The point about Russia not being able to move swiftly westward is probably true, even though the Ukrainian defenses are collapsing in the east. The omnipresence of drones in warfare nowadays makes rapid mechanized advances like those of WWII almost impossible -- unless there were to be an unexpected generalized country-wide collapse of the Ukrainian military, which seems almost as unlikely as the supposed imminent collapse of Russia. Russia is fighting and gradually winning this war with a relatively small volunteer-based army of perhaps 200,000 troops. If necessary, Russia could mobilize a conscripted army of several million troops and overwhelm Ukrainian defenses, storming Kiev within a year or two, but I think Russia's leadership would do that only as a last resort, given the economic and political costs of such an undertaking. All the Russian leadership wants out of this war is to ensure that Ukraine never again becomes a U.S.-controlled dagger pointed at Moscow. It is not necessary to occupy Kiev to accomplish this goal. I think a growing number of Ukrainians, who are exhausted with so much death and loss for no gain, would be willing to trade the eastern oblasts and the dream of NATO membership for peace at this point if they are ever given the opportunity to vote on it.
@barenekid969521 сағат бұрын
Be surprised IF the Ukrainian Military Doesn't collapse... It IS on the verge ......with a reducing number of Soldiers as ONE of it's serious problems
@stephenvanwoert244711 сағат бұрын
And what of the economic and political costs in the nearly 3 years, not including the casualties, and not even securing the 4 annexed oblasts? Russia does not have the luxury of time to drag this thing out for years. They are advancing at the price of destroying everything to get there: communities, farms, forests. This is "winning"?