Financial Markets Are Dangerous for Investors: What You Need to Know [2022]

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WEALTHTRACK

WEALTHTRACK

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 93
@kellysoo8615
@kellysoo8615 Жыл бұрын
Robert Kessler is one of your best guests. He should be more famous because he explains complex concepts very well, such as our national debt as a proportion of the American economy at 12:10.
@ednan9
@ednan9 2 жыл бұрын
Great show - Robert kessler is very interesting to listen
@praveenchawla6999
@praveenchawla6999 2 жыл бұрын
Kessler is brilliant, articulate and passionate. Thanks, Consuelo, for having him on as a regular guest.
@joannemeeks745
@joannemeeks745 2 жыл бұрын
Very informative! Another excellent interview by Consuelo.
@supersteve8305
@supersteve8305 2 жыл бұрын
His interview reinforces why I'm a dividend growth investor. If the market goes down, I cut my budget and only spend dividends and social security. If market goes up, I can exit positions if I need additional money. I needed that pep talk. Thanks.
@sonnyjohnson8887
@sonnyjohnson8887 2 жыл бұрын
Assuming your dividend stock does not go belly up 🤷🏼‍♂️
@PH-dm8ew
@PH-dm8ew Жыл бұрын
my dividend stocks and funds are down way more than my index funds and value stocks. the dividend yield is up slightly because of their poor performance.
@henrycrews9344
@henrycrews9344 2 жыл бұрын
KESSLER is brilliant. Would love to hear more from him.
@carodus1
@carodus1 2 жыл бұрын
What a ray of sunshine this guy is.
@darrell3752
@darrell3752 10 күн бұрын
Wow! Kessler delivers a strong message. I am shivering!!! Thank you CM.
@pugrime
@pugrime 2 жыл бұрын
So glad I watched that interview. Thank you!
@lowtech_1
@lowtech_1 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing your experience , another piece of the puzzle.And thanks Wealthtrack.
@janevarley8482
@janevarley8482 2 жыл бұрын
Mr. Kessler tells us the hard truth!
@azabu98
@azabu98 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you Consuelo. Robert shared many gems in his decades of experience. I liked his thoughts on the Federal Reserve pause timing, and what that means for financial markets.
@TheChinaPlay
@TheChinaPlay 2 жыл бұрын
Wealthtrack is always so refreshing compared to most of the financial media out there. Offering more than news and insights, but wisdom as well. Credit to Consuelo & team.
@MrYufu221
@MrYufu221 2 жыл бұрын
Amazing interview! love it! Great advice paying off mortgage and other debt.
@aaron.phelps
@aaron.phelps 2 жыл бұрын
Great interview!!!
@chessdad182
@chessdad182 2 жыл бұрын
Enjoyed the show.
@MILGEO
@MILGEO 2 жыл бұрын
I feel so much better now that Robert has assured me that being a Plumber or Electrician will I will do fine for the next 14-15 years since I've been a Plumber most of my life. I was hoping to ease out of this hard work after investing and saving for 45 years and at 65 I don't look forward to 14 or 15 years more of needing to work! Perhaps I'll take up rock climbing! 😊
@sonnyjohnson8887
@sonnyjohnson8887 2 жыл бұрын
Not sure when economic Armageddon comes if anyone will be able to retire .. anyone w/ a skill best be prepared to keep shoveling 💩
@martinithechobit
@martinithechobit 2 жыл бұрын
This Man is big brain.
@alshab5420
@alshab5420 2 жыл бұрын
Great Guy, thanks for having him on.
@davidfolts5893
@davidfolts5893 Жыл бұрын
Prediction is difficult but it's useful to hear different views.
@rgmoreno8445
@rgmoreno8445 2 жыл бұрын
Very Good. I enjoyed it Thoroughly. Wise Man.
@mineshpatel9524
@mineshpatel9524 2 жыл бұрын
This gentleman is the 🐐
@awalton9024
@awalton9024 2 жыл бұрын
I remember driving to work that Monday after the Lehman collapse. It was kind of exciting because I got to see something I thought was an extinct relic of the past. An honest to goodness run on a bank.
@lgriestra
@lgriestra 2 жыл бұрын
Excellent interview, a great profesional, full of wisdom. Congratulations Consuelo.
@aaronwilliamson4045
@aaronwilliamson4045 Жыл бұрын
Makes a lot of sense.
@gobeyondtheuniverse
@gobeyondtheuniverse 2 жыл бұрын
Great content, thanks for sharing.
@davidchang8468
@davidchang8468 2 жыл бұрын
He knows how to live and age well.
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 2 жыл бұрын
Kessler could be wrong here and perhaps contradicts himself. He suggests that 5% interest is unsustainable due to the high levels of debt and that a return to 0% is likely. However, such a low rate won't help pay off the existing debt, it only serves to generate MORE debt!! Higher rates would likely encourage debtors to actually pay off debt quicker to reduce the higher servicing costs. Edit: Kessler then goes on to advise that people should pay down debt!! Point made....
@rexmundi273
@rexmundi273 Жыл бұрын
There is no limit on government debt.
@kjay1856
@kjay1856 2 жыл бұрын
Very helpful. Thank you!!
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 2 жыл бұрын
Kessler is savvy to the modus operandi of the investment industrial complex.
@totalhorse6987
@totalhorse6987 2 жыл бұрын
30 years of rising interest rates started in 2022. The dorsal fin shape is emerging in the federal funds chart. Life's a beach.
@franoreck
@franoreck Жыл бұрын
who does Mr Kessler recommend to invest with as far as portfolio managers now?
@davidmac8081
@davidmac8081 2 жыл бұрын
What happened to the new Charles Ellis ep this week 11/10? A repeat of target date funds with the T Rowe guy is airing instead.
@peggitu
@peggitu 2 жыл бұрын
Excellent interview. Very timely.
@zcharg0
@zcharg0 2 жыл бұрын
Wise advice
@anahitakatrak5995
@anahitakatrak5995 2 жыл бұрын
An interesting talk.
@ivailoruikov5558
@ivailoruikov5558 2 жыл бұрын
Amazingly helpful, thank you, Consuelo and Robert!
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 2 жыл бұрын
Asset valuations can change rapidly and dramatically, debt not so much. So the US debt to asset ratio is not necessarily as good as Kessler suggests. Don't forget, those assets are subject to that same inflation....
@ltserge3226
@ltserge3226 2 жыл бұрын
Good vid ty
@RoyalAce2
@RoyalAce2 2 жыл бұрын
Kudos for this stimulating and informative interview, one of your best.
@louisaparker
@louisaparker 2 жыл бұрын
18:20 Looks like something important is said there, but I don't understand - why will stocks go down?
@ggttuuxx
@ggttuuxx 2 жыл бұрын
A Bear Market follows a Bull Market. That in itself is not surprising. But what Kessler is giving us is his view of the timing of when that change is likely to happen.
@audiophileman7047
@audiophileman7047 2 жыл бұрын
Excellent, it's so nice to see a guest who is a straight shooter and tells it like it is. Thank you, WealthTrack and Robert Kessler! 👍👍👍
@audiophileman7047
@audiophileman7047 2 жыл бұрын
@Dan Smith There's so much investment BS and soft peddling going on that someone like Robert Kessler is really refreshing. I also really like the emotions he puts in his speaking. So many guests sound so perfunctory and restrained. It's not the case for Kessler.
@audiophileman7047
@audiophileman7047 2 жыл бұрын
@Dan Smith Yes, I agree, and it has been nice speaking with you. 👍👍👍
@audiophileman7047
@audiophileman7047 2 жыл бұрын
@Dan Smith Thank you.
@slovokia
@slovokia 2 жыл бұрын
If my memory serves me correctly Mr Kessler was advocating that people buy long duration nominal treasuries on the June 2021 Wealthtrack show. That trade has not worked out so well. The 30 year treasury bond auctioned in 8/2021 is currently trading at around 62 cents per dollar of par value. That is a loss of 38%.
@rexmundi273
@rexmundi273 2 жыл бұрын
If 30 year yield goes to 1% or even 0%, those treasuries go up in value.
@slovokia
@slovokia 2 жыл бұрын
@@rexmundi273 Yes that is true - but how likely are those outcomes? Mr Kessler said that 30 year treasury bonds would hedge the risk of stocks going down. Well 30 year treasuries went down at the same time stocks went down because of inflation.
@rexmundi273
@rexmundi273 2 жыл бұрын
@@slovokia True, he was wrong last year. But could be right now, at some point the Federal Reserve will cut rates again. The inverted yield curves we see now, means that some entities really want long dated treasuries.
@parasbhargava6047
@parasbhargava6047 2 жыл бұрын
In the talk he said he expects that rates will fall in the future. He is betting inflation will be tamed. For a counterpoint roubini thinks wars, deglobalization and 8 other drivers will make inflation persistent. Kessler will be wrong if inflation is persistent and rates go higher for longer.
@selma5885
@selma5885 2 жыл бұрын
@@parasbhargava6047 Ray Dalio also says we will have stagflation. Difficult time for retirees with no pensions!
@shingnosis
@shingnosis 2 жыл бұрын
Brilliant. Leave it to the old guys to make complicated stuff easy, not a second to spare for BS.
@EmpireRules
@EmpireRules 2 жыл бұрын
I find it hard to believe that US economy will collapse. The billionaires and the uber wealthy/banks/corporations will always concoct and wiggle their way out of any financial crisis (including monetizing the crisis to their advantage) and the cost of total austerity of the vast majority of people. Even if it means rendering the disenfranchised and dispossessed -so be it. That is the American way 😢!
@brucehazen8982
@brucehazen8982 2 жыл бұрын
Bonds? Cash?? OK I'd sleep well right now; but inflation running at 8-10%, wouldn't that make one poorer and poorer over the recovery period (15-25 years or so)? ...
@RootsRockRebel
@RootsRockRebel 2 жыл бұрын
Kessler is always great and this time was no different. Sound, practical, no frills advice is what you get from Kessler. He must have gone down some pretty interesting rabbit holes because your editing wasn't quite as smooth as it typically is, lol.
@mineshpatel9524
@mineshpatel9524 2 жыл бұрын
I noticed it too😂. Especially when he was talking about Wall Street salesmen.
@rexmundi273
@rexmundi273 Жыл бұрын
Kessler 2023 please
@vitalyrizhevsky951
@vitalyrizhevsky951 11 ай бұрын
Kessler 2023 will have nothing to write home about, as he was sitting on the sidelines watching the market killing it
@martinithechobit
@martinithechobit 2 жыл бұрын
LETS GOO!.
@ballergame1017
@ballergame1017 Жыл бұрын
Cash is king especially when converted abroad in these foriegn economies.
@ld4974
@ld4974 2 жыл бұрын
Treasuries will be the place to be...once the Fed stops raising interest rates.
@raychows7712
@raychows7712 2 жыл бұрын
Buy treasuries and see its value drop. No thanks
@ggttuuxx
@ggttuuxx 2 жыл бұрын
Now that he has retired, his advice is to keep your money in cash, and go get a stable job such as a plumber. The truth, finally.
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 2 жыл бұрын
Everyone's got too much money and debt!
@laoxutouzi
@laoxutouzi 2 жыл бұрын
nice video! Tlt crash this year!
@schmerlski
@schmerlski 2 жыл бұрын
Just curious, when do you think TLT might bottom out? I think stocks go down into at least mid 2023. I think TLT bottoms soon at maybe 90.
@laoxutouzi
@laoxutouzi 2 жыл бұрын
@@schmerlski I agree with you, not so much room for further decline
@dbehr4869
@dbehr4869 2 жыл бұрын
All over the place hard to follow his monologue
@joserubio7697
@joserubio7697 2 жыл бұрын
YES, totally 👍
@TooAjit2Quit
@TooAjit2Quit 2 жыл бұрын
Paying off a 30 year mortgage at 2.875% is absurd. That’s a no. Staying in cash during a bear market and waiting is also absurd. Respect his views but this is not the way lol
@selma5885
@selma5885 2 жыл бұрын
Do you disagree with his analysis of long periods of history where stock did nothing or went down?
@TooAjit2Quit
@TooAjit2Quit 2 жыл бұрын
@@selma5885 Yes. Over long periods of time cash is one of the worst investments because it loses value.
@ld4974
@ld4974 2 жыл бұрын
"Pay off the mortgage on your house. Pay down credit cards". I guess Dave Ramsey was right all along.
@peterbradshaw8018
@peterbradshaw8018 2 жыл бұрын
Micheal Steinhart said as much.
@MrNoBSgiven
@MrNoBSgiven 2 жыл бұрын
Inflation is ALWAYS the monetary problem. If you print trillions of dollars for staing home and not producing with artificially created supply issues, you WILL have big inflation. Stating otherwise is just silly. Claiming that 5 or 6% interest rate is killing economy is also silly. Stock market is NOT the economy. People losing jobs because zombie companies are going under is the problem. Any company that cannot pay 4-6% interest deserves to go under. Cheap, zero interest money only enriches billionairs and crooks called CEOs. Twitter wouldn't be possible without cheap money,mand they still don't make any money. I have to agree about the bad times coming.
@jacque4697
@jacque4697 2 жыл бұрын
US government issues the currency thus the can issue unlimited amount of of currency. The debt can never be a problem.
@audiophileman7047
@audiophileman7047 2 жыл бұрын
I suggest that you study Weimar Germany in the last century, and you will see how debt and money printing have their limits.
@rof8200
@rof8200 2 жыл бұрын
If oil prices reach $200 per barrel those bonds won't be worth very much
@joannemeeks745
@joannemeeks745 2 жыл бұрын
All of this makes perfect sense when you realize that 1982--2021 was Baby Boomer economic growth. The huge Boomer generation was unprecedented and it's **over**. The only thing they will drive now is healthcare growth.
@Longtack55
@Longtack55 2 жыл бұрын
My portfolio is cancer diagnostics, retirement villages, pharmaceuticals, geothermal lithium extraction.
@jens1898
@jens1898 2 жыл бұрын
I think the Goldminers will do great!
@thehungergames8918
@thehungergames8918 2 жыл бұрын
🏅🥈🕵️‍♀️😃👋
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 2 жыл бұрын
They can afford to pay, those that can't. Die. As in nature.
@vitalyrizhevsky951
@vitalyrizhevsky951 11 ай бұрын
So much fun to watch it a year later, he’s been wrong on every single point
@joserubio7697
@joserubio7697 2 жыл бұрын
A total contrarian and pessimism about the stock market. He didn't fully elaborate on his argument. If the stock market wouldn't work then capitalism doesn't work.
@jeffh.2501
@jeffh.2501 2 жыл бұрын
Consuelo… Time to educate your viewers about “trend-following” i.e. Managed Futures. Non-Correlated and can do well in tough times.
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