When Will Russia Finally Run Out of Tanks? One Storage Base Keeps Growing

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[@CovertCabal]

Thanks to HelloFresh for sponsoring today's video. Go to strms.net/hellofresh_covertcabal, use my code COVERT16FM, and receive 16 free meals + free dessert for life while subscription is active.

[@rocko7711]

Happy Easter

[@rocko7711]

Hope you feel better, and your situation improves

[@malloc7108]

happy Easter, cheers to you and hope you get more good ad reads

[@flummi6966]

Maybe you dont understand how snow works.If you fire up some tank engines it might melt some of that.There are no new tanks, just some underground stuff brought up.Shipping tanks round the country just to collect them somewhere else is nothing anybody would do.either you refurbish or you test them on site.Sometimes russia stores tank underground. surprise

[@larswhitt1549]

Did try it out for support for your hard work, and been getting my meals steady ever since. Is really a great way to get new inspiration to your cooking.

[@The_ZeroLine]

Highly likely they’re consolidating at certain bases because those tanks are either being harvested for parts, selected for refreshment/restoration or even being used as a school for mechanics, restorers. As much as I’d like to say they’re empty, it’s more likely most of the garages are full.

[@paulwilliams667]

You’re almost certainly correct they’re full. The interesting question is /full of what?/ Are they functioning tanks or long cannibalized shells and what generation of Soviet armor?

[@d3nza482]

@@paulwilliams667 If garages were used for storage of functional tanks, or tanks in better condition, easier to refurbish - we wouldn't have been seeing decreasing numbers of tanks left sitting outside, exposed to the elements. Garaged tanks would have been sent to the front - not T-55s.

[@shannonkohl68]

Speculation here, but I would think it more likely that the answer is that they are running out of qualified mechanics to fix them, so they consolidate at a few bases in order to not have a small number of mechanics at all the bases. The idea of it being a school seems unlikely, you would only need a few to learn on, and that number would not grow but would be related to the class size. Obviously as those tanks are fixed, you'd want to bring in more broken ones, but that would still the same number unless the class size is growing. As to harvesting the parts, it also seems unlikely. Cheaper to take the part off the tank where it is, and ship it to where ever the recipient tank is located than ship the whole tank. But who knows, these are Russians we are talking about. For all we know the commander of the base is amassing tanks so when Putin goes down he'll have the biggest tank force in the Russian Civil War.

[@Jason-fm4my]

It makes sense to store vehicles in sheds or whatever, they will have slower corrosion that way. Am I missing something?

[@BlutoandCo]

​@@Jason-fm4myyes, the sheds arnt that big, so you cant store or fix that many. Russia has always just dumped it all outside, with everything that goes with that.

[@nicholasconder4703]

One other reason for this depot increasing in numbers of tanks in storage is its proximity to the Uralvagonzavod tank factory at Nizhny Tagil, only 130km away. It makes sense to gather all the tanks that you will be fixing up in one place, then ship them at one time to the factory. Especially if you don't have sufficient storage space at the factory itself. It also enables you to be close to your supply of spare parts.

[@timp1390]

Well that sounds like 2 major targets.

[@aaroncruz9181]

This is probably the most famous plant of the country.

[@iGrave]

It's also worth highlighting that its not just 'running out of vehicles', its 'running out of the better part of a centurys worth of tank production from a country once considered a super power'. Taking it back to actual zero is insane.

[@kaing5074]

Closer to 30 years considering t54/55/62/64 are not frontline tanks, although t62s and 64s are seen now frontline. Even then from the 50s to 91 i

[@engineerenginering8633]

Dude, the soviet plan was for the tanks to get destroyed. So yes, they have 3 years at this rate

[@iGrave]

@@engineerenginering8633 I'm assuming soviet plan was also to rebuild them?

[@engineerenginering8633]

@@iGrave well yeah,

And to make it more insane - this supposed global superpower is having these loses fighting what was up to recently considered 3rd rate military that was supposed to be overwhelmed and collapse in 3-4 days after being attacked.

[@staticgrass]

You can imply activity in the garages by the snow melt on the roofs. You will have to allow for some tree cover which will disrupt the amount of snow on the roofs. Some of the garages have zero snow melt and it could be implied that there has been zero activity there either because there is no need or more likely there is nothing there to work with. A few of the sheds do have some snow melt implies activity inside such as engines running or other sources of heat.

[@peka2478]

I'd go the other way round "snow there" doesnt mean much, for engines running wouldnt neccessarily melt the snow; but "no snow there" definitely means there is something going on there.

[@SchwachsinnProduzent]

@@peka2478 Yeah, but the source of heat doesn't have to be a tank engine. It could be literally anything from a workshop using propane torches to a diesel generator providing electricity during power outages or corrupt soldiers repurposing unused garages to grow weed.

[@seneca983]

Remember that snow might get deliberately cleaned from the roof if it's getting too heavy for the structure to bear.

[@erniemenard7727]

What cereal box did you get that analysis of the 'snow melt' on the roof off of? The side that faces the sun has more melt on every single roof.

[@chriscarlino5561]

@@peka2478they used this fact to bust weed grown houses in winter because they were the only houses without snow on the roofs.

[@localdrugseller6431]

Methinks 1311th plant is used as a repair plant rather than a modernization plant. That would explain their tank storage increasing. Some for cannabalizing for parts some for repairs.

[@CyberBeep_kenshi]

makes sense

[@Nordy941]

If I remember my highschool chemistry correctly the 5th law of thermodynamics is Russia will never run out of tanks.

[@ricopedrajrs]

Well, if Trump gets in and supports Putler, that's possible.

[@studleydewrite2942]

lol Correct. Fun WW2 fact - in the latter stages of the war Russia was producing more tanks than all other combatants,on both sides,..'combined'. All nations opposing Russia,including the US,have made a huge mistake,an inexcusably stupid mistake. To challenge Russia,anywhere in the world,is going to be no picnic. To challenge Russia in that geographical location,on their very doorstep,is historically moronic. This is what happens when ignorant rich boys (wef) call the shots. If they continue with this..enterprise they will all be smashed. President Trump 2024

[@Uncommonsenses]

Tanks for the laugh 😂

[@dieselscience]

@@ricopedrajrs Still living in your head rent free, I see.

[@dieselscience]

@@ricopedrajrs Still living in your head rent free, I see.

[@sageg58]

Their are a few reasons imo. 1, yekaterinberg is a major transportation hub and could be a stop along the route from russias far eastern reserves to ukraine. 2. It is very close to kazahkstan, which has been helping russia bypass sanctions on electrical components, and this is where theyre processing them and equpping older tanks. 3. Kazakhstan is sending vehicles to russia ans this is their entry point(although nato would likely call them out on this.) 4. A combination of all of the above

[@bambinaforever1402]

WHEN? When anyone will Kazakhstan on anything?

[@GenXerReacts]

@@bambinaforever1402 What?!?!?

[@nvelsen1975]

This datapoint means: 1 - Jekaterinenburg is the main outfitting station, given the location probably for materials brought in from the east 2 - Anything nearby on other bases and possibly those further east that's still visible outside is scrap metal; it would've been transported to the main outfitter otherwise

[@johninnh4880]

Thanks for the update. Glad you are on the mend. I hope your family is doing better too.

[@GreenBlueWalkthrough]

Thank you and I hope things go better for you and you get well soon!

[@terrencepayne1371]

OG KZbin military analysis. Been following for years- always happy to see your content pop up.

[@jacob79001]

Sorry to hear about the difficult things you're going through. Wishing you and your family well!

[@Andrew-xx3wo]

Stay strong Covert, love your vids, especially the tank number updates!

[@satakrionkryptomortis]

bro take your time. you are doing good work with keeping us updated from time to time. its not like that a failed offensive run will effect this the next day.

[@Habib_Osman]

Affect.

[@finnzy2315]

I always find your videos fascinating, wishing you well Cabal.

[@RG-yt6wn]

No sweat on the content pace, dude. Take care of yourself and your own! Your stuff is always worth the wait and we appreciate the hard work you do!

[@jamesgumbs5841]

Hope all is well, brother. Good to see your content again.

[@setildes]

Great video, looking forward to future updates.

[@egwkostas]

Thanks for the update, love your content! Take care and wish you get well very soon!

[@b1air77]

@CovertCabal always love your unique niche and appreciate the work (and $) that goes into these videos!

[@calebbearup4282]

Always love seeing your content

[@sherylromine3310]

Thank you for the Report. Sorry things got Tuff. Good Luck to you on that. So Happy your feeling Better. My first time tuning in. You are Reporting some Very Fascinating things. I Will be Back! P.s hope you see this Covert

[@tomsmith3045]

Glad you're back and feeling better! Appreciate the logical, practical, and low key presentation of all of this information.

[@TDeck24]

Sending good vibes. Sorry to hear about the real life stuff, hope the rest of your year is filled with blessings

[@ECF-270]

Great work, as always! Hope you feel better soon.

[@napoleonwilson3912]

I hope that things improve for you. Thanks for the video.

[@1Klooch]

Love your uploads! Appreciate the research efforts you put into them.

[@Stratigic_Cheese_Reserve]

Literally, I was watching you old video on thiscand an hour ago wondering when this next one would come out! Excellent timing!

[@professorjackalope]

Appreciate your work and dedication! Glad to see the Cabal back doing a very impotant thing!

[@robbabcock_]

Good video and it's good to see you back, CC.👏

[@Hebdomad7]

Geat well soon Mr Cabal. Remember to look after yourself so you can then look after those around you. Thank you for your videos.

[@bikechainmic]

Decades of corruption, bad storage and illegal sales have lost hundreds of tanks. Then most of the former tank factories are derelict. In the 1990s we cut up dozens of russian tanks for spares for collectors in the West. We learnt that most of the storage yards arent gaurded and the tanks were getting cannabalised for scarp, / vodka. Some yards never got beyond muddy field status and some "yards" just sent everything to scrap with maybe a half dozen fronting the entrance to the field for show / hold the sign up!

[@nichitapavlenco5606]

Tens of thousands of tanks*. After the fall of Soviet union, Russia had approximately 30 000 tanks in total. When the second invasion of Ukraine started, it has 10 000 tanks in total. So that's 20 000 tanks just rusting away

[@ericmyrs]

@@nichitapavlenco5606or so they claimed, anyway.

[@vanceofthetube]

Bro speaks about cutting up Russian tanks which were poorly cared for.. if you look at Pakistan, Iran or some other nations which are 'friendly' with the west, you can see soviet tanks from Ukaine which were sold to them in exchange for treasury funds or something the failed state of Ukraine deemed it needed at the time. Well, Ukraine is more corrupt than DRC

[@wtfucrazy]

Oh, I have looked forward to this video so much! Nice!

[@Peaky17]

Great video, keep them coming (when you can of course). Speedy recovery and all the best for the future.

[@raymond3308]

Great video once again! 🤙

[@kjyost]

Keep well! Thanks for your work!

[@raphytimmshardy9292]

Love your videos. So much more informative than anything else I can find in KZbin

[@dacorum8053]

Just bear in mind that this storage facility has far more than double the total number of challenger tanks the UK has which number just 213. Russia is also producing 100 tanks a month.

[@chrissmith7669]

The best estimate I’ve seen is Russia is producing 350 new tanks a year. Everything else is coming from the depots

[@christopherborer5567]

I'm a big fan of your content. If perun considers you a good source for his videos then you are for sure doing something right. I just found out about your patreon and subbed, satellite imagery is expensive.

[@fredfred2363]

I think everyone (including the Russians) are learning a lot from PERUN's channel. Good video. 👍🏻🇬🇧

[@karakiri283]

​@@fredfred2363 Perun is pretty bad, tho. He is good at compiling infos, but has no technical expertise as some other youtubers have already say before. He misinterpret lot of informations and draws wrong conclusions because of this. I woke-up when the Gell Mann Amnesia Effect hit me hard when he spoke about a subject i perfectly know about. Now i can really watch him.

[@r.k.5031]

@@karakiri283 Care to elaborate and give some examples? I like his presentations a lot, which makes a critical eye that much more important.

[@balinthehater8205]

​​@@karakiri283given how the guy is rather cautious when giving predictions and doesn't really go into technical details i really don't understand what you mean. Could you provide some examples on where he misinterpreted information and drew the wrong vonclusions? I'm not saying that the man can't make mistakes its just i haven't noticed anything big enough to warrant that reaction.

[@christopherborer5567]

@ArmandoMarques-dn9ur source: trust me bro

Thx for the Update. I wish you and your family all the best.

[@chrisspulis1599]

Always appreciate your work mate. Thanks

[@FELiPES101]

good to have you back

[@BMWHP2]

Thanks for all the work. Keep it coming mate.

[@overloard605]

Thx for make these Vids😁

[@kylem3905]

Thanks for the great videos!! Take care of yourself first! Sending you’re family positive vibes

[@mbarnlund]

Tank math is hard! Great work!

[@FinsburyPhil]

Thanks for your continued excellent analysis.

[@earlthepearl3922]

Hope things are getting back on track with and wish you the best!

[@glintongordon6811]

1 years ago you made a video about Russia running out of tanks

[@Biden_is_demented]

He´s a hack. He forgets the number one reason why they DON´T RUN OUT OF TANKS: Only a small percentage of tanks are actually destroyed. The rest are recovered and repaired. And if not repairable, it is used to scavenge for parts. While Russia has had many tanks hit, that does not equate to losing them. And since they have an entire industry that builds, repairs, and recovers their tanks, Ukraine can never win, because Ukraine does NOT have such an industry. There are RU tanks in the field that have been knocked out and repaired a dozen times!

[@Bottlekiller]

Thanks for doing all this work man.

[@Miamcoline]

Thank you. Helpful!

[@mr.inspector3935]

Good to hear from you, i hope you get better quick

[@Querulously]

Thanks for the update and estimates I wonder if artillery is now due to run out faster than tanks ?

[@alispeed5095]

any time now

[@skvUSA]

I think, one of the reasons why we see this base grow, that most likely most "easy-to-refurbish" tanks have been restored and shipped to active duty, and majority of remaining tanks require complex repairs that hard to performed in storage facilities with available resources - skilled workforce/equipment/parts. In situation when Ruzzia runs low on skills/equipment/parts It is easy to run single super-repair center, rather shuffle resource between multiples repair facilities.

[@perfectlycontent64]

Thank you for your work!

[@paulcrusse7800]

Thank you for the update

[@andrewmcalister3462]

Hey Covert, the fact that so many Russian trolls have come on your channel to deny the photographic evidence is evidence that you are hitting a nerve. Keep up the good work on providing us with clear fact-based evidence.

[@VIPER276]

It's pretty absurd considering people have been saying Russia would run out of everything 2 years ago 😂. btw this video just pop randomly and i was curious to see what kind of bs would come of it.

[@cubefreak123]

@@VIPER276Calls it bs despite literal photographic evidence. Russian cope is so darn funny.

[@ulfosterberg9116]

​@@VIPER276 Nice try, Igor

[@VIPER276]

@@cubefreak123 The Russians are emptying their storage because their upgrading their older tank to modern standards, Russia literally declared they are at war. it's crazy are pro Ukies aren't capable of critical thinking.

[@VIPER276]

@@ulfosterberg9116 Kevin you might want to keep it shut if you don't have anything to say, and go see your boyfriend and 2 moms.

[@gnivom]

video summary: at one particular storage base, russia appears to have moved some tanks out of the garage

[@ricopedrajrs]

Wrong.

[@sjonnieplayfull5859]

​@@ricopedrajrsgood point!

[@thomasherbig]

Hope you'll get better soon! Thanks for any videos you make.

[@Assorted12]

Great video. Hope you're doing well. Take time to care for yourself and those you love.

[@josephburge168]

Russia went from producing 400 tanks a year to now 1200 tanks a year and are sending 100 new t90’s to the front every month. They can’t get French optics anymore so they use slightly less advanced local optics but since there is very few tank battles in this war there is no real need for advanced optics that are over engineered and fail on the regular. Russian stuff is of worse quality for some things but durability is amazing and simple.

[@ChosenOne6666]

He is a LEGEND of KZbin.

[@user-gy4ug2qg2n]

no, he's just lying

[@stephm5587]

@@user-gy4ug2qg2n and your assertion is based on ? ...

[@CarlHardwick00]

Nah he's a propaganda mouthpiece like most. Watch them not run out of tanks in another 5 years.

[@malokegames]

People get easily impressed these days, anything is a legend for them...

[@skvUSA]

@@user-gy4ug2qg2n Серж, As a true Russian, you must have ample information to Could support you claim. In your educated opinion how many wonderful T-54/55/62/72/80/90 are left? BTW, what keep you busy fighting on KZbin, rather than join victorious Russian Army?

[@13thmistral]

One thing to consider though that turns the calculus pretty much upside down: It would make more sense after a while to actually have the good tanks and vehicles that got repaired or are repaired inside, safe from drones and bad weather, while just leaving any true scrap outside and out in the open.

[@Simitar2]

Russia drafted 300-400k new soldiers and how many tanks this new units need? 2000? I want to say that one tank less in depot doesn't mean one tank destroyed. In Kharkiv direction is aproximatly 200k soldiers, they are fresh and definetly have tanks. Good example are T-55 which were transported to the front (not as tank role but as Artillery support) and i did not see a signifikant losses.

[@colofthedead6101]

100% - some of these tanks are for the new divisions being created. That said, Russia has lost a LOT of armour. However, if this war continues to the point where they are seriously about to run out of armour, they will fully mobilise (including armour production). We've seen in WW2 that cheap, basic tanks can be produced in huge numbers when Russia puts their full resources to it. Currently, Putin doesn't want to overly disrupt the economy...

[@CZpersi]

@@colofthedead6101 In WWII, Russia was able to do it only thanks to significant support from other Allies. Now, they are alone and they also cannot dedicate all resources towards the Western direction, because the Chinese threat in the East is no joke.

[@kurousagi8155]

Probably few to none are for the new soldiers. In the first place, the Russian army’s prewar configuration was extremely poor. Too much fires, not enough logistics and infantry to protect the fires. I would say that the Russian army is still not at full TO&E in terms of armored vehicles.

[@Slav4o911]

@@CZpersi And Nazi Germany was unimaginably stronger at the time than today's Ukraine.... I think it's impossible to beat Russia without full scale war, and full scale war would probably mean the destruction of humanity. Russians are building enough tanks for their needs, we could talk after 2,5 years again, but you will hide from the conversation then. I hope there are piece talks, before that point. Otherwise the whole Earth might become a battlefield. Then it wouldn't matter even if you admit your mistake.

[@johnnewman1483]

Only sensible comment here..the rest are delusional😂

[@JarodFarrant]

5:10 no apologies, needed or wanted, what manners is the quality of each video which we all adore and we all appreciate everything that you do.

[@fred9za]

I am just so glad to see a new vid as the work you do is astounding

[@marcusott2973]

Much awaited, much appreciated excellent insights as always from you.

[@bubba842]

Very few tanks are completely destroyed. Most are damaged and repaired. They are taken back to centres like these to be bought back into service.

[@sberry80]

Great video with great info. As always

[@nickthurston5624]

Hang in there man. Hope things make a turn for the best soon for you and your family!

[@fvo911]

Keep up the good work! Your videos get referenced in various media outlets 😊

[@WolfHeathen]

More tanks out of storage could also be an indicator that they're losing too many too fast. All these tanks could've just been in covered storage before this and have been taken out simply because they're needed. It doesn't necessarily mean the amount of tanks has grown.

[@rodrigosassi3768]

Not necessarily losing, remember that Russian army is almost 3x bigger than the initial invasion force in 2022, many tanks were taken to equip new volunteers and mobilized.

[@zorndy5750]

@@rodrigosassi3768 3x bigger in terms of what?

[@bobsagetthelord6621]

But it would make a lot of sense moving possible reactivatable tanks closer to the war and a bigger hub

[@johnclay2716]

@@zorndy5750 3x bigger in terms of manpower

[@zorndy5750]

@@johnclay2716 russian military pre war had 1.13 million soldiers, in 2024 they have 1.32 million. Not exactly a 3x increase

[@andreyshevchenko4689]

> > When Will Russia Finally Run Out of Tanks? that was funny now) well, not in this historical period, believe me)

[@manatoa1]

Hope things get better for you

[@casvanleeuwen5280]

Hope everything will get better soon for you!

[@roger7341]

The issue is not only the number of tanks but the age of those tanks. Russia is down to using more older and less capable tanks because a lot of newer tanks were lost before they realized how effective Ukraine was at destroying them.

[@andrewreynolds4949]

Unfortunately they've also ramped up production of new/heavily refurbished models. Quite a while ago now there has been an odd situation developing where the tanks on the battlefield are either increasingly old or new.

[@hummerskickass]

@@andrewreynolds4949 fortunately for Ukraine production per year is far far too low to even get close to making up for each years losses. Russia has been losing about 1500 tanks each year and they can only produce at most 200 brand new hulls per year.

[@JarodFarrant]

@@andrewreynolds4949 the real issue replacing tanks, it’s replacing the tank crews which take time and money to equip and train with combined arms warfare. As the war goes on Russian military personnel, quality and morale, plummet more and more.

[@protorhinocerator142]

@@JarodFarrant And their combined arms training was notably lacking from the beginning. That means new tank crews are even worse.

[@d3nza482]

@@hummerskickass They could IN THEORY produce 200 brand new tanks - but they're not. All evidence points to "production" being only refurbishment of existing stock. Otherwise we'd be seeing T-14s in Ukraine. Which is the new tank they are supposedly producing. Except that's a Potemkin's village and dead in the water.

[@rsKayiira]

Great video. I’m more interested on how quickly they’ll run out of artillery systems and ground based air defence systems. They run out of those its game over

[@jehandesains8674]

Per his last count, Russia still had 6800 towed and 3000 self-propelled artillery left in storage. That should allow Russia to last a while still.

[@deltaboy2011]

Enough to fight a war for a hundred years. They will win.

[@rsKayiira]

@@jehandesains8674 nice what about the GBADs?

[@jehandesains8674]

@@rsKayiira this I don't have data on. But as far as I know, Russia has plenty of S-300 systems.

[@rsKayiira]

@@jehandesains8674 yup!!

[@toddbrackett4277]

Thanks for keeping up the count. I really appreciate the work that you have done.

[@alexandercain8904]

Always enjoy your videos, thanks!

[@joshuaworman4022]

This is the most important channel that covers the war.

[@KendrickMan]

My wife also keeps growing

[@yarnickgoovaerts]

That’s not your wife, that’s a komodo dragon

[@wudimao]

welcome back and hope all is well and getting better - always prioritize family and health please!

[@Marksmal]

Best of luck with everything going on!

[@jettrd_utilitychnl4230]

Run out of tanks? Russia?!! Hilarious proposition)) Thank you for making me laugh 😂

[@richardkroll2269]

When the SMO started there were rumors of Russia needing to use T-62/64 and even T-54/55 tanks. I heard from a friend in the Donbass that these old tanks were placed at road intersections behind the lines and manned by "older" soldiers familiar with them. A 100 millimeter cannon would do wonders to a pickup truck speeding through to do hit-and-run attacks on logistics hubs.

[@sogerc1]

This video must've hit a sore spot because trollskies are going berserk.

[@VIPER276]

It's like expecting Russia to run out during WW2 just ridiculous absurd. same thing that as being said 2 ago btw 🤣🤣🤣

[@sogerc1]

@@VIPER276

[@VIPER276]

@@sogerc1 Yes and the Russian fight with shovel and washing machine.

[@sogerc1]

@@VIPER276 You can't wash off the Kiev feint, Snake Island goodwill etc, so just because you say a sarcastic bit doesn't make you less of a trollski.

[@VIPER276]

@@sogerc1 Am not trolling, am telling the reality of things. most of the stuff the US send to the soviet was some boots because of how many soldiers the soviet had.

[@mehmetcengiz3583]

ı have been wathcing your old videos again and again regarding tanks artillery and ıfv s you are awesome

[@utbb57]

I'm curious about how many artillery barrels and AFV they have left. It seems artillery would be getting worn out with the amount they're firing.

[@Gopferteckel]

@@Fiberous_PulleyOut producing means out spending. Living standards declining.

[@martinchabot_FR]

there is a big downtick on their towed arty in storage. Soviet towed arty have the same tube than their SPG counterpart.

[@Tamburello_1994]

FSB: "this guy is good"

[@Scar626]

4:03 - Yeah and mainly it is closest to Uralvagonzavod. I would also point at Eastory's video "What can the equipment losses tell us about the war between Russia and Ukraine?" There is a huge difference since the start of the war up until now.

[@rogerwilco2]

I hope you get better soon. Your videos are some of the best covering this war. Your work is up there with Perun and Anders Puck Nielsen.

[@tayikolla6205]

Is Ukraine winning in this channel?

[@alexbakker8785]

Sattelite pictures are a good way to get estimates, but i've never seen any channel discussing what goes on with underground infrastructure. I'd like to see more information on that aspect.

[@Zeptus1488]

Seeing in what condition most of Russian bases are I doubt there is any meaningful underground storage facilities for military equipment, especially tanks.

[@josephshreeves8192]

Its a very good point, but its basically a giant grey zone where people usually just don't know. Doubly so for large and secretive countries. And due to the expense, underground storage is typically for CBRN, specialised factories, and C2C. Storage for standard military equipment is usually above ground for conventional militaries. North Korea is a notable exception though, in particular with their artillery

[@mathiasbartl9393]

You don't store tanks underground. Number 1 they are very bulky, Number 2 they are actually quite resistent to nuclear blast.

[@commieprop]

4:45 "at best 2 maybe 2.5 years left" 🤣 in these 2 years your guys expert assessment on Russia's time to live went from 2 to 730 days. at current rate your next prognosis will be 1090 days in 2025 going up to 1450 in 2026.

[@Slav4o911]

It's probably 2.5 years only if they stop building tanks at all. They can also increase the build rate in the future. Overall this war is only making Russia stronger. They have become incompetent after the fall of the Soviet Union, but they are changing, this war is making them more competent. Stalin and his generals were also incompetent at the start of WW2... at the end of the war Soviet Union had the strongest ground army ever.

[@norm4966]

I hope it goose well and take care Mr Cabal.

[@lolkevandewitte1713]

Thanks Covert Cabal! Keep up the good work!

[@FishandHunt]

Remember how Russia thought that they could take Kyiv in 3 days? Russia made it to the outskirts of Kyiv, failed to hold Hostomel Airport, overstretched their supply lines, their stalled 64km long convoy got savaged by Ukrainian forces, they took out their frustrations by committing war crimes against civilians and then fled back the way that they had came with their tails between their legs! Putin - "Everything is on time and is going according to plan, we have lost nothing. I remain a master strategist"

[@Killa_Harkan]

Yeah...its not like the only achievements of Ukraine is abandoning positions and retreating. Hey keep repeating this " 2 weeks to Kyiv" stuff if it helps you cope

[@Avroveks]

The Russians never intended to take Kiev, this statement was made by the American General Milley, the plan was to gather troops and force them to sign a peace treaty, in return the Russians would withdraw their troops and this was successful in Turkey, after which Prime Minister Boris Johnson came to Ukraine and banned this document. this has been confirmed many times by both the Turkish and Israeli sides.

[@FishandHunt]

@@Killa_Harkan Day 766 of Putin’s disastrous 10 day 'Special Military Operation' against civilians, civilian buildings, civilian infrastructure, churches and grain. Putin - "Everything is on time and is going according to plan, we have lost nothing. I remain a master strategist"

[@Killa_Harkan]

​@@FishandHuntany new trailers for Ukrainian offensive ? 😂😂😂

[@shaun7142]

@@Avroveks So you're saying that even the Russian conspiracy theories involve the Russian military failing miserably to accomplish its objectives.

[@nickhtk6285]

Watched a video today of a ruzzian attack with three T-55s in the lead. They wouldnt be using these if they had a choice.

[@SgtBeltfed]

@@Fiberous_Pulley That the T-55's won't see anything before they explode, where's a T-90M might have a chance to shoot something before it goes boom? T-90's also sometimes will survive modern anti-tank weapons, where's a T-55 is vulnerable to things that by modern standards aren't anti-tank weapons. The T-55's also have 4 man crews, where's T-64 and newer are 3 man, and you have to train the crews to some level or they will never get to the battlefield.

[@threethrushes]

"They are saving the good equipment." I remember hearing this a couple of years ago.

[@kurousagi8155]

@@Fiberous_Pulley not every tank gets shot with NLAW or Javelin.

[@johnclay2716]

Russia has 600-700 thousand troops in Ukraine compared to the 190k at the start of the war They need tanks across the entire front, T-90s and T-80s are given to Guard armies and T-62s/T-55s are given to the local army corps formed from the Donetsk/Lugansk rebels and the volunteers Mind you, Russia is also literally sending thousands of Nepalese/Africans/Central Asian mercenaries to the front, you think they're going to give them T-90s too?

[@kurousagi8155]

@@johnclay2716 estimated 500,000 Russian troops. Russian combat unit make up at the beginning of the war was too small and did not feature enough infantry to work with armored units and protect logistics/support units. Overall, Russian armored vehicles are slightly under strength in terms of both number and quality. In terms of quantity, Russian forces should reconstitute sometime in 2025. Though they will only be able to sustain full strength for about 2-3 years.

[@PeruBolivia2004]

Glad your feeling better!

[@heartofarebel4098]

Thank you! Again, another excellent and thoughtful analysis!!!

[@equarg]

Covert Cabal: Uploads. Me: Automatically hits the like button. Russian Bots: Hits dislike button like an artillery unit hitting civilian apartments.