Voepass Flight 2283 Animation Explained by ATR Instructor

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Fly with Magnar

Fly with Magnar

Күн бұрын

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@quazz79
@quazz79 Ай бұрын
As a former ATR72 captain, I've found the preliminary report a very hard read. I have no explanation as to why they continued the flight after the first Airframe de-ice fault. Diverting back to the departure airport was clearly the best course of action (and decision I have had to make numerous times). But to continue the flight and ignore multiple ice detector indications and all the APM warnings with seemingly no corrective action is gross negligence at best and criminal at worst. They had many opportunities to avoid this accident. It is something that should have never occurred.
@NathalieV-c6c
@NathalieV-c6c Ай бұрын
I cannot understand why the pilots would blatantly ignore such warnings when their own lives were at stake. Maybe we should be more careful than to use expressions such as 'gross negligence' and 'criminal' when referring to them. We still don't know why this happened nor do we know what the ambience in the company is.
@isabelamuniz463
@isabelamuniz463 Ай бұрын
@@NathalieV-c6c Yes, indeed, their lives were at stake. I believe they were negligent in this regard, and the pilot did not declare an emergency because, once on the ground, he would have to refrain from flying until an investigation was completed and he was... afraid? I wonder if he understood the gravity of the mistake he was making, if this had not been done before, and if he was overwhelmed with work, since he was not supposed to be flying that day. Many signs were ignored, signs that appeared even before departure.
@Ficon
@Ficon Ай бұрын
My best guess is bad training, normalization of deviance, and get-there-itis. They likely thought they had time as they were expecting ATC descent into destination at any moment.
@user-xu5vl5th9n
@user-xu5vl5th9n Ай бұрын
How many times were they confronted with similar situations previously and how did they react? How many times were they assessed in training for similar situations and how did they react? The problem with abnormal situations is they are abnormal so there may be little practice.
@Ficon
@Ficon Ай бұрын
@@user-xu5vl5th9n Normalization of deviance happens when you get confronted with a situation, do wrong things, and nothing bad happens. Given the local weather, they are likely dealing with icing all the time and have learned to ignore it rather than deal with emergency descents, etc. Proper stall procedures are part of basic flight training and upset training in the simulator. That they did not reflexively do the right things points to deeply flawed airline training and I think the airline needs to be shut down by the regulators until their training has been fully reviewed.
@zigo7
@zigo7 Ай бұрын
Dear Commander Magnar, As a retired airline captain here in Brazil after 38 years of flight, I would like to comment on the ATR accident. Regarding weather conditions, we are currently having a strong influence of "El Niño" that has formed atypical cold fronts in southern Brazil. The Voepass took off and flew inside a cold front that lowered the temperature a lot where it passed. Severe ice conditions advice was issued by meterological bases. Another observation I make is in relation to the captain who was young in age and perhaps in the function. I believe that they did not have specific training in the severe ice conditions, as it is a rare condition to find in Brazil, so we see that they did not take the actions they should or that the check list mandated. Not even the "memory items" were made. Another observation is to ask for a "mayday" or "Pan Pan" notice to the ACC and go down immediately. I believe there was resistance to issuing the emergency notice and having to respond later to your boss the reason. (Yes, there is such a thing here in small companies). Even knowing they had an inoperative defrost item. I reinforce that it is my opinion. I was an instructor and examiner in all planes that I flew and I witnessed this resistance to take certain actions because he thought he would be diminishing himself as a captain, unfortunately. Congratulations on the video and we will wait for the conclusion of CENIPA.
@quackgarage9551
@quackgarage9551 Ай бұрын
Perfeitas observações. Complacência MATA. Tô cagando se a chefia vai ficar bravinha ou achar ruim, eu sou o cara que desliga o motor bom numa pane de bimotor em decolagem pra acabar com a assimetria se necessário, provavelmente o avião não vai ser recuperável, mas pelo menos eu e os passageiros vamos sair vivos.
@gabrielguimaraes1425
@gabrielguimaraes1425 Ай бұрын
Magnar your approach to this topic and the insights you give are absolutely necessary and respectful. As a pilot and a Brazilian I can say that we appreciate your work and you are doing a very important work for the safety of all of us that are flying. Thank you so much
@nakfan
@nakfan Ай бұрын
👍
@NicolaW72
@NicolaW72 Ай бұрын
👍
@rhr-p7w
@rhr-p7w Ай бұрын
This channel is by far the most respectful and technically accurate data source from ATR related topics. All the other channels regarding the Brazilian crash are absolute rubbish.
@marcosboaventura1977
@marcosboaventura1977 Ай бұрын
agreed.
@CanalQuadrodeGiz
@CanalQuadrodeGiz Ай бұрын
can't agree more!
@numismatajaime7974
@numismatajaime7974 Ай бұрын
You are wrong. "Branco Aviação" did a excellent report about the crash.
@oakromulo
@oakromulo Ай бұрын
not all but most indeed!
@geraldo209
@geraldo209 Ай бұрын
The blancolirio channel is a very high level of professionalism as well
@Musikur
@Musikur Ай бұрын
From the first moment of stall until they enter the flat spin is terrifyingly quick. If you ever needed an example as to why you should take early action and not ever let it get to the stall in the first place, this is it.
@EstorilEm
@EstorilEm Ай бұрын
True, but this obviously wasn't a "normal" stall - the aircraft gave a number of warnings before the stall to avoid the situation. In a clean state (at least as far as contamination goes) the ATR stalls like a fairly normal plane from what I've heard. Throw in this many variables and all bets are off. It was definitely terrifying to watch, BUT it's also VERY difficult to get into the situation in the first place. It's almost like they were trying - or just complete ignorance thinking the plane would always save them no matter what they did (or didn't).
@hugorneto
@hugorneto Ай бұрын
From the Degraded Performance warning to the actual stall, 1 minute and 30 seconds have passed and the aircraft lost something like 20 knots in that time. It's so sad to see that, with the information that we have, this was apparently a totally avoidable tragedy.
@NicolaW72
@NicolaW72 Ай бұрын
@@hugorneto Indeed, exactly.
@Izmael1310
@Izmael1310 Ай бұрын
@@hugorneto pilots probably very occupied by this situation (lac of proper training) or they just did not pay attention to the situation unfolding in front of them.
@joaogabrielavanci138
@joaogabrielavanci138 Ай бұрын
A respectfull explanation! Thank you! I’m a private pilot who lives at the city where de flight have departed, Cascavel, Brazil. We here are very sad about this tragic event. God Bless you and always give you safe flights and motivation to continue sharing with us your experience and great technical proficiency.
@nakfan
@nakfan Ай бұрын
👍
@NicolaW72
@NicolaW72 Ай бұрын
👍
@andreasheierre8915
@andreasheierre8915 Ай бұрын
WOW - just WOW! Thank you very much for this exceptionally clear and detailed explanation, Magnar! This is the best aviation-video I have seen for ages! My very best regards! Andreas (Norwegian Air Traffic Controller)
@TraderAmol
@TraderAmol Ай бұрын
can someone tell me what exactly happened?
@jjstevenz
@jjstevenz Ай бұрын
Magnar I can hear the pain in your voice because you know you coulda helped those people live. God bless you my man. I felt it too. Pilots PLEASE listen to what hes saying and learn!
@peterhaluska87
@peterhaluska87 Ай бұрын
These are the best videos by far about this mishap. Full respect to everyone involved, no attention seeking, just the facts explained with true professionalism. Thank you!
@ikefork2606
@ikefork2606 Ай бұрын
Brilliant discussion on stalls, and stall prevention. A master-class level breakdown of this terrible tragedy. You are indeed an expert aviator, educator, and seasoned pilot. Thanks.
@RicardoGonzalez-oy4oj
@RicardoGonzalez-oy4oj Ай бұрын
You are the best!! You are an unbelievable source of knowledge for a father whose boy is going to flight school next year. God bless you!! Keep sharing your unique experiences.
@criminy_
@criminy_ Ай бұрын
Thank you for covering this, Magnar. I'm curious to see the details that will be in the final report, but your analysis of the preliminary report and simulation video gives a lot of insight into this tragic accident. I hope that the aviation community can take the lessons of this accident to heart so that we can avoid these dangerous situations and loss of life in the future.
@fabianoabate
@fabianoabate Ай бұрын
The most clear and concise explanation ever about this sad accident . Thank you!
@eugeniomj
@eugeniomj Ай бұрын
Very professional and respectful in your remarks. Thanks Captain! Greetings from Brazil!
@ajs41
@ajs41 Ай бұрын
I'm visiting this channel after a recommendation from Mentour Pilot.
@jimlthor
@jimlthor Ай бұрын
This dude is great. I don't even know how i found him years ago, and I barely knew what an ATR was, but I'm still here.
@nakfan
@nakfan Ай бұрын
These two videos on the accident are very, very good. So clear and well put together. For the first time I under stood the tragic flat spin. Thank you. BR, Per (Denmark) PS: This type of plane is used on our local routes…
@TeaMohn
@TeaMohn Ай бұрын
This explanation is so masterclass even for anybody who has no flight license. Huge thanks sir 🙇🏻
@donators1
@donators1 Ай бұрын
Certainly the pilots made the mistake by not take actions to avoid the accident! Many lifes were lost! Trainning and Trainning until failure never be an option! Best explanation I have seen from someone expert!
@jorgeiman6678
@jorgeiman6678 Ай бұрын
Dear Magnar : Your videos , specially the ones related to severe icing encounter, are crystal clear. All Turboprop training program - and I mean all, not only commercial - should include videos like yours to create clear conscience of the "famous" situational awareness : 1.- Observation, 2.- Orientation, 3.- Decision, and 4.- Action Thanks !
@LeaoDN
@LeaoDN Ай бұрын
Wow... Great and clear explanation about how the flat spin was kinetically achieved! Impressive. Thanks!
@A2TS-n9l
@A2TS-n9l Ай бұрын
Amazing to see such technical explanation without any kind of speculations. It's a sad reason but thanks for this kind of approach.
@lmb5529bml
@lmb5529bml Ай бұрын
Absolutely amazing and informative video as always Magnar. Cheers!
@FlywithMagnar
@FlywithMagnar Ай бұрын
Thank you! Cheers!
@skinnyTheCat
@skinnyTheCat Ай бұрын
Incredible walkthrough! Your knowledge and methodical teaching skills are as always Top Notch! Thanks Magnar & Fly Safe!
@lubeme1439
@lubeme1439 Ай бұрын
Gracias Senor Magnar. Lupe Bernal. Mexico.
@JavierBrent
@JavierBrent Ай бұрын
Ahi Chihuahua.. !
@baldock320
@baldock320 Ай бұрын
Spectacular analysis
@justicemaake684
@justicemaake684 Ай бұрын
Magnar is one pilot I can listen to anytime regarding ATR plane as he's speaking from experience not from opinion like the rest and he doesn't sensationalize matters for views
@FlyingSurprise
@FlyingSurprise Ай бұрын
This is one of my favorite flight related channel along with Mentour Pilot, Captain Joe and others. Excellent job!
@aileron5655
@aileron5655 Ай бұрын
Hello Magnar, thank you for this great explanation
@beakman1966
@beakman1966 Ай бұрын
For those blaming the pilots, remember that the Preliminary Report shows the "what". The "whys" will be shown in about a year, in the Final Report. Never jump into conclusions.
@marcg1686
@marcg1686 Ай бұрын
Correct, we shouldn't jump to conclusions. And this video doesn't do that. We know with reasonable accuracy what happened. It remains to be determined why it happened. Blame, responsibility and culpability lie close together.
@dougfraser77
@dougfraser77 Ай бұрын
I wonder if this was a case of "normalisation of deviance" by the pilots. Perhaps they had flown close to the edge of the envelope in icing many times, and got away with it. With time that led to complacency, and a blasé attitude to icing. And eventually this caught up with them.
@carlosfernandes8919
@carlosfernandes8919 Ай бұрын
Concordo com Voce, Eu acho que já eram acostumados, e sempre deu certo... Mas , Eu acredito que tenha algum agravante. tipo.... De Repente, uma Das Bolsas que arrebenta o Gelo , pode não ter funcionado... imagina , fazendo Gelo somente em uma das asas, no vooo inteiro... e Eles sem perceber...
@jeffconstantine4341
@jeffconstantine4341 Ай бұрын
Normalization of deviance. 100% on the nose. It’s the only explanation for them not reacting to all the alerts.
@MrCaiobrz
@MrCaiobrz Ай бұрын
I agree, both from complacency and maybe lack of training
@carlosfernandes8919
@carlosfernandes8919 Ай бұрын
@@MrCaiobrz Eram muito treinados, aqui no Brasil o treino é severo...
@deounb
@deounb Ай бұрын
@@carlosfernandes8919 I think it happened due to the culture of tomorrow (manãna) of most of Latin America, that is doing nothing and hope for the best outcome. Complacency
@secondskins-nl
@secondskins-nl Ай бұрын
Really interesting review Magnar. It must be hard for families of all who died to hear this was something that didn't need to happen. I hope it will at least be a nice reminder for other ATR pilots who might get into the same circumstances. I can also imagine that severe icing might be more rare in Brasil but that's why you train such rare events in a simulator. Sad for everyone involved.
@NicolaW72
@NicolaW72 Ай бұрын
Not only a nice reminder - a lesson to learn.
@mateusrodrigues1236
@mateusrodrigues1236 Ай бұрын
Hi, Magnar! Again, thanks for your necessary and respectful videos that are amazing contributions to aviation safety. Considering the asymmetric thrust, I do believe they where flying with some rudder trim to compensate, I do believe it also may be a factor on the "fast" loss of performance, considering that it increase the drag. Would be nice to have your thoughts on it.
@spetzspas
@spetzspas Ай бұрын
That speed tape at 0 is the stuff of nightmares
@randercintra
@randercintra Ай бұрын
Great analysis of this accident.
@andybrockbank3027
@andybrockbank3027 Ай бұрын
Excellent commentary and explanation with a succint statement on actions to recover from an impending stall.
@lucianobrito1276
@lucianobrito1276 Ай бұрын
Hello Mr. Magnar, I want to thank you for your explanation and since the beginning of the information about the crash I already believed that ice was one of the main causes of the accident, I live below the flight route and that day it was very cold and rainy. Unfortunately, it was a combination of factors that led to this tragic accident.
@bonnoteriiteporouarai7097
@bonnoteriiteporouarai7097 Ай бұрын
People are still blaming ATR, it’s so frustrating. The plane did it works, the crew’s lack of action is the reason why the plane went down.
@NicolaW72
@NicolaW72 Ай бұрын
Exactly.
@JavierBrent
@JavierBrent Ай бұрын
I saw a post saying 30 ATR's crashed already for flying in ice. Liars love to lie. Only 5 in 40 years stalled with ice. All due bad pilots that stalled it even with all warnings to keep speed up. They were stupid to not do their job.
@bonnoteriiteporouarai7097
@bonnoteriiteporouarai7097 Ай бұрын
@@JavierBrent yes exactly
@stefansekulic7903
@stefansekulic7903 Ай бұрын
​@@JavierBrentYeh the aircraft is generally safe, it's only had 13 accidents in 35 years of service,but almost half were due to icing, not sure how that compares to other turboprops in its class.
@weldonyoung1013
@weldonyoung1013 Ай бұрын
Magnar you nailed it. Correcting with the rudder just increased the angle of attack and stalled the airfoil of the main wing. Too bad the flight crew even got that far - so as to enter severe icing.
@antoniosanna8
@antoniosanna8 24 күн бұрын
Great explanation Captain, as usual 🎩 🔝
@fightingfulcrum8108
@fightingfulcrum8108 Ай бұрын
Thank you very much for your very informative video and explanation Captain. Cheers!
@nickloh912
@nickloh912 Ай бұрын
I wonder if severe icing being an emergency is not being emphasized enough. Certainly the statement "no aircraft types certified before 2015 are approved for flight in severe icing" tells us that a severe icing encounter requires action to escape, since it is a situation the aircraft is not designed or demonstrated to handle. But on the other hand, I can imagine a pilot being reluctant to declare mayday because of ice, especially if other aircraft nearby seem to be getting away with it. Even having read the report on American Eagle 4184, "severe icing is an emergency" was a bit of an eyebrow-raiser. It makes sense, of course, but it does emphasize the urgency of the situation more than "flight in severe icing has not been demonstrated, nor is it required under the certification rules" or something similar...
@marcg1686
@marcg1686 Ай бұрын
You make some good points. Having watched many videos relating to flying into severe icing I would like to see ATR change the APM 'Increase Speed' advisory to an emphatic 'Increase Speed NOW!'
@NicolaW72
@NicolaW72 Ай бұрын
@@marcg1686 Exactly.
@pgilb70
@pgilb70 Ай бұрын
Just escape from icing immediately. Especially when anti icing is hving issues! As blancorolio reminds us- a wing can stall at any speed but only one critical AOA. ...Nose down, escape!
@dronemonkey2038
@dronemonkey2038 Ай бұрын
This is a very good analysis…Thank you……What about precession? The power goes on…..the props turn faster giving a right hand precessing yawing moment…Further increasing AoA on the Left wing and it departs to the left side.
@Nico-kz9bv
@Nico-kz9bv Ай бұрын
I really dont understand that much as Im not from Aviation, but this incident fascinates me so that I want to understand things. Thanks for the upload!
@geraldo209
@geraldo209 Ай бұрын
Thanks a lot captain. From a Brazilian new sub you got. and 737 driver.
@wololo10
@wololo10 Ай бұрын
737 pilot, melhora seu ingles amigao
@pamshewan9181
@pamshewan9181 Ай бұрын
Thank you!
@130sogair
@130sogair Ай бұрын
Great explanation, Captain
@danabergman4052
@danabergman4052 Ай бұрын
Thank you captain very informative
@uninvited298
@uninvited298 Ай бұрын
It seems to me that regardless of the cause, in several recent disasters in which an aircraft reaches a stall situation, the pilots seem to act only instinctively trying to pull the nose of the plane up instead of lowering the nose to regain speed and control, as they should. The same reaction can be seen in the tragic accident of Air France Flight 447, where the pilots in command ignored the instruments and stall alarms and kept pulling the stick up until they completely lost control. First there is some confusion in understanding the situation, and then failure to follow the proper procedure. The same thing seems to have happened in this disaster. Of course, looking at it from the outside seems like an obvious flaw, as it's just a matter of the laws of physics, but it's intriguing how common this loss of situational awareness is in these disasters. They seem to completely forget that they have altitude, that they have room for maneuver, that they can ask traffic control to clear the way. Very intriguing.
@foobarf8766
@foobarf8766 Ай бұрын
The stabilizer stalls before wing afaik, to pull up is checking for authority. They had none. It's not the mistake.
@TheOnePurpleGuy
@TheOnePurpleGuy Ай бұрын
@@foobarf8766 Of course pulling up is a mistake in a stalling situation, especially for planes with a T-Tail. Although I'm not a pilot I have to wonder, why would you ever check for authority in a stall? To check whether or not you are already in a deep stall, and pretty screwed? AFAIK, any stall recovery procedure requires you to reduce the AOA immediately, and not check if your elevator is already stalled, and why would you? Also, I believe that most simulators are poor at simulating the stall characteristics of a plane, icing will only make it more unpredictable, as the accumulation changes the stall characteristics. The stabilizer usually does not stall before the wing does, because their airfoils are different, and symmetrical airfoils, the ones used for the horizontal stab, have a higher critical AOA. If the stab had stalled first, we would have expected a sharp pitch-down moment, but we just don't see that here. It looks like the wing is stalled first and they enter the spin by applying right rudder. After that the nose pitches down, as is expected in a spin.
@foobarf8766
@foobarf8766 Ай бұрын
@@TheOnePurpleGuy idk of course, all speculation but the pull up could also be dual control conflict. I don't know. But the stab size is smaller. The lift is function of area, if I had ATR in XP id try it (does laminar flow the new msfs still puts 172 into 'brick' stalls). Speaking of the c172 it has massive stab because it's a trainer. The stab is not main lift device ofc but does have +ve (not zero). CoG would determine pitch when losing it and it would be aft afaik? So pilot's intertial frame is experiencing
@foobarf8766
@foobarf8766 Ай бұрын
@@TheOnePurpleGuy pitch up not down if it stalled first because normal force
@jamescollier3
@jamescollier3 Ай бұрын
yes!! exactly!!! just like AF: aviator vs pilot. some just do what they were taught without the big picture, and some are actually aware of the big picture
@markcardwell
@markcardwell Ай бұрын
Thank you
@LuizDahoraavida
@LuizDahoraavida Ай бұрын
Thank you for the video!
@dougfraser77
@dougfraser77 Ай бұрын
@FlywithMagnar assuming you find yourself in an ATR in a flat spin, would differential thrust on the engines help to arrest it? How much time do you need to recover?
@jetdriver
@jetdriver Ай бұрын
A flat spin in an ATR is likely unrecoverable.
@MegaMadmechanic
@MegaMadmechanic Ай бұрын
Not a pilot, but I have read that the weight of the engines in a twin-engine flat spin cause so much centrifugal force, it is very unlikely you would be able to recover
@Jamenator1
@Jamenator1 Ай бұрын
@@MegaMadmechanic This theory is correct, however it's more applicable to light twins. The main issue for a transport aircraft is likely the weight of passengers/cargo in the fuselage and fuel in the wings. The engines (excluding props) on the ATR are under 500kg each and are only about 4 meters from the CoG. Pax/cargo load can be around 5,000kg, and half of that load is probably further from the CoG than the engines are. Plus fuel in the wings which can account for another several thousand kgs, also quite far from the CoG. At the end of the day, the engines probably contribute a tiny amount of annular momentum compared to the fuel and pax/cargo load
@josephaltieri1017
@josephaltieri1017 Ай бұрын
excellent analysis,
@MatthijsvanDuin
@MatthijsvanDuin Ай бұрын
Obviously this raises some questions about pilot training and/or airline safety culture (did they not know how to respond to the performance warnings, or were they habituated to ignore them?), but I think it's also fair to ask whether it should really be considered normal for an autopilot to happily trim a plane all the way into stick shaker and then unceremoniously dump the controls of the mistrimmed aircraft into the hands of a startled pilot. Is it really too much to ask for an autopilot to prioritize keeping the airplane within its flight envelope over whatever was requested through the mode control panel? Surely it could have noticed (or even predicted) the AoA approaching stick shaker and reduced bank angle to avoid it? I think ideally an autopilot (in the absence of a serious fault) should also avoid sudden disconnects and instead would *warn* the pilot if it is has trouble executing the commands from the pilot (e.g. due to approaching control limits), but continue to fly the plane to the best of its ability to allow the pilot to assess the situation and physically take the controls _before_ disconnecting the autopilot.
@keithwalker6892
@keithwalker6892 Ай бұрын
@@MatthijsvanDuin After reading all the comments I still stay with my first one. This aircraft is too dangerous in ice and the pilots who fly them don’t seem to understand how sensitive they are by the number of fatal crashes. I worked for many years as a Certification Engineer Head of Structures and if still working would and will urge Transport Canada to withdraw the Type Approval of these aircraft
@rafael.retratos
@rafael.retratos Ай бұрын
então, no dia aqui no Brasil varios pilotos relataram gelo severo incomum no Brasil, inclusive avioes pousaram e aeroportos da minha cidade que ´é pequena, a aviação civil no Brasil é uma das melhores do mundo com baixa taxa de acidentes, mas neste caso alem do gelo severo, o piloto ser novo , um pioto foi chamado para cobrir outro de ultima hora, a investigação deve falar sobre fadiga, descanso, treinamento etc......
@shakeyspizza01
@shakeyspizza01 Ай бұрын
Thank You Captain
@76notam
@76notam Ай бұрын
hello , j'adore vos videos , bonne description et premiers commentaires techniques de ce malheureux crash ...une question me vient à l'esprit : " pourquoi les pilotes ont ils laissé l'avion dans cette compsosante de givrage sévère et ne sont pas intervenus selon la procédure de chez ATR en pareil cas ? " l'enquête le dira certainement ..merci de vos informations claires et précises ..fly safe captain 😉✈🤙
@MarceloTrindade1
@MarceloTrindade1 Ай бұрын
Great presentation! Thanks! I wonder what would be the purpose of an alarm that "you should never see in flight because you have to act before you see it"... Shouldn't it be changed from "Increase Speed" to "You're dead"?
@msromike123
@msromike123 Ай бұрын
Well in this case they had about 1 minut from that indicator until the stick shaker activated, much more until stall entry. As he said, "you still have time to save the day."
@NicolaW72
@NicolaW72 Ай бұрын
Probably better to: "Act or you´re dead!"
@wesleyhurd3574
@wesleyhurd3574 Ай бұрын
It seems to me that the autopilot should automatically disconnect when the degraded performance indicator is illuminated. The autopilot continuing to attempt control of a compromised aircraft only made matters worse. The pilots were likely confused by the unexpected feeling of the flight controls at the point in time when the autopilot was finally disconnected. Clearly, the continued flight in icing conditions is likely to be the biggest contributing factor to the crash. However, in order to prevent a similar crash from ever occurring again, it would be wise to find any point at which the chain of events could be stopped. In the interest of human factors engineering, the manufacturer should also consider making the “increase speed” indicator red in color to reinforce the concept of an impending catastrophic failure.
@marcg1686
@marcg1686 Ай бұрын
I'm no pilot but I disagree. Disengaging the AP has to be a conscious decision. The AP may be masking unequal aileron loads. That's why it has to be disengaged prior to entering a region of severe icing. Manually controlling the plane will allow the pilot to better sense imbalances that indicate ice accretion.
@McGyverPilot
@McGyverPilot Ай бұрын
Yikes! Thank you for this more thorough analysis. On next video please show what pilots should have done after making any fatal mistakes. Remember, it might not be you as the PIC, it might be someone not educated or observing these cardinal rules, and therefore we might need to know what final actions provide any remote chance of flat spin recovery, no matter how impossible doing so may seem.
@aipravoce
@aipravoce Ай бұрын
I live in the same region of this accident. There was a great temperature change with strong winds. But it is a relatively common phenomena. There was a 15 or 20 celius degrees variation very fast.
@Coops777
@Coops777 Ай бұрын
Thanks Magnar. This is by far the best explanation I've seen. Thankyou. I must ask the question of why the pilots chose to navigate and keep ATC happy in preference to aviating and flying the aircraft correctly. While it is very probable the pilots were unfamiliar with icing symptoms and procedures, they ignored speed and stall warnings to the point that when turning right (in accordance with ATC), the left wing stalled. The aircraft was still saveable at this point!!!!!!! It appears to me that that these pilots have not had sufficient, regular and relevant emergency training. The scenario of stalling/avoiding stalling was completely foreign to them. I'm putting my money on the airline management getting the blame for this accident.
@LeaoDN
@LeaoDN Ай бұрын
I agree to everything you said. And I would like also to stress that the stall happened while the Auto-pilot was engaged. This does not take out or put any additional blame to the pilots, but the fact is that autopilot was engaged, initiated the turn as pilots have programmed it to do, and then the aircraft stalled. I hope this fact will also be studied by the investigators. It would not be hard to make the autopiloting system aware of the high probability of the aircraft having a degraded performance capability due to ice accumulation.
@Coops777
@Coops777 Ай бұрын
@LeaoDN Absolutely. I totally agree with you. And, another thing, according to another video I watched (might have been Magnar or Blancolirio) auto pilot IS NOT TO BE USED in severe icing conditions, according to the POH (or airliner equivalent) after the previous icing accidents in this type. It will be interesting to have this verified. But it makes a lot of sense. I am amazed at the lack of awareness and even skill by the pilots. The flight instruments themselves were a give-away (let alone the annunciator panel) . Increasing nose attitude (AOA) showing on the attitude indicator screen and decreasing airspeed whilst engine rpm and torque remained relatively stable at cruise levels (in the early stages) were sure signs of an impending stall. Then the aeroplane expressed its first obvious bit of body language and the left wing stalled during a right turn. Surely this would have been enough for the pilots to wake up and realise something was very wrong and take action to manually disengage the auto pilot and push the nose down. This is stuff they would have learned in GA school flying a warrior or a cessna.
@diogonascimento5087
@diogonascimento5087 Ай бұрын
Melhor explicação até hoje foi melhor que a que o cenipa fez
@LeaoDN
@LeaoDN Ай бұрын
O CENIPA foi transparente e forneceu os parâmetros de forma detalhada. Impressionante o que as pessoas competentes como o Magnar podem fazer com o auxílio da internet nos dias atuais.
@christiangavrila
@christiangavrila Ай бұрын
This is how you intentionally initiate a spin for aerobatics: pull to stall and use rudder. Then instead of power idle, use full power like they did and you can get a flat spin. For non pilots it may seem that this is happening too fast, but it's not. In smaller general aviation planes this will be much faster and you should react immediately, like steering a car when about to leave your lane. Everything happened in the clouds with no visual references and when they saw the land they were already in a flat spin. You can see the pilots not only making mistakes but reacting late, behind what is happening, so most probably their upset recovery training was poor. It looks similar to AF447 except that in this case the plane worked with no issues.
@juanmanuelgomezmartinez3795
@juanmanuelgomezmartinez3795 Ай бұрын
For flat spin you need CG aft that is normal in combat airplanes (unstable) but abnormal in transport airplanes
@Karibanu
@Karibanu Ай бұрын
In this case the plane had a de-icing fault. With how it departed I'm a little surprised how long it kept flying, to be honest. There must have been some horrific ice buildup, I wonder if they really had much tail authority at all & I'd hate to guess what the effective trim really was just before it departed. At face value this does seem a case of acknowledging the situation & blindly carrying on anyway - it will be interesting to see how much training they had around icing conditions & whether that really impressed just how much of a danger it is.
@theearthwillshake8706
@theearthwillshake8706 Ай бұрын
Wouldn't it be quite different to AF447 aside from the stall aspect? If I recall, the Air France flight crew spent minutes misunderstanding everything that was going on and pitching the nose up into a stall - caused by faulty AoA due to frozen pitot tubes, whereas it appears that this crew just failed to react in time to the ice and low speed and stalled.
@Karibanu
@Karibanu Ай бұрын
@@theearthwillshake8706 AF447 reacted( poorly ) when the right thing to do was basically do nothing - these guys seem to have done basically nothing when the right thing to do would be fly somewhere else.
@NicolaW72
@NicolaW72 Ай бұрын
@@Karibanu Indeed, exactly.
@michaelkaliski7651
@michaelkaliski7651 Ай бұрын
The aircraft is trimmed by the autopilot to a full nose up setting and the wing and control surface performance is degraded by ice accumulation. Then the autopilot hands back control to the pilots, who have perhaps ten seconds at best to recognise the situation, trim nose down and gain control of the aircraft with degraded controls. With the element of confusion and disorientation, it was never going to happen. The airframe de-icing fault was undoubtably a distraction that contributed to the confusion when the autopilot disconnected.
@Saltlick11
@Saltlick11 Ай бұрын
Great report
@NicolaW72
@NicolaW72 Ай бұрын
Thank you very much for this very enlightening Explanation! It really shocked me because it seems to be that the Pilots made even more serious and eventually deadly mistakes than I recognized until now, allthough I followed all the information about the crash very closely so far. So far as I can see would be only explicable with a serious lack of training - and that would mean: It has something to do with the Airline. It seems to be that both Pilots were totally unprepared for how to act in severe-icing-conditions and how to recover from a stall.
@keepthefaith-theconcerttribute
@keepthefaith-theconcerttribute Ай бұрын
As a former pilot this is very hard to stomach as all the warning signs were there and yet it got to a point where it never had to get too. Swiss cheese model in full effect here sadly.
@Taketimeout3
@Taketimeout3 Ай бұрын
Objective analysis without subjective opinion. Just the facts and their relevance.
@carlosfernandes8919
@carlosfernandes8919 Ай бұрын
Sou do Brasil , não sou Piloto , mas Voce Explica muito bem... Como é impressionante, que já cairam muitos Avioes , por motivos Semelhantes... 2 Boings 737-Max, Airbus A-330 Air France e Vários ATR-72
@Antonio-lt1sp
@Antonio-lt1sp Ай бұрын
Os 737 MAX não foram stall.
@stephenj4937
@stephenj4937 Ай бұрын
The other crashes happened very quickly (less than a minute for the Max crashes, and 1-2 minutes for Air France). This accident happened very slowly and with lots of warnings that were completely ignored.
@MrCaiobrz
@MrCaiobrz Ай бұрын
The MAX crashes where based software after a AOA sensor failure, the AF 447 where bad training in reacting to a temporary pitot sensor fault, and some ATR due to icing. Not at all similar
@carlosfernandes8919
@carlosfernandes8919 Ай бұрын
@@Antonio-lt1sp Verdade, alta velocidade e Nariz embaixo, Por falha Eletrônica, mas é muito Rápido pra se ferrar...nisso é tudo igual...
@carlosfernandes8919
@carlosfernandes8919 Ай бұрын
@@MrCaiobrz Parecido na Rapidez do Acidente...e Falta de conciencia da situação...
@misarthim6538
@misarthim6538 Ай бұрын
I eagerly await the report on this, it's hard to parse what kind of reasoning would make the crew fly an aircraft with INOP deice into known severe icing conditions. I also hope that some part will be dedicated to a fact that - yet again - the crew decided to fight the stick pusher. Likely it's an instinctive reaction but there must be a reason why this happens in not insignificant numbers in similar accidents. (just to be clear - I'm not blaming the pilots, we simply don't know why it happened. We need facts. I was merely observing that it's quite shocking and I'm interested how it happened).
@MarkxTube
@MarkxTube Ай бұрын
Thanks for the higher res animation. Do we now have stick and rudder imput data as well? Could it be that the horizontal stabilizer was already shaddowed by the main wings before entering the flat spin? ie the pilots/pusher could no longer initiate a dive? And why is there no more voice data towards the end if we still have flight data. Is there a lag in recording or just not released yet?
@foobarf8766
@foobarf8766 Ай бұрын
Caveat I'm not an aviator but I think so, yes, the stab stalls before wing does in most traditional ampenages. You lose elevator authority in sims at least, have more roll. Except blended body elevons they stall different
@gibuja
@gibuja Ай бұрын
For me, it looks like a poor CRM. There was no voice to be recorded.
@pfsantos007
@pfsantos007 Ай бұрын
Maybe I missed it, but where does the "cruise speed low" get its info from? Do you enter planned cruise speed in the 'computer' (FMS or MCDU equivalent for ATR)?
@FlywithMagnar
@FlywithMagnar Ай бұрын
The APM computer receives data from many sensors and computes the theoretical cruise speed. Then, it compares it with the actual cruise speed.
@luigilainom1123
@luigilainom1123 Ай бұрын
I'm not a pilot but if your plane is stalling, rudder and ailerons neutral and pitch down
@pdfernandeza
@pdfernandeza Ай бұрын
lack of training, take a look at the training background of those pilots, there will be the answer
@NicolaW72
@NicolaW72 Ай бұрын
And this answer will probably be located at the involved Airline.
@750cruzerpilot
@750cruzerpilot Ай бұрын
I wonder if the g forces combined with startle prevented flap 15 from being selected
@normannutbar424
@normannutbar424 Ай бұрын
It has been shown time and time again that even very, very experienced crew, when shit hits the fan and they are faced with the terror of a deep stall, do not push!!
@numismatajaime7974
@numismatajaime7974 Ай бұрын
Magnar is a gentleman to not say this, but it is clear that the pilots caused the crash.
@dougfraser77
@dougfraser77 Ай бұрын
The underlying question is WHY - were they under-trained, were they complacent? What is the safety culture at their airline? Were they under pressure to stick to schedule?
@sun-q73
@sun-q73 Ай бұрын
@@dougfraser77 So far only speculations. They could be undertrained for ice conditions considering that s a rare situation you encounter in brazil. Or maybe they were suffering from fatigue. I also heard from a brazilian pilot that in Brazil if you declare an emergency then you have to go through a lot of bureocracy with the government once youre on the ground to explain what happened etc. So pilots feel more aprehensive about declaring an emergency. I know sounds messed up, but again these are just speculations. Final report might help clear things up.
@foobarf8766
@foobarf8766 Ай бұрын
Remember the swiss cheese model. Of course the pilots crashed it, but that's the obvious thing, what made them so complacent?
@marcg1686
@marcg1686 Ай бұрын
@@sun-q73 'They could be undertrained for ice conditions considering that s a rare situation you encounter in brazil.' Nope. In one of Magnar's older videos he describes flying into a region of severe icing. In Thailand.
@jamescollier3
@jamescollier3 Ай бұрын
yes. you can point at a lot of things, but this is like AF stall into the ocean. There are aviators that fly their private planes, maybe race or compete. Then there are pilots that have learned just enough to pass and fly. This is true in almost any career
@brandyballoon
@brandyballoon Ай бұрын
I'm dumbfounded. The pilot inputs were correct... if they were trying to put it into a spin! I have a horrible feeling this was one of those situations where the FO knew what to do but was either too scared to speak up or was overridden by the captain. I find it hard to believe that both of the pilots forgot the basics.
@wewillrockyou1986
@wewillrockyou1986 Ай бұрын
Very strange decision-making by the pilots in response to the icing and supposed anti ice faults. I am curious on what basis they make the assertion that the system is faulty, are there any indicators for it in the cockpit? And also, very strange control response by the pilots during the onset of the stall, I am reminded of AF447 and the MCAS crashes that pilot response to unusual control situations is sometimes or even often absolutely not in line with what the regulations and aircraft certification expects.
@uwemobil8847
@uwemobil8847 Ай бұрын
As a passenger, that I am, this is hard to watch and to accept. They had the time and the possibilities to get out of that situation.
@msromike123
@msromike123 Ай бұрын
Is not this exact scenario not trained in the simulator? If not why? and if so, did these pilots do not receive it?
@zlm001
@zlm001 Ай бұрын
Thanks.
@grahamsalmons2027
@grahamsalmons2027 Ай бұрын
What was the terrain elevation over which they were flying?
@danielbeards6259
@danielbeards6259 Ай бұрын
Magnar, could the yaw damper be responsible for the rudder kick right before the spin? How does ATR AP react when stalling? Does it disconnect both AP and YD or does it remove aileron and elevator servos, but keep YD (and therefore rudder servoactuator) alive?
@FlywithMagnar
@FlywithMagnar Ай бұрын
The yaw damper provides yaw damping and turn coordination. It cannot move the rudder to full deflection. The autopilot disconnects automatically when the stall warning is triggered. The yaw damper remains engaged. The yaw damper disengages when a force exceeding 300 N is applied on the rudder pedals.
@HarryFortyTwo
@HarryFortyTwo Ай бұрын
The elephant in the room: why did they use rudder? There is the potential they had hinge moment reversal and could not get wings level with the ailerons bc of that. Flying so long in icing with AP on (which is exactly what is not recommended) and then causing a stall is the perfect recipe for hinge moment reversal. and that could also explain why they did not get the nose down, trying to get wings level first (which of course is not the most important thing in that situation).
@tedwalford7615
@tedwalford7615 Ай бұрын
What should have been the first, best response of the flight crew? At the first deicer-fault alert, should they have dropped out of the icing flight level and returned to base?
@LeaoDN
@LeaoDN Ай бұрын
The initiated curve also introduced a yaw due o asymmetrical drag, right? How much is hard to know because the surfaces were badly contaminated with ice.
@CarlosAlexandre-fl2ut
@CarlosAlexandre-fl2ut Ай бұрын
I don't see how a "lack of training" will be avoided on the final report...
@jetdriver
@jetdriver Ай бұрын
Because it’s pretty obvious that they didn’t do what they were trained to do. Every airline pilot in the world is trained at a bare minimum to run checklists when they get a fault and they ignored multiple lights that should have required them to run a checklist. Not to mention the totally botched stall recovery. Though if they were trained in an old school fashion to never lose altitude in the recovery that might explain at least that much. Time will tell.
@luigilainom1123
@luigilainom1123 Ай бұрын
@@jetdriver they weren't airmen, there's not excuse.
@arb6591
@arb6591 Ай бұрын
Thanks!
@FlywithMagnar
@FlywithMagnar Ай бұрын
Thank you!
@BreakTubes
@BreakTubes Ай бұрын
Mentour Pilot channel brought me here. Now I´m hooked!
@AdairGalloJunior
@AdairGalloJunior Ай бұрын
Maybe they had the MAX-MCAS accidents in the back of their minds as a reason to “fight” the stick pusher. 11:49
@EstorilEm
@EstorilEm Ай бұрын
It's so strange to me - these deep stall incidents (similar to AF447) where pilots just pull back. I don't buy the whole "it's basic instinct" thing - yeah, maybe if you stuck a random person in a flight sim for the first time, but it's literally one of the FIRST maneuvers you ever learn in flight school. Plus my cessna didn't have a stick pusher, stall warning (well, the little buzzer I guess) lights, and I'm not even mentioning the stuff they had to warn them BEFORE it entered a stall.
@arun120977
@arun120977 Ай бұрын
Very sad what happened. Seems like the aircraft could have recovered if they just let the stick pusher do its job.
@foobarf8766
@foobarf8766 Ай бұрын
If the stab stalled that shaker is just an ornament
@massimilianomoretti1067
@massimilianomoretti1067 Ай бұрын
Thank you sir for the explanations ! Bye !
@Izmael1310
@Izmael1310 Ай бұрын
In one of the videos you said that to recover stall you have to follow the "PARE" and one step is the "rudder oposite". Now you said they should not use the rudder.
@FlywithMagnar
@FlywithMagnar Ай бұрын
PARE is for spin recovery. For stall recovery, push the nose down and keep the other controls neutral until you have a safe speed.
@ajnsouza
@ajnsouza Ай бұрын
I wonder if it was wings freezing in the very dense clouds? In the south and southeast of Brazil at this time of year there is a lot of rain and sometimes frost. Unlike Voepass when it comes to the Northeast even in winter, here it's strong winds and rain, but it's very warm
@gyorgyrabenschwartz9610
@gyorgyrabenschwartz9610 Ай бұрын
Rudder seems to be the kiss of death; it turns the stall to a spin.
@davidkavanagh189
@davidkavanagh189 Ай бұрын
Is there any possibility the horizontal stab is stalled too? It seems hard to believe they would have the strength to oppose both the stick pusher and the aircraft's natural tendency to want to pitch down into the now downward vertical flight path.
@FlywithMagnar
@FlywithMagnar Ай бұрын
The only instances of horizontal stabilizer stall occurred when full flaps was deployed during the approach. The nose of the aircraft wound then drop straight down.
@SrManckel
@SrManckel Ай бұрын
I would like to ask the instructor about something that, for me, wasn't clear in the explanation. When the airplane goes from 130kt to 0kt in less than 1 second, does this indicate a sudden deceleration of the airplane relative to the ground (which would lead to a force of more than 7G), or is it simply an indication of airspeed on the sensors? I ask this because 7G of force could have, at that moment, surprised everyone and injured many occupants, including the crew. Would I be correct? Thank you very much for your excellent work in this video and on this channel. (Portuguese) Eu gostaria de fazer uma pergunta ao intrutor, sobre um fato que, para mim, não ficou claro na explicação. No momento que o avião vai de 130kt a 0kt em menos de 1 segundo, isso indica uma desacereação brusca do avião em relação solo (o que levaria a uma força de mais de 7G) ou é apesar um indicação de velocidade de ar nos sensores? Pergunto isto, pois 7G de força poderia ter surpreendido a todos e ferido muitos ocupantes, inclusive a tripulação, eu estaria correto? Muito obrigado pelo seu excelente trabalho neste vídeo e neste canal.
@ulibetting1582
@ulibetting1582 Ай бұрын
This is sensor related. If you blow inside a tube you feel the air flow at the end of the tube. If you just blow over the tube 90 degrees offset, no airflow will be detected at the end of the tube. That's what happens during a stall. Espero que tenha sido um pouco compreensível
@foobarf8766
@foobarf8766 Ай бұрын
Air speed and and ground speed different. Not a 7G sudden stop like that. The other comment explains well how the sensor works.
@georgeedgeworth915
@georgeedgeworth915 Ай бұрын
Could it have been the yaw damper have moved the rudder to the right?
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