Warren Buffett: A "Storm is Brewing" in the Stock Market (40% Stock Market Decline)

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Investor Center

Investor Center

20 күн бұрын

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Warren Buffett is prepping for a staggering 55 trillion dollar storm that has been brewing in the stock market for the last 15 years. Buffett’s favorite stock market indicator is flashing alarm bells, warning that a 40% decline in the stock market could happen any day now. For background, Buffet is by far the most closely followed investor in the entire world. Every move he makes is scrutinized to the very smallest detail. However, it’s not what Buffett IS doing now that has people worried. It’s actually the opposite. As weird as it may sound, it’s what Buffett ISN’T doing that has people incredibly nervous. Make sure to stick around to the end of this video to find out how you can protect yourself from what’s ahead. Here’s what Buffett had to say at the recent Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder’s meeting when asked why he had been selling stocks and piling up cash.
Warren Buffett is universally regarded as the greatest investor of all time. However, he has been eerily quiet as of late when it comes to buying stocks. In fact, Buffett has even been selling billions of dollars worth of Apple stock, a company just a couple years ago was considered one of his quote “forever” holdings. As a result, Buffett’s cash pile at Berkshire Hathaway has hit a staggering 189 billion dollars. Leaving many people to believe he is building up cash to prepare for an upcoming stock market crash. In gray here, we have the Berkshire Hathaway cash pile by quarter from the years 1996 to 2018. The orange line represents the price of the S&P 500 during that same time period. For reference, the S&P is an index consisting of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies listed in the United States. It is generally considered a proxy for the US stock market.
Buffett has repeatedly said in public venues that it is impossible to time the market. However, this may be an example of the old saying “do as I say, not as I do”. As we can see here, despite Buffett professing that he never tries to time the stock market, he surely does always seems to have a large amount of cash ready to buy stocks when the market crashes

Пікірлер: 425
@InvestorCenter
@InvestorCenter 18 күн бұрын
Download Buffett's SECRET Investment Checklist for Completely free: thecompoundersclub.ck.page/0079dfc8f1
@edgibbs3229
@edgibbs3229 18 күн бұрын
What percentage of your personal portfolio is in Berkshire Hathaway stock?
@jungujchoi
@jungujchoi 10 күн бұрын
Your interpretation is wrong. The reason Mr. Buffett has tons of assets in cash position is because BRK is making money off of high interest treasury bonds. It is not that he is waiting for the market to crash. Just like how Mr Buffett loves dividend income. Today, treasury bonds are paying very high interest return. Just FYI, BRK purchased millions of more shares in OXY recently.
@ishtiaqmohiuddin138
@ishtiaqmohiuddin138 6 күн бұрын
This is kind of fake news. Munger was commenting about commercial real estate
@AnnaCeline-ku9ys
@AnnaCeline-ku9ys 3 күн бұрын
You will miss a lot of good opportunities to make money online if you don’t have money.
@KimbleyBrown-vg5qw
@KimbleyBrown-vg5qw 3 күн бұрын
As a new beginner you surely need a professional to guide you through the process.
@Hgl-sz2re
@Hgl-sz2re 3 күн бұрын
If not Astrid Iwertz I would have lost all my hard earnings to fake account managers out there.
@AndreaAldo-zr1dh
@AndreaAldo-zr1dh 3 күн бұрын
Consistency matters a lot when it comes to online investment and other crypto assets.
@justinodoemena4554
@justinodoemena4554 3 күн бұрын
How do I connect with her ?
@MikeLorenzo-pk9nb
@MikeLorenzo-pk9nb 3 күн бұрын
+1
@Benjaminarmstrong684
@Benjaminarmstrong684 10 күн бұрын
If you wanna be successful, you most take responsibility for your emotions, not place the blame on others. In addition to make you feel more guilty about your faults, pointing the finger at others will only serve to increase your sense of personal accountability. There's always a risk in every investment, yet people still invest and succeed. You must look outward if you wanna be successful in life.
@doctorcrichton
@doctorcrichton 9 күн бұрын
Why you telling me basics. I am here about the stock market.
@hesomhcbrso
@hesomhcbrso 2 күн бұрын
Absolutely! Taking responsibility is key to success. 💪 When it comes to investments, why not get some expert guidance? Margaret Ellen Whitlock is fantastic-a real financial guru who can help you navigate those risks! 📈✨
@hillaryrowland1
@hillaryrowland1 13 күн бұрын
My strategy is buy quality stocks, expect to hold no matter what, pay up but don't over pay, keep track, sell rarely, be ready to course correct.
@MargaretGeoffrey
@MargaretGeoffrey 13 күн бұрын
A lot of people think they should always be buying and selling something. That's a mistake. 99% of successful investing is waiting, learning, awareness/experience and getting extremely lucky with the market
@SteveDaniel152
@SteveDaniel152 13 күн бұрын
I totally agree, although coming into market I missed the experience part, but my current trading expert helped me. He turned my 50k loss, made me 70k in a month, if not for him, I can't even begin to imagine.. he actually does most of my trading to be honest
@ArnoldWilliams092
@ArnoldWilliams092 13 күн бұрын
Risk management should always come first, the reason many traders lose money is not simply due to inexperience or a lack of knowledge of the market, but because of poor risk management
@ChangKim960
@ChangKim960 13 күн бұрын
As a beginner what do I need to do? How can I invest, on which platform? If you know any please share
@SteveDaniel152
@SteveDaniel152 13 күн бұрын
Timothy Eric Meek
@mayalucia-
@mayalucia- 14 күн бұрын
Stocks in the short term look more likely to move downward. I Just inherited $500k which I Look forward to invest. what stocks should I look into as a newbie to safely grow my money?
@SofiaDiego-
@SofiaDiego- 14 күн бұрын
Find quality stocks that have long term potential, and ride with those stocks. I have found it takes someone who is very familiar with the market to make such good picks.
@Adrianaluca-um6ny
@Adrianaluca-um6ny 14 күн бұрын
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
@danutalucia
@danutalucia 14 күн бұрын
I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
@judyschwan3558
@judyschwan3558 14 күн бұрын
AI stocks
@DadsAmazingChannel
@DadsAmazingChannel 14 күн бұрын
GME
@daviddempsay4930
@daviddempsay4930 18 күн бұрын
In the first video of Buffett (starting at 1:25) Buffett speaks of Charlie Munger in the present tense, but Munger died in late November of 2023. Obviously this video is using dated footage to support the notion of an imminent occurrence. While I agree that a contraction is coming fairly soon (most likely shortly after the next national election) when the title of the video specifies that it will be 40%, then you know you're dealing with clickbait. Doomsaying sure sells well, doesn't it? To the content producers at Investor Center: please tell us, how fantastic does clickbaition feel?
@InvestorCenter
@InvestorCenter 18 күн бұрын
Relax dude. Video was from most recent Berkshire meeting in May 2024
@hondusspa
@hondusspa 18 күн бұрын
What are you on about ? That video is from the latest Berkshire annual meeting this year. Munger passed away late last year.
@daviddempsay4930
@daviddempsay4930 18 күн бұрын
@@hondusspa I am "on" about the fact this this video is obvious doom-saying clickbait intended to manipulate the KZbin algorithms by playing on investors' worst fears (perhaps that wasn't obvious to you). If you read through the other responses to this video, you might notice that I am far from the the only poster who noted the stilted nature of this video.
@profitmix441
@profitmix441 18 күн бұрын
Did you watch it live? Warren even asked Charlie to speak then he said sorry.. it was sad the crowd just cheered him on.
@NolalanD
@NolalanD 17 күн бұрын
you called it. not that its bad to keep some cash for dips but save us the book of revelations shit please lol.
@thare2597
@thare2597 17 күн бұрын
The billions in "cash" are actually buying T-bills at 5.4% a return. Also mentioned at the latest meeting.
@InvestorCenter
@InvestorCenter 17 күн бұрын
Yes - that’s why it’s cash and “cash equivalents”
@Steven-nd1pz
@Steven-nd1pz 14 күн бұрын
I took Charlotte Miller's advice, and as a result I'm now broke and live under a bridge. Thanks a lot Charlotte.
@user-sd8zz1lc1x
@user-sd8zz1lc1x 6 күн бұрын
😂😂😂
@TheSirkarl101
@TheSirkarl101 15 күн бұрын
Of course the market is overvalued. My 78 year old father in law thinks something is seriously wrong as his retirement pension just keeps going up while prices keep skyrocketing.
@DelaneyStudios
@DelaneyStudios 13 күн бұрын
this is the reason it is increasing.
@richardperea9668
@richardperea9668 11 күн бұрын
Inflation means that producers age getting more for the items they sell. If they control costs, their bottom line--the foundation for stock valuations--goes up. Stock price increases are self-fueled. It is only speculation and trading that results in a short-term roller coaster ride. And, up or down, its always, by definition, short term.
@TopazDreamer-qu2tn
@TopazDreamer-qu2tn 17 күн бұрын
The sell off of US bonds and slow transition away from the petro dollar is a solid indicator. Add the small banks in trouble that larger institutions are waiting to scoop up it's clear the direction of travel that's being fed by financial players looking to exit at top of market, then buy double or treble investments when markets bottom. It's their usual cycle harvest most fail to perceive
@TheGoodrog
@TheGoodrog 18 күн бұрын
I feel we would have been better served if your graph of buffets cash pile vs sp500 was of his cash pile to portfolio size or brka market cap ratio
@AzeemAkbar
@AzeemAkbar 16 күн бұрын
A lot the listed companies have significant international exposure now, so, is the GDP of the US the correct factor for the denominator?
@kengvue833
@kengvue833 13 күн бұрын
Basically what he is saying is sell your stocks now before it crashes and then rebuy stocks when it’s cheap…not hard to understand
@worlddj1364
@worlddj1364 8 күн бұрын
Hard to time.
@nathanlewis42
@nathanlewis42 3 күн бұрын
A lot easier said than done.
@plane_guy6051
@plane_guy6051 Күн бұрын
He's not saying that at all. He's saying that he has SO much money that he doesn't have to be fully invested at any given time, and in fact not even close to fully invested and never, ever needs to be. He runs an insurance company which is the biggest racket in the world, but most people NEED insurance so he has a bottomless pit of money that gets bigger by the day without hardly investing a dime.
@Schneiw
@Schneiw 17 күн бұрын
Only 40%? The stock price of S&P is 5x the book value. That's a bubble, and all bubbles pop eventually.
@KelvinHo-uu5zl
@KelvinHo-uu5zl 17 күн бұрын
you must be all-in betting against the S&P 500 then? How much money do you have in the short position? Only looking at this one valuation metric..not very convincing
@KrustyKlown
@KrustyKlown 17 күн бұрын
Rate Cuts haven't happened yet .. the Bubble will grow!! .. a lot.
@sarwarkhan1185
@sarwarkhan1185 17 күн бұрын
😂😂😂😂 book values are not a reflection of true business value . As an investor you must focus on Operating Profits, growth, Cash flows, Net margins etc and PS ratios as well as balance sheet like total assets to total Liabilities. These are a few things I watch for investing in companies. To me book value matter but only if a company is crashing back to earth . If a company is growing its book value will follow the growth too so don’t focus too much on book value unless it’s a failing business .
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn 15 күн бұрын
@@KelvinHo-uu5zl The way to play it is to buy out of the money puts each month on the index after the U.S. election is over this November. I see fair market value at least eighty percent lower. The safest bet is short the U.S. dollar and go long gold. The only positive for stocks is the falling U.S. dollar after the election. Long term stocks are just a ponzi like Bitcoin but at least Bitcoin is a bet against the U.S. dollar which is the right bet in the future.
@David-ny2nj
@David-ny2nj 15 күн бұрын
@@KelvinHo-uu5zldo a DCF sometime and you’ll realize. Then do a DCF on 5 randomly chosen s&p companies. Please dude, 50+% of s&p is tech and all those tech companies are overvalued. You are just naive, be more open minded. People don’t understand what ai is and they are investing super heavily in tech because of a buzzword. If they rlly knew about ai, they would invest in electric
@Armstrong741
@Armstrong741 17 сағат бұрын
Stop with the clickbait titles. I used to love the unbiased videos on whats really going on in the market. Crash fatigue is showing with most folks. My $200,000 holdings are down 7% after selling some APPL. This video leaves me some serious concern.
@Theresaa12
@Theresaa12 17 сағат бұрын
Before making any investing decisions, it is advisable that you consult with a qualified financial counsellor. Just my two cents.
@User_not_found_403
@User_not_found_403 18 күн бұрын
Its buy low sell high based on value, not based on time. Just so happens best value deals present themselves after. a crash.
@KrustyKlown
@KrustyKlown 17 күн бұрын
and we are sitting on a historically record high economy, strong GDP growth, and record number of Americans working .. and massive rate cuts still to go...this market cycle is nowhere near the top yet.
@User_not_found_403
@User_not_found_403 17 күн бұрын
@@KrustyKlown GDP based on gov spending not organic. illegal immigrants working and fudged and revised job numbers, no rate cuts in sight unless there is a disaster...but yet, maybe not top yet because its an election year so extend and pretend continues.
@Cici1791
@Cici1791 16 күн бұрын
@@KrustyKlown Yes and no.
@KrustyKlown
@KrustyKlown 16 күн бұрын
@@Cici1791 "No" .. why? .. do you think rates will never be cut, lol???
@Cici1791
@Cici1791 16 күн бұрын
@@KrustyKlown No, of course I think they will be cut. But I also know it will be based on bullshit and fake numbers.
@chrisaustin6255
@chrisaustin6255 18 күн бұрын
Clearly Buffet has changed his view over the years. If he is selling a forever stock then it can't be a forever stock
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn 15 күн бұрын
A 40,000 DOW when it should be 4,000 might have something to do with it.
@patrickmanasco5905
@patrickmanasco5905 12 күн бұрын
@@parkerbohnnseems like a bit extreme but would be interesting
@BRK-B-all-the-way
@BRK-B-all-the-way 10 күн бұрын
The only reason why he is selling is because it represents too large of a percent within the portfolio. They do this in the best interest of their shareholders. It is not because Apple is performing poorly or they are going in the wrong direction for the future. He clearly admits, Apple is a very well run company.
@pbhoidale
@pbhoidale 5 күн бұрын
@@BRK-B-all-the-way Exactly. If he bought AAPL at 40, at 200 it's likely outgrown the rules he has for Berkshire. If people can't understand that concept, they should be buying CD's.
@Clint_the_Audio-Photo_Guy
@Clint_the_Audio-Photo_Guy 17 күн бұрын
Soooo, are we thinking before October this year then? ;)
@DIYDaveT
@DIYDaveT 18 күн бұрын
But but but wait! Buffet has been telling us NOT to time the markets for all these decades, and now he is, YES, timing the market. That's what market timing is! You hoard cash because you think stocks are too expensive and not enough growth. So I tell you all, if Buffet is out, I'm out.
@_TulipMania
@_TulipMania 18 күн бұрын
Stop being a scary little baby and put ya money up for some day trades...plenty of intraday dips going on
@harrycee656
@harrycee656 18 күн бұрын
Buffet is never out of the market. His cash position has been building up over time. He has bought, but there is slim pickings right now. Also, 5% risk free means the stocks need to be that much more attractive.
@bighoss8793
@bighoss8793 17 күн бұрын
Buffet is a bullshitter.
@ak-yo4wo
@ak-yo4wo 17 күн бұрын
Who is buffet saving all the money for?
@arjuna3234
@arjuna3234 17 күн бұрын
@@ak-yo4wo for the Gates foundation, this is fact
@patricks8364
@patricks8364 12 күн бұрын
Looks like the video on Buffett has been edited. Look at the pauses.
@sametsamet-sr3nj
@sametsamet-sr3nj 17 күн бұрын
What goes up always come down this time it went up so fast in such a short time it will eventually come down and go up again 😅 it doesn't hurt to sleep on some cash just in case
@vallaeiasprings9870
@vallaeiasprings9870 16 күн бұрын
so what sence is there in having huge cash reserves when the u.s.dollar is NO LONGER the global reserve currency?
@landerhendrickx3522
@landerhendrickx3522 13 күн бұрын
In what sense is it no longer the global reserve currency?
@vallaeiasprings9870
@vallaeiasprings9870 13 күн бұрын
im sure youve seen many other vids explaining that saudi arabia no longer (as of june 9, 2024) accepts the american dollar as payment along with china, russia, india, brazil...and and and others theres over 40 other countries choosing to join up with the BRICs nations that are NOT accepting the american dollar any longer​@@landerhendrickx3522
@christronic
@christronic 12 күн бұрын
Well, if there is a 40% Decline, he doesn't lose money on the cash, then when the market is at fair value, he jumps in again.
@Ramiro-Agarra-Luquivenga
@Ramiro-Agarra-Luquivenga 8 күн бұрын
The billions in "cash" are actually buying T-bills at 5.4% a return. Also mentioned at the latest meeting.
@JohnKMazzie
@JohnKMazzie 18 күн бұрын
This video is from the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholder Conference and although it was posted seven (7) hours ago is actually more than two (2) months old and before Charlie Munger passed away.
@InvestorCenter
@InvestorCenter 18 күн бұрын
Nope. Charlie munger passed away late 2023. This clip is from only around one month ago
@JohnKMazzie
@JohnKMazzie 18 күн бұрын
@@InvestorCenter How can this video clip have been recorded approximately one (1) month ago which features Charlie Munger but he passed away November 2023..?
@danabennett4330
@danabennett4330 18 күн бұрын
Could we be witnessing a self-fulfilling prophecy. When interviewing Buffet, we are always reminded that he is a POWERHOUSE INVESTOR with great experience and wisdom. When Buffet speaks, the market reacts. He's telling us what is coming because?
@profitmix441
@profitmix441 18 күн бұрын
@@JohnKMazzieWarren mentioned Charlie twice on his conference.. even asked Charlie to speak but Charlie is gone. 😢 don’t hear this video listen to it.
@jdgolf499
@jdgolf499 8 күн бұрын
​@@JohnKMazzieYou clearly didn't watch the entire video, because it clearly stated that the clup with Charlie in it was from 2001. It was shown to show the difference in Warren's stance about saying things that might move the markwts.
@roymichaeldeanable
@roymichaeldeanable 18 күн бұрын
Like is full of positives and negatives....been around almost as long and nothing has been earthshattering
@vnavna001
@vnavna001 16 күн бұрын
The video is clipped together
@hermes8258
@hermes8258 5 күн бұрын
Why does your chart of WB's cash position end in 2018?
@NolalanD
@NolalanD 17 күн бұрын
I think this video ignores one part of his answer, which is that the scale of BRK is the largest problem. If he had only 10 million and no positions he could/would certainly deploy it.
@pavloa6299
@pavloa6299 18 күн бұрын
Mars is privat company, external investors incl Buffet could not invest in it
@TheColonelJJ
@TheColonelJJ 14 күн бұрын
I truly enjoy your sketching. Nice, unique, creator! Thanks.
@wolf-yw9wk
@wolf-yw9wk 16 күн бұрын
why didn’t buffet see apple microsoft meta google etc as viable? his strategy works for his type of investments but when it comes to understanding how the world has changed scale wise i think he has a tendency to to under value tech. he ran to gold start of pandemic another thing he always said was dumb. his track record is great but also there’s a point when u amass so much money that any move is a genius move even at only a few percentage points which the real buffet effect is “oh buffet bought this he has the midas touch so i’ll buy it” which moves the price up which creates its own feedback loop. there are so many layers to all of it, i do think buffet is very analog in his approach which is great but i also think he doesn’t understand why people would buy into a digital world which still even its early days. we r building a new world “layer” that isn’t see’s candy and coca cola,its digital assets, ai, tons of other systems which are still being shaped. its like not understanding why a kid would buy skins in a video game, yet millions upon millions are spent every year doing just that. there is a different generation who values things far differently.
@pumpupthevolume4775
@pumpupthevolume4775 2 күн бұрын
Uh, his biggest holding is in tech.
@wolf-yw9wk
@wolf-yw9wk 2 күн бұрын
@@pumpupthevolume4775 yes and he bought how many years after the fact ?
@wolf-yw9wk
@wolf-yw9wk Күн бұрын
@@pumpupthevolume4775 how long did it take him to put money into that tech? years, decades.
@TheJustinLevinson
@TheJustinLevinson 17 күн бұрын
Omgoodness.. You're voice is so sweet and soothing... I hope you're not a bot hehe
@InvestorCenter
@InvestorCenter 17 күн бұрын
I'm not!
@theonewhoknocks2835
@theonewhoknocks2835 17 күн бұрын
@@InvestorCenterReplied like a bot
@metaphor4539
@metaphor4539 18 күн бұрын
This video comes across as concocted! Something is really off here.
@OingoBoingo-eg2cw
@OingoBoingo-eg2cw 18 күн бұрын
Agree
@dialac1
@dialac1 17 күн бұрын
💯 AI garbage
@NolalanD
@NolalanD 17 күн бұрын
It's sensationalized and operates on fallacy. But in the message is a kernel of wisdom.
@WShaw859
@WShaw859 15 күн бұрын
Gaslighting by another name...
@adinahgwendolineangeladawn2316
@adinahgwendolineangeladawn2316 15 күн бұрын
@@OingoBoingo-eg2cw its not sensationalized i assure you
@roymichaeldeanable
@roymichaeldeanable 18 күн бұрын
Nothing is ever permanent, one day he will understand that
@walt1955
@walt1955 17 күн бұрын
He probably understands that. He sold permanent Apple.
@shaad-kr9dq
@shaad-kr9dq 18 күн бұрын
should dip before end of the month maybe last week of the month
@caddie1a
@caddie1a 17 күн бұрын
Ben Graham in ‘The Intelligent Investor’ says timing the market is a fools game. He also said that he & Dodd were convinced a person could time AND price the market (Chapter 8 I think).
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn 15 күн бұрын
Even an 80 percent crash wouldn't bring the markets down to fair market value As an aside putting a value on something which has zero fundamental and can only go lower as the world gets poorer each year means the crash should eclipse the 89 percent drop from the '29 crash top to bottom..
@vokysugar7702
@vokysugar7702 14 күн бұрын
If the fed will print more money, is keep cash smart?
@mclyker
@mclyker 14 күн бұрын
I don't think infamous means what you think it means.
@michaelkim2147
@michaelkim2147 17 күн бұрын
But here’s the thing, when it comes to the US economy lately I’ve learned that the only prediction one can get right is that something unpredictable will happen.
@JcarlosDnava
@JcarlosDnava 13 күн бұрын
Not nothing like going straight in to the 🌪 i will see the ⚡️🌞
@SashavonTschin
@SashavonTschin 15 күн бұрын
Hopefully this insane valuation is going to bust. unfortunately central banks are working against corrections pumping vast amounts of cash into economies.
@MachinecoNY
@MachinecoNY Күн бұрын
CAUTION- He refers to Charlie in the present tense. so this is NOT 2 weeks ago !!! Try at least SEVEN Months ago!
@SuperLocotaco
@SuperLocotaco 18 күн бұрын
So happy that you are back to narrating your own videos. 👍👍👍
@InvestorCenter
@InvestorCenter 17 күн бұрын
Glad you like them!
@jryecart8017
@jryecart8017 10 күн бұрын
BIDEN'S TOP TEN - - proposes largest tax increase in history ($4.9 TRILLION) calls for an unprecedented $86.6 TRILLION in spending over ten years generates the largest debt in American history by 2034 ($52.7 TRILLION) results in $12.2 TRILLION in interest payments, $2.5 TRILLION more than the ENTIRE DEFENSE BUDGET restores partisan changes in Child Tax Credit by removing work requirements, turning it into an unconditional cash grant costing $310 BILLION provides $104 BILLION in mandatory funding to the IRS over the budget window to further monitor American taxpayers spends $90 BILLION on taxpayer-funded free community college, on top of $132 BILLION already spent forgiving students loans fails to secure the border by underinvesting and maintaining status quo like "catch & release." Illegal Immigration costs taxpayers $163 BILLION Permanently expands inflationary Obamacare subsidies including some of the Nation's richest Americans, costing taxpayers over $350 BILLION Undercuts domestic energy dependance by imposing $120 BILLION in new taxes on American energy producers ^^^ source, HOUSE BUDGET COMMITTEE
@DeltaLimaActual
@DeltaLimaActual 17 күн бұрын
Hmmm...looking at the graph (4:44), after 2003, Buffet's cash position closely mirrored the S&P500! He was a mediocre investor after 2003, like an index fund.
@TeslaEVolution
@TeslaEVolution 14 күн бұрын
Buffet indicator is great, but there are about 20 OTHER indicators saying "CRASH WARNING"!! The Schiller index, credit-card and car-payment late payments, unemployment rates, producer indexes and much more. Markets are often IRRATIONAL though, until the rubber-band breaks!
@greatndit
@greatndit 15 күн бұрын
The story about the stock price bubble has been around since 2008 . To this day, it hasn't popped up yet
@Gabber44906
@Gabber44906 15 күн бұрын
This WAS NOT POSTED 2 DAYS AGO!
@cdm4593
@cdm4593 18 күн бұрын
He did buy Chubb.
@WondrousEarth
@WondrousEarth 8 күн бұрын
This video has an unreal number of ads which pop up.
@afterdark6822
@afterdark6822 16 күн бұрын
We are back on this again?
@Sam9wilson9
@Sam9wilson9 18 күн бұрын
@musheopeaus4125
@musheopeaus4125 13 күн бұрын
He never said that you click bait sompleton
@Poltdrimt
@Poltdrimt 16 күн бұрын
I just had 4 police officers and 1 nurse come to my door I am relaxing on a Sunday what in the bleep is going on..
@growupwithbani4901
@growupwithbani4901 16 күн бұрын
Good 😊
@davidmaib677
@davidmaib677 10 күн бұрын
You are so .....He never said that. He saves if he sees not so great opportunitys'. He is not saying it will sell off 40 %
@adamasimolowo8285
@adamasimolowo8285 15 күн бұрын
Buffett selling AAPL isn't necessarily a red flag. He recently bought more shares in OXY and CHUBB.. so he's definitely still buying
@EnergeticWaves
@EnergeticWaves 16 күн бұрын
You'll own nothing and you'll be happy is a phrase originating in a 2016 video by the World Economic Forum (WEF),
@MrMasterDebate
@MrMasterDebate 14 күн бұрын
If a 40% decline in the stock market occurs, it will be a wonderful flash sale !
@oneflewoverthetaxi
@oneflewoverthetaxi 17 күн бұрын
Thanks!
@InvestorCenter
@InvestorCenter 17 күн бұрын
Welcome!
@judyschwan3558
@judyschwan3558 14 күн бұрын
I would pay 1 billion on the US deficit and then give a few billion to our best charities and Wonderful Veterans!
@22Epic
@22Epic 3 күн бұрын
The US deficit is increasing at a rate of 10 billion per day, paying 1 billion won't change anything 😅 The USA are screwed.
@harrycee656
@harrycee656 18 күн бұрын
He has buying the dips per the chart. The deals are just not there.
@kevinthomson9513
@kevinthomson9513 14 күн бұрын
The market is grinding higher, a 41% decline tomorrow gets to the same level as a 40% decline today, so do you want to be short or long?
@johnrobertson4490
@johnrobertson4490 9 күн бұрын
Yes its a good time if you have 20 years to live, so look after your health first, so your alive to spend it, when you get it.
@Sridhar_N_Rao
@Sridhar_N_Rao 15 күн бұрын
It is an outdated video. Just being reloaded as if new
@leavanwinkle1740
@leavanwinkle1740 16 күн бұрын
Have you actually listened to this? What is he saying?
@JuniorRodigan
@JuniorRodigan 13 күн бұрын
Five days later ….. nothing has collapsed
@JohnJohnson-oh4zn
@JohnJohnson-oh4zn 4 сағат бұрын
Surely the US government won't let me down, right? Full faith and credit! Too big too...ffffff.
@sid35gb
@sid35gb 12 күн бұрын
A large chunk of that is to cover his insurance company if there’s a major incident that triggers a very large payout or multiple large payouts. Also there’s not many companies big enough at the right price. Also he’s making money on T bills at the moment.
@juttagalbory6659
@juttagalbory6659 15 күн бұрын
Why would Buffet tell us something that will help us? What he will do is tell us what to do that will profit Him.
@paullockyer7905
@paullockyer7905 10 күн бұрын
Hey Warren. You’ve hated Bitcoin. How’s that working out?
@seanvaradhan8989
@seanvaradhan8989 17 күн бұрын
Please repeat this video under different names on a weekly basis. Some day the market will crash and you can claim your credit of predicting it accurately and your channel will get more subscribers and viewers.
@PersonalMoneyTeam
@PersonalMoneyTeam 8 күн бұрын
My Dad retired this year at 70 but he took SS at 62. Since he was working he invested his SS every month ($2k). Today that investment is worth about $280,000! His investments pay him about $15k in dividends every year. Of course he has also been maxing out his 401k and IRA for as long as I can remember. Even though his SS would be about $4k at 70 he would have lost out on the growth of his investments and not collected any dividend income! Needless to say he was very wise to start his SS at 62! I love my Dad ♥!
@paulomane8
@paulomane8 17 күн бұрын
Perhaps people are forgeting US national debt is nearly 35trillion with a T. And there's war in Europe which no one knows the implications of it and things could go wrong big quickly. So there's that.
@afonsodeportugal
@afonsodeportugal 18 күн бұрын
Thank you for the S&P500 vs Berkshire cash graph. That alone made this video worthy!
@InvestorCenter
@InvestorCenter 18 күн бұрын
That was a very interesting graph!
@yeeyaophang1220
@yeeyaophang1220 16 күн бұрын
He has insider news and he can’t say it out so obviously.
@Fried52
@Fried52 13 күн бұрын
Buffet is not always right. Just check the track record. I've been a Bear at heart for years. The old commodity trader in me. Always made more money and faster timing the short side of markets. But right now I'am outright Bullish on equities. I got a parabolic buy signal on the close of last year on all my monthly charts. That doesn't happen very often. Could be a fake out, but looks to me like we had a correction to the Bull we started back in 09. From the high in early 2020 through and during the pandemic. Then took new highs the beginning of 21 and followed through. Then corrected back to that breakout in 22 turned around and at the beginning of this year took to new highs again. I got my buy signals in Dec of 23. Nas100 was 15,948. First target on a measured move Nas100 20,311. Watching it because it's leading the way. Right now, for the moment the long term technical momentum indicators all look very bullish.
@meditation11450
@meditation11450 15 күн бұрын
Isn't these old statements, right after covid
@shaneomack5018
@shaneomack5018 14 күн бұрын
2 months ago
@gernotritzau5948
@gernotritzau5948 13 күн бұрын
Keep in mind, that they are talking about legacy blue stocks, not companies that already got beat down by the market as it is, Buffett can't invest billions into a small business, they are way too big for that sort of investment, so if you're a small time investor, don't follow Buffett around, he is inspiring, but he has nothing to give to the small timers...
@Bart77666
@Bart77666 14 күн бұрын
LOL they been saying that for last 3 years .
@Anonymousviewer-zs2cl
@Anonymousviewer-zs2cl 16 күн бұрын
lol...he's probably getting squeezed out of his PUT options
@savionics7923
@savionics7923 18 күн бұрын
Interesting
@irenaeusofpensacola
@irenaeusofpensacola 15 күн бұрын
Buffett is being consistent with what he has said. He isn't trying to time the market. He has 189 billion in cash. When you have a cash pile that size, you aren't going to be chasing ten million dollar deals. That's what he is saying. When you have was much cash as Berkshire does, it becomes difficult to find worthwhile deals that would make a meaningful difference for Berkshire. In such situations, it is better to hold cash until an opportunity that could noticably move the needle.
@mikatu
@mikatu 11 күн бұрын
Some people say he is that good in timing the market. I prefer to see the reality and it is clear that he has inside information. Which is not strange since he moves in those markets, but we need to understand that those moves are not done on a whim, it takes time to study and prepare those moves. He knows well ahead of time what is going to happen.
@TT3TT3
@TT3TT3 13 күн бұрын
He' s getting 5% for his cash at zero risk -many are doing this and that why there is so much cash on the sidelines.
@johnrobertson4490
@johnrobertson4490 9 күн бұрын
me to why risk so much if you have a lot, if your young with years to go thats fine.
@yootubeinfo
@yootubeinfo 12 күн бұрын
Where is Buffet keeping his cash?
@MultiMarty25
@MultiMarty25 15 күн бұрын
He knows the good days are over.He invested years ago( 60 years)when a person could make millions in the stock market but nowadays it's virtually impossible it's overpriced and world volatility is just insane.
@ecobob101
@ecobob101 2 күн бұрын
He doesn't mean that he is waiting for a crash - He has a criteria that a company needs to pass for him to buy. He is in no rush to make money
@Searchingforanswers
@Searchingforanswers 5 күн бұрын
So…I know nothing about investing. My tiny bit of money is in RRSP mutuel funds. How do I liquidate without taking the money on as income and pay taxes on it
@josephcler3299
@josephcler3299 17 күн бұрын
Warren Buffett does not say that he thinks the stock market's gonna crash.He's just not sure what's gonna happen.And is sticking to cash right now.
@5dc61
@5dc61 4 күн бұрын
That’s enough for me to think a big correction might be near.
@somchai9033
@somchai9033 16 күн бұрын
Clickbait
@kevinberta8741
@kevinberta8741 17 күн бұрын
Warren Buffett is a very smart man and is way smarter than myself when it comes to investing. One thing that seems like a flaw is that US GDP may not be the best for his devisor in my opinion. As it has become a more global economy, I would think the GDP of foreign countries that US companies do business in would need to be included. That would lower the overall evaluation of the stock price. I'm sure stocks are overvalued but not to the level that his number is predicting.
@noneed8468
@noneed8468 18 күн бұрын
how when earnings are increasing and valuations minus mag 7 are lower than have been fro years esp small caps, stop with the same old nonsense
@jameswirth3117
@jameswirth3117 9 сағат бұрын
40% decline? Not unless interest rates go a whole lot higher. The 10 year Treasury, now at 4.24%, would need to depreciate enough to have a yield of about 6.6%. Today, SPX trades at 23x forward earnings, a 40% decline would put the index at 3268 vs 5447 today. With higher interest rates the SPX multiple would decline to around 15x earnings. Does Warren think that TNX will trade at 6.6%? Warren is having a tough time finding bargains because interest rates are low versus where they were in the 1970's.
@MurthyMurthy-wb7nx
@MurthyMurthy-wb7nx Күн бұрын
Buffet sir your principal is equal to prise,, time,, rate devided by hundred is equal to one plate buffet ,, now check your entire stock market is number of buffet plates who eat ❓
@timothygrote9529
@timothygrote9529 16 күн бұрын
Buffett: “It’s not about timing the market,……. it’s about time IN the market”. Also Buffett: I’m sitting in $182 billion, waiting for the market to fall. 🤣🤣🤣🤣
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn 15 күн бұрын
They all pay Buffett off so he doesn't short the ponzi fraud three ring circus sideshow known as the U.S. stock market with all his cash as long was he can hold margin.
@user-bt9cm7ze4c
@user-bt9cm7ze4c 2 күн бұрын
Exactly. Do as he does, not as he says. LOL
@RHill40
@RHill40 17 күн бұрын
I'm maxing my roth IRA and some of my 401k, while Im also saving huge cash reserves for the coming decline. I want to win with both positions.
@mininigenovesi7333
@mininigenovesi7333 14 күн бұрын
One sector undervalued is miners, in particular gold and silver ones, also biosciences stocks
@OptimisticMansion-yl1wq
@OptimisticMansion-yl1wq 17 күн бұрын
Just take a short position in the S&P 500 📉 and you should be fine. Once the crash 💥 occurs, secure that profit and take a long position the S&P 500. Just a basic move but it works.
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn 15 күн бұрын
The best way to play it is to buy deep out of the money puts each month on the index after the election is over this year. In the initial fall the markets or exchanges will close for 2 weeks to a month and reopen at least 50 percent lower. The foreign markets will still be open and U.S. stocks will drop 30 percent overnight in the initial crash like October 19th 1987.
@Halcyon-kw8nj
@Halcyon-kw8nj 12 күн бұрын
Buy and hold. Itll eventually go up
@VladGhenciu_Lawyer
@VladGhenciu_Lawyer 14 күн бұрын
Is Warren Buffett ok? Throat sounds bad. Sending well wishes. He is a great American
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