Robert Kessler is one of your best guests. He should be more famous because he explains complex concepts very well, such as our national debt as a proportion of the American economy at 12:10.
@ednan92 жыл бұрын
Great show - Robert kessler is very interesting to listen
@praveenchawla69992 жыл бұрын
Kessler is brilliant, articulate and passionate. Thanks, Consuelo, for having him on as a regular guest.
@joannemeeks7452 жыл бұрын
Very informative! Another excellent interview by Consuelo.
@supersteve83052 жыл бұрын
His interview reinforces why I'm a dividend growth investor. If the market goes down, I cut my budget and only spend dividends and social security. If market goes up, I can exit positions if I need additional money. I needed that pep talk. Thanks.
@sonnyjohnson88872 жыл бұрын
Assuming your dividend stock does not go belly up 🤷🏼♂️
@PH-dm8ew Жыл бұрын
my dividend stocks and funds are down way more than my index funds and value stocks. the dividend yield is up slightly because of their poor performance.
@henrycrews93442 жыл бұрын
KESSLER is brilliant. Would love to hear more from him.
@carodus12 жыл бұрын
What a ray of sunshine this guy is.
@darrell375210 күн бұрын
Wow! Kessler delivers a strong message. I am shivering!!! Thank you CM.
@pugrime2 жыл бұрын
So glad I watched that interview. Thank you!
@lowtech_12 жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing your experience , another piece of the puzzle.And thanks Wealthtrack.
@janevarley84822 жыл бұрын
Mr. Kessler tells us the hard truth!
@azabu982 жыл бұрын
Thank you Consuelo. Robert shared many gems in his decades of experience. I liked his thoughts on the Federal Reserve pause timing, and what that means for financial markets.
@TheChinaPlay2 жыл бұрын
Wealthtrack is always so refreshing compared to most of the financial media out there. Offering more than news and insights, but wisdom as well. Credit to Consuelo & team.
@MrYufu2212 жыл бұрын
Amazing interview! love it! Great advice paying off mortgage and other debt.
@aaron.phelps2 жыл бұрын
Great interview!!!
@chessdad1822 жыл бұрын
Enjoyed the show.
@MILGEO2 жыл бұрын
I feel so much better now that Robert has assured me that being a Plumber or Electrician will I will do fine for the next 14-15 years since I've been a Plumber most of my life. I was hoping to ease out of this hard work after investing and saving for 45 years and at 65 I don't look forward to 14 or 15 years more of needing to work! Perhaps I'll take up rock climbing! 😊
@sonnyjohnson88872 жыл бұрын
Not sure when economic Armageddon comes if anyone will be able to retire .. anyone w/ a skill best be prepared to keep shoveling 💩
@martinithechobit2 жыл бұрын
This Man is big brain.
@alshab54202 жыл бұрын
Great Guy, thanks for having him on.
@davidfolts5893 Жыл бұрын
Prediction is difficult but it's useful to hear different views.
@rgmoreno84452 жыл бұрын
Very Good. I enjoyed it Thoroughly. Wise Man.
@mineshpatel95242 жыл бұрын
This gentleman is the 🐐
@awalton90242 жыл бұрын
I remember driving to work that Monday after the Lehman collapse. It was kind of exciting because I got to see something I thought was an extinct relic of the past. An honest to goodness run on a bank.
@lgriestra2 жыл бұрын
Excellent interview, a great profesional, full of wisdom. Congratulations Consuelo.
@aaronwilliamson4045 Жыл бұрын
Makes a lot of sense.
@gobeyondtheuniverse2 жыл бұрын
Great content, thanks for sharing.
@davidchang84682 жыл бұрын
He knows how to live and age well.
@tastypymp12872 жыл бұрын
Kessler could be wrong here and perhaps contradicts himself. He suggests that 5% interest is unsustainable due to the high levels of debt and that a return to 0% is likely. However, such a low rate won't help pay off the existing debt, it only serves to generate MORE debt!! Higher rates would likely encourage debtors to actually pay off debt quicker to reduce the higher servicing costs. Edit: Kessler then goes on to advise that people should pay down debt!! Point made....
@rexmundi273 Жыл бұрын
There is no limit on government debt.
@kjay18562 жыл бұрын
Very helpful. Thank you!!
@tastypymp12872 жыл бұрын
Kessler is savvy to the modus operandi of the investment industrial complex.
@totalhorse69872 жыл бұрын
30 years of rising interest rates started in 2022. The dorsal fin shape is emerging in the federal funds chart. Life's a beach.
@franoreck Жыл бұрын
who does Mr Kessler recommend to invest with as far as portfolio managers now?
@davidmac80812 жыл бұрын
What happened to the new Charles Ellis ep this week 11/10? A repeat of target date funds with the T Rowe guy is airing instead.
@peggitu2 жыл бұрын
Excellent interview. Very timely.
@zcharg02 жыл бұрын
Wise advice
@anahitakatrak59952 жыл бұрын
An interesting talk.
@ivailoruikov55582 жыл бұрын
Amazingly helpful, thank you, Consuelo and Robert!
@tastypymp12872 жыл бұрын
Asset valuations can change rapidly and dramatically, debt not so much. So the US debt to asset ratio is not necessarily as good as Kessler suggests. Don't forget, those assets are subject to that same inflation....
@ltserge32262 жыл бұрын
Good vid ty
@RoyalAce22 жыл бұрын
Kudos for this stimulating and informative interview, one of your best.
@louisaparker2 жыл бұрын
18:20 Looks like something important is said there, but I don't understand - why will stocks go down?
@ggttuuxx2 жыл бұрын
A Bear Market follows a Bull Market. That in itself is not surprising. But what Kessler is giving us is his view of the timing of when that change is likely to happen.
@audiophileman70472 жыл бұрын
Excellent, it's so nice to see a guest who is a straight shooter and tells it like it is. Thank you, WealthTrack and Robert Kessler! 👍👍👍
@audiophileman70472 жыл бұрын
@Dan Smith There's so much investment BS and soft peddling going on that someone like Robert Kessler is really refreshing. I also really like the emotions he puts in his speaking. So many guests sound so perfunctory and restrained. It's not the case for Kessler.
@audiophileman70472 жыл бұрын
@Dan Smith Yes, I agree, and it has been nice speaking with you. 👍👍👍
@audiophileman70472 жыл бұрын
@Dan Smith Thank you.
@slovokia2 жыл бұрын
If my memory serves me correctly Mr Kessler was advocating that people buy long duration nominal treasuries on the June 2021 Wealthtrack show. That trade has not worked out so well. The 30 year treasury bond auctioned in 8/2021 is currently trading at around 62 cents per dollar of par value. That is a loss of 38%.
@rexmundi2732 жыл бұрын
If 30 year yield goes to 1% or even 0%, those treasuries go up in value.
@slovokia2 жыл бұрын
@@rexmundi273 Yes that is true - but how likely are those outcomes? Mr Kessler said that 30 year treasury bonds would hedge the risk of stocks going down. Well 30 year treasuries went down at the same time stocks went down because of inflation.
@rexmundi2732 жыл бұрын
@@slovokia True, he was wrong last year. But could be right now, at some point the Federal Reserve will cut rates again. The inverted yield curves we see now, means that some entities really want long dated treasuries.
@parasbhargava60472 жыл бұрын
In the talk he said he expects that rates will fall in the future. He is betting inflation will be tamed. For a counterpoint roubini thinks wars, deglobalization and 8 other drivers will make inflation persistent. Kessler will be wrong if inflation is persistent and rates go higher for longer.
@selma58852 жыл бұрын
@@parasbhargava6047 Ray Dalio also says we will have stagflation. Difficult time for retirees with no pensions!
@shingnosis2 жыл бұрын
Brilliant. Leave it to the old guys to make complicated stuff easy, not a second to spare for BS.
@EmpireRules2 жыл бұрын
I find it hard to believe that US economy will collapse. The billionaires and the uber wealthy/banks/corporations will always concoct and wiggle their way out of any financial crisis (including monetizing the crisis to their advantage) and the cost of total austerity of the vast majority of people. Even if it means rendering the disenfranchised and dispossessed -so be it. That is the American way 😢!
@brucehazen89822 жыл бұрын
Bonds? Cash?? OK I'd sleep well right now; but inflation running at 8-10%, wouldn't that make one poorer and poorer over the recovery period (15-25 years or so)? ...
@RootsRockRebel2 жыл бұрын
Kessler is always great and this time was no different. Sound, practical, no frills advice is what you get from Kessler. He must have gone down some pretty interesting rabbit holes because your editing wasn't quite as smooth as it typically is, lol.
@mineshpatel95242 жыл бұрын
I noticed it too😂. Especially when he was talking about Wall Street salesmen.
@rexmundi273 Жыл бұрын
Kessler 2023 please
@vitalyrizhevsky95111 ай бұрын
Kessler 2023 will have nothing to write home about, as he was sitting on the sidelines watching the market killing it
@martinithechobit2 жыл бұрын
LETS GOO!.
@ballergame1017 Жыл бұрын
Cash is king especially when converted abroad in these foriegn economies.
@ld49742 жыл бұрын
Treasuries will be the place to be...once the Fed stops raising interest rates.
@raychows77122 жыл бұрын
Buy treasuries and see its value drop. No thanks
@ggttuuxx2 жыл бұрын
Now that he has retired, his advice is to keep your money in cash, and go get a stable job such as a plumber. The truth, finally.
@tastypymp12872 жыл бұрын
Everyone's got too much money and debt!
@laoxutouzi2 жыл бұрын
nice video! Tlt crash this year!
@schmerlski2 жыл бұрын
Just curious, when do you think TLT might bottom out? I think stocks go down into at least mid 2023. I think TLT bottoms soon at maybe 90.
@laoxutouzi2 жыл бұрын
@@schmerlski I agree with you, not so much room for further decline
@dbehr48692 жыл бұрын
All over the place hard to follow his monologue
@joserubio76972 жыл бұрын
YES, totally 👍
@TooAjit2Quit2 жыл бұрын
Paying off a 30 year mortgage at 2.875% is absurd. That’s a no. Staying in cash during a bear market and waiting is also absurd. Respect his views but this is not the way lol
@selma58852 жыл бұрын
Do you disagree with his analysis of long periods of history where stock did nothing or went down?
@TooAjit2Quit2 жыл бұрын
@@selma5885 Yes. Over long periods of time cash is one of the worst investments because it loses value.
@ld49742 жыл бұрын
"Pay off the mortgage on your house. Pay down credit cards". I guess Dave Ramsey was right all along.
@peterbradshaw80182 жыл бұрын
Micheal Steinhart said as much.
@MrNoBSgiven2 жыл бұрын
Inflation is ALWAYS the monetary problem. If you print trillions of dollars for staing home and not producing with artificially created supply issues, you WILL have big inflation. Stating otherwise is just silly. Claiming that 5 or 6% interest rate is killing economy is also silly. Stock market is NOT the economy. People losing jobs because zombie companies are going under is the problem. Any company that cannot pay 4-6% interest deserves to go under. Cheap, zero interest money only enriches billionairs and crooks called CEOs. Twitter wouldn't be possible without cheap money,mand they still don't make any money. I have to agree about the bad times coming.
@jacque46972 жыл бұрын
US government issues the currency thus the can issue unlimited amount of of currency. The debt can never be a problem.
@audiophileman70472 жыл бұрын
I suggest that you study Weimar Germany in the last century, and you will see how debt and money printing have their limits.
@rof82002 жыл бұрын
If oil prices reach $200 per barrel those bonds won't be worth very much
@joannemeeks7452 жыл бұрын
All of this makes perfect sense when you realize that 1982--2021 was Baby Boomer economic growth. The huge Boomer generation was unprecedented and it's **over**. The only thing they will drive now is healthcare growth.
@Longtack552 жыл бұрын
My portfolio is cancer diagnostics, retirement villages, pharmaceuticals, geothermal lithium extraction.
@jens18982 жыл бұрын
I think the Goldminers will do great!
@thehungergames89182 жыл бұрын
🏅🥈🕵️♀️😃👋
@tastypymp12872 жыл бұрын
They can afford to pay, those that can't. Die. As in nature.
@vitalyrizhevsky95111 ай бұрын
So much fun to watch it a year later, he’s been wrong on every single point
@joserubio76972 жыл бұрын
A total contrarian and pessimism about the stock market. He didn't fully elaborate on his argument. If the stock market wouldn't work then capitalism doesn't work.
@jeffh.25012 жыл бұрын
Consuelo… Time to educate your viewers about “trend-following” i.e. Managed Futures. Non-Correlated and can do well in tough times.