Very Bad News for REITs

  Рет қаралды 11,162

Jussi Askola, CFA

Jussi Askola, CFA

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 121
@askjussi
@askjussi 28 күн бұрын
What REITs are you buying for this new environment? Are you changing anything about your approach? Let me know below. Thank you for your support! Your "likes" help me a lot to keep on growing and I appreciate it. Jussi
@williebrown1974
@williebrown1974 27 күн бұрын
If the dividends are safe and rising I like that oppurtunity.
@mateomatt123
@mateomatt123 27 күн бұрын
Great commentary. Thanks! I like AHH and SILA. Both have held up well throughout the general REIT weakness.
@naziminfo
@naziminfo 25 күн бұрын
Amazing videos with lots of information. Thanks you Jussi Askola.
@askjussi
@askjussi 25 күн бұрын
Thank you for your kind comment!
@MartinD9999
@MartinD9999 28 күн бұрын
Buy them when low and invest in things BEFORE people invest in those things. This should be exciting REIT & Dividend investors.
@askjussi
@askjussi 28 күн бұрын
Well said!
@mitchcuttingedgerealestate
@mitchcuttingedgerealestate 27 күн бұрын
CCI, NNN, REXR and ARE sub $102.61 is a bargain... HYL subscriber here too and waiting for a small PAX pullback to acquire more!
@ehaneber
@ehaneber 27 күн бұрын
Great video, thinking that REXR will continue to fall until January 20....so looking to purchase next year if it falls to the mid 30s, targeting a 4.75% dividend.
@ChrisS010
@ChrisS010 3 күн бұрын
There we almost 😅
@Yami_Spirit
@Yami_Spirit 27 күн бұрын
Jussi, I'm interested on your thoughts on OUT, you mentioned them before in your channel but barely since. I've had some good growth with them for over a year now.
@Steve-yd1ze
@Steve-yd1ze 28 күн бұрын
Jussi, what is going on with ARE?
@askjussi
@askjussi 28 күн бұрын
Regular market volatility. No major news.
@timknizek673
@timknizek673 28 күн бұрын
Just allows me more time to accumulate great reits. Our time in the wilderness continues on. REXR, SBAC look like solid buys. Also like ARE despite the RFK effect. Also own VICI, NLCP, AHH, EPR & SILA
@askjussi
@askjussi 28 күн бұрын
Well said. Which one of these is your favorite right now?
@timknizek673
@timknizek673 27 күн бұрын
@@askjussi REXR and ARE look like great 3-5year buy and holds. Both look like falling knives still but once we get some policy clarity on tariffs and health policy both should bottom in early 2025. Looking for ARE to hold its Oct 2023 low around $90. EPR could be a 2025 sleeper, not much policy blow back, lower gas prices and potential tax cut extensions should all be a boon for EPR tenants. Also EPRs div is much higher than bonds, which is a factor currently hurting ARE and REXR I believe.
@mitchrils
@mitchrils 27 күн бұрын
@@timknizek673interesting thoughts 👍
@akarpov949
@akarpov949 27 күн бұрын
Exactly! Contrarian
@DrBrandonSchultz
@DrBrandonSchultz 28 күн бұрын
How does this impact financial REITs like ARR?
@mitchrils
@mitchrils 27 күн бұрын
Just to clarify broadly speaking Jussi would you say net lease REITs are less able to reap the benefits of inflation? ie. NNN, EPR, ADC etc.
@askjussi
@askjussi 27 күн бұрын
Yes they are more exposed to the risk of inflation than other REITs
@jefferysdad1
@jefferysdad1 28 күн бұрын
NLCP is currently my favorite REIT! Very little debt great dividend, more states legalizing Cannabis Do you think the Trump election could help NLCP get on a more desirable exchange?
@Martin1-V8E
@Martin1-V8E 27 күн бұрын
Hello Jussi what do think about CARE PROPERTY INVEST (CPINV)?
@teijovuorenmaa1569
@teijovuorenmaa1569 28 күн бұрын
What you think about bygi? Thank you!
@askjussi
@askjussi 27 күн бұрын
I am a big fan
@mitchcuttingedgerealestate
@mitchcuttingedgerealestate 27 күн бұрын
CCI, NNN, PLD and ARE have been buys for me
@askjussi
@askjussi 27 күн бұрын
I think that there are better options than PLD
@TheLethargicAge
@TheLethargicAge 22 күн бұрын
@@askjussi Like what?
@RubbingPotatoes
@RubbingPotatoes 27 күн бұрын
I thought REITs would be great during high inflation becausee it's real estate. Am i wrong ?
@NelloW100
@NelloW100 27 күн бұрын
Only debt free real assets protect you from Inflation. Or at least Long Term fixed debt. Reits are loaded with debt and often short to medium debt. Less than 10% of all reits meet my criteria for Low risk. Examples: ARE, AVB, PLD, HST, PSA, MAA. I am looking for way less than 10% interest expense/revenue and OCF more than 5x interest expense
@eliboukarim8737
@eliboukarim8737 27 күн бұрын
What about mortgage reits?
@finmathsci3052
@finmathsci3052 27 күн бұрын
I guess BDCs will benefit from inflation in that case. 🤔
@donovandavis5310
@donovandavis5310 27 күн бұрын
Hey 👋🏼 Jus, How do you feel about O rn?🤔
@askjussi
@askjussi 27 күн бұрын
I prefer some other REITs
@Dave-zl2ky
@Dave-zl2ky 28 күн бұрын
EGP? Thanks very much.
@askjussi
@askjussi 27 күн бұрын
I own a position but there are better options right now
@Dave-zl2ky
@Dave-zl2ky 27 күн бұрын
@ thanks
@Ghjgdsfh764
@Ghjgdsfh764 27 күн бұрын
Love the video. A reduction in population isn't considered disinflationary. In macroeconomics it shifts aggregate supply to the left and Long Run Aggregate supply to the left. You have a reduction in one of the factors of production (labor). Secondly, fewer workers especially skilled labor creates scarcity in the labor market bidding up wages. You could have an increase in productivity which is disinflationary. However, Macro 101 aging population, fewer workers is inflationary. More workers/immigration disinflationary.
@flarnnetwork2952
@flarnnetwork2952 27 күн бұрын
Can you talk about the biggest REIT ETF out there with the new policy environment? SCHH
@shannonkohl68
@shannonkohl68 27 күн бұрын
I generally agree with the premise that there are strong deflationary forces in the world today. However, wouldn't these affect REITs also in a detrimental manner? For instance, shouldn't aging population and lack of children mean that Apartment REITs may not be a good bet? I would also suggest that with regard to the growing automation of production via AI and robots that globalization is potentially dead. What would matter the most in production is cheap energy and cheap land to build factories. Not labor costs or the institutional knowledge of how to design things well. (Goodbye Apple, BMW, etc.) Although at least in the near term, institutional knowledge of how to train the AI's that design the products will probably be the winning strategy.
@ibermudezl7836
@ibermudezl7836 28 күн бұрын
It's true, but the diversification of $O in Europe is being quite positive. It's true that it doesn't increase its clients' rents much, but this also provides a certain stability in occupancy. Plus, who knows what Trump or the economy will pull off next month-maybe a juggling act, maybe a magic trick! Waka Wakaaaa! -
@askjussi
@askjussi 28 күн бұрын
Yes I agree. I just think that WPC is more attractive
@LudVojta
@LudVojta 27 күн бұрын
however, I heavily invested in REITS looking forward to the succesful 2025, but know I am little bit dissapointed yet. 😁Lets see.. And also surprised by Clipper Realty, whats going on? Any idea?
@GregKischer
@GregKischer 25 күн бұрын
Jussi, have you considered starting an ETF? Between HYL and HYI, would be nice for little guys! FYI, I'm going to keep posting this until it's addressed hahaha
@davidwysocki1004
@davidwysocki1004 27 күн бұрын
Thanks, Jussi, for an interesting video.
@theodoroseidler7072
@theodoroseidler7072 24 күн бұрын
This is what I discussed with you before: REITs are closely correlated with the 10yr Bond rate. But, in my opinion, it is a generational opportunity to accumulate shares of the best REITs in the market. That is, if you can hold on to stocks over longer than a weekend...
@MrDboydeluxe
@MrDboydeluxe 26 күн бұрын
It got a hell of a lot worse today, I haven't even checked year to date total returns for clunkers VICI, O, WPC amongst others, all I heard January thru July..."wait until rates start going down!!!, reit's will skyrocket!!!" 4 cuts later...2024 is a lost year, no reason to expect in 2025 with two cuts will be any better.
@askjussi
@askjussi 26 күн бұрын
REITs are up 30% since October 2023. 2024 was a good year.
@MrDboydeluxe
@MrDboydeluxe 25 күн бұрын
@askjussi 2024 is a good year?? Give me the YTD returns of VICI, O, WPC... I'll wait...
@askjussi
@askjussi 25 күн бұрын
@@MrDboydeluxe Look at since October 25, 2023
@Steelersfootball45
@Steelersfootball45 24 күн бұрын
They will be fine long term
@TheLethargicAge
@TheLethargicAge 27 күн бұрын
Stick to REITs in sectors that either don’t depend on the consumer or that employ a B2B model.
@mysterio1336
@mysterio1336 22 күн бұрын
like what ?
@TheLethargicAge
@TheLethargicAge 22 күн бұрын
@ Industrial, cell towers, data centers
@CR-lv1fs
@CR-lv1fs 26 күн бұрын
WPC?
@choongching
@choongching 26 күн бұрын
Need your new video to hear your POV regarding the FOMC announcement earlier today. 😢
@askjussi
@askjussi 26 күн бұрын
Update coming at HYL later today
@TheAhmedvienna
@TheAhmedvienna 27 күн бұрын
NNN and ADC.
@askjussi
@askjussi 27 күн бұрын
Which one do you prefer?
@TheAhmedvienna
@TheAhmedvienna 27 күн бұрын
@ I put 50/50. This market is too irrational for me.
@TheAhmedvienna
@TheAhmedvienna 21 күн бұрын
@ I bought some extra adc on the latest dip.
@Eusebio-investimentos
@Eusebio-investimentos 25 күн бұрын
harvest year 😎
@STAR-nw4qv
@STAR-nw4qv 27 күн бұрын
What do you think about entering ARE at current values? Otherwise, I'm already in VICI, O and ADC.
@askjussi
@askjussi 27 күн бұрын
I think that it is one of the best opportunities at these prices
@STAR-nw4qv
@STAR-nw4qv 27 күн бұрын
@@askjussi Thank you .
@martinahager4931
@martinahager4931 27 күн бұрын
In my opinion the EUR interest rates will drop because Germany and France will ne in a recession next year.
@Kibatsume1
@Kibatsume1 27 күн бұрын
Economy wise I think we are doomed no matter who got in office 97% GPD and growing.
@nickbailey9622
@nickbailey9622 19 күн бұрын
So I can buy more cheaper.... oh no...
@John-vf8qe
@John-vf8qe 27 күн бұрын
Reits were such a popular choice because of their consistent income, but with the fed hesitating to cut interest rates and inflation continuing to rise, it's a tough time for a lot of these companies. It’s like a perfect storm for them, and investors are getting skittish. You can see it in how they're selling off
@georgeearling905
@georgeearling905 27 күн бұрын
The problem is that REITs are so sensitive to interest rates. When rates go up, the cost of borrowing increases, which can really hurt their profit margins. A lot of these companies are highly leveraged, so if it becomes more expensive to finance their properties, their bottom line is going to take a hit
@NelleHummell
@NelleHummell 27 күн бұрын
higher rates mean investors might move their money into bonds and other fixed income investments, which are seen as safer when yields are higher
@christopherherbert2407
@christopherherbert2407 27 күн бұрын
That’s true, but I think it’s important to remember that not all REITs are created equal. While companies like Realty Income and Crown Castle might be struggling, there are others like Rexford Industrial that could actually benefit from the current environment. Industrial REITs, in particular, have been doing well because of the boom in e commerce and the need for more warehouses and distribution centers.
@LoydJohnson-kp3jv
@LoydJohnson-kp3jv 27 күн бұрын
Rexford focuses on industrial properties in high demand areas like Southern California, so they’ve got a bit of an edge in this market.
@DianaTownsend-kj5kj
@DianaTownsend-kj5kj 27 күн бұрын
Not all Reits are going to sink. The industrial sector has been one of the few bright spots, especially with the demand for logistics and warehousing. So, while higher interest rates are bad news for a lot of Reits, companies like Rexford have more resilience. They might face some pressure, but their fundamentals are still strong
@MikeUSD1
@MikeUSD1 26 күн бұрын
Mortgage rates dropped allot after Trump was president for 2 years.
@DoseBoi303
@DoseBoi303 27 күн бұрын
VNQ
@askjussi
@askjussi 27 күн бұрын
Why VNQ over individual REITs?
@DoseBoi303
@DoseBoi303 27 күн бұрын
@@askjussi not saying VNQ over individual REITs, just throwing it out there, indexes do pretty well over long periods of time
@Txyleo
@Txyleo 27 күн бұрын
What's up Jussi? Are you tired or went through a flu? I see your eyes are not the same. My best wishes
@taco7043
@taco7043 27 күн бұрын
Ok did not expect the pivot towards tech communism at the end of the video. If we're in tech communism no one is going to care about investing in anything or obsessing over spreadsheets.
@askjussi
@askjussi 27 күн бұрын
I don't get your point here, Can you elaborate
@ZerriJoseph
@ZerriJoseph 27 күн бұрын
Thank you Lord Jesus for the gift of life and blessings to me and my family $14,120.47 weekly profit Our lord Jesus have lifted up my Life!!!🙏❤️❤️
@ghazanferfazli7335
@ghazanferfazli7335 27 күн бұрын
I'm 37 and have been looking for ways to be successful, please how??
@ZerriJoseph
@ZerriJoseph 27 күн бұрын
Sure, the investment-advisor that guides me is..
@ZerriJoseph
@ZerriJoseph 27 күн бұрын
Elizabeth stark
@freddiearthur2151
@freddiearthur2151 27 күн бұрын
Same, I met Elizabeth stark last year for the first time at a conference in Wilshire, after then my Life has changed for good.God bless Elizabeth stark
@laurawilliams713
@laurawilliams713 27 күн бұрын
Her services is the best, I got a brand new Lambo last week and paid off my mortgage loan thanks to her wonderful services!
@henrim9348
@henrim9348 27 күн бұрын
Who cares about REITs? BTC is killing it. How about MSTR?
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