Why I Don't Own ADOBE stock & When I'll Consider Buying!

  Рет қаралды 4,184

The Patient Investor

The Patient Investor

Ай бұрын

Friends! In this video, I'm going to do an ADOBE stock analysis and talk about the risks and upside potential of ADOBE stock
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Пікірлер: 46
@mhi_292
@mhi_292 Ай бұрын
This is really helpful - I learned a lot in your video, not only about Adobe, also in genral about accounting and adjustment practices with these massive share compensations. Great Job!👍
@jamesoconnor802
@jamesoconnor802 Ай бұрын
Loving the valuation and spreadsheet. Good job 👏 👍
@Raventerp01
@Raventerp01 Ай бұрын
Nice video on ADBE and I kind of agree with everything you've said there. I also wanted to request a video on REXR since you've covered REITS pretty extensively but I've never heard you speak on this one. Another youtuber posted a video recently saying it's a great buy.
@bertlouis6082
@bertlouis6082 Ай бұрын
Thanks for the interesting analysis. Could you do a video on Intuit (INTU)?
@marcoalbertospadacini3792
@marcoalbertospadacini3792 Ай бұрын
My first entry was at 380$ 1 year ago, i'm waiting 330$ for the second entry and 280$ for the third. If it happens ok, if not, its ok the same. 😅
@PP-mb2ky
@PP-mb2ky Ай бұрын
I may be a bit conservative on my valuation, but I wouldn't touch this stock over 350. People out there who think the 450 price is "underpriced" I wish you the best
@jonathanortiz4018
@jonathanortiz4018 Ай бұрын
Thanks for the video. Both ADBE and ADSK seem to have similar valuations. Are you any more bullish on ADSK? Or Bearish on the price like ADBE?
@LordCorwin1
@LordCorwin1 Ай бұрын
Pypl has similar revenue & earnings and double fcf. Also I believe the increase YoY is much better. Yet as you say, PE for adbe is around 30 (excuding SBC) and pypl 16. I am not saying that pypl is undervalued, but it is likely possible that even a PE of 24 for adbe could be too much.
@jirojiro1029
@jirojiro1029 Ай бұрын
I don’t have ADBE nor am I planning to buy, but many tech companies also do a lot of stock based compensation and adobe is not bad in comparison.
@aminemeskni
@aminemeskni Ай бұрын
First ❤
@DaNnYbOii9o9
@DaNnYbOii9o9 Ай бұрын
ARM video?
@neutralname404
@neutralname404 Ай бұрын
Carrefour SA reached 52 weeks low, its financial metrics look interesting to me, would love to hear your thoughts, have been following your channel since a long time
@SteelHorse1015
@SteelHorse1015 Ай бұрын
Thanks for the video but I don't know why you are so concerned with what others think. Hindsight is always 20/20. Do what you think is right. If these trolls were so smart they would have their own YT channel and would be killing it. If they have the time to piss and moan about your analysis, you then know they are sad little people who have nothing better to do. Keep on keeping on. You will be a very wealthy man one day if you are not already.
@thomasclaessens4372
@thomasclaessens4372 Ай бұрын
Just started building a position in ADBE, thinking it was undervalued. Thanks for explaining the stock-based compensation. Do you share your valuation model?
@druvaciam5407
@druvaciam5407 Ай бұрын
In the same boat, thought that pe is good. Will try to sell if recovers above my $485 price. Buying tech stock is tricky. REITs are much simpler.
@thepatientinvestor9580
@thepatientinvestor9580 Ай бұрын
In my group
@iiooppooii
@iiooppooii 27 күн бұрын
I hope you didn't sell because of this video.. stock spiked after the earnings.
@thomasclaessens4372
@thomasclaessens4372 27 күн бұрын
@@iiooppooii I didn't, still think ADBE is a quality company and plan to hold for the long term. But I won't add to the position right now.
@druvaciam5407
@druvaciam5407 27 күн бұрын
@@iiooppooii Sold on post-market after the report, a little bit early, but ok
@tubeindahouse
@tubeindahouse Ай бұрын
Agreed . I am at fair value at $295 -$ 335 and starting a potential position at $320. I enjoyed the content. Thankyou.
@victormartinez-dr4zp
@victormartinez-dr4zp Ай бұрын
350 it would be my first buy.
@atetraxx
@atetraxx 29 күн бұрын
RIP
@thepatientinvestor9580
@thepatientinvestor9580 29 күн бұрын
No need, I said Adobe is still overvalued and I believe it, it doesn't mean the stock can't go up, there's a big difference between the price and the value
@camacho_67
@camacho_67 Ай бұрын
same as salesforce
@kurniawanms2
@kurniawanms2 Ай бұрын
salesforce has wider MOAT than Adobe. A smaller company like Canva or Affinity can threaten Adobe business. Salesforce has more entrenched business. Once a company uses salesforce, it is very hard to move to a different provider. Same thing with AWS or Azure cloud. Once you have your servers in AWS, it is difficult to move them to Azure or Google cloud.
@leswhynin913
@leswhynin913 Ай бұрын
​@@kurniawanms2 interesting point, you've got me rethinking Adobe. My only concern with CRM is the valuation
@camacho_67
@camacho_67 Ай бұрын
​@@kurniawanms2i meant that salesforce was priced to perfection. not that it is a bad company
@Stocklove
@Stocklove Ай бұрын
Adobe is very overvalued, only paypal is the best deal rn.
@benjaminludacka236
@benjaminludacka236 Ай бұрын
You emphasize sbc for $adbe but not at all for $payc why is that?
@Pizza-gb1ch
@Pizza-gb1ch Ай бұрын
Is SBC increasing for PAYC? And he says SBC is not his primary objection; valuation is. PAYC is much closer to fair value.
@Ants_of_the_sky282
@Ants_of_the_sky282 Ай бұрын
Adobe imo is a legitimate value stock rn at its current price because this company is beaten up unneccesarily. I do believe this company will benefit from AI because their AI driven tools are run on non copywrited material which in corporate level, content creators, and artists will be beneficial. Its also a straight up free cash flow business. They generate almost 50% higher free cash flow than net income which is absurd.
@camacho_67
@camacho_67 Ай бұрын
I think AI is more harmful wait until instagram or google for youtube or google photos launch there own image enhancing and editing options margins will compress to compete, not saing adobe will disapeare but i think it will lose part of its moat, and if the want to keep their moat maybe their are force to do expernsive acusitions. I see more risk than upside but who knows
@hodoprime
@hodoprime Ай бұрын
50,000 foot level, I dont want to buy this company because their products arent worth $200B.
@kjell744
@kjell744 Ай бұрын
Their competitors have gone from bad to ok in the last years, Adobe have also kept on increasing the prices of their services they cat do it forever, at some point it will become so expensive that their consumers start switching to the competitors giving the competitors more money to improve the product.
@kjell744
@kjell744 Ай бұрын
The cost of Creative Cloud is US$59.99/mo now, while their nearest competitor Affinity can buy for 200$ and keep it for life.
@kjell744
@kjell744 Ай бұрын
KZbin censored my response comment to my own comment.
@kjell744
@kjell744 Ай бұрын
Let's try again Affinity is catching up to Adobe's.
@kjell744
@kjell744 Ай бұрын
It seems like KZbin censors comments with prices.
@kjell744
@kjell744 Ай бұрын
They also then to sensor legal disclaimers and what is happening in a bordering country to Jordan.
@ThisUserName15Taken
@ThisUserName15Taken Ай бұрын
I think AI will destroy Adobe.
@bulevartz
@bulevartz 12 күн бұрын
This aged well 😂
@thepatientinvestor9580
@thepatientinvestor9580 12 күн бұрын
Not as well as other videos I did, I'd love to meet someone that's right 100% of the time over an earnings report
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