Using an Odds-On Favorite to Key Exacta

Navigating an odds-on favorite is tough, but one that can return a good score when looking at exacta wagering.
The True North Stakes at Belmont Park was a good example of how to utilize an odds-on favorite in the exacta. We also talk about how to find these opportunities going forward.
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Spark your thinking about handicapping: • Tweets

[@RyanPip_]

Subscribe & get an eBook to help you handicap more consistently: bettingtheodds.substack.com?r=252dpc

[@warbirdadmiral]

These videos continue to be stellar. I'm curious who you picked in the Belmont--I used some of the techniques from your podcast to arrive at Arcangelo as the value play and made a killing! Thanks so much for sharing your handicapping advice.

[@RyanPip_]

I appreciate that! Happy to see you’ve been able to translate some things from here into your own handicapping. I went with Angel of Empire just on the sole fact that I felt he was still trending upward and would be more forward in the Belmont. Not a whole lot of actual handicapping went into that decision. Lol

[@TheNobleLoyalist]

That was absolutely brilliant, compelling. I have been scouring youtube watching dozens upon dozens of handicapping videos looking for intrinsic handicapping And I have cut short almost all of them because it was either obvious information or Information that I have already long been aware of, but this video here amazing absolutely amazing. I have had to view it more than once and pause a few times since I am not very good with math and fractions I get very dyslexic over it So I have to really Take time to interpret what is being said and shown. it's funny because after watching this video I can't help but to think that in reality sure there are a lot of factors that are important when handicapped and a race but what could be more important if the focus had to be on one way of handicapping then the actual figures from each horse in each race. obviously there are other important factors but I think if ever you were hard pressed to have to handicap with only 1 Factor available you could eliminate all other factors except the one used in this video. you have a new subscriber most definitely. and I'm going to check out your podcast. do you happen to have software that crunches these numbers for you available to the public?

[@RyanPip_]

I appreciate that! Hope you can take something from here and use it in your own handicapping. I don’t personally have my own software but have used some in the past to help. To me, the way things were laid out in this video are the foundation you need. Software isn’t going to factor in how those early horses fade. Understanding running styles and what fractions each horse performs best can be done with the most basic of past performances. Having that mentality going into each race you handicap can help toss horses quickly and sometimes heavily bet horses that are helpless, like in this video. Where I think software helps is when you get into the longer wagers like the pick 4’s, 5’s, or 6’s.

[@TheNobleLoyalist]

@@RyanPip_ Thanks for the reply! I listened to more of your podcast. Loving it!

[@bski824]

Sometimes the all button is your best friend.the great Harvey pack.

[@mauricelaury1911]

I'm glad you made this video and thank you

[@RyanPip_]

Glad you enjoyed it!

[@jimmichalak3376]

ryan: do you have a book that outlines all of your video procedures step by step. really like your videos and podcasts. thanks!

[@RyanPip_]

Appreciate that! I personally don’t have a book, but one that would be best to start with is Modern Pace Handicapping by Tom Brohamer. It is the foundation of everything I do.

[@jimmichalak3376]

Ryan: the most recent podcast Spotify has available is May 15. How do I access your current and latest podcasts? Thanks!

[@RyanPip_]

That is currently the most recent episode. I need to get back to recording 😅 Hope to have something new up next week!

[@AlCaponeMotorhead667]

Was curious as to how you make notations on your digital past performances? I use the draw on the pdf and it looks like a third grader has gotten a hold of my racing form 😂 Any tips? Anyway thank you for all of your content, good stuff 👍

[@RyanPip_]

I just screen recorded my iPad while using an Apple Pencil to mark up. I tried using just the computer before and it wasn’t good 😅

[@kcjones3752]

You are very good I’m impressed.

[@RyanPip_]

Appreciate that KC!

[@colinsheehan4883]

Great video

[@RyanPip_]

Appreciate that my man!

[@petersdad10]

Good work! Where exactly do u get these stats like that?

[@RyanPip_]

The form I am using is Brisnet. You can get them on their website.