NFL Week 4 Picks & Predictions | Texans vs Jaguars | Bills vs Ravens | Week 4 Fade the Public

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WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips

WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 271
@Wagertalk
@Wagertalk Ай бұрын
👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm 🏈 Live NFL Odds: wt.buzz/nfl-odds 📺 Rest of NFL Week 4 Videos: wt.buzz/2024nfl4 🏈 More Free NFL Picks: www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NFL 🤷‍♂ What is your BEST BET for NFL Week 4? Let us know in the comments below 👇
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Smash that LIKE 👍 button!
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Thanks for watching everyone, best of luck on Sunday! 👍🏈🤑
@omlette9214
@omlette9214 Ай бұрын
steve = GOAT
@MichaelDuncan-qi3tg
@MichaelDuncan-qi3tg Ай бұрын
Thanks Steve i am a landscaper you helped me make More money gambling than working this year.Since my uncle Fat Clyde passed you are my go to for consencess.
@johnnyjumpmann
@johnnyjumpmann Ай бұрын
Thanks Steve. Hope all has been well brother💪💪💪
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
​@@MichaelDuncan-qi3tg 👍💲💲
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
​@@johnnyjumpmann Doing great my friend 👍
@shochuman1656
@shochuman1656 Ай бұрын
Thank you, Steve. Great analysis on Fade the Public. As I mentioned earlier, I have my 2nd 5 unit play this year in NFL with Baltimore. Last week, I had my first 5 unit play on Philadelphia. Let's get another one! GL
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
Good luck this Sunday Shoch!
@seamusnaylor4911
@seamusnaylor4911 Ай бұрын
Found you after the afternoon games I had Cincy but laid off the other games wish I heard this at noon instead of 7:30pm
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Be sure to click that bell 🔔 so you get an instant alert each week when this video is posted, usually on Saturday afternoon
@EddieMushforLife
@EddieMushforLife Ай бұрын
Thank you Steve for your Free picks and hard work!
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Thank you for watching and commenting Eddie, it makes doing these videos worthwhile!
@ArthurDonnally
@ArthurDonnally Ай бұрын
Vikings 21 Packers 10.
@washredskin887
@washredskin887 Ай бұрын
I think w/ the Rams game it comes down to two things for me, head coach and QB. The Rams have a clear advantage here so I have to take the Rams and the points.
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
That is true... but Bears have much better defense.
@kevwwong
@kevwwong Ай бұрын
As a Texans fan, I'm obviously nervous about a Jacksonville bounce back. But the spread makes them a good team to tease down to about the ML. I'm going to pair them with KC as they've yet to win by more than a score, so teasing down again gets me to around the ML. So that gives me HOU +0.5/KC -1.0 The one thing Lovie Smith's "playing not to lose" strategy did for us was drop us down to #2. Sucked at the time, great in hindsight. But just as important was using some of those Cleveland picks to get Will Anderson.
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
I'd lean Jaguars, but hard to trust them after last MNF
@merlin-ju6fu
@merlin-ju6fu Ай бұрын
These are my intensity performance metrics for week 4. STD 0-1 The metrics said Cowboys -5.5, which would have covered in most cases, so I am satisfied by that selection. (C-) Steelers 1 slot difference Colts (D-) (B+) Vikings 0 slot Packers (B+) (B+) Saints 12 slots difference Falcons (C-) (C-) Rams 0 slot Bears (D+) (B-) Eagles 4 slots Bucs (C+) (C+) Bengals 11 slots Panthers (D-) (B+) Commanders 1 slot Cards (B-) (D+) Browns 3 slots Raiders ( C-) (A) Bills 5 slots Ravens ( B-) (D-) Titans 3 slots Dolphins (F) (C+) Seahawks 0 slot Lions (C+) This is a KISS system where you take the team with the higher grade. My Intensity grades will be specific to theses fade the public videos. I plan on posting my other metrics on "Twitter" on weekly basis. This season is for public tracking. Btw, Olave for the Saints was injured on Friday, so my metrics lose value on that game. If had to make bets, I would go with Eagles @1 unit, Bills@1/2 unit Raiders @1/2 unit , Steelers @1/2 unit and Packers 1/2 unit. Normally, I would fade the dolphins @grafe F, but (D-) Titans is also a red flag. I will be tracking all these selections @ 1 unit. I expect over the season for the higher graded teams and more slots to perform better.
@Bigfella4900
@Bigfella4900 Ай бұрын
Love it Steve......I'm chewing on NYJ - 6.5.....also move Carolina to +5.....Let's Go!!!!
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Andy Dalton looked good last week!
@edzplayz
@edzplayz Ай бұрын
Steve, you made 2k last night. Unbelievable day. Thank you sir.
@brettholtslander2704
@brettholtslander2704 Ай бұрын
What were his college plays ?
@edzplayz
@edzplayz Ай бұрын
Correction, he did miss 1 but his public plays were insane
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
​@@brettholtslander2704Brett, all the games are recapped each day on my page with analysis so you can go and check my L20 best bets on WT
@luthergutierrez2884
@luthergutierrez2884 Ай бұрын
Always looking forward to Steve’s fade the public videos! Great insight..keep up the good work 💪🏼💪🏼
@omarepps77
@omarepps77 Ай бұрын
Big facts!
@Wagertalk
@Wagertalk Ай бұрын
Appreciate you tuning in regularly!
@everthaguirre8899
@everthaguirre8899 Ай бұрын
Does any video come out by Thursdays?
@Evan-dh5ky
@Evan-dh5ky Ай бұрын
Curious to know what data your using to determine most public play?
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
I use numerous sources... sportsbook data, but also free contest and other public sources, and then ake a consensus of all the consensus. Using just a single sportsbook or source can be very misleading.
@WT1wL
@WT1wL Ай бұрын
Thank you Steve have a blessed Sunday !
@davecacese616
@davecacese616 Ай бұрын
Definitely fading my Steelers this week, I was terrified of this game from the beginning, were definitely due for a loss & this just confirms what I already feared.
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
I agree, does not look like a good spot for Pittsburgh this week.
@JeffSwasey
@JeffSwasey Ай бұрын
Thanks Steve
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
Thanks for watching Jeff... always nice to hear from you!
@jimschuster9391
@jimschuster9391 Ай бұрын
Underdogs of 5.5 points or more are 15-2 ATS this season and we have four big dogs: Patriots (+10.5 vs. 49ers), Chargers (+7 vs. Chiefs), Broncos (+8 vs. Jets) and Jags (+5.5 vs. Texans). I am going to take Jets....+7.5
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Interesting stat Jim, have to figure that's going to start evening out at some point in the near future.
@JohnMccarron-cv7gx
@JohnMccarron-cv7gx Ай бұрын
I’m on Houston to come out flying. NIKKO IS IN..❤ team ovar as well
@dnilsen80
@dnilsen80 Ай бұрын
Fairly new to this. Any recommendations on where to start learning the basics and best practices?
@terralcofield6654
@terralcofield6654 Ай бұрын
Thanks as always Steve. I like Indy, Chi, and Jax this week. Already had those picks but had to watch the fade the public to see if I’m more sharp than square, #lfinslstopbeforebetting.
@edolsen539
@edolsen539 Ай бұрын
Thanks Steve, stand alone videos have been money!
@Paag216
@Paag216 Ай бұрын
Thanks Steve. What are the key numbers for football totals?
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
37, 41, 51 are the most 3 important totals. Others such as 47, 48 come into play also.
@joepaisano6726
@joepaisano6726 Ай бұрын
Great job Steve! Just curious, why not mention the overtime angle against the Rams? This year 2 games in the nfl went to OT, next week teams are 1-3, only winner was Seattle week after the NE overtime win (and NE got killed on the next game thursday short week on the road) facing Miami with no Tua. In fact, the Rams were one of the teams, OT in week one and got demolished week after by the Cardinals.
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Long-term overtime angles haven't been to profitable one way or the other, but I do agree I think that was a negative situation here
@poeticartist2nv
@poeticartist2nv Ай бұрын
Appreciate the hard work n information. The monotone delivery was hard to ingest at times and i missed information so i was happy you recapped
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
So if I shout, you'd remember the play... just messing with you 🙂 Thank you for watching!
@poeticartist2nv
@poeticartist2nv Ай бұрын
@stevemerril3086 no sir its a nuanced thing. I hope i help at all instead of come off critical. I came to you bc the fake enthusiasm of youtubers can be jarring. That being said delivery matters on both ends and monotone can be droning and information can pass by as the mind wanders. Maybe the onus is on the listener but in the end we both want that information! Thanks for your time, for the video and now i hope you much blessings
@ryancoffey7401
@ryancoffey7401 Ай бұрын
Love the segment Steve, keep up the good work. Any chance to add any fade the public teaser combos that you like?
@Eric-yn6ur
@Eric-yn6ur Ай бұрын
Petition to rename your handle to Professor Steve
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
That sounds very smart 🤓
@BobBelter-f4t
@BobBelter-f4t Ай бұрын
Great info. As usual. Already on Indy and Bears. Can’t get there on Carolina, and especially Jax. Pageboy will be out of football in another season or so.
@zoninor-cal9796
@zoninor-cal9796 Ай бұрын
Thx Steve
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
Thank you for watching
@stevengardiner1339
@stevengardiner1339 Ай бұрын
I LIKE :all panthers receptions Johnson O 5.5 +100 Mingo O 3.5 +135 Leggette O 3.t +140 Someone has to catch the passes.All even or plus A JONES O 58.5 rush Revenge game
@dustingoetz2117
@dustingoetz2117 Ай бұрын
Thank you Steve! Love the videos you are great at what you do ❤
@gregNFL
@gregNFL Ай бұрын
.5 on DEN ML (for a potential 300% return) and .5 on CAR +4.5 (pot 65%) and 1.0 on JAX +6.5 (62.3%) . As a rule, I never take these. For fun I'll throw a few darts. 🎯 Edit: Have PIT @ -1.5, KC ML with NYJ ML and SF ML plus a MIN ML for 120%
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Good luck Greg
@MichaelDuncan-qi3tg
@MichaelDuncan-qi3tg Ай бұрын
thanks greg
@omarepps77
@omarepps77 Ай бұрын
Great insight Steve !
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Thank you for watching
@washredskin887
@washredskin887 Ай бұрын
I'm on Indy. Now +2.5.
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
I like Colts also... would have really liked +3
@tommyruddo3373
@tommyruddo3373 Ай бұрын
Marvin harrison O 70 yds, Stroud O 250 yds, Saquon O 100 Rush + Rec, Kyren anytime
@joey86bu1
@joey86bu1 Ай бұрын
Here we go!!! Oct+, my fav't time of the year!!
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
I agree Joey, it's an all sports spectacular the next few months!
@joey86bu1
@joey86bu1 Ай бұрын
@@stevemerril1485 Fun fact, MSTR has out performed BTC by over 3X this year. It's acting as a BTC ETF without the annoying fees.
@dennishorne5839
@dennishorne5839 Ай бұрын
Great show
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
Thanks as always for watching Dennis
@jeremytaylor5540
@jeremytaylor5540 Ай бұрын
Thanks Steve. Favorite video every week. For sure fading Steelers. This week
@paulweeldreyer7457
@paulweeldreyer7457 Ай бұрын
I can hear the pain in Steve's voice because he likes the Bengals 😂. I lean the Panthers there, might bet it, but we'll see. Are the Bengals really good? That was a big game for them on Monday night and couldn't get it done. I love Jayden Daniels but that was ugly. I know that RB isn't that important these days, but Zack Moss (who I liked a lot at Utah) and Chase Brown are certainly not one of the better RB combos (kind of redundant guys too). I definitely lean Carolina, they have weapons, especially in the receiving game, and Dalton isn't bad. I'm not surprised that the Rams are a public dog but I still have to bet them. I want no part of Caleb Williams laying points. I never understood why he was considered a can't miss prospect, and I never understood why he was considered clearly better than Jayden Daniels. I like the Vikes (though I'm a Vikes fan) and I like the Saints. It's mostly that these teams are getting points and I don't think they should be.
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Amazing how slowly the Bengals have started the past few seasons and they always seem to turn it on in October.
@rashadz3104
@rashadz3104 Ай бұрын
I love your consistency Steve! U are the truth!
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Thank you Rashad
@Alex-bo8ph
@Alex-bo8ph Ай бұрын
Thanks Steve I actually am on the bengals this week. Bengals, colts and ravens my bets this week
@Wagertalk
@Wagertalk Ай бұрын
Good luck!
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Best of luck Alex
@sean7854
@sean7854 Ай бұрын
Unfortunately I think all 3 of those will lose
@An_Escaped_Mind
@An_Escaped_Mind Ай бұрын
Why colts over undefeated Steelers ?
@paulweeldreyer7457
@paulweeldreyer7457 Ай бұрын
I like the Colts, don't like the Bungals and the Ravens.
@daneger3210
@daneger3210 Ай бұрын
How Vikings not a play? Top 5 d love banged up. Jones revenge game? Im on Vikings for my dawg. Im all in Pitt, buffalo, min.
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
The key and Packers game is the health of QB Jordan Love
@angelvalentin8709
@angelvalentin8709 Ай бұрын
Donald is due to go back to his old self
@michaellee3680
@michaellee3680 Ай бұрын
@@angelvalentin8709 we have the players coaching and defence for that to be SMALL POSIBILITY
@edobrien6957
@edobrien6957 Ай бұрын
Lmao people still falling for Pitt
@scoobyscooby2975
@scoobyscooby2975 Ай бұрын
Steve I want to no what algorithim software u use so i can purchase as well
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
It is a proprietary model I used... developed in-house.
@scoobyscooby2975
@scoobyscooby2975 Ай бұрын
@@stevemerril3086 thanks u are awesome
@omlette9214
@omlette9214 Ай бұрын
jordan mason ATD breece hall ATD braeolon allen ATD chris godwin ATD achane ATD conner ATD geno o33.5 attempts nix o31.5 atttempts Stroud o33.5 attempts lamar o28.5 attempts Goff o32.5 attempts chase brown o1.5 rec achane o3.5 rec parris campbell o2.5 rec kamara o3.5 rec calvin austin o1.5 rec Evans o4.5 rec pickens o50.5 yards metcalf o61.5 yards trey palmer o14.5 yards kamara o27.5 yards
@ricky-reek3960
@ricky-reek3960 Ай бұрын
Let’s goooo😤 Thanks Steve
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Thanks for watching Ricky
@chadsclothauer3565
@chadsclothauer3565 Ай бұрын
Steve, Travis Kelce has yet to score a touchdown this season. A wager on anytime touchdown seem to you like a good bet? Thoughts?? Goodluck this week!!
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
No, he's on the back half of his career, and off field distractions as well for Kelce.
@chadsclothauer3565
@chadsclothauer3565 Ай бұрын
Thank you.
@TracMan
@TracMan Ай бұрын
Steve I'm from Chicago and as the rams are favored dawgs which maybe because of that win against 49ers They should just be favored imo. Although Caleb has shown some improvements the bears offense is that bad and coaching will lose these games for Chicago.Betting against the Bears is the play.
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Bears offense needs to improve, but the Rams defense has been terrible this season.
@TaylorCooper-j1s
@TaylorCooper-j1s Ай бұрын
When you say fade are we going with the opposite team that your saying or pick the teams you are saying
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Fade means play against
@CassiusClay-w1y
@CassiusClay-w1y Ай бұрын
Fading the public and Riding the Colts and Bears tomorrow -- like these matchups
@willthelefty300
@willthelefty300 Ай бұрын
What’s there to like about the colts matchup? Steelers should smash them if u ask me.
@MX-CO
@MX-CO Ай бұрын
Everyone I've heard watching videos is on The brars, Packers, Steelers, so those seem to the popular picks
@MrDavidknigge
@MrDavidknigge Ай бұрын
​@@willthelefty300yeah, we looking to fade the public. You the public.
@willthelefty300
@willthelefty300 Ай бұрын
@@MrDavidknigge fading the public doesn’t work 100 percent of the time
@MrDavidknigge
@MrDavidknigge Ай бұрын
@@willthelefty300 no, of course not. Colts are a very good running team. If they can help limit the turnovers from the QB, they have a good shot.
@Swellstew
@Swellstew Ай бұрын
Great stuff, Steve. Thx man!
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Thank you for watching
@NIZEENTertainment
@NIZEENTertainment Ай бұрын
Atl, Crazy Sec half ovr 47 Cinnci, SF Lo best to All
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Good luck 💯
@christ2551
@christ2551 Ай бұрын
Confusing. What are his picks?
@BigfistJP
@BigfistJP Ай бұрын
He's not giving them. You have to become a subscriber to get them...$$$. My advice is never pay for picks. Most of the results of games are by chance and he has no better idea of what is going to happen than you. But one thing he does point out is that it is always wise to fade the public picks.
@peter5824
@peter5824 Ай бұрын
I’m going to fade the public & take Panthers +4.5💰
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Andy Dalton turning this team around
@mistersharp1982
@mistersharp1982 Ай бұрын
So far the Bengals haven't done anything no reason to bet on them.
@MrDavidknigge
@MrDavidknigge Ай бұрын
As a fan, I can't get over the elation of seeing the Bungholes circle the drain. Their defense made the Commanders look like division contenders.
@MrStickyfingersca
@MrStickyfingersca Ай бұрын
31-27 Bangles
@angelvalentin8709
@angelvalentin8709 Ай бұрын
Bears defense will win this game rams got know shot the rams gave up the most TD's to WR this years d.j moore anytime TD
@brentinnes5151
@brentinnes5151 Ай бұрын
caleb v mathew...and you taking bears....not a good idea...bears got zero run game
@Silverline2572
@Silverline2572 Ай бұрын
Appreciate the analysis Merril.. I'm also a former Ram (93). Keep up the great work! Props I like: Nico Collins: OV 70+ alt rec yards Burrow: OV 1.5 TD's Gesicki: OV 25+ alt rec yds Rashee Rice: OV 70+ alt rec yds Tre Tucker: OV 30.5+ alt rec yds (D. Adams out) Goedert: OV 45.5+ alt rec yds (Smith out & probably Brown) Barkley: OV 70+ alt rush yds Harrison Jr.: OV 73.5 alt rec yds Hopefully most of these cash & others can cash in 👍. Thanks Steve & take care! J.C.
@MrDavidknigge
@MrDavidknigge Ай бұрын
All overs.
@Silverline2572
@Silverline2572 Ай бұрын
@@MrDavidknigge 95% of the time I play overs with alternative prop lines. All those props are below each player's average per game.
@MrDavidknigge
@MrDavidknigge Ай бұрын
@@Silverline2572 so you're selections are based on a comp to YTD AVG? Where's the nuance? There are a shitsuenamy of other important factors to consider, but I'm sure you know what you're doing.
@Silverline2572
@Silverline2572 Ай бұрын
@@MrDavidknigge That's what I normally do & it works out more often than not. I don't just use that metric. Many more to look at for sure. Whatever works.. Good luck.
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Great to hear from you J.C. I like the alt line approach, doing this consistently definitely gets some nice payoffs!
@luckyimpact
@luckyimpact Ай бұрын
Hey Steve, I’m a premium subscriber. Sports betting is all about the odds, and my Australian sportsbook is offering a special on Minnesota Vikings ML +192 Buffalo bills ML +173 I know you are on the other side for both, but this was a special boost from my local sports book and I wonder if it’s worth a stab?
@waveygravey30
@waveygravey30 Ай бұрын
Don't be scared
@george53536
@george53536 Ай бұрын
Scott Mirage at Bet MGM says Houston is getting the most sharp action from any of the early games this week
@firstaction7107
@firstaction7107 Ай бұрын
College was great yesterday 4-1
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
... another great week... has been a fantastic season!
@davidgaray9380
@davidgaray9380 Ай бұрын
Over 1.5 td passes... Murry, Mahomes, burrows and stroud 🔐 🔒
@mrwednesdaynight
@mrwednesdaynight Ай бұрын
The public being so high in the Rams is a red flag. But i can't in good conscious bet on the Bears. I am staying away from the side and looking at the total, currently 40.5. Two incompent offenses struggling to get anything done. I might wait to see it i can get that high but even at 40.5, i like the under.
@lakerreign
@lakerreign Ай бұрын
Steve, I’m big on the Bengals this week. Do you disagree? I bought down to -3 -150
@MrDavidknigge
@MrDavidknigge Ай бұрын
Have you made peace with your maker?
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
In general, I would not recommend buying lines down for that extra juice as single digit pointspread NFL games the line generally does not come into play too often.
@lakerreign
@lakerreign Ай бұрын
I hear you but -3 is such a key number. It seemed like ultimately you leaned with Cincy -4.5, let alone -3
@lakerreign
@lakerreign Ай бұрын
So would you roll with the public sentiment of Cincy -4.5?
@sundownstudios2.075
@sundownstudios2.075 Ай бұрын
I like the public fades of taking instead Green Bay and Chicago I think the Saints passer average rating is 3 and Cincinnati and Houston have better passer averages than their opponents. Maybe jut parlay Green Bay and Chicago?
@thomasbowe6822
@thomasbowe6822 Ай бұрын
Steelers 3 - 0 ATS Due for a lost
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
They would have probably been an underdog just a few weeks ago in this game
@jayrice8961
@jayrice8961 Ай бұрын
Minnesota as well, when will darold come back to earth
@jayrice8961
@jayrice8961 Ай бұрын
@@thomasbowe6822 Fields fade alert.
@TonyKingOfTheOzone
@TonyKingOfTheOzone Ай бұрын
Lets get this bag. Best of luck everyone.
@corkydukeII5898
@corkydukeII5898 Ай бұрын
I subscribe to alot of NFL 'Picks' channels and about 80% of them are on the Falcons. Strange. 🤫
@Wagertalk
@Wagertalk Ай бұрын
👀👀👀
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Overall, public is backing the dog though
@ZIGGYBALLS13
@ZIGGYBALLS13 Ай бұрын
i know the steelers are public i just don't trust anythony richardson vs the steelers defense and mike tomlin is good against rookie quarterbacks i'm surprised about bengals being public
@donaldjtoneyjr69
@donaldjtoneyjr69 Ай бұрын
Steelers & Vikings & Arizona & Jags & Jets & lions & Tampa Bay . Parlay tease them + 3
@clarencesiniard4821
@clarencesiniard4821 Ай бұрын
Rams + 3
@BMonger16
@BMonger16 Ай бұрын
Teasing JETS COLTS
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Good luck Brandon 🍀
@MrStickyfingersca
@MrStickyfingersca Ай бұрын
💸
@mikelew415
@mikelew415 Ай бұрын
Hit ✅💰
@thomasbowe6822
@thomasbowe6822 Ай бұрын
Teddy Covers big game break down in vavor of Panthers 😊
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Last week was the spot for the Panthers
@danycjones1325
@danycjones1325 Ай бұрын
Fade the public‼️‼️‼️‼️💥💥💥💥
@george474747
@george474747 Ай бұрын
Question: As a winning player, why would one tip their picks in the comments section? (I don't mean that rhetorically - experienced gambler, but not in this interactive legalised NFL betting environment.)
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
The NFL betting market is so big, no one single person is going to make a difference.
@george474747
@george474747 Ай бұрын
Well, I like M.Harrison Jr over 72.5 receiving yards at home to Washington's 31st ranked pass (yardage) defense. Limited with a quad Wed & Thu, but he was a full participant in Friday practice. 4 yards @ Bills, 130 vs Rams, 64 vs Lions. 5 catches from 11 targets vs Lions last week - K.Murray missed him with several deep attempts. I like 13/5 over 99.5 yards as well - more, actually.
@josephcolarossi6515
@josephcolarossi6515 Ай бұрын
Is it worth betting the Titans this week? Or are they the epitome of false hope?
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
To really bad offensive teams in that Monday night game
@josephcolarossi6515
@josephcolarossi6515 Ай бұрын
@@stevemerril1485 I am not sure I can trust Tyler "Snoop" Huntley or the mighty Titans, I may clean my apartment during this game.
@Hess.
@Hess. Ай бұрын
Not saying it’s going to happen but the chiefs have heavy public bets
@Wagertalk
@Wagertalk Ай бұрын
For the last three seasons basically.
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Public usually backs the Chiefs, with public starting to like the Chargers with Harbaugh this season.
@tims.3561
@tims.3561 Ай бұрын
Mahomes 17-1 against AFC West
@jayrice8961
@jayrice8961 Ай бұрын
Can Minnesota keep it going?
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
Tough spot this week at Green Bay
@stevengardiner1339
@stevengardiner1339 Ай бұрын
TD SCORERS JONES +125 HUBBARD -105 HARRIS +110 And parlay +822 +boost avail @Fanatics
@danny-vp5ct
@danny-vp5ct Ай бұрын
Caleb 225+ pass yds too easy
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
I agree
@KGrant_WA
@KGrant_WA Ай бұрын
Steve, do you read these comments? What were your picks? Cab you do everyone a favor and say, " The picks are: 1., 2., 3. , etc.? We're all missing your picks. ITS NOT CLEAR
@kjphilly5teamer114
@kjphilly5teamer114 Ай бұрын
The under has been cashing 💸 in this early season 🎉
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Yes KJ, a lot different than a few years ago went Overs were crushing
@paulh7084
@paulh7084 Ай бұрын
if the Public does not start hitting some games there will be lots of credit card advances, HELOC's and calls to long lost relatives.
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
😂💲😮
@saulpulido9937
@saulpulido9937 Ай бұрын
Too funny!😅
@rickymak8261
@rickymak8261 Ай бұрын
Jac was not bad last year I thing u a right I get 6.5 for the jac Ithanks
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Just worries me how bad they looked last week
@rickymak8261
@rickymak8261 Ай бұрын
Make money on cowboy under thanks😂😀
@rickymak8261
@rickymak8261 Ай бұрын
@@stevemerril1485 jax cover from begin to end 😀
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
​@@rickymak8261 Jaguars were a 💯 lock, since they were the last game I didn't use on my best bet card Sunday, although still went 2-0 overall, so can't complain 😁
@davidsamora
@davidsamora Ай бұрын
First time listening to this “fade the public” thing. I don’t hear any actual bets. What is the play on all these games?!
@JustLiftUce
@JustLiftUce Ай бұрын
You have to pay to get SM best bets.. other then that this is a guideline to help you determine which side you want to bet. SM not gonna give his best bets for FREE. SM is just dropping Gems and stats to help you out.
@WT1wL
@WT1wL Ай бұрын
He told you. If you don't understand this might not be for you
@carnivoreforlifepodcast5664
@carnivoreforlifepodcast5664 Ай бұрын
You fade the public, so you bet against what they like.
@davidsamora
@davidsamora Ай бұрын
@@carnivoreforlifepodcast5664Thank u.
@Declassified000
@Declassified000 Ай бұрын
He said the picks you are just a square who is so desperate for picks and not EV
@Lambiscon4906
@Lambiscon4906 Ай бұрын
So many people are on the Panthers now and that scares me..
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
I agree
@Sharpbettor7
@Sharpbettor7 Ай бұрын
It’s because the bengals can’t run the ball nor stop the run
@danielhicks4471
@danielhicks4471 Ай бұрын
Bengals are getting 80% of the bets🤔
@revolutionoftheclassics3630
@revolutionoftheclassics3630 Ай бұрын
I don't know why Vegas thinks the Bears will beat the Rams it doesn't make sense It makes me feel like it is a trap Bet.
@Fernando-q7e6e
@Fernando-q7e6e Ай бұрын
What's your favorite game of the week
@thomasbowe6822
@thomasbowe6822 Ай бұрын
Jax beat Texans last year
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
True
@dwarrior5468
@dwarrior5468 Ай бұрын
1-1 last year
@dwarrior5468
@dwarrior5468 Ай бұрын
They don’t have to win to cover
@garythegman9680
@garythegman9680 Ай бұрын
I got laid last year..
@normanherbert3449
@normanherbert3449 Ай бұрын
Carolina is not a bad team No team can be good if it does not rest it's defense Andy Dalton give the defense rest so they can be fresh
@9393timm
@9393timm Ай бұрын
the Colts have the turnover bug and the Steelers defense is going to jump on this I think so I like the Steelers "D" to keep them in this and thus far they have the better QB in Justin Fields gimme the Steelers
@normanherbert3449
@normanherbert3449 Ай бұрын
Colts defense is hurt, Pittsburgh should win handedly
@aaronproctor1736
@aaronproctor1736 Ай бұрын
Andy Dalton Revenge Game is all you need to know.
@tims.3561
@tims.3561 Ай бұрын
He getting smoked
@JustLiftUce
@JustLiftUce Ай бұрын
Nah bengals not even all that scary. Panthers cover ​@tims.3561
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
Good point... I should have mentioned that angle.
@Nonchalant1994
@Nonchalant1994 Ай бұрын
@@aaronproctor1736 I can tell you've never watched the Carolina Panthers play. There's only one Panthers in the sports world that matters and they're defending champions of the National Hockey League
@craigabney713
@craigabney713 Ай бұрын
HOW BOUT THEM COMMANDSKINS 😆
@MrDavidknigge
@MrDavidknigge Ай бұрын
Have you had a couple brewskiis? Helluva win my friend. Joe Who?
@mdmostafa8751
@mdmostafa8751 Ай бұрын
Take colts , Texan and atlanta...they all dint cover last week
@gallicia2003
@gallicia2003 Ай бұрын
Prophet Steve !!! He made me $$ with the 'BAMA PICK!
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Never in doubt 😉
@omlette9214
@omlette9214 Ай бұрын
ROLL TIDDEEEEEEEEEEE
@tjbuchanan3956
@tjbuchanan3956 Ай бұрын
What a wild ride for the Tide !
@peterlee1839
@peterlee1839 Ай бұрын
Mahomes +1.5 total TD
@ghert3850
@ghert3850 Ай бұрын
Lets gooooooo
@stevemerril3086
@stevemerril3086 Ай бұрын
Boom!
@jandodge3866
@jandodge3866 Ай бұрын
Want to get a package with you but have a few questions ~ best way to contact you? Thx
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
I contact info is available on X
@truthmonster3290
@truthmonster3290 Ай бұрын
In what universe do the Ravens beat the Bills?
@omlette9214
@omlette9214 Ай бұрын
I have a prop scanner and have been monitoring prop lines all week. Baltimore has been looking at the over. directional lean to the Ravens at home. NFL home team wins by 3 points ~10% of the time. go ravens
@KnicksNYanks84
@KnicksNYanks84 Ай бұрын
10-0 Bills will face the 10-0 Chiefs in week 11
@StephenFallon-wt7lv
@StephenFallon-wt7lv Ай бұрын
Yes sir Steve, I believe the Colts are a live dog. The Rams shoukd take care of da Bears even w all their injuries. I can't get in front of Minn. Their Off/Def lines are scary good. I do like Atlanta to beat N.Orl. I like Baltimore and I think there will be quite a bit of scoring in that one.. Thanks for your dedication Sir Steve..
@stevemerril1485
@stevemerril1485 Ай бұрын
Thanks for watching and commenting Stephen, always appreciate it!
@BMonger16
@BMonger16 Ай бұрын
Jags are a live dog. Colts are a 2 point chihuahua
@312tothe757
@312tothe757 Ай бұрын
The rams are the most public dog you have seen all season? How can that be? The betting splits do not agree with that, so im curious as to what you are referring to as far as the most public dog you have seen. Are you talking ML or the spread?
@davidgaray9380
@davidgaray9380 Ай бұрын
2R1L 🇺🇸💰🏀⚾️🏈
@bradyweiler909
@bradyweiler909 Ай бұрын
Why do you ALWAYS say Not My Washington Commanders
@garythegman9680
@garythegman9680 Ай бұрын
Because the wimps changed the name!!
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