ripped open the border and broke the economy 🤦‍♂️

[@Unknown-r2p2o]

Economy was broken under trump as well. The people who care more about getting votes for trump and his maga tards will be in cabinet nothing but corporate greedy conspiracy freaks trump handling of Covid sucked

[@anthonyml7]

Yeah it's funny how he doesn't mention the pit falls of immigration, especially illegal immigration here or else where like in the UK

[@ehlava7331]

"he's packing his cabinet with those outside the military/pharma industrial complex" there, i fixed it

[@EveryoneIsAmelak]

😂😂😂no you didnt. They’re mostly neocons with the exception of Tulsi. And even she can be swayed.

[@ehlava7331]

@@EveryoneIsAmelak yeah, that is a legit possibility. we will see, but from peters perspective, he know who pays his bills and who doesnt.

[@keninchicago]

Thanks for the insights.

[@ethansommer2882]

His cabinet is packed with people who proved to be very successful in the private sector. Unlike academics and career bureacrats, or professors who have produced absolutely nothing on this planet.

[@ianmuir6847]

😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@joela.4058]

Who? Tillerson HATED Trump, called him a moron on several occasions. You guys are truly the ones with TDS, nothing will ever make you wake up to the fact Trumps a complete fraud

[@joela.4058]

Oh you mean his current cabinet of Fox news anchors and people who have done favors for him. Who else is very succesful in the private industry? Vivek and musk arent even in his cabinet. They would have to divest, which they wont.

[@anthonyml7]

Bingo

[@mrdisco99]

I guess "very successful in the private sector" means a professional politician who cozied up to a Syrian dictator and a talking head on TV with no actual policy experience.

[@goliver3846]

I liked Peter, but started to notice his rather arrogant condescension towards Trump when he discussed his picks a few weeks ago. The look on his face on this thumbnail pretty well says it all. I don't mind someone with his apparent skill sets having opinions, indeed that's his job, but I have not noticed the same attention applied to Biden's quite hapless appointees or his desire to start WW3 before Trump (who was elected to withdraw the relentless support of the MIC/Ukraine) is inaugurated. If I was in California or North Carolina, I would be a bit miffed. To be taken seriously as an analyst, surely you need to apply the same logic to all scenarios irrespective of personal political convictions. I accept that I may have missed his analysis of the Biden administration.

[@anthonyml7]

It's an uneven standard I agree

[@liberman7667]

Peter has always been arrogant and condescending about everything. The only prediction he ever got right was Russia invading Ukraine. (But Russia had already invaded Crimea so that wasn't a shock). I used to used to think he was well informed, but over time observed how his greatest skill is simply sounding supremely confident in everything that he says so regular people believe his predictions. His knowledge is a mile wide but only an inch deep on most of the subjects he discusses. His only areas of actual competence are demographics and petroleum. Outside of those areas he should be taken with a grain of salt.

[@johns818]

Pete casually talking to us from paradise dressed like its summer lol.

[@leosmith4287]

Talk about personal bias, preventing someone from seeing a simple sales pitch that could help the country. Jesus read the room.

[@billwonders1603]

Sucks. I didn't know hippie Zeihan was an anti-Trumper. Guess I'm not gonna listen to him anymore, just like I will no longer watch anything involving Mark Cuban..

[@liberman7667]

He's always hated Trump. He also predicted Trump had no chance of getting re-elected.

[@downstateradv]

It's so great to finally hear an impartial and unbiased commenter on Trump's doings. 🤣

[@danfernandes2121]

Hey Peter, common man,.don't alienate your audience by bashing trump as you have done a few times. Then you mention Obama to soften things up? Silly trick. It is the vibe in your voice. Can't hide that.

[@DeepValue47]

TDS on a whole different level. Wow.

[@Puzekat2]

Peter, thanks for confirming that we haven’t had any foreign strategy in over 20 years. I totally agree. South America and Africa should be our trading partners.

[@sledshed3488]

Read his book. Trump always opens with exaggerated statements to start the negotiations so high that his trade partners wind up being happy to pay the "lower" price, which was twice as high as anyone else would have got for us. Negotiations go much faster that way. Unfortunately for the old establishment that feeds zeihan his information, they won't be taking a cut this time. Their time is over.

[@strigoiu13]

it is not his book! this is not how writing books for famous people work :))) they employ a writer and...

[@ChrisWatson762]

We can only hope that Peter realizes he's been used, rode hard, and put up wet.

[@andrew390]

Love the way Peter walks through his line of argument. No-one knows the future but we all learn something when we listen to his explanations. Keep the videos coming Peter!

[@TobyThaler-r6u]

I'd like to hear you discuss the geopolitics of fossil fuels in the context of global warming. And also the longer term picture; what happens when the oil and gas gets lots more expensive as recoverable reserves start declining.

[@attilaann9421]

Isn’t Peter getting long in the tooth for a man bun and grayish scraggy face fur? But on to important policies, point out Biden’s competent cabinet members who ran the country while insisting the president was sharp as a tack and fit as a fiddle.

[@SlugSage]

No, point to Trump's.

[@TampaDave]

Everyone deserves unsolicited, biased style advice. 😼 People who think they have a right to tell other people how to cut their hair make me puke.

[@attilaann9421]

So sorry for your nausea, Tampa Dave. But I recall Zeihan when he charged big bucks for advising people in big global businesses and dressed appropriately for that audience.

[@TampaDave]

@ A And now he should meet your style demands while he is on a hiking trail. Makes some kind of sense to someone, I suppose.

[@attilaann9421]

@ Dave, I started listening Zeihan many years ago when he was paid big bucks to speak to investors. I buy his books and much of what he says is spot on; some isn’t. As an investor, a man bun is just hard to take seriously and he’s been styling that look since he moved out of Austin.

[@whernandezu96ve]

This guy is so swamp and deepstate he is part of the problem

[@ChrisWatson762]

if he wasn't, he'd have to go back to that small Midwestern community he hates so much...