Why China Will Collapse If it Invades Taiwan

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GeoPolitico

GeoPolitico

Күн бұрын

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@kingnaga619
@kingnaga619 10 ай бұрын
Something to note about US military analyses and scenarios, is that the reason they always seem to take staggering losses is the same reason we are the top military in the world. They aren’t for show. We don’t assume dominance and basically do nothing like Chinese and Russian sims. We give our enemy every possible advantage and assume everything that could go wrong or against us has. THAT is the starting point for US military sims. Working on the worst possible footing against an enemy with every possible advantage. The idea being that if we are ready for that, there is no way in hell the real thing will be anything like it.
@Nom_AnorVSJedi
@Nom_AnorVSJedi 10 ай бұрын
Did your sims assume the Taliban and Vietcong had nukes? Is that why the US military cut and run and retreated like cowards?
@Thomp1998
@Thomp1998 10 ай бұрын
beautiful analysis
@robhaywood6783
@robhaywood6783 10 ай бұрын
yea most people dont get that but they are facts. I dont think China could hit one of our carriers the kill chain would be way to long our assets would have already taken out the kill chain making those DF garbage useless and remember there is no real proof they can do what the Chinese say they can my bet is they are just like Russia lots of bragging but not very much bite
@funveeable
@funveeable 10 ай бұрын
Like all businesses, the inforgraphics show makes money buy creating drama. The idea of the US being at any disadvantage at anything is drama, whether it is true or not.
@YMagoulo
@YMagoulo 10 ай бұрын
It's not the fighting force that is the problem. The idiot politicians running it are.
@benghazi4216
@benghazi4216 10 ай бұрын
If you think geopolitics never been more complicated than now, I would like to introduce you to the early 1900's, especially in Europe. It's crazy. Literally.
@L0stEngineer
@L0stEngineer 9 ай бұрын
I think the word you're looking for is "tragic" In 1914, the world leaders and diplomats were calling each other begging to stop the war machine as their entire continent embarked on a road to self immolation.
@groinBlaster31
@groinBlaster31 7 ай бұрын
I think what makes it different is that countries have nukes now. Things would've been a lot different in the last 80 years if it wasn't for nukes. Extremely likely that there would've been open war between USA and USSR for example. Or maybe USA and China. Or India and China. Or India and Pakistan. Also more full scale invasions of Israel. Etc.
@redneckgaijin
@redneckgaijin 9 ай бұрын
"Europe is too economically interconnected. A war would ruin the economies of the entire continent. So it's impossible for there to be another European war!" - economists, 1913
@StArShIpEnTeRpRiSe
@StArShIpEnTeRpRiSe 8 ай бұрын
It was alliances that triggered the war in Europe not economics. Now China doesn't have any real ally. And no, Russia in best case as much an ally to China as Nazi Germany was to Sovietunion during the invasion of Poland.
@thomashenebry8269
@thomashenebry8269 2 ай бұрын
That's merely your opinion. Thus, it is worthless.
@thomashenebry8269
@thomashenebry8269 2 ай бұрын
Why don't you call this "Cherrypicking Reasons for World War III "?
@StrawHat83
@StrawHat83 10 ай бұрын
People get confused. China's economy relies on the US and the West. The US and the West can get our things manufactured anywhere. China can't be the factory for BRICS. BRICS doesn't consume anywhere near US consumption levels. China is also the wealthiest nation in BRICS, but it is not in the best position for an economy reliant on exports for growth.
@marierocher4422
@marierocher4422 10 ай бұрын
I can’t consider China the wealthiest without a Central Bank
@luzhiqing
@luzhiqing 10 ай бұрын
You are wrong. The United States and Europe rely heavily on cheap goods from China. In today's international trade, whoever can manufacture goods on a large scale at low cost and dump them all over the world can dominate the global supply chain and have the right to speak, and China is such a country. The West can't support the second China, because China's infrastructure and market can't be replicated. Even if you build factories in other countries, you still need to export to China in the end. As long as ambitious entrepreneurs and investors will not give up the three major markets in the world, China, the United States and Europe
@ItsJoKeZ
@ItsJoKeZ 10 ай бұрын
WUMAO ALERT@@luzhiqing
@StrawHat83
@StrawHat83 10 ай бұрын
@@luzhiqing Demand dictates supply. Supply doesn't dictate demand. The US and Europe are already pulling out of China. China is closing factories. Other countries like Mexico and Vietnam are opening factories. American and European imports haven't slowed down. Chinese exports are a fraction of 2018 levels and continuing to drop.
@marierocher4422
@marierocher4422 10 ай бұрын
@user-re8so1gc7s Companies are slowly moving out from China to the neighboring countries plus an Authoritarian regime has no security for their company. Vietnam and India got the most increased. Plus sanctions with billions to feed is quite risky to go to war. Economy now already scrambling from Covid lack down plus China giant developers defaulted in billions of USD. Then they don’t have a Central Bank that controls.
@stischer47
@stischer47 10 ай бұрын
Not to mention that the Japanese are building up their military and have pledged to come to Taiwan's aid if invaded.
@Thomp1998
@Thomp1998 10 ай бұрын
false, why it can be predicted they would, japan has made no such claims explicitly or publicly
@r.c.8268
@r.c.8268 10 ай бұрын
@@Thomp1998 Japan has increased its presence in Taiwan, and has held several military exercises together, and they have said that if China takes Taiwan they will be a threat to Japan's national waters, As long as Taiwan is a free country, China can become a landlocked country in one single day.
@Thomp1998
@Thomp1998 10 ай бұрын
@@r.c.8268 true and true, but they have never officially recognized the legitimacy of Taiwans government or pledged kinetic resources or manpower to the protection or aid to Taiwan, just think it’s an important distinction to their comments about their china being an existential threat. Them coming out publicly with anymore would have real world consequences and could ignite greater conflict..or if we are lucky deterrence.
@memsysr
@memsysr 10 ай бұрын
​@@Thomp1998the Philippines also pledged to protect Taiwan.
@Thomp1998
@Thomp1998 10 ай бұрын
@@memsysr nope
@windcold4532
@windcold4532 9 ай бұрын
The Republic of China was established in Nanjing, China, in 1912, not in Taiwan. However, it was defeated in the civil war in 1949 and the government was moved to Taipei.
@StArShIpEnTeRpRiSe
@StArShIpEnTeRpRiSe 8 ай бұрын
The Mings also retreated to the island, yet it was independent from China until the Qing rule.
@michaeldobson107
@michaeldobson107 10 ай бұрын
"One country; two systems." Yeah, that went over really well for Hong Kong. lol.
@jumpingjohnflash
@jumpingjohnflash 9 ай бұрын
Yep, Pooh Bear really pissed in the "reunification punch" there that's for sure.
@demon6937
@demon6937 6 ай бұрын
Had they absorbed Hong Kong? So many protesters and many Hong Kong people don’t want to be under communism
@rdelrosso1973
@rdelrosso1973 6 ай бұрын
@@jumpingjohnflash Just to be clear: Images of "Winnie the Pooh" have been illegal in China for about 7 years, since Winnie the Pooh "bears" a striking resemblance to Chinese President Xi Jinping! (Pun intended)
@stephenconnors7380
@stephenconnors7380 10 ай бұрын
I see that the analysis doesn't account for China's demographic collapse. Every year they wait, the older and smaller their society becomes.
@carlflaherty2215
@carlflaherty2215 10 ай бұрын
That just means that the PRC must move sooner, rather than wait.
@tvhead7074
@tvhead7074 10 ай бұрын
Their demographic collapse won’t really be an issue until past 2027. So about 3-4 years before the “Every year they wait” mentality actually holds some weight.
@shangothunder1055
@shangothunder1055 10 ай бұрын
That’s the same demographic problem Japan is facing though arguably worse not to mention most western nations are already showing signs of it as well.
@carlflaherty2215
@carlflaherty2215 10 ай бұрын
@shangothunder1055 Appearantly, Italy has the lowest in the world. But, Italy does not have designs to conquer its well-defended neighbor.
@carlflaherty2215
@carlflaherty2215 10 ай бұрын
@tvhead7074 That's actually an argument for moving sooner rather than later. And yes, I've seen predictions of a 2026-2027 move by the PRC.
@jasonroman578
@jasonroman578 10 ай бұрын
Wait we lose 2 aircraft carriers? No probelm! There are 11 Ford class carriers being built this very moment
@zeppirl
@zeppirl 9 ай бұрын
Problem there is China is out building naval ships with the US at a rate of 5/1 and growing. So by the time those 11 carriers are built, China could have 50 carriers. 90% of the world ship building (not just military) is done in China and only 2% in the US.
@speedy4456
@speedy4456 9 ай бұрын
But china doesn’t have the same military budget😂
@zeppirl
@zeppirl 9 ай бұрын
@@speedy4456 there building them faster and way cheaper.
@speedy4456
@speedy4456 9 ай бұрын
But they have less advanced technology
@TsarVladolfPutler
@TsarVladolfPutler 8 ай бұрын
@@speedy4456 but not THAT less advanced. If China continues to build ships at their current rate, they could win the numbers game against America
@craigkdillon
@craigkdillon 10 ай бұрын
FON patrols through the SCS is NOT posturing. Rights that are not exercised are lost. FON patrols are NECESSARY to retain the status of the SCS as an open sea.
@bemusedpanda8875
@bemusedpanda8875 9 ай бұрын
I guess you won't be complaining when China sails its warships along the Californian coast?
@Nomad-XA
@Nomad-XA 9 ай бұрын
Why would Taiwan surrender their freedom without a fight 🤷‍♂️
@timothymcgarrigle8098
@timothymcgarrigle8098 8 ай бұрын
China "We promise to treat the people and Government like with we did we Hong Kong" Hong Kong "Literally every agreed term has been violated"
@K3ppa
@K3ppa 10 ай бұрын
India is discussing what india will do militarily If china attacks taiwan. Maybe India will take back China occupied territories in india. With both fronts open i Dont think china will try to attack taiwan
@patrickt49
@patrickt49 10 ай бұрын
China won't attack Taiwan - If there is anything that the world should have learned by now is that China always lie. "Chinese dread finality. They prefer to keep matters dangling, with definitive action eternally postponed. The strategy of settling things by striking while the iron is hot, so to speak, never seems to enter into their military calculations. Hence it is common for an army to set out against another with all sorts of ballyhoo about intended annihilation, yet when the two armies clash along the skirmish line, both will lapse into a torpid poise, and remain race to face for months with nothing happening. The soldiers of each army will fraternize with the other, with many desertions across the lines both ways." - "Ways that are dark: The Truth About China" by Ralph Townsend (Former US Consul who lived in 1930s China)
@Nempo13
@Nempo13 10 ай бұрын
This is why China made a deal with Pakistan. As both are anti-India.
@lipincheng
@lipincheng 10 ай бұрын
India? China will return the favor. Sounds fair?
@zeetvisascam3443
@zeetvisascam3443 10 ай бұрын
China took India lands!? But India lost the war with China in 1962. Why did not you ask your old master how they obtained the Falkland Islands?
@recoil53
@recoil53 10 ай бұрын
@@lipincheng That would be the two front war alluded to. Which tends to not go well.
@ronaldbiavaschi
@ronaldbiavaschi 10 ай бұрын
The problem with exports is not the junk exported but the control of rare earth elements
@EllieMaes-Grandad
@EllieMaes-Grandad 10 ай бұрын
It's the high cost of providing self-sufficiency, so everyone buys from China. When it comes to self-preservation, financial cost become secondary . . .
@deebil8099
@deebil8099 6 ай бұрын
They just process the metals. That's because it's a dirty job with a lot of pollution other countries don't want to bother doing. The metals aren't rare either. They are abundant all over the world and not in China. The west just needs to build processing plants in their countries or other countries. Will take 1 or 2 years. No big deal...
@AlexisLopez-pb8ms
@AlexisLopez-pb8ms 10 ай бұрын
China’s tech isn’t the same as the United States and there’s a difference between training and experience.
@Chica-c6g
@Chica-c6g 9 ай бұрын
Thank you Mr geopolitics
@usslexingtoncva-1639
@usslexingtoncva-1639 9 ай бұрын
one of the nations not factored for CSIS is the Philippines. It cones down to how China will treat the Philippine defense treaty with the US.
@maniacaudiophile
@maniacaudiophile 10 ай бұрын
Just a note, 1992 consensus is retroactively dubbed consensus, there were no agreement on anything other than agree to disagree. The content of that consensus also kept changing, according to CCP's mood of the day.
@Wanheda2
@Wanheda2 9 ай бұрын
The moment china is fully engaged on the cost of Taiwan.. there’s going to be a busy resistance in the north side for a lot of reasons.
@rdelrosso1973
@rdelrosso1973 8 ай бұрын
The "North Side"? You mean Russia? You mean Russia will invade China? When Russia is "fully engaged" in Ukraine? I. don't. think. so.
@rdelrosso1973
@rdelrosso1973 6 ай бұрын
Seems like you mean Russia. But Russia has her hands full with Ukraine and now Syria on her plate. Russia just created a Russian Army base on the Syrian/ Israeli Border. But, "the moment China is fully engaged with Taiwan", I suppose it could get "Busy" on the China/ Indian Border.
@GamerFromJump
@GamerFromJump 9 ай бұрын
I was about to report you for stolen content, but apparently this is a second channel for The Infographics Show.
@alexanderdgray
@alexanderdgray 10 ай бұрын
I like how you referred to Taiwan as an “Independent nation.” Right on!
@thornados4969
@thornados4969 10 ай бұрын
It is an undisputable fact.
@Bk6346
@Bk6346 10 ай бұрын
He said that Taiwan was an independent country in 1949 but that is simply not the case. The ROC and Chiang Kai Shek claimed to be the legitimate government of mainland China. Taiwan’s status is still a gray area. Taiwan has never had a referendum on independence or declared independence. Only 13 countries recognize Taiwan and United States doesn’t have an embassy in Taipei. Also some of Taiwan’s territory such as Kinmen (Quemoy) and Matsu Island were never ceded to Japan in 1895 by the Treaty of Shimonoseki only Taiwan and Penghu.
@thornados4969
@thornados4969 10 ай бұрын
@@Bk6346 The year 1949 was the landing of Chinese refugees to Taiwan. ROC was indeed the only legitimate government of China with inheritance documents signed by Qing government. ROC never inherited China's territory to PRC so by law, the communist state is illegal. All countries in the world recognize Taiwan as a country by either dejure or defacto diplomatic relations. Even China has to deal with travel documents although they make it appear as a special arrangement but the contact relation is the same. The only gray area is that ROC's UN seat was robbed by the PRC instead of giving a new seat for the PRC while maintaining it as a representative government of Taiwan in the 1971 UN resolution. Nevertheless, Taiwan became independent from Japan by default in the 1951 treaty. Japan and the USA (victor) permitted ROC in the 1952 treaty as the government of Taiwan until Taiwan fulfilled its right of self-determination.
@adamskeans2515
@adamskeans2515 9 ай бұрын
@@Bk6346 do they control their own island and economy? The answer is yes. Which makes them independent.
@Bk6346
@Bk6346 9 ай бұрын
@@adamskeans2515 Taiwan has de facto independence but not de jure independence (recognized as a country by other governments around the world). Chiang Kai Shek had a chance to recognized by France but he turned it down. He still clung to the hope of overthrowing the communists and returning to power on the mainland. I also like to point out that while many of the young people in Taiwan want independence many of the old Nationalists are against it and want to maintain the status quo. The DPP which favors independence have 61 seats in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan while the KMT who want to maintain the status quo have 39 seats.
@blackwatertv7018
@blackwatertv7018 10 ай бұрын
It’s not *IF* they invade it’s *when* with a capital W….
@demon6937
@demon6937 6 ай бұрын
One country who is so dependent on oil went to war they can’t last long in addition to lack of winning combat experience I emphasized winning because as far as I can remember they only victorious on the Republic of China which is Taiwan.
@adriancollins4747
@adriancollins4747 9 ай бұрын
Taiwan has never been part of China.
@itinnyi
@itinnyi 9 ай бұрын
But that's not America's official stance. This will be willful ignorance on your part.
@windcold4532
@windcold4532 9 ай бұрын
I suggest you look at the map of China’s last empire to see if Taiwan is Chinese territory.
@jumpingjohnflash
@jumpingjohnflash 9 ай бұрын
​@@windcold4532 Taiwan has been "part of China" for 4 years of the last 128. Hardly a strong claim for the CCP. Did you know that in 1936 Mao Zedong himself actually made a speech recognizing Taiwan as independent?
@winstonlai4063
@winstonlai4063 9 ай бұрын
you are right they are only tenant in taiwan and their landlord china will peacefully allow them to stay as chinese brothers and sisters as long as they behaves themselves period
@Livlifetaistdeth
@Livlifetaistdeth 10 ай бұрын
China's economy is already in free fall so they don't have a lot to lose at this point.
@ItsEverythingElse
@ItsEverythingElse 10 ай бұрын
They have everything to lose.
@neutax
@neutax 10 ай бұрын
They also have a demographics problem. You think they can send their young men to die when alot of their population will hit retirement?
@docbryleamaya
@docbryleamaya 10 ай бұрын
@@neutax maybe they will just send 60 years old and above people
@kennethli4575
@kennethli4575 10 ай бұрын
@@neutax why not, they are crazy.
@Bk6346
@Bk6346 10 ай бұрын
@@neutaxGermany, Italy, Japan and South Korea have worse demographics than China. Only 11.55 percent of Japan’s population is 14 years old or younger. China’s 14 years old or younger population is 17.5%
@agxryt
@agxryt 9 ай бұрын
"China's economy isn't as fragile as people think" - professor of finance in Beijing Well that's a reliable take
@bucky5869
@bucky5869 9 ай бұрын
China's biggest weakness is lack of natural resources. Most notably oil. They've had plenty of time to stockpile from russia (who's currently selling their oil on the cheap to try to keep the economy going) and from their other sources to include stock from the US emergency petroleum reserve (thanks, Brandon. I sure hope they were paying you a ton). That stockpile will quickly dry up and the US is sitting on some of the largest unused oil wells on the planet. This lack of in-house oil production is what crippled Japan in WWII. China would have to try to use the same tactic of taking over oil-rich territories. NATO obviously would not sit by with that happening.
@bemusedpanda8875
@bemusedpanda8875 9 ай бұрын
Russia would keep supplying them with oil no matter what. China has close ties with Russia so they will never have an oil shortage.
@BatMan-oe2gh
@BatMan-oe2gh 9 ай бұрын
Typical MAGA, blame Biden for everything. United States did release millions of barrels of oil from a national stockpile, called the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), to be sold on the global market in June 2022. Once this oil was "released," it went up for auction for energy companies to purchase, and once the oil was purchased, it was shipped around the globe. Among several countries that received the shipments was China. But industry experts noted that this was not unusual; The United States often exports oil to that country, or overseas in general. Also, under federal laws, the government cannot dictate where oil gets shipped once companies purchase it. So while some oil was indeed shipped from the U.S. to China in 2022, this wasn't directly decided by the Biden administration. As for Hunter Biden's connection to these rumours, the president's son used to be a member of an equity firm that once purchased a stake in an oil company owned by the Chinese government. In 2022, that company, Sinopec, purchased oil from the above-mentioned U.S. oil reserve, the SPR, via its American-based company, Unipec. However, Hunter was no longer a member of the equity firm at the time of that sale, and there was no evidence that Sinopec received oil via the SPR for any other reason than it submitted one of the highest bids to pay for its barrels. The SPR is a tool used to alleviate the market impacts of both domestic and international disruptions, cause by weather, natural disasters, labor strikes, technical failures/accidents, political disputes or conflicts. Decisions to withdraw crude oil in the event of an energy emergency are made by the President under the authority of the Energy Policy and Conservation Act and done through a competitive sale. The SPR is always drawdown ready, which means it stands ready to release crude oil to the market within 13 days of Presidential direction; this is the time it takes to conduct the sales process, award contracts and to arrange the logistics for oil transportation. In March 2022, the Biden administration used that authority, announcing that it ordered for the release of millions of barrels of crude oil from the SPR, in an attempt to stabilize supply and lower global oil prices. A few weeks after this announcement, the DOE announced that it had awarded contracts to 12 companies to purchase 30 million barrels of that oil. In addition to signing contracts with those oil companies, the DOE said, the Biden administration worked with 30 countries that are part of the International Energy Agency to secure the collective release of more than 60 million barrels of oil. America also has a storage of 700 million barrels of oil. The Department of Energy will use the revenue from the release to restock the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in future years.
@criticaltheories5222
@criticaltheories5222 6 ай бұрын
Imagine if the United States evacuates everybody from Taiwan including the industry and brings them to Mexico, Canada and the United States.
@rdelrosso1973
@rdelrosso1973 6 ай бұрын
A very informative Video! So at the 15:25 mark, you say the U.S. looses: 3,200 soldiers 2 Aircraft Carriers 10 to 20 other ships and at the 15:45 mark, China looses: 10,000 soldiers 155 combat aircraft 138 ships Elsewhere, you mentioned "Fallout on both sides". I am thinking of Nuclear Fallout. So how do we keep this conflict from going Nuclear? Despite what anyone's "Policy" is, if one side feels it is losing the Conventional War, the temptation to go Nuclear would be irresistible.
@cbugher3380
@cbugher3380 9 ай бұрын
I don't feel that North Korea would just sit by if this war breaks out.
@felixargyle3659
@felixargyle3659 9 ай бұрын
Stop calling it China. It's West Taiwan.
@jkc3738
@jkc3738 7 ай бұрын
So what is Taiwan waiting for? Declare independence quickly..
@usrmtc1601
@usrmtc1601 9 ай бұрын
Simulations are different from the real deal, and at this point, China has never been tested in an actual major war that will last for maybe 5 years
@KVIZZZZLE
@KVIZZZZLE 9 ай бұрын
they said the same about Russia
@rayrae1651
@rayrae1651 10 ай бұрын
Taiwan is a beautiful country
@baba-vh7hb
@baba-vh7hb 9 ай бұрын
city
@adamskeans2515
@adamskeans2515 9 ай бұрын
The People's Republic of China which ain't the peoples and isn't a republic
@joelopez5018
@joelopez5018 8 ай бұрын
Now imagine what would happen to all the Chinese people here in the states.
@loganfonseca-freed7993
@loganfonseca-freed7993 9 ай бұрын
Just a curious question, how would China's "Belt Road Initiative" play into this model of economic collapse if that initiative is to install military bases, ports, or other means of Chinese presence to increase relations with host countries, therefore possibly initializing trade agreements of some sort. If that were to succeed, would China still have to worry about sanctions by major economies like the US, or could it survive for a certain duration before seeing an economic collapse? Great video, and great use of reputable sources like the CSIS and POGO.
@00110000
@00110000 8 ай бұрын
Sanctions matter the most from economic powerhouses. The Belt and Road Initiative almost exclusively targets developing and economically... dubious countries. The only notable exception was Italy, and they just recently decided to opt out of the program anyway. That's not to say you don't have a point; China's strategy to make allies in Africa and Central Asia using this program has given them significant geopolitical backing. However, that doesn't translate to economic security. In fact, quite the opposite, considering how much they've overpaid for that goodwill and how rough a lot of those projects turned out to be.
@Blake_Bones_69
@Blake_Bones_69 8 ай бұрын
The countries that China is working with on the belt and road and poor underdeveloped countries. China has to front all of the capital to build all the projects you talked about meaning China faces all the risk if the countries they work with are not able to develop and bring a positive return. Pakistan is a great example China has sunk billions into them and it seems nothing is going to come of it .
@rdelrosso1973
@rdelrosso1973 8 ай бұрын
@@Blake_Bones_69 : Well, China, in making Pakistan a "Defacto Province" of China, gains the ability to import Middle East oil through Pakistan - into China. That is an enormous strategic advantage, as then, China can bypass the Strait of Malacca, which India could blockade in the event of war.
@Blake_Bones_69
@Blake_Bones_69 8 ай бұрын
@@rdelrosso1973 and how are they going to get the natural resources to Pakistan? The main oil producing countries don’t have pipelines that lead to Pakistan and if they did they would be easy targets for the United States military, plus you even admitted yourself that the straight of malacca would be blockaded on top of the fact China still does not have a blue water navy so getting oil and other natural resources to Pakistan through water ways is not an option either, like I said Pakistan was a waste for the Chinese wether they continue to dump resources into it or not
@adrianbug8790
@adrianbug8790 10 ай бұрын
West Taiwan 🇨🇳 land of short cuts and facades
@IamdeaththedestroyerofWorlds
@IamdeaththedestroyerofWorlds 9 ай бұрын
Why do they believe America is going to survive it either financially?
@lli8420
@lli8420 9 ай бұрын
我们以后会建造中国大陆到台湾的跨海大桥,跑高铁,以后啊,你们再从台湾海峡过,就得承受“胯下之辱”啦,而且还得交过路费,毕竟大桥是我们建造的,你从下面走就得交钱
@keurikeuri7851
@keurikeuri7851 10 ай бұрын
The issue I see in the CSIS report was that they assume that China will be on par with the military of the allied nations of Japan, US, UK, etc. They based it only on the number of assets and soldiers that China has. China is not well known to have a good military tactics and most of their tactics deals with only sending more and more of their people wishing it will overwhelm their enemies and win rather than creating strategies just like in the Korean war and even right now in the conflict with the Philippines in the South China Sea on which they send more of their ships which often times were meaningless because the Philippine ships who were fewer in number were still able to escape from them and fulfill their missions of supplying the Philippine outpost. With this in mind, China in a war will end up several times more losses to the US and its allies who had more battle experience and advanced assets.
@Chica-c6g
@Chica-c6g 9 ай бұрын
Lmfao james cleverly isnt that dark man jesus
@StArShIpEnTeRpRiSe
@StArShIpEnTeRpRiSe 8 ай бұрын
The current situation is actually pretty simple: Information technology reached a level where it soon trigger an economic impact, similar to the industrial revolution. Money based economy is outdated on the current technological level and soon will collapse like Industrialism killed the feudal systems. Now autocratic systems are can't handle this as in a democracy, you can vote for a new leader, or the old one can leave. Look how British leadership changed after Brexit. If the UK would be an autocratic system, the public would already rise, and they would murder the leader who first came out with the idea of Brexit but as it's a democracy, they voted it, they were the idiots they can't blame anyone, and the leadership just changed as no-one wanted to be responsible for it. In an autocratic system it's not so easy. But the changes are coming, and global events like the pandemic quickly point out the struggle of the old economic system. And here autocratic leaders feel their doom and need to react to it. Putin made the first step, and now he's doomed his fate. Xi now try to find out another way without do the same mistakes. And the rest of the world just watch and wait and not realize, that this is far bigger change than what we now can see.
@lukaszrower7612
@lukaszrower7612 9 ай бұрын
Why does every forecast show the use of military forces? After all, China can have its own people in the government of Taiwan and so what...
@sppj3140
@sppj3140 10 ай бұрын
I love this narrator he plays the narrator on the infographic show and scp explained and I Am, I subscribed to all of them
@tropangbikeride
@tropangbikeride 10 ай бұрын
Its AI voice
@BeastHorror
@BeastHorror 10 ай бұрын
@@tropangbikeride Its´s Josh Risser
@gamer7234
@gamer7234 9 ай бұрын
Never heard tinderbox used outside runescape
@codyhughes4472
@codyhughes4472 10 ай бұрын
Lololol. This may be the dumbest headline I’ve seen in the last 3 days. That says a lot too
@johnw9190
@johnw9190 7 ай бұрын
Based on the Ukraine conflict, I think your estimate of the # of dead is way way low. Also, china has so many dialects that neighboring parts of china can't even communicate with another. Cohesion will be somewhere between difficult and impossible.
@freeman10000
@freeman10000 10 ай бұрын
臺灣加油 🇹🇼🇭🇲👍
@toomanygrenades
@toomanygrenades 5 ай бұрын
Prediction: Cardboard.
@nimbusshadow-wings
@nimbusshadow-wings 9 ай бұрын
No way the us looses any aircraft carriers
@Talk378
@Talk378 9 ай бұрын
I didn’t even know the CIA had a KZbin channel, other than Peter Zeihan
@elgonchan7158
@elgonchan7158 9 ай бұрын
How much success is US and its NATO in Ukraine war has prove how incapable that alliance is, not because they dont have strengh its because they aren't protecting anything good for their own or ukraine people, its just protecting their pride with hefty price to pay.
@3LGRI3GO
@3LGRI3GO 6 ай бұрын
You’re slow… Triggering a Nuclear War on the European continent is different than fighting a war in the South China Sea.
@James-rm7sr
@James-rm7sr 9 ай бұрын
Just a thought. If Taiwan is likely to lose their navy why not put them close enough to shore so they basically force the Chinese to funnel into one spot as sunken ships would take sometime to get out and blockade the way into the island.
@KalEl671
@KalEl671 9 ай бұрын
@infographics I think this is your content isn't it? Same narrator and animation style?
@BritanniaMaps2048
@BritanniaMaps2048 10 ай бұрын
Skip to 1:36! That’s totally where the video starts!
@TheLastCrumb.
@TheLastCrumb. 10 ай бұрын
Ah so you’re not actually interested then
@pedrohaonade531
@pedrohaonade531 9 ай бұрын
So why the Us will not allow it to happen? Why why?
@ChickenMcThiccken
@ChickenMcThiccken 10 ай бұрын
you don't expect to win a war when you already have 164 trillion USD worth of debt.
@zygarde718
@zygarde718 8 ай бұрын
But the US has. Many times.
@nomercyinc6783
@nomercyinc6783 10 ай бұрын
ads in the middle of videos is a miserable layout. please stop doing that.
@JSFGuy
@JSFGuy 10 ай бұрын
No notice again.
@ToddAdams1234
@ToddAdams1234 10 ай бұрын
I’m not getting ANY notifications anymore. Not for about 6mos. 😢
@marierocher4422
@marierocher4422 10 ай бұрын
Me too, for some months now. Funny. To think I made a notification bill.
@gazzman6547
@gazzman6547 10 ай бұрын
Cause Wumaos cheng chungs are mass downvoting their videos.
@youarebeingtrolled6954
@youarebeingtrolled6954 10 ай бұрын
Judging by all the videos it looks like infographics hogging most of that 500 million CIA cash 😂😂
@Wintermute01001
@Wintermute01001 10 ай бұрын
7:46 Didn't know the Chinese army had so many blonds.
@danhtran6401
@danhtran6401 10 ай бұрын
It's a wig...
@thomasmcdonald4836
@thomasmcdonald4836 9 ай бұрын
What is missing from this is Chinas allies. China has and is building relationships with Russia, iran, n korea, Venezuela, and some s african nations. A war would probably blow up bigger then a local event. China is also building war machines and defensive areas at amazing rates. Not only is it building but its working on weakening potential enemies from within.
@BigBlakMan-hr9mb
@BigBlakMan-hr9mb 9 ай бұрын
Those are you allies of Chinas. They're more partners of convenience.
@eq1373
@eq1373 8 ай бұрын
The sane Russia that has spent months trying to take an abandoned Ukrainian town?
@thomasmcdonald4836
@thomasmcdonald4836 8 ай бұрын
@eq1373 I did not say they were all good at war but make no mistake all will get involved. Not to mention Russia is NOT using its entire set of weapons. They went sparingly thinking it would be easy.
@manniking233
@manniking233 Ай бұрын
China is not Russia. Some in the West like Russia. Most Westerners either hate China or massively distrust them... China attack Taiwan, the reaction would be even harsher than what Russia got. Both the Left and Right hate China equally for different reasons...
@jeffhamac6662
@jeffhamac6662 9 ай бұрын
Coz it has still a weak economy being an export/import economy..n not having a strong middle class which is really the real true key to all western countries, they all have strong middle class or what we call the "buying class". Without export income, china will run out of money n allies coz thats the only reason why some countrie..s are being friendly to china...money...America without export income will still survive coz they can raise money to support the war thru War Bonds...of which america uses in WW2..a strong middle class can afford to buy war bonds, china dont have that..they have a few millionaires n a few middle class but not something that can support a big war against america.USSR failed, China will fail because communism dont wkrk
@shigetsan
@shigetsan 9 ай бұрын
I don’t understand why they just don’t buy all of the TSMC stock and just take control that way
@danielchen1178
@danielchen1178 7 ай бұрын
Taiwan's security exchange regulation does not allow so called "red money" from China to invest in Taiwan company. To prevent precision the security risk scenario you mentioned.
@nikyabodigital
@nikyabodigital 8 ай бұрын
What if NK joins.
@Ray-mm1xg
@Ray-mm1xg 10 ай бұрын
Yea right, like you know the future lmao🤣
@bctvanw
@bctvanw 10 ай бұрын
In 1992, Taiwan was still not a full democratic country.
@jumpingjohnflash
@jumpingjohnflash 9 ай бұрын
And China still isn't. What's your point exactly?
@chasejordan22
@chasejordan22 10 ай бұрын
Oh God. Imitating the infographics show is never ever a good idea.
@ddong9643
@ddong9643 8 ай бұрын
Bcz the KZbinr said so?
@greenbuttondown
@greenbuttondown 10 ай бұрын
How many more channels will steal from infrographics
@christiankolb6319
@christiankolb6319 9 ай бұрын
I sense no stimas on this channel 😅
@kaedon5241
@kaedon5241 10 ай бұрын
How isnt this channel mor popular
@baba-vh7hb
@baba-vh7hb 9 ай бұрын
because is absolutely nonsense
@topofthegreen
@topofthegreen 8 ай бұрын
china will grow stronger as it will have a monopoly on the semiconductor production.
@CHixon
@CHixon 9 ай бұрын
But first, lets NOT review history for the umpteenth time.
@lilo7217
@lilo7217 9 ай бұрын
Dude, wake up.
@duncbenhugo
@duncbenhugo 9 ай бұрын
Factually incorrect
@Provocateur3
@Provocateur3 10 ай бұрын
14:50 For me, fully arming Taiwan necessarily includes arming the civilian population. The ROC rank & file has no tradition of personal self-defense or civilian gun ownership. So, not only does the government have to change, the people also have to change. Until all this happens, I really don't favor the US putting American live at risk for them.
@recoil53
@recoil53 10 ай бұрын
It's not necessarily for Taiwan, as some Republican candidates have made clear. It's because Taiwan is a strategic resource - they make volume of semi-conductors and high end chips too. If you want to slow down Chinese AI development, you need to keep high end GPUs out of their hands. And to mess with China.
@Dune986
@Dune986 10 ай бұрын
Dream on
@abjt_s
@abjt_s 9 ай бұрын
As an Indian student i can tell you China will not succeed alone, but RIC will make it happen after a proper negotiation among them, that's why Taiwan is free until India become double digit economy then very easily India can do a quid pro quo deal with china for Taiwan and then no alliance can match RIC after 10-15 years ,no one.🇮🇳❤️🇷🇺❤️🇨🇳
@Vfanatic1
@Vfanatic1 10 ай бұрын
I genuinely fear for the Tawainese election if the Pro CCP party wins.
@ShadowPhoenixMaximus
@ShadowPhoenixMaximus 10 ай бұрын
The funny thing is that Taiwan has never (in its history) polled in approval of "reunification" with CCP controlled China.
@axewielder7394
@axewielder7394 7 ай бұрын
Well do I have some news for you.
@litning123
@litning123 5 ай бұрын
I would like to comment, but don’t have freedom of speech.
@qiqichen-zt8ig
@qiqichen-zt8ig 9 ай бұрын
This title made my stomach hurt from laughing lol
@StarArtGamer
@StarArtGamer 10 ай бұрын
7:40 First of all, China needs to be the way it is or it can get worse for them
@hobog
@hobog 10 ай бұрын
11:08 the PRC economy is volatile
@yc-tai
@yc-tai 10 ай бұрын
1D thinking....
@DauthEldrvaria
@DauthEldrvaria 9 ай бұрын
13:33 China wouldn’t be as dumb as Russia to not Nationalize their foreign currencies right…? 😂
@Otietherobot
@Otietherobot 9 ай бұрын
You definitely stole this video I can tell by the narrator
@malloreegarza9593
@malloreegarza9593 10 ай бұрын
In the end we'll all die as human beings ❤
@spreddyreds9408
@spreddyreds9408 7 ай бұрын
Taiwan should join NATO.
@annevillegas9568
@annevillegas9568 10 ай бұрын
Because many countries will help to defend Taiwan
@johnh9686
@johnh9686 6 ай бұрын
cheating on infographic show
@billmurray1431
@billmurray1431 10 ай бұрын
They would gave already invaded if they thought they could do it successfully. They are paper dragon and they know it
@PS-47
@PS-47 10 ай бұрын
wow the expert on military tactics, foreign policy and international geopolitics has spoken 🤡🤣
@groinBlaster31
@groinBlaster31 7 ай бұрын
Oh boy a lot of CCP trolls
@HonorV2ultimate1tb
@HonorV2ultimate1tb 10 ай бұрын
cartoons n sketches??....thumbs down
@thunder21x
@thunder21x 10 ай бұрын
First!
@Likwidfox
@Likwidfox 10 ай бұрын
China couldn't go to war with the Samsung military.
@LorieDizon-ut8nl
@LorieDizon-ut8nl 10 ай бұрын
MikmorBiDyo❤😮❤❤❤❤
@CallMeByMyMatingName
@CallMeByMyMatingName 10 ай бұрын
Actually, "both" does NOT have an "L" in its spelling, nor in its pronunciation.
@richardprovo9385
@richardprovo9385 10 ай бұрын
The Chinese Nationalist Party lost the Chinese Civil War in 1949. About 1.2 million Nationalists fled to Taiwan. The next year, Chiang Kai-shek and his generals established the Republic of China (ROC) (Taiwan) with its capital at Taipei. This retreat is also known as the Kuomintang's retreat to Taiwan or the Great Retreat. So, Taiwan is actually the REAL China.
@Nick-zp8wk
@Nick-zp8wk 10 ай бұрын
They lost the right to be called the "real" China when they lost the war. Winner takes all.
@lifetrees1
@lifetrees1 10 ай бұрын
So China (PRC) is actually West Taiwan
@roberteischen4170
@roberteischen4170 10 ай бұрын
@@lifetrees1The PRC is a collection of rouge provinces. The ROC never submitted to CCP rule. the ROC would be fine with that, it just wants to be left alone. But you know how Communists are. Minding their own business is the last thing they can do.
@kisuke47
@kisuke47 10 ай бұрын
Not true. The ROC lost the war they are no longer the rightful government.
@Not-a-GSD
@Not-a-GSD 10 ай бұрын
@@lifetrees1 No, just communist China… Kind of like North Korea vs South Korea.
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